Today’s Homework: Brand NEW BAMS (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society) Annual Report 

You really think this will have any effect on deniers? It's about ideology, not facts. I recently had a well-educated Australian doctor I was following regarding covid lies from his government tell me quite rudely that climate change is a hoax. He clearly had no interest in any evidence to the contrary.

He truly does an amazing job.

Then you will be accused of not warning them when it all kicks off🙄.🙈🙉🙊

There is a grey area between 100% acceptance and denial. That is where most people are. "Accept WHAT?" _Collapse of civilization is very likely during that process - all nuclear power plants will implode then? No life after that_ Civilization can collapse because of economy collapses, (hybrid) world war, major tipping point is reached, oil peaks. The stress from our dire situation itself crush souls. Our children asking for help - now.

Unless you are acknowledging the reality of Geoengineering, and blatant Weather Modification, then you are just a "Denialist" as well.

@@hime273 Dane the Great👍

Yeah but people like Montbiot give off mixed signals. He writes or wrote extensively for the Guardian which is chief middle class elitism in the UK. One page bleeding heart climate woe, the next page an ad for Toyota Lexus. People like Montbiot would be best not feckin engaged and what we need is old school hard core political thought delivered without the window dressing of bogus liberal elitism.

Thanks for naming what I noticed, too. That Wells guy does the same thing, It makes me gnash my teeth in frustration. They are published because they say the truth and then THE OPPOSITE--some reassuring nutter butter that makes it--evidently--oublication worthy.

In Science journal, in the REVIEW summaries, they often cite "we must not alarm people and cause them to give up all hope," as the reason to not tell the truth, which of course is utter nonsense, and that comes out of the mouth of the paid climate softeners. If you look up the resumes Of these climate minimizing reviewers, Hausfather for example, currently works for stripe a credit card company, there's another who is involved in COASTLINE "climate resilient development", people who obviously have a vested interest in minimizing

@earthsystem It's not so much that they have a vested interest. I mean if you felt that your actions were leading to your demise for eg smoking, you quit. I don't actually think these fellows believe their sciences. It's a job or career for them. Pays the mortgage on the mcmansion. The whole green movement is a joke of middle class fat cats playing concerned.

I sent you a single shamrock.☘ What could RU-vid possibly have against shamrocks? They removed it.🤣

@@juliebarks3195 it's ridiculous!

@@TennesseeJed "It is". Here in the you know were🏴‍☠. We are being symptomatically silenced. 🤐 We are no longer GB. More like 💩s vill. If you get my meeting. Now I know why they invented the enigma code.🤫

@@TennesseeJed Now I know why they invented the Enigma Code.🤫

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) published their report titled 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘎𝘭𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘭 𝘊𝘭𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦 on 19 Mar 2024, where in Fig 6 (on page 6) indicated that the SLR rate of an average of 4.77 mm/year was observed over the period Jan 2014 through Dec 2023, with an acceleration at 0.12 ± 0.05 mm/y². This suggests the SLR rate is now around 5 mm/y in 2024. The SLR doubling rate since satellite altimetry data began in Jan 1993 has been around 18 years. So an SLR rate of 5 mm/y now, in less than 2 decades then accelerates to 10 mm/y, and then 20 mm/y, 𝘦𝘵𝘤, assuming an exponential progression. See also Table 3.2 in NOAA’s Feb 2022 report on SLR titled 𝘎𝘭𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘙𝘦𝘨𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘦𝘢 𝘓𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭 𝘙𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘚𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘰𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴: 𝘜𝘱𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘔𝘦𝘢𝘯 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘫𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘌𝘹𝘵𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘦 𝘞𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘓𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘈𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨 𝘜.𝘚. 𝘊𝘰𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘴, which projects a global mean sea level by 2050 (relative to the year-2000 baseline) will likely be in the range of 0.15 m (for a low emissions scenario) to 0.43 m (for a high emissions scenario). By 2100, the range is projected from 0.3 m (low) to 2.0 m (high). Glaciologist Professor Jason Box says in the RU-vid video titled 𝘀𝗲𝗮 𝗹𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗲 - 𝗶𝘀 𝗚𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗻𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗶𝗽𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁?, recorded on 13 Jun 2024, a little after the 1¾ minute mark (bold text my emphasis): “𝘕𝘰𝘸 𝘪𝘧 𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘶𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘪𝘴 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦𝘭𝘺, 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘪𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘨𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘴. 𝙈𝙮 𝙗𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙜𝙪𝙚𝙨𝙨, 𝙞𝙛 𝙄 𝙝𝙖𝙙 𝙩𝙤 𝙥𝙪𝙩 𝙤𝙪𝙩 𝙣𝙪𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨; 𝙨𝙤 𝙗𝙮 2050, 40 𝙘𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙞𝙢𝙚𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙨 𝙖𝙗𝙤𝙫𝙚 2000 𝙡𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙡𝙨; 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙣 𝙗𝙮 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙮𝙚𝙖𝙧 2100, 150 𝙘𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙞𝙢𝙚𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙨, 𝙤𝙧 1.5 𝙢𝙚𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙨 𝙖𝙗𝙤𝙫𝙚 𝙩𝙝𝙚 2000 𝙡𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙡, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘪𝘴 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘧𝘦𝘦𝘵. 𝘛𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘯𝘶𝘮𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘢𝘴𝘩𝘦𝘥-𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘷𝘦 𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘐𝘗𝘊𝘊’𝘴 6𝘵𝘩 𝘈𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘳𝘦𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘦𝘳 5-𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘭 𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘤𝘶𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴, 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘭 𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘤𝘶𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘥𝘰𝘯’𝘵 𝘥𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘪𝘤𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘲𝘶𝘪𝘤𝘬𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘰𝘣𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘦𝘥. 𝘐𝘧 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘵𝘸𝘰 𝘥𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘥𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘰𝘣𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴, 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘭𝘴 𝘥𝘰𝘯’𝘵 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘯 𝘳𝘦𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘭 40 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘴 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘯𝘰𝘸.” ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-8jpPXcqNXpE.html

So I should let my kids reproduce and not worry about the collapse and food shortages then. Thanks

@goodenough22 Between 1961 and 2021 global cereal production increased 250% and cereal yield increased over 200%. Land used for cereal hardly increased (Data from World Bank, FAO/UN). This is the only time in human history that you are more likely to be overfed rather than underfed. We should be thankful we were borne into an age of such abundance. A US DoE study (Taylor & Schlenker, 2021) estimated that a 1 ppm increase in CO2 led to an increase of 0.4%, 0.6% and 1% in yield for corn, soybeans and wheat, respectively, and that CO2 increase was the main driver of the 500% yield growth in corn since 1940. Global tomato production has set a record each year for the past 10 years. Banana production has doubled in 20 years. All 10 of the largest sugar crops in global history occurred during the past 10 years. All 10 of the 10 largest rice crop years occurred during the past 10 years (UNFAO). 2023 was another record cereal crop.

@goodenough22 Since 1900 the global temperature has increased by 1.3°C. Despite that humanity has flourished. Life expectancy has more than doubled from 32 to 73 years. Literacy has quadrupled from 21% to 86%. Humans are seven times more productive ($2,241 to $15,212 GDP per capita, per annum). People are better fed, having ⅓ more calories every day (2,192kcal to 2,928kcal). Global extreme poverty rates have tumbled from 70% to less than 10% (

@goodenough22 Since 1900 the global temperature has increased by 1.3°C. Despite that humanity has flourished. Life expectancy has more than doubled from 32 to 73 years. Literacy has quadrupled from 21% to 86%. Humans are seven times more productive ($2,241 to $15,212 GDP per capita, per annum). People are better fed, having ⅓ more calories every day (2,192kcal to 2,928kcal). Global extreme poverty rates have tumbled from 70% to less than 10% (

@goodenough22 Extinction rates (1500-2009) peaked around 1900 at 50 per decade. Extinction rates have declined dramatically to around 4 to per decade in the 2000s. So the extinction rate is very low: 900 known lost species for 2.1 million known species in 500 years (IUCN), so from observations there are an average of slightly less than 2 species lost every year. Out of a known species total of over 2 million. That gives an annual percentage loss of less than 0.0001%. That's background extinction. At that frequency it will take over 930,000 years to reach 80% extinction of species experienced at the K-T boundary that saw the extinction of the dinosaurs. Of course, extinction is a natural part of the evolution of life on this planet with the average lifespan of a species thought to be about 1 million years (cf 930,000). It is estimated that 99.9% of all plant and animal species that have existed have gone extinct. It should also be noted that no taxonomic families have become extinct in the last 500 years. In fact marine diversity at the taxonomic level of families is the highest it has ever been in the Earth's long history (see Sepkoski Curve). In a review of 16,009 species, most populations (85%) did not show significant trends in abundance, and those that did were balanced between winners (8%) and losers (7%) (Dornelas et al, 2019). There have been only 9 species of continental birds and mammals confirmed extinct since 1500 (Loehle, 2011). No global marine animals have become extinct in the past 50 years (McCauley et, 2015 using IUCN data). There is no 6th mass extinction.

He gives you the ball & you have to run with it!

@@kennethmorrison7689 The dog ate my homework lol!!

🎉

The University of Maine Climate Change Institute's online tool 𝗖𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘇𝗲𝗿, using the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) dataset, indicates the Daily Surface Air Temperature trend is heading in the opposite direction - getting hotter compared with previous years. Berkeley Earth published on 21 Aug 2024 their report titled 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺 2024 𝘛𝘦𝘮𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘜𝘱𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘦, which began with: """ 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘰𝘸𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘨𝘭𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘭 𝘵𝘦𝘮𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘉𝘦𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘺 𝘌𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘩’𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺 2024. • 𝘎𝘭𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺, 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺 2024 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘥 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 2023 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺 𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥𝘴 𝘣𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯 1850. • 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘭𝘢𝘯𝘥-𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘴𝘦𝘵 𝘢 𝘯𝘦𝘸 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺, 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘰𝘤𝘦𝘢𝘯-𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘥-𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺. • 𝘗𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘶𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘮 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘈𝘴𝘪𝘢, 𝘚𝘰𝘶𝘵𝘩 𝘈𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢, 𝘈𝘧𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢, 𝘈𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘕𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘩 𝘈𝘵𝘭𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘤 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘐𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘖𝘤𝘦𝘢𝘯𝘴. • 𝘞𝘦 𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 57 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘴𝘦𝘵 𝘯𝘦𝘸 𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘩𝘭𝘺-𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘑𝘶𝘭𝘺. • 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘌𝘭 𝘕𝘪ñ𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘯 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘥. 𝘓𝘢 𝘕𝘪ñ𝘢 𝘪𝘴 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳. • 𝘛𝘩𝘦 12-𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘩 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨-𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘴𝘦𝘵𝘴 𝘢 𝘯𝘦𝘸 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥 𝘢𝘵 1.67 ± 0.07 °𝘊 (3.01 ± 0.13 °𝘍) 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 1850-1900 𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦. • 2024 𝘪𝘴 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘣𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘰𝘯 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥. """ Per NOAA, the global average atmospheric CO₂ concentrations were: May 2023: 420.52 ppm May 2024: 423.43 ppm The CO₂ concentration during the Middle Pliocene (3.3 to 3.0 million years ago) has been estimated at around 400 ppm. The global average temperature in the mid-Pliocene was 2-3 °C higher than today, global sea level 25 meters higher, and the Northern Hemisphere ice sheet was ephemeral. The global mean surface temperature (GMST) anomaly is currently about +1.3 °C (30-year mean) relative to the 1850-1900 baseline. The GMST anomaly will inevitably breach the +1.5 °C (30-year mean) threshold, and that's likely sometime around 2030, perhaps as early as 2028, or perhaps as late as 2036. And the GMST anomaly is currently on a trajectory to breach the +2.0 °C (30-year mean) threshold likely sometime in the 2040s, maybe as late as 2062.