Pepsi to PLUMMET, Le Mans to Le Moon? Predicting Grey Market prices of Rolex Watches & Wonders 2024

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Well that was underwhelming.
The most wonderful time of the year is upon us, new watch releases form most of the worlds top brands have launched at watches sand wonders in Geneva with all eyes on Rolex.
The topic of this video was always planned - lets discuss the secondary market potential impact of the new releases and of the discontinuations but Ive got to be honest this video is going to be considerably less interesting than expected.
The new releases (Deepsea, 1908, Skydweller, Day-Date) have been quite boring and predictable, discontinuations on the other hand not likely to send shockwaves. I like many was hoping, praying for some drama, yearning for a new release that would set the grey market alight, kick start stagnating sales
and bring some much-needed injection of energy
But you're here and I'm here so lets do this anyway…
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Опубликовано:

2 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 90

@the_shadow_realm5110 5 месяцев назад

This release was the Grey Market’s worst nightmare. There’s no more hype to pump prices. Apart from the YM2, nothing was discounted. Enjoy your collections lads. This will a good year to buy retail.

@Sebastian-z1h 5 месяцев назад

Do you think that the way Rolex wrapped their whole expo stand in a giant neon Pepsi bezel was a bit of a f#*k you to all the discontinuation speculation?

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

I think it was ! i visited the show last year and that was not there for sure so it seems strange they’ve added it this year!

@bobneech965 5 месяцев назад

Tired of Rolex.

@Madeinlondon67 5 месяцев назад

A friend of mine was offered a brand new 2024 Pepsi Jubilee last week for £19,000 and the dealer told him it’s guaranteed to be discontinued, Then on Wednesday after it wasn’t discontinued they dropped the price to £18,000 and they sold it on Thursday for £17,000 😂 True Story.

@kuanseow7407 5 месяцев назад

New Full Gold DeepSea make diver plunge into water FASTER and SUPER DEEP..........and NEVER COME UP ;)

@russcornfield4241 5 месяцев назад

Rolex finally lost the plot. Who wants diamonds on a Daytona. Datejust Motif’s was a great dial but they discontinued them. I knew the Pepsi wasn’t going anywhere. Very disappointed with the releases.

@WestCoastAce27 5 месяцев назад

Agree. Embarrassing that baby brother Tudor actually did better. And they didn’t do that much.

@JohnMurch-k3f 5 месяцев назад

I suspect that a lot of the brands have held back this year given the down turn and the economy in general. No one wants there brand new releases sitting in shop windows. This includes Rolex let’s face it they know that every GMT they make will be sold before it leaves the factory so it’s a safe release and the rest are all gold models which are lower production and higher profit so I think they (and all brands) will hold off until the economy improves and customers have spare cash to spend

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

This is probably a very accurate observation, i would tend to agree. Across the board new releases are not huge and typically not stainless steel mass appeal watches more collectors’ grade gold watches which is an audience unaffected by the economic situation

@JohnMurch-k3f 5 месяцев назад

@@vinnyfrancis I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t see a lot of mid-year releases over 24/25 if we see the economy improve

@WestCoastAce27 5 месяцев назад

Very likely. 👍 And doubly makes sense for Rolex given that many of their releases with silly diamonds and rare metals are for the ‘let them eat cake’ class who live high above the real world.

@Hifimarantzuk 5 месяцев назад

Great video mate! Yes pepsi hoarders balls just got deflated and now Pepsi owners can dump it. This shows don’t buy a watch as an investment or to flip- you will be highly disappointed ! My fav release tuber sub 41 on jubilee takes the cup for 2024 I bought the Tudor BB 925 3 years ago and it’s my fav sterling silver piece ! Cheers mate F the Hoarders. TWMID !

@WestCoastAce27 5 месяцев назад

Well they’ll still make a profit - but yeah if they’d bought BTC 8 months ago they’d have done incredibly better.

@jacstoneu 5 месяцев назад

Worst release in a decade

@frankbrennan1619 5 месяцев назад

Completely underwhelming is the polite description of this ridiculous pile of pants.....

@daniel-j-harris 5 месяцев назад

Why are they obliged to always have a huge release? They had a big one last year, no?

@breakdownshakedown71 5 месяцев назад

The green faced Overseas on pink gold was the winner for me!!!

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

ooooh yes very sexy but If i had one of those it would have the be the Blue, Greatest of all time blue dial

@ryanedwards8549 5 месяцев назад

Still almost impossible to get hands on a Pepsi from AD so can’t see them going down hugely. If they discontinued they may have brought out a new model with fixed ceramic insert so I don’t think gona see Pepsi values dump unless they increase supply which is doubtful.

@davidbrown9947 5 месяцев назад

Great work again.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

Thanks David, happy Watches and wonders!

@JoeGiz64 5 месяцев назад

Pepsi prices are not going anywhere. Still hard to get from AD with long wait lists.

@Sebastian-z1h 5 месяцев назад

Also…about the dumping of Pepsis that held back in anticipation of them being discontinued…I think that’s true in the next few months but they’re still rare as hens teeth so surely that’ll shore up prices anyway. Especially when we can assume that production might concentrate on the new GMT which, compared with the Pepsi is a bit bland. I was lucky enough to get a Pepsi from my AD last Oct and it was a culmination of 2 other Rolexes and a JLC and when I picked it up I swore I’d flip it to justify the other 3 but there’s something about the colours and the comfort that makes me want to sell the other 3 before I sell this one. I don’t think the black and gray would have the same effect on me.

@stephenpeck1636 5 месяцев назад

i don't no how all the grey dealers are not embarrassed after all their guaranteed discontinuation talk. The shit they spout with all there 'inside sources'

@markfriend2682 5 месяцев назад

Vinny, what did you think of Tudor's Releases? Definitely more exciting than Rolex's

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

Hi mark i can confirm that tudors new black bb and the coke are MUCH sexier in the flesh, tried them and w&w and i’m very happy with them, the black is basically a rolex sub VERY similar now and the coke has perfect dimensions and case size, especially with the METAS it’s great value

@billchan6180 5 месяцев назад

Rolex need to get proper designers, its a turning point for the brand if it continues to be boring

@dannysimenauer5745 5 месяцев назад

Technically the GMT black/grey bezel is not new. Rolex released last year the same GMT with a black/grey bezel on a two tone bracelet. This year Rolex made the model with an all steel bracelet. I was thinking that to be different Rolex would have designed a praline white dial to create buzz amongst collectors. Let's see what happens when the new CEO takes the reigns of Rolex in June.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

very true, though they’ve even called the ombré black dial day date a ‘new release’…we got that two months ago at the oscar’s🤪

@masterwatch 5 месяцев назад

The Gold Deepsea is the one I like..

@JJPurp 5 месяцев назад

I blame social media for the way things are with the watch market. A bunch of BS hype.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

probably very true!

@whathappendnext5887 5 месяцев назад

And the crowd goes…mild

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

love this

@johnobrien8398 5 месяцев назад

Who cares about this stuff if Rolex stop making a watch why don’t you try train spotting

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

watch another channel then?, am i missing something hahaha?

@dmaul5190 5 месяцев назад

It’s ombré not fume! 🤦🏽 special Rolex words again I think! 🤣🤣 great vid again mate, keep up the good work 👍🏻

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

Hahaha or degradé? Thanks for watching and your kind feedback

@terrybeach2032 5 месяцев назад

Lol. I like the new models and changes but I’m not a RU-vidr or grey market dealer

@stephen_hughes 5 месяцев назад

Le Mans is getting stopped made, not that it really makes any difference when joe public couldn't get one anyway and they all went to grey market sellers for hugely over inflated prices.

@frankbrennan1619 5 месяцев назад

Absolutely loved your sketch Vinny & just might have more than a grain of truth too!!!

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

Hahaha thanks a lot, thought it was the best way to give my opinion on the releases! It does seem rushed

@gaffs82 5 месяцев назад

You’re miles off on that GMT mate. This is such a meh release. Why would anyone pay over £20,000 for this Watch? It’s far less appealing than the current GMT lineup. It’s the 116750LN, but with grey on the lower half of the bezel.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

I agree but dealers will still initially ask this price

@gaffs82 5 месяцев назад

@@vinnyfrancis they may ask, but they won’t get. I’m seeing 2020 batmans now for $12k in dealer groups. 📉📉📉

@WestCoastAce27 5 месяцев назад

@@vinnyfrancis💯 we know Rolex will slow roll the distribution. We now know that Rolex not only tolerates the grey market, flipping shenanigans, they actually facilitate it. Rolex covets the free publicity when watches sell at silly, new money d-bag prices.

@jbroughton383 5 месяцев назад

New strategy to reduce wait lists make watches nobody wants , a coke or Fanta would have set the market off again ,this way nothing has been discontinued but all the gmts are going to have the scum dial .

@baniconeocleous5837 5 месяцев назад

I think in the next decade rolex will be releasing many more precious metal watches and less steel watches,and tudor will release a £9 k steel sub.

@utsavisgreat 5 месяцев назад

Bored of the hype with Rolex now.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

i’m at watches and wonders at the moment and other brands for sure are taking their limelight, a good display from other brands but lacklustre really from the top ones

@divjan3990 5 месяцев назад

Maybe next year will be more stainless steels models. I think it is good time to buy discontinued model 116710LN at the moment since new GMT will be almost impossible to get.

@nickgardener5802 5 месяцев назад

Still not getting a Pepsi though and £15-16k is optimistic. Rolex are using Tudor for mainstream and Rolex for exotics. Diamonds, precious metals and Dress Watches.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

not for a 2019/19, this is where they were before the discontinuation rumours 18 months ago so why not?

@jamessmith-on3jf 5 месяцев назад

The Pepsi not being discontinued was no surprise to me, why anyone would pay the these inflated prices when a rootbeer is much much easier to acquire. I got my rootbeer at retail in December 23 £12750 and gets worn about 2-3 days per week it is my best watch, and might be worth less than I paid due to it being in below average condition (average condition sadly is unworn or rarely worn). Why would anyone want a Pepsi? it is not a good look people will assume your a mug who was shafted by the grey market and realistically its an overpriced steel rolex. The rootbeer is only 30-40 grams heavier but I can feel the difference. Another overrated rolex where I don't understand the hype is the titanium yacht master it is a lovely to look at but when I try one on at my AD it felt fake do to its lightness.

@Casa1000 5 месяцев назад

Not everyone wants a two-tone watch, but I understand your point about ‘value’

@WestCoastAce27 5 месяцев назад

Thanks for the commentary. Rolex dedicates 2024 to the world’s Nepo Babies. 🤦‍♂️ PS - safe travels and enjoy the show.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

thanks! looking forward to it

@mahmoudghoneim8004 5 месяцев назад

Submariner with a " Fanta " bezel was a missed opportunity.

@russcornfield4241 5 месяцев назад

Rolex serious looking to move mega upmarket.

@sanjaykapoor5398 5 месяцев назад

Cuppa at the ready. No jammy dodgers today - on a diet! Looking forward to this analysis!

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

Hope you enjoy! me too, cutting back after too many Easter eggs!

@americantarmacker514 5 месяцев назад

I’m gonna get that gold presidential for a nice discount this summer

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

maybe soon yes!

@americantarmacker514 5 месяцев назад

These new watches sucked

@MyVideosWillCalmU 5 месяцев назад

🤣🤣🤣

@daniel-j-harris 5 месяцев назад

I actually really like the GMT black/grey on jubilee, I think it’s stealthy. I’ve registered with my AD for it. I assume like any GMT it’s a ‘Flip’? Even though I’d be buying to keep. I’m also really glad the OP Celebration is still here, I’m registered for that and really like it.

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

Fair enough, fingers crossed you get the call soon! And yes but it all depends when you get it

@daniel-j-harris 5 месяцев назад

@@vinnyfrancis what do you mean depends when I get it? Won’t the grey market price settle at the typical 15k mark for the new GMT? Genuine Q, I don’t really know

@vinnyfrancis 5 месяцев назад

well if you’re lucky enough to get it within 6 months then should be a very tasty profit but as i said 12 months from now i expect this on Jubilee to settle at 15-16k asking price which would place trade around 13k, all in all that would represent around £3k profit

@daniel-j-harris 5 месяцев назад

@@vinnyfrancis yeh so for me it’s one to keep long term but always nice to know it’s got some equity in it if I wanted to trade in and get something else. Thanks mate