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PIA is great. But creators aren't allowed to say the main use case... Download whatever you want without letters from your ISP. Turn it on when you are torrenting.
Oh. My. Goodness. First Perun mentions "lines on maps", and now William illustrates his point with a purely hypothetical example of competition between LOM groceries and P.E.Run's meats, IS THIS A SECRET CROSSOVER?
I just hope that Perun and W. Spaniel will agree to devote their respective analytical takes to the Australian govt. or whatever democracies remain after the world's Bond-villain mega-billionaires succeed in their libertarian-LARPing fascist takeovers, and Peter "Paypal & Palantir" Thiel retreats to whatever bunker compound he manages to surreptitiously build in Kiwiland. Hopefully, Oz's military forces and MIC production and supply chains will withstand the pressures brought to bear by the geopolitical fracturing of the liberal democratic Free World and the dissolution of democracies (including in the US, if Trump or the GQP-T triumph in 2024), and Prof. Spaniel's lines-on-maps game theory approach will help whatever democracies remain to counter a Thiel-subverted Kiwiland both militarily and in diplomatic talks.
Also the lightning bolt graphic: Perun is an ancient Slavic god of war and storms, much as ancient Canaan's Yahweh, eventually adopted by the Israelites.
I used to comment on the monotone voice, so now I have to congratulate ya on how much more I enjoy the info since you actually emphasize phrases and words (like NEED TO, or SHOULD HAVE etc etc). I just helps the brain focus. I appreciate the improvement!
I worked management at a call centre in Australia, back in the day. Was confronted with a new hire telling me there would be no problems between him and the 'other' employees from the Balkans I had also hired recently. I asked - Oh, why should I expect problems?' It had not even occurred to me that the refugees from that conflict would have to be a consideration in my hiring practices. He tells me that he had already talked to the 'others' and that they had all agreed to leave the conflict behind them, now they were in a new home. So I wonder if the same thing will happen?
Depends, I live in scandinavia and we got a lot of refugees with a hostile attitude towards Americans, which might relate to the murder of their relatives, blowing up elderly women tends to piss people off😅
@@ElenraiThe religious and political ideology that they follow causes them to be violent and aggressive to anyone else who is not exactly like they are. They have been doing this for about 1500 years and they have received the same aggression and violence in kind. All they have to do is stop following the violent practices their book tells them to follow And they will be just fine. You reap what you sow.
@@bulldog71ss33 You know the muslims in xinjiang have become more peaceful. May have something to do, that china purs trillions into the place, making sure, their muslim minorities get as good opportunities and perspectives as the rest. (xinjiang is 4 times the size of afghanistan, terrain wise about as bad to suppress a rebellion by military means). The US policy towards them always was: we back the government which gives us good business conditions, no matter if they are a brutal dictatorship. So people with no hope to be treated fairly are easy prey for the islamists. The US is reaping what they did saw. It's fairly simple: Help and Integration kills terrorism.
I think refugees from Palestine should be resettled in an area without people in desert for a lease of 99 years. Where they can use the land to earn enough wealth to purchase the land, if they failed to do so, they would be sent to China for 10 dollars each.
Another important bit about the LOM Grocers: those stores are often franchises. This means that if an individual store fails, the loss to the actual LOM Grocers is negligable, as that store was just a franchise store that still has to pay LOM Grocers, also surviving inventory can be immediatly rerouted to other LOM stores. The idea is to make a full ecosystem with competition, but only between the different franchise stores all operating under the same LOM Grocers umbrella. The losers are the owners of the specific failing store and the employees who work there, LOM Grocers will always win in this scenario, because their only win condition is that no one else gets to play. LOM Grocers isn't actually a grocery store anymore: they are a property investement company that mainly rents to grocers whom they control very tightly.
This is where Vulture Communism (TM) must come in: when a company becomes a (quasi) monopoly, just nationalize the bastards: now you have a well-built service for free and you also have solved the monopoly problem in the first place.
Once upon a time, Israel's main rival was the secular PLO. They implemented a clever plan to foster a competitor of the PLO in order to weaken them. That competitor was Hamas.
Israel dosnt fostered Hamas it just let him exist. Hamas is part of global radical muslim movement who called the muslim brothers. The palestinians in Gaza choose Hamas in 2005 Israel dont crown Hamas on them. Sure it benefit Israel when the Plo and Hamas fight themselve and not Israel. Plus Israel was underestimated Hamas danger and didn't think it was worth to risk hundreds soliders to eliminate it just for other hostile group will take control on Gaza instead of Hamas.
I feel like "competitor" is a misleading term. Israel and the PLO did not have to fight, and it wasn't an automatically true fact that Israel had to refuse the PLO's demands.
Yup, and Netanyahu was one of the biggest cheerleaders of this idea. Who knew at the time, that it would backfire into jeopardizing his entire political career.
Another option is to land bank. Buy the good locations and not build a store or anything. tbh, I don't know how it would apply, but think worth a mention here.
Another one of those channels... You can say whatever you want and it does seem you are doing just that, it does not mean that the content is accurate or even true. 1. Other groups will "will pop up"?? When have you seen a terror organization in gaza destroyed? This is your speculation. 2. Why do you conclude that every last person in gaza is seeking and forever will seek violence so after hamas is dead other people will rush to meet the same fate? 3. It is not only Netanyahu who seeks to destroy hamas, it is pretty much what the WHOLE POPULATION who are on board and expect exactly that. It's easy for you foreigners to go "yeah a terror attack, no big deal" but in Israel almost anyone knows someone who's either been killed, has family members who've been killed or abducted, and those family members include children. 4. Hamas has weathered the same restrictions???? Really? The reality was that hamas was being supplied with water and electricity (some say for free), the check points open with supplies coming in regularly, large sums of money going in as aid from all around the world with a large part of that going DIRECTLY to hamas... How do you think they were able to purchase/make so many rockets and build so many tunnels?? How is that even resembling the situation now? 5. "Gaza officials report"???? You youtube guys are a bunch of clowns.. Do you know who all "gaza officials" are? That's right, hamas. You know that. So they report whatever they think is beneficial. They have no problem raping then killing young girls and slaughtering children - so do you think they have any problem lying? Most of their dead are terrorists. Full stop. I would go on but this is taking too much time plus the comment is probably getting deleted as usual...
I think tbh it’s kind of just psychology but that’s my opinion, this is an undoubtable amount of trauma for people to experience, there are people who have lost their entire families in a day and a lot of them, unresolved trauma can lead to pathological and violent behavior, I don’t think the assumption is that people are violence seeking, but in such a large group it is likely that someone will be irrationally angry and I believe this applies to a lot of things.
This analysis would have been enhanced by a brief discussion of who Hamas is and what they want, as this greatly affects Israel's choices of strategy. Hamas are a religious fundamentalist group who often repeat that they cannot and will not desist from violence until Israel has been obliterated and the Jews are gone. They also reject any notion of peace or compromise with Israel. This, to them, is a religious requirement and so cannot be negotiated away by any system of rewards for non-violent behaviour. In this way, Israel is precluded from seeking non-violent solutions.
Israel is precluded from seeking non-violent solutions with Hamas, the PIJ and other Islamist factions. That's not true for every Palestinian faction that may pop up.
hello, can you explain also please, why are everyone so obssesed with this particular conflict in the middle east even though there are much more serious and much more deadly conflicts in the middle east? i know the that israel is standing out in the region as a western democracy, but still many even unaware about the many other conflicts in the middle east, why is that?
22:32 «The difference is Israel’s benefit attributed to Whac-a-Mole. And, in fact, the only way to get violence to drop under these conditions is for to Israel induce the new group to challenge Hamas. Whac-a-Mole is not actually a problem in this case. It is a sign that the strategy is working. Still, that does not necessarily imply that Whac-a-Mole is a bright idea.» Is that why we had early, covert support of Hamas as a counterweight to the PLO?
While your theories are interesting, they are totally not relevant to the situation in Gaza. When the US set out to defeat Germany and Japan, they didn't think they were playing whac-a-mole, and that wasn't even a consideration. Also, in WWII, there wasn't any goal for winning "hearts and minds", before the defeat was accomplished - in fact, just the opposite was true (e.g Dresden, Hiroshima, etc...). The only reason Israel is in this situation is because Obama tied Bibi's hands and Obama coerced Bibi to try to "domesticate" a terror organization. Now that that experiment has failed, Bibi will need to deal with the mess the US created. Btw, Bibi knows he has no political future and the war goals have nothing at all to do with him personally. This story is simply a lot bigger than just one sleazy politician's ambitions.
It seems like a mistake is being made regarding keeping Bibi until the crisis is resolved. His policies are a major part of generating the crisis, and he even has motive to keep contributing to it now under the conditions where they will only resolve the Bibi problem after the crisis. They are trying to right a ship, and are putting off dealing with a hull breach until after the ship is righted. Bold strategy.
But that's what Israel tried back when they helped Hamas grow in power against Fatah, and its the same situation it had on the eve of October 7th, the lines on map group exists within Gaza, it's called the Islamic Jihad. All it did was give israel another rocket launching enthusiasts to worry about, and as we saw didn't interfere with Hamas' attack, even participating in it catching the opportunity to cross into Israel. So with all due respect to the video and the immense work and thought put into it. I beg to differ about the "lines on map group keeps violence lower overall" statement.
The basic psychology is not that beating one creates another. Basic human psychology in regards to deterrence is directly correlated to the perceived chance of success(getting away with it)
Surprisingly no maniacs tried to take him out, like that one Prime Minister who was shot dead by a far right sionist because he support the Oslo agreements.
@@yoavlinzen5669 Agreed. But he survives as long as the war lasts. That's a conflict of interest. Don't get me wrong. I don't think he will do something that harms Israel intentionally. I just think he has lost the confidence of his people, bears a great deal of responsibility for being unprepared, and it might be time for him to resign.
Loving the digs at Perun and the League of Cartographic Purity. It's nice to see that it's possible to still inject some humor into this very serious topic.
The "המחנה הממלכתי" party (ha-mahhane ha-mamlahhti) literally translates as "The Government Camp (or fraction)" even though they like to call themselves "National Unity" in English. The "national unity" in the phrase "National Unity government" is rendered as "אחדות לאומית" (ahhdut le'umit). So, there is no confusion between the two 'national unities' in Hebrew.
Is "P.E.Run's Grocery" a reference to Perun's RU-vid channel, or something else? The reference to "Emutopia" and Australia seemed to support my thought that it was.
@@deborahferguson1163 I never miss a Perun video. It's required Sunday afternoon viewing for me. I wonder how I could have missed the "Lines on maps" reference. Now I have to go back and see if I can find it. ;-). I always appreciate RU-vidrs mentioning each other like this. It helps to build a sense of community around the platform and topic.
Core issue is Islam itself. There's plenty of reasonable Muslims in the world, and more peaceful reforms of the religion, but the issue remains: The dominant streams and the Quran itself dictates a level of hatred and condemnation of Jews and Christians to a point where being their neighbour peacefully is impossible. People call this sort of thinking Islamophobia, whilst not realizing many Muslims recite a prayer 5x a day begging their lord to "Not become like the cursed ones, and those led astray". Now nice folks equate those to sinners and confused people's. But in the Quran it means Jews (cursed ones) and Christians (those led astray). There can be no peace with a religion that is unwilling to reform those violent and hateful aspects out of their beliefs as it leaves room for the worst interpretation breeding room for violence. The more you learn about Islamic tradition, the Quran, Hadith and Sunnah, the more obvious it becomes. Peace and co-existence is NOT in their interest, at all. I wish it were so. IF Catholicism was not reformed, Catholicism would've had the same issue of breeding violence. Christian reform was met with inquisition and a century of bloody war, Catholics mostly lost those wars (at huge costs to both sides). People need to learn history, as well as about religion, before they can start to try understanding the Geopolitics of the world. Talking about this however is met with nothing but hatred, which takes diplomacy off the table, and that IS because of Joe Schmuck and their unwillingness to look into what they seek to judge. I wish it were simply the fact that most Muslims, like many other religious folks, don't read their own book, or translation being the issue. But alas, the most original Arabic, as well as it's softer translations, of the Quran alone already carries this issue. The end game is a crusade, the way towards it is gaining the power and following to get there by any means necessary. The book is not that long, any translation contains enough of the problems I raise, but since most folks are lazy I'll give some of the most problematic references: 2:190-193, 2:216, 3:28, 3:73, 3:85, 3:90, 4:56, 4:89, 5:101-102, 5:33-34, 8:12-14, 8:67, 9:5, 9:29-30, 11:45-46, 18:74-80, 47:4. Now that list might seem long, but most of these verses tend to be 3-8 lines max. You'll have read like a 15 page book if you go through all of them, and these are only some of the most problematic ones, only in relation to war, conversion, criminality and condemnation of others. For once, read, rather than oogle and judge like Joe Schmuck always does, and perhaps you will learn why there is a difference, not all religions are the same. What was started by a warlord, was always meant to be an eternal war. Something plenty of good Muslims themselves even want to be freed from, and are perpetual victims of. I got no skin in the game, as I'm blessed with living far away from the conflicts. But heed the warning: 3rd world war is coming, because of ignorance on both sides. Naivety is how we've gotten here, and we're sleepwalking right into something only conflict can be the outcome of.
the reason of this whole "war" is because israel has been occupying and oppressing palestinians for the past 75 years... but no let's blame islam!1!1! What an idiotic take
@@user-tw5gu2yh8s There's always the next Israel, is the issue I talk about. I know of the history of Israel, Palestina, how both got their names, who got theirs first. I did my research. You clearly did not. All I can say about it: It will be a perpetual war as long as Israel exists, and as long as non-muslim countries exist, and that is why it is rather easy for me to side with Israel in this issue. Now my original post was not about Israel, per se, it's applicable to the world. But we can zoom in, if you desire. The migrants that moved into the conflict zone, and the people that had no means to leave it, have no right to turn over an amnesty decision like the UN made at the time. Let alone doing it through terrorism. You did not read the Quran, you did not read the verses I sourced, you did not look into the history of either side of the 2 supposed nations at war. That much is clear. If you had half a mind for peace, rather than vengeful spirit you would realize: I call for people to learn what the root of these issues are, the issue being geopolitical conflict in the middle east and surrounding it. I blame Islam, because theres plenty of factions around Israel that prove that the hatred for Israel is beyond Palestina's borders. Oh and the pride in a Roman generals mockery of a nation, which is where the name Palestine comes from, is the poorest excuse for nationalism I've ever come across. Does the Roman colonization and oppression curry that much favour with you? There was no Muslim alive at the time, they have no relation to Palestinians, yet it's British misinterpretation of history and mockery of it, that gave rise to the modern use of that name. A Caanite peoples, beaten by Egyptians. Is that perhaps the part you identify with? Or is it Pontius Pilate his decisions that fuel your rage? A lot of people didn't like him, renaming Judea in order to disconnect the Jews from Israel many consider a B-move indeed. Nations have no sacred heritage, no forever story. People and cultures last when a culture lasts. The people of that geographical area have been Jewish since the rise of that religion and the downfall of the Egyptians, outlasted Muslim conquest, and even Christian crusades. If any peoples have a connection to a patch of land, then it's Israelites and Israel. Which does not include every born Jew in the world, but the nation is certainly free to welcome them. It was not exactly taken from Palestinians, but rather Israeli an influence reinforced in the region in 1948. Pick up a book, before you throw a tantrum, thats what my whole original post was about, something clearly lost on Joe Schmucks like you. But keep it up pal, you make it damn easy for people in the west to raise to the levels of condemnation to reach retribution. The victim card hasnt worked in 75 years, the refusal for peace hasnt worked in 75 years, the tremors aint coming. The vengeful spirit is. By your standard: Germany has the right to retake half of Europe, England gets to be an Empire once more, French people have no place in France, because they certainly were not Latin speaking before the Romans domesticated the Gauls. And Poland would get to burn down the entirety of Europe. You have no understanding of history, and that is why you boil a well meant argument down to a stupid 1 liner response. You don't realize that it is you that enables a war, whilst it is effort like this, that calls for diplomacy.
@@user-tw5gu2yh8s Now go ahead, and spill the poison, one look at your post and name tells me plenty: You've been getting banned for saying what you want to say in less eloquent manners. Get it over with. I've got the capacity to translate and understand Arabic, and it will buy your account time. Any Latin-alphabet based language, gets picked up by the algorithms immediately, no matter what language you use.
I had a big smile on my face when you explained our crazy political system. One thing about the Whac-a-Mole, in the late 80's Hamas was the new competitor Israel tried to get into the market, and considering the suicide bombing of the 90's and 2000's, and the October 7th attack, I don't think we can say that Whac-a-Mole has decreased the total violence output.
Yeah. Whac-a-Mole theory is a very old strategy for Israel but it hasn't seemed to decrease violence output or terrorism. This feels like the Israeli Government is trying to double down on the theory as a hail mary. It's a precarious gambit.
Those were the point. Israel desperately wanted to scuttle the peace process that had already been accepted and the potential creation of a sovereign Palestinian state (as diminished and pathetic as the condition Israel imposed for it would have made it), but they didn’t want to be blamed for it, so supporting a less compromising opposition that they could put that blame on was the obvious solution. Of course, Hamas turned out to be right. The Israelis were never good faith actors and would have never allowed that state to form regardless of the pacifism and lack of resistance on the Palestinians part or international pressure. In that context, wrenching away their direct occupational control over Gaza and turning it into a german-style ghetto where resistance could at least be attempted like in Warsaw as opposed to a a broken constellation of walled camps at the complete mercy (or rather lack thereof) of Israeli guns like in the west bank was the right call. Even more so considering the shocking degradation of the IDFs capacities over the course of the last decades.
I might have to disagree with you. Hamas was the new kid in the block in the 90s. And under Fatah the level of violence from the Gaza strip was contained to bombings. Before that Palestinian resistance was even less organized and were mostly riots and protests. But now with Hamas as the leading power, we get planned psudo invasions. Issue with playing whack a mole is that you get progressively more and more radicalized groups and while the means of violence may decrease, the fanaticism and level of violence inevitably goes up. The best way to disentangle from the situation is to simply give the Palestinians their due. Not from a humanitarian perspective, but purely from a strategic perspective (Though only ethics should have been enough to justify the approach).
i agree with you in principle. but the "due" being giving is diferent between diferent palestinians and israelis...i mean in both sides there are the pragmatics that want to settle in order to live in peace and they are those that want everything by any means necessary and won't give up an inch...the current leaders of both sides are incapable of even talking...and in the past those who did didn't agree.... i hope the more optimistic approach like in the comment above will win. new leaders would emerge and this would be the last war
I always thought parliamentary democracies were the norm in proper Western Democracies and that Anglo style district based/winner takes all two (and a half) party systems were the weird ones.
Technically a Parliamentary system is where executive authority belongs to the head of government within the Legislature. New Zealand and Canada both have Prime Ministers who have been chosen from the sitting Members of Parliament. New Zealand however selects their MPs using a form of proportional representation (MMP) whereas Canada uses First Past the Post, same as the US. Israel's Knesset is a parliament, *and* the members are elected using a system of proportional representation. This is why there is the possibility of a new PM without an election, you have a Parliamentary system, and you have a minority government. For any US-ians reading this, the PM is like the Speaker of the House, if all the executive power of the President was given to them. With a majority party in the Parliament, the PM is pretty safe, unless ousted by their own party. Look at what happened to Kevin McCarthy.
But Spaniel is from the States and likely a significant chunk of his audience is too so it's not too weird for him to describe the difference from his perspective.
@@aneggselentfellow5607 But it doesn't make seems for the Dems to "Save" McCarthy. Let's say they did save him, well what happens the next day, and the day after that? What little of McCarthy's authority would be undermined by being saved. McCarthy put himself into an impossibly weak position to get the job. Remember 15 rounds of voting and rules change?. Also, the opposition doesn't help vote in the speaker in either, so why do so to keep them in? Change the R and D, same conclusion. Trying to pass the blame on to the Dems is a non-starter.
I would like to point out that "Whack-a-Mole theory" has been known by an older name prior to the end of the Cold War: "Domino theory". The US directly acted upon "domino theory" twice during the Cold War: Korea and Vietnam - both times to (according to the theory) combat the spread of communism. Korea was a qualified success, in that North didn't take over the South, but it required (and still does) a more-or-less permanent military presence. Vietnam ended up in a military stalemate until the US pulled out, at which point the South folded and the North took over. Vietnam, perversely, after the conclusion of the Vietnamese Civil War, disproved "domino theory", at least in its local area: while a few other of Vietnam's neighbors radicalized (such as Cambodia under the Khmer Rouge), the whole of Southeast Asia didn't suddenly lean communist (although some of that may also have to do with the subsequent Sino-Vietnamese War). Vietnam today, while technically communist, has leaned significantly towards the US as a counterpoint against their larger northern neighbor (China).
Domino Theory is an important idea in that part of history, but I wouldn't equate it with Wack-a-Mole. WaM, seems to be an admission of how difficult it is to deal with insurgents specifically in a place where you don't want them. For Israel that'd be the Gaza strip, the West Bank, or any country on Israel's borders. For the US, that would be any place in the World from which a terrorist could stand a reasonable chance of launching a mass casualty attack on the US (Taliban-controlled Afghanistan would be one, Saudi Arabia would've cracked down, though and Somalia was too instable for Al Qaeda to support itself there). Domino Theory was specifically about what would happen if Communists overran a country that the strategists had - fundamentally - no reason to care about but which could serve as a launchpad to take a country that the strategist does consider significant (though not the strategist's own homeland). Korea would be the launchpad to Japan, and Vietnam would've been the launchpad to... Australia (seems utterly ridiculous in hindsight, but pretty much every mistake in the Cold War boils down to overestimating the Communists).
@@jeffbenton6183how the f Vietnam a launch pad for Australia ? You know how far my country from Australia ? And our goal was never to spread communist , but to gain independence from outsider first France then american then Chinese
From the Israeli point of view, is there a better short-term alternative? There is an issue that the violence demand is motivated by multiple things, for Hamas its primarily the situation in Gaza. For other groups it is the existence of Israel as a state, for others its Jewish people in Palestine, and for others its competition for proxy money from Iran and other patrons.
@@nourahmed-sh2ox That's really it. Corrupt, power hungry would-be/sorta-is tyrants selling their own people out to stay in power (I include Hamas in this criticism too).
>is there a better short term alternative I have specific ideas, but literally anything that doesn’t involve the “mass murder of Palestinian kids and doing ethnic cleansing in what America itself has called an open air concentration camp, including escalating those murders in a completely different area of the country than where Israel has been attacked from” would be better than the current plan, which is as I described.
"League of cartographic purity" LOL And now I understand the whole "lines on maps" thing. First love was to be a traffic engineer, and what do they do? Study lines on maps -- roads.
I love how you used a map of Rochester, NY to illustrate your grocery store analogy: home of Wegmans, the greatest grocery store chain in the US. Also you used the actual Wegmans (LOM) locations vs Tops (P.E.Run)
Heh, I'm from the Rochester area and found myself wondering "I wonder what Rochester looks like from above like this" when it was shown. But yeah, looking at it closer, the highway layout definitely is Rochester.
There is major flaw in this logic. The issues set that each of these political parties represented in the previous election may no longer represent their voters views. Before the second intifada October 2000 the Left wing parties had enormous support. However When Arafat walked away from Camp David and began a 3 year period of over 1000 suicide bombings they lost their support. The Israeli left has never explained what failed in 2000 and why the second intifada began. This is why they have 4 seats out of 120. We won’t know who, or what the electric truly prioritizes until the next elections
Whack a mole may very well lead to all the problems you mention, but the question which was not addressed is whether NOT whacking the mole leads to still worse problems.
The ‘Underlying cause’ is only actionable if it is acceptable to the active party - if the underlying cause is the existence of Israel itself (as most Israelis think it is based on the Palestinians turning down the 2008 Olmert deal) then not only is it an impossible situation but Israel would be totally irrational to give the Palestinians any land or power to begin with - if they created a West Bank state then they’d get worried the same thing would happen as happened in Gaza when Hamas took over, only within spitting distance of Tel Avis and Jerusalem and ending up in the same situation after pacification as 1967.
Exactly. What other state is pressured to cede territory to genocidal terrorists who explicitly state that they're driven by the desire to destroy that state and everyone in it?
Israel has some more benefits from the whack-a-mole situation than one might think. Firstly, a continued state of conflict can allow its politicians to employ Carl Schmitt's State of Exception to gain some advantages in their internal politics, especially for Netanyahu. He could let the situation appear to get worse and out of Israel's control to have the political parties and citizens rally behind him by exploiting a a sense of collective existential fear while heavy-handed actions are likely to net him more support from the Right wing elements. We might even see Netanyahu lash out against people protesting against him even more harder and blame them for "not being united during Israel's darkest hour" to turn them into a scapegoat and silence them. Plus, a conflict is good for the arms industry due to demand for weapons rising as well as providing a testing ground that could let a weapon become more sought-after due to having the combat proven tag in the market. I would not be surprised if remote-controlled sniper drones that Israel is currently employing in Gaza might soon emerge as a popular hot product in the global arms market along with other stuff we haven't heard that much about yet.
21:30 : Half-measures… like Western foot-dragging in Ukraine? Despite the brutality of the Israel-Gaza war, I think there will be far fewer deaths, children or otherwise, than the Ukraine-Russia one. Thanks for the video. And, btw, UK-based Sprouts was able to have a supermarket foothold in my area, despite the Safeway‘s all over the plce. :D
What’s up with you and Perun? 😆 I subscribe to both channels, enjoy both channels… Honestly, it took a second for me to realize what was going on. 😆 Regardless… Good vid. Thanks cat. 😎👍
I think they both respect each other, but make friendly jabs at each other's approach to analysis sometimes. I watch both religiously and have heard Perun mention "lines on maps" a few times, so I guess this is William's response. I just love how niche this is lol. Would love to see a crossover episode
I personally Agree right now it's a puzzle game and wackamole. At the same time, what is the best way to stop this situation from escalating without destroying an entire countries in the process or annihilation of every race on On a country level.
What you have just explained Israel have already done this with Hamas back in the days when the PA were making gains with the Palestinian. They backed Hamas to undermine the PA w/Yasser Arafat.
I wouldn't really call that backing, more like Israel didn't support the PLO in getting rid of rival groups which makes sense as the PLO was very hostile and violent towards Israel and certain rival groups like Hamas were not. Then when the first Intifada happened and violent groups like the secular PLO and Palestinian Islamic Jihad were rising in popularity, they quickly changed into a violent group as well to not lose supporters and remained so even after the PLO started to deradicalize trying to be a "no compromise"(not giving up on the dream of conquering Israel/"liberating all of Palestine" as if we don't know that they don't think Israel is a real state and so conquering Israel is not conquering another nation, but liberating what's rightfully theirs, even if international law and the people actually living in Israel disagree with that).
There wouldn’t be the wack a mole dynamic if Gazans simply wanted peace and coexistence. Some of the more religious Israelis still are willing to concede land in exchange for peace, that premise was mostly shattered 10/7 but if Hamas was gone and there was a legitimate peace partner on the table they still would. Israelis value life and don’t want to risk putting their kids on the front lines if they didn’t have to. Unfortunately Palestinians champion “martyrdom” and are fine with sacrificing their own for jihad.
Hamas exist because Israel wanted a weapon with which to destroy Fatah and with it a Palestinian state. Well they got their wish and the moster they created attacked them. Should they destroy Hamas another will take its place to fill the vacuum. And Israel will create another group to attack Fatah in the West Bank in order to continue its avowed policy of annexing west bank land in order to build armed settlements
I disagree here. The author does not implement one very important psychological element. New terror groups will only re-appear if they have the resources and energy to do so. Hate is a feeling that consumes horribly much of our psychological energy. You can uphold it only over a longer time, if the aggression against you is not too devastating. If the suffering reaches a certain level, hate disappears and resignation sets in, even a deep depression and apathy. We see this for example in the passive behavior during the siege of Leningrad in 1943 or in the passive behavior of the Germans in the summer of 1945. So using violence can be effective, but to beak the opponent it (unfortunately) must be applied excessively and over years. Once you have a population with a broken inner resistance, you can go in and re-educate them. If worked well with the Nazi-Germans and can be repeated here.
Are William and Perun actually competitors? Williams a strategic and political commentator and Perun deals with military nitty gritty Different but related spheres I suppose.
Attrition of Gazan Capacity makes some sense. But I see a flaw with this. First is that they keep doing things like hitting Hamas leadership embedded within the civilian population and you said that only affects Hamas' capability specifically and not any group that might arise later. The other is that while you'd think destroying a weapons cache or tunnel might mean it is destroyed forever, what is to keep their foreign sponsors from covertly digging new tunnels and sending weapons? Iran might not be capacity constraint in the aspect of tunnel digging or explosive materials. It doesn't need to be Stinger AA missiles or their Iranian equivalent, any old explosive substance will probably suffice for any successor group. So in this regard, the Gazan capacity isn't exactly something that can't be replenished.
An important note about LOM Grocers: poor market decisions combined with overexpansion can lead to a particularly hard fall if it can't maintain all those stores. Once people see stores closing, it sets off alarm bells. It requires effective management to pull off. This is essentially the story of Subway, which despite having more stores in the US than McDonald's (pursuing the strategy described in the video), they failed to hold up their reputation in freshness and health, the two things it really sold itself on. This has led to a downward spiral that it has struggled to recover from and far more stores closing than opening.
when you have two groups of people who are into ideological and conceptual purity and purity tests, im not sure how you can satisfy either, since the real world is neither ideologically or conceptually pure and repeatedly fails purity tests...... i guess there is also more of a rational interpretation that everyone needs Palestinians to suffer, its good for all the dictatorships in the region to claim they need big armies and keep their public mad about the state of the Palestinians, and its just as good politically for Israel. either way, its disappointing how the average people suffer while relatively goober individuals play high-level strategic or ideological chess
not sure about that re: other Arab states or Iran. Probably was the case in the 50s and 60s. But now, those states have either formally made peace with Israel (Jordan, Egypt, UAE, Morocco, Saudi nearly), or have de facto, like Syria. (note: Israel attacks Iranian targets specifically in Syria). As for Iran, their government's power does not rest on Israel oppressing Palestinians: the average Iranian doesn't care *that* much about it
@@seadkolasinac7220 i mean how many proxies does Iran have? you would think normalizing relations with Israel wouldnt be that big a deal except for ideological and practical reasons, except it very much is. but i appreciate your thoughts. cheers, there is always more to learn
I think you've missed it again on this one.. Israel is playing whac-a-mole not for some tricky strategic reason, but rather becuase they can't think of another option.. can you Mr armchair critic?
The name of the party does not translate to national unity, it’s more along the lines of “The Public Camp”. Public in the state-run institution. That is a word used in Hebrew in a broader sense than in other languages. The name signifies that this party came to be a more traditional political party instead of the populist parties ruling at the time of its inception.
I didn't enjoy this but still clicked "like" (already subscribed). This just shows how messy the military and political situation is with little chance of the humanitarian situation getting any better. A world where William had to retrain as a traffic engineer because of a lack of armed conflicts would be a better one.
Suggestion: The world seems to be trending towards more tension and conflict over the last several years. Obvously the 2 that you've covered on this channel but others that are less well known such as Myanmar, parts of Africa, etc. At some point I would love to see your take on why the world more generally has become more tense and prone to conflict, I know grand theories are unpopular to certain parts of the population (there's evidence that personality types has a lot to do with this) but instead of juggling back and forth between the countless wars that may or may not pop up over the next decade why not also make one or two videos talking about why all these wars are suddenly happening around the same time. Just an idea.
That erroneously assumes conflicts all over the world should happen at equal intervals. Even if they all have the same chance to happen though you'll find long streaks of peaceful times and ones with many unrelated conflicts happening at ones. Of course the world is actually interconnected and conflicts or their breeding grounds not completely separated; but it's misleading to assume equal distribution of conflicts over time even if they weren't connected in any way.
Also, it depends on the time frame we look at ('94 was worse globally) and which metrics we choose. In terms of battle related deaths involving states, the war in Ethiopia's Tigray region was the biggest contributor lately AFAIK. Going by something like that, a single conflict that wasn't even well covered in the news comparatively to Ukraine, Gaza, even Myanmar maybe, greatly skews which year or decade seems to be the worst. But how strongly is that conflict linked to Ukraine or Gaza or Myanmar or previous wars? Take that away and the whole hypothesis of living in a time of more conflicts globally might turn out false to begin with.
I wonder if, in 20 or 40 years or so, we can look back at all this as a temporary blip of horror for all sides before they finally reconciled and reached stability. Or, will it be one of those wounds that persistently doesn't heal, like North Korea? Personally, I have no hope left for the middle east, Israel/Gaza, etc. At least with Ukraine I can see realistic ways the war ends and people end up in a good situation, or at least okay-ish. I have no such illusions here though. I think when I'm old and in my deathbed, I'll have already accepted the middle east as a permanent source of terrorism and resentment and instability. I want to be more optimistic but... this is one area where that just feels unwise and indulgent.
You have good reason to believe things will improve. Israel is killing Palestinian civilians daily. As part of their strikes against terrorist leaders and infrastructure in an attempt to protect their country following the attacks of October 7th. The West Bank hasn't exploded into violence, Hezbollah hasn't crossed the border, Syria isn't threatening Israel, Jordan has maintained international recognition of Israel, Egypt is avoiding putting pressure on Israel. Saudi were on the brink of a landmark diplomatic understanding with Israel, and while that has been cancelled subsequently, the Saudi government media is placing most of the blame on Iran. Israel is being allowed to wage its war and maybe that's due to the two American carrier strike groups in the region. But I think its because once infrastructure is destroyed, Israel will be working hard to rebuild its international reputation, especially among local powers.
