"If you plug in a range of some pocket pairs that we have 2 overcards to, some hands like KQ, AJs, you're not gonna have [40%]" Lol, did you forget how to do math? You described a range of hands such that we have almost 50% equity against each hand, and you say that we don't have 40% against the range? Like, what??? Big misjudgment in my opinion.
add AQo and you're under 40%, and I think AQo is a pretty realistic hand for a fish to cold call and then jam vs squeeze. If I had to put fish on a range it would be something like 88-TT, AJs, AQo which is ~38% equity and doesn't take into account microstakes rake taking a little bit of that equity out of the pot. If we give fish the most generous range we might get something like 41%-42% equity before rake, so it's not like we're missing out on a hugely winning spot. If we're wrong in the other direction and he decided to trap AK or QQ+ some of the time like a passive fish we're getting super crushed
14:00 The 53s hand is a clear check/fold if you check. You have the worst 5x hand possible, and while you do have a double gutter if the turn is a A or 2 you still are behind bluffs, and are indifferent against barrels.
There is no way the first hand call is that bad vs. a 2nd flatter on the button who had the opportunity to squeeze before. A/10 might be top of range. That being said. Hand deserves a 0.5 for the 3-bet, which leads to a spot where you probably need to call 80 more BB needing 40% and having 43-46%.
Yea I honestly don’t get what Pete was thinking lol he’s usually spot on, it’s 100% a call off vs villains range which I honestly didn’t even think would have A10o, excepting to see 9s 10s Jacks a lot
And as for the 3bet , it all depends on LoJacks opening range and how loose the flat callers are , vs normal 25NL player ranges I don’t mind the 3 bet at all, although flat calling is probably better
Its quite hard to assess hero's play without their commentary / thought process. RE : hand 5, there are so many villains at 10NL / 25NL who will over-fold when hero goes bet-bet, but over-bluff when checked-to in 3B or 4B pots that it can be the best way to maximise value. I am assuming hero checked turn because he suspected villain would over-bluff and over-fold, or it's a completely illogical play. If thats the case then calling down seems the only play.
On hand 3, doesn’t that there’s a third hand involved make a difference? Seems intuitive to be (obviously could be wrong) that 78s has enough equity to be close to even for calling.
For the second hand, on the flop 779, why does hero have the nut advantage? Doesnt villain have more 7X (76s, 87s etc) than hero? Since they are both kind of deep, wouldnt villain call quite a lot of suited connectors?
Question about hand five. You said you prefer checking AK OTF. Would you also throw in some checks with AA/KK there? Betting AA/KK otf there as opposed to checking is going to be the more profitable play a ton of the time. BUT, and this might be a mental leak of mine: oUr cHeCkInG rAnGe bEcOmEs vErY wEaK/eXpLoItAbLe tHeN. How do you approach such a spot?
Absolutely, grade E describes human behaviour via data. Live players are humans too. We split the data into regs and recs in Grade E so that you can see how each type of population reacts in different spots.
About the Hustler hot take, its not about watching rich guys punt. Its about watching the people who are good at poker adjust. Real people playing real poker for real money. Not a learning experience. Watching a full table of rich guys punt is excruciating to watch, I'll agree to that. When real pro's like Garret or Dwan or Doug Polk are thrown in the mix, that's what makes it interesting to me. I want to see what makes these guys so good, what does their game vs fish really look like? It's fun to see them battle. Its not like there is no good poker being played on HCL.
Agreed. The first hand is bad if you follow GTO, but clearly this was an example of “street poker”. As an aggressive player I honestly don’t mind the squeeze. I would never call off that jam in my pool but if the hero had a read and decided to go with it, props to him. The reality of the hand is that both the last flatter and hero had excellent reads and essentially ended up flipping. Contextually, I would give the first hand a 7/10 because 1) it demonstrates conscious understanding of the situation, i.e. levelling that might be( and was) at play and 2) it shows that the hero is willing to deviate immensely from GTO in order to follow through on their read and is not playing like a scared chicken. Sometimes people forget that we play poker against humans, not a robot, and things such as context and ego can be quite important variables when you make decisions. With that said, the hand was objectively badly played, and Pete’s low score can be justified because he needs to use the same criteria for all the contestants, which is predominantly GTO-sound play, otherwise this whole competition would become impossible for Pete to rate consistently. Additionally, poker is, after all, a mental and psychological game and with all of us having different personality traits, I can totally understand why someone simply cannot see any logic behind the first hand.
You honestly make some good points. However, Villain would have to make some absolutely mad bluffs (way more out there than ATo) to make this a profitable call. Would really like to hear what Hero has to say about this hand.
@@Torstenr16 Yeah, though as humans we tend to justify our actions in retrospect. So even if we were to ask Hero why he called it off, he is way more likely to find a logical explanation than to say “my ego levelled me into a call cause I didn’t want to be a punching bag”. There is only one real truth behind his reasoning. The one where 1) Hero had past stats/notes on the Villain or 2) logically came to the conclusion that given the action the Villain might be the one whose ego is getting triggered is one that I can understand and respect the follow through. The other reality where, as mentioned, Hero made an emotional call is a reasoning I do not respect. I think in poker the action itself is not always the most important thing in the long term, but rather why you decide to do it. Hope this makes sense, and of course, this is all just my opinion, though I digressed a tiny bit from your reply so apologies for the read bud.
While I agree hero (hopefully) had some notes that villain was a moron, I still think it's a horrible punt as you are behind all Ax, which we all know fish love, and also behind all pocket pairs, which fish do this with a lot, and occasionally the fish even has a hand. I know we're not far behind all the fishy punts, but why flip against fish? outplay them with almost zero risk. Added to which, if we know this fish shoves super light vs squeeze, it makes the squeeze even worse than it was in the first place. I think 0.5 is a fair score.
@@1to1IELTS This does make sense if the villains flatting and then jam-bluffing range contains more Ax than mid - low pocket pairs. Reason I say this is because low - mid pocket pairs are more likely to flat and I would argue that Ax is a better squeeze/fold perhaps. If my assumptions are correct, and if the villain’s jamming range is full of 44’s - 99’s (maybe TT’s), then KQ performs as well as AK vs JJ’s for example. So going back to your comment, it seems that you are against KQ flipping against those pocket pairs, but by that math you should also be against AK flipping against JJ/QQ, which happens super often. The villain did happen to have Ax in this situation and we are behind but it honestly feels like a flip, to me at least. Definitely a “controversial” hand though, and I do admit that your reasoning would just avoid all the complications and make poker more simple.
its like olympic ice skating and executing a figure perfectly : you could get a score of 8/10 as the figure is not difficult enough. Same here the hand was not difficult enough.
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