You may have almost predicted the future. Two days after this published, there was a real life moderate risk with 15% hatched tornado threat. The real event thankfully didn’t turn out too bad. A supercell passed over downtown Cincinnati before intensify and spawning a tornado a little while later.
This event was only a tornado watch where I am. I haven’t been hit by a tornado yet, but came quite close several times so far this year. I think it could still happen this year. Time will tell.
I like the scenario overall, but I’ve noticed there’s multiple times where you used Nws Wilmington for counties that are actually serve by the national weather service in Indianapolis, for example, the warning for Henry in the warning for Randolph. Both of those counties belong to the national weather service in Indianapolis. A really good scenario, but be careful with the weather services.
