The End: The Fed Is About To Start The Stock Market Crash 2023 (The Hard Landing Is About To Begin)

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21 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 170

@LarryCheungCFA Год назад

Friends, let me know what you think. Soft landing? Hard Landing? No Landing? Here's my latest Strategy Note: larrycheung.substack.com/p/feb-investment-strategy-mid-month Make sure to follow me on Twitter and Instagram: twitter.com/LarryCheungCFA My IG: instagram.com/larrycheungcfa/

@rejectionistmanifesto8836 Год назад

Young folks now is NOT the time to get pregnant or get someone pregnant. Please use daily birth control pills, condom, Morning After pill each time after sex and get the Tubal Ligation simple procedure. We are entering the Greatest Depression as explained by Gerald Celente and others who study the largest financial bubble in history which is in the process of collapsing. Do not condemn an innocent newborn child into a horrific future as the starvation and ruin of the Great Depression will look like luxury when this collapses.

@emilybrown2719 Год назад

I used to think everybody went broke during the Great Depression and other major crashes but they didn’t… Some made millions, I also thought everybody went out of business during these times but they didn’t, some went into business, there's always depression/recession for some people and there's always a good time for others, it's all about perspective.

@FeliciaJudge Год назад

First step is discovering loopholes to generate gains during volatility, It is very possible to retire big time from the current market condition without having to hold stocks long term.

@jenniferkyle6036 Год назад

@@FeliciaJudgeMost people just have this “I’ll have to do it myself mentality” which is good but still the same reason the get heavily affected during a crash and coupled with the fact we’ve had the longest bullrun ever in the American history, most folks aren’t knowledgeable to manaqe this crash and it’s impending opportunltles well enough, so it only makes sense to seek proper guidance during these times, that’s what lnvestment-advlsers are for, been using one ever since the pandemc 2020 and I’ve been barely affected by crash, I have $850k in gainns sitting in my potfolio and I’m unbothered about mrkt outcomes.

@emilybrown2719 Год назад

@@jenniferkyle6036Well if isn’t that the hard truth…this investment-adviser that guides you must really on to something…who is he?

@jenniferkyle6036 Год назад

@@emilybrown2719It’s a She actually, Susan Agnes Hancock you've probably heard of her, I initially came across her on a CNBC news report then on smartadvisors and I decided to hit her up. Best decision I made to stay afloat 2020.

@emilybrown2719 Год назад

@@jenniferkyle6036 Thanks for the contributions, I just skimmed through Susan Agnes Hancock's webpage, interesting stuff, wrote her an email.

@bradsandler3526 Год назад

Having heard all you have to say, would it be right to sell off holdings at the moment? Because I was looking to rebalance and add a couple of more positions, but I have my concerns considering the recent state of the economy.

@alyoshaivanovv Год назад

“Frugality isn’t about cutting your spending on everything. Frugality is about choosing the things you love enough to spend extravagantly on - and then cutting costs mercilessly on the things you don’t love. The mind-set of frugal people is key to being rich.”

@maryalchester Год назад

Well, depends on your risk management. You should know when to break even or sell. With questions like this, it sure you’ve got little or no knowledge on how the market works. You need to know the market is an ocean not a lake. Having consecutively lost multiple ptfs, I was able to rebuild under Yvonne Annette Lively averaging a 15% m-roi. I’ve come to realize how time, capital, inv goal, entry and exit are unique to each asset.

@mvanwie Год назад

@@maryalchester from the recent fin-up weekly podcast? I think she mentioned credit fueling the economy?

@mvanwie Год назад

@@maryalchester I meant Yvonne Annette Lively

@tommyfisher277 Год назад

@@mvanwie Just looked her up. Records are detailed but wouldn’t she sorta pricy for 11% m-roi?

@wolfhound5108 Год назад

This seems like the worst period. Even the market are now very unpredictable. Started invêsting recently when the market prices were a bit high,today I am more than 60% down!....

@Robertgriffinne Год назад

Even with the right technique this days some invêstors will still make more than others. With the guidance of Trev tait mozingo I learnt nothing beats experience in the market..

@tradekings5433 Год назад

Lol. I'm one of them. Not a professional though,started last year in all honesty wish I had known about him earlier.

@Natalieneptune469 Год назад

I'm your new subscriber ,Love your content. Trev has already made a name for himself his reviews are exceptional I was able to grow an account close to a million,withdraw my profit right before the correction and now am buying again ..

@smithlenn Год назад

I have seen frenvesting's video about him

@Patriciacraig599 Год назад

It's the market, if you can't be on it on the bad dåys,you shouldn't be in it at all.

@khanhcao3123 Год назад

Have to see it to believe it. Every place is packed and restaurants are busy.

@robm2245 Год назад

Iv'e been saying the same thing for the last two years. It seems like everyone is "rich" right now. Spending is unreal! What is going on!!!

@cliftonkelly3812 Год назад

Even if a non dollar-denominated asset sees no real gains during inflation that's still much better than holding cash and seeing your real purchasing power undermined. In other words, sometimes you have to chose between the lesser of two evils.

@richardyepesdiego5702 Год назад

Yes Clifton. I would rather lose 3% on a stock due to inflation than lose 10% on cash due to the same inflation.

@berwickperu7683 Год назад

One thing I always have at the back of my head is the Rockefeller's advice on how to earn during times like this; while others are panicking and selling or holding,

@diegolim6277 Год назад

My primary concern is how to grow my reserve of $300k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains, sure I know the risks of short term gains are much greater but if well managed one'd make a killing, am I wrong?

@cliftonkelly3812 Год назад

@@diegolim6277 These strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

@richardyepesdiego5702 Год назад

@@diegolim6277

@dominickolas Год назад

Larry, You laid it out from the beginning. If inflation is still high, (it is) and unemployment is low (it is), they will cut until they get the inflation under control.

@JeredtheShy Год назад

I have become curious as to what this "jobs report" of a continuing strong "job growth" really is, exactly. What is that metric, precisely, from what is it drawn? Word on the street is that the jobs, especially the good ones, are hard to come by, requiring months of application, ghosting by hiring managers, failed interviews, and so on for qualified candidates to land a position, not exactly a seller's market, COVID or not. Likewise, anecdata reports that a lot of the "Now Hiring" signs are a lie. Openings may be advertised, but when applicants go to claim those jobs, there is not much interest in actual hiring, for low-skilled jobs where there is an alleged shortage. Most likely the workers seeking employment are in desirable cities where employers have an edge, while the unfilled job growth is in undesirable towns where none of them live. But there is a disconnect between what the boots on the ground are seeing versus the runaway job growth that is justifying further and further rate increases. It doesn't bode well.

@Lion_lamb Год назад

Maybe ppl hesitant to hire due to supply chain. Can’t meet demand anyway so prob stalling.

@laivincent561 Год назад

What is your take on the USD Will the exchange rate drop invariably? if so what currency should we convert it too?

@GameOvrMan Год назад

Does it mean gold market and gold stocks?

@rdp916 Год назад

I’m a high income earner, have ample assets, and I am pissed that things are so expensive. From the grocery store, to Costco, to every restaurant I eat at. Even the portion size are smaller. I am not going to lose my job, nor blow through my cash, but this environment doesn’t allow me to be happy to spend. Pisses me off and I am turning into a hermit hoarding my savings, and any cash that I have. If I feel this way,and I have a good job, and assets, how do people that don’t have assets feel? Tough times.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@danpass12 Год назад

I would recommend evaluating the relation between DXY and XLF. Go ahead and start in early Nov 2022. Nov 04 2022 would be a good place to start. And who most affects DXY? ;)

@jimsmith8324 Год назад

I am comparing the charts of the Nikkei 225 from the December 1989 top to our SPX December 2021 peak using a monthly chart. Scary.

@TheForge47 Год назад

I calculated in 2021 with the help of taylor rule the Fed Funds Rate to come over the inflation. the result was a fed funds rate around 885 bps 😉

@Stellarchick Год назад

The only thing that will protect your investments longer term is if the NPV of future cash flows supports the current stock price. That's all that's necessary until after the market resets.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@surindashinde3780 Год назад

Market is already crashed from last one year?what more can they drag more down,I don't reckon it can go more than where we are today.

@feleciawallace8420 Год назад

Great show... thank you

@Dash4u Год назад

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@Stellarchick Год назад

You really don't need those tables. And it's not a recipe for disaster. It's simply the government moving from a 14 year government controlled bull market to an uncontrolled market as was the norm before the financial crisis. The biggest risk investors have are not ensuring that the financials can support the stock price. The reason the markets rebounded is that the Fed is lowering the amount of interest rate increases which has the effect on the market of QE instead of QT.

@mookm6639 Год назад

Imagine what happens when student loan payments resume on top of this rising credit debt

@mantisstorm4047 Год назад

good news is good news, bad news is good news.... market only goes up

@Jasongang19 Год назад

5.50% is the minimum where they have to be to destroy the wealth factor. 3100 for S&P

@Dash4u Год назад

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@DutchThackers Год назад

I totally agree. The house of cards is shakey at best.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@Tonyrg1988 Год назад

Itll either be a soft and long landing, or hard and quick.

@paulinevanderbilt713 Год назад

Thank you. I am not sure if you know interest rate calculations are changed recently.

@Stellarchick Год назад

Larry, you are an excellent analyst. That said, your focus is built on the last 14 year controlled bull market. You need to go back in time when markets were uncontrolled to understand where future markets will be going.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@ftd7435 6 месяцев назад

Today is Saturday 20 April 2024 ... market didn't crash in 2023. Why?

@RuebinReti Год назад

Great video thanks,

@Dash4u Год назад

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@special1740 Год назад

Why would rates go higher during the pre-election year?

@dwayneseegars1086 Год назад

Look at the head and shoulder patterns in the housing ETF and Home Depot. Things are going down, and it will not be a soft landing.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@user-df2uu3qp3y Год назад

if u look at the 10 year chart almost every major stock is a parabolic.

@estring123 Год назад

doesnt matter, stocks go up and only up. nasdaq will be ATH by end of this month.

@rhena229 Год назад

The bond market is almost always more accurate than the stock market.😊

@DrainDeSwamp Год назад

Politicians have No clue or it's Deliberate.. either way we're screwed

@LandryMoss1 Год назад

Could you talk about the lower debt and 12k average savings accounts

@daveports1 Год назад

I really enjoyed this video

@Dash4u Год назад

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@juxhinmeminaj3446 Год назад

Interesting, if people expect even higher rates, that means the general populace will get the message and stop spending, this means the fed will do a U-turn in my opinion

@paulogoncalves5730 Год назад

"" Investing in online stocks is one of the ways to gain financial freedom. The stock market & crypto market has plenty opportunities to earn a decent payouts, but how is it done......?????

@yahayaabdullahi5474 Год назад

Investing in stock is a good idea, a good trading system would put you through many days of success. My story has totally changed after i get into stock markets...!!!!!

@Antoniovieira2792 Год назад

Very true, a huge part of my portfolio growth has come during this bear market. I've been able to scale from $100K to $250K in a short period of time. I basically was just following the steps and guideline from my financial advisor as long as you've professional help, you're good to go

@Wellingtonluzia3 Год назад

@@Antoniovieira2792 That's impressive! I could use the expertise of this adviser, my portfolio has been stagnant..... Who's the person guiding you?

@basiruAndrew Год назад

@@Antoniovieira2792 please how can I reach this adviser guiding you, I'm just a beginner investing into crypto .!!!!!!

@Antoniovieira2792 Год назад

My adviser is *PATRICIA DRITA JOSEFINA* the analyst/brokerage-adviser. She has been of great help and her tutelage has brought me to a higher understanding of profit generation. She Understands the job perfectly."" ""!! Search for her on internet

@buggsmcgee9270 Год назад

My question is... Does the consumer collapse we saw a steep decline in autumn 22', will that continue. Funny thing the entire set up reminds me of Dot Com bubble. A slow steady grind downhill.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@grampajim1595 Год назад

In regards to housing, a good percentage of new homes are bought by "institutional investors" .. and when they start losing money, they might throw their houses onto the market, further sinking real estate prices.

@chislands Год назад

We are living in the YOLO generation. Thank God for credit cards.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@dawidp749 Год назад

I don't even watch , but being bearish for one year straight is fking awsome men.

@dawidp749 Год назад

You are really close to make it come true keep it up. 2024 or sooner there will be drop defintly.

@kelvinlum9883 Год назад

thanks

@eralec Год назад

Just after the first sentence I was like: You STILL believe the FED?? The are wrong allll the time. Transitory inflation? They don’t even know themselves what’s right or wrong…

@Dash4u Год назад

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@johndingle6293 Год назад

No recession until rates get above rate of inflation.

@paulburbank9496 Год назад

Remember the Taylor Rule. Real (after YoY inflation) interest rates are negative, hence expansionary not restrictive.

@pisanghangus2 Год назад

rising interest , you lose your job, and you need to pay higher mortgage payment ? Yikes

@Tendertroll1 Год назад

It started a while ago imo

@Frenchieeeee Год назад

strongly believe we will see 600 basis points by end of year.

@TheForge47 Год назад

We need more, Like 885 bps feds funds target rate

@Frenchieeeee Год назад

@@TheForge47 i'm all for it

@Tabula_Rasa1 Год назад

So staying home can raise your saving from 4K to 20K in those 2 years of pandemic due to unemployment and stimus check. No wonder we are in this dire situation.

@mothgru Год назад

Uh oh, is the hard landing in the room with you right now?

@p_sg3449 Год назад

The new paradigm is ingore the fundamentals and just look at the stockmarket charts - it's up all the way baby! It's naive and will end in tears for many bulls.

@Dash4u Год назад

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@Adrian-yi8fl Год назад

You're bumming me out

@oluwakemisolaakeju Год назад

I'm so opportuned that irrespective of the current dip in cryptocurrency, economy crisis and financial conditions i am still able to earn $19,500 returns from my initial $6,500 every 10 days. Crypto investment is really profitable♥️♥️.....

@kevinjason5485 Год назад

She's extremely perfect with trading cryptocurrencies. I have made a huge profit of $215,000 trading with her..

@alexanderdonald9167 Год назад

First trade & investment with Ms Kiana Danial gave me $46,300 and that has made me invest without the fear of losing, I got four of my friends that I referred to her and They are making profits just like me May God bless Ms Kiana Danial..

@rodgerselliott3955 Год назад

Ago i was skeptical about trading bitcoin until I was introduced to Mrs Kiana and I must say I was impressed by her understanding and politeness..

@henrymorgan142 Год назад

She invested my 3.6ETH to 7.4ETH in the space of 3weeks, she's so consistent and reliable, there's no doubt her platform is the most trusted broker in the market, such a genuine personality...

@zohcold Год назад

Im not goin on vacation this year - im investing vacation money.

@99alita Год назад

Great 😃👍

@Dash4u Год назад

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@infour44 Год назад

Fed debt ceiling should be in your near sight.

@TheBennik Год назад

So in other words, throw PUTS...got it

@dukechang3717 Год назад

I agreed 👍💯

@Dash4u Год назад

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@williamstriker2299 Год назад

You've been dangerously wrong on many of your calls since beginning 2022. I'd take your words with a pinch of salt

@TheForge47 Год назад

Can you pls explain a little bit why He is so badly wrong?

@user-oi9to7ux7k Год назад

Agreed. I'm tired of the hyperbole and inflammatory language to get clicks. It's a shame he's going this way for cheap short-term attention because his analysis is worth listening to.

@maestromoravec Год назад

❤

@orangeOHJAY Год назад

@@TheForge47 He's been bearish since the beginning of the year which resulted in people missing out on the gains all of 2023 til what seems to be this week. Macro / Intermediate time frame, Larry is probably right (which is honestly what he openly admits is his focus), but this week will be a test for the bulls to see if the rally is sustainable.

@ff-1971 Год назад

What Larry isn't telling you is that you live in a world where the more money you make the cheapest money becomes to you since it has no cost. It creates a society of parasites. There are other alternatives out there that go hand in hand with the amount of value you provide to society. Cheers ✌️

@Dash4u Год назад

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@rudolfdesadeleer7995 Год назад

The End Is Near!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

@No_Luv_Mays Год назад

Bitcoin over stocks

@grampajim1595 Год назад

For the rest of the world, USD strength is going to cause a few [if not more] developing nations to go under, and maybe a couple developed economies as well [S.Kor ?] ... remember well the fate of Sri Lanka :(

@henrytep8884 Год назад

What does Sri Lanka provide to the world that South Korea can’t match in value?? This is a night in day in County comparison.

@grampajim1595 Год назад

@@henrytep8884 You misunderstand. Grains and Petrol are sold in USD .. poor nations like Sri Lanka have to exchange their local currency into USD in order to buy grains and petrol. {USD is the US Dollar} When the USD is strong, like it is now, it takes a lot more of the local currency to buy the same dollar. So the Mex Peso used to be like six to one USD ... now, its like nine to one USD. So for Mexico, petrol and grains just got a lot more expensive. The same thing happened to Sri Lanka .. and so Sri Lanka began to burn thru their national "rainy day savings fund" to make up the difference -- until one day this rainy day fund was at zero. Sri Lanka could not buy food or petrol -- the whole nation just did a sudden stop. The people were angry, rioted and overthrew the government and burned cities; their president literally ran onto a boat leaving the city to save himself. The USD is getting stronger and stronger. Its going to hit poor nations really hard. Pakistan also now has nearly zero in the rainy day fund. Rumor is that So.Korea is running out of their rainy day fund.

@davidjohnson2001 Год назад

70% of USA Home Owners have 30 year FIXED MORTGAGE

@christopherk7920 Год назад

It's great to see Larry with a fresh hair cut

@Longtermalwayswins Год назад

This video certainly did NOT age well 😂😂

@Dash4u Год назад

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@Gary65437 Год назад

Student loan debt delinquency going down. Do they even have to pay that debt? lol

@V.E.R.O. Год назад

OMG most of the comments are from spammers.

@stldweller Год назад

All your videos are the exact same.

@vinnymac6741 Год назад

The comments on here are full of scammers. Lol.. bye!

@vlad1655 Год назад

Even El-Erian already believes in soft landing. But whatever, Team Burry🐻🐻🐻, Bearish from 2011. Just kidding ofc.

@vlad1655 Год назад

Also Bank of America CEO said that people with $2-5k on savings account pre-covid (2019) now has 12.8k on average (peak was at April at 13.4k) and it was flat(!) for the last months. We can see similar trend on M2 chart. But oh boy, 2.5x times to pre-covid lvl.

@JohnSmith-kr6ek Год назад

2nd Peter 3:8: But, beloved, be not ignorant of this one thing, that one day is with the Lord as a thousand years, and a thousand years as one day. Hosea 6:2 After two days will he revive us: in the third day he will raise us up, and we shall live in his sight. SHTF 2026 seven years 2033 (two days) he returns.

@henrytep8884 Год назад

Thomas 5:7 ye are man and woman, you have the choice to be either or neither.