The Signal and the Noise - Nate Silver

Просмотров 39 тыс.

% 410

Stats guru and political forecaster Nate Silver reveals why most predictions fail, and shows how we can isolate a true "signal" from a universe of increasingly big and noisy data.
Speaker: Nate Silver, statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times.
Chair: Dara O Briain, award-winning comedian, writer and broadcaster.
SUBSCRIBE to our channel!
Follow the RSA on Twitter: RSAEvents
Like RSA Events on Facebook: rsaeventsoff...
Listen to RSA podcasts: soundcloud.com/the_rsa
See RSA Events behind the scenes: rsa_events

Опубликовано:

12 июн 2013

Ссылка:

Скачать:

Готовим ссылку...

Добавить в:

Мой плейлист

Посмотреть позже

Комментарии : 21

@henrikmanukyan3152 Год назад

11.23.2022 I discovered Nate ! happy day )

@cacciato69 11 лет назад

Bayes theorem was for 200 years a mathematical oddity, statistical thinking was dominated by frequentist ideas. It requires lots of computational power. Silver and other young statisticians have a new tool for predicting with increasing accuracy with updated evidence. This is a dramatic tool kit addition. we old statisticians are increasingly impressed and jealous of the changed potential for giving probabilities of increasing accuracy and precision. Read the book if you can.

@Mornys 11 лет назад

Nate's the man. Awesome.

@stephenglover8828 2 года назад

But his predictions aren't....

@roidroid 11 лет назад

Sadly I agree, it was a waste of time for you to watch this, how could you miss the point so much? The point he brought out repeatedly was that people who are looking for easy and definite answers are fundamentally misunderstanding the process of these sciences. Its not for producing sensational headlines. You want to find the signal? The lesson is that you need to accept that you probably can't, and beware of those selling you it. Be less confident & more content jugging uncertainty.

@GoodStoryTeller 11 лет назад

I love the last thing he said "I am happy to be merely competent in the land of the blind, deaf and dumb, than to have to beat the experts over at the stock market."

@faracanthaceae4946 7 лет назад

what does it exactly mean? is there a "read inbetween the lines" meaning or is it a straightforward statement that he doesn't like to be a part of the stock market?

@coldcoder23 5 месяцев назад

@@faracanthaceae4946 Which means that he is in search of the truth, not of the money, this is because data science is used for economics, to earn much money as possible, but data science is important for all fields not just economics