Hi, you assumed independence in the results of every individual bet, but it is often not the case, how do you threat with dependence in the bets (dependence between performances of players during a same game of football for example) ?
Hello is it possible to determine what the sports books fair odds are for a prop bet. Example, Zay Flowers 4+ receptions is -192. Since this is not an O / U can we determine what the probability the sports book thinks this will happen just off the odds? As of 11/16 (before TNF) he has hit this line 80% of the time. I am curious what Fanduels odds say the chance of it hitting are compared to the season's hit rate? Hope this makes sense!
Relating to your videos about crash style games, I'd very much appreciate a video about how one might design such a game from the ground up (talking only about the mechanisms which ensure a house edge)
in other words, ensure there is a -EV for the user to ensure house edge depending on the game you want to create, the calculation as to how to find the EV will vary, but the concept is crucial for anything risk/gamble-related
50$ a month for oddsjam is a bit steep for a tool that helps with gambling. Is it even possible to make anything after the 50$? I'm talking with a realistic bankroll too not a 50,000$ account. No normal person will bet with that ammount
youll just get spread limited if you bet a winning strategy on sports betting sites. The only way to be a winning sports better is to have a well oiled operation with a constant stream of smurf accounts that can place big figure bets for you
I don't get it because all my math is favorite the unders because the top number is always 100 and the bottom is always the actual number? Or am I looking at it wrong? I'm going off pictures at 6:48
Would love if you could set up an Excel ark on Black Jack that showed what the best move whould be depending on the count an which cards that was already been played
you cannot beat online black jack. waste of time. if you want to beat real life black jack you can find all the information you need for free or under a couple hundred dollars if you really want to get into complex deviations. which honestly isn’t recommended if you don’t have the main deviations down perfectly
but the issue is that these picks are not independent from one another. example. lets say i do a 3 man play, one person for a completely different team to get 5 rebounds. great, but the other 2 are 2 players on the same team that i both have going over 40 points that night, in basketball its extremely rare for 2 people on the same team to drop 40. meaning i would have to take the over on one and under on the other. right?
to get 5 times payin on 3 props is total steal by the bookie Basically if you pull out odds of 3 bets that give 5 it comes out as 1.7 odd for each bet which comes out as 85% payout. In most european markets you will get odd of 1.85 for props and if you put 3 bets with 1.85 you will give you 6.33 times win
