The World Record Nobody Thought Could Fall 

To be completely honest, I think Noah has a real shot at breaking the 200m world record. I like Noah, but this won’t be easy. He will need a perfect day, a perfect start, and his legendary close. As for the 100m, I think we can all agree that it will take longer to fall. Lyles would need to start running his first 60 in the 6.3 range if he wants that record. Technically it’s still possible, as we’ve seen many impossible performances before, but he will have to work very hard and consistently to have any chance of achieving it.

With Tebogo And lyles. We have athletes that genuinely have a chance.

I'm calling it now, Bolt's 200m record will not be touched by Lyles or anybody else for that matter. Not anytime soon. I'd like to be proven wrong, so good luck

I think for Lyles to break the 200m record, he’d have to skip out on the 100. I can’t see him breaking it after going through 3 rounds of the 100 as well.

just 1 month left until bolts 100m is the longest standing 100m record ever

I wouldn't rule out Letsile Tobogo being right there with him. When you look at how much he has improved his 300/400m times and they were his first two races of the season, although admittedly compared with his first two races of last season. Either way, big improvements.

Do also remember that Bolt did this after running five (5) races including a world record of 9.58. Blake did 19.26 at the diamond league, not much pressure…

Lyles and Tobogo pushing each other to history

I want to see Tebogo and Knighton as they grow, improve and reach their prime

The point you keep missing when making these videos is that of the 200 meters. When you run a 9.92 first 100 meters putting that much impact on your body it’s most definitely going to be harder to close in 9.16 or lower. Lyles, yohan, Michael Johnson all had a faster close because they ran the first 100 way slower and had the energy to finish super fast.

The 200m is beatable, the 100m record is invincible for now. I think Tebogo has the biggest chance out of anyone to break the 200m. A 19.50 at his age plus besting Bolt, Michael Johnson, & Wayde Van Niekerk in the 300m shows that he's the real deal. Bolt's 200m is also into a headwind which helps make it more possible to beat, if Bolt had no wind he'd be closer to 19.16 & with a 1.0~2.0 m/s tailwind I think that would equate to a sub 19.10. So while I think his 200m WR is beatable, the new WR when it happens will still be less of a feat than Bolt's WR if we add in the factor of wind (unless they go sub 19.10 with a tailwind or beat his 19.19 with no wind/a headwind). If the 200 falls my guess would be Tebogo as the most likely, then Lyles, then Knighton. For Lyles to open in 10.00 or 10.05 & be able to finish strong I think he'd need to be at worst a low 9.7x 100m runner. Bolt at 9.58 opened at 9.92. So for Lyles to open at the same percent of full speed he'd need to be a 9.66 runner to do a 10.00 opener, a 9.71 runner to do a 10.05 opener. Going from 6.51 to 6.43 implies that Lyles can take 0.08 off his 100m with a better start, so a 9.75 instead of 9.83 which would be HUGE as that would put him ahead of Coleman, Kerley, & Bromell & he'd be the 6th fastest all-time, but even then it's not quite fast enough to beat Bolt's 19.19 even with Lyles great speed endurance. He'd need to be very very close to Tyson Gay/Yohan Blake 100m & combine that with his speed endurance to pull it off. I don't see him making huge improvements like this since he's already at peak age, so for now I'm sticking with Tebogo has the best shot in the years to come. Edit: To make predictions I think Lyles will run a 9.75~9.78 100m this season. I actually don't think he'll beat his 19.31, that race seems like an outlier as Lyles improved his 60m & 100m when focusing on that from 2022 to 2023, however this means less time to focus on 200m, so his best performance dropped from a 19.31 to a 19.47. I think Lyles will get a 19.39 this year & that MAY be the world lead, however I think it's possible Tebogo runs faster than 19.39 so I think Tebogo will have the world lead this year, but it won't be a WR, not yet.

As I've said before, Noah is one of those athletes that can "sustain speed"... Basically, "slow down slower." Some athletes have a greater nack for it (ETH & S. Richardson) whilst others have to revamp their entire sprinting process to get it (SAFP). Ok for anyone interested to learn, train using longer distances (200m and 300m) for conditioning. Also, focus, relax and control your breathing.

I neither do nor follow track & field, but I love your videos. Keep it up man!

I have a feeling this is the season we realise it's Tebogo's world and we're just living in it

19.30 might be Lyle's very best. Tebogo however...

9:42 You made a miscalculation. He ran 9.16 in the closing half so it would be 19.21

I think Tebogo is the rising star of the future. He runs with the effortless grace of a gazelle and is still very young.

Lyles is a mad man. I really do think he could get a time of 19.10 if he stays healthy

19.19 is as safe as a newborn baby in his loving mother's arms. Lyles isn't running 19.2x.

This is the best channel on RU-vid by a wide margin. it’s not even close. Incredibly professional videos.

I believe that 60m improvement is only going to translate to his 100m significantly but not much in his 200. He'll probably run 19.3 again.

I think Noah will win gold in the 100m and the 200m at Olympic this year.

None of these athletes will break the WR but it's a good conversation to have

l’m kinda surprised more people aren’t commenting about Knighton

Was at both those WR races of Bolt’s in Berlin, both epic evenings

That race by Usain bolt wàs incredible fantastic unbelievable .no joke. Who agree?

World records will always be broken sooner or later. But whether and when Bolts records are beaten will never detract from the fact he is a triple Olympic champion from 08, 12, 16 and that achievement shows true greatness than individual records.

19.19 is still two ~9.6 splits….. thats just too much for current human beings

Best part about this well-researched and detailed video? We know that Lyles is probably viewing it too! :)

love these kinds of videos

I mean the fact that Noah used to struggle getting a 10 second 100m and now can easily be under 10 seconds plus with a 60m of 6.43 that’s a guarantee 19.2 or better as long as the wind is right and it’s gotta be his day.

Everything you ascribe to Lyles can be done for Tebogo, geez! Funny how it’s all about Lyles as if everyone else is just fodder, keep hyping him, it sells tickets!

I absolutely think he will break the 200m WC this year. I have no doubts. His 60m improvement proves that he can.

I don't think that he will. I worry that his new bulk will work against him in the 200m. He will be the world lead in the 100m but he hasn't re-captured his 200m magic from 2022. I'm rooting for him but I wonder if his 60m and 100m improvements will not translate into the 200m. I'm rooting for him for sure.

Tebogo is also on fire. The Olympics are gonna be absolutely amazing 🔥🔥

Noah got that Super Saiyan 4 energy right now

Quincy Wilson will shatter this record one day. He’s only 14 years old and running a 21.02 in the 200 Meters. A sophomore in high school, damn.

I think Noah should focus on the 200m in the Olympics cause if he focuses on a lot of things someone is gonna cause a huge upset on him, Coleman is back on fire so I think he's taking the 100m and if Noah Lyles is gonna sleep he might find himself behind Letsile Tebogo cause one of Lyles biggest weapons was his strength on that last 70m and no one could match him there now with Tebogo not only matching him there but I believe his better his definitely a huge threat to Noah.

I need to meet the guy who does these videos, high quality work here.

Lets go Lyles! 🔥

I am 100% sure Noah will not break Usain bold record. He will not even break his own American record

Noah is running at least a 9.7 this year

TRP, that math is somehow playing with numbers, nothing more than that, but it's flawed. Firstly, 200m split times are questionable as far as accuracy goes. Secondly, I would say Lyles is losing speed maintenance by working on his start so hard, so you can't use his fastest split ever down the home straightaway and simply add a vicious start... It doesn't work that way.

I think I can do it, but knowing the training system, my form will explode around OG in Paris I can't wait anymore

If Lyle's does this, everything is going to have to be just perfect that day. Perfect start, ~1.6-1.9 tailwind, and tebogo running at peak condition to push him

It's not done until it's done - I watched Usain's amazing records and still shake my head at how fast he was !

Why most forget about Erriyon Knighton who still has a better personal best than Letsile Tebogo?

Chest high !! All the best to him.

0:55 that's the crowd sound effect from Mike Tyson's punch out.

There's always Usain's the olympic records to consider as a consolation prize - 9.63 and 19.30

Every record alive people think is impossible to beat, but there's nothing impossible, it's just a matter of time and participation, there's a lot of talents that just never get chances

9:30 Bro just Chica rizzed me on the screen in the background 💀

The thing with Bolt though, was that he seemed to ease off before the end of races and didn't always push it until the end. He just cruised over the line.

Tebogo's gonna swoop in and snatch the WR and gold medal away 😍

Let's go Noah!!!!

Congratulations. I knew my record would stand until it was broken.

I wish Bolt never slowed down at the end of his wr races, coz that’s the main reason his records would get broken

Lyles is looking good for it

And the guy jumps into the world indoor championships 4 x 400 and runs a 45 second split. It shows the great work ethic he has - what a monster!

I seriously do think that Tebogo will leave our jaws dropped this year... Lyles , on one hand, might have a shot at triple gold in the olympics, because of his consistency. That said, I do think Tebogo might have a shot at the 200m WR bc he just runs crazy times out of nowhere.

Yeah this outdoor will be interesting

One thing that we have to factor in is the rounds. The Olympics has 4 rounds compared to three at Worlds. It is more difficult at the Olympics. What makes Bolts records so special is not just the times, but also when he did it. He did at major championships. His WR were at the WC which was faster than his Olympic year even though he was in a better shape his Olympic year.

Bolt ⚡ The Absolute Goat of Sprinting.... AAAAAAAAAAAAND STIIIIIIIIILL! 👑

All he has to do is win 100 200 and 4x100 in three Olympics while breaking 5 World records in the same time frame, then he'll be a legend too, good luck.

Lyles has a good chance of doing so, his super-confidence and his great world ethic being major attributes to that end. However, l do believe that Tegobo is the one that will do it this year, possibly in one of those one off races. Also, watch out for Erryon!

You should put up a video on Ibzan Felix, who ran a 17 minute 5K last year, but he just came in 1st for The Ten's High School Mile just last week with a 4:58 and 2:00 final 800, ran an impressive 13:56 in the 3 mile in XC, and lead California with a 9:01!

This is the year of Letsile Tebogo 🤫

Noah is a cool guy. I hope he win his 3 gold in next olympic. ☺️

you should do a video on cooper lutkenhaus, hes a freshman at justin northwest and has already put up a 1:50 800. kids got some serious talent

I personally don't think Lyles has a chance. 19.19 is absolutely insane I really do think it will stand for decades and decades

Check out an Aussie prodigy called Gout Gout. He will probably never reach great heights as we seem to have great juniors who disappear but his running gait looks so much like a young Usain Bolt

Exciting times. Sub-19 possibilities parallel sub-2hr possibilities in marathon. He’s bound to break 19.20 but.

Thing is though if lyles starts faster then he's gonna finish slower. I doubt lyles is gonna run something like 9.16 for the last 100m if he started similarly to Usain's 9.92.

Any compilation on his progression in the 200m over the past 6 - 8 years? And besides fastest time in each year, maybe an average for each of those years, too? Combine that with his 60m progression and you'll get an idea. It's hard to predict his chances in the 100m / 200m races in the Paris Olympics as the competition throughout the rounds is out-of-this-world tough so he just needs to get into the final. The Olympics is all about winning the gold so I'd say his chances for the 200m world record are better in a meet before or after The Games.

Knighton or Tobago will challenge Bolt’s 19.19. They are both running much faster at 20 years old than Lyles. However, anything is possible in any one race if he flies out of the blocks.

Came to this channel after 3 years n this guyis still breaking bolts records, 3 years ago he was doing the same, i even don’t remember the names whom this guy was saying gonna break bolts records in 2022

Lyles is one of my favorite to watch

Can you please make a video on the Barley Marathons, and specifically Jasmin Paris becoming the first woman to ever finish the race

EVERYTHING counts at these speeds when it comes to aerodynamics and wind resistance; in that vein, it would seem smart to loose the braids and go smooth-headed like Bolt did 😉

rooting for tebogo!

If noah wants to break the 200m record ,he got to slow down in his heat end semi finals like what bolt do,and then in the finals he gives it all,the reason why Noah has so much under 20 seconds is because he run faster in his heats and semi finals,he can’t get too tired in the final

One thing that you didn't not discuss when talking about these times of Lyles is altitude. Does this have a significant factor on any of the data?

As many records as we’ve seen fall over the last few years, i still think the 200 and 100 are untouchable. But if one has to fall this year id bet the 200 does.

Tobogo or Knighton are my prediction to break 19.19 in the future.

I think Bolt left the 200m close enough to beat. I think with his closing 100 he was actually slowing down a bit and could have hit 19.10 or below. Lyles has had steady improvement each year and looks very strong throughout the whole race. With his 200 m. Strengthenedurance and his increasing top speed, there's no better time than this year for him to break it. The 100 m record is untouchable by the way lol. We'd have to see a freak of nature break that

Tebogo is young and coming on strong. I think Lyles will win gold this year but not break Bolts record. By next year I think Tebogo will be tied and pass him in 2026

I think in an Olympic year Lyles will have his mind set for glory rather than records, perhaps he will break records but I think it is more likely in a non Olympic year when he can focus more on time

6:25 If I were going for the world record, the final race would not matter as much to me. I would just try to get the record in whatever race is optimal. If that is the first race, then I would go for it there. If I reach peak performance in my second race, then I would go for it there, etc. There are some sprinters who have set a world record in a prelim race. To me personally, a world record is more important than winning a gold. Anyway, if you hit the world record in a prelim, you're gonna win gold anyway. It's just your day. It's like when I go for max reps in pullups. The optimal time for me is right after warmup. If I wait until the end of the workout, I don't perform as well.

On the juice

People must remember that the record from Bolt was done while he was heavily exhausted. These races before drained some hundreds of what he would have been capable at this time. You don't ruin world record in 100m and then be 100% regenerated a few days back, he is still a human.

That track where Blake ran thay 19.26 also had a wider curve than a normal track.

WOW insane athletic ability

Only Bolt son could break his record 🇯🇲🇯🇲🇯🇲🇯🇲🇯🇲

I don’t think it will be broken anytime soon with this generation of athletes and same for the 100m record . The three best athletes currently for 200m are Lyles , Knighton and Tebogo and this Olympics looks very interesting for the men’s 100 and 200m

Kenjuck, kenjuck, kenjuck. Rekord je i dalje Boltov, a tako bu duuugo i ostal 😊

He helped me understand why some people talk about the No Brain Association...😂😂😂

"The great Black hope" 😂

Lyles just needs a tailwind and a good start to get that wr

nah, that 19.19 will stand for ages

Usain Bolt is both the greatest gift and biggest disappointment in sprints' history. He left records off the table. And his longevity too. Party hard talent. It's fun.