The NBA Playoffs Are Completely Unpredictable 

Just to add to how unpredictable the playoffs are, the Mavs almost won when they were down 31 at one point… crazy

Today's Fact: In 1997, a man in Colorado was struck by lightning and survived, only to be struck by lightning again six years later and also survive.

Jxmy I will never forget the day you said that the Suns would close out the Finals in 2021 when we were up 2-0, nothing has been the same since...

Game designer here. Great vid but what is happening to NBA can't be called rubberbanding. The 3-pts swings can happen equally for both teams, they do not favor the losing team. There is no rule connection between being the losing team and going on a hot streak. If it were rubberbanding we would actually see much more close games. What we actually see is bigger discrepancies caused by teams relying more on a strategy that is higher in risk to reward ratio.

Buzzer beater so nasty even AD celebrated with the bench 😭

4:00 him posting this after the Clippers lost their 31 point lead and nearly lost the game vs the Mavs is real timely lol.

2:56 this looks like a chess game review graph where you blundered checkmate in one move 🤣

My NBA RU-vid is two dudes at this point. 1. Jimmy for advanced breakdowns and content 2. GOAT for my weekly recap. It's literally all you need

Just gotta remember 1 thing regarding the playoffs in any sport, “That’s why they play the games”. You work with stellar teams with a VERY small number of games compared to the regular season and all it takes is 1 bad run of loses and bam the predicted playoff picture gets lit on fire.

bro clicked upload as soon as the bucks game ended

The fact that we love Jimmy goes to show that a good essay is all about presentation. He develops a clear thesis, presents arguments, and provides evidence for each, before pulling it all together with a conclusion. Brilliant.

I've always been curious in this 3-point-shooting NBA if there is an additional advantage to shooting threes: the offensive rebounds. Given that the floor is more spaced and the bounce off the missed shot goes farther/higher, I've wondered if just looking at 3pt% doesn't convey the whole advantage if the offense gains an advantage on offensive rebounds, too. Thanks for the great video.

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It's all about momentum. A #1 seed can fall behind and get dominated, or they could get hot and come back. It's what makes the games fun to watch, because you don't know who's going to win.

Jxmy I've been a subscriber for a minute and this post was by far one of your most interesting and well done. You had me at the graph and classical music interlude. My jaw dropped at the breakdown with the three graphs showing the impact of the 3 pointer on game outcome over the years. Masterful.

That subtle shot to Lakers when explaining rubberbanding at Mario Kart being bad at the game and the character wears a Lakers hoodie lol

Ain’t no way bro related Mario Kart to the NBA 💀

Was not expecting Jimmy to start talking about Mario Kart but its very welcome to stay

Really interesting and informative; great vid!

Loved the stats heavy video. Would love to learn more about applied data analysis

LeBron looks like he's hitting the Nae Nae so violently in the thumbnail 😂😂

I think it's a coaching problem. Coaches don't change their game plan depending on their lead, compounding on the volatility. If, for instance, a team makes a lot of 3s early on, building up a 20 point lead, the team keeps chucking 3s. That means the other team only needs your team to miss 6 3s and them to make 6 3s and it's a 2 point game. However, if instead the team that built up a 20 point lead focused on scoring high efficiency 2s after building up the lead, then that would put the pressure on the other team. At that point, the other team needs to make 20 more 3s than you make 2s to catch up, which is very unlikely. Sprinkle in the fact that if you start focusing on 2s, the other team is gonna be less focused on defending 3s against you, making your 3s easier, and the lead becomes a lot more insurmountable. If I was coaching and my team was up 20, I'd bench anyone taking a 3 unless they were wide open and had around 40% 3PT percentage.

Entertaining, interesting, but also informative and well put together vid man. I don't follow the NBA much, but when I do, it's with you Jxmy

Great insight as always man. Really helpful

As a guy who plays Mario Kart and knows about it a good amount, never thought I’d hear about Rubberbanding in the NBA. 😂

Bro posted this on the same day that the clippers almost gave up a 31 point lead and he didn’t even know it😂

Jxmy keep doing your thang! After all these years, still quality content. Thank you!

As a Japanese, I feel glad to see the Mario Cart in your video! Your videos are so easy to understand and listen to.

8:42 splitting the graph into 3 separate graphs to tell a better story is crazy 💀

I wonder if coaches should be calling quicker timeouts to curtail these scoring outbursts. I remember that was quite common in the past anytime momentum severely shifted. A stat regarding called timeouts over the years would be interesting.

Love the analysis jxmy! Was wondering if perhaps you could aggregate the evolution of 3pt volume over time and compare how it has changed on a quarter by quarter basis

bro your videos are so tuff , give me chills just watching a basketball video lmfao

10:48 Khris damn near gave me a heart attack with those 3's at the end of the regulation and OT.

wolves vs suns finna be on in 5 minutes… WOLVES IN 4. hot take: Nuggets vs wolves will be the greatest series of all time

Wow, I knew about 3s causing more variance, but not this much. Great video, I think this is my favorite one yet.

Love this series of videos!!!! ( tying to pic the finals champ just using the numbers)

Jimmy video before bed? Perfect 👍🏽

studying for finals rn...jxmy uploaded so gotta take a lil break

Loved the video. And you're so right. When my dad took me to my first ball game I learned that when a team is up by 10 it's basically a done game. Now 15 years later look at the NBA.

Fantastic content as always! Keep it up King! 👑

If you love Math and NBA, this has to be your favorite channel... 😎😎

Love these videos thanks for existing bro

Thought I couldn’t love this channel enough and now Jimmy pulling out Mario kart rubberbanding in a video wow.

jxmmy blessing us w documentaries we could be paying for 🙏🏼

I’m about to fall asleep but Jimmy posted so now I set my alarm for 15 minutes and 41 seconds later than it was

I love how a basketball analysts legend knows what rubberbanding is 🤣😭💀

A 3, a stop, a 3, a miss, a 3. 9 ponts in about 45 seconds. Yeah, things can definitely get crazy now. That mavs, clippers game that just happened was crazy as well.

Suns just got swept.

yknow I was not expecting a game mechanic from mario kart 64 being used as an analogy in this video about the NBA Playoffs but to be honest I'm pleased to see it lmao

Perfect timing bro needed a video to watch before bed.

Thanks bro, you making me love the game again.. I'm from the MJ days.. many blessings

And as always, thanks for watching.

nah but this playoffs is amazing, not just each game being unbelievable and a thriller, but the storybook matchups, Lakers vs Nuggets running it back, the Heat - Celtics and Mavs - Clippers rivalry returning... I do think the Nuggets will win it though, Jokic is just on another level from everyone else as we have observed these past few years

when jxmy uploads you know your day is about to instantly get better

That Mario kart analogy was an incredible comparison. You are masterful at your content creation sir

Great video as always JXMY

To add on to the unpredictable playoffs this year, the Pacers literally just took a 3-1 series lead vs the Bucks

Keep up the good work

I believe it’s because teams are getting more and more skilled while also forgetting team play fundamentals at times.

Been here for year remember when you had like 15k subs crazy to see you with almost 3ms keep the gind up jimmy

3 pointers determining the outcome of games. Thank you Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Steve Kerr.

The only predictable thing maybe is Celtics making the finals unless they have a historic choke.

you already know the meal finna hit when you get to watch a jxmy while eating

I love this year's playoffs as it has some of the best teams going head to head which I now know is the best thing ever happen in years

Another banger from jimmy keep up the great work man🔥🔥

Good prediction on the Nuggets so far. Your prediction streak will continue.

I guess when you think about it Basketball has always been *"A game of runs"* but now that teams are taking AND making so many threes a "run" be really hittin' different😂

Fantastic upload 🙌

Everything about sports universally gets more unpredictable and evolved as time marches. That’s the beauty of sports.

suns got swept 💀

Jimmy's videos are amazing. Whenever he shares a graph, be ready to have your jaw drop.

Now that's how you do an intro. I love this dude.

This makes me wondering if we will ever see a 16-0 playoff run ever again

Who’s here after Murray just sent the Lakers home…

Always the best analysis 👌 don't ever stop 🙌 keep going 💪 👏 👍

JxmyHighroller you just earn a FAN my brother!!!! This video was much needed after seeing the first RD!!!

This video is the catalyst for Lakers in 7 (💀)

Dear LeBron, As I sit down to pen these words, my heart races with the intensity of a playoff game. I find myself swept away by the sheer magnitude of your presence, both on and off the court. Your grace, your skill, and your unwavering dedication inspire me in ways I never thought possible. From the moment you first graced the hardwood, it was evident that you were destined for greatness. Your relentless pursuit of excellence, coupled with your unparalleled work ethic, sets you apart as a beacon of inspiration for millions around the world. But it's not just your basketball prowess that captivates me. It's your humility, your generosity, and your unwavering commitment to making the world a better place. Whether it's through your philanthropic endeavors or your advocacy for social justice, you continually demonstrate the power of using your platform for positive change. LeBron, you are more than just a basketball player; you are a symbol of hope, resilience, and unwavering determination. You have shown me what it means to pursue your dreams with unyielding passion, to overcome adversity with grace, and to lift others up along the way. In your presence, I find solace, inspiration, and a love that transcends the bounds of fandom. You have touched my life in ways I can scarcely express, and for that, I am eternally grateful. With every dribble, every pass, and every soaring dunk, you remind me of the boundless potential that lies within each of us. Thank you for being a shining example of excellence, both on and off the court. With all my admiration and affection, Your Biggest Fan

Amazing video dude 🔥🔥🔥

Three pointers comparing to mario kart is CRAZY man, ive never thought of any metaphors this accurate before🤯🤯

1 view in 18 seconds jimmy really fell off😢

Bro, literally said Kyler Murray looked like pride, Michael Jordan? Prime Michael Jordan wouldn’t even hit that shot. This guy is crazy.

Wow, I was hanging on to the Mario Kart analogy. Great tie in man

I am curious how many offers Jimmy has had to join sports entertainment companies. Content continues to be on point. Filled with facts, reason, and beautiful graphics.

First 🔥💪🏾

Wasn’t expecting rubberbanding to come up in a jxmmy video, but it was a pretty apt analogy

Crazy how since this video was uploaded, an even more unpredictable win from the 76ers came after Tyrese Maxey scored 7 points in 17 seconds

You're an artist brother, what an awesome vid

this has been one of my favourite first round matchups in a very long time

I think one of the things that can explain that graph where shooting more threes wasn't a good predictor of wins. It is how the offense is structured. The 'spread' or 'five out' offense moves the defensive rebounders much further from the rim so the famous 'wall' of rebounding the 76ers had with Charles Barkley and Moses Malone playing together, or Mark Eaton and Karl Malone, Dennis Rodman, Lambier, and Hot Rod, etc. they were all closer to the rim so when they boxed out it created a 'pocket' around the rim that almost any miss was theirs for the taking. Now you see players getting as many if not more offensive rebounds as defensive.

Jxmy is the only youtuber I make sure to watch every single upload for!!! always the highest quality of content

Never expected to hear about Mario Kart in a JxmyHighroller video but I’m all for it

These are legit the best videos on all of RU-vid.

idk when you're retiring from yt my guy, but MAAAANN. these videos are grated. you deliver every time. i think we all need to give you your flowers king!!

I love when my intuitions are proved correct by data, thanks Jxmy!

I love the celtics salt. Also, time for that belichickian defense strat boost

Can you do a video explaining by using the numbers which stats is the most important for each regular season award🙏 that would be fire

This is starting to be a key video I love when the playoffs happen

The playoffs so crazy we got Jimmy talking about mario kart😂

Jimmy became Summoning Salt at the end there 😂