Jesse Winker Had a Weird Year | Baseball Bits

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Twitter: / foolishbb ______________________________________________________________
Clutch. That's what Jesse Winker was. This year was littered with Jesse Winker clutch moments. What does baseball clutch mean? Does clutch exist? These are the questions I'm trying to answer.
Jesse Winker had a weird 2023 season with the Milwaukee Brewers. It was his first year with the team after a trade ended his Jesse Winker Cincinnati Reds years. His tenure with the Seattle Mariners ended on a sour note, as he was traded to the Brew Crew.
Mind you, it wasn't long ago that Jesse Winker was the one of the top hitters in the league. His fall from grace has been fascinating, but it's not the focus of this episode of Baseball Bits, a Foolish Baseball production. One of the main things we'll be looking at is the split between Jesse Winker's WAR, that's Wins Above Replacement, and Jesse Winker's WPA, that's Win Probability Added. We'll get to see a remarkable example of a player with a respectable WPA despite a poor season.
He did it with numerous MLB clutch moments. Fans of the 2023 Brewers probably didn't love Winker's overall performance, but you can't deny that he helped them win a few games with timely hitting.
______________________________________________________
Summary of Ryan Divish on Winker: sodomojo.com/2022/10/18/marin...
Jesse Winker on Baseball Reference: www.baseball-reference.com/pl...
FanGraphs Clutch explainer: library.fangraphs.com/misc/cl...
Winker preseason interview: • Jesse Winker on Rule C...
Music by William Kage: williamkage.com/

Опубликовано:

17 дек 2023

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Комментарии : 374

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

Use code FOOLISH50 to get 50% off your first Factor box at bit.ly/3IsnN7U

@masonvalente2134 5 месяцев назад

Thanks for the code and I hope you have a great holiday season

@imamario 2 месяца назад

Gotta pay those bills.

@lewistejada01 5 месяцев назад

As a Brewers fan, visions of Winker being pinch-hit in the wild card series still haunt my dreams

@scottystcloud7086 5 месяцев назад

So stupid, Chicago can have CC. Good riddance, the guy was so checked out he completely mismanaged that series just to get it over with so he could sign his record breaking contract

@bjblitz2701 5 месяцев назад

@@scottystcloud7086His last two weeks managing the Brewers was a crap show. Kind of glad he's not our manager anymore but still beyond pissed he's on the Cubs.

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

Not convinced Rowdy Tellez would've fared any better

@ryanz4539 5 месяцев назад

I'm try to remember who was available, but I wouldn't have used Winker or Tellez in either of those at bats. I was at both games and it was brutal.

@bram_vanroo 5 месяцев назад

The fact rowdy was left off the roster was bad, but that series will haunt my nightmares forever

@dartdelatorre 5 месяцев назад

Babe wake up, Foolish Baseball dropped

@aaronluna4779 5 месяцев назад

I don’t know who this “Foolish Baseball” guy is Dart, but we’re three months behind on our mortgage

@zeked4200 5 месяцев назад

@@aaronluna4779 That's Ok...we'll just roll over your payments into one lump sum, sell that off to a refinancing company at a higher rate, rework the terms to keep it affordable....and it's gone. Your house is gone. Sold to a holding company in China. LOL guess you're pretty bad at this huh?

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

check out my mixtape on datpiff

@kodiakbrogan1691 5 месяцев назад

Babe Ruth????🤨🤨🤨

@adriansym 5 месяцев назад

@@FoolishBaseballmy left ear liked this video

@mrbismarck 5 месяцев назад

Bailey's advice to people constructing a baseball team: "sign good players." Write that down.

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

A revolutionary thought -- I know

@wyatttibbitts8603 5 месяцев назад

@@FoolishBaseballyou should really be charging for this key advice. Start a consulting company on the side y’know?

@DA-yl8js 4 месяца назад

No one told the Schmockies though

@norwoodwildlife9849 5 месяцев назад

Reminds me of Jackie Bradley Jr. in the 2018 ALCS he won the MVP of the series by batting 200 with just 3 hits but managed to knock in 9 runs

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

great example!

@user-sk8zk2hm7h 5 месяцев назад

as a mariners fan, it is hilarious how much stranding runners is a huge issue for us, and the guy we JUST got rid of, can ONLY hit with runners on.

@cp-wu3cs 5 месяцев назад

Bailey I think you just earned Jesse Winker a Major League contract with this video

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

I should be his agent

@cp-wu3cs 5 месяцев назад

@@FoolishBaseball Excel Sports Management should legitimately hire you

@DeidaraOfTheAkatsuki 5 месяцев назад

Mariner legend Jesse Winker. The brawl was the reason we went to the playoffs 🫡

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

drought ender Jesse Winker

@DeidaraOfTheAkatsuki 5 месяцев назад

That’s my left fielder

@12packersfan 5 месяцев назад

I watched just about every Brewer game last year. If clutch means you’re better than your usual self, even being average in clutch spots would have made Jesse Winker the most clutch player of all time

@HenriTrades 5 месяцев назад

You have to give Winker props, he’s seemed to have made an entire career out of hitting baseballs only at exit velos below 80mph

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

He was hitting the ball pretty hard with the Reds. I think the neck/back stuff has been brutal.

@averagepufferfish5612 5 месяцев назад

I’m a reds fan and I’ve been going to spring training every year. I can tell you this. his attitude with the reds was a lot better than with the mariners or brewers. Me and my dad tried to get him and Suarez’s autographs and while Suarez’s was happy to do it winker basically said that he doesn’t care enough to give autographs. He made it very public that he felt betrayed and from what I saw he just doesn’t seem to care as much anymore. There’s a reason that his most important hits of the season were against the reds. He’s just fucking miserable since being traded.

@tweezerjam 4 месяца назад

Damn that’s quite the indictment. What a loser

@ilikegus7274 5 месяцев назад

As a brewers fan, this video has shocked me to my core. Great job Bailey

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

(astronaut meme) "Jesse Winker is our clutchest hitter?" "Always was."

@ILebeck 5 месяцев назад

Jesse Winker is one of THE brewers players of all time. Right up there with Jon Singleton.

@cosmoid 5 месяцев назад

Kolten Wong is one of the Mariners of all time as well. Truly one of the trades of all time.

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

Astros playoff legend Jon Singleton

@nathanmcguire932 4 месяца назад

Sometimes I wonder if Derrick Turnbow was just a dream we all had

@jknox1543 5 месяцев назад

Yandy hitting .448 across 87 AB in high leverage situations is insane

@bmac4 5 месяцев назад

The thing about clutchness is that it can turn even replacement level guys into folk heroes for a team. Ask Giants fans about Travis Ishikawa, and they'll all tell remember his name despite him having barely a 1.5 career rWAR with the team across 6 seasons as a platoon guy, because of one specific hit.

@jlhitz35 5 месяцев назад

7:00 - "Futulity players" is the best stat category I've ever heard. Baseball really does have statistics for everything.

@BradyI-zp5qn 5 месяцев назад

A JESSE WINKER BASEBALL BITS?!? As a brewers fan this is peak life

@thayersimon6293 5 месяцев назад

At 7:48 me and my wife are sitting in the stands behind home plate in the top right corner of the screen (wearing black and white caps). We went to the Brewers game where Winker hit his first home run of the year while on our honeymoon. I've been subscribed for awhile. What are the chances we'd end up in one of your videos?😂

@lxxwj 5 месяцев назад

omg thats so sweet!!

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

That's a lovely detail. However, I'm shaken to the core that any of my viewers could find a "wife"

@WalterDiamond 5 месяцев назад

@@FoolishBaseball Well now we know at least one of your viewers has touched.... grass. (I'll show myself out.)

@benniebarnett9944 2 месяца назад

you look exactly like the guy i’d expect to run this channel. it’s a compliment.

@glucosaminecondroitan9135 5 месяцев назад

This reminds me of Kyle Seager. He had a .308 ba with runners on second and had a low batting average with no one on in 2021.

@emmer4407 5 месяцев назад

Kyle very clearly didn't want to run that year and only tried if there were runners on

@zipzach4366 5 месяцев назад

I'm convinced that Bailey can make a baseball bits video of a coconut and I'd still watch every single second of it

@fewny2691 5 месяцев назад

I was watching you yesterday thinking "it's almost time for another upload" immaculate timing Mr. Baseball

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

It certainly was time!

@jacefairis1289 Месяц назад

11:13 Jon Bois Mentioned!! er... Alluded To!!

@RyanTownsend-st8rq 4 месяца назад

All I can think about is that old episode of the Simpsons that had all the famous baseball players. Homer ends up pinch hitting for Daryl Strawberry with the bases loaded in the ninth and gets hits with the pitch in the head to win the game.

@TheatreKiller 5 месяцев назад

Love the animations on your graphs. The production is always so high and I appreciate the effort that goes into it. Thanks Bailey

@12packersfan 5 месяцев назад

Loved this epic Christian Yelich sliding compilation👍👍👍

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

A significant portion of Winker's WPA can be attributed to Yelich's baserunning. Just goes to show the shortcomings of clutch stats once again.

@12packersfan 5 месяцев назад

@@FoolishBaseball I would kill for a video on sliding although I’m not sure how many stats can contribute to that. Love all your work!

@chowderheadedyokel 5 месяцев назад

I remember last year in Seattle Winker had I believe a 12 pitch at bat that ended with a walk off single. Just kept fouling off pitches until he got one he liked. While he wasn’t good in Seattle his pitch selection and recognition was on another level

@loganroughton5565 4 месяца назад

Videos like this are why I’m subscribed. Amazing analysis that’s entertaining and challenges standard approaches to the sport.

@christophersimons6560 5 месяцев назад

Wow the Mariners really could’ve used a clutch guy like this in the 2023 season

@crazy9885 5 месяцев назад

I never expected FB to make a video about Jesse Winker, but here we are.

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

This rounds out the trilogy (Year of Ohtani, Year of Judge)

@leonjames22 5 месяцев назад

Foolish is underrated when it comes to comedic writing imo

@Torpedosneak 3 месяца назад

I wonder who has the most amount of homerun into different water features, like Arizona's pool, Miami's pool, McCovey Cove, Kauffman's fountains, Ray's Tank, PNC Park's Allegheny River, Great American Ballparks' Ohio River, Coors Field's center field water, etc. My guess would be Luis Gonzalez with five: AZ, KC, SF, TB, and COL

@briandrescher5663 2 месяца назад

probably not possible to hit it into the Ohio River on the fly, but Adam Dunn hit one completely out of GABP in the mid 2000s, bounced and landed in the river.

@Don_Cross2492 5 месяцев назад

Im a Reds fan and Jesse Winker was one of my favorite players when he was with us. I was upset to see him leave. I hadn't seen much of him with the Brewers and didn't know he fell off so much.

@brianz7362 5 месяцев назад

The touched grass joke had me rolling

@WalterDiamond 5 месяцев назад

"...unlike me!"

@dnewtskies 5 месяцев назад

I've never seen anything half as smooth as that point and wink on the balcony.

@13donstalos 4 месяца назад

This guy's videos got me interested in watching baseball. The WAR vs WPA discussion adds next level nuance.

@deevo1544 5 месяцев назад

You make my day with your uploads bro keep up the great vids!

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

glad to hear that

@charlie9353 12 дней назад

I am so happy my nats signed this guy. Now he hits with and without men on base!

@hersh1624 5 месяцев назад

My biggest flex is that I saw ever one of winkers homers in 2023

@consumedlumbago4705 5 месяцев назад

Another Brewers Baseball Bits, this time on Brewers Legend Jesse Winker. Thank you Bailey

@totallynotmyeggalt6216 27 дней назад

Revisiting this now (he currently has a .987 OPS at 174 wRC+, but I guess we'll have to wait and see a bit longer)

@chrisrossi852 Месяц назад

He's looking good rn for my Nats

@HeySalina 5 месяцев назад

I got the opportunity to photograph some Nashville Sounds games that featured Winker last year, and it's crazy just how undaunted the mans is. A lot of minor leaguers, especially ones with major league pedigree, have a chip on their shoulder. Winker was funny, kind, and almost lackadaisical. Interesting stuff.

@glucosaminecondroitan9135 5 месяцев назад

Winker has done interviews with Jomboy Media on Talkin' Baseball and Chris Rotation. He was great.

@aknorr 5 месяцев назад

It just seemed like his swing speed was incredibly slow especially on high fastballs

@chrissicrossy7000 5 месяцев назад

Jesse Winker for me will always be a Mariners Legend by starting this legendary brawl with the Angels, that turned our season around, which finally ended the playoff drought. And you can argue that this run started with Jesse Winker flipping of the Angels crowd... 🥹

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

Wow he really is the clutch king. Turned the whole Mariners season around.

@ski567 5 месяцев назад

Thank you very much for spending your valuable time on a Milwaukee Brewers player. And for including "Brew Crew" and "Bernie"!

@Barista.Nathan 3 месяца назад

Actually got to see Jesse down at AAA Nashville in the shock Sandy Alcantara start AAA before he was shut down for the year, and Sandy still managed to make Jesse look silly.

@gypcasinoable 5 месяцев назад

Consider this as possible evidence of clutch hitting. Bryce Harper's most similar players on BR are Tim Salmon (45 oWAR, 18 WPA), David Justice (35, 25), Ryan Klesko (34, 26), J.D. Martinez (33, 15), Raul Mondesi (28, 7), and J.D. Drew (38, 22). Harper is at (46, *40*).

@benshumate8173 5 месяцев назад

As a Rockies fans, this might be how we sign people

@cthefro 4 месяца назад

What when do we sign people?

@etrain8885 5 месяцев назад

Not gonna lie, Bailey, that last line was cold. Great video as always my man

@jordandr.j4789 5 месяцев назад

I was at the game at the 8:43 mark I have the snap video saved but I said “bold strategy cotton let’s see if it pays off for Craig Counsell here… Jesse Winker. Jesse Winker? Possible tactical genius by Craig Counsell, probable line out tho.” He got his base hit and I was screaming tactical genius Craig Counsell

@rosshardin5140 5 месяцев назад

As an Astros fan, couldn't help but notice the cut to Jake Meyers at 7:15 along with the line "spine and back issues are often blamed for sapping power from a player's game" 😂 probably a coincidence

@cynicanal111 3 месяца назад

As another Astros fan, Abreu would have been just as good of an example of that last year.

@brendansouter4869 5 месяцев назад

Best moment of every month, new Foolish Baseball video

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

glad to hear that!

@Maulo93 16 часов назад

I feel like 50% of you videos has some reference to Jon Bois/Secret Base and its so fucking funny

@aikenindustries4420 5 месяцев назад

2:47 It’s the RU-vid baseball-analytics-self-published-mystery-book crossover everyone’s been waiting for!

@JimBrownski 22 дня назад

Been pretty good this April for the Nats. If he can be 2/3rd of what he was in Cincy he was worth the chance

@roscoesegall1385 5 месяцев назад

FOOLISH IS BACK

@MarsupialASMR 3 месяца назад

Would love to see a breakdown of the players who were most consistently clutch in their career

@CodeineAbdulJabbar 3 месяца назад

2:37 LMAO bro flew over the wall 😂😂😂😂

@lpourmirza 3 месяца назад

Another weird year, Ricky Nolasco’s 2009 season. 185 IP, 5.06 ERA with a 3.35 FIP. He had a bWAR of 0.7 and a fWAR of 4.1. I don’t think we’ll ever see a player break WAR like that again.

@spencerneedelman9548 5 месяцев назад

Bailey's personality is so great that I don't even skip his ads

@MattMamba24 5 месяцев назад

Always a good video when Clutchlos Walktana gets a shoutout!

@callumchertavian4843 5 месяцев назад

idk why ya videos aint getting more views they are dope

@gavinr1425 4 месяца назад

the funny thing about clutch is that you can really complicate it. Some players are probably absolute dawgs in practice, absolutely cook in scrimmages, etc. However these same guys might just be mentally unable to perform when there is anything at all on the line, and never do anything significant professionally. And there are likely guys who are the opposite; absolutely unimpressive in practice, but just have that mental ability to go crazy when there is something on the line. This is the extreme end of the spectrum. I completely agree with your definition of clutch and I love that you are making such an emphasis on this type of stuff with recent videos because it also fascinates me. WPA is such a fun thing to look at because it just measures pure results with minimal abstraction. And some guys genuinely just have better WPAs than they "should" given the basic abstract stats we use like wOBA (Ichiro, Tony Gwynn, Pete Rose are the top 3 in cumulative clutch rating I believe. Interesting to consider.)

@gigahoe42 5 месяцев назад

I'm an English bloke, and therefore basically have no idea who most of the players are that are mentioned, yet I still watch these videos asap on release. Chapeau!

@tomritz52 5 месяцев назад

And I thought my Monday couldn't get any better.

@ericschultz3891 5 месяцев назад

If Jesse can't find a team for next year maybe he could become a philosopher and change his name to Jesse Thinker

@jacobbyers7914 5 месяцев назад

14:20 IF NOBODY GOT ME I KNOW WILMER FLORES GOT ME, CAN I GET AN AMEN TO THAT?

@rileyweisman3789 5 месяцев назад

This is why I love baseball

@griffinhays2053 5 месяцев назад

8:06 I can feel the relief through the screen

@hunterbarron6874 4 месяца назад

I feel like there has to be a baseball bits on Bartolo Colon!

@georger3873 5 месяцев назад

Bailey was too scared to talk about Winker as a Nashville Sound this year

@Darbunnyy 5 месяцев назад

This is hall of fame narrativeball baby this is what i like

@StinkyPeterson 5 месяцев назад

I don't love that clutch is looked at as how much better than normal you are. I think it should be whoever rises to the occasion most of all. The most clutch player of all time shouldn't be some dude who went 0-2000 low leverage and and then had a 2-2 bases loaded career with 2 grandslams, it should be the guy who consistently rises to the occasion in high leverage situations, regardless how they performed in low leverage situations. Just my piece.

@Sweatynuts3812 4 месяца назад

Look into Jack Suwinski. Im a pirates fan and my god it seemed like 70% of his homeruns were in games that were already decided

@adamcervenka2386 5 месяцев назад

My real takeaway from the video is that Mickey Moniak has virtually the same BA in high-leverage situations as noted WS MVP Corey Seager

@patricknashh 5 месяцев назад

damn i didn't know about the neck/back injuries. those can be career-killers, hope he finds a way to bounce back 🤞

@uranium54321 Месяц назад

What’s the song at 7:56? It fits so well how it was used. I went to William Kage’s website in the description but wasn’t able to find it

@kindnesstothemoon5289 5 месяцев назад

Early Xmas!!

@Nyg5618 5 месяцев назад

“Other, better videos” made me choke on my cigar.

@jackblack6221 4 месяца назад

I was so excited for him to be a Mariner

@robbobb4050 5 месяцев назад

As a Mets fan, so i have a lot of experience with jesse winker. based on what ive seen from him, hearing that he only comes up in big, high leverage situations makes a lot of sense. he definitley played with a weird confidence

@vampirecountingmoneyup2248 5 месяцев назад

good video, get that factor money too

@Adam130694 3 месяца назад

Hey, could you give a look on Carter Capp's weird pitching wind-up (hop-step)? Thanks!

@CentralSweeper 5 месяцев назад

BREWERS BASEBALL BITS LETS GOOOOOOOO

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

I think that makes two (Corbin Burnes being the other one)

@purpleraikou 4 месяца назад

I'm a fan of Jesse Winker, I hope he finds another opportunity and makes the most of it!

@ofthefallen8012 4 месяца назад

I was at the April 1st and 2nd games 🤦‍♂️ was disappointed that I go to 2 games my first time at wrigley and the cubs lose both

@MrGageHarrison 3 месяца назад

Honestly I’m really disappointed you didn’t do a 2023 in review post.

@zac461 4 месяца назад

Using your mini channel to promote the main.. I get it I respect it

@jayceh 5 месяцев назад

There must be a stat like Largest 1.64-standard deviation proof gap between WPA and WAR (min 3,000 PA) or something.

@josefstein9062 5 месяцев назад

Winker would maybe see value as a Matt Carpenter-esque pinch hitter, who knows

@Poe912 5 месяцев назад

Best yet channel

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

channel yet best

@DutchVanDerLinde-sx1ox 5 месяцев назад

Foolish baseball? I love the funny baseball man

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

funny baseball man. what am I a clown to you? I prefer to think of myself as the noble court jester

@runningchief 5 месяцев назад

Pretty snappy writing on this one Bailey.

@memeteam2692 4 месяца назад

Might I suggest a video about having an OPS+ over 200? Only Aaron Judge has done it since 2004 Bonds

@jameshanus3813 4 месяца назад

As a Reds fan I will never not think of this guy as a legend

@dirtface5923 4 месяца назад

i was at the game when hit his only homer. dam poor dude.

@bernier42 5 месяцев назад

Marcus Semien’s role is to set the table, despite setting the MLB record for HR by a 2B, in 2021.

@Snazzeo 5 месяцев назад

Excited to watch another banger from my favorite bad boy, non-credentialed RU-vidr

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

just pretend I'm wearing a leather jacket and smoking while doing the voiceover

@Snazzeo 5 месяцев назад

@@FoolishBaseball with frosted tips

@EastonLarsen11 5 месяцев назад

Looking at the final I just got back

@FoolishBaseball 5 месяцев назад

Finals are temporary. Baseball Bits is forever

@neal5251 18 дней назад

And now he’s the second best hitter on the Nats a month into the next season. You might need to explain that please.