OpenAI Admits 80% Jobs Will Be Affected By AI | Research Paper Analysis

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In today's video we will cover something different from our usual topic of discussion. AI and the future of labor market are the topics that interest me a lot for the past couple of years and with the release of ChatGPT I think of this more often.
Watch this video to see whether your job or future career will be affected by the AI replacement in the near future.

Опубликовано:

25 апр 2023

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Комментарии : 129

@markcardwell783 Год назад

Very impressive breakdown. I appreciate your thoughts. Thank you for taking the time to put this together! I will be sharing it widely.

@RegularRegs Год назад

I just got laid off from an IT company already because of "lack of work" and as a project coordinator/technician, I'm starting to wonder if it's even worth staying in the industry and maybe try to get a new career that ai won't take.... It's so hard to think about.

@RegularRegs Год назад

The lack of work was an absolute lie but it is what it is. This happened today. Maybe I'm still salty. But we just got acquired by a company with a CEO who was involved in ai deployments and even project coordinators who need to speak to people on the phone and do quite a lot that I haven't seen get automated yet. I was honestly excited to possibly work in coordinating the deployments of these systems. But yeah we're all done in the end.. Give me UBI and let me continue educating myself and work on artistic projects. 😢😢

@mth469 Год назад

@@RegularRegs Sorry to hear brother. It's happens to us all at some point during our career. Usually when one company takes over another, the CEO needs to show he is pushing up profits. And the only bright idea he can come up with is cutting positions regardless of the mess he creates in the company. But dust yourself off and get back on the horse. It may take a while but you will get back in. Just be flexible in your thinking.

@mikefizzy4423 Год назад

shoot for the bottom of the ladder. get a job like construction or plumbing, AI will never replace them

@I_Lemaire Год назад

Sorry to hear about this but do not give up on IT. Every industry is getting more competitive. Do you speak another language? Learning Spanish if you are based in the USA will help tremendously.

@trevor6607 Год назад

@@I_Lemaire Actually AI is incredibly good with language translation so learning another language is a huge waste of time for earning money now

@MK-nj5bm Год назад

Highly underrated video subbed , thank you Mr Yan.

@raymond_luxury_yacht Год назад

Yes please. Can't wait to get replaced by a computer.

@JTown-tv1ix Год назад

People always say Accountants will be replaced…but accounting involves alot of judgment, nuance, & guesswork. Most clients don’t remember or know the details of their transactions…so we have to fill in the gaps. Nobody tells us to, we just know.

@mth469 Год назад

All that stuff can be replaced by blockchain which keeps track of everything. No guess work required. Accountants will be as obsolete as the horse and buggy. The only benefit of an accountant would be for cooking the books. But even that task will be impossible with blockchain.

@JTown-tv1ix Год назад

@@mth469 "I see you spent $167 at Walmart last month, what was that for..." Answer "I don't remember." No one is solving that problem quickly & cheaply with a blockchain or AI.

@mth469 Год назад

@@JTown-tv1ix Are you kidding. We are not in the stone age where things have to be chiseled onto a stone tablet. The moment the item is charged, a record of the item and it's price goes into the blockchain. No human hands involved.

@Wanderer2035 Год назад

Sorry but AI is easily capable of doing all those things

@kevinhall6241 Год назад

Wow, excellent discussion! Your knowledge and passion for this subject are inspiring. I've been applying for tech jobs for 10 months, and the entire HR process seems very dated. I think my experience as an entrepreneur is being undervalued. Resourcefulness and creative thinking are not in demand. Meanwhile, I'm expected to recite code that will be written by the language model. This tells me I'm searching for the wrong jobs for me. How do you think the workforce will evolve? I think there will be fewer jobs available if one person can use the power of AI to perform many jobs. So, how does this transform the economy? I look forward to more of your videos, Mr. Yan.

@ShaySun Год назад

Awesome content 😀 I couldn’t agree with you more. Keep it up 👍🏼

@danieltongii Год назад

Great video, I'm a master student studying CS. This is a topic my cohort thinks about frequently.

@featherfiend9095 Год назад

Same. Just finished my coursework for my Master’s in CS and am now moving towards IT. 😅. Hopefully there won’t be robots configuring switches manually (there is at least some physical labor). However, I’m under no illusion that eventually every job will be replaceable in the near future, just don’t want to be one of the first.

@ZatoichiRCS Год назад

Interesting that you all discuss this because I’m thinking of going in for a MS in CS. Am I hearing abandon the CS ship?

@BitBlink Год назад

I was thinking about becoming a machine learning engineer and I’ve decided not to pursue that anymore. I have a BS in CS now, but my job now doesn’t involve programming.

@Danuxsy Год назад

@@featherfiend9095 doesn't matter if you're the first or the last, you're all going to suffer.

@BitBlink Год назад

@@Danuxsy suffering perhaps, amazing growth and benefits maybe, or a mixture of both.

@panashifzco3311 Год назад

This was a really insightful video..Awesome

@HeadStronger-HS Год назад

I've been in IT for 25 years and this breakthrough scares the s$it out of me. Many have this illusion that blue collar jobs are mostly affected.. which is somewhat true, however the implications against white collar jobs IMO are much higher.

@mgoboski Год назад

Blue collar isn't safe because white collar people will be flooding blue collar labor markets and severely depressing their wages. This is the end of capitalism.

@XIII-TheBlackCat Год назад

It's kind of disgusting how many people talk like this isn't a possibility and can't mentally accept such a scenario.

@billybbob18 Год назад

If you can show me an AI that can diagnose and repair a faulty refrigerator, heater, appliance or electronic circuit, then I'll be scared. I haven't seen anything of the sort yet. Not saying it wont happen, but my job will probably be one of the last to become obsolete. I can learn to leverage the power of AI at work to become even more effective.

@XIII-TheBlackCat Год назад

@@billybbob18 Elon is already working on it.

@pineapplesoda Год назад

People who assume blue-collar jobs are most in danger from automation should do more work around the house. If they did, they would quickly see that skilled plumbers, electricians, and carpenters have nothing to fear for at least the next few decades.

@AlterNathan Год назад

Excellent summation and appreciated the emphasis on "learning strategies". I'm a mental health counselor and have already made use of AI as a tool in therapy.

@gunterra1 Год назад

Yes? In which way? I am curious?

@shadrums Год назад

Good takes, earned a sub!

@n8works Год назад

Damn good job Paul! 👍

@tablab165 Год назад

Hi, Paul. Great video! Got my sub. I'm a longtime English teacher to Chinese students. I lived and worked in China (mostly Chengdu) for about 10 years of my life but I've been back in the States since 2019. As an online teacher who uses GPT4 in every class, I'm watching as AI capabilities rocket past us and counting down the days when the government over there lifts restrictions and people realize that English won't be needed soon for communication or to land jobs based on the employees' ability to understand what's going on in meetings. Maybe they'll use English just to be able to socialize with others from around the world. I don't know. It feels like whenever I think of a skill or area that would require my or my students' labor in the future, I could imagine how something already here or soon to arrive could do that too. I'm afraid that the fruits of this tech will all be pumped into continuing to prop up the neoliberal model and people will scrape and claw for the last remaining scraps of a world that they could've just allowed to become much more abundant: that there'll be something like a million haves and 9 billion have nots. There are a lot of people who just get by doing their jobs because that job is tedious. Flood the market with 10x as many passable or better goods and services, and those small laborers enjoying that tedium job security won't have the resources and customers won't have the attention or bandwidth to care about the good or service that actually goes to supporting thousands of such working people rather than one monopolistic AI business machine's owner. Thoughts about the implications on global and local society, economics, and politics?

@mth469 Год назад

We need to replace politicians and economists with OpenAI.

@MyName-tb9oz Год назад

I don't know how much history you know but the existence of a, "middle class," is an aberration. For most of recorded human history it's been the very many peasants and the very few, "Lords and Ladies." You can bet that human nature hasn't really changed at all in that relatively short (in evolutionary terms) period of time. The modern day lords and ladies still want to keep the peasants in their place. It's funny, just the other day I was telling my son that great wealth and power isn't so much about gaining even more. It's mostly about preventing the peasants from gaining more wealth and power and always has been. I'm certainly no professional historian but what I have learned shows very clearly that the people at the top spend a pretty large amount of energy on preventing the peasants from challenging the existing power structures. The AI, "arms race," is worse than the nuclear arms race ever was. Everyone was well aware that, while having nuclear weapons provided an immense amount of power in the world, it was a power that could never be used. This is different. AI is the power of intelligence. It is the capacity to not only destroy your enemies but to control them without even firing a shot. There is simply no way this power will not be abused. Imagine what will happen when AI is turned to solving the problem of convincing people that they simply cannot live without your product. Combine the speed of calculation of even the current AI systems with the massive amounts of data collected about every person and you have a truly nightmarish dystopian future that Orwell and Huxley could never have imagined. And the lords and ladies will control this power. Human nature hasn't changed. We are not wise enough to use the things we devise.

@songjian0127 Год назад

Great stuff. Keep it up

@KlausRosenberg-et2xv Год назад

As a public sector employee in my small town, I admit that I am using GPT-4 and GPT-3 constantly to draft terms of reference and preliminary technical studies. These tools reduce my errors to almost zero, as well as doing in minutes what would take me up to a week to complete a simple term.

@Sirmrmeowmeow Год назад

good video Paul! :3

@deter3 Год назад

very insight talking !!!

@srburress Год назад

It’s hard for me to imagine a robot AI massage therapist. Or a dental hygienist. Or a robot chef that will taste the stew to adjust it before serving it.

@n8works Год назад

4:00 Regarding creativity - the universal relationships exist in the model weights but it still requires a human to call them out. Think of it that way and accept reality. This tool/knowledge/intelligence/capability exists. Be your best human with it.

@pineapplesoda Год назад

The situation is not quite as bad as it seems. It's true that ChatGPT might enable one worker to do the job of two, thus eliminating one job. However, it is also possible that another employer that is better capitalized will want to accomplish twice as much work as that first company, thus creating a new position. Remember, employers are also competing with each other.

@acllhes 7 месяцев назад

Pretty optimistic

@taomaster2486 Год назад

in some ways it is good that white collar work is going out a people rly hate that soul crushing stuff. if the ai replaces us we can also use it to make jobs for humans that we need.

@DanMProductionsBois Год назад

I think for the next few years or maybe... max 2 years... it will just make good white collar people more dominate. They are going to work along side it. Until.... it can be more automated... 2 years max I say because we have this 6 months pause...but ai is moving so fucking fast. You can't keep up with the news it's nuts.

@jamesbaxter5147 Год назад

It’s going to be *really* healthy for both the economy and society. Since the Industrial Revolution, Automation has affected blue collar jobs more, to the point that society began snubbing such jobs. Now where are we? To achieve “The First-World Dream”, you need to get into massive debt to meet increasingly rising standards of education. All the while, industry has been greatly offshored, and what jobs remain are low paying, staffed by an aging and/or resentful workforce. With AI and Robotics making all work extremely efficient, I see the day where even grocery store clerks could be paid well, and where it’s easier to start your own business than ever. That’s the economy and society of the future, one where money earned is more tied to value produced than ever before.

@JankeyCreator Год назад

Nice video..

@YourBoyRob Год назад

nice, i dropped Uni and went entrepreneur. learned all skills myself. pretty much a task executor and market strategist now. niceee

@poutingmarslast601 Год назад

The singularity is nearer!

@carkawalakhatulistiwa Год назад

It's not AI that replaces humans. but 1 human who uses AI replaces 10 humans who do not use AI

@n8works Год назад

Isn't that the same thing?! It sure as hell replaced nine people completely right?

@HaseebHeaven Год назад

That is the same thing A person replacing or AI replacing is the same thing. stop copying stuff from internet when you don’t understand it 😅

@TeaParty1776 Год назад

Creating the wealth and tech needed to employ them. Your hidden context is the religious hatred of intelligence.

@abd.rahaman6615 Год назад

Awesome, but uderrated video !

@sengs.4838 6 месяцев назад

critical thinking would be the best personal skill to foster, but must be follow with creative mindset turned to solution

@castle_media423 Год назад

The invention of the electronic calculator didn’t replace or get rid of Mathematicians. And being able to run math in your head still beats someone who can only solve calculations using a tool. And before excel spreadsheets accountants used to use paper form to run amortization tables. I see AI as a step in not replacing human intelligence but now hopeful that our future generation now has a capable tool to enhancing intelligence given that many kids can no longer compete on traditional education models. AI seemingly provided the access to intelligence for many that were not previously attainable.

@jorkhachatryan317 Год назад

I never understood the way of thinking, when they say AI will not replace some sort of specialist, it will complement him/her, it sounds like cars will not replace horses for riding, they will complement them.

@lvn5609 Год назад

Yeah, people just don't understand.

@ThorMaximus 9 месяцев назад

9:59 - Active Listening? AI is not replacing anything significant in the short term. I’m big on AI, getting certified in AI. I was a Banker in 2008, and it took me a few years to realize that my career wasn’t coming back & the skill set I developed was obsolete. I put years of training into IT & work IT Project Management with Healthcare. I’m studying for AI certification, I see the money & advantages. But I also know business. No AI is replacing what Active Listening does. It influences people, and that’s in all interactions. AI right now, it’s a tool. Like using excel. I’m the future, look, every job has an expiration date from the Roman Emperor to the Pony Express. Bank Manager to Technical Product Owner. I didn’t know what a Product Owner was in 2008, heck, was there even a real roe that existed with that title? Keep learning, adapting and using tools that stand you out, don’t fear it.

@bobtarmac1828 Год назад

Great! More Ai jobloss. What about ai as weapons? Ai job agents everywhere. Shouldn’t we cease Ai / GPT immediately? Or at least start Pausing Ai before it’s too late?

@atplus2101 Год назад

Most highest paying jobs are threatened

@halnineooo136 Год назад

It's a costly mistake to base career choices on the current status of technology when it is evolving exponentially. At first there will be no intellectual task for which a human is more efficient, more creative, more reliable nor cheaper than AI. Which means the end users will get their intellectual services directly from AI at electricity cost roughly speaking. Then, dextrous robotics are going to catch up immediately after because the bottleneck is software. Any physical task can therefore be performed by AI operated robots much more efficiently. The current path leads to human labour not being required anymore and that breaks the current social and economic order of the world based on revenue in exchange of labour. No labour no revenue. No revenue no customer. No customer no business. No business no economy. You can individually try to flee the flood and run to the still emerging spots of land but eventually the current order will break and the solution can only be political. If we do not collectively accept to renounce the status game and accept to share the benefits of progress and give up enslaving humans unnecessarily, then we're collectively running to the edge of the cliff.

@povang Год назад

A human with an AI assistant will replace his 10 coworkers.

@TuanTran-og5te Год назад

I highly doubt that mathematicians can be replaced by AI. Real mathematicians either invent new mathematics (which has to somehow fit into current gaps of systems of mathematics already built or extend it logically) or look at current mathematical inventions/theorems and find alternate proofs for something already proven. Highly doubt that such activities can be replaced. Sure, AI might have "chains of thoughts", but not everyone with "chains of thoughts" can say... find an alternate proof for Fermat's last theorem. Also, task execution is an extremely vague concept. A task may have several layers of abstractions. Something like coding up an existing algorithm is straight forward and can be automated, but something like design Facebook will take too much trade-off and "gut" decisions to ever be automated (at least using classical computing as we currently do - quantum computing is a different beast on its own). Also, even if some GPT can spit out output products, without specialised knowledge, such products will make 0 sense to someone without the specific knowledge. For e.g. if chatGPT somehow proves P = NP, would say a travelling car salesman be able to check if the proof is correct? Checking and filling in the gaps in such a proof will always take a skilled mathematician or a team of skilled mathematicians (if such a proof is even close to correctness in the first place).

@jordan.na.dzielni 11 месяцев назад

My thinking as well. Having experienced both CS and maths studies, I highly doubt these machines could come up with new proofs. However, I kind of hope I'm wrong, at least when it comes to somewhat well-proven theorems. There are proofs to theorems that are sound, but don not 'feel' useful. I don't know how to express it better, yet I sometimes wished the certain proofs used a different point of view lol

@TeaParty1776 Год назад

How many new jobs will be created by AI? As many as were created by textile machines of mechanized farming? Or computers?!

@gunterra1 Год назад

Ok. I am a self-employed professional and would gladly employ some form of AI assistance in getting jobs in the office, in particular marketing and promotion, as wll as afer-sales service, done with less effort, greater efficiency, and nuch faster so that the business can expand in a much more organised and less risly fashion.

@stryfol Год назад

Damn, are you saying we all have to be Elon Musk to stay relevant? Thats impossible even with all the training in the world.

@featherfiend9095 Год назад

Yeah, management has the edge. But they will gobbled up too by competitors. Now you know your job will be replaced. The question is how soon?

@andyash5675 Год назад

It was a great video, but I wonder how many people who needed to watch it, actually did? Of those, how many did it actually help? AI is scary because it will lead to joyless life. There is a great deal of creativity in menial activity. Once automated, there will be far less diversity in life. You can see it already. Maintenance of parks and gardens has become a tick box activity. Who looks at the flowers any more? If you are truly wealthy you will invest in creative people to do menial tasks. They will give you what you don't want, and you will learn to enjoy it. As a wealthy person you will do it because you trust the humanity of the person who made you do it. Learning is life. When you employ a machine to do that for you, then your spirit dies.

@MaximillianHeth Год назад

1pXXXot tx❤❤dd❤dd99

@MaJetiGizzle Год назад

Affected does not equal replaced.

@Okkannashukracharya Год назад

Thinking that AI doesn't evolve 😅

@warrensmith3070-Angel-of-Light Год назад

AI is currently at the single cell amoeba stage...through time it becomes far more powerful T-Rex (Artificial General Intelligence) surpassing humans on everything...and thereafter Super AI with exponential power increase...

@horsemumbler1 Год назад

AI will never replace the handyman. An AI may tell you how to do something yourself according to the collective wisdom if the internet, but it's not going to thread the pioe or turn the screws for you.

@tonytanner3048 Год назад

Oh buddy, you're in for a treat when you see the latest advancements in robotics.

@alexandersparks1634 Год назад

Boston Dynamics my friend....

@carkawalakhatulistiwa Год назад

This paper use gpt 4 not next year gpt 5

@henrylawson430 Год назад

Everyone’s job now is to work out how to use AI effectively in their field.

@Danuxsy Год назад

which only accelerate the replacement

@josh930 11 месяцев назад

I asked the math question to my mathematics professor a while back. Why when I can enter the problem into wolfram alpha and get the answer. I want to learn where I can use the math and apply it in my life.

@nunoalexandre6408 Год назад

"Oooh, I`m so Scared"...kkkkkkkkkkkkkkk

@CreamusG Год назад

OpenAI said the same thing about releasing GPT-2. They weren't implying that the GPT-2 technology would lead to some kindof revolution, they were saying GPT-2 itself at its current form would destroy the internet as we know it.

@countzero7 Год назад

well if 40-80% of job can be automated, you will either be pay mutch less for same work, or there will be mutch less of you doing jobs, why hire 4 ppl when 1 can do same amount of work, and you pay him only. And for other jobs that can only be 10% effected, well they will have then more competition from all jobless ppl, so they gona be pay less then, in race to bottom.

@davidcaldwell5420 Год назад

"With artificial intelligence we are summoning the demon." - Elon Musk

@jeanchindeko5477 Год назад

6:18 this sentence here is not correct as it lack the time dimensions. It should instead be: “AI in its current shape and form will not take yet your job but another human with AI will!” In the same line peoples like to say that AI will create a lot of new jobs and opportunities and I agree with that except that here again we need to add the time dimensions to make that right. AI will create a lot of new short term jobs and opportunities, because those might or will also be automated as AI becomes more and more intelligent and grounded into our real world! That one of the big issue with the so called AI alignment problem because human have generally a very short term mindset or way of thinking so how to align AI with today human values when those values might changed tomorrow?

@mobileprofessional Год назад

Verdict : Don't be a Tool 🔨

@Wanderer2035 Год назад

Yea, any job that is on a computer, which is practically almost all jobs these days, is gonna get automated first. And then once they release the humanoid robots, well then EVERYONES job is gonna get automated lol

@alejandrosantiago1910 Год назад

theres no way were gonna walk around in 10 yrs and just see a shit ton of robots lol, theres gotta be some way we automate things without having humanoid droids multiply across the earth

@benravenhill484 Год назад

Bro be talking like a university professor lol

@Vince_F Год назад

😬‼️

@martynhaggerty2294 Год назад

Worth more subcribers ... concise and insightful... makes me glad I'm retired

@Spartacus547 Год назад

so you're saying when I go to an anime convention in a few years to get an artist or a writer's autographed they won't be there, just a bunch of robotic arms signing an autograph "beep..boop...beep thank you watching Auto made X hear is my autograph Next! Human"

@computerconcepts3352 Год назад

69th comment

@gocybertruck8189 Год назад

I always believe AI is beneficial to humans only if we are willing to partner with it. AI may be our only savior when humans are at their darkest hours.

@mth469 Год назад

Humans will need AI for sure. But it's not true the other way around.

@CodgersCorner Год назад

Computers and smart phones have displaced a lot of jobs at all levels. I have always found away to embrace tech. New news sells nothing more then fear, anxiety and hate. If only people started to watch ai advances they will realize they will have more time for their passion.

@lostgarbage4055 Год назад

And where do people from jobs displaced by ChatGPT will work? You do realize underdeveloped countries can't provide any sort of positions for them? Making them basically manual labour only zones? Of course - new jobs, art needs human touch and yada yada yada yada. But it only applies to first world countries. What about the rest of the worl?

@vitalyl1327 Год назад

Mundane dumb jobs that can be automated by this so called "AI" must be automated. No humans should suffer humiliation of doing such degrading jobs.

@seal3228 Год назад

Meanwhile artists, other creative people and programmers that do non-repeating work, but also threatened: "Yeah, yeah, we know..."

@vitalyl1327 Год назад

@@seal3228 I don't see how artists are treatened by this, and it is definitely not going to make any proper programmers redundant (not talking about web code monkeys, they were redundant long before they even started monkeying).

@seal3228 Год назад

@@vitalyl1327 Well, i agree with you, but I'm only looking for career and AI hype boom cased me serious anxiety.

@vitalyl1327 Год назад

@@seal3228 you should not be worried about this fad, it will pass soon.

@brianj7204 Год назад

affected is a great way to say "yeah bud, f*ck you and your work". I mean, i currently like my job but i 100% wouldn't mind getting replaced if it meant i could live my life in freedom without constraints.

@laughoutmeow Год назад

Mathematicians? ChatGPT worst topic is math

@TeaParty1776 Год назад

80% of the jobs of hunter-gatherers are gone,

@user-qk3sc8rq9r Год назад

You mean the office worker will be effected the same way blue collar workers have been for decades? Bye Bye American Pie

@classicCyber Год назад

You're making some big thinking mistakes. To become a better critical thinker, your brain must be trained with math. But we need to learn the right type of math, not the math destins us to become accountantss. We stull need all the skills we can have but not learning them for a job but for our brain plasticity.