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The Dollar Milkshake Theory is Stronger Than Ever 

Real Vision
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Brent Johnson first spoke about his “dollar milkshake” theory on Real Vision in May 2018 • The “Dollar Milkshake”...
Since then, by his estimate, he’s said “milkshake” “a million times.” As he sees it, the U.S. enjoys a comparative advantage - despite all of its problems - and, as a result, its currency will appreciate.
It’s an on-the-money call if ever there was one. In this interview with Ash Bennington, Johnson forecasts more of the same.
He also shares the story of how he came up with his “milkshake” theory (it involves the movie “There Will Be Blood”) and why it stands.
And he warns investors to be prepared for both inflationary and deflationary pressures. Johnson does expect U.S. equities to continue marching higher over the long term - but not without terrifying drawdowns along the way. Recorded on October 11, 2022.
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16 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 176   
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Год назад
Through October 31 we’re CRASHING the cost of all our memberships 🔥 JOIN NOW 👉 rvtv.io/3s6klas
@Economivision
@Economivision Год назад
I heard the dollar milkshake theory years ago when Brent first talked about it amid all these other economists. He was a complete lone wolf in his belief. ...Very incredible to see how correct he's been
@WhiteLotusOfLight
@WhiteLotusOfLight Год назад
Well, Geostrategic analyst Peter Zeihan has always said the same as well and for much longer actually. He just doesn't have a cool nickname for it.
@inquisitive8903
@inquisitive8903 Год назад
Yes at a Cambridge hosted show, right?
@WhiteLotusOfLight
@WhiteLotusOfLight Год назад
@@inquisitive8903 he's said it innumerable times for years and years. He outlined the exact same forces. Again, he just didn't have a nifty memeable catch-phrase.
@thelouisianarealtor
@thelouisianarealtor Год назад
@@WhiteLotusOfLight so basically this guy ripped off Peter’s work
@WhiteLotusOfLight
@WhiteLotusOfLight Год назад
@@thelouisianarealtor I'm not sure I'd go that far. I'd just say that Peter Zeihan has ALSO expressed this sentiment for as long as I can remember listening to him. Essentially that no matter what happens, the US is in total control of its currency and will absolutely defend its global reserve currency status at all costs. Catherine Austin-Fitts has also said similar for ages. This guy took a contrarian position stated by others and simply gave it a fancy name. I am not accusing him of ripping others off, just of basically laying claim to something that a number of people were already saying. It reminds me of the Feingold Diet which is simply, don't eat synthetic garbage and the dude just attached his name to it and got credit as though it was a revelation.
@PeterKontor
@PeterKontor Год назад
Had a pleasure meeting and talking to Brent. Great man. Huge respect
@dave8212
@dave8212 Год назад
I bet Brent wishes he had a $1 for every time somebody has quoted his 'dollar milkshake theory' ! 😉👍
@jorgegomez524
@jorgegomez524 Год назад
Nothing really new, we had the plaza accord because there was at the time a strong dollar and there wasn’t milkshake theory...
@mikeskelley6577
@mikeskelley6577 Год назад
I'd owe him more than a few bucks haha
@johnanon658
@johnanon658 Год назад
Nice clip
@pacosuavey4510
@pacosuavey4510 Год назад
That’s a lot of milkshakes
@ibodhidogma
@ibodhidogma Год назад
I don't think he appreciates just how perilous the situation is for democracy in the US, right now. But that goes for most Americans, IMO. Most people seem to be sleepwalking on the edge of a cliff.
@dmdale3598
@dmdale3598 Год назад
Only a civil war of protests and blocking daily routines, work, school and making the police stand down will fix this issue. And only that, after the world removes the dollar from trade and reserve currency status.
@user-eq5xw7pj2i
@user-eq5xw7pj2i Год назад
Now mid term was over, do you still hold this opinion?
@koltoncrane3099
@koltoncrane3099 Год назад
Covid wasn’t that big of a deal. It was governments response that made it a massive deal. They could of suggested older people to stay home etc but they didn’t do that. They had to make big corporations bigger and make millions of small businesses go bankrupt. To say you can’t have church or small restaurants stay open but then large congregations in Walmart is fine or casinos it really shows the inconsistencies or hypocrisy of the governments response. It’s why there were funny memes saying church is canceled we’re meeting at Home Depot on Sunday instead haha.
@zacharysimone5817
@zacharysimone5817 Год назад
That sounds like a pretty big deal to me and you sound like a bot
@krzysztofwlezien6043
@krzysztofwlezien6043 Год назад
Really, in my country you couldn't play tennis, that is being apart from the other player 10-20 meters, but churches were wide open to anybody.
@rigel3835
@rigel3835 Год назад
Brent you deserve a million times more credit for your predictions. Great job 👏
@shahinir
@shahinir 2 месяца назад
clearly explained in simple language that is easy to understand. This man is a genius.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance 2 месяца назад
We're glad you found the explanation helpful!
@maxhartford3416
@maxhartford3416 Год назад
Is the dollar the dirtiest shirt in the pile, or the highest point on a sinking ship?
@gosnellktn
@gosnellktn Год назад
In 2008 Swiss franc was pristine compared to dollar. It was just too small. So they had to dirty it. There is no life boat big enough to replace the dollar in a liquid system.
@AEG_UK2020
@AEG_UK2020 Год назад
Lets quit with this "Milkshake Theory" it's not a theory, it's a concept.
@KL-nj9oe
@KL-nj9oe Год назад
Thank you Brent, UUP has been a champ.
@mgtowlife54
@mgtowlife54 Год назад
Gold is the cleanest shirt.
@quant2011
@quant2011 Год назад
Silver is 10x undervalued vs gold
@nickkacures2304
@nickkacures2304 Год назад
Humble man Brent really crawled out on a limb as far as anyone I know when he made that prediction about 2 years ago and he was right then and more importantly he nailed it !!!! When no one else did 👏👏👏 and Brent is right this is not going to end well.war, food shortages,currency collapse is here and the debt crisis is just beginning
@billhaney8160
@billhaney8160 Год назад
He’s been right from the beginning. It’s wild to see it play out.
@zelliot33
@zelliot33 Год назад
Will you be talking about the coming attempt to implement CBDC’s in place of dollars? Thank you guys for talking about these very real, very important high value topics.
@thenewwayhome
@thenewwayhome Год назад
The dollar is overvalued without any physical commodities holding it up. Excellent insights from Brent and a fantastic chat as always!
@gustavotriqui
@gustavotriqui Год назад
That's not true, there are physical commodities holding up the value of the dollar. 10 Nimitz class carriers and 1 Gerald Ford carrier.
@amraceway
@amraceway Год назад
Surely in a global market you need a benchmark currency and that is the US dollar. Therefore everything else then becomes relative to that.When another country experiences economic growth its currency will rise against the benchmark currency and likewise when its economy declines so too will its currency fall against the dollar. It is not so much the dollar getting stronger it is other currencies getting weaker.
@amraceway
@amraceway Год назад
@@ronarnett4811 Globalization started 500 years ago.The global market will outlive religion. Talk of de-globilization is pure bunk. Capitalism is based on globalization. Trust me your shirt will be made wherever it is cheap to make.
@youKnowWho3311
@youKnowWho3311 Год назад
I missed the top by about 3 days in the march 2020 drop. I literally got a phone call on Nov 5th 2021 from an old work mate asking me if he should be concerned that his 401k had made 69% that year. I told him to ring the register on half. I haven't talked to him since. Hope he did. You can't always call the top or bottom, but if you pay attention, you can get within 10%. If you do that for the majority of the big swings every 8-12 years (on average), you will be rich.
@yiyoguerra
@yiyoguerra Год назад
I still find all the contradictory indicators confusing. What specifically do you look at? Stocks had been overvalued for years and years.
@youKnowWho3311
@youKnowWho3311 Год назад
@@yiyoguerra Yes, they have. It's been a massive bull run for equities. The catalyst occurs about every 8-12 years depending on how you look at the data over the course of the last 50-60 years. I would give an overly simplistic description, but if I tell you they printed 40% of the currency in a few years, then necessarily, assets should account for this and rise to meet the devalued dollar. This would account for the loss in purchasing power. I like gold here and cash in the short run. I sold my rental house a few months back. Seeing some of the stocks at current levels peaks my interest, but I will definitely wait til the midterms/q3 closeouts to see how that affects things. I see a lot of volatility in the charts currently relative to previous time periods. I also think we will see massive upside run in equities or another 20% down from here. Not sure yet. I think we will see deflationary forces for offshore goods due to the dollar rising. Until it doesn't. Then it's look out below for the economy. We don't make anything in the US anymore and in the midst of a recession or worse, this will wreak havoc on personal spending. I think it's highly probable that we see gold do a 2-3x over the next 7 years. But I still watch and keep a relatively balanced portfolio with a high weighting towards gold 30+%. ZERO bonds in play for me.
@tonyfrattaroli7371
@tonyfrattaroli7371 Год назад
It’s always easy looking backwards. Do me a favor, give me a top / local top prediction for the future. That’s the way it needs to be done to make money and “ be rich “. Brent made a prediction looking forward. The best investors have all admitted they can’t pick tops with consistent accuracy. But what do they know.
@JS-ws3zt
@JS-ws3zt Год назад
The Us debt is more than 31 trillion? Who had 31 trillion to lend? LOL
@Triedandtrue44
@Triedandtrue44 Год назад
Maybe Artificial intelligence, robotics and automated factories can be set up to mass produce 31 trillion dollars worth of TP? Oh wait the Fed already did that… maybe they can regear to make actual TP so the whole world is repaid!
@carlpoppa1788
@carlpoppa1788 Год назад
What about the end of the petro-dollar? The signs are there that it's coming sooner than we think.
@zedzed5276
@zedzed5276 Год назад
Saudi Arabia bought lots of USA military equipment. That equioment needs constant maintenance to remain functiinal. If SA stops selling oil in USD, spare parts stop getting shipped.
@carlpoppa1788
@carlpoppa1788 Год назад
@@zedzed5276 I thought they made deal recently to start buying Russian equipment
@zedzed5276
@zedzed5276 Год назад
@@carlpoppa1788 they did, and that is how proxy wars start.
@leon828
@leon828 Год назад
Great as always; and what about the bet with Peter Schiff 😉?
@antithesespistopheles8112
@antithesespistopheles8112 Год назад
So far, Brent has proven the most accurate. Doesn’t Peter Schiff owe you a gold coin?
@inquisitive8903
@inquisitive8903 Год назад
Actually 3 ... He doubled down n lost it again...
@paulc.3333
@paulc.3333 Год назад
Like, a fifty dollar coin?
@inquisitive8903
@inquisitive8903 Год назад
@@paulc.3333 I think an ounce of gold
@antithesespistopheles8112
@antithesespistopheles8112 Год назад
@@paulc.3333 an ounce of gold, I believe.
@1Surge
@1Surge Год назад
The dollar won’t be the best option in just a couple of years. Back in 2008 was the real collapse but since there was no other option in sight everyone just turned a blind eye as the USA and the federal reserve forced countries to keep obtaining debt in treasuries and bonds knowing they will never get paid back. But alas the day of reckoning is right in front of us.
@davidbagley1783
@davidbagley1783 Год назад
I can't believe how many people can't see it..
@torus6083
@torus6083 Год назад
Covid = First of the last kicks of the can down the road
@brando4221
@brando4221 Год назад
If the USD drops back to 1.00 against foreign currency, will that make domestic inflation/ food prices go up proportionally?
@inquisitive8903
@inquisitive8903 Год назад
Yesssss
@pulsarlights2825
@pulsarlights2825 Год назад
What's the map on the wall behind Brent?
@kiwit482
@kiwit482 Год назад
Brent talks about it on another video I once saw. It's Spain and France, possibly an ancient version.
@Chris_Richard
@Chris_Richard Год назад
Brent Santiago is the best!
@michaeljanewhite5467
@michaeljanewhite5467 Год назад
You are right, Brent. Your thesis is still correct. And the whole glue ball will last for another 500 yearcycle.
@dougiedd3986
@dougiedd3986 Год назад
where are all those dollars flowing into the US? Not bonds obviously. Not stocks . Not Commodities. All cash?
@mightiestspatula
@mightiestspatula Год назад
Land.. a lot of it is purchased by foreigners and foreign businesses
@bokkenrijder172
@bokkenrijder172 Год назад
“…the horrific pandemic…” If I hadn’t watched the news or had seen people wearing face diapers, I wouldn’t have know there was a “pandemic.” 🙄 Pumping such DS agitprop and psyop in addition to pumping Kriptowz is the main reason I don’t pay for a subscription to Real Vision or Zero Hedge. 😉
@overbuiltlimited
@overbuiltlimited Год назад
In the case of real vision what do you expect? Raoul Pal quarantined by choice on his estate in the Caymans for at least a year, if not 18 months. He bought into all of the COVID BS so of course he pushes it on his “network.”
@bokkenrijder172
@bokkenrijder172 Год назад
@@overbuiltlimited indeed, plus the usual PR for CBDC TrialBalloonCoinz aka kriptowz. Nothing ‘revolutionary’ about kriptowz if they are pumped 24/7 on CNBC…
@demonridera
@demonridera Год назад
If the only choice is to finance the MIC war machine with your savings, then it's better to consume them in your own country. Regardless of the pain, an alternative trading system among countries should be worked on
@coltuppal
@coltuppal Год назад
What's this an advert for the USA? What a load of bs
@tomstory8502
@tomstory8502 Год назад
What will happen to house prices in the milkshake theory?
@spaghettimonster1498
@spaghettimonster1498 Год назад
Dollar is the last fiat one would want to hold today. it's 20 to 25% overvalued.
@tonyfrattaroli7371
@tonyfrattaroli7371 Год назад
What currency would you rather have? It’s up against almost all currencies.
@spaghettimonster1498
@spaghettimonster1498 Год назад
@@tonyfrattaroli7371 gold silver btc
@gustavotriqui
@gustavotriqui Год назад
@@spaghettimonster1498 It's up against gold silver and btc in the last 12 months as well.
@spaghettimonster1498
@spaghettimonster1498 Год назад
@@gustavotriqui thats right. it topped out
@adamfoster7437
@adamfoster7437 Год назад
Covid wasn't a big deal.... the government's deranged response made it so.
@andrewshantz9136
@andrewshantz9136 Год назад
Love the dirty shirt metaphor lol
@melfordjohn8189
@melfordjohn8189 Год назад
The milkshake is having its day in the sun, but it will turn sour just like all other fiat currencies. The process has already started.
@bensayre4238
@bensayre4238 Год назад
in a flooding sewer, the rats will scurry to the highest chamber, even if it will flood eventually as well.
@Flywithmeleo
@Flywithmeleo Год назад
Where can i get that painting
@MegaUncleJake
@MegaUncleJake Год назад
Why not to wear a clean shirt that is decentralized asset like ETH or BTC or DOT or Matic or XRP? Or why not wear a clean golden shirt to shine with? Dollar milkshake will spray in the drain when BRICS digital currency is released.
@thegreatbambino3358
@thegreatbambino3358 Год назад
7:50 glad to hear insider trading is alive and well
@stevehisey389
@stevehisey389 Год назад
Rock, paper, scissors, Nuke. New game being played here when military response trumps monetary system. LNG explosion next?
@greenlamp9219
@greenlamp9219 Год назад
im not an economist but what if the fed printed more money while they were raising interest rates? would that not export the debt to the rest of the world while making the us dollar even stronger?
@gustavotriqui
@gustavotriqui Год назад
That's like trying to suck and blow the straw at the same time.
@cobra_joe6237
@cobra_joe6237 Год назад
Insider information regarding Covid?
@dave4138
@dave4138 Год назад
The jury is still out. The theory was wrong when the FED brought rates to zero but has been right since they started raising rates while most other jurisdictions haven't or lagged behind the US. If US rates normalize with the rest of the world, or drop lower, then the dollar will weaken. There is also deglobalization and things like BRICS which may also put pressure on the dollar. In the current climate I see limited upside to the dollar still...can it hit 120? Maybe. But the higher it goes it means the global economic situation has gotten worse and makes a FED pivot, or some other form of intervention, more likely.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Год назад
Thanks for watching!
@libo6368
@libo6368 Год назад
First time I hear reality
@lutzfilor56
@lutzfilor56 Год назад
COVID was a Pre event, but the FED could have done the same 3 years ago.
@TuongNguyen-te8zy
@TuongNguyen-te8zy Год назад
Covid or alien invasion, that were 2 options back then. i was at their meeting
@pod11th31
@pod11th31 Год назад
If dollar is appreaciating how much FEWER dollars you need to spend on food and energy? oh? its more dollars? if you spend more dollars on living how is dollar getting stronger?
@kurtjohnston6620
@kurtjohnston6620 Год назад
The ultimate “Lolbetarianism becomes a trade”. Do these people have any original thoughts; “kick the can down the road”, “never be able to repay”, all the same horseshit.
@First_Principals
@First_Principals Год назад
Dollar milkshake just means international capital flows.
@kapdolkim1914
@kapdolkim1914 Год назад
Gosh, Brant is correct. It is not rocket science. The world needs dollars. I worked in many foreign countries and the economies and businesses revolve around the US dollar. End of story.
@dainjor7379
@dainjor7379 Год назад
im sure the Portuguese said this before the Spanish.... the Spanish before the dutch.... the dutch before the Brits.. and then the founding fathers made a currency backed off of something and said we are sick of your shit England...... us will exchange hands with the GDP power play in a BRICS body that has had enough with US. especially if Saudi joins :)
@TuongNguyen-te8zy
@TuongNguyen-te8zy Год назад
ask john wick
@omnimoeish
@omnimoeish Год назад
I would love to hear a debate about whether deflation or inflation is the greater threat for the next 10 years.
@mintymendicant1929
@mintymendicant1929 Год назад
Definitely our purchasing power rising would be a horrible crisis.
@saltydog1196
@saltydog1196 Год назад
They're gonna burn it down and buy up the ashes!
@ddprepper5227
@ddprepper5227 Год назад
Excellent report
@rof8200
@rof8200 Год назад
Dollar milkshake is not actually working against Russian ruble, Brazilian Real and oil. In fact, people have been avoiding US bonds, which has fallen this year.
@quant2011
@quant2011 Год назад
and soon gold and silver
@mikepepper8395
@mikepepper8395 Год назад
I bought treasuries a few months ago as a hedge against my CAD depreciating against the dollar while making a decent yeild. It's paid off well. If your living in Japan it would have paid off even better.
@eddiebeer4516
@eddiebeer4516 Год назад
The crisp clean shirt is Bitcoin.
@Tradetilldie
@Tradetilldie Год назад
I have a dirty UK shirt lol
@houseboatin
@houseboatin Год назад
CHEAP millionaire vloggers not using sound dampeners...
@d-mr96nbaicey1ne7
@d-mr96nbaicey1ne7 Год назад
Dollar Top In
@furlockfurli2719
@furlockfurli2719 Год назад
If you are in trading, highs and lows are the same. They mean business.
@JS-jh4cy
@JS-jh4cy Год назад
Can we drink the milkshake?
@wedgecharger
@wedgecharger Год назад
I crisp shirt is BTC .
@RN-2444
@RN-2444 Год назад
DXY to 166.6 Guarenteed...Take it to the Khsarian Mafia Central Bank
@nikhiltandon
@nikhiltandon Год назад
Brent is the real GOAT 🐐 !
@jram0001
@jram0001 Год назад
But if you adjust the dollar value to inflation what is the real value???
@johnr7729
@johnr7729 Год назад
Wen blood
@igorjanakjiev966
@igorjanakjiev966 Год назад
This Theory won t for to long everybody will start dumping Us treasury bonds nobody will buy them Bond Market will crash $$$$ is not rising but other currencies re falling
@markkaminsky4943
@markkaminsky4943 Год назад
Decent analysis
@lfs-x1r
@lfs-x1r Год назад
Yes...dont invest...wait for clarity...in the meantime stocks have gone up from the bottom: Appl 21%, UNH 23% and Nvda 28% , but keep waiting...invest only when its back to all time highs.
@WGPower_Nonchalant_Cafe
@WGPower_Nonchalant_Cafe Год назад
Hey who stole Brent's bathrobe?
@zacharysimone5817
@zacharysimone5817 Год назад
The global economy is restructuring. This time is different. Already.
@masonslane2318
@masonslane2318 Год назад
Gates' GAVI coordinated the response.
@PikachooUpYou
@PikachooUpYou Год назад
😂 What American wouldn’t say that the US dollar is a safe bet. No bias there 😂
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Год назад
Thanks for watching!
@barrycalvert8219
@barrycalvert8219 Год назад
Duuuudeeee... the hair brah !
@scottlittlewood4527
@scottlittlewood4527 Год назад
I was thinking of starting a scam thread pretending to have made loads of money with an imaginary broker. Can anyone help?
@tupacalypse88
@tupacalypse88 Год назад
oh wow I can't believe you asked this. I recently became a millionaire by following the advice of scam broker OctaFx.
@TheLiquidMix
@TheLiquidMix Год назад
golden Schmolden!
@kurtdewhurst4883
@kurtdewhurst4883 Год назад
Sotheby's Austin have done countless BTC transactions for real estate here since 2017...
@thelouisianarealtor
@thelouisianarealtor Год назад
Really now?
@overbuiltlimited
@overbuiltlimited Год назад
Makes sense really. Austin has become a tech town. Lots of wealthy tech guys are into crypto.
@RavenRaven-se6lr
@RavenRaven-se6lr Год назад
I think the uk Prime minister has even more a massive task. Brexit mess on top of interest rates inflation
@davidplumer8766
@davidplumer8766 Год назад
Mouthpiece
@johnevelyn8843
@johnevelyn8843 Год назад
Covid seems to be a blind spot across the macro spectrum.......
@anarchistbuddhist6374
@anarchistbuddhist6374 Год назад
We do not and will not ever live in a perfect or ideal world. So a lot of times you have to decide between the lesser of two evils, in this instance its the US dollar. Lol
@leftyhooks5854
@leftyhooks5854 Год назад
That's your mindset. Evil is evil. Rather than kill it, you subside to the lesser. Evil is evil
@relozekoot
@relozekoot Год назад
Buy US assets?
@davidbagley1783
@davidbagley1783 Год назад
The country is lost.. people are zombies
@jrbm670
@jrbm670 Год назад
UN-CORPORATIONS Coup d’etat to the world 😢
@randolphr5074
@randolphr5074 Год назад
Did he say horrific pandemic? This clown REALLY believes the narrative 😊
@overbuiltlimited
@overbuiltlimited Год назад
Yep, typical real vision bs messaging.
@nickkacures2304
@nickkacures2304 Год назад
Let’s please remember Brents epic bets on the dollar with Peter Schiff who thought we we’re going to see an immediate collapse two years ago and the death of the dollar was imminent 😂
@mintymendicant1929
@mintymendicant1929 Год назад
Peter won the bet! 🤣
@nickkacures2304
@nickkacures2304 Год назад
@@mintymendicant1929 yes ✅✅ my bad
@spitfirered
@spitfirered Год назад
👍👍💯💯👏👏
@argarcia281
@argarcia281 Год назад
odd-lookin' fella
@charleswilson8038
@charleswilson8038 Год назад
U c it as the least dirty shirt. I see the as the worst.
@NastyDevil137
@NastyDevil137 Год назад
SQQQ > UUP
@exiledhebrew1994
@exiledhebrew1994 Год назад
this guy is delusional; dollar collapse in 5 years
@haysnairte4
@haysnairte4 Год назад
5 month
@jayd6813
@jayd6813 Год назад
There are only a few clean shirts in the world and one of them is Bitcoin.
@firoze4308
@firoze4308 Год назад
Highly intellectual changes in Quran to encounter the imaginary character Masih-ud-dajjal.
@mutoglady2564
@mutoglady2564 Год назад
*Despite the financial instability all over the world, I’m so excited I’ve been earning $45,000 from my $10,000 investment every 10days...*
@FranciscoRodriguez-be6ik
@FranciscoRodriguez-be6ik Год назад
What is this guy smoking 🚬?
@lupusdei0819
@lupusdei0819 Год назад
U rich bro? Didn’t think so, just like all economists lol….u just had to look at interest rates lol why u making this so complicated lol wow
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