The only thing that matters is whether you can afford to buy or not if it’s going to be a long term home. If interest rates are high prices fall a few % and if they fall prices rise. So either way you pay either a higher price or higher rate of interest. Timing the market for speculation often doesn’t pay off. A bigger question is whether you should live in the U.K. at all. I can’t help feeling like I’m living on the titanic and going down so I’m selling up and heading for the exit.
No one can afford these houses now and if you do buy you’ll be in big debt. I’m pointing at the young starting out the old are keeping this housing market up for now.
They have no money… but the mid to late 40s are better paid now than since any time in the 90s, don’t let the GB news fool you… more 30s-40s can afford substantial investment cos their parents died and their wages are being measured by the bank at a minimum of 4.5 x!
buying when covid happened in march 2020 in Australia was the best decision i ever made. especially when you know at every crisis is an inflation opportunity govt will never pass up on, in a lot of ways, the crisis is drummed up to make it look worse than it really is to justify the high spending, which ironically ppl fail to acknowledge during the fearing campaign....buy when ppl are fearing, sell when ppl are greedy!
Hi I must admit I do agree with you the only thing you didn't mention is that the building costs have gone through the roof which is probably one of the reasons the house prices have not changed much.i also agree that the house market will start going up again with a new government because that's will stabilise the market. people are going to get used to the interest rate being about five percent (where it historically should be) and the markets will rise again.the rental market is being changed by the government to promote big corporate landlords and get rid of the small landlords to try to improve rental standards but to achieve this rent's will have to increase substantialy to achieve a profit for sher holder's.
Why are you so confident that the reductions are ending? It sounds like you're saying that because prices have come down that they won't continue to go down which doesn't make sense. We still have 2 more cohorts of people to cycle off of ultra low interest rates in properties they over paid for, residential owners and btl investors included. Also not investing in property =/= not investing at all. It's irresponsible to encourage ppl to keep buyimg when the costs of ownership sky rocket. This is fine for large players but disatrous for newbies.
Wasn't it Property Hub that's been hailing the great Fred Harrison and his 18 year property cycle? According to him, for the next few years, property is a terrible gamble until prices hit the bottom of the cycle.
This is not simple. Buying a home to live in is great if the place is nice and you can afford it. Buying to make a profit is different. Renting is now cheaper than owning and doubly so if house prices continue to drift down. The jobs market is going the wrong way. Mortgage defaults are rising steadily. Only forebearance is keeping this off the headlines. Some houses bought in the feeding frenzy of a few years ago are coming back on at lower prices. Many others are on sale at the same or higher prices with no takers.
I'm in a great neighborhood we can't even get showings,but junk houses in Toledo sell in a couple days even minutes. My house 20 years old for asking price of 275,000 can't even get a showing after the first week of listing,but a run down home for 160,000 in not so good of neighborhoods they're gone in minutes. Mostly investors they have a strangle hold on the housing market my hood investors don't buy because of the HOA. THE HOA AND PROPERTY TAX ARE KILLING OUR HOMES VALUES,
Claims to be an expert but ignoring every fact and doing zero due diligence on the truth. This is a sham and look at what really is happening to house prices. The ONS HPI is leaving out 80% of all sales they could include. It is a fact so do not believe those that have zero knowledge of the market. Please do you own due diligence by looking at your postcode on the price paid data base from Land Registry and then decide yourself if you are dealing with an expert or someone that is trying to get you to pay trillions more for your houses than you need to. The ONS should be investigated for false accounting. They say a calendar year contains 13 months. Apr23 to Apr 24 is 13 months but they will say it is a year. There has been a lot of dishonesty in house sales to prop up the house market.
Supply stays constricted and this will push prices up further. Land is very short and high rates limit new construction. Prices will rise. Picking up a loan now might pay off in a few years when rates are getting lower. Still supply is extremly short even in the long term so no crash till 2035.
I’ve seen it too down South. Bought a place nicely but the same price comparative, were ridiculously priced for what they were. They are being told by the agents they can get that cos of incoming mortgage deals!
I’ve tried to buy 2 houses over the last 5 months and have been out bid (Scotland) both times, this is for a family home, we have sold our property and have money ready to move. Just put in an offer on house 3, hopefully this one goes through!
@stevep9221 it is very different system in Scotland. Nothing to do with sales man tactics. Seller do home report which has valuation on it. All buyer need to put offer through their own solicitor. In good areas, bid goes over 30% of valuation price. Everything is open to buyer except offer figure of other competitive buyers. I have lost 2 times as well in bid. Guide price on listing is just a low nunber to invite maximum nunber of bidders. Valuation is number to look and decide how much over you want to go. Very different than left of UK.
2016 I took a massive bet. Sold property and put it on btc and copper equities. Both did well, btc did extremely well. Friends said buying btc was for the fruit cakes.
Hang on! If we shouldn’t wait until 2026 or after to buy, because banks will be reluctant to lend, what happens if we buy now on a 2yr tie in? We’d still need access to funds in 2026. 🤔 Plus if we buy now and things drop, we’ll have lost a chunk of our deposit on paper, so will have to stump up more to refinance on a property that has dropped. Not good.
Good luck refinancing your debt. Despite the promise of rate cuts, long term rates are still rising because debt continues to rise. Mortgages, auto, credit card, student loans and now people even buy every day goods on monthly instalments. We are reliant on people for ever indebting themselves to ever greater levels to keep the economy from crashing. Or at least those who have a property portfolio are!😊
Covid made the gov' provide huge sums of money which mostly went to the rich, even indirectly. Rich accumulated stacks of savings buying stocks and assets. Asset holders were mainly the gov' and middle class property owners. This asset grab superheated property prices and drove consumer spending and inflation. Which raised interest on debt.
I can’t conceive of another boom for many years simply because people don’t have the means to pay. They can offer better longer terms and mortgage rates can fall, but this is unlikely to be at the same level as the pandemic. The market could driven by investors but the bottom has fallen out rentals so there’s not much to be had there either.
It's pretty obvious what's going to go off over the next couple of years. A drawn out recession will see the base rate come back down to the BoE target of 2%, putting residential mortgage rates in the 3-4% range. This will spark house price increases in most areas, likely around 10-15% to catch up somewhat to inflation. As you say, right now is the time to buy and on a two year fixed term. The average long term homeowner doesn't really need to care about short term noise. The only thing you need to be concerned about is being in negative equity at mortgage renewal, which can be mitigated with a decent deposit.
@@SycAamore in London, that's already a reality. There are many houses that were bought by our grandparents in the tens of thousands that are now worth millions. I'm not sure what you're struggling understand.
No 👎 there was one time when I've seen so many houses for sale in Edinburgh and that was in 2006. I drive through town centre every day when you see half of properties that cost over the 1mln listed u for sale on one street you know that wealthy people get advised to sell them. Maybe not crash but good correction is coming.
Lol "cash in the bank does nothing"... cash in the bank or bonds can get you ~4-5% virtually risk free with no associated costs. Meanwhile BTL+estate agent+insurance loses you money even before you factor in the risk from exposure to a falling market and hostile legislators.
What a rubbish opinion, this guy assuming everyone have sitting money in their account, in reality majority don’t even have enough for the deposit, no salary increase while expenses are steadily up, you should say best time to buy for the privilege
We haven’t just seen a bubble… we have seen real time inflation and interest rates reflected in activity… you are seeing the bottom end of the most ridiculous UK property “actual” bubble this country has ever seen!
Higher mortgage costs encouraged many lower earners to sell property which the rich grabbed with a discount. Accumulated wealth from covid mainly stayed with the rich and inflation on goods and services (CPI) actually fell as asset prices on property now saw record inflation, this not part of CPI calc'. Goods and service sales r now driven by middle earners who probably offloaded property for capital. The rich have increased their wealth with assets not goods. Young people who needed family wealth to get onto the ladder now likely won't get that help as the farm has been sold.
😂😂😂😂 honestly I plan not to and their is a great reason why . I would invest all my savings and then get paid to enjoy my life traveling and farm land overseas .
Hi, I am first time buyer house. Can you please suggest is it ok to buy a good old house may be like around 75 years old house. Will I get the good amount if later anytime to sell. What to look for when buying. Thank you
With regard to the 18 year cycle, and the prediction of a peak in 2026 - what could be a possible source of a crash after that? Surely the Government can’t do much more to make property investing less appealing than they already have.
Seems a bit harsh being bitter following someone's prediction. It's hard taking responsibility for a mistake but it's your money and your decision, nobody has a crystal ball.
We have nearly a net of 1 million people pouring into our country each year with a massive house shortage as a result... We aren't going to see a house price crash.
Please factor in Ukraine crisis! This is going to be a protracted war …. Will contribute toward a Spiking inflation and affordability be further exacerbated
