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Thank you but not thank you for your unprofessionnal over alarming reporting... obviously click bait reporting have more value than ethic. This Ukrainian attack, if not actually allowed by the Russian side to destroy quickly what's left of the UAF will be dealt with in a few weeks time with collossal losses for the Ukies and a failed PR move... Rybar : Due to the fog of war, lack of objective control personnel, as well as "soldier's radio", the situation was only fully clarified by the end of the day: the previous advances of the AFU with the control of certain areas of the territory are explained by the activity of Ukrainian recon groups. 📍Ukrainian recon groups tied down Russian checkpoints in combat and bypassed them, entering as many empty settlements as possible. Due to confusion and control problems, the scale of the enemy's advance was EXAGGERATED, which played into the hands of SOWING PANIC. 🔻In the Sudzha district, after building up the grouping in Bolshoye Soldatovo, the clearing of the highway began. Seems like Rybar is the real professionnal reporter here... unsubscribing. Bye.
It's like as if Mexican troops suddenly surged into Texas, racing through towns and counties, and bloggers are shouting "The US is in serious trouble," and "this could be a strategic defeat for America". Nothing happening here suggests that a bridgehead can be established and supplied. To hold territory of this size would require significantly more manpower and materiel than Ukraine appears to possess. Even the Germans managed to muster multiple mechanized divisions when they launched the counter offensive in the fall of 1944, and they did indeed seize significant territory, but ultimately they were crushed by superior allied firepower. I do expect some heads to roll in Russia, politically speaking, but militarily it is a gift.
The difference with this Ukrainian incursion into Russia is they're almost within artillery range of the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant. The Ukrainians don't have to hold territory, they just have to shell that nuclear power plant. After this, anything can happen (i.e. NATO (the US) could get involved in this war).
Just want to say you have the best Ukrainian war coverage on the planet. Shame on the so called American "media" and the one-sided coverage they have given this war. You call it like you see it, and don't hesitate to report on a story like this where Ukraine has a big win, but at the same time you also have shown everyone that Ukraine has been losing ground overall for a long time now (something you would NEVER hear in American media). You report the facts, and facts are not biased. Appreciate your work.
I had exactly same thought, and feel most give the Ukrainian advancement far too much credit. Logistics wins war! The Ukrainian picked a very good area that logistically puts them in a better situation than the Russian. However, as they move farther this advantage is diminished. When I look how far the current front line I see that the more the Ukrainians advance the progressively worse the logistics becomes. For the propaganda, and false hope of the pro-Ukrainian, it is the opposite, the farther the better it looks. It always takes time to move an army around and re-organize, and it shouldn't come to anyone's surprise that right now the Russian military doesn't look good. I bet that the Russian command isn't worried that much because they don't think politically but capitalistically. Layman and politicians surely think about "stop the Ukrainians and drive them back. From a military perspective, the farther the Ukrainians move the easier it gets to cut the supply line. Question: Has anyone actually looked at the map and given the infrastructure/logistics some thoughts? More importantly, the advancements the Russian make at other front-lines are huge, definitely so from a strategically perspective, and there are several locations where a breach of the Ukrainian defense belt would be very detrimental and may even lead to the collapse. Can't but conclude that all of this is pure politics at the expense of Ukrainian soldiers.
@@Ms314159265358979323 They lost already 20% of the whole Ukraine. If they take back regions that got abandoned by Russia they regain ground, not gaining ground.
it's not as if they're volunteering, making it even more tragic. There's a reason why they made it illegal to take video of people being snatched off the street. 30,000 per month "recruitment goal" is rough
>no air supremacy >smaller armed forces >less artillery both locally and broadly >losing their own land on multiple fronts >no reliable supply line into area >rapid unsustainable advance against a weak border guard >already stopped within a day due to reinforcements arriving Was the plan here to capture Russian land as a negotiating token? They can’t hold their own, do they somehow expect to hold this?
@@eduardoperez085look at the map...a chunk of about 50sqkm. There is a reserve tank army in Belgorad oblast, next door. Do the math, if you are capable.
@@eduardoperez085 very pro argument 😂 “look at map” wow UA special forces “gained” few square kilometres without chance to hold that more than few days 😅 while they are losing own territory on frontline 😂
Anyone who has ever served and participated in any war knows that this is prelude for disaster.There are people dying and retreating all over Donbas line and someone decided to send few thousand people to Kursk oblast. It goes to show how much the ruling class of Ukraine cares about its own people.This is not gonna end up well for Ukrainians.
Let’s get real dudes - if the Uki force in Kursk province posed a serious threat to the Kursk nuclear facility then the Russians would nuke them with tactical nuclear weapons. The idea that the Russians would allow this nuclear facility to be threatened is plum crazy talk guys
Very likely. But let's not forget, the Russians have an army in the interior and on other borders that are far from Ukraine. Accordingly, they can redistribute a larger number of soldiers (100,000 soldiers should not be a problem, the bigger problem is logistics), which they did not want to redistribute, but they can. Is this the defeat of the Russian Military Intelligence? Absolutely. Is this an indication that the Russians can be caught sleeping? Absolutely. Is this an indication that Russians are more similar to drunken corporals from the First World War than modern commanders? Absolutely. Is this Russia's shame? And more than that. Will this ultimately change anything in the war/SMO? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. All that can happen if things go wrong is that the Russians decide to "turn off the lights". Only in one room (Kursk) or in the whole neighboring house ... that's up for debate.
Exactly my thoughts, they will use a tactical nuc on their own territory to stop the threat. We don't know everything that is going on . Something is majorly different. The progress here is way beyond robotny . Either they have new electronic warfare, or the ability to deny air superiority or something other "Trump card" was played here for this operation. It is an attempt to destabilize Russia. If Russia does use a tactical nuclear on their own territory, and, Ukraine successfully causes the Kursk Nuclear to lose containment. No matter what happens with Ukraine, it'll be a disaster for Russia.
The strike that the Russians preparing for the puppet's audacity, will be devastating. I never doubt a moment that this tactical " victory" of the American proxy will just make the Ukrainian defeat in the war much harder. ( as for the situation: What you cannot support with air power, you cannot hold without fire power, which makes eventually an outnumbered force being sacrificed for nothing). - It's the last kick of a dying horse-
And the USA does what it always does: Distancing itself from what the Ukronazis did here. The USA will wash its Hands clean at the end of the Year while the NSEU will have to pay Reparations until its demise in say 2030.
In less then 100 days all the greenery will be gone... No chance to hide No air defense Very limited air support Ukraine has made it own artillery pocket
I have heard that the US started talking with Russia again, Heard that Russia agreed to let Ukraine and US have some media victory and have something to make a deal with in a peace agreement. It's only so that the world look at the US as so weak, heard former cia that it's the only way that the US would agree with peace agreement. Because they never would allow Russia win , it's meaning that the world would see the US as fools. This is a plan Russia agreed to, because they understands the US difficult position. And Russia want to end this, they don't want to destroy Ukraine. I think former cia have right, this is agreement between the US and Russia. Unofficial the US accept that Russia have won the battle, but public it's stalemate 😉
I don’t think it was a Russian trap. It’s just a random act of violence from Ukraine. They can’t get a win where there is fighting, so they opened a new front to get a short term victory. There is no long or even medium term thinking, just desperation.
@@1237barca Yeah this attack was literally too stupid to be expected. Even taking into account the superficial propaganda victory obsessed mentality of Ukraine, there isnt any point in anticipating such insane self destructive actions.
@@rogerc6533 it's telling how pointless this attack is that even many pro Ukraine commenters are asking what the AFU thinks it is doing and are critical of it.
My money is on the Russian troops despite the very rough fighting, they are on the right side of history! Great reporting as always Dima and team, thank you!
Invading a sovereign nation on the orders of their authoritarian dictator and his fascist regime in order steal plunder and subjugate is hardly the right side of history. But hey what ever floats your boat.
Taking mostly undefended territory is the easy part, in the beginning. Keeping it, from a far superior force, is the real test. All I see is a bunch of fish who jumped into a barrel.
The Kursk region is 1. Open fields without shelters 2. Long distance between settlements 3. There are many small rivers that form corridors. Thus, Ukraine will have to walk along these corridors from village to village in an open field without shelters and without the opportunity to maneuver.
I not get it - Ukraine is lacking soldiers and is now increasing the front line???? It will not end good for them... as it just speeds up their total collapse...
So true. I love watching the Pro-Russian mappers and their Tankie audience in the comments section when events like this happens. To be fair, I still find it funny when they are reporting the capture of fields and some small 50K Pre-War Population town after bombing it into a crater and slowly grinding tens of thousands of men through it for six months and acting like it signals the end of the War for Ukraine, when in reality it shows how untenable the whole thing for Russia is when the supposed second best Army in the world, now pretty much entirely deployed in Ukraine, can't even make a strategic breakthrough against an enemy that for the latter part of 2023 and early 2024 had a major shell and manpower shortage. Though yet again, I suppose Tankies and Russians aren't really used to critically analyzing a situation, since doing such means questioning information which is a big no-no for people with limited intellectual capability (Tankies) and those who live in Authoritarian Regimes (Russians & Belarusians)
So how many armoured vehicles and tanks have ukraine lost so far and have their losses been replaced? With each day of the offensive Ukraine's losses increase and the supply lines for ammo and fuel become more stretched which has to be a very serious problem as Russia has air superiority. I am genuinely surprised at how far the ukrainian forces have advanced but I cannot help thinking that they have fallen into a trap of their own making when they have no air support and stretched lines for resupply. Unless Ukraine can overcome those problems, their offensive will run out of steam and ukraine would face the prospect of a prompt and costly retreat to their own border, leaving most of their armour behind them.
The Ukrainians incorporated quite a large number of air defence systems into the invasion force. Mostly old soviet gear but it will do the job against old soviet aircraft.
@@off6848 I suppose the Uke Nazis knows what happened to the 10th army of the German Nazis in world war II? They will be cut off and annihilated. All a part of the then Soviet and now Russian military doctrine. The only sad thing is the young soldiers on both sides dying for a silly PR stunt.
@@seanniemeyer5437 You should know that the Russians have the capability of destroying those air defence systems taken in with the invasion force and have already started doing so. You talk about old soviet aircraft but the much vaunted F16 first flew in 1974 so does that also make it an obsolete cold war aircraft? The truth is that fighter aircraft of today on both sides are far more capable than their cold war counterparts.
Lol. When you are basically finished is when you think you can do something "smart" to change the situation. UA is done and the Russian response will be devestating. They wont just respond to Kursk region. But Kiev should prepare their air defence systems. Hell will rain down on Zelensky. Dumbest thing they could have done.
I have to agree. If they wanted to make things worse for themselves they just did it. Now any sympathy the average Russian had for them will go out the window. The Russians will want to wipe the floor with them now.
Thank you, Dima!! Again, speed creates false premises, I'm sorry I have to repeat that! And again, some small details can make the difference between right and wrong. In short, what I don't understand! A few weeks ago, everywhere it was said that the Russians were preparing a major attack in the region, and today we see everywhere that the Russians have no troops in the region, that they have to bring them from elsewhere and so on. How is that ?? Another detail, which no one takes into account, is the ratio of military equipment losses, which is, at least, 10:1 in favor of the Russians. The internet is full of videos in which we only see Ukrainian military vehicles smashed everywhere. Besides that, it was clearly seen that there were not many fortifications in which the infantry from those armored vehicles could hide. And then I wonder, how is it possible to conquer certain territories when you can't survive there?? Another detail, which, in fact, is the first in importance, is how do you start such an operation without the slightest air support?? Everyone has already forgotten about Zaporozhye, about Rabotino ?? After these there are many other details, some presented here, but ... without result. The photo with the Ukrainian soldiers near the town sign is a gross fake. It is a photoshop with an image from the Internet, because today that place is surrounded by houses, it is not an open field as in the photo. We must also take into account sensitive information, which sometimes escapes from the opposing party. No one said anything about the dismissal of the commander of the 80th Ukrainian mechanized assault brigade, because he directly opposed to this operation. Does anyone think he did it because he doesn't know anything ?? On the other hand, I don't say that the Russians are .. pure efficiency, not really. They definitely, still, have problems, in the leadership of the army. The new minister appointed by Putin had a clear job to do... to root out the corruption in the Russian army. And here, hats off, many would like to have such a minister of defense. But now more is needed !! My opinion is that Gerasimov does not have many days left at the head of the Russian General Staff. So, unfortunately, this is how the situation looks.. Many unknowns, a lot of fog, but if we pay attention to the details, we can clarify the overall picture more quickly. Finally, I heard a rumor that some of Madyar's troops (about 30) were turned into phantom drones by a Russian missile. And another rumor, it is said that two Iskanders decapitated all the military leadership of this operation... Let's wait a bit.. these rumors are extremely interesting.
No Russians do support the smo and overall situation. This is not 2022 . By Putin failing despite Russiana giving the cause support and giving Putin support he has broken that trust and failed Russian people. The option is to get rid of Putin and get someone better at the job because this will just keep happening
This actually makes sense because I was wondering how Russia would not know about such a large and obvious attack. There is no way they could keep such a massive attack quiet.
@@torquebiker9959 Russian people support the smo and overall situation as opposed to 2022 . They support the cause and Putin but Putin betrayed their trust. Russian people need to get rid of Putin.
@@RussianBlackLeague if so, Stalin wouldn’t have been able to conscript 10’s of millions. I guess psychology doesn’t break a society so easily all the time.
@@HoucineArroui Same during the Napoleonic invasion. In fact, it was the only country besides Spain, that confronted the invader with partisan guerrilla warfare, in a vicious cycle of blows and reprisals, that heavily affected the invader's morale.
@@justgames9516 nobody would join, cmon its just theory. Calling CTSO would just make Russia look super super weak. Yesterday russian bots said "in 2 days we will push them out" now its what almost 3rd day and UKR still gain terrain and Russia calls reserves from Africa or Balerus. Russia is trully at 100% against ukraine at this point. They cannot get any more stronger, their army is at 100% potential now. They can only use nukes but they wont
@@Rastamanjungle some of you lie too much no fighter has left Africa for Russia ishi men say lies just to be right now are day's I don't support neither side but Ukraine has never won a major battle against Russia in the Urban area's
The strategic objective of the Ukraine is probably to take over the nuclear power station as part of negotiations for the nuclear power station the Russians have in the Ukraine possibly.
The recent Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory are poorly planned and extremely reckless. This ill-conceived move is jeopardizing Ukrainian forces, who lack the manpower to sustain such operations. It’s a dangerously misguided action that could have severe consequences for Ukraine. ---
Really?When was it last time russian took around 100+km2 in day? I can tell you when they lost 100+km2 a day, It was in Kiev than Czernihiv than Sumy than 2 months later in Kharkiv and than 3 months later in Kherson
This is the real explanation why is it so important for Russia that Ukraine doesnt become the part of NATO. It prooves how easy it is to move to Russia from Ukraine. This looks like a joke attack and it will be repelled, but imagine that it was full NATO force that potentialy could exist some day.
Russia operates within a self imposed legal framework. For example the SMO is restrained. But this incursion capturing Russian territory authorizes a full war response.
@@dejank8814 I am quite sure they will be safe with Romania and Bulgaria. We have to wash our legs somewhere, so leave Adriatic sea out of this equation😇
yes overly dramatic. look at it from Russian strategic view: Ukraine attrition happening even faster than before when they attack and stretch their supply lines
@@krishna-e-bera Ukraine instead of stabilising the front in the east chooses to open a new front. A new front requires the proper logistic lines to be put in place. This won't end well if the Russians do not stop their offensive in the east.
Wagner has been called back from Belarus, rumours that Alpha group from FSB came and the arbat batalion came to help along the aida special forces, the game is already over for Ukraine
Wagner just got massacred (87 dead) by 3rd world fighter in Mali. Not sure why you think that they any good still. The fact that Kremlin has to call back troop from Africa is a good indication that RF has no strategic reserves left.
Russia spends 500 000 000 $ a day invading it's neighbour while the average russian citizen has an income less than I spend on my dog ..and that's a minor setback 😂
It looks to me like the work of Budanov. Based on what I've heard and seen, I think the Ukrainians are driving small units from village to village and creating panic. I'll try to explain. Ukrainians do not have enough soldiers to occupy such territory. That is, they send small units deep into Russian lines, giving the impression that Ukrainians are quickly occupying villages. It's an excellent tactic that creates the feeling of a massive offensive and quick success. However, the result will be that all such scattered units will be gradually liquidated (which is what Gerasimov actually says). It is impossible for one transporter with 8-10 soldiers to occupy and hold a village for a long time. The only thing Ukraine can do in this situation is to try to keep a certain small number of towns or villages near the border and tie up some of the Russian troops. However, it is surprising that the Ukrainians were able to do it to such an extent. This is a warning to the Russians. It's just my opinion.
Yes, I think you right, Budanov PR victories like one in Krinki, where they loose 5K marines in crazy actions of constant sending troops over and over the Dneper river. Just so they can said in public we are holding the both sides of river, and soon we will March on Crimea. Only the number of vehicles they are loosing in this action is ridiculous, cause on Donetsk front they are constantly saying that they don’t have enough, but somehow for this mission they have? Everything for Budanov and his bosses from Ciiaa. Now they are claiming over the internet they are going to take Kursk, Kursk nuclear plant and then Moscow will surrender, I think UKR is run by complete lunatics, since 2014.
@@ipcipc7760 I did hear Podolyak speaking today on a TV show, explaining that the idea behind this operation was to scare the Russian people. How idiotic is this!?
I agree with your analysis. The AFU are using small RSG groups to terrorize villages. I watched one video from a private car of them and other private cars being shot at on a major intersection 20kms south of Kursk City
From my perspective, this is a counter-offensive similar to last year's south (Robotine), which had high aspirations. The difference is that now the Ukrainians have stopped advertising, which was a surprise for many. But I'm not sure that it's not a trap set by the Russians, who, like last year, cede territory up to a point, after which they start cutting down the Ukrainian forces. Furthermore, now that the initial framework of the conflict, as it appears to have been drawn up between the Americans and the Russians, has been overcome, war can be officially declared on Ukraine on the Pearl Harbour/Barbarossa model. It is clear that the desperation in Kiev is at its maximum, the elections in the USA are fast approaching and they will no longer be able to rely on much aid starting with 2025. On the other hand, the world is also tired of the conflict, just as it is tired of covid. If the offensive is connected with the smoldering conflict in the East, then it is something planned by NATO and supported by NATO, at least in terms of IT and logistics. NATO probably wanted to bring Russian forces out of hiding in the western part of Russia. If the Russians do not quickly eliminate the problem, their allies in Asia will also have problems and NATO could attack Belarus as was rumored a few months ago.
The question is not how long time the russians will need to restore control of this territory ... the question is how many losses tooked the Ucranians in this battle of the bulge.
They ( The Russians ) definitely allowed this to happen and the Kremlin has a lot to gain from this incursion. And here are the few reasons why I think so 1. They can legally mobilize the whole oblast, and they will be legally required to respond. This equals to a very significant manpower increase for the Ukraine SMO, even if only temporary, which might make breakthroughs on other fronts possible. 2. It's also a classical move the Russians did against Napoleon, Germany and other invaders - lure the enemy into unfavorable terrain, make them overextend and making so, they have much easier access to the core elements of their opponents army or armies. This is a highly mechanized push by Ukraine and will very likely end up with Ukraine losing a very big chunk of their armor and manpower in the end. They aren't quite far enough in yet, but once they push a point of no return then just watch and see. Not much of it will be making back into Ukraine 3. It also serves as a very good political tool for the Kremlin to be able to divert more resources into the war and rally more people to the cause. It's probably all done because NATO or certain big NATO members have been showing signs that they might also join the war in a larger capacity. So a little bit of controlled chaos will serve well to wake the people up and get ready. In the end, Moscow will grow stronger from this.
I wouldn't be shocked if the Russians withdrew military groups from the border as part of negotiations between Russia and the US and Kiev in its stupidity decided to take advantage of the situation.
The russians knew about this attack ... The russians wanted the ucranians to attack .... as long the russians can hold key positions the offensive will fail ... remember the following The battle of bulge got lost for the germans as the americans hold Bastogne. This gave the Allies time enough to get an overview of the enemies forces and react accordingly.
But nevertheless the Americans had been caught completely by surprise. It was supposed to be a quiet place. I doubt that the Russians knew anything. I still find it embarrassing.
They look to be losing hundreds of vehicles in this. Even if NATO sent them a couple thousand on the down low this whole effort has probably lost 1/4 of what they have.
They are celebrating already. I saw posts and comments ranting and rambling even on Linkedin. I saved all of the posts and when Russia settles this war and then I will comment like crazy 😂😂😂
as I said before, this conflict is a circus, instead of Russia using destructive weapons and ending this conflict in its favor, it is doing the opposite, saving weapons but sending the army to die in order to conquer a smaller territory of a few houses
@@FlamespeedyAMV that doesnt mean anything. They dont care about casualties. If they hold this territory, its a ukr tactical victory. If russia forces them back, its a russian victory
@@PN098-u8wIt's because of the military and intelligence and most of all because of Putin. The guy has been making me and Russians angry for some time often now. The way he is handling the war. He is doing nothing and taking no action. If Putin doesn't believe in the cause why did he start the smo ?
The numbers of viewers on Dima's Russian channel are truly amazing..800k 2 days ago, almost 60,000 in one hour today! Dima is doing really a great job.
true, russia suffering massive 3:1 material losses to ukraine according to the world's most comprehensive open source intel with ~20,000 aggregated data points is a key indicator
@@blengi Wow, Russia must be mighty indeed to hold off all the wealth and weaponry of NATO at that ratio. So you're saying 1 Russia is worth 3 Americas?
@@pong9000 you mean mighty |2ussia losing 3:1 materially to NATO's tiny 3-4% military commitment according to the world's most comprehensive open source intel with ~20,000 data points. Imagine if NATO used they other 97% lol
@@pong9000 你的意思是，根据世界上最全面的开源情报，强大的美国以 3:1 的比分输给了北约 3-4% 的军事承诺，其中约有 20,000 个数据点。想象一下，如果北约动用了其他 97% 的军事承诺，哈哈 you mean mighty |2ussia losing 3:1 materially to NATO's tiny 3-4% military commitment according to the world's most comprehensive open source intel with ~20,000 data points. Imagine if NATO used they other 97% lol
@@pong9000 you mean mighty |2ussia plus allies syria, iran, nth korea, belarus, donetsk luhhansk seperatist wagner mercs and crims etc losing 3:1 materially to NATO's tiny 3-4% military commitment according to...
Des questions se posent : 1) Les Russes n'ont pas vu venir cette offensive qui est relativement importante. Ne manquerait il pas de moyens d'observations (satellites, avions radars et d'observations, ballons d'observations, drones radars et d'observation) ? Ou bien l'Otan parvient-il à aveugler les moyens d'observation russes ? 2) N'y a-t-il pas eu des erreurs de la part de hauts gradés russes ? 3) Les drones sont la force principale des otano-kieviens. Les Russes devraient, si ce n'est pas déjà le cas, développer des drones radar de détection des émetteurs des opérateurs otano-kieviens ? Et aussi des mitrailleuses anti-drones montées sur des véhicules rapides pour protéger les convois et blindés. Et améliorer leur systèmes de brouillage et à certain moment et endroits utiliser une bombe électromagnétique ? 4) Développer des drones radars pour repérer et détruire plus facilement ces systèmes anti-aériens otano-kieviens ?
Sort of like Hiltler's Watch on the Rhine offensive in Dec 1944(Battle of Buldge), Germany threw everything they had in one last gamble,hoping to force the Western Allies to negotiate. You all know how that went....
There are six NATO pilots flying the six F16 planes now seen in the sky above Ukraine at the moment. There are two from Poland, two are Dutch and two are French, including one named Piquand from the French Navy.
The Ukrainians went into Kursk with armoured vehicles. They attacked an oblast that's not highly fortified They achived great results on map because wheeled vehicles go fast in tarmac. They went into empty villages or villages only occupied by border guards. They destroyed 2 Russians tanks while the Russian destroyed 25+ geolocated video confirmed vehicles of the Ukranians. Infantry they are foot soldiers not robots they have their own needs and they are outnumbered for the task of holding and capturing villages so they move further inside Russian like a kid about to be lost in a Mall to have chance of consolidating positions along the border.
is it me or does that UAF offensive look very inviting and guided in a certain direction, specially for an all in, deep into enemy territory. Diving deep into a wolves mouth, what will happen when it closes it's teeth?
How the hell does Zelensky think Ukraine will defeat and drive the Russian army completely away as this is a 600 km long Ruusian line of defence and offence.
@@sanya7187 what planet are you from? zelensky have said time without number that he wants all of Russia troops out of Ukraine and restore Ukraine back to 1990 border
So, what has actually happened is Ukraine have made a suicidal entrance to Russian territory and Russia continued to absorb big swathes of Ukraine. Correct?
Seems the ukrainians send small groups very fast ahead, to spread panic. But it does not mean they control the territories. For sure, russians will have to bring a lot of forces to regain control of the areas, and it is a good tactical PR operation for ukraine. Strategically, i am not sure though, as it will push the Russians to tighten the operations in new russia, and the conditions for a future peace...
That would actually be quite tempting if you ask me. Like “ hey, we bombed our own country, not yours, can’t do anything about it since you don’t have a claim to these lands!”
I don´t think Putin will do such thing, there is no need for that. For the overall situation this foolish attack is the nail in the coffin for Ukraine anyway.
Russia seemed a bit dumbfounded and i think this makes the kursk raid is interesting here, but here's i think we can see the difference of how the AFU and RF fight by comparing how kursk and kharkiv raid is going, RF objected to spread AFU as wide as as possible, i meant from the start of the raids both AFU and RF side didn't put that many of forces to commit in this raid wether to kharkiv or kursk, but in kharkiv, Ukraine immediately responded and plugged every possible gap as fast as possible making breakthrough from Russia difficult cause they can't let another lost of territories, but for Russia the objective is to have Ukraine to keep reinforcing kharkiv front and redirect their troops and resources from the main fronts (Donestk, etc.). But on kursk, with their limited troops it seemed like its almost too easy for this AFU raid party to created a big pocket, perhaps even too big to be guarded with their amounts of forces, and now they have to guard this pocket and have to reinforce this large pocket with more resources and troops and we know how problematic those aspects are for ukraine at this moment. And for Russia this what i think is interesting, what's their next step on this. Wether to regroup and counterattack asap and perhaps create a buffer zone like they did in kharkiv after belgorod raid, or just dig in and forces ukraine to keep sending troops into this DIY artillery pocket, we'll see i guess
@@just_dimi3never , where is the sense to go in territory where the locals hate them , logistically nightmare ! They may go as far as Kiev and that’s it but most likely as far as Dneper river
This is about cutting the gas pipe. They are stopping the oil transit, and now they will stop the gas as well. And EU nods happily like it was in its best interest.
If it's about the gas pipe, wouldn't it be easier for Ukraine to cut the gas pipe deep within Ukraine territory? I cannot see the purpose of this incursion.
@@novelogram That doesn't make any sense whatsoever mate. Are you seriously saying that if Ukraine cuts the pipe on the Ukraine side then it's a breach of contract but if Ukraine uses military force, killing many Russians including civilians in the process, and cuts the pipe on Russia's sovereing territory then that is no breach on contract? The two countries have been engaged in a vicious war of attrition for two and a half years with atrocities committed by both sides. Do you think a breach of contract is of any consequence given the circumstances?
@@ozymandias9234 it's impossible to think with their head, it was just an idea why exactly there they decided to attack. It's also for boosting morale I am sure and also to get to the back of the russians at the Harkiv front.
Dima go get your facts right and stop unnecessary support of Ukrainian forces..their first echelons have been dealt a significant blow and they can't send reinforcements..they're technically stuck
It seems to me that Ukrainians are not going to Kursk, but to the Kursk nuclear power plant in order to blackmail Russia later. Kursk is 100 km away, and the nuclear power plant is 50 km away. Also in the Kursk region, the area is open with a large number of small rivers that form corridors, i.e. Ukrainians will have to walk along these corridors and will not be able to maneuver and hide.
Dima is getting too excited. Russia have enough reserves to continue towards Pakrovsk and get enough troops in position to defeat the Ukrainians the Kursk region in a few days. The result will be russians in the outskirts of Pakrovsk and they would have pushed the Ukrainians back towards Sumy. Ukrainians are on a suicide mission. Bogdanov has been allowed to destroy what little is left of elite units in the Ukrainian army
Dima is over-dramatising, as always. :D What is the point? That the Russians are never gonna take that territory back? That this is the beginning of the march on Kremlin? That Russia needs to stop all offensive operations and pull the army back to defend Kursk? I mean, what is the projection here? This situation will last for a few days, maybe a couple of weeks and will fizzle out, leaving the Ukrainians with enormous, irrecoverable losses as the cost of this reckless endeavour. It will have zero impact on the rest of the front line. Why would it?
This territory is not defended and that's why quick advancement... Russia will stabilize the situation for sure. Whatever the Ukrainians sent will never come back to Ukraine... So far I heard like 5-6K troops, a casualty rate of 7-8 days
tip pokušava da bude objektivan i onda nagrdi i šefa i stanicu :)... Da nije Bjelorus, poslao bih ga do sada triput na toplo i vlažno mjesto :). Na Bjelorusiju sam slab zbog brata Lukašenka...
It feels to me like crossing a red line. So far the Ukros were not 'authorized' to attack Russian land - after all they are fighting for recapturing their own territory. Now they did it. I think Washington's quiet reaction is like 'we did not allow but let it evolve and see what we can take out'. The Russians were not expecting this either as the previous war policy was about fighting for the 'occupied' territories and not leading an offensive against Russian territory. These areas were not well fortified, the Russians were not stationing highly trained army, etc. The Ukros sent specials and they proceed fast of course, as a surprise attack and high level of training. I have been waiting for long for such an operation - that would match the guerrilla warfare that historically the Ukro-Nazis were doing till the early 50's after WWII. That obviously made as much sense by math as it makes now. But that fits to a certain tradition in the are. Anyway, IMO If there is any goal of this operation is to create a push all to a no return point, an escalation. I do not believe that the Ukros will be able to stabilize this much of gain. They will be stopped and finally pushed out. Air force, artillery, manpower etc. all more on the Russian side. Maybe true, the ultimate goal is the power plant, but that is not necessarily the main objective. Ukro politics has two goals: keep the war rolling (money laundry) and bleeding Russia out for a possible future escalation - but at least test the Russian behavior.
I think this Kursk offensive will prove to be an absolute disaster in the near future, the Ukrainians are now moving and in the open and seem to be losing a lot of armored vehicles, also there are no minefields to protect them and they don't have any fortified positions, logistically it is also going to be very hard for them to maintain their gains.
