Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall | Dan Hardy Breakdown, The War Room Ep. 287 

Dan is the best analyst in the game

The moment we've all been waiting for! Dan coming through clutch for the MSG card 💪🏾💪🏾

Aspinall is such a well rounded fighter. Great movement, great ground game truly amazing for a heavyweight. Pavlovich wins by KO rd 1.

Quickly becoming my most anticipated prefight show, thanks Dan

This man's analysis has made me gain a whole new appreciation for not only mma but, the art of sports overall. He lives and loves what he does and it's felt, thanks for awesome stuff!

Dan is the best at breaking down a fight and showing us stuff we didn't even see.

First round should be absolutely wild so pumped

This is by far the best fight breakdown I've seen, it is my first video I've seen of his so excited to watch more of his

Love ya work mate. I do take and learn a lot from your break downs.. thnaks for the content brother

Keep up the good work dan! Pumped af for pav vs aspinall and for jiri vs Alex Aspinall needs to use footwork and not get backed to the cage where pav usually starts to uncork his shots

For sure the best analyst, Dan! I wish you could still show us clips and all the details there

Dan has long been my favourite fight analyst in the game. Total honour to meet you and V outside the MK show in London earlier this year too!

best breakdowns in the game, my guy. Keep at it!

Looking at Aspinall vs Blaydes, Aspinall is in danger...

Tom Aspinall vs Sean O'Malley and Chito Vera is the fight to make

Pavlovich for the win

Pavlovich is arguably THE scariest heavyweight in the division, I'm more excited about this fight than i am the main event! Pavlovich has huge punching power and the threat of a knockout within 1 min and great boxing, but I feel like Tom has more tools in his belt and a more well rounded MMA game. I also think people are sleeping on Tom's power, going to be a tense fight but i think Tom gets it done! Love your breakdowns Dan, best in the business

One of the best in the business breaking down fights! Thanks. Do you have one more fight in you, Dan?

Fantastic work Dan. I’m relatively new to the MMA world 3 years now) relative to the span of the UFC. However, it’s channels such as yours that have in given me the profound access to bolster my knowledge of the sport and its fighters. Through your content along with many others I regularly consume since I became well versed with mma, my love for this sport continues to grow exponentially. Look forward to live watch alongs God willing in the new year🙏🏾

“British analyst glazing British fighter” should’ve been the title of this piece. 👍🏻

Tom's got a huge challenge ahead but has the skills to make it look easy.

Great Analysis Dan, I think you should be getting more views!! I think if you can insert more clips of the fights (like you used to with stopping and drawing etc). I suspect it’s a copyright issue, but is there an option to purchase the footage. I think overall would be a good investment. Big fan of you Dan, keep up the good work!😊

If there ever was a 50/50 fight this is the one.. it could end early but its realy 50/50

Dan is the best at what he does and that is easy to see. Cheers Dan lad.

I'm just a casual UFC fan. My first fight ever that I saw was in Australia (I'm from Estonia) at 4am or something in the morning and it was McGregor vs Aldo :D One of my buddies who I met in Australia was hyping this fight up for me, for about a week so we watched it. Great 13 seconds :D Anyway, now, 8 years later (holy sh*t time flies) I pretty much know all the ranked guys in all weight classes and I watch all the big fights, usually I start with Main Card. I'm also a betting man and for some reason, UFC is very profitable for me. BUT! When there's a fight that really excites me - I mean REALLY excites me - then I always come here and watch you Dan! The intro is kinda creepy but that adds to it :D Thanks for what you're doing, great analysis as always - keep it up! Your long time subscriber, Chance :D

Are you doing the picks podcast? Thanks for the content

Gonna be a great card im feeling it...LETS GOOOOOOOOO. Thanks for the content Dan and fam. #UFC295

Best breakdowns on RU-vid. Really looking forward to this fight ✊

It is crazy to see Pavlovich have 6 inch reach advantage while being 2 inch shorter in height! It is like Volkanovski in his division but Sergei has the power of a russian NGannou 😂With average fight time for both guys around 2mins, it will be very interesting to see if the fight goes beyond 1st round. Awesome match up!! Irrespective of the outcome, future of HW looks exciting!

Top content. Hopefully veronica finds the time to do picks with you 🙏❤️❤️

Love Aspinall but this feels like a huge test. Pavlovich is an absolute monster.

Dan the man, great breakdown as always. Have you ever trained with Tom and his dad/been around them?

Thanks boss. My most anticipated HW fight since Ngannou-Gane. Super pumped for this one

Hate that it’s on short notice, because Tom already had an uphill battle, just makes it steeper

Dan the man put me off me keybab when he took everything GSP had to offer, one of a kind in the cage. And what a human being he is ❤

Dan I miss the BT Sport breakdowns so much. What are the chances of you doing more long form breakdowns in the future?

Nice work

Truly amazing card with arguably the best two fighters in the heavy weight and light heavy weight divisions fighting each other. This probably has never happened before. Pavlovich and Peirra by brutal knockouts.

Best breakdowns in the game. If your relying on analysis from pundits to pick your bets than you deserve losing money. Mma math doesnt work. Dan can do an amazing job breaking it down and the fight could go way differently. Thats why this sport is so great.

This is my most hyped fight for 2023. Cannot wait!

Thank you Master. You are a true MA Master !! Uuussssss 🥊🥋🏋🏻‍♂️

I think Aspinal doesn’t care if he loses he’s just happy to have a fighter who can really test him. He kind of said so in an earlier interview.

I wish that the ufc would switch up their physical attributes stats. I like the pfl giving leg length and would prefer to know armpit to fingertip

I don’t understand why everyone thinks Sergei is for sure the more dangerous fighter. Toms average fight time is less then Sergei and he’s has multiple ways to get it done.

Glad too see him to do well.outside the UFC

Looking for this one👍

Been arguing on instagram all week about this fight, all the casuals think Tom has no chance

Why no outlawed podcast? Really enjoy this before every big card 😢

How does Dan only have 181k subs he’s breakdowns are the best out there I enjoy Chael and DC but they don’t break down the game like this dude and they got damn near a million subscribers. Sub this man’s channel and like his shit to show your love

Excellent breakdown... but pretty biased towards Aspinall

Cant wait for this one 🔥🤌🏼

This is an amazing fight in prospect

Hello Dan! Won't there be any Dan Hardy Breakdown show? Like the one on BT?

Dan you are the best at this brotha!

Pavlo by ko

Is there going to be an outlawed picks podcast for this event? Really hoping there is

Thanks, Dan!

Thanks Dan!

Tom Aspinall is going to shock alot of people on Saturday just how good he is. This ends in the 1st round

Dan is a true professor of the sport.

Dan will we ever see you in combat sports again? Thanks 4 great coverage long live the BRITISH OUTLAW .

A 50/50 between two heavyweight prospects

Jesus! Never seen that leg kick from big Tom, fucking gruesome man.

Knew this fight would happen eventually but I wish Tom had a full camp

I believe Aspinall is favored in every aspect of this. Of course Pavlovich has that insane power, but acting like Tom can’t finish it in a blink of an eye is wrong. Aspinall will take him down and get the RNC after Pavlovich gives his back after some serious ground and pound.

Yo Dan what brand is the hoodie?

Tom does this unorthodox maneuver with his guard where he Olays and lifts his arms. He does it egregiously on leg kicks and even on punching exchanges. Baudot clipped him at will. You know who else does this? Abdurakhimov. And Pavlovich noticed and then timed a hydrogen bomb straight down the center. I expect the same in this fight. Especially bc Tom does have hand speed but at the expense of relative power. Yes I know he’d decapitate me but I’m talking relative to other heavyweights. Arlovski ate 22 shots to the head in multiple flurries in a single round. Yes he can put someone’s light out but it won’t be Sergei in one punch. And Sergei will be firing back in those exchanges. And we all know he 100% can make you real horizontal, real fast. As far as Tom matching Sergei in punching power 9:24 no chance. He’s never put anyone down in a single punch in his career in the ufc. And only once in career ever 2 promotions ago. Pavlovich set tai down of all people with a jab, then gave him the same uppercut that shadow realmed Golm which I believed you called that night with John Gooden. No way you can say they have the same punching power that’s preposterous IMO.

Ground game aspinal takes the fight, if it remains standing pavlovich is a knockout monster.

Gold content again.

I think Sergei mows him down. He seems to always find his shot in the first 3 or 4 exchanges and he dives right in. He’s too accurate and powerful. But he’ll get tested fighting Jones if he gets the chance.

I’m actually glad Jones fight was off. Basically a number 1 contender fight. Stipe is done, would of happened already.

Pav will all out attack Tom within 1 minute, with a massive reach and power advantage and controlled aggression at level 10. Kill or be killed. Q is, can Tom weather this initial hurricane and make this a more tactical, drawn out battle, drain Pav and sub him? A buck each way.

I wish Dan still commented ufc event 😞

Picks podcast?

Costs for heating are still high in the UK, hm?!

Dan should go on Morning Kombat and Luke Thomas should come on Dan’s podcast. Both MMA Wizards and enthusiasts.

I’d say it’s 60/40 on pavlovich’s side. Aspinal coming off a bad injury on short notice makes it not 50/50. Conclusively picking someone to win between two heavyweights with the shortest fight time is impossible. Always a chance these fights go 5 rounds when no expects but probably ends in round 1.

Big reach advantage for the shorter guy. I want Tom to win but idk it’s a tough fight

I like both guys, I don't want any of them to lose 😢

Speed kills, but will it pay the bills.. Both will test each other out first two rounds.. By the 4th round Tom's speed will be to his advantage, Tom will catch Sergei with a kick to the noggin, Tom will mount his back,. choke for the win

I don't see how Pavlovich is going to be able to pull out a win against Aspinal.

Well we’ll well looks like Tom won in the 1st round like I said and what’s funny is people still don’t know what Tom can actually do because he’s finishing people that quickly he still has his grappling to fall back on which is equally as special

Aspinall lock of the week, easy money!😊

let's go Tom, thanks Dan

Tom need to be ready for the first few minutes of an all out …. A perfect oppprtuiity for Tom to pick him off and KO him.. lets go Tom, an easily humble guy to like.

This should be for the real belt. Jones and Miocic will retire after fighting each other. So my question is, who will fight the winner of this fight?

Just in time for this zoot I just rolled - lets go Tom!

Sorry Dan but Aspinall is not in the same power category as Pavlovich and if Tom comes under pressure in round one it's over. Sergei is incredibly accurate. Tom needs to put on a distance and striking masterclass to win this one. Looking forward to it too!

Yikes that was intense...mayb i dont wish for the good ole days of vid breakdowns 😮

Pavolich early ko

If I was Tom I would be looking for low kicks, single leg TDs and lateral movement.

best in the game!

Blades smoked him like 3 times with right hand. Especially the first time. Covered in guard and counter right on the button. Pav walked right through it hahah. Tom will crack him with it

This fight is literally the following; chin or be chinned.

Let’s Go!

If Pavlovich wins it's going to be like Ngannou's reign but without the gassing out. Scary heavyweights always bring out the best fights

No picks?

This fights going to look like Frank Mir vs Shane Carwin

Aspinal I don’t reckon has the 1 hit power to get pav out of there pav has been tagged by bigger punches than Tom and was fine I really think pav by ko in rnd 1

Didn't realise Pav had an 84 inch reach ..that could be a problem for Tom