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More rate hikes ahead?! Veteran economist Warren Hogan thinks the RBA could hike to 5% in 2024 

Savings.com.au
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Interest rates could be hiked three more times this year!
One of 2023’s most accurate RBA forecasters, Judo Bank chief economic advisor Warren Hogan, has made a prediction that could rattle borrowers across Australia.
He forecasts that the central bank will be forced to hike again (and again, and again) in 2024.
Discover why Mr Hogan believes these drastic measures are necessary to combat stubborn inflation.
Watch the conversation above and listen to full episodes here: www.savings.com.au/podcast

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29 апр 2024

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Комментарии : 27   
@weishi8620
@weishi8620 27 дней назад
He is honest and frank. By just looking at the data, if inflation keeps going up, and unemployment rate stays low. We definitely will have rate hikes regardless whether we like it or not. His comment might actually bring down some inflation.
@alech120
@alech120 Месяц назад
thanks guys for this interview.
@alech120
@alech120 Месяц назад
He is right. You won't need to be an economist to say that. Everything tells you out there.
@boxedog
@boxedog 27 дней назад
yet CBAs “base case” is 150 points of cuts in 2025 lmao
@jaytee7642
@jaytee7642 27 дней назад
Spot on analysis, basic economics you learn in high school
@francisbrooks9454
@francisbrooks9454 Месяц назад
Wow RU-vid actually gives me a good suggestion for once.
@Benjamin-howdytiger
@Benjamin-howdytiger Месяц назад
Does housing price have to come down ?
@andrewbroome7404
@andrewbroome7404 Месяц назад
No. The government doesn't want that, so they open the immigration floodgates to make sure landlords can raise rents/ rate rises won't affect them
@andrewbroome7404
@andrewbroome7404 Месяц назад
There's also perpetual growth legislated into the system with tax free capital gains/ the ability to leverage against unearned untaxed and unrealised capital gains ensures growth for the sake of growth. All whilst FHBs have to pay tax on every dollar EARNED for a deposit and to pay off the loan
@Benjamin-howdytiger
@Benjamin-howdytiger 29 дней назад
@@andrewbroome7404 so what happens then ? Seems like a pressure cooker something must give
@Benjamin-howdytiger
@Benjamin-howdytiger 29 дней назад
@@andrewbroome7404 how does Australia get back to more affordable time
@andrewbroome7404
@andrewbroome7404 28 дней назад
​@Benjamin-howdytiger tax capital gains made above the rate of inflation (including gains accessed in the for of unearned equity used to leverage up and buy more property).. BUT lower income tax to offset the extra revenue. That way contributors will be rewarded as opportunities to asset/ debt owners. Also lower immigration to net zero until infrastructure catches up- the would limit landlords ability to pass on the interest rate rises from their investments to renters. That would force them to sell, therefore lower prices
@detectiveofmoneypolitics
@detectiveofmoneypolitics Месяц назад
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is following this very informative content cheers Frank 😊
@jonathonwoolven2613
@jonathonwoolven2613 Месяц назад
Raise
@peterburke8650
@peterburke8650 Месяц назад
My personal opinion is 9 percent by the time this 14 year inflationary cycle is over.
@anomadhunter
@anomadhunter Месяц назад
The domestic inflation has been stoked by massive increases in government spending, and massive increases in immigration. Raising rates won’t address these two drivers…it will only serve to punish existing homeowners with variable rate mortgages , and drive up unemployment as businesses will struggle to survive higher debt costs. I hope they actually do what Warren is predicting, as it will be the end of the Albanese government (finally).
@prancer4743
@prancer4743 Месяц назад
100 % agree they have been so slow to listen to the rest of the world 🤔😳👀👍😁
@teatree6228
@teatree6228 27 дней назад
Rba loan rate was 1.85-2% bank home loan, savings rate was 0.1% In OECD- home loan was zero
@peterbozich4433
@peterbozich4433 27 дней назад
The inflation is being created by the US Fed, so raising rates in Australia just wont crush inflation. World rates are negative compared to what real rates should be. Look at Gold, a true inflation gauge, hitting record highs in every currency, say no more.
@leonie563
@leonie563 Месяц назад
Sell one of the 3 cars Stop jabbing yrself with fillers, age normally Raid super for the mortgage offset Find a decent Indy School Embrace chicken Holiday in the backyard Normal TV is ok Laptop movie in bed is😯 Friday pamper is cheap Nescafe & Milo is ok☕ Bodyshop, DUSK, Wizard Pharmacy all give vouchers Embrace yellow stickers at grocery shops Or sell and move into parents and explore what next might look like. Keep the marriage.
@davidbrayshaw3529
@davidbrayshaw3529 27 дней назад
What? You mean, "live within my means"? Don't be silly, Leonie. If I run out of the money that I borrowed, I'll just borrow more money. There! Easy, isn't it.
@adriansmith7604
@adriansmith7604 27 дней назад
Inflation up % up 25 points tomorrow
@99silver89
@99silver89 Месяц назад
would,nt a new digital $ bring every thing back into line and wipe goverment debts around the world ect ? you say its unreal how fast inflation has gone up but its rates also fell off a cliff over night as well so a correction was always on the cards . i am all for rate rises if it helps cap the housing market and helps familys enter the market are a fair price
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