More "Game Changers" (and Failures) in Ukraine - From Starlink & Electronic warfare to Hypersonics

Подписаться 547 тыс.

Просмотров 533 тыс.

50% 1

A few weeks ago, I looked at some of the many systems that have been used in Ukraine that attracted their share of of media hype and asked whether they delivered on their hype.
Today, I round out that list with more hyped up systems that didn't make in into the first video, while also looking at some that I'd probably nominate as just as, or more significant, that the ones drawing heaps of media attention.
Expect a focus on the importance of context and opportunity costs as we look at Kizhal, SCALP, the TB-2 drone and Orlan drones, as well as Starlink and Russia's extensive park of EW assets.
Thank you all of you who voted for this topic - I hope you enjoy.
Patreon:
/ perunau
Relevant Reading/sourcing
The Russian Way of War (Grau & Bartles) www.armyupress...
Justin Bronk - Russian Combat Air Strengths and Limitations: www.cna.org/re...
GAO-21-24 ELECTROMAGNETIC SPECTRUM OPERATIONS
www.gao.gov/as...
RUSI - The Russian Air War and Ukrainian Requirements for Air Defence (Bronk, Reynolds & Watling)
rusi.org/explo...
RUSI - The Orlan Complex, Tracking the supply chains of Russia’s most successful UAV
rusi.org/explo...
RUSI - Meatgrinder: Russian Tactics in the Second Year of its Invasion of Ukraine (Watling & Reynolds)
static.rusi.or...
Russian military strategy core tenents and operational concepts - Michael Kofman, Anya Fink, Dmitry Gorenburg, Mary Chesnut, Jeffrey Edmonds, and Julian Waller www.cna.org/ar...
Reporting on Musk and Starlink over Crimea
www.abc.net.au...
Palantin making its training intro in 2019
www.janes.com/...
Included image on Strelets slide - Reddit
Rosoboronexport on Strelets
roe.ru/eng/cat...
Included report in intel sharing
www.theguardia...
Starlink use 2022
www.ft.com/con...
Starshield
www.airandspac...
Starlink latency map (demonstrating UA usage)
www.starlink.c...
Reporting on Pentagon deal with SpaceX
www.cnbc.com/2...
Shoigu on Orlan production
tass.com/defen...
Rosoboronexport on Orlan 30
roe.ru/eng/cat...
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
In particular - I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Timestamps
00:00:00 - More Game Changers
00:01:25 - What Am I Talking About?
00:02:43 - System Shaping Battlefields
00:09:56 - Kinzhal And Storm Shadow/SCALP
00:26:12 - TB-2 And Orlan
00:40:51 - Communication
00:48:53 - Electronic Warfare
01:05:30 - Conclusions
01:06:43 - Channel Update

Опубликовано:

28 сен 2024

Ссылка:

Скачать:

Готовим ссылку...

Добавить в:

Мой плейлист

Посмотреть позже

Комментарии : 1,5 тыс.

@PerunAU 10 месяцев назад

Many thanks to those of you who voted for the continuation of this series - though don't worry, I'll be looking at some of the close runners up soon enough. I do want to stress that the ranking system is not at all scientific and is based entirely on some partly subjective criteria I settled on, but I would very much like to hear whether you agree (or not) in the comments below. And yes, I think it's important to call out places where Russian technology is effective and impactful - which I think is very much the case in some system categories. Thanks as always, and all the best!

@joansparky4439 10 месяцев назад

Ever pondered the question what must go wrong within a society to create conditions that lead to war? What would be a thesis for a 'universal' root cause that is responsible? And if that thesis exists (IMHO doubt that, at least for mainstream sociological sciences) - why isn't humanity capable to use that knowledge successfully to avoid violent conflict?

@Danksta911 10 месяцев назад

Truly loved the other suggestions, too. Thanks for the continued Education and Entertainment!

@beepboop204 10 месяцев назад

further proof that Perun > Veles

@HaHaBIah 10 месяцев назад

Looking forward to the PowerPoint on the efforts in managing aging stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction. As well as the challenges of modernising them.

@ulrikschackmeyer848 10 месяцев назад

About 'un-scientific' systems: You have to start somewhere and you suggestions are not only easy to understand. They are still stratospheres above anything available on RU-vid, the Middle-Earth that most of us are likely to inhabit for the foreseeable future. You come up with 'rules of thumb' that means that I have yet to hear a military strategist on RU-vid that I couldn't follow. That is no small feat, Perun. And if you want to expand your rules and schemes I suggest that you check in with, or run it by, Anders Puck Nielsen. He seems to have a wonderful nack of casually mentioning things that takes all us mere mortals three levels deeper than everybody else can. And as a visual person, I beg of you, please keep up the graphs, and visual models and figures. Again, getting EVERYBODY to understand the first 70% percent of any subjects complexity in ONE hour is no small feat.

@adamsmall5598 10 месяцев назад

If anyone could cover "uniforms, ration packs, body armor, or encrypted comunications" and keep the attention of an audience, it would be Perun.

@vic5015 10 месяцев назад

Well, we know that Russian logistics, supply, suppirt. body armor and comms discipline are dog shyte, as Perun might say.

@TWFydGlu 10 месяцев назад

Kind of lacking in covering uniforms, ration packs, and body armor though.

@kx4998 10 месяцев назад

He could talk about supply chain logistics and we will still click onto the video.

@cwastoinand 10 месяцев назад

Yes, your troops not dyeing of exposer might help.

@JO-lx9bx 10 месяцев назад

I zone out almost instantly when i hear this guys condescending voice

@rulu1828 10 месяцев назад

"You should never underestimate the ability of a slav and a heavy vehicle to conquer almost impossible ground terrain." ~Perun, war logistic specialist

@dogloversrule8476 10 месяцев назад

Some needs to make this into a t shirt

@rok1475 10 месяцев назад

I just realized you can find hundreds of YT videos showing American farmers recovering their tractors stuck in the fields, but almost none from Eastern Europe…

@ΣτελιοςΠεππας 10 месяцев назад

@rok1475 It also has to do with the kind of trucks each side drives.

@rok1475 10 месяцев назад

@@ΣτελιοςΠεππας it also has something to do with the skills of the operator.

@Rumpelpumpel3 10 месяцев назад

@@rok1475 Whose side are you arguing for here? Are you making fun of Americans cuz they get their equipment stuck often and need to recover it? Are you on the side of Americans saying they are very good at recovering? Are you making fun of Eastern Europeans because they cant unstuck their equipment? Are you on the side of Easter Europeans because they just dont their equipment stuck in the first place? ??????

@casbot71 10 месяцев назад

The single biggest game changer for _conflict in general_ is the weaponisation of commercial Drones. Not only for the Ukrainian war but warfare in general. And since commercial Drones are readily available for even non state actors, it's changed irregular warfare more than anything since the RPG, prehaps even more, you can't buy a RPG readily as a civilian. Commercial Drones will be used by terrorist cells for assassination, and by State actors pretending to be non State actors. One thing is for sure, future veterans will be getting their PTSD triggered back home by kids flying Drones overhead.

@deriznohappehquite 10 месяцев назад

I think we’ll see counters to civilian grade quadcopters proliferate pretty rapidly.

@090giver090 10 месяцев назад

This statement should come with a big asterisk cosidering relatively light EW invironment in Ukraine (both Ukraine and Russia are mainly using fairly limited old Soviet capabilities with Ukraine being given modern wesern systems quite sparringly and modern Russian systems just don't work as advertised). There are much less videos of successful Palestinian drone attacks against Israel (apart from first days of the war when HAMAS caught IDF with its proverbial pants down).

@DoctorMandible 10 месяцев назад

@@deriznohappehquitethere's plenty already, including small arms fire. The question is one of cost and constant vigilance VS cheap and everywhere.

@rulu1828 10 месяцев назад

Next fear is full automation of said drones, which can mean several possible troubles for humanity.

@michaelhughes7668 10 месяцев назад

A bit like dynamite, I guess...

@ulrikschackmeyer848 10 месяцев назад

Perun doing another absolutely basic 101 lecture...on topics never experienced before. A Perun' video on ANY subject is definitely the easiest way to get a solid grasp on ANYTHING before everybody else. Dear Perun, your ability to grasp and promote complex, new ideas in easy and fascinating ways is bordering pure wizardry. I say this with some confidence because you swipe this old, though much praized, educator off his feet.

@i-love-comountains3850 10 месяцев назад

Perun follows a well-established format for getting info across - Tell em what you're gonna tell em. Tell em. Tell em what you told em. That might sound goofy but it's a very good method.

@i-love-comountains3850 10 месяцев назад

Perun is very very good at what they do, and I love that they're here. Very few news channels I watch but they're top 3.

@PalleRasmussen 10 месяцев назад

It is called "historian". Though some of us suck at delivering the information we have so easily processed.

@AnAngryRedGummyBear 10 месяцев назад

Pretty sure he briefs politicians for a living.

@jamesgornall5731 10 месяцев назад

@@i-love-comountains3850 "they?" He's a real boy, you know?

@fencserx9423 10 месяцев назад

As a submariner, I fully approve of my platform being referred to as “The tech equivalent of wall hacks and God mode”

@nicholasogburn7746 10 месяцев назад

WHO SAID THAT?? O.O

@MrEmiosk 10 месяцев назад

@@nicholasogburn7746watch and listen to the video, Perun compare sea warfare without mines ,hydrophones(active, sonar) and depth charges is like enabling wallhacks and godmode for ww2 subs. Because you can't find them, nor attack them. Without either, sea warfare would've become submarines on both sides of a conflict trying to sink as much and more tonnage then the enemy.

@eddievhfan1984 8 месяцев назад

@@nicholasogburn7746 7:50 onwards.

@NoName-sb9tp 10 месяцев назад

Hooray! Time for powerpoint!

@Dillon-Smith-Email-Marketing 10 месяцев назад

Agreed!

@YukiOnTour 10 месяцев назад

Word!

@cisarovnajosefina4525 10 месяцев назад

Thats my reaction everytime 😊

@ddougyfr3sh 10 месяцев назад

@YukiOnTour you Excel at Microsoft puns

@littlefaith8740 10 месяцев назад

Amazing that I can look forward so much to a PowerPoint. What is wrong with me. 😁

@k53847 10 месяцев назад

The US Army's decision to abolish the EW career field as part of modularization was not particularly wise. They are trying to rebuild this, but is hard.

@davidlium9338 8 месяцев назад

It sounds like a decision by a genuine idiot!

@GabrielPettier 10 месяцев назад

Sad to hear that the video on battlefield medicine didn't perform as well as expected, it was interesting and it is an important subject, though maybe less exciting to the audience than talking about big hardware and things going boom 😞 But but very wholesome of you to decide to compensate for that on the charity front. Thanks for the excellent work as always. Lest we forget.

@coolersmoke 10 месяцев назад

I wouldn't be sad. This series of comprehensive reports/commentaries Perun has produced so far is rightfully going to be a go-to reference on on the Russian invasion of Ukraine for years to come, if not decades. No other media source (that I know of at least) offers the same combination of weekly, focussed, intelligent, impeccably researched and occasionally humorous narrative. The viewing numbers of every one of Perun's publications will only grow. And deservedly.

@daiakunin 10 месяцев назад

As a citizen of a NATO member nation I can confirm that the stick used by Ukrainian troops to take down a Russian drone was a NATO stick. The story behind the stick is that my backyard garden was facing repeated assaults by the local rabbit tactical battle group, and while many battles have been fought with all sides taking significant casualties, the conflict escalated to an unacceptable level with the introduction of sticks. While the risk of mutual destruction was real, thankfully cooler heads prevailed and a peace agreement was successfully negotiated. The rabbits would retain some access to the garden with the assurance that they wouldn't consume all of its resources, and all parties agreed to stick disarmament, shipping all sticks to Ukraine's ministry of defense.

@henrikw377 10 месяцев назад

But how do we know you're not developing bIoEnGiNeErEd StIcKs in an underground lab? Burden of proof is clearly on you...

@JAnx01 10 месяцев назад

"citizen of a NATO member nation" ROFLMAO

@InHooman 10 месяцев назад

Quick note about Killjoy: While yes, militarily it makes little sense apart from being an oligarchs make money quick scheme or a good propaganda effort, it nonetheless has a decent impact, which lies in one of its shortcomings. When any particular MiG-31K takes off, it can be seen by radars, and an alert is sounded. On one side, its tactical merit is already lowered, on the other - you have a button with which you can shut down Ukrainian civilian and military activities as everyone heads for the shelter anywhere from a couple of minutes to 3-4 hours if the plane also refuels mid-air. In practice, of course, many civilians (myself including) frequently ignore the air alert from a MiG, but that can't be said about the armed forces, as they have to stop what they're doing and take shelter. You can judge the impact yourself, but in my opinion, it at least deserves an uptier just for this unintentional outcome.

@cyan_oxy6734 10 месяцев назад

Is that so? In my mind the targets that would justify the cost of a kinzhal are quite limitied that most military targets won't really have to worry.

@murphy7801 10 месяцев назад

Hard disagree, we saw this effect with the blitz over London. It didn't reduce moral. It increased it.

@FRGBlackBurn 10 месяцев назад

@@murphy7801 I don't think its about reducing morale, but to make people and the military waste time.

@slepp449 10 месяцев назад

But is it worth it when you might achieve roughly the same effect with a cheaper system that would have more reasonable targets?

@Adv-vr1uh 10 месяцев назад

@@murphy7801It's not about reducing the morale but rather about paralyzing the society. E.g.: in my home city Kyiv all public transport halts due to the safety protocols whenever a damn Mig is up in the skies. You can go ahead and use your imagination to determine what influence does it have on a 4 m megapolis. At least the Uber drivers are profiting, lol.

@brassmonkey7566 10 месяцев назад

I'm 57 blue collar all my life never thought I'd enjoy this type of format but here I am week after week enjoying the information.

@discodan3367 9 месяцев назад

So, I literally just posted a facebook post about how RU-vid has just started to suck because it had gotten to where it would just reccomend sensationalist garbage and sponsored content. My good sir, you just made me eat my words, because this is the first bit of good, informative, well put together content in a while. Bravo. Here's the like, comment, and share for the algorithm. Should get you out there more, and hopefully will get me more recommendations like this.

@dpelpal 10 месяцев назад

Thank you for your work Perun, always appreciate it.

@simonbowden8408 10 месяцев назад

Sundays would not be Sunday without the weekly Perun presentation of stuff we didn't know we needed to know 🙂 but turns out to be vital! Modern warfare has become more and more lethal, meaning that attacking is harder than defending, as unfortunately Ukraine have found out this Autumn. Thank you.

@bilfbunter2248 10 месяцев назад

Thank you for your hard work Perun, you taught me so much about logistics and military procurement. Keep it up power point man 👍

@FLUFFYCAT_PNW 10 месяцев назад

Your videos have really been the "game changer" when it comes to conflict RU-vid this past year. Thanks for making every Sunday exciting.

@oohhboy-funhouse 10 месяцев назад

That picture of the mobile tank jammer. Covering everything with ERA isn't a meme, it's a way of life. The cope cage has ERA. No idea how effect it is, but that is really packing on the kg. I wouldn't mind a dedicated episode on the super basics like MRE, field kitchens, boots armour, boots, and its evolution. Or how logistics works, how do you coordinate getting something where Amazon won't deliver.

@andrewmcalister3462 10 месяцев назад

“The economic efficiency of setting money on fire, so Spacemail would probably raise billions from investors”😂

@apc9714 10 месяцев назад

How to destroy venture capital in one simple sentence

@ACME_Kinetics 10 месяцев назад

There's been a surprising amount of attempts at mail by rocket. I think it was The History Guy who made a good video about it.

@雷-t3j 10 месяцев назад

@@apc9714 the only problem is sometimes they get it right...and that sometimes can make them rich.

@David-yx3bd 10 месяцев назад

The problem with discussions about EW is the same as ABMs, you are incentivized to not talk about it, and in fact you are rewarded for downplaying your capabilities and penalized for being honest or exaggerating them.

@jacobno7400 10 месяцев назад

Loved the video! I am surprised to hear that the medical video was not received as well as your usual videos. I really enjoyed it. As always thank you and the team for all the hard work!

@R2_D 10 месяцев назад

It's an accepted military phenomenon that medical is not a primary focus and always takes the back seat to other systems unless the saving of life is the actual mission in a country's decided commitment to a war effort

@15BubblesOrigami 10 месяцев назад

While I'm interested in the subject, I'll admit I didn't watch that video for a reason that maybe others will share: it has to mention that people are hurt in war. While sounds like stating the obvious, but issues remain victimless crimes until faces are put to them. Even when talking about things that go boom and knowing that "going boom" often will mean dead and injured people, there's still a comfortable level of distance away. You can talk about them in terms of efficacy for dollars and destroyed equipment and enemies routed. Bone-shattering injuries and violent deaths aren't necessary to account for.

@NinjaDeathSlap 10 месяцев назад

I'd argue there's still room for a 3rd episode of this series as we've still not covered Patriot, Neptune, KA-52, HARM, and with F16 still on the way.

@bluemarlin8138 10 месяцев назад

Neptune: Prevented Ruzzian fleet from threatening the southern coast with gunfire or invasion. Arguably a “game changer” to the extent that it made a seaborne invasion unrealistic. KA-52: Very useful for Ruzzia in opposing Ukraine’s counteroffensive in summer of 2023. But the reason it was able to be so effective was the minefields slowing down the advance and forcing tanks and AVs to move slowly in column formation, and sometimes disabling them. Ukraine moved air defenses closer to the front and changed tactics to compensate for this (and the minefields in general). Prior to this, the Ka-52 was just a pretty good attack helicopter that was only available in very small numbers, and 70% of them have been lost. The game changer was deep/dense minefields, not helicopters. HARM: Useful, but limited when used from MiGs because it can’t operate in its most effective modes due to incompatibility, and doesn’t have the targeting advantage of better Western radars and radar warning systems. This should become much more effective when used with F-16s. F-16: Too early to tell, but it should be a difference maker. It will allow Ukraine to strike back at the Ruzzian fighters that have been taking pot shots across the border, and it will enable Ukraine to use NATO weapons much more effectively. While the models Ukraine is getting aren’t the most updated, they’re far better than Ukraine’s 1980s vintage Mig 29s and better than most Ruzzian aircraft when you look at actual performance and not just advertised maximum Ruzzian specs under very particular idealized conditions.

@augustuslunasol10thapostle 10 месяцев назад

@@bluemarlin8138 f-16 are technologically more advanced than like 90% of the Russian airforce so it should just slap the shit out of them

@stitch77100 10 месяцев назад

@@augustuslunasol10thapostle that's a claim, not a proven fact. And you would be wise not to underestimate the enemy, never. Plus, the F-16 will likely not face the Russian fighters, but the Russian AA defence system and network...

@knoll9812 10 месяцев назад

@@bluemarlin8138agree the f26 will not be a game changer but will will cancel out Russian airforce overmatch.

@Stinger522 10 месяцев назад

@@knoll9812Provided they come with at least AIM-120C7s. The D model is our crown jewel so there's no way they're getting that one. And chances are the F-16s will be used mostly for DCA close to Kyiv and CAS for frontline troops.

@larskjar 10 месяцев назад

I am reminded of the critical nature of accurate adjustable wrist watches with see in the dark hands during WWI. Because without them a great deal of offensive combined arms arty tactics were useful.

@Ikbeneengeit 10 месяцев назад

"Whenever Theory and Practice go up against each other, Practice has a way of yanking the book out of Theory's hands, and punching him in the face."

@dang2651 10 месяцев назад

This has to be one of the best videos. Genuinely informative, thoughtful and entertaining. Cheers.

@ctographerm3285 10 месяцев назад

"Like the time Ukrainian troops, reportedly, took down a Russian quadrotor through the high-tech expedient of throwing a stick at it... As far as I can tell, there's no available data on whether or not it was a NATO-supplied stick, but no doubt the use of such dangerous and advanced weapons on the battlefield can only lead to further escalation. "

@knoll9812 10 месяцев назад

Time for the Australians to start supplying sticks

@tarmor21 10 месяцев назад

Boomerangs!

@SirAntoniousBlock 10 месяцев назад

@@tarmor21 Err we prefer to call them reusable s'tralian patriots.

@donkeyfly43 10 месяцев назад

Well done! You glossed over the effect of EW limiting unit communications, but great work

@stevewhite3424 10 месяцев назад

He actually spoke of it very specifically.

@maxiweller9745 10 месяцев назад

Thanks again for your amazing work. You make my sunday worth it again and again

@jacafren5842 10 месяцев назад

Yes, a 1 hour ppp for my Sunday, love it 🎉 Thx for dilligent work. And may Denmark and all the free world step up support for Ukraine and sactions against Putin’s state

@ulrikschackmeyer848 10 месяцев назад

🇩🇰. We'll do what we can. F-16 crews training in Denmark as we speak. And could have been a year ago, had the US allowed.🇩🇰

@PalleRasmussen 10 месяцев назад

Eh? Denmark is one of the countries that has done the most.

@kostyac6411 10 месяцев назад

Vi spilder vores tid og skattekroner på en krig der ikke er vores i hver forstand. Er selv halv ukrainer med rødder i Odessa. Amerikanerne ejer os og tvinger os ud i en situation hvor alt først bliver ensformigt i sådan grad det via diverse markedsmekanismer kan manipuleres til at der er så stor forskel mellem rig og fattig at middelklassen nærmest udryddes, og hvem er så vores ubetingede overlords? De få amerikanere som havde midlerne til at bestikke, undskyld, jeg mener “lobby”, deres politikere. Disse politikere bestemmer i forvejen hvad Brussels politikere har at skulle have sagt, hvilket vi ofte i forvejen brokker os over- se dog det større billede for helvede.

@sjonnieplayfull5859 10 месяцев назад

@@PalleRasmussenmaybe he is from Denmark himself and starts with his own country?

@PalleRasmussen 10 месяцев назад

@@sjonnieplayfull5859 if he is, he knows very little. As I wrote; Denmark is amongst those that has done the most.

@KLWStrings 10 месяцев назад

As a sensor operator in a military life all be it a different type of sensors (acoustic) and a network guy in civilian life I found this interesting and in some ways validating. As usual a very well done and informative video, D72A, (any Collins class friends can explain)

@krissteel4074 10 месяцев назад

Well, this is going to be fairly intense. As we came out of the GWOT with a whole lot of preconceived ideas, Ukraine turned everything on its head as a whole other type of warfare. A weird mix of WW1 with Vietnam era soviet armour, smart phones, missile campaigns and off the shelf drones to show everyone just how crazy it can get.

@randomwarehouse4702 10 месяцев назад

Radar synced Tachanka when?

@krissteel4074 10 месяцев назад

@@randomwarehouse4702 When Ukraine hauled out the twin linked Maxim guns with a red-dot on them, we might have reached peak milsurp... course, trusting soldiers with horse drawn anything is enough to give me a deep seated, somewhat irrational fear of what happens next

@deriznohappehquite 10 месяцев назад

I think we sometimes get carried away with this. The war in Ukraine is very much shaped by Ukrainian and Russian capabilities. Especially strong GBAD paired with weak SEAD/DEAD. It seems like people draw over-broad conceptions about warfare from any given conflict.

@krissteel4074 10 месяцев назад

@@deriznohappehquite Its somewhat vastly different from the air-superiority and in some cases, complete air dominance that happens in western doctrine. Like even in smaller western military forces the airforce tends to have a fairly massive budget set aside for capable aircraft.Even down here in the south seas banana bending country of Australia we dump a lot of cash into the airforce and its subsequent weapon systems hanging off them. I won't say its shocking, but it is a little jarring that things like SPAAG has come back with a vengeance when it was all but considered largely outdated 30 years ago and there hadn't been much time given to it in terms of R&D. There's still some trickling in with various companies like Rhinemetal but not nearly as much as say, MANPAD's get funded, but they're still popular in Russia as combination gun-missile systems. In their own way as anti-drone systems, I suspect they might get a bit more attention given to them by the western MIC as a budget-oriented solution to keeping drones out of your airspace.

@Jfk2Mr 10 месяцев назад

@@randomwarehouse4702what about FT-17 with C-RAM turret?

@verbomalo9821 10 месяцев назад

Commenting just for the RU-vid algorithms because I don't know how else to thank you for these deep dives and incredibly insightful analysis. Keep going, and thank you.

@sage5296 10 месяцев назад

Getting close to half a million subscribers! and well deserved! Your content is top notch as always! And yea, hard agree on the EWAR being a gamechanger, similar to a laser-based hardkill system (if/when it exists), both bring the cost of an interception down massively to help fight against asymmetric threats

@jasonhernandez1182 10 месяцев назад

Babe! Wake up! The new Perun just dropped!

@GC13 10 месяцев назад

I'd be interested in an entire video on electronic warfare if you can find enough material for a full video. It's such a crucial part of the new way of war but there's really not a lot of content about it out there.

@coolersmoke 10 месяцев назад

So would I! I've even emailed Perun directly asking him to :)

@WhiteIkiryo-yt2it 10 месяцев назад

Whenever I hear One of Perun's jokes, I cannot help but imagine him in a massive lecture hall briefing military officials and all of them doing little Beavis & Buttthead laughs.

@macelharen 10 месяцев назад

31:00 correction: it was found that during high seas during a storm the moskva's air defense simply didn't recognize wave top missiles inbound. the 'distraction' is literally a 'red herring'

@holyknightthatpwns 10 месяцев назад

Perception is weird - this wasn't a topic that I voted for, so I was instinctively disappointed to see that it was the video of the week. At the same time there hasn't been a Perun video I didn't like - so I just have to get over my tribalism, sit back, and enjoy the powerpoint like always

@bwise7739 10 месяцев назад

As usual, an amazing analysis. “Game changer” is one of those terms that doesn’t have a specific meaning and is used depending on the context. On one hand and at the highest level, it applies to things that change the very nature of war and may not be directly obvious. Consider railroads. The book “Engines of War” describes how the introduction of rail in the nineteen century had a major impact on how wars were fought and logistics affecting both tactical and strategic doctrine. I’m not sure if there is an equivalent in this war unless you consider general surveillance capabilities (Satellite, drone, video). Not only are the combatants able to see where the adversary is in real time, but to have large amounts of information about the effectiveness of their efforts. Essentially this is the first “smartphone war”. Game changers also may have a shelf life as the opponents adapt to their introduction. German submarines ran rampant in WWII until the introduction of counter measures such as Huff-Duff and Hedgehog mortars. I don’t think they make them any less of a game changer because of that because it does force the opponent to counter them or to employ it themselves. Sometimes the game doesn’t change abruptly. The introduction of the tank in WWI didn’t really change the game until WWII nor did the airplane. Even in WWII horses were being used to haul artillery, though the day of the horse cavalry had passed with the introduction of machine guns and armor.

@bluemarlin8138 10 месяцев назад

Subs were really more of a game-changer in WWI than WWII. Of course they had a great effect in WWII as well, but everyone knew they were a threat due to the experience with them in WWI. The reason they ran wild in 1941 is that Britain was counting on having France’s navy covering the Med, and allowing the Royal Navy to focus on the Atlantic. It also didn’t think it was going to have to fight Japan, at least not so soon. Britain had enough escorts for the scenario it planned for, just not for the one it ended up facing. And even still, Britain was never close to being out of WWII because of the u-boats. However, it really was about 60 days from being knocked out of WWI in 1917 due to the u-boats before improved countermeasures plus US involvement turned the tide.

@Endzeitgeist 10 месяцев назад

"And, of course, if you have the information gathering and network, but no or insufficient fires, well then you might learn everything there is to know about a potential threat, and not be able to do anything about it. Sorry if that hits a bit clsoe to home for any academics in the audience." You called it, close to home & story of my life.

@robertjarman3703 10 месяцев назад

Yesterday was Armistice Day, when the Entente Cordiale signed an armistice with the remaining Central Power, bringing the fighting to an end on the Western Front. Didn't end the war though in practical terms, certainly for people basically anywhere east of the Rhine. I also had the opportunity to hold a pistol for the first time. They are rather heavier than you probably think they are, about a kilogram for a fairly small object. A couple of other semi automatic rifles as well, and for the first time used a sling with it. The range turned out to be closed so we had to go back and lock the guns up again but at least it was good practice for my muscle memory to always keep tabs on where you point the gun and keeping your finger off the trigger. It seems though that some Russian politicians need to learn this lesson.

@ulrikschackmeyer848 10 месяцев назад

Very eloquently put.

@phineascampbell3103 8 месяцев назад

I don't know, but I suspect Perun works in a line of work that involves him giving briefings about military intelligence n economics. And I like to imagine him going in to work and setting up his lecture, the board or panel of high ups all assembled, and he starts off giving a serious, much more constrained and formal presentation But as he gets to the third curlick, and begins on the fourth slide, the boss, the head honcho and his number two, they share a glance, then the boss holds up his hand, "no, Mr. Perun, please, this is excellent, as always, but, * sheepish smile* - can you, instead, you know, do it like your RU-vid ones please?!" 😅

@flaviusiacob1558 10 месяцев назад

Thank you for the video, Perun

@stormjensen1 10 месяцев назад

Brilliant as per usual. One gets used to excellence far too easily. I have the greatest respect for the effort it takes to create the analysis and then translate it into such accessible presentation.

@btolley100 10 месяцев назад

Perun, how are you managing to post so many hour long, researched and relevant, videos? Bravo.

@tor7877 10 месяцев назад

First from Pennsylvania, Cheers brother

@CharlesWarrington 10 месяцев назад

I was so close to beating you Tor

@davydovua 10 месяцев назад

I'd argue that another vital layer contributing to battlefield transparency and enabling the kill chains is the communications software. Ukraine has things like Kropyva and Delta that allow drone operators and other intelligence assets to relay found enemy positions and units to commanders and artillery teams in a clear, precise, and swift manner, so that the new information can immediately be integrated into the larger battlefield picture, and acted upon.

@TheOriginalFaxon 10 месяцев назад

Just as I'm going to sleep, will be watching later when I cook dinner. Thank you for all the excellent reporting thus far

@ulrikschackmeyer848 10 месяцев назад

Sleep tight.

@andrewrogers3067 10 месяцев назад

It’s genuinely insane that Russia failed to destroy TB2s immediately after the war started. By all means the TB2 isn’t a bad drone but it should have been rocked by any modern army with solid air defense.

@PhillS303 10 месяцев назад

Russia's problem was their success oriented approach in the opening days. All those columns hit by TB2 does drones were advancing, as ordered, in 'administrative columns' - what you do when driving around your own territory in peace time. There was no air defence because they were told that the only things flying in the sky would be Russian. Why? Because they assumed the initial air and missile strikes, plus airlifted VDV units, would destroy and disrupt Ukrainian forces to the extent that these columns would face no resistance (and be greeted as liberators). The really shocking thing is just how long it took for them to react to reality and accept that none of this was actually the case.

@090giver090 10 месяцев назад

Because if tank and helo rushes are working in Wargame/HoI then it must work IRL, right? RIGHT!? :)

@andrewrogers3067 10 месяцев назад

@@090giver090 lol

@bluemarlin8138 10 месяцев назад

@@PhillS303And if Ruzzia were to ever do something really stupid and start a war with NATO, I suspect it would TRY to go into it with air defenses ready, only to find that those air defenses really don’t work that well when your enemy has hundreds/thousands of stealth aircraft, thousands of cruise missiles and rocket artillery rounds, and world-leading EW capabilities and signals/satellite intel.

@sockysol9599 10 месяцев назад

@@bluemarlin8138 lmao even nato itself admitted that it could do NOTHING against a direct russian invasion, keep coping i guess

@moneyinahurry 10 месяцев назад

Excellent. Always look forward to new episodes. Bravo Aussie 🥳

@hpenvy1106 10 месяцев назад

I would like to say, that the smartphone is a gamechanger as well. Never has it been easier to share information. Never has it been easier to violate OpSec. Never was it possible to be at war and skype home. Never was it easier to make, produce and distribute propaganda. Also it enables the most drones to work properly.

@luminyam6145 10 месяцев назад

Shared this with my sons. We abhor war but we read a lot of history, particularly military history and so this fascinates us.

@Rjsjrjsjrjsj 10 месяцев назад

Abhor war. That rhymes. 👍

@OryxAU 10 месяцев назад

Perun I must inform you that as an honorary Aussie, my wife is gonna send me back to the US if I stay up late again due to these uploads. Please mate, I kinda like it here.

@buddyrojek9417 10 месяцев назад

Get reset to lose your assets. I married a Ukrainian in Ukraine and kept her there, because Australian women are notorious for destroying your wealth then taking 25 percent of your income until kids are 18

@onomastikon7975 10 месяцев назад

Thank you for this, and most meaningful ending of your channel update closeouts so far: lest we forget.

@JohnDoe-oq2fx 10 месяцев назад

Thanks again for another awesome video. You are the _only_ content creator on the internet that I watch every video of, basically the week you release it, if not withing the first 48hrs of release. I am most looking forward to your doing a video on the evolution of Drone Warfare.

@sebastiand152 10 месяцев назад

Russia converted 10 valuable MIG-31 in order to fire Kinzhal missiles - of which they produce only 4 per month. That is... interesting. Even by Russian standards.

@Stevieoggy1992 10 месяцев назад

Ahh mate, that Sunday evening again. Thanks!

@tompalmer5114 10 месяцев назад

"Have to wait for the sequel a couple of decades later" My first laugh of the day

@dominicd3803 10 месяцев назад

Your videos are always top notch, keep it up 🔥

@Screaming-Trees 10 месяцев назад

Thing is though there have been no game changers really. I think things like hypersonic weapons will ultimately make a difference if they can be produced at scale but if you assess the war as a whole you can see it is still down to time honoured elements like logistics, strategic resources and an industrial base. Same reason why the Germans lost on the eastern front really. They picked a fight with an enemy who had access to basically limitless strategic resources and an industrial base. That's what counts not wunderwaffe.

@danielgyllenbreider 10 месяцев назад

Industrial production in a strong economy is the only "game changer" to talk about. It also helps if you understand from day one what kind of a war that is fought, in this case a war of attrition. Not being a proxy for NATO, with their goals not being the rescuing of the Ukraine but instead regime change in Russia, also helps.

@adamevans1989 10 месяцев назад

Storm Shadow evaporating a good part of the command staff+the admiral actually in charge of the Black Sea Fleet is already worth the 9 figure cost xD

@jamesgornall5731 10 месяцев назад

It hit a building and everyone was assumed to be dead? Was it even occupied at the time?

@Muljinn 10 месяцев назад

Given that the bulk of the staff that were purported to be there haven’t been seen since, yeah, it’s a pretty good bet most of them are very dead.

@augustuslunasol10thapostle 10 месяцев назад

@@jamesgornall5731 mate we haven’t seen them alive its common practice to atleast post a picture or video to prove you are alive

@kursantstrzelecki2958 10 месяцев назад

On the other hand, there exist a point of view where the more current top brass in Russian army lives, the worse said army is at warfare.

@Jenkss 10 месяцев назад

Thanks mate! Favourite upload of the week.

@RobertCraft-re5sf 10 месяцев назад

It's worth mentioning one recent strike by either a killjoy or an iskander.. An award ceremony was being conducted not far from the Avdiivka front, and I think something like 30 were killed. It was a very poor decision to gather so many troops close to the front like that, and Zalensky said they are investigating.

@remogatron1010 10 месяцев назад

lies

@concernedrabbit9075 10 месяцев назад

Likely location betrayed

@RobertCraft-re5sf 10 месяцев назад

@@concernedrabbit9075There were drones above watching them.

@RobertCraft-re5sf 10 месяцев назад

@@remogatron1010I support Ukraine 100%, but this did happen.

@Muljinn 10 месяцев назад

If memory serves, the casualties were mostly civilians there to attend the festivities, which some idiot politician decided to advertise all over the place.

@Zazyr 10 месяцев назад

A fantastic presentation as always, insightful and precise. Which makes me ask, once again, what is your background? You're not just some random guy.

@positroll7870 10 месяцев назад

Ukr does have a rough equivalent to Orlan in the Vector and Heidrun drones it gets from GER to spot for artillery, esp PzH2000 etc.

@SwordOfApollo 10 месяцев назад

55:30 A STICK, you say? Your fellow Aussie, Shad Brooks's, eyes just lit up!

@williamlloyd3769 10 месяцев назад

My nomination for a wonder / game changer is the mechanized trench digger. Without trenches and mines, the war would be over by now.

@BaiMihal032 10 месяцев назад

Whoa, bs-free, unbiased and extremely information-dense stuff. Applauds!

@flyboy1081 10 месяцев назад

Thank you for yet another great video Perun! Look forward for the next one!

@ravanpee1325 10 месяцев назад

We talk every other week about the next "super weapon" and game changer in the war... Sounds like the superweapons of us Germans in WW2 ..V2 rocket etc. which will bringt victory for sure /s

@PerunAU 10 месяцев назад

I broadly agree that there is a risk of superweapon syndrome - I made that point during the first Game Changers video. I do think that decisive and impactful systems exist (and I think I illustrate some) - but there is often a real danger of wunderwaffe syndrome where people expect unrealistic results from a single new piece of equipment.

@dpelpal 10 месяцев назад

I dont think anyone would argue that HIMARS changed the game in Ukraine. I mean, one could make the case that russia lost all of Kherson and Kharkiv because of HIMARS. 🤷‍♀️

@jamesgornall5731 10 месяцев назад

@dpelpal himars certainly gets the most publicity. Russians have precision munitions but they are not mentioned by Western media

@090giver090 10 месяцев назад

@@jamesgornall5731 " Russians have precision munitions but they are not mentioned by Western media" Because these munitions are either _very_ limited in number and barely being used ("Krasnopol") or being riddled with reliability and precision problems making it just marginally better than unguided weapon (UMPK).

@SeanP7195 7 месяцев назад

I will never forget when I saw my first drone. All I could think was, wow, that 500 dollar thing would have been so useful when I was in the Army. As a former infantry soldier I can’t explain what being able to see from above, constantly and in real time means. Just the reconnaissance value alone. I thought since it was commercial the military wouldn’t think to use it. But, cooler heads prevailed.

@lilithy7844 10 месяцев назад

The S tier is reserved for Russia's light weight egg carton tank armour that replaced the ERA plates. The egg carton reduces the weight of the tank considerable while offering equal protection to areas not shielded by the plate.

@21kiwi24 10 месяцев назад

Cringe take. It's "Japs have poor eye sight" level cartoonish mocking of your enemy that's characterised this war.

@voidtempering8700 10 месяцев назад

Are we still talking about this myth? There are a dozen criticisms you could use for Russian armor yet you choose one that is wrong, really?

@21kiwi24 10 месяцев назад

@@voidtempering8700 remember, Russian tanks are terrible, until Ukranians are using them then they are excellent.

@voidtempering8700 10 месяцев назад

@@21kiwi24 I was mainly addressing the myth of carton and cardboard ERA panels, and the claim that very few Russian tanks don't have ERA. We have so far seen only a couple examples of this. If it was so widespread, them we would have seen dozens of tanks with missing ERA, or ERA with no fillers, and that is clearly not the case. Ukrainian armor has the same deficiencies as any other tank. And no, I would not say that Ukrainians are using their tanks excellently. No one is this war is, and it is hard to use them excellently when there is such a mass proliferation of AT weapons, drone spotting, and mine fields.

@Ivan-bk9xs 10 месяцев назад

strawman narratives are very convenient, aren't they?@@21kiwi24

@magdovus 10 месяцев назад

I think there's another factor to EW. It doesn't need ammunition. So long as it's got power, it can run.

@cyruslupercal9493 10 месяцев назад

Wonder if you can upgrade a drone to seek out the EW jammer in case it loses connection. Like anti radar missile seeing out radar.

@mateuszzimon8216 10 месяцев назад

Its possible, also making timed explosive activated on landing it's possible. Remove operators capture system.

@fishbaitx 10 месяцев назад

thank you for the weekly interesting powerpoint presentations perun 🙂

@philmarks4254 10 месяцев назад

Great job Perun. I love your work. Ty.

@Alsadius 10 месяцев назад

Fun factoid about Starlink - their satellite constellation is so ridiculously large that it's literally a majority of all active satellites right now. It'll be a majority of all satellites ever launched by next year, I think. Reminds me of the gaming channel's heydey, with Terra Invicta. I was working on a mod for that, which would add real-world companies as organizations. And SpaceX added something like 10 boost per month, when no country in the game had more than like 2.6 or something. (This wasn't fanboying, I looked up the actual numbers and used Pavonis' standard conversion ratios.)

@_Twink 10 месяцев назад

Ah remembrance day, the day we remember the tomb of the unknown soldier and morn our lost loved ones who didn't come back. As well as all sacrifices made in war. I had a great grandfather who fought in both. What a tragic war. He signed up a second time to protect my grandfather who enlisted. Great Gp went death, blind, and mad from the shelling. I forget the battle off the top of my head, but he was there in one of the major attacks by Germany on the northern side of the western front.

@MaddeningFly 10 месяцев назад

"Game Cahnger Value" You thought we wouldn't see that typo.... but we did ! Just kidding. Excellent as usual :)

@RaderizDorret 10 месяцев назад

I recently got into a conversation about ASROC. A modern ASROC is about $1.2 Million per shot. But a Kilo-class submarine costs $300 Million. That cost of missile compared to cost of target is why we don't have active battleships anymore.

@RaderizDorret 10 месяцев назад

One thing about the MiG-31s being converted into missile trucks: that's starting to scrape the bottom of the barrel compared to what Russian missiles are capable of. If it were for ASAT missiles, I could see it but an air-launched ballistic missile? Cargo planes would be more ideal as they can carry multiple shots and are designed for heavy payloads in the first place.

@jim373 10 месяцев назад

With regards to EW, is there any information regarding the use of spread spectrum communications and control systems? The reason I ask is that certain implementations of spread spectrum techniques can make the jamming and interference with such systems 1,000s of times more difficult.

@R4002 10 месяцев назад

Spread spectrum and frequency hopping systems (FHSS) can be and are countered by current generation Russian jamming systems. Spread spectrum works quite well for some applications but for others…not so much. All you need to do is look at the spectrum and see where the signal is, how it’s spread across x MHz of spectrum, the hopset or set of channels that the system “hops” between and how it all syncs up. FHSS systems also cannot work at all without very exact time syntonization. How do you do that? With GPS. Which can be jammed. FHSS systems are also subject to the same laws of physics that more traditional radio systems are subject to. In urbanized areas, obstructions can be a serious problem without higher RF output power and bigger (highly directional) antennas. At least for COTS drones, the frequency bands used are pretty well-known and are full of interference already in urban areas.

@gandalfgreyhame3425 10 месяцев назад

I would note that the biggest factor that makes Starlink resistant to both jamming and being shot down is that there's thousands of them whizzing by in low earth orbit. It would be almost impossible to shoot them all down.

@BoraHorzaGobuchul 10 месяцев назад

The sometimes low effectiveness of Russian ew can be explained by the simple fact that more or less successful Russian miltec is the holdover of the Soviet era when people were more or less serious about their jobs. Newer stuff is mostly a potemkin village for internal consumption / a great way to steal money because ew is invisible and one could always make all sorts of statements about their systems' great performance without an easy way to be proven wrong on the spot.

@kursantstrzelecki2958 10 месяцев назад

Good point.

@TheHalo294 10 месяцев назад

I really loved the old anime tv stuff, watch your fav show once per week.always excited when it beginns. this is perun now :D

@Hashi88. 10 месяцев назад

I was waiting today these videos and watching previous long term episodes, interesting how Shoigu and Prigozhin fought in conflict claiming victory on each side to gain political credibility was obviously the demise of wagner and Prigozhin recognised as a dead man walking, let me get absorb these sunday afternoon episode, Greeting you perun, from Somalia, International audience hope you safe and health all the time, thank you👍

@jamesgornall5731 10 месяцев назад

What Prighozin did was treason in any country, he was punished appropriately

@speedyf40 10 месяцев назад

I honestly think watching these videos has upped my PowerPoint presentation skills over Teams. 😅

@guya7829 10 месяцев назад

Almost half a million people! That's impressive, thanks so much for your work!

@TrungNguyen-uf8cv 10 месяцев назад

Never heard Starlink was called game changer, but it's been a lifeline

@PerunAU 10 месяцев назад

This is more a case of me nominating it (and a few other less discussed systems) as being extremely influential in Ukraine

@leonfa259 10 месяцев назад

@@PerunAU Thanks for highlighting Starlink, I always wonder what will be possible with the thousands of space based sensors of Starshield that are max 3000 km away from their targets. Realtime tracking of stealth aircraft, rockets, ships and Electronics emissions from armies? Possibly even (laser) guiding munitions? All for only a few billions of dollars.

@thekinginyellow1744 10 месяцев назад

@@leonfa259 and because it's a mess of basically cubesats, very difficult to counter.

@condotiero860 10 месяцев назад

when i saw Elon Musk donating starlink nodes, my mind inmediately went to discount 'Lord Cavendish' it's a ghost fleet reference.

@kukuc96 10 месяцев назад

@@thekinginyellow1744Calling them a cubesat is a bit insulting to Starlink sats. How many cubesats have hall effect thrusters and lasar interlinks on them? But it is true that it's innately redundant because there are thousands of them.

@sebastiand152 10 месяцев назад

I hope, that we will soon see Taurus at the top of the list. There is a certain bridge, which could be part of this...

@bewing77 10 месяцев назад

One thing that I feel is a bit overlooked: the geography and topography of Ukraine is massively important for many aspect of this discourse which I feel is often not emphasized enough. Ukraine is mostly flat, very open farmland making both detecting and targeting unit movements much easier than it might be, which contributes to high detection rates, lower mobility of units and elevated losses of specifically armored and mechanized units. In a battlefield like in Northern Europe, where almost everywhere is woodland and you rarely have an open field larger than 250 meters this probably changes drastically. Another thing that should probably be factored is the difference it would make if any or both sides had access to generation 5 fighters in useful numbers. Both real operations and simulations show that gen 5 fighters are so superior that gen 4 fighters basically are only useful as decoys or cannon fodder against an enemy with gen 5 ones. These are also capable of operating inside enemy air defence umbrellas in ways impossible earlier and this would also likely have a massive impact.

@jimdale9143 10 месяцев назад

Very informative and thought provoking. Thank you!

@Danksta911 10 месяцев назад

Yeah! On our road to 500k before EOY! Spin the algorithm…

@PerunAU 10 месяцев назад

I don't think we'll make it by then- but if we get there sometime next year, I'll be incredibly happy (I already am to be honest, the response to all of this continues to be incredible)

@Danksta911 10 месяцев назад

Also love that you choose videos for content and not for clickbait. I will continue to support on Patreon to support great content and such choices.🎉

@ejws1575 10 месяцев назад

It feels great to have events prove Perun's analysis' myopic pro western-bias.

@bernardvc5820 10 месяцев назад

you're using the internet, a western invention. Clearly your bias is pro-western. If not: better stop being on the web, and for good measure: stop using computers too

@commissarcactus1513 10 месяцев назад

Great video as always. But man, I'm disappointed to hear that the battlefield medicine video didn't perform as well as the channel's norm. I found it fascinating and more relevant to me than most others on this channel.

@Emanon... 9 месяцев назад

Rule of thumb: Wunderwaffe don't win wars. Logistics and manpower does.

@moseszero3281 10 месяцев назад

The stormshadow has repeatedly turned command buildings into confetti as well. Also I thought a patriot shot down 5-6 of those hypersonic missile like a day or two after that cluster of aircraft got shot down like 30-50miles north of the Ukraine border. IIRC it was the same patriot launcher that was slightly damaged in the same attack, Basically Russia getting mad at loosing the aircraft and trying to take out the patriot.