Ukraine: Russia Run Out of Missiles! 

"Russia ran out of missiles a long time ago but lucky for them they have significantly invested in medium and long range ballistic shovels - this is what continues to keep them in the fight." -CNN

There was a saying in Soviet Union: If you see industrial plant, that called "Chelyabinsk Traktor Factory" it means it produses some tractors on spare shifts. But mostly tanks. If you see industrial plant, that called "Granite" or "Malahit" or any other mineral name, it means you not intended to know, what items it produces, but no doubts, it has several warheads. If Iyou see industrial plant, that have number instead if name, you are not intended to see it at all.

You helped get me through COVID. I will never forget that. I hope your heart keeps pumping for decades to come, sir.

Russians still has lots of hypersonic shovels, washing machines, microwaves, etc.😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅

May you live long enough to see every last F-35 software bug fixed!

Sorry to hear about your health issues, really enjoy your channel. Honest reporting is getting rather slim these days.

Not only they keep running out of missiles but frequency of them running out is increasing.

Я помню смотрел трансляцию русскоязычного террориста из Идлиба (это в Сирии) где он говорил, что у русских скоро закончатся ракеты и его перестанут обстреливать. Это было в 2016 году. Ничего не меняется.

6000 cruise missile in 18 months?! Britain doesn’t own half that of missiles of all types combined.

I too think that saying Russians are running out of weapons supplies is laughable😅😅

Thanks for the video. Interesting analysis. And keep working on your health. Your body is your friend, and it want to fix itself, if you give it the opportunity. I have stomach issues, but feel much better now after two years of working on mine. Basically I started to cook my own food (no packaged stuff), regular exercise, stopped drinking any alcohol (27 months now..), and cut out all stressors (another big one). Godspeed!

Great coverage, delivered without colour or biases, rare those days where most RU-vidrs are trying to convince themselves as much as there audiences. I like your style, you present the information and let the audience do most of the deducting. Thank you.

I keep you in my prayers. I find you to be an honest RU-vidr. A rare breed these days. May the Lord continue to bless you Sir.

keep healthy sir. your content is like no other.

Russia continually holds back a full attack force in the event NATO attacks Russia so there will always be enough missiles. It really goes to show how correct Russia has been to insist on a buffer in between Russia and Europe.

Great analysis as always, but on the issue of Russia using s300 missiles for ground attacks, that was never true. It was something pushed forward by the Ukrainian military and of course the western media never question anything Ukraine says. Why?Because at the time, Ukraine still had lots of s300 missiles and it was heavily using these to try to intercept Russian missiles and drones, but with less success. Because it was the old versions of s300 AD acquired during Soviet times, they have been experiencing all sorts of issues, hitting buildings, landing in neighboring countries etc, but each time, Ukraine will point to it being a Russian s300 despite the fact that s300 missiles don’t have that long range. It can’t reach Lviv or Poland or Kiev, yet no one ever questions how on earth that could possibly happen. Anyways, that’s the point I was trying to make, which is the point that Russia repeatedly used s300 missiles for ground attacks across to as far as 900km + deep into Ukraine is crazy, it’s range is about 120km

Wish you a long happy life sir

I hope that your health gets better with time and that we witness the end of this "special operation" sooner rather than later.

Summer 2022: "Russia's quickly running out of missiles!" - Russia was refraining from long range attacks due to the hopefully peace agreement negotiations which were agreed upon by both parties, until Boris Johnson, under the direction from the US, intervened and forced Ukraine to back out from the agreement, leading to the famous case of the Ukrainian government killing its chief negotiator. This was why Russian forces stopped the advanced onto Kiev about 20km from the city. Fall 2022: "Russia has no more tanks and ammunition!" - Russian begins long range strikes on key industrial and energy sectors, as well as bombarding the Ukrainian rear which prevents them from conducting normal troop rotations. These tactics were put into place by General Surovikin, which leads up to the Bakhmut "Meat Grinder". The term "Meat Grinder" is now known to have been coined by General Surovikin during the fall of 2022, when preparing the change in tactics to a war of attrition, grinding the Ukrainian troop and equipment numbers down as opposed to the large scale offensives that were tried earlier under previous leadership, which led to Russian troops overstretching their supply lines, such as the case around Sumy and Kiev, culminating with the retreat from Kharkov and Kherson to establish multi layer defensive belts to fight from. The Ukrainian steppe is far too open, and drones play far to important of a role, for any large sweeps, which was argued by Surovikin, who successfully lead Russia's anti-terrorists campaign in Syria. Winter 2022: "Russia's arm industry is decimated, and cannot keep up the pace" - In Bakhmut, Ukraine forces are baited into the city during Operation Meat Grinder, decimating up to 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers at a 10/1 causality rate. Spring 2023: "Russia has no more sophisticated long range missiles!" - A Kinzhal strike took out at least one, possibly up to three PAC-3 Patriot SAM systems near Kiev during this time Summer 2023: "Russia has no more missiles for air defense or attack, has to beg North Korea!" - The start of Ukraine's "Greatest Counteroffensive of All Time". Russia puts the guided version of the FAB-1500 into action along the already famous guided FAB-500, decimating Ukraine's industrial and repair sectors and continuing to pound the Ukrainian rear, preventing them from accumulating the necessary forces for a proper attack. The Ka-52 attack helo starts to play an important role for the first time. Kiev's NATO trained forces, using primitive armored assaults are absolutely obliterated, leading to some location nicknames like "Bradley Square" outside of Robotino, where Bradley and Leopard 2 corpses begin to pile up. Fall 2023: "Russia's running out of missiles" - After 3 months of Ukraine's "Greatest Counteroffensive of All Time", Ukraine has only managed to capture 3 villages, none of the numbering more than 40 houses. Their offensive has only managed to reach the first line of defensive belts, of which three exist that are made up of multiple layers of minefields, dragons teeth, and trench networks that include ATGM "spider holes" that are reached thru an extensive tunnel network that connects to the trenches, leading to situations where Ukraine forces begin to push a field, thinking they are finally able to advance, only to have a Russian ATGM crew pop out from their flank or behind them, and begin to take out their armored vehicles. This has led to Ukraine's forces almost completely abandoning armored assaults on the Zaporozhia front. They are now taking small groups of troops on foot, who get dropped off 3-5km from the front lines, and walk the rest of the way. If they don't manage to get spotted and either assaulted by FPV drones or an arty strike, they manage to get a few troops to some pockets of trees, a trench, or the ruins of some building, where they try and attack from but have almost zero chance of being supported. These type of attacks have led to some sensational Western media headlines claiming "Ukraine captured Verbove" only to find out that a group of 8 soldiers moved into a building on the very western edge of the village, and after a few minutes was destroyed by an artillery shell. Welcome to Clown World. Where the same people who called President Trump and his supporters, "Nazis", are now supporting a nation who made a national holiday for their nation's most notorious Nazi collaborator, Stepan Bandera, incorporated open and proud neo-Nazi organizations into their military such as Azov Battalion, Aidar Battalion, Karpathian Sich, and Right Sektor, and who's military used the Nazi German army "Balkenkruez" identification symbol (the white cross) painted on their military vehicles, uses Nazi symbols in their unit patches, such as the Wolfsangel (The Azov Battalion, even up to this day, uses the exact same insignia as the 2nd SS Panzer Division "Das Reich" but also adds a Black Sun symbol in the background), Schwarze Sonne (Black Sun), Algiz rune, Odal rune, the Doppel Siegrune (SS rune), and straight up swastika, while also naming their military units after famous SS units, such as "Edelweiss", and who's soldiers are constantly being filmed giving the "Roman/Nazi" salute, which comically even slips by some Western news editors and makes it into their propaganda pieces, most famously for a Voice of America puff piece that was ironically trying to show off how the Ukrainian military has reformed from their neo-Nazi ways. It's time for a bunch of people in the West to ponder these things while looking into the mirror, and ask themselves, "Am I on the wrong side of history here?".

I honestly don't doubt, that Russia has a reserve in the thousands, definitely far more than what people are convincing themselves they have, as you said in a previous video, the US went down the Carrier route, where Russia, went down the cruise/long range missile route. Utterly love your content and the rational/logical approach, keep up the great work.

Take care of yourself. You are one of the few channels that give information not pr and marketing bs!

First, I'm deeply saddened for your heart condition, but considering the fact that the Russians publish sensitive data no sooner than 100 years after they occur, and the fact that you are impatiently waiting for such data about this war, it is safe to say: See you at 2123. Second, it is claimed in Wikipedia (omg I know) that a single, ground attack Kalibr costed 970k USD before the war. If true, and assuming that the sanctions and increase in production will cancel each other's effects, if all the missiles that Russia has launched against Ukraine were kalibr, from the beginning of the war they have spent 6 billion on missiles only, which is nothing for a country like Russia. But on the other hand, the adverse effects of this campaign has costed Ukraine much more than 6 billion dollars.

FAB-500 and now FAB-1500 have up to 80 km range and deadly accuracy and cost a fraction of what a missile costs. In addition, there are few obvious missile targets. Ukraine hides everything underground or in shopping malls or parking garages; RU has to rely on surveillance or spying to find new Iskander targets. Believe me, if there's a target worth it, RU has a missile or three for it.

Thanks! Always enjoy your analysis.

4:32 pretty sure Mrija got hit when the ukranians launched a counter attack against the VDV on Hostomel.

nearly 100,000 subscribers! congratulations. also, great analysis as always.

A video regarding the transformation of naval missiles to surfaces missiles could be nice. Continue with the good work and deep analysis. 👍

10:50 Russia has the best launch procedure for its missiles.... great enginering and very enyojable to watch... Especially with sound, where you can hear different stages of a launch kick in

I hope you live a very long time indeed. We need many more good journalists like you.

Thank you my dear friend. Stay healthy and keep telling us missile info ❤️

Pray for you to have a long and prosperous life.

I'm curious to know how at 10:10 you came to the conclusion to why the Russians drone are able to film their strikes a few hundreds kilometers inside Ukrainian territory. You say that the reconnaissance drones are able to "evade" Ukrainian air defence,... but this could also be due to the Ukrainian air defence being degraded by the same relenting year-long Russian strike campaign. How does a city like Kharkiv get pummeled that frequently if it has a functioning AD system?

Pretty silly to say Ukraine has sanctuary but Russia does not - Russia has the entirety of the Eastern portion of Russia that is untouched by any Ukrainian weapon.

Thanks for your detailed and unbiased analysis. Very valuable these days. Live long and prosper!

NATO for 30 years fire total of 2000 tomahawk missiles. Russia in first 9 months of Ukraine war fire almost same number of missiles! In 9 months same number as NATO for 30 years...

Your insights are great. It's a shame you haven't attracted more Subscribers.

I have been hearing statements from officials and advisers from Ukraine for a year that Russia was left without missiles, but why are they letting them go on and on 😁

The information and analysis are head and shoulders above the so-called news.

Dude, what a way to start the video... Keep it up, keep that big, honest heart running!

Says Bismarck: "Russia is never as weak or as strong as she appears." I put the question to another commentator recently, and they declined to pick it up - how do you defeat an enemy whose strengths and weakness you do not know and cannot plan for?

Weren't the Russians running out of missiles and everything else in April 2022? Weren't the Ukrainians supposed to hold a victory parade at the Moscow Red Square at Christmas 2022?

More like Russia is running out of bridges and other appropriate targets. According to the media Russia had only shovels.....

I think VKS doesn't fly over Ukraine not because there remain the remains of Ukrainian AirForce, but because of SAMs. In fact even Soviet era SAMs are far more capable than anything the allies can provide to Ukraine

They been saying this for a year now 😂

Running out is not 'ran out' using more missiles than you have in your stock is 'Running out' but you can always decrease usage to build up or maintain missile stocks. And as we've seen Russia has decreased missile usage over the spring and summer, likely to build up missile supplies for winter.

4:00 same as with NATO aggression on Yugoslavia in 1999.: for 78 days NATO did not manage to destroy Serbian air defence.

Thanks for being truthful and informative. People needs this ti br aware of whats happening.

Russian missile stockpile is like an anime protagonist. When they say it finished, it is not.

As someone from Kyiv, Ukraine (Northern Part, closer to Belarus) I can tell that frequency of actual missiles launched towards Kyiv has decreased. When the war started, I almost daily was woken up by flying rockets and missiles and now it's fully silent. We will see if they attempt to hit electrical stations during autumn and winter as they did last year and how often, that will be a more accurate indicator if they can allow themselves to use missiles for something significantly less effective than actual military targets.

I think I speak for everyone in wishing you good health Thank you for your videos All the best to everyone

Zelensky: “Shovels… those g@ddamned… shovels.”

I live in Poland. I remember MSM reports from JUNE last year stating "Russia is out of ammo, out of rockets, out of money, out of soldiers, out of..." :/

yet again another masterful presentation good sir. your videos on these topics became an addiction for me😅

love your sense of homour I also feel insulted by the narrative of meainstream. I dont have problems with information opertions as long as they support field ops.. but here field ops seem to support twitter theatre. We have to dig trough 100 times how the uk wunderwaffe took out the second floor closet in an HQ while russia destroyed 40 power stations...

Russia has been building stockpiles of missiles at least since 2008. They are not running out but I'm sure they would like the west to think that. Their rate of usage is not even keeping up with their rate of production which has been geared up.

Take care. You are a blessing

I think you have managed to please and annoy both sides equally! That's a pretty good example of balanced reporting. The sanctuary issue is debatable. NATO is not conducting combat missions, and has banned Ukraine strikes into Russia with their weapons, but Russia, the invader, IS conducting combat operations from their own soil, so granting the invader sanctuary on their own soil is a joke, except for the nukes...

Another great video, stay healthy my friend. Now can we get video about J-20 getting WS-15 and izdeliye 30 get production name Al-51f. Keep up great work.

Don't worry. They will repurpose old dishwasher.

To the Russian mistake from 7:50, they knew it would be madness for Ukrainians to fight, they thought the normal military structures were still in charge of Ukrainian army. Ukrainians already lost this war and as a country will loose much much more than what was in the he original offer.

I pray for your health, keep your spirits up Sir! You are unique!

This subject has several apects: * Who is running out of supplies faster. The one who has no more supplies lost. Now matter how low the supply of the opponent is. * The one who can ramp up production faster has an advantage. Private based arms production has a disadvantage, because companies don't want peaks, but planable production. * Adaption of strategy to supply is crucial. Spend what you have in huge supplies with a steady stream and use it. Ukraine implemented that wisely with dones. Now Russia is copying that successfuly. For example, the kinshals (or however it is spelled in your country) were only in low supply, because the were in the state of exploration and introduction to the army. Now, regular production has started. A statistical analysis of the weapons used would be interestion. We would certainly see drop in a specific weapon. But as oon as its usage rises again, it is a sign of production catching up. Getting thoe numbers will be hard I guess. Anyhow. Get in shape! Lose weight, get active! Finito dolce vita!

When did I heard that before? Start to believe the Russians never had missiles they only have shovels😂😂😂😂

Excellent appraisal of the situation. Im very sorry to hear that you’re unwell. Wishing you all the best 👍

You need to do an episode on the west running out of ammunition.

Love your channel keep you in prayer. God bless you.🙏🏻👍🏼

The said this B.S. a year ago. Russia is NOT running out of missiles. Ukraine is running out of everything!

I am saddened by your health issues, 55 is still way too young, I wish you the best health wise, please keep us updated on that. Lots of respect and love from all followers.

u cant leave us 😭😭 i dont allow it idc

Yet another informative and objective video. I am saddened to hear of further health problems. May you take all the time you need to recover or adjust your work to suit.

First reaction on the caption of this video: "Really? AGAIN???"

Mate, they ran out of missiles two months into this conflict remember. It was all over the news back then, how the fuck they went and fired hundreds a week has me scratching my head to this day..

I have jut come out of a coma after a serious. Domestic accident. Can do you a 1 hour video on the ghost of kiev ?

Thank you, Gus. Great video. Thanks for sharing it.

Be well my friend, we all love you from the whole nation of Great Britain, the whole world loves you and you have our hearts

Russia does not use S-300 missiles to hit ground targets, those are Ukrainian S-300 missiles failing to intercept the Russian missiles randomly hitting the ground.

Hope u live longer . U need to be alive atleast until 6th gen planes get inducted in US airforce

This is like the 162565th time russia has ran out of missiles

Overall, this is a wonderful analysis with the correct conclusion "we don't know". I can only protest the Russians' use of surface-to-air missiles as ballistic firecrackers. This legend was invented by Ukrainians to explain to ordinary people why sa-10 missiles of old Soviet modifications falls in the middle of cities and that's all. They even came up with the idea that the Russians is stupid enough for intentionally turning off the proximity detonator - otherwise it would be difficult to explain why missiles dont detonate in air, since all missiles with a fragmentation warhead explode from the proximity to something, an airplane, the ground. And not on the plane or ground surfaces. It is simply pointless for Russians to use single attacks with such missiles and so ineffectively. The Russians have a lot of more effective missiles in their arsenal for this range! For example, Tochka-u (ss-21) were available in huge numbers, but are not used by Russians in any way. So much not used so that Ukrainians are sullenly silent when you ask them where these missiles are being used now, if they believe that there was a Russian missile in Kramatorsk. But this missile is much potentially better than ballistic anti-aircraft missile and still not used! So far, the only one who has converted SAM to fire on the ground is the Ukrainians themselves with sa-5 missiles.

Congratulations on the content. Everything was very well organized and explained. I also admire the fact that you put an end to these nonsense allegations made by the media. Some are even absurd and out of this world.

Excellent content, as always!

Russian military industry works for country. Western military industry works for profit. Sometimes you notice the difference.

Russia always seems to be running out of missiles but always as seem to have 10 times more than Ukraine. Very frustrating !

I was saddened when you mentioned health issues. Best wishes, take care and follow your docs advice.

... and here you entered Lalalandia... In a recent documentary released by the Ukrainian journalists Dmytro Komarov he covers the Russian attacks over the Ukrainian AA defenses in the first day in the war. The interviewed Ukrainian military admit that over 90% of the AA was eliminated. The reason is that it was built by the USSR and the Russians knew very well what and where. Everything that Ukraine got after that like S-300 and Buk from Slovakia, Poland etc has been supplied by NATO. But the integrated system what Ukraine had was gone. What Ukraine have now is point defenses, supplied with radar feed by NATO planes, cruising in the international waters of Black Sea and along the Ukrainian border in Poland and Romania. Another daydreaming in your video is the initial Russian strategy. What the Russians intended initially was to put Ukraine at the negotiations table. And it worked. But then we got BoJo flying to Kiev and literally forbidding the local tribe chief to negotiate and instead - wage war to the last Ukrainian. These events are well documented and if you are interested, you can watch the interview over the topic with the former Israeli PM Naftali Bennett who acted as mediator. That is the main reason why the Russians did not went "US on Iraq" style over Ukraine with indiscriminate bombing of civilian infrastructure, industry etc but limited themselves strictly to military targets. And Ukraine strongly benefited of this as it used and still uses civilian objects to hide military equipment and in many occasions - literally using civilians as shield. Unfortunately, some of do remember what we had for breakfast, so you may try do some due diligence beyond BBC and CNN.

If Russian artillery are firing 35,000 shells per day does this mean that they don't know where the Ukraine are or is there a rang problem?

Plus, the russian machine gun barrels are getting worn out as well

We love you Italian aviation guy! Hope you get a 3D printed heart soon!

It seems that even if Russia "runs out" of missiles, they can get plenty of Shaheds from Iran.

Moreover, on the issue of western components, the russians at least as late as the sanctions of 2014 have made the decision to limit or remove the use of any foreign components in weapon systems even if ir decreases performance to some amount.

I find the concept of them running out of missiles almost laughable. There is nothing inside a missile that is insanely hard to scale up and mass production would only reduce cost. While its possible to have a temporary shortage I dont see how they would struggle to produce enough missiles for their strategic objectives a year and half into the war. Keep in mind that they are not made of money and are unlikely to build massive stockpiles only to use them on minor targets. I am sure they have run the cost benefit estimate and adjusted missile production acordingly.

US and NATO run out of missiles and moneys😅

The Soviet heritage of mobile missiles and large number of dispersion airfields made it difficult for Russia to neutralize Ukrainian airforce and airdefense. Also they didn't hit many production sites thinking they would capture them for their warmachine because these actually supplied parts to russian military before 2014. Also Russians are using more of the Cheap Gerans to eat the Ukrainian missiles stocks while the major targets get Iskander/kinzhal/Kh-555 etc. Ukrainian S-300s have held up whole year but the losses and missile consumption means they are running low hence Bulgaria is transferring defective missiles probably for spare parts. The air defense situation may get worse for Ukraine if the rumored Iranian transfer of TBMs come through, these are cheaper cmand mass produced and will require high end SAMs like Patriots etc that will further eat the missile stocks.

"Ukraine: Russia run out of Missiles"! no kidding? i mean i can't even remember how many times i've read these words since february 2022

Good reporting and god bless

Thank you for sharing your insights 😊

Excellent content! Thank you for producing this. Cheers

Your technical analysis is pretty good, but I don't know how you can describe the current situation as a stalemate. Not only is the Ukrainian military so depleted that they are moving to draft women, the western capacity to resupply Ukraine from the 'safe havens' is pretty much exhausted, whereas the Russian military is vastly larger than it was on the first day of the SMO, and well equipped with modern weapons. Letting your enemy destroy itself on your defenses while you build your forces to overwhelming strength is not creating a stalemate. As far as the pace of events after the retreat from Karkov, Mykolaev and so on, you might consider that on the economic front, the western program of economic warfare has failed miserably, bankrupted Europe, and strengthened the economies of Russia and China, while bringing them together, and accelerating global de-dollarization. The US is out of money for anything, let alone Ukraine, and Congress proved it by cutting Ukraine spending from the continuing resolution to keep the government running. Ukraine has no economy of its own now, it is completely dependent on the west, mostly the US, not just for military equipment and training, but the money to operate its government, pay its pensions, keep small business open and pay emergency services workers that are essential to keeping the war going. No new money for 45 days. Will there be a western-allied government on day 46?

Excellent analysis devoid of any media bs. Great job sir.

Thank you my friend for the work you do, I like your videos very much.