Reacting to 2024 PECOTA MLB Projections 

Marc posting 2 videos in a week is unheard of

That nationals prediction is criminal, for a team that nearly went 500 in the second half and is trending in the right direction, I give them at least 70 wins, and if crews turns out to be that guy, maybe even 75

Despite the Braves winning 6 consecutive division titles this is the first year it has projected them to win the title

I'm not that shocked about the Yankees win projection, but the O's losing 15 more games than last season seems crazy to me. Adding a top 5 starter to that great young core just doesn't look right at all.

Question Marc, you doing Offseason grades this year?

The Dodgers actually DID win the World Series in 2020, so you're wrong when you say they haven't won it since 1988.

I'm picking 1 Over/Under in each division. AL East: Orioles Over: Last year didn't seem like a fluke to me. They seem like a genuinely great team. AL Central: Guardians Over: This is probably favorite team bias, but honestly the AL Central ones look mostly reasonable to me and we have some promising debuts this year, and I think we have a somewhat solid foundation. AL West: Athletics Under: I think they'll be absolutely pathetic again. NL East: Nationals Over: I agree with you, it's hard to imagine them collapsing that much. NL Central: Reds Over: More of a gut feeling on this one, but I like them for next year. NL West: Padres Over: Last year was really flukey with a few uncharacteristic performances and awful clutch stats. I doubt that'll happen again.

Cmon man. I’m no dodger fan but people gotta stop acting like 2020 was not a championship. Every team had a chance to win the same as the Dodgers did.

I feel like baseball has to be the hardest to predict

2023 pecota rankings had the world series winning rangers projected at 80 wins and 4th place lol

What the hell are you talking about? The Dodgers won the championship in 2020. They can't help it that there was a shortened season. The playoffs were still a full schedule. I didn't realize that the Dodgers were the only team trying to win it that year. That's why they don't get credit. The Dodgers just can't win. It doesn't matter regular season, nobody cares. And then the one year they win the World Series in a full playoff season people say, "Oh no, that doesn't count make up your mind. You can't have it both ways.

Twins are still by far the favorite to the win the division. They didn’t need to add to get better they just need better health. A full season from Royce is big, and Correa being healthy is also massive. And if Buck is actually going to play the field. This team is amazing. I am sad they didn’t get a number 2 or 3 arm but the top 4 of this rotation is great. And people are sleeping on the bullpen. In my opinion it’s the best in all of baseball. And I like what the royals did but they are fighting for 3rd place.

As a Royals fan I feel like we will surprise some people, but the bullpen is weak even with some additions. The thing with the central is that we don’t know which team will have its players execute. We can agree with one thing and that most of the central teams have atrocious offenses.

No respect for the dodgers saying last time they won was 88 … 2020 was a ring no matter what people say

Lol Dodgers haven't won since 88. Guess you forgot getting cheated out of 2017 and the covid season. Guess it's better than 86. 😅

One Interesting Fact is that the twins were well below .500 in Sonny Gray starts. Obviously not his fault, run support was abysmal, but just saying that the 2024 team has a decent crack at matching or exceeding the success sonny gray brought them if the run support jumps back up to what you would expect. (the w-l in sonny starts was somewhere around 14-18). Beyond that, Sonny Gray is a prime regression candidate according to both the advanced predictive metrics and his age

Brewers in the last place without batting an eye is INSANE!!

Im a dodger fan, but phillies 84?!!!! Wins. 94-99

What do you think of the Giants adding Jorge Soler? Do you think that will help bump them above the .500 season?

The Reds have improved their pitching, mainly in the bullpen. I think Abe Vigoda would predict a better win rate for the Reds than PECOTA.

The Giants added Jorge Soler, Robbie Ray, Jung Hoo Lee, and looking at Matt Chapman.

assuming something killing the padres is not having outfielders at all when they will likely add an upgrade

Dodgers won a World Series a few years ago

I have the Brewers winning 82-85 games but still had them in third. I think they are a sleeper team with a lineup I think that can actually hit the ball but it came at the cost at our best pitchers. This will be an interesting year for us

The Dodgers haven't won since 88? 2020? 🤔

My Predictions: NL West 1. Dodgers- 109 (1 seed) 2. Diamondbacks- 87 (5 seed) 3. Giants- 83 4. Padres- 78 5. Rockies- 61 NL Central 1. Brewers- 87 (3 seed) 2. Cubs- 86 (6 seed) 3. Reds- 82 4. Cardinals- 79 5. Pirates- 76 NL East 1. Braves- 106 (2 seed) 2. Phillies- 91 (4 seed) 3. Mets- 80 4. Marlins- 77 5. Nationals- 73 AL West 1. Astros- 95 (2 seed) 2. Rangers- 94 (4 seed) 3. Mariners- 87 4. Angels- 67 5. A’s- 52 AL Central 1. Twins- 86 (3 seed) 2. Tigers- 80 3. Guardians- 76 4. Royals- 68 5. White Sox- 61 AL East 1. Orioles- 102 (1 seed) 2. Rays- 90 (5 seed) 3. Yankees- 89 (6 seed) 4 Blue Jays- 87 5 Red Sox- 79 - To note: Snell, Monty, Belli, Chapman, and JDM signings will change these. - I didn’t just make up a number, I actually went through and used my own formula.

The Marlins hate is crazy

As a Rockies fan it’s a tough world we live in.

The Reds are so underrated. 4th? They had more wins last year, but added pitching and depth this offseason, with another year of the young guns under their belt. I see even as a minimum for this team. They could hit 90 wins.

Reds are gonna win their division with about 90 wins. Bookmark this.

Did the dodgers not win the world series in 2020

Your making me love baseball Marc!

Dodgers won the ws in 2020 you bozo.

They lost me when the Orioles went from 101 wins to 87 after getting better

I agree with your take on the nationals

You seem to ignore the fact that the Dodgers won the 2020.

Marc out here randomly hating the Marlins LOL I do love the content though

Given the lack of market action, I'd be happy if the nats were around the same as last year...it's also the last year of that ridiculous corbin contract

Reds 4th in the central is absolutely insane

Don’t sleep on Milwaukee. Tampa Bay of the NL, they know what they’re doing over here. Some steps forward by last year’s rookies and this team could make some noise come Sept/Oct.

Marc when the season starts up again I really loved when you did 3 games in 24 hours More or those type videos PLEASE

Numbers may not lie but guts over numbers is the way to go sometimes

“Degrom’s not gonna pitch” Literally threw yesterday

O’s might win closer to 110 this year. How does a team adding Corbin and Holliday go backwards from 101?

It’s Marc Season!!!

Even as a Blue Jays fan, I gotta admit, I'm not too confident in them this year unless we sign some bats. Sure JT and IKF are nice to have as DH and Utility guy respectively, our pitching is in a good spot imo, but our offence needs some improvements

Marc can u a make a video looking at your free agent predictions and see how you did?

Feels like the cardinals are projected towards their ceiling. With the pitching, they’re gonna have to out hit people a lot

Mariners slept on

“Dodgers haven’t won since 1988” … oh gawd give me a break .. I used to like your channel but that comment is just ridiculous. Every team had a chance to win . But since it was the dodgers , I guess it doesn’t count 🙄

Marc, the ALC is not wide open. You bought into the media hype that the additions of Wacha, Lugo, and Renfroe are going to make the Royals a playoff team. They should win about 70 games. And as for the Twins, losing Sonny will hurt, yes, but we also should expect bounce backs from Correa and Buck, plus with a full year of Royce, Julien, and Wallner, our offense will be fine. Plus, Ryan and Ober looked good last year at times, and with Paddack as the 4th starter, we will be fine there. Our pen is going to be silly good, and even if our starters struggle, we have prospect capital to make a move at the deadline

If you're gonna shit on the Dodgers at least get their roster right you forgot ab Teoscar Margot and Lux. The actual roster is as follows: Smith Barnes: catcher Freeman: 1B Betts: 2B Luz Rojas: SS 3B: Muncy Teoscar: LF Outman: CF Margot Heyward: RF with CT3 Vargas as depth SP: Yammamoto Glasnow Buehler Miller Sheehan Paxton Kershaw with Knack (late in the szn) Ryan Stone Grove as depth Bullpen Phillips Graterol Brasier Kelly Treinen JP Feyereisen Yarborough Gage Vesia Vanasco Hurt Varland Hudson (minor league contract)

Lux is going to be LA's shortstop...and he's going to open eyes. Nice try throwing shade over the Dodgers' 2020 LEGITIMATE title. The Dodgers don't struggle in the regular season, they typically struggle in the playoffs and if memory serves me correct, the 2020 playoffs were NOT abbreviated. The Dodgers won just as many playoff games in 2020 as any other team since the expansion of the playoffs has had to win....and they had to do all of it on the road, so can it!

11:10 they had pitching it just kept getting injured last season

Gavin Lux will be the dodgers shortstop

Did Marc just post twice in one week

lol I love the hate that Mark has for the Braves. It feels good. Go Braves! 😎

The Dodgers haven’t won since 88. Mets haven’t won since 86. What’s the problem with the Mets Marc?

Padres are slept on still a playoff of team

The Reds won 82 games with the likes of Luke Weaver, Ben Livley, Brett Kennedy, Conor Overton, etc throwing a bunch of innings. I think the reds can be better than 78 wins with a healthy starting rotation

Preseason rankings always hate the Orioles I dunno why

Yankee fan here, I sincerely have the Orioles as my first place AL East team. They’re only getting better, more complete and more experienced. While I liked our offseason and we addressed how thin the outfield was, I just don’t think we have enough across the whole roster to outdo the Os.

With reds young pitching coming back this year I really think that they missed on the reds. Definitely going to be a team to keep an eye on

“Phillies bullpen is ok” they had a top 5 bullpen last year and didn’t lose anyone but go off Mark

Marc, I can’t tell you this with confidence, the Astros will not be having a down year

As a nats fan, I am currently crying in my corner

Pls react to the mlb top 100 list. Your opinions on prospects are interesting asf.

“Dodgers haven’t won since ‘88” 😅

As a Cardinals fan, I agree with the assessment of our rotation. Outside of Sonny Gray, a great signing, the rotation has an upside of mid and a HUGE DOWNSIDE. Myles Mikolas as your #2 is not a playoff rotation so even if you win the division you aren't going anywhere. The Lynn and Gibson signings were very weird because they both seem like guys that would have still been available now in February and they were signed almost immediately. That took up two rotation slots before you even knew what the pitching market was going to look like. They didn't have the flexibility to sign someone whose price was lower than expected or make a trade for someone who was available for a reasonable return. Marmol is not a top manager in the league, and I'm starting to have severe questions about the front office as well. They have made some great acquisitions in the past, but maybe the league has passed them by at this point. I'm a Cardinals optimist so I can see the team winning 90-95 games and the division if they get healthy seasons from their key players, but I could also see them as a third place team hovering around .500 if things don't work out for them. I don't see a repeat of last year's sub .500 season and if that happens they need to clean house in the front office, manager, coaches, and older players to rebuild with new leadership around the young core that they have been building.

You said the Dodgers haven't won the World Series since 1988 but they won it 2020

we defo won a chip in 2020 mark, c’mon give us some credit!! and we winning this chip this year. go dodgers!

As a cubs fan there’s no way we go under .500

The Reds need a good manager

Seems like they are high on the comeback from historically dominant teams like the Yankees and cardinals, and are really sleeping on up and comers like cubs reds and even the O’s who won 100 games lol, seems kinda odd

Marc you hate the Dodgers way too much for a Mets fan, what the hell have we ever done to you really?

Justice for Washington fans

Lol cardinals prediction is insane

As a Tigers fan I honestly think we will win more games than last year and we won 78 last year. I can see us going 81-81 or higher. Not even trying to be biased but I think we can win the division as well. I think this projection is poor. I don’t see how we would be projected to be worse than last year

As a blue jays fan, I do not believe we’re going to finish 2nd in out division. We’re gonna blow this year because management haven’t done anything to help improve the team

As a die-hard Jays fan am shocked, guess it is predicting a Jays big offensive bounceback, but we still dont have a four-hole guy. I love my birds but I see us as the fourth-best team in the al east as of our roster ATM

Wander Franco did some let’s say something not good 😂

3 teams I would play the over on are the Royals, Nationals & Reds

my rankings sorry if i did math worng i did this all in my head AL EAST 1 yankeas 96-66 2 BAL 93-69 3 TOR 89-73 4 TB 84-78 5 BOS 80-82 AL CENTREL 1 twins 87-75 2 tigers 83-79 3 royals 77-85 4 GUA 75-87 5 chw 68-94 AL WEST 1 TEX 99-63 2 SEA 94-68 3 HOU 91-71 4 LAA 70-92 5 oak 57-105 NL EAST 1 ATL 104-58 2 PHI 100-62 3 NYM 82-80 4 miami 78-84 5 nats 76-86 NL CENTREL 1 reds 92-70 2 chc 85-77 3 STL 81-81 4 MIL 79-83 5 pit 76-86 NL WEST 1 LAD 108-54 2 SF 89-73 3 SD 84-78 4 AZ 83-79 5 col - 59-103

Bro thinks the brewers could get 5th place in the central💀

“Last place and I wouldn’t have flinched.” 😂😂By your Pirates logic then the Brewers are as bad as the Nationals. 90+ wins and NL Central Champs to WORSE THAN THE PIRATES without a pitcher who is on the downswing. Come on dude.

As a jays fan, we’ve had a shit off season, I’m very disappointed in them.

You’re going to get flamed dodgers fans for saying they haven’t won one since 1988

I agree, I am skeptical of the Cardinals this season. I would want Cubs/Brewers on top, but I am a Yeli/Belli fan!

the "alec bohm stinks" aged like milk. maybe it's just a hotstreak but a .358 doesn't seem that bad

9:40 lil bro he IS NOT bad 🙏😭 bro humbled you look how he is playing

Why do we still question how good the astros are??? Adding Yainer diaz as a starting catcher that alone gives us 10 more wins. Pitching struggled at the end of the season but theyll be back and rested and ready to go. Altuve wont be injured before the season. Yordan will do yordan things and hopefully be healthy the whole season. We now have one of the best closers in baseball to pack it up in the 9th. And theres more

What’s the specific reasoning for the Astros having a “down year”? Solid lineup, with no players really declining. Outstanding back end of the bullpen. We have so many starters we don’t even know who will make the 5 or 6 man rotation. SP’s - Verlander Valdez Javier Brown Urquidy France McCullers (Mid season) Garcia (Mid season) The only question is middle relief, in which is still not terrible. Relievers- Seth Martinez Montero Bielak Dubin Sousa (Forrest Whitley most likely) Back end- Bryan Abreu Pressly Hader Just curious.

I can agree it’s a good time to be a braves fan

As of 2/18, BP has the Orioles in 4th.

Pirates bouta surprise everyone. Oneil Cruz, Ke’Bryan Hayes, and Henry Davis are gonna take huge steps if they can stay healthy. I think pirates can make a wild card spot only problem would be our starting pitching, our bullpen is great and our offence I think is gonna be amazing

The Rays were projected to have more wins than the Orioles but finish behind them in the standings?

Chokers...Lol 2017 WS was so legit. Trash can salute for you Marc.

You’ve said it’s gonna be a down year for the Astros for like 5 years straight 😂😂😂 see you in the ALCS

Yeah we saw how good betting on the cardinals worked last year. They aren’t winning jack this year.

Who did cubs closer sign with