Ukraine's Kharkiv Counteroffensive: How Putin's Political Handcuffs Opened the Door for Kyiv

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On September 6, 2022, Ukraine initiated its long-anticipated counteroffensive. It was a wild success. The reason? Russia had politically handcuffed itself, and Ukraine used that opportunity to set a trap. A lesson of bridges over six acts.
0:00 Ukraine's Counteroffensive
1:11 The Targets
2:59 Russia's Mobilization
4:05 Enter HIMARS
5:17 A Bridge (or Three) Too Far
6:50 Ukraine's Trap
8:47 The Unwritten Act: Shrinking Line of Control
9:34 The Unwritten Act: Rasputitsa
11:46 The Unwritten Act: General Mobilization
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1 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 4,5 тыс.

@BaronVonMott Год назад

"HIMARSing the Stroganoff out of them" might be the single greatest phrase I've ever heard in my life 😂

@famweefood7073 Год назад

They always say HIMARS but never HOWMARS

@brianr6651 Год назад

@@famweefood7073 or WHYMARS? WHENMARS? WHOMARS? The reporters questions. Which will get you jailed in russia I guess

@dylanfraser1111 Год назад

*laughs in Iranian drones*

@brianr6651 Год назад

@@dylanfraser1111 fun when you have to get stuff from iran or North Korea. Have fun with that

@willymac5036 Год назад

Agreed

@jamesthomashtunkyaw5682 Год назад

Send a blessing from Australia as a Burmese. Well, it should be noted that a lot of people in Myanmar, using underground radio to listen to the Ukrainian counteroffensive, many of us feel we have hope. The Russians have provided support to the murderous junta since days 1 and we are determined to see junta's godfather to lose this war, so it will cripple Min Aung Hlaing's regime the credibility.

@filmsandtv5193 Год назад

The tragedy of Myanmar is sadly no longer in the headlines but the brutal regime that rules there will one day be gone and hopefully that day will be soon. Good luck to you and the people of your country.

@virginiawood9357 Год назад

I hope that the Burmese people receives the help they need in order to throw off the yoke of oppression. As you say, the impending collapse of the Putin cabal will reduce the standing of the current Burmese junta.

@JMOP1715 Год назад

Watching history in real time is amazing and terrifying.

@atlashums Год назад

Agreed. As a Total War player I’m both intrigued and yet mortified.

@joekandu7274 Год назад

Thank you for your calm explanation of the war.

@danielschein6845 Год назад

George Orwell once said that the fastest way to end a war is to lose it. Putin will need to decide if losing a war quickly is less threatening to his hold on power than dragging this out for years and sacrificing the lives of his supporters' children. Remember - It's not about what's best for Russia. Putin's acts in Putin's best interest.

@nationalsocialism3504 Год назад

Russia isn't losing... it's definitely a loss from a Morale & Sociopolitical viewpoint but was a resounding victory from a military viewpoint. Russia gave back strategically worthless territory that it didn't want and was in the process of withdrawing from... in exchange Russia got to absolutely maul the NATO trained, NATO equipped, NATO troops that Ukraine was holding in reserve as a precious resource. Losing several thousand troops & getting even more thousands wounded... while inflicting almost no Russian or Allied Forces causalities is how the SMO has been fought since March. Between Kherson & Kharkov... they managed to get a fifth of their 30,000 NATO troops reserve force killed & twice that wounded, plus all that irreplaceable equipment that Ukraine lost so even trying to pretend that shoving conscript bodies into the holes will still mean that less than half the original brigades can ever be Mechanized Infantry again.

@ngatiwarrior6975 Год назад

@@nationalsocialism3504 thank God someone gets it.

@rodolfo5022 Год назад

@@ramonandrajo6348 Russian bot. Running out of arguments? Is that why your spamming the same lame comments over and over again? 😁

@socalsp3 Год назад

@@nationalsocialism3504 hi Russian bot

@fast1nakus Год назад

@@nationalsocialism3504 lol. Careful, don't get overdosed on copium.

@RMASUPERFLY Год назад

Putin: I want this war finished as soon as possible. Ukraine: Please be patient. We are doing all we can to make your wish possible. We have to rest from time to time.

@runePV Год назад

and also... we give mr putin time to get used on losing without pushing this fatal red button

@jz1607 Год назад

You guys are funny as hell.

@PatTheRiot Год назад

Reality: Half of Ukraine already annexed.

@Kevin-xq2tv Год назад

@@PatTheRiot lmao you are coping hard

@RMASUPERFLY Год назад

@@PatTheRiot good job Ivan. Now go collect your potatoes from Putin before he throws useless Russian trolls out the window.

@joeyanny8018 Год назад

As always, we are all much the better for your work. Thank you.

@Novarsen Год назад

Wow! Such a great analysis! Thanks, mate, that was really interesting and very informative!

@thinkfact Год назад

It's strange living through this at the moment. When we talk about battles in a historical context, often we have a lot of information over what both sides were thinking and doing. We have hindsight, and often first hand documents. Whenever I read about battles from world War II for instance it's easy to get access to information going on behind the scenes on both sides. We're not really getting that. Right now there's a lot of unknowns. It will be interesting one day in the future to revisit this whole conflict having first hand accounts over the issue.

@robertbiondo3771 Год назад

The bravery and intelligent fighters able get info and training and put that discipline to the battlefield is phenomenal. Russia is backed into a corner and fools to the world. They will now bomb the hell out of Ukraine and unleash there full might. Not looking good for Ukraine which will then drag the west into a bigger role and closer to nuclear war.

@zacharyhumphries1707 Год назад

I 100% agree and find whats going on fascinating. Its like watching a Tom Clancy novel unfold in real-time. That being said a LOT of people are dying. I'd much rather all this not be happening and I very much hope it ends sooner rather than later. Hopefully with a Ukrainian victory and them getting all their land back.

@billbillson5082 Год назад

I’ll tell you the history. US provides all intel, weapons, and systems to defeat russian army in ukraine lol..

@mikegargan967 Год назад

@@billbillson5082 Freedom isn't free. US provides the hardware and software... Ukraine provides the blood and lives.

@jeremiahvanderhoff6432 Год назад

@@billbillson5082 ok so what's next after that

@MerrickKing Год назад

You're the first person I've seen to comment on the fact that having more troops doesn't help all that much if you can't equip them with weapons, armour, vehicles, food, etc..

@stevedevice1866 Год назад

LOL .. We need WW3 so I can stop seeing dumbass comments. Logistics is a key fundamental. Not a revelation hahahahahah

@esecallum Год назад

cannon fodder

@deviltronix Год назад

The Battle of Stalingrad is a good historical example of this.

@possemis Год назад

like Napoleon said, an army marches on it's stomach.

@Robert-ns7id Год назад

it also does not help if they are not trained and unmotivated they will just end up cannon fodder.

@gregspencer9842 Год назад

Great video! Hard to believe all this is happening. Hope this doesn’t result in the worst case scenario! Keep oosting more videos!

@russianprincess3673 Год назад

FAKE NEWS Фейковые новости💓

@hitrapperandartistdababy Год назад

@@russianprincess3673 💩

@rowrat7014 Год назад

@@russianprincess3673 russia caca 💩 🖕🏿

@jeffgoespewpew7189 Год назад

@@russianprincess3673 what's fake news?

@mrvlsmrv Год назад

@@russianprincess3673 Fake News! The declaration by someone who can't make a factual rebuttal with facts.

@johntucker5994 Год назад

Thanks for your insights. Not being an expert, I never realized, before this war, the significant political influence of anti-war mothers and the anti-mobilization sentiment that exists, especially in Russian population centers (Moscow, St. Petersburg etc.). The U.S. post Vietnam was smart to create an all volunteer force, leaving conscription to more extreme situations.

@abdanieburo7119 Год назад

ukrainversusrussiawar

@abdanieburo7119 Год назад

ukraii nversususdiawar

@rafaelbenitez7825 Год назад

Very good the siruation is interesring all depends in how Ucrain hold up in the winter.

@john-ekewlthee-klones9114 Год назад

That's not entirely true: "The [US] ... was smart to create an [all-volunteer force]...". When a nation fails to draft soldiers from a broad segment of it's population, but relies on volunteers only, it relies on the types of volunteers and their characters: true patriots with a desire to serve their countries militarily, thugs who would otherwise be "street" criminals or join organized crime syndicates, and nut-cases (which can fall into either preceding categories). After the American War In Vietnam (Vietnam won; the North won their civil war over the South; they get to name it), to be able to continue to get funding from the US Congress, the US military had to change as the draft had become so unpopular as it was done extremely unfairly: men who could not get into college or had dropped out--who were considered as "economically and humanitarily expendable" by the US military/industrial complex--were drafted at a vastly younger age than compared to the WWII and Korean War (which the US initially termed a "police action", similarly to Russia's "special military operation" attempting to hide the fact that it engaged in war with Ukraine without formally declaring war). Racial minorities were drafted at greater rates than the Caucasian ("white") majority. This lead to conflicts within small units and the military command structure. By increasing soldiers' pay, by giving greater benefits while in service and after, the US military hoped to draft a better class of soldiers, similar to the WWI and WWII drafts. That hasn't necessarily happened. The victors tend to write the histories of the wars they fight and the US is no different. Some (there are those who'd say "many") atrocities have been committed by US troops against civilian populations in Iraq and Afghanistan. This tends to support the idea that the US' "All Volunteer Army" is not as effective as it is supposed to be at fighting limited wars within the "rules of warfare" which increasingly seem to get broken as the conflicts escalate.😮‍💨

@user-ps4jx1vh3x Год назад

I'm from Ukraine. There is no "Ukraine trap for Russia". Ukraine army is no more. It dissolved in the first months of hostilities. Our weapons no longer exist. In fact, there is now a war between NATO and Russia on Ukrainian territory, not a war between Ukraine and Russia. Weapons are NATO's, ammunition is NATO's, the command is NATO's, heavy equipment is NATO's, mercenaries are NATO's, only we, ordinary Ukrainians, are the cannon fodder here that should die for American interests. Stop stirring up this war. If Zelensky wanted peace, he would have signed the Minsk agreements. But he is just a servant of the West, whose goal is the mutual destruction of Russia and Ukraine.

@michaelsandy2869 Год назад

Normally, the mud favors the defense because it slows heavy vehicles. But if the offense relies on isolating the enemy heavy vehicles and relies on getting infantry in position to SPOT heavy forces for long ranged artillery, it might be possible for Ukraine to gain ground during the heavy mud season.

@khiem1939 Год назад

True, since they are operating in their own nation and some even in their own neighborhoods, it's as a Ukrainian National Guardsman stated recently, "we know the area, we know where the Russians could attack and prepared for them!"

@HerrKlaus1963 Год назад

Drones like mud a lot, especially when their targets stuck in it... It will become a real life training gallery.

@twistedturnip8487 Год назад

The geeral weather and terrain being on ukraniane soil is also likely somehting they have more experince dealing wiht over the russians, thus might have ways around it

@bohdanburban5069 Год назад

Ukrainians are well aware of mud, having been brought up in it. The botched Russian attack on Kyiv shows that they don't have the same nous.

@NUMMEHARBEN Год назад

@@twistedturnip8487 Russia has a lot of terrain like Ukraine.

@ariochiv Год назад

While the autumn weather will make further Ukrainian offensives difficult, it will also make Russian counterattacks very difficult. I wonder whether this was part of the equation.

@greenbluemonkey Год назад

And more time to get new longer range weapons there, and time to train recruits. Ukraine will only get better equipped with newer pieces, while Russia will be more and more depleted.

@kondziu1992 Год назад

@@greenbluemonkey Problem is - Ukraine cannot sustain its armed forces with losses like in battle of donbas or recent counteroffensive near Kherson. They need to become more effecitve in crippling russian logistics. Because in war of human forces Ukraine cannot win.

@LikeMike7 Год назад

@@kondziu1992 Ukraine is fighting for its survival , Russia is not

@Omega0850 Год назад

@@kondziu1992 What makes you think that Ukraine has higher casulties than Russia? We can only speculate, and western speculations (obviously Russian ones are absolutly meaningless) see significantly higher losses on the Russian side. Ukraine has the better weapons, the better trained and more motivated soldiers, and better will to fight this trough in the civilian population. Yes, Ukraine has just 20% of Russias population, but thanks to support from the west, and the mentioned willingness to fight, Ukraine has the manpower advantage. So Ukraine can win in a war of human forces, simply because Russia cannot bring a significant proportion of its population to fight. It already has to trick and force them into fighting, and even that is not enough. Even if Russia had enough soldiers, it has already shown that it can hardly equip and supply those that are in the field right now, and it cannot replace equipment as fast as it loses it, especially with western sanctions destroying its economy. I cannot think of any way Russia could win this war. As long as Ukraine and the west keep up their will to fight, i cannot even think of a way for Russia to achieve something like a draw, or even survive as a united country. Russia is done, and the longer the war lasts, the more atrocities it commits, the deeper it will fall.

@kondziu1992 Год назад

@@Omega0850 I didn't say that Ukraine's losses are greater than Russia's. I said that they cannot pay for land with this amount of blood. They messed up in Sewierodonetsk and were late with retreat. They lost more people thanks to that. Because their soldiers are much more better equipped and better trained they cannot afford to lose them in a rate like that. Operation near Kharkiv showed them that winning doesn't have to mean sending their own troops to withstand artillery attack for weeks. Also Russia have potential to have as much manpowet as it wants. It's all about propaganda spin. If they want they will create some fake attack on Russian soil and gather more and more soldiers. You are right - Russia cannot win with their equipment. But they can in Soviet style - drowning Ukraine with their bodies. They won't be able to do that in 20, 30 years because of their ageing population but they still have that potential now. It's not an accident that they just partially mobilized their people. They want to train them during winter.

@landotucker Год назад

I've been looking to keep updated on this conflict (it's a shame that major news outlets don't think we're interested anymore). Thanks for your intelligent analysis of the political and strategic situation.

@hasanchoudhury5401 Год назад

Your narrative and catalog of events is well organized and easy to follow. Excellent. Regards.

@emmanezinska2306 Год назад

Easy is for the mediocre.

@ars571 Год назад

That last withdraw was nothing but a “tactical redeployment” lol. It also wasn’t a “tactical withdraw” if they left all those weapons behind, that was a straight route. And a second one is coming before the month ends.

@codrinmicusan446 Год назад

I think it's common practice nowadays to simply not believe a single world that comes out the Russian governments mouths

@stevencharnock9271 Год назад

It was a special redeployment to resupply Ukraine with tanks and ammunition.

@Mostspecialusername Год назад

@@stevencharnock9271 It was a glorious victorious russian strategic retreat. The tanks and ammo were nothing more than decoys to distract the panicked ukrainian forces during their advance.

@wiseman7779 Год назад

I counted 5 Russians tanks in all videos? Do you have a video for your claims of the hundreds of equipment? Or you are just a sheep 🐑

@jeckjeck3119 Год назад

@Dean Clark Oh, they did.

@theyetirulrs Год назад

Very well thought out and researched topic. This is an academian approach to a very specific subject without all of the political bias found within most media reports. We all need more of this type of analysis in our lives. Thank you!

@michaelblake2280 Год назад

he is wrong

@03stmlax Год назад

Except he's wrong. If anything this was a trap Russia set for Ukraine being that the offensive Ukraine launched is about to be completely encircled by Russians

@03stmlax Год назад

Oh and there's the fact that Russia is sending 300,000 more troops to Ukraine, even though they already significantly outnumbered Ukraine's troops across the board. So, yeah, Ukraine's military is about to get f*cked up real bad. Night night n@zis

@theyetirulrs Год назад

There are four replies and the only one I can see is the scam I reported earlier. Gimme a break RU-vid…

@hunam3876 Год назад

The guy is a war porn grifter. The guy doesn't know shit from shinola.

@burgerjointgame Год назад

Great video, love it! Very clearly explained

@emmanezinska2306 Год назад

How indiscriminate of you, how simplistic. This is the American way.

@jimroberts5461 Год назад

You've got superior visuals and therefore your programs are much more enjoyable to watch than the majority of channels dealing with this subject and showing nothing but canned images. Today I saw one channel taking about the Russian and Chinese in the Pacific off the coast of Alaska while showing a map of Greenland. It's like one person stitches together the visuals while a different person writes a narrative and somehow they get everything mixed up and don't really care.

@ShawnJonesHellion Год назад

Yes the computer generating you humans has generated powerful videos to support the opposition to existiance. This is why I do not waste a second thinking any part of the system deserves to live

@jimroberts5461 Год назад

@@ShawnJonesHellion Your response has been sent to Command Central and you will be invalidated and scrapped with warp speed.

@Rondo2ooo Год назад

@Shawn Jones, you need to find a better online translation tool. Your sentences don't make sense.

@tepesvoda464 Год назад

Putin gets a call at 3 AM: "Vladimir Vladimirovici, the Ukrainians want to discuss surrender!" "Oh finally, about damn time, put them through"! "THERE'S NO NEED! THEY'RE ALREADY HERE!

@TheVoiceOfReason93 Год назад

Partial mobilisation has been announced by Putin this morning. 300,000 additional reservist troops may be forthcoming. It's questionable whether they could make a difference given they still face the same issues as you said here.

@Ragnarok540 Год назад

I can only see things getting worse for Putin after that announcement.

@caterpilar Год назад

it's not partial BTW ;) They just straight lying again

@iz5233 Год назад

@@caterpilar it's partial. Because they often come to front and out in parts

@tessabarras7792 Год назад

Love your analysis of how the battles are planned. So realistic

@ShawnJonesHellion Год назад

Lol u listened to him but not any teacher 8n 12 years of school 🤣🤣🤣

@terryfox9344 Год назад

Thank you for the information. This gives me added perspective to evaluate the stream of daily information.

@prfwrx2497 Год назад

Putin's political handcuffs led way to actual materiel and personnel handcuffs. For Putin wasted the cadres into combat BTGs around April-May, there won't be enough trainers for new conscripts. The same applies for combat vehicles and individual equipment for said conscripts.

@unclesmrgol Год назад

Excellent point. You need veterans to train the recruits, and if there aren't enough veterans...

@dfor50 Год назад

Will the autumn and winter slowdown give Russia the time they need to bring new recruits up to speed?

@utilid4lifefigureitout602 Год назад

You didn't hear about the RU-vid tutorials Putin is putting together? Each episode starts off with him riding in on horseback shirtless. I believe the entrance was specifically put in for Tucker Carlson though.

@richochett404 Год назад

Ojt.

@marcinwitkowski217 Год назад

Oh here we go again, this is Russian federation we are talking of or whatever they call themselves (you know they have history of let's say 'rebranding') do we at this point in history still not expect Russians when caught up in a war to flood us with one of their biggest resource-which is people. I mean c'mon they are trying to recruit convicts promising them a pardon, history will just repeat itself and they will try to flood Ukraine with raging raping and stealing barbarians. I just hope that it won't happen, especially because of civilians. I still to this day shiver sometimes when i remind myself stories heard from my elders how red army "liberated" Poland - these monsters would steal then rape everything, there are many stories of even small children being raped.

@thejollygreendragon8394 Год назад

I have seen many analysts of the counteroffensive, but this Channels detailed explanatory are by far the best. Well done. I look forward to your next professional analysts. 👍 🐉

@linda1lee2 Год назад

@Nam Tran I just made that point on Ward Carrolls' video today when someone thought that was the best analysis he's seen.

@AxleChastain Год назад

Speak the truth goes into more detail

@kineahora8736 Год назад

Check out “Reporting from Ukraine” channel-he does a video every day on the recent events along the fronts with very nice critical reviews of various reports and discussion of tactics and strategy

@hikerJohn Год назад

@Nam Tran Perun said just in the last video that other channels cover it better in some areas or aspects and that he gets a lot of info from other channels. The two channels have a different take on it. They are both good. They both have said we will have to wait and see . . .

@mariogmajner6549 Год назад

@@hikerJohn Ukraine latest: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ueVccOhQ7C8.html

@jasonprivately1764 Год назад

A very well rounded summation. Very impressive.

@leslieackerman4189 Год назад

Very impressive work! Great narrative, always a hint of drama. But mostly compelling clarity.

@ShawnJonesHellion Год назад

The computer is auto generating humans when I summon them. That means alongside the music it's auto generating an showing me how it can auto generate videos; the probability these videos; especially with no face to give credit to; are being auto generated. So you seem confused. An the computers narrative isn't original / "great". It's old an generic an played out as i knew it 40 years ago

@williamgill5286 Год назад

idk if i missed it or not but one important thing that wasnt mentioned was that ukranian troops left ukraine to go and train with nato for awhile which im sure made a decent sized difference compared to if they only trained themselves. I really hope ukraine is able to hold their ground and eventually gain all their territory back including crimea. I understand that russia is only using a portion of their army but ukraine has shattered the myth and showed that they arent as conventionally strong as everyone thought they were which is hilarious considering they are russias neighbor and russia couldnt steamroll them by now. It would be awesome to see ukraine have a total victory and i want to see putin throw the biggest fit ever if and when they lose crimea lol. Putin can still save what little face russia has left by pulling out the troops, giving up the war criminals and helping ukraine rebuild all the crap they destroyed but he will never do any of that becuase of ego

@trafalgar22a8 Год назад

Bill Gill

@apatheticflow5712 Год назад

Not only that, but UK traines 10 000 Ukrainian soldiers at a time on a variety of things before sending them back to Ukraine and than another 10 000 start the training process on every military tactic and the use of western weapons especially. A few other countries are doing this, but not on UK scale. The US is also helping along with Canada,Germany,Australia and a few others that are stationed in UK for the training of Ukrainian military recruits and conscripts. I'm looking forward on seeing how all these different missile defense systems are going to help. Slava Ukraini 🇨🇦 Stands with 🇺🇦

@kevinmcconnell3641 Год назад

If the west will continue to supply Ukraine with military weapons and ammunition, and gets out of the way Ukraine will kick Russias ass!

@eagle_II 9 месяцев назад

Russia is using as many troops as they can. A lot of their army has to be tied up on the border with China and NATO countries so there’s no opportunism from Poland or whatever, and a lot of their navy is tied up in the Pacific because Turkey isn’t letting any warships in or out of the Black Sea. Russia has to use huge chunks of its army to defend its territory in a way that the USA doesn’t - and in a way that Ukraine doesn’t, either. Ukraine can commit 100% of their forces and gear to fighting Russia. So the gap isn’t as wide as it looks - Ukraine won’t have to fight every armed man that Russia has, but Russia will probably have to fight every Ukrainian that can so much as hold a gun to win. 🇺🇦

@jonathanlanglois2742 Год назад

9:30 The problem with the animation that you are showing is that there is a highway and a railway in that region that supplies Lyssychansk and Sievierodonesk. With Russia's supply lines already stretched, that could lead to further collapse of the front.

@khiem1939 Год назад

True, that is one of the leading rail centers for supplies coming from Russia!

@veramae4098 Год назад

My respect for this vid has just been severely damaged. Thanks for the info.

@armygrunt13 Год назад

@@khiem1939 I believe that's another huge reason why it was targeted, as opposed to Kherson, which is already dealing with logistical difficulties and has been mostly stagnant. We keep hearing of Russian troubles keeping their troops fed and supplied as it is. Even if Putin does manage to get the bulk of his latest callup of 300,000 reservists to the front, they won't be very effective with their supply lines cut. Control the highway and rail between Lyssychansk and Sievierodonesk, and you essentially control the entire northeastern theatre. Even the best of armies (which the Russians are anything but) fall very quickly to starvation.

@thor9563 Год назад

Good observation. In addition I believe Ukraine's counter offesive AS WELL AS plan going forward (catching up with the new front with logistical support, avenues of tactical retreat etc) is being advised by the U.S. which brings a. intelligence and b. historical wartime experience to 'game out' the best strategy to bring the most successful outcome for several scenarios.

@henrikwgjerloev Год назад

Thank you for great and useful information!!

@auldspider52 Год назад

Love this video, it's content AND the way it was delivered..

@JackMenendez Год назад

Also, a short battleline concentrates Ukraine's forces against counterattack. Russia's contact line with the motherland and supply is dramatically shorter, requiring them to concentrate more forces in the East than anywhere else, leaving themselves open to Crimea and much of the South being cut off. Meanwhile, Russia's Brown Shirts, excuse me, Wagner Group, is exactly positioned in the wrong place, carrying out meaningless operations. The Russian Army's motivation to fight in the Winter will decline even more than it already has. The Army West of the Dnieper does not have Winter equipment; think Stalingrad and will surrender. Russia's goose is cooked.

@Vedioviswritingservice Год назад

How much do you want to wager on the outcome?

@DMZDMX1 Год назад

@@Vedioviswritingservice 25c or 1M roubles. That's about what you get paid now isn't it? 🙂🤣😅😚

@harryrosenthal4818 Год назад

It would seem that Mr Putin has wagered a great deal already. Air cover is remarkably good considering the limited capacity at present of Ukraine’s Air Force. With just surface based defenses Russia has failed to assert air dominance and the existing loss of essentially irreplaceable air frame stock has already been an expensive fiasco. Full scale mobilization and attempted annexation ( which serve to further unify the the West ) will potentially add additional potentially powerful forces to the war on Russia’s side but will also open the door to increased assistance in the air. In a strictly speculative way I would speculate that this contingency has already been explored as close air support has always been an important part of Western military doctrine . Mobilization of general Russian forces as well as Chinese material support as well as likely N Korean assistance will likely open the gates to a resurgence of Ukrainian flown and operated air forces . While the forces over the battlefield may be disputed, the West has a clear advantage in smart weapons that need not be delivered low and slow. In the target rich environment described with heavy concentration of forces along a static line a shift in air power may give Mr Putin larger things to worry about than a few ATACAMS. Uncertainty is always a powerful issue in any conflict but the historical certainty of previous western doctrine should weigh heavily on the Russian Military’s willingness to allow itself to be put on the table in what is increasingly likely to be doubling down on a busted straight. Certainty of the effectiveness of additional troops even coupled with foreign material support should be be assessed carefully when there are more cards that are almost sure to be played.

@Vedioviswritingservice Год назад

@@harryrosenthal4818 "will likely open the gates to a resurgence of Ukrainian flown and operated air forces ." Where are they supposed to get the planes from??? Russia has destroyed Ukraine's Air Force. Now we hear talk about supplying Ukraine with F16's. Why is this? Because Ukraine has lost all its planes. The F16's is just pure fantasy by the way, much like giving Ukraine Abram tanks. I doubt there is enough of qualified pilots left in Ukraine to cobble together anything meaningful.

@michealbaker8216 Год назад

Lol you seem to have schizophrenia if you believe that Russians are cut off. Every day they fire 60000 artillery rounds while Ukraine only 5000. Ukraine now has worse logistics than Russia. As Russia destroyed more than three times the number of ammo storages. Also Ukraine has only 100000 winter suits for their army while Russia is ready to fight in the winter, where will no trees or Forster areas, Ukrainians won’t be able to hide from enemy’s fire. In winter artillery and aviation plays much bigger role than in summer. Russia has 10 times more artillery and aircraft. Winter will be a bad period of time for Ukraine as their and European citizens will freeze due to high costs of energy and electricity

@zebeart8808 Год назад

Wishing complete victory for Ukraine 🇺🇦 from Texas.

@matttomlin4331 Год назад

Great video. Thanks for posting.

@bluejeans8001 Год назад

Very informative and useful video. Thanks for sharing.

@vikingskuld Год назад

Wow first video of yours I have seen and I want to say it's awesome. You did such a good job with proving your points and reading the situation. It's a rare gift. You definitely earned a subscriber for the quality of this one. Thank you very much.

@lisamendoza7390 Год назад

@@ramonandrajo6348 neo nazi spotted

@monaliza3334 Год назад

Ukrainians are trapped at the river. No helicopters. Zalujnyi is begging for help. Morning news. Not BS propaganda...

@bishalgurung856 Год назад

Good analysis of Ukraine army counter offensive is here.. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ueVccOhQ7C8.html

@notabene2403 Год назад

@@ramonandrajo6348 copy and paste troll!

@vikingskuld Год назад

@@ramonandrajo6348 the have recovered a lot of land and donated equipment from Russia. Russia is spending billions of rubles it doesn't have. Wasting high tech equipment and arms it can't replace any time soon. Demoralizing troops it don't have to waste. There is not much chance Russia can win short of nukes. If they use them they are absolutely going to be wiped off the map forever. So what does Russia have? Not much

@dapengu777 Год назад

For the HIMARS act: also the MARS II and the Panzerhaubitze 2000

@santoriniblue8413 Год назад

HIMARS is an afterthought on the M270 (MARS II is a local German designation for their licence built units), precisely to provide a more agile, mobile platform, sacrificing half of the former's payload, but allowing it to be airlifted ... something that made it appealable to the US Marines. The US Army also thought that in a high risk and contested battlefield, it was better suited to "shoot and scoop and hide" operations, and thus more survivable, being the preferred option for the Ukranian battlefield. It has also remained up to know appearantly elusive to Russian intents of destruction. MLRS used to be a saturation weapon and with precision as a secondary thought, as the Russian weapons basically still continue to be; while artillery provided a higher precision and lower cost. All this has blurred, as M270/HIMARS munitions have evolved in range and from "near precision" to precision. Advanced artillery shells also, but the price tag makes them a "limited use" choice. All three weapon systems are among the major effective contributors ... but HIMARS regardless of the hype, is the star.

@dapengu777 Год назад

@@santoriniblue8413 wow thank you for the comment!

@joe1569 Год назад

Between you, Perun and ISW I feel reasonably informed. Thank you

@chrisvanwyk7462 Год назад

Love the video reality at it's BEST ! Very factual info thank you !

@osraneslipy Год назад

Excellent analysis, structure and presentation, as always. Thank you for making these amazing vids.

@michaelblake2280 Год назад

He wrong clown!!!

@TheInfamousMrFox Год назад

@@michaelblake2280 How is he wrong?

@therzal Год назад

Wrong/ignorant on this rather important point. Give away is ignorance over Kyiv. Russians HELD outside the city as negotiations were held, successfully at first. Ukraine and Russian would both have gained significant benefits if these were ultimately successful. In fact, the initial draw back from Kyiv was after initial agreement was reached. But. then Washington neocons sent their UK messenger puppy dog Johnson to tell Zelensky to withdraw from talks, which he did.

@user-ps4jx1vh3x Год назад

@withrockinside Год назад

Usually, in Ukraine we had very cold and snowy winters, but because of global warming last few years were kinda warm with something like -5 to 0 Celsius, and it is as snowy as rainy now.

@blackknight8560 Год назад

Good to hear your positive attitude with one leg I am no use to you x vietn

@shooters2012 Год назад

It's an amazing wellput together presentation... I can see very clearly...

@ClassofEighty2 Год назад

Thank you for your clear informative presentation.

@cerberus276 Год назад

1. When the adversary digs themselves into a hole, throw them more shovels. 2 Leave your enemy a golden bridge to retreat.

@naverilllang Год назад

When you surround an army, leave an outlet free. Do not press a desperate foe too hard. -Tsun Tzu

@jordan2735 Год назад

Really good video man. I love how you aren’t biased and just give us the facts. Well done.

@rockpile451 Год назад

Facts or Deflection ? with referendum votes scheduled for this weekend in the breakaway provinces that have wanted to join Russia for 2-3 decades. And the fact that once again only the news agencies from the west are reporting this as a Ukrainian victory, like this last spring when we were told that Russia was losing. Western Europe is running out of energy and they are heading into winter, where southern Spain and Italy are as far north as Wyoming, France and Germany are as north as Canada.

@bertram-raven Год назад

A rare trait these days.

@papawxlf6537 Год назад

But these are not facts, alot of it is misinformation and running propaganda. It's so hard to tell people the truth without being bombarded with hate and called a sympathizer. I came to America years ago, but most of my family did not until the war started and some stayed, I get to hear first hand from both sides as I am Russian Ukrainan but now I am ameriki

@fullfungo Год назад

You can’t really know if they’re biased. That’s a strange thing to say. But it is quite informative either way.

@jordan2735 Год назад

@@fullfungo I guess what I really meant is that it’s not clearly a propaganda piece for either side. A lot of the stuff I see on RU-vid is wayyyy on one side or the other. Doesn’t seem that way with this guys videos.

@duncans4940 Год назад

Brilliant analysis - thank you

@larsrons7937 Год назад

Very good and comprehensive analysis. Phase 3, I believe AC/DC wrote a prophetic song about that: *_"A Whole Lotta Himars!"_*

@bishalgurung856 Год назад

Good analysis of Ukraine army counter offensive is here.. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ueVccOhQ7C8.html

@Selvariabell Год назад

@@ramonandrajo6348 Cope and seethe

@Vedioviswritingservice Год назад

Iranian Drones are the answer to them. Ukraine has no answer to them at all.

@larsrons7937 Год назад

@@Vedioviswritingservice As I understand these Iranian drones are much slower than a rocket (I guess all drones are) I suspect the HIMARS will always be long gone when the drone finally arrives. These trucks don't exactly stick around after firing.

@Steff320i Год назад

What a great video. Thanks for the explanations, the maps and the in-depth research.

@candisclemens870 Год назад

Great extensive, factual documentary!! Thank you!!

@emmanezinska2306 Год назад

a pack of doctored half truths, as is usual with the Anglo-Saxons.

@luynguyentang2619 Год назад

Very well explained. Thanks.

@Lambert7785 Год назад

thanks so much for the excellent overview of the current status of the war :)

@linbybag Год назад

Excellent informative analysis. Thank you.

@ne1sail Год назад

Very interesting and informative. Thank you.

@rogerhuffman9790 Год назад

Well done. Insightful.

@arnepianocanada Год назад

You're wonderfully literate and have a fine voice for this work. Well presented.

@lordarchibald3691 Год назад

As a Russian, I'm glad to see this. I am glad to see the collapse of the current government, not even because I don’t like it, but simply because I always wanted to be a witness to the events that crush the empire. To see from beginning to end how the Russian Empire falls apart in 1917 and how the USSR falls apart in 1991. And now the Russian Federation in 2022.

@chrisg2739 Год назад

But what will follow? No insult intended but historically Russia has removed one tyrant only to install another all the while singing the praises of the new one even though he is “cleansing” the country of dissidents. It’s a sad cycle Russia has gone through for hundreds of years.

@sao848 Год назад

Yeah, the timespan between these 'events' is constantly becoming shorter: 1917 - 1991 - 202x...

@mikeneill6813 Год назад

@Lord archibald. Hi. Bloody hell your Lordship you must be old?? Keep breathing. Regards.

@dragonlord1225 Год назад

Both of those events were absolutely catastrophic for the people of Russia. So I assume you are a masochist?

@m.x. Год назад

I think you don't know what you're talking about. Do you really want to see your nation being destroyed by the US empire just like UK and US did to the Spanish Empire (Hispanic countries have not sovereignty as they've been subordinated to the Anglo-Saxon hegemony since they secession), and they're doing lately in Middle Eastern countries? The UK and US empires (by means of their protestant, liberal capitalism and their military forces) have been the most sadistic, bloodthirsty and genocidal empires in history by far. Way more than Nazism and Communism combined.

@enriqueona1553 Год назад

Very comprehensive and helpful to understand the war

@nathanrice6589 Год назад

WOW!!! well done sir!!!! The part where you explained how pushing Russian forces back can work in Russias favor because their forces not only have to defend smaller areas but their forces are also collectively grouped. I frikn love that you pointed this out.. Do you have a military background? I want to know more about you..

@geoffh4861 Год назад

Can't get enough of your lines on maps!

@commandertopgun Год назад

Beautiful video, great content, thought provoking, extremely informative

@matimus100 Год назад

Sinister hedonistic comment while children and women suffer Utter nonsense

@TheInfamousMrFox Год назад

@@Kaatu-barada-nikto *Fake referendum. Nobody cares, or is paying attention to that clown show.

@ivarsbarzdevics9508 Год назад

Thank you. Very interesting.

@glockguy4127 Год назад

tGreat information made easy to understand. Thanks for all your video's.

@OceanGuy808 Год назад

You have some of the best war analysis reports in all of RU-viddom. Kudos to your reports.

@andreaaltan3982 Год назад

Analysis are thousands and rarely do they meet the reality or forecast properly

@shekelberggoldstein1387 Год назад

Yes. Very fair and balanced.

@ohiobrian8993 Год назад

Excellent, comprehensive analysis. Well done.

@intillex1 Год назад

Another great channel to check out is Perun.

@vladimirthegreat6906 Год назад

Russia won't use nukes in Ukraine, they already got what they want and nothing and nobody can do a thing about it. Now the world will just watch those poor Ukraine freeze in the frontlines. And European citizens paying high prices for energy. The European should kick their politicians out of office, definitely they don't have best interests of their citizens. But Putin will definitely use nukes if Nato attack the new Russian territory. And the west knows it, it's not a bluff.

@33114567 Год назад

Very clear and informative, great work! Thanks a lot sir, regards from Chile

@bishalgurung856 Год назад

What main stream media don't told you about casuse of Ukraine, Russian war is here.. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-JrMiSQAGOS4.html. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-BIn1AzZsQUU.html.

@RepusAmgine Год назад

It's fantasy reporting..

@duckduckgoismuchbetter Год назад

@@RepusAmgine You are reported to RU-vid for Russian disinformation.

@ksmith2852 Год назад

We love you Chile🇺🇸🇨🇱

@Evilminiature Год назад

@@RepusAmgine Yes, russia is even more fucked then they report.

@doomsncrew Год назад

Nice video. In order to add to the HIMARS praise, the French CAESAR self-propelled guided artillery cannons are extremely useful to Ukraine. They are very accurate, and can be deployed in just a few minutes, allowing it to flee before counter-artillery fire. It is quite difficult to locate and destroy, the Ukrainians did not lose a single one of them, and it is an artillery system that has never been destroyed in combat so far.

@SHVRWK Год назад

Pzh 2000 too. Don't forget about those.

@tarcisiusmcvane2946 Год назад

People

@sebastianjoseph550 Год назад

Very informative and really we got a clear picture Thanks

@johnglenn30csardas Год назад

Good video, thanks. Really good maps for understanding the geography and military strategy issues and the. How they affect overall political/war issues.

@matnovak Год назад

Unfortunate timing, Putin just called partial mobilization all across the country. Ones who fail to show up to their station risk prosecution due to a law that was passed literally today

@remote24 Год назад

Let's see how many chose 10 years prison over certain death

@cheekychunkSR Год назад

@@remote24 With them sending mercenary recruiters into prisons, who truly knows if it’s a choice of death or non-death

@user-ng5gp2tr1z Год назад

Not true, they call only those who are in reserve (those who have already served in the army), giving preference to those who served under contract. Now I do not know anyone who was on urgent service and was called up, but all contract soldiers are called up. And there is no risk of jail here, because only those who were given a повестка (document which forse you to serve a military) in person can be called up, the rest may not appear at the military enlistment office. Therefore, it is very easy to avoid the draft, just stay at home and do not open door to anyone

@Leepercomm Год назад

Perfect job! Love how they tried several times to get your ID.

@AI_chatbotSydney Год назад

nice presentation!!!! i love it!

@JakeTony101 Год назад

Appear at points which the enemy must hasten to defend; march swiftly to places you are not expected Sun Tzu - The Art of War

@apolinariajomoc7318 Год назад

Hello, thanks for your precise analysis report. More power . God bless. Slava ukraini.

@lucasrem Год назад

we never need gods!

@DL0868 Год назад

Excellent analysis!

@robertbowers9856 Год назад

I appreciate your paced and precise enunciation of your words. I'm 78 and found the rapid talking of young people difficult to digest. I need a moment to process what is being said. I find you easy to follow and understand without pausing every sentence to read the CC.

@alanclw6024 Год назад

I think this video is a good example why it is important to have evidence instead of speculations

@camillep9346 Год назад

What ‘speculations’ - I am OVER Putler escaping ANY kind of justice. Why is HE he ONLY man on the planet with endless power to indulge his whims and wants!!

@alanclw6024 Год назад

@@camillep9346 Elaborate please. The floor is yours.

@ShitFuckPiss Год назад

@@alanclw6024 theres nothing to elaborate. Theres no reason good enough to do what he did on the 24th feb. Theres lots of infos here questions there, talking points you could argue about. Doesnt matter. Period. Whatever argument you want to put on the scale. Literally find every excuse for russias actions its never going to tip the scale even just a little bit. Nothing outweighs straight up genocide and terrorism. If youre being all like "lets hear out both sides" here im sorry i think your moral compass is questionable. No for real you people are breaking my brain. The one actual time somethings actually black and white youre on the fence? Are you indifferent to murder as long as it isnt happening to you? What in the world, in any kind of dimension would ever justify mobilizing an army and go attack a nation? Killing THOUSANDS!!!!!! (for real do you understand that number?). Thousands of lives just as valuable as yours. They died because they got unlucky to be born in a certain place. Meanwhile theres airheads out here being like "theres so many unanswered questions. We need to gather information to get the full picture". This drives me nuts. You are fkd in the head man.

@camillep9346 Год назад

@@alanclw6024 I am frustrated that ‘everyone’ in the world are clinically performing their niches while innocents are victimised by a megalomaniac - I do NOT accept each agency’s safe, sterile and detached observations. I need to see more cohesion, disdain for Putin and Collective rejection of his choices, instead of treating him like an authentic ‘Leader’…. Gutierrez’ visit post Bucha was patronising and contemptuous to all victims …and it meant NOthing! Why are we not CONTINUALLY calling him, Lavrov and Pesky out as Liars and Despots?? Why is Putin not charged NOW for Crimes against Humanity!! Pussy footing around detail and records, while Putler is being a Dozer of Death 😡 Of course we need to HUMILIATE HIM, which is only reflection of the TRUTH… HE is guilty, not ‘the west’ or Ukraine! I feel traumatised by Ukrainians being displaced, kidnapped, tortured etc and we are keeping our records precise! 🤯Sanctions have always been a ‘joke’…. Non effective and why wait ‘til they take effect’…if indeed they ever would! …et al

@nicolomodica2704 Год назад

@@ShitFuckPiss right and wrong, just and unjust, moral and immoral, it doesn't matter and never will, we are not in the classroom, you are talking about the leader of a superpower, nothing will happen to him and to those after him, just as those before him, and not listening to both sides while trying to gaslight someone saying their moral compass is questionable is what i would expect from an idiot, at least try to hide your inability to hear the other side, people die every day, everywhere because they were born in the wrong place, stop crying about it it's useless, you know what is useful tho? Trying to understand the condition witch led to the event, witch you are clearly unable to do and also war isn't alway wrong, that is just a childish tought that doesn't stand in the real world

@augustinebarkemeni3579 Год назад

Thanks a lot for this explanation. It is clear and straight to the point.

@paulfernando8815 Год назад

Seems a balanced and a factual analysis. Good work!

@nancyschiller7043 Год назад

Thank you 😊

@SteveWard151 Год назад

Well done and thought provoking.

@chrisrea7347 Год назад

Excellent summary and very informative; Slava Ukraine !!

@therzal Год назад

Except.. You think Russians did not know this was coming? The draw back from Kharkiv was very likely in part readiness for the mobilisation, that would have been in the works for weeks, if not months. RGS also very likely waiting for the SCO meeting at Samarkand to discuss with important friends and allies. Kharkiv, they were facing basically armed police. No trap. Punched empty air with big losses. Kherson, facing regular army. AFU massacred with huge losses. Don't get too sure you understand what Russia can do or even what was going on. Not really too up to date though. Usual proUkraine propaganda. Give away is the ignorance over Kyiv early on. Russians HELD outside the city as negotiations were held, successfully at first. Ukraine and Russian would both have gained significant benefits if these were ultimately successful. In fact, the initial draw back from Kyiv was after initial agreement was reached. But. then Washington neocons sent their UK messenger puppy dog Johnson to tell Zelensky to withdraw from talks, which he did. The rest is history. And this information is deeply flawed.

@rowrat7014 Год назад

@@therzal the information is not flawed at all, its perfectly accurate, russia is in shambles, doesnt matter if its a trap for ukraine, they will still lose

@bartmanxoxo Год назад

Thanks !!

@peterford113 Год назад

Excellent presentation

@josephalaguna Год назад

Hi William - this was great. Thanks for putting this together.

@brandyluck6171 Год назад

Buy my book please william

@DisruptiveWealthCreation Год назад

Great analysis and summary.

@davidpeterson5475 Год назад

Great analysis and unbiased commentary and outlook on possibilities facing both sides… only hope it comes to an end sooner rather than later…

@phann860 11 месяцев назад

It's odd, every calculation involves Putin, especially not upsetting him, in case he presses the nuclear button. A very good presentation.

@cosminxxx5287 Год назад

actually concentrating russian forces in a small area creates opportunity for a very good tactic. unleash artilery fire with your front forces uppon the behind forces of the enemy. instead of hitting what is infront of you, you create a line of defense against that force, and use artilery to hit targets as far as possibile

@therzal Год назад

Wow.. I really hope the Russians know about this risk.. After all, they have only been using it as a tactic SINCE AT LEAST NAPOLEON.

@chrissy9008 Год назад

A very informative and well done thank you the coverage of this has dropped dramatically as of late

@Neapoleone-Buonaparte Год назад

EXCELLENT ANALYSIS

@laifone21 Год назад

Insightful analysis.

@razortrade Год назад

Excellent commentary. Thank you.

@bishalgurung856 Год назад

Good analysis of Ukraine army counter offensive is here.. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ueVccOhQ7C8.html

@thaifreeburma Год назад

Appreciate the strategic analysis - haven't seen so much of it elsewhere 👏👌

@ramonandrajo6348 Год назад

Ukraine is going to lose no matter how much the muricans pretend otherwise. XD

@gmw3083 Год назад

Try the new atlas.

@bishalgurung856 Год назад

Good analysis of Ukraine army counter offensive is here.. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ueVccOhQ7C8.html

@thaifreeburma Год назад

@@ramonandrajo6348 Ya thunk?!!

@thaifreeburma Год назад

@@gmw3083: do you mean something like the atlas of psychopathic dictatorships?

@mikeyjuanajennings3728 Год назад

enlightening - thank you

@mikeyjuanajennings3728 Год назад

My above reply did not give your presentation proper credit. It was excellent. I will look for your book. Thank you

@AtlanticCanadianAstronomy Год назад

Great video. Appreciate the content. New subscriber

@thedon7244 Год назад

VERY GOOD and informative Video ! 👍 👍 👍

@mauricelamar9394 Год назад

I dont think Putin has much of a choice but to go all in on full mobilization. He has back himself in a corner. On the left you have the fact that putins age and his political haggling suggests he plans on staying for the long haul. On the right, is putin knowing is if this fails, it set russia back decades. Decades he might not be around for. But if he retreats or come up short, he is officially the jimmy carter of russia. Putins options isnt good.

@quinndirks5653 Год назад

great presentation

@Rath-Angkor-Thom Год назад

Very much appreciated and totally agree with the analysis.

@Jondiceful Год назад

Excellent analysis and well-explained. It's perhaps unfortunate that so much has changed in the hours since you posted this. Or maybe it fortune smiling on you that you have new content hand delivered before this one could get old. Either way, I look forward to your update.

@andoriannationalist3738 Год назад

You mean video met your political interests and expected propagandic value.

@Jondiceful Год назад

@@andoriannationalist3738 right... because truth can only come from autocratic regimes who own and control the media and silence their critics, as opposed to democracies that enshrine freedom of speech for everybody including ignorant trolls like you.

@jonathanperry8331 Год назад

I knew Russia was screwed when they sent their tanks in with spray painted markers like Z which isn't even in the Russian alphabet by the way. Third world countries have more professional paint jobs on their tanks than they do!

@andoriannationalist3738 Год назад

@@jonathanperry8331 Russia is winning, bro. The Western gov is legally allowed to lie to you using the western media/press.