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We Are in a Post-Climate Change World | Aaron Bastani Meets Gaia Vince 

Novara Media
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The framing of the discussion around climate change mainly focuses on mitigating rising temperatures, de-carbonising and getting to 'net zero'.
Author and broadcaster Gaia Vince argues that, whilst these things are important, we need to focus on how we'll deal with what is already happening and will, in all likelihood, get much much worse: huge swathes of the planet becoming uninhabitable, with 2 billion people needing to find somewhere new to live.
She argues the solution to this a drastic reframing of how we think about migration. She sat down with Aaron to talk wet bulb temperatures, demographic aging and the Japanese nappy market.
You can find Gaia's book here: www.penguin.co.uk/books/44420...
00:00 Intro
02:58 Sea Levels
12:40 The Post Climate-Change World
21:33 Green Infrastructure & Long Term Thinking
33:46 Wet Bulb Temperatures & Geo-Politics
43:25 Everything Is Migrating North
46:05 How Will Change Happen
54:30 How to combat an aging population
01:05:12 Reframing Migration
Novara Live broadcasts every weekday from 6PM on RU-vid and Twitch.
Episodes of Downstream are released Sundays at 6PM on RU-vid.
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8 авг 2024

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Комментарии : 1 тыс.   
@jonathanravenhilllloyd2070
@jonathanravenhilllloyd2070 6 месяцев назад
The clean up of British rivers only happened when the palace of Westminster became unusable because of the pollution in the Thames. Until Rishi-level rich people are affected personally, no major changes will happen.
@macflod
@macflod 6 месяцев назад
True
@roseannemain9957
@roseannemain9957 6 месяцев назад
Scotland would welcome people as our birth rate is so low and our death rate high. We will not get control of our immigration without Scottish Independence. So we will need to get on with this first.
@brianwheeldon4643
@brianwheeldon4643 6 месяцев назад
Unless We MAKE IT HAPPEN Jonathan. I can't emphasise that enough. The latest Berkley Earth shows UK not looking too good, along with the rest of Western EU which is now on a catastrophic path, and aready at 2.4 to as much as 2.9º above 1850 let alone 1750. The latter places some regions already over 3º.
@gailforce
@gailforce 6 месяцев назад
That's what happens when it is in private hands. You can't vote out a water company
@joeyj7273
@joeyj7273 6 месяцев назад
Remember listening to a XR-related podcast featuring Theresa May just after she was PM, and she spoke about her skiiing destination being noticeably effected by climate change from how it used to be, and that compelled her to put the policies in place she did before she ended her term. Sickeningly juvenile.
@pmunity
@pmunity 6 месяцев назад
The conversation is proceeding as though capitalism and consumerism don't exist.
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob 5 месяцев назад
They are as natural as the air we breathe.
@wiltonhall
@wiltonhall 5 месяцев назад
the conversation is proceeding in abstract high school science textbook terms that puts people to sleep and offers no real understanding of the real threats we face. "Drinking water is at risk" does not help us understand anything. "Can cause terrible damage to property and livelihoods" is just abstract mealy-mouthed empty words... The speaker really needs to learn how to connect with audiences.
@wiltonhall
@wiltonhall 5 месяцев назад
"An amazing statistic... the number of people displaced..." Uh do you realize the word "displaced" has almost zero impact on understanding? I'm sorry but this is just more of the kind of media and writing and "education" that is totally zzzzzzzz and does nothing to actually create understanding.
@cheweperro
@cheweperro 3 месяца назад
Yeah, she's hovering about reality. It's so much optimism that it's scary
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186 24 дня назад
You're 100% correct. Additionally, I noticed that they repeatedly say 'climate change' instead of 'man-made climate change'. This is a very import distinction because we can and should correct our behavior towards the environment but we can't and probably shouldn't mess with mother nature. These two people are so busy trying to show off how charming they can be, that they forgot to be realistic and pragmatic.
@kellymckeever.6
@kellymckeever.6 6 месяцев назад
People are struggling to keep a roof over their heads and put food in the cupboard, let alone afford to have children..
@SlavicRusa
@SlavicRusa 6 месяцев назад
@@ZenMountaindw it’s gonna come and affect you too, boo. You’ll be surprised 🎉🎉🎉🎉
@rhbrandon1
@rhbrandon1 6 месяцев назад
People have always struggled for food, shelter, and family. If this is point, what point do you want it to make?
@jamietulacz7742
@jamietulacz7742 6 месяцев назад
There will sadly be a lot more people struggling with these issues if we don't tackle climate change. It's also possible to talk about more than one issue at a time
@Padraigp
@Padraigp 6 месяцев назад
​@@rhbrandon1at a certain points in time we have moved forward towards less struggle more production to the point where my mom worked at a violin shop could afford shelter food and to go out to a concert and a resteraunt thereby providing for somone to make a living playing music and running a resteraunt... those tokens of exchange called money flowed around and provided for many people in a community whereby their only struggle was to get out of bed and go to work. Now...things are moving in a different direction. Whereby thise tokens of exchange are hoarded by very few and also created and also the production going on isn't to make a sewing machine that I can buy and then move on and start creating a product I can sell ..but creating something which will break so I have to constantly be buying shit sewing machines from a factory in China where their lives and pay are not allowing them to go to a concert and I'm not able to go to a concert cos I have no extra money and so the musician isn't able to make a living etc etc. When one man can have more exchange tokens than the population of the planet there comes an issue of how can we ever exchange to that man to fulfill the amount of ious he holds while we need to use ious everyday to just survive. Of course there has always bene struggle but the struggle of a non civilised society is a very individual struggle whereby if youre lucky you might be born strong enough to tend your crops and hunt a deer and support thise less strong than you and fight some equal to you for control of resources. If it were physical strength its very equal in what men can achieve. If its money its very different. The money elon musk has is like if he was born 9 meters tall with lazers for eyes and knives fir hands. Very difficult to even as millions fight against such elites. And if youre busy grubbing for wheat which is being taken from you and can't even build because his foot is on your feild taking a rent from you to even grow your wheat then youre kind of fucked as far as progress or civilization. Sure we all struggle ....but actually we have built a civilization which supports us..if that is exploited and destroyed we will be again cowering in caves with a big stick and to most people on this planet thats not an acceptable thing to just throw away the advantages of civilization and just go back to being an animal grubbing for worms or something. Like you may not see a difference between a rat scratching in the muck and a society with art and music and culture but a lot of people actually value that.
@zuzanazuscinova5209
@zuzanazuscinova5209 6 месяцев назад
Without the government fully financing child rearing it's not possible for working classes to continue reproducing.
@lisadraga
@lisadraga 6 месяцев назад
Great conversation. I would love to see added into conversations like these the impact of military conflict on the climate. It has a huge impact and shouldn't be omitted.
@myresponsesarelimited7895
@myresponsesarelimited7895 6 месяцев назад
The us military is apparently the biggest polluters.
@mattliamjack3293
@mattliamjack3293 6 месяцев назад
I read somewhere the US military has a huge carbon footprint, like a country on its own..not ot mention all the pollution from mines , munitions and chemical dumps polluting soil and water tables . 🌍💚🌍
@djdrogs
@djdrogs 6 месяцев назад
I'd add by saying the military, disproportionately US military, are the biggest polluters on earth when it comes to emissions alone.
@friki143
@friki143 6 месяцев назад
@@mattliamjack3293 It is about the size of Portugal or Peru.
@commoneuropeanstarling
@commoneuropeanstarling 6 месяцев назад
@@mattliamjack3293 And they're telling us not to fly?
@sa3kes111
@sa3kes111 6 месяцев назад
As a new parent, it cannot be understated how difficult it is to have children in todays economic climate.
@willowbell3756
@willowbell3756 6 месяцев назад
All this nonsense is to concentrate the world's assets in fewr hands and to get rid of people. It would be okay if it was a matrix scenario where the machines were really running the show but it is not it is a bunch of over-privileged eugenicists. After almost a century and a half their dreams are coming true.
@user-fb8jb5yi6g
@user-fb8jb5yi6g 6 месяцев назад
We just had our kids stay at home and have families. It's a bit crowded but we make due. Best part is I get to snuggles with the grandkids daily for 5 minutes then send them on their way. Good luck with your journey.
@j85grim4
@j85grim4 6 месяцев назад
And it will only get worse. One of the many reasons why I chose to not have kids.
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob 5 месяцев назад
@@j85grim4 Things will get a lot worse quicker, if well-educated people stop having babies. Previous generations had it much worse economically and socially, yet they reproduced and kept the torch alive.
@dognextdoor
@dognextdoor 5 месяцев назад
Can confirm. Having a kid made sense pre covid so we did, but we would never have had one in this post Covid age. The social contract has been shredded.
@Lyra0966
@Lyra0966 6 месяцев назад
Very little in this interview regarding our global obsession with economic growth. The growth imperative, or paradigm, is one of the root causes of the polycrisis within which we now find ourselves. On a finite planet we continue to believe that our species can continue to increase and that an expanding global population can consume at the per capita levels to which we in Western world have become accustomed. Climate change is only a symptom of the underlying problem often termed 'overshoot'. We are steadily degrading our biosphere, depleting natural resources, polluting and heating both oceans and landmasses, and irrevocably altering climate patterns. All the while the mitigative and adaptive capacity of our civilization to counter the combined effects of overshoot are losing ground. We might very well be approaching the point when we are simply overwhelmed, financially and practically, by the sheer range and seriousness of the multiple crises confronting us.
@emilderuijter8309
@emilderuijter8309 Месяц назад
Well written. I totally agree.
@kubexiu
@kubexiu Месяц назад
Hope the billionaires achieve immortality soon so they can think more about the future.
@mrrecluse7002
@mrrecluse7002 Месяц назад
We're as impotent as the dumb dinosaurs, just before the asteroid hit, but in slow motion.
@jupeterczech1340
@jupeterczech1340 Месяц назад
Not rubbish but close. We must stop greed, stop breeding like rabbits and promote consensus politics for the benefit of all instead of being at each other’s throats, sacrificing our youth , all for the benefit of a few greedy thugs 😡
@jonmce1
@jonmce1 Месяц назад
Economic growth can occur in many ways and does not have to be resource driiven.
@parrsnipps4495
@parrsnipps4495 6 месяцев назад
That's a loaded question: What will it be like in 2041 when his daughter is 18? According to an MIT study civilization will be collapsing due to resource depletion, which is backed up by humans using the equivalent of 1.7 Earths a year. Water tables are dropping, forests are being cut down and are burning from climate change, the nutrition level of food keeps declining as we continue to use the same land to grow crops. In the 1970's there was a slew of warnings about resource depletion, over population, climate change, drinking water depletion, which were all ignored. The world went to have 8 billion people and undeveloped countries started to become developed. Well, that speeds up all those depletions. As a species we act like the world has a lot more resources than it does. It's like buying a month's worth of groceries, but eating them like the month is only two weeks. Even if we get climate change under control we still have to figure out how to get nutrients back into the soil, water back into the water tables and lakes, how to get back all those forests, how to get back all the wild life. It's pretty simple - as a species we were warned in the 70's, it was ignored and now we're on a non-sustainable trajectory towards civilization collapse. Essentially humans are voracious. They want big families, they want cars, houses, jet setting, travelling, new cloths, new appliances, new furniture, new kitchens, new bathrooms, pets, you name it we're hard to satisfy, because once we have more, we want even more. For 8 billion people there's never enough of anything.
@klaatu368
@klaatu368 Месяц назад
Well put. ✌🏼
@liveleigh
@liveleigh Месяц назад
@@parrsnipps4495 excepting everything is cyclical. And farming gets more food from less land year in and year out. The only thing causing shortages is government corruption in poor countries.
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186 11 дней назад
@@liveleigh The farms will all be on fire just like everything else. Things are cyclical when things are going well, but fire has an exponential character. The more stuff burns, the hotter is the fire. As the fire gets hotter it burns even more and faster. Right now, things are heating up. The so-called experts want to pretend that the heat will go up in regular incrementations. Either they are lying, or they are just plain stupid, 'cause fire doesn't work that way.
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186 11 дней назад
I agree with everything you are saying. I think that every time big business says that it's too expensive to repair the environment (which seems true under our present behavior model) they are inadvertently telling us exactly what we must do in order to solve the problem of man-made climate change. We must create a new behavior model. I recommend this new behavior model: profit = protecting and enriching the environment, and sharing the sustenance that it provides for all of us. This new profit model says that profit equals the environment, and it also says that our only major expense is ignoring our obligation to care for and enrich the environment. The new profit model requires us to create millions of new jobs that will come under the heading "Caretakers of the Environment". Caretakers will have many specialized categories: 1. Collecting pollution that is already in the environment 2. Collecting pollution before it gets into the environment 3. Dealing with all of the waste in such ways that are good for the environment, and or good for the production of products. 4. Economically incentivizing families with two or fewer children 5. Designing new ways of producing products so that those products last for a long time and don't have to be replaced every two years. There will be many more types of Caretaker jobs. Every company and government will have Caretaker jobs, and everybody will be schooled, from elementary school through university about how to be caretakers of the environment. If we choose to continue living by our present erroneous profit model, then we are doomed because our present behavior model i.e. profit=income-expenses makes caring for the environment too expensive. It says that money equals profit, but this can't be true. Money is nothing more than a permission slip to get our real profit, namely the things we buy in order to live. It may already be too late to save our environment, but it is never too late to try.
@ShamballaCenter
@ShamballaCenter 6 месяцев назад
Thank you for giving your guest this platform! These are all things I've been contemplating and warning people about for the past decade, but no one really talks about it on any media. This perfect storm has been brewing for a very long time. The collective needs to wake up and deal with it!
@kenevil23
@kenevil23 6 месяцев назад
But instead the people with the power to do something will only think short term as far as the next electoral cycle and roll back on current pledges due to cost. Inaction will cost significantly more of course but that's for another so-called leader to deal with.
@fdonald7580
@fdonald7580 6 месяцев назад
We are the majority We have the power ! Change our greed to need and change the ability to reign over us through wealth .
@terryo5672
@terryo5672 5 месяцев назад
The guest knows as much about climate science as my cat. Climate has always changed, our impact on it is minor.
@kenevil23
@kenevil23 5 месяцев назад
@@terryo5672 the climate has changed gradually over significantly longer times periods than is happening currently, giving life time to adapt or go extinct. Human impact is accelerating these changes and once we cross certain tipping points, then climate collapse becomes inevitable. This doesn't mean that all life will end of course but mass extinctions, food insecurity, conflict over scarcer resources and mass migration will increase as more frequent and severe weather events become the norm. This is not some future prediction by the way, this is well underway and if you haven't noticed then I might respectfully suggest that you pay closer attention to global events.
@terryo5672
@terryo5672 5 месяцев назад
@@kenevil23 you have clearly bought into the narrative. I am sorry to inform you that there is no evidence whatsoever of anything other than natural climate change. Please apply some critical thinking and if you are not a scientist, then try and read around or take advice from a range of independent technical sources. I have been on this planet for 6 decades and lived in several parts of the world and the weather has changed very little in that time.
@adriano969
@adriano969 6 месяцев назад
Difficult to imagine such dramatic changes we need happening when politics is so mediocre and backwards. Most likely we're headed to catastrophy.
@fdonald7580
@fdonald7580 6 месяцев назад
Only if you have lost faith in your ability to thrive ,alongside your fellow human .Our system is unjust until l we decide to do it differently our debility to dominate over each other
@yetao5801
@yetao5801 5 месяцев назад
Look to the East
@clivepierce1816
@clivepierce1816 6 месяцев назад
I'm an admirer of this series but I found this analysis rather weak and myopic, at least for the first half an hour, until the discussion turned to impacts on our food system and nature. The author said it herself but appeared not to fully grasp or communicate its implications - climate change is indeed a threat multiplier, and coupled with non-linear feedbacks and rapidly worsening environmental impacts, this is a recipe for a near term collapse of our life support systems- our water supplies and our food production - in many parts of the world. In this context, suggesting that there might be some benefits to the transformations imposed on our lives over the coming decades is frankly naive.
@cfitzstrum
@cfitzstrum 6 месяцев назад
Amen.
@cowtommoo
@cowtommoo 6 месяцев назад
I'm confused by the argument that immigration is needed to increase birthrates. It seems reasonable to argue that an unstable climate with less resources and more uncertainty would benefit from a population collapse. Also, if you're worried about religious fundamentalism taking over the secular population isn't immigration adding to that inevitable outcome?
@bradhicks4057
@bradhicks4057 6 месяцев назад
Not sure it's about immigration for boosting birth rates, but bringing in working age ppl to make up for children that were not born & raised.
@naomieyles210
@naomieyles210 3 месяца назад
Population collapse means economic collapse of the nation, with towns and cities depopulated, decline of infrastructure and institutions, many elderly and few working age, and even fewer children. It's not the end of the nation, but it is a painful and difficult shrinking of national capability and declining economy. Over generational timeframes, a stable population is necessary for a stable nation.
@kfrans1k111
@kfrans1k111 17 дней назад
​@@naomieyles210yes but if the population shrinks it can grow again. This happens with all animals.
@chortler
@chortler 6 месяцев назад
What I love about Aaron’s videos is how much they cheer me up.
@anfomhar1045
@anfomhar1045 6 месяцев назад
😂
@bobjary9382
@bobjary9382 6 месяцев назад
Hilarious
@longwayscidercompany.9286
@longwayscidercompany.9286 4 месяца назад
This lady is a brilliant person. A powerhouse of sense. One question: Have you factored in the AMOC collapse?
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186 11 дней назад
Forgive my ignorance but I couldn't find AMOC on google,,, what is AMOC ?
@prodes1249
@prodes1249 6 месяцев назад
we have an exemple in arabic it says " me and the storm after me " which mean most care selfishly only about themselves.
@fdonald7580
@fdonald7580 6 месяцев назад
It's the way we have been brought up .and the education system that promotes elitism and punishment .
@paulheydarian1281
@paulheydarian1281 6 месяцев назад
*Après moi, le déluge.* -King Louis XV
@reinerwilhelms-tricarico344
@reinerwilhelms-tricarico344 Месяц назад
It's simply the primacy of self preservation and survival. There is nothing selfish about that.
@notabene2403
@notabene2403 Месяц назад
​@@paulheydarian1281 and obviously he was right. He' s gone and the great flood is coming soon. But evidentially nowadays you don't need to be a crazy french king to share this attitude.
@juliejeavons6949
@juliejeavons6949 6 месяцев назад
If we’re serious about climate change and recognise the world has changed and is still changing, we really need to be challenging the idea that we need to maintain the population size as it is. It is capitalism which inhibits a smaller population from looking after our ageing population. Imagine a society where wealth wasn’t consistency siphoned off to the billionaires, but was used to improve technology to make production more efficient for the benefit of workers. The younger people then have more time to care for the ageing population and care work is a valued occupation. We need investment and work based on fulfilling needs not making profit for a tiny minority.
@33wanwan
@33wanwan 6 месяцев назад
Have u not realised they don’t want to sort things out for us yet. The govt are a bunch of crisis actors
@megijapostaza
@megijapostaza 6 месяцев назад
This is the second episode of this channel I've watched so far and I'm so glad I found it! So educational and detailed! Absolutely fantastic content!
@jonbyrne2380
@jonbyrne2380 6 месяцев назад
Very interesting conversation, albeit full of virtuous academic twaddle. I think she, like everybody else , is only concerned as long as it doesn't infringe on her ability to " carry on regardless ".
@recycledpaper
@recycledpaper 6 месяцев назад
Great interview Aaron, next you need to do one with Joseph Mertz. It is not that the Green left does not want to engage in any economic activity because it is all destructive, rather we need to choose which activities are worthwhile to use up the earths resources and which are not. Health care is worthwhile but is making fridge magnets necessary? Much of what we spend natures capital on is determined by advertising, which in turn funds most of our media that heavily influences our choices.
@bradhicks4057
@bradhicks4057 6 месяцев назад
Yup, we waste a LOT of resources, matl. & Labor for so much worthless, disposable crap.
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob 5 месяцев назад
When you tell people what they can and can't have, we are effectively in a fascist state.
@recycledpaper
@recycledpaper 5 месяцев назад
Actually fascism tells you what you should have and not have through propaganda, much in the same way as corporate advertising does. Real choice comes from being conscious about what you are doing, rather than someone else telling you what to do.
@SomeOne-tk3su
@SomeOne-tk3su 6 месяцев назад
1:21:00 Several countries have had far more than 20% of their population "replaced" by Europeans. Canada, the US, Australia, New Zealand... Palestine... In fact, the reason people from so many different countries seek asylum in English-speaking countries, is that they've pre-learned the language, by way of *immigrants* having moved to _their_ countries, and *colonized* them. Or in some cases, stopping short of colonization, but perpetrating a hostile financial take-over of their industries. Or in some cases, popping 'round to violently take control over their resources.
@scoutjohnson1803
@scoutjohnson1803 6 месяцев назад
Migration has different effects on you depending upon which class you are from. If you are working class you have to live, work, and compete for resources. If you are well qualified you can jet around the world choosing the best job for you, saying “I’m a citizen of the world “. Increases in population push the cost of labour down, mainly for working class people. It’s supply and demand.
@sarahharris5608
@sarahharris5608 6 месяцев назад
You could argue though that certain sectors where we have major labour shortages would fall apart without immigration. of course this is a problem fundamentally of either not training enough people in those sectors or low retention rates because of the low pay and poor conditions. but if we are replacing the falling birth rates with migrants wouldnt we have had those same people regardless but as british nationals instead of foreign immigration.and you need in a service based economy more demand and productivity to increase growth.there is a direct correlation between increases in gdp and population growth. the main issue is redistribution of that wealth
@aries6776
@aries6776 6 месяцев назад
You are correct except we have the demand and not the supply. An ever-decreasing birth rate and an increase in the non-working population are disastrous for the working classes and the middle classes. Same with housing. The fix is to tax the super-rich far more as they don't contribute nearly enough and have become richer than ever to the detriment of the rest of society.
@stewart572
@stewart572 6 месяцев назад
OMG Aron you actually got Vince. This is so sick thank you so much. Great author on my only news channel being interviewed by one of my favourite presenters. I’m drilling for first term vet exams I’ve got no time all but I’ll be watching this. This is so heavy. Her book nomad century is emotional and she argues her case well. Safe!!!!!!
@devincarter7434
@devincarter7434 6 месяцев назад
So sick omg I nearly spat out my soy latte
@Abdullah-london
@Abdullah-london 6 месяцев назад
​@@devincarter7434 use some up your back to knock some sense in yourself.
@brianwheeldon4643
@brianwheeldon4643 6 месяцев назад
Stewart, this isn't a literature review of a story. This is your future and all life on the planet. Climate 101 never solved anything by itself. This is a roll our sleeves up think, organise and encourage Westminster to step aside moment. Corporate Westminster is killing us and everyone around the planet with the help of the US, EU, China, Russia, India and Brazil atm. Too much emotion is easily subverted to consumer spending on tosh and mush or wars. Getting emotional is ok provided it's focussed and concentrated on getting into a state we can move forward with common interest to survive and live healthy lives. Otherwise it looks as though we're very likely beyond our use by date
@RevGary
@RevGary 6 месяцев назад
​@@devincarter7434😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣
@andreaslind6338
@andreaslind6338 6 месяцев назад
Good luck in your exams!
@alexwilsonpottery3733
@alexwilsonpottery3733 6 месяцев назад
When I was born, in 1958, Britain’s population was about 52 million, the World population about 3 billion, and it seems to me that number of consumers on the planet was fairly sustainable; but we kept being convinced, convincing ourselves really, that we needed more and more and more stuff we didn’t and don’t really need. And so it will probably continue, until something we can’t get a grip on occurs. Population decline is all a matter of where you are standing. People are spread pretty thinly across most American states, while the Philippines and Bangladesh are packed a bit tight. Migration - for education, a better standard of life, or just because the environment decided you should probably think about living somewhere else, is going to happen. I only hope we in the comfortable North have some common human empathy, and don’t exploit new arrivals like we’ve done so many, many times before.
@ShooterNumberOne
@ShooterNumberOne 6 месяцев назад
We went along with it, but let's remember that businesses used the lessons of propaganda and marketing learnt in WW2 to convince us (and to hide and cover up climate science since the 70s)
@gaeig
@gaeig 6 месяцев назад
It's like if 37.5% of global population are desperate for migrating up to the North honestly even if you were to indiscriminately commit genocide it wouldn't change anything. It really will be one of the first mass migrations in modern history
@danielch6662
@danielch6662 6 месяцев назад
In 1958, of that 3 billion, 2 billion were consuming hardly anything. TLDR: it's all China's fault for not keeping all their people desperately poor. Next: we blame India or Africa. Just don't look at SEA where I live, where we have already added 10x Britain's population to the world's load of consumers.
@leslielandberg5620
@leslielandberg5620 6 месяцев назад
I would also be really wary of anyone pushing a “crisis” and trying to lower carbon as the culprit. HUMANS are the carbon global elites seek to reduce. There are too many of us. The “solutions” they propose will lead to complete disaster. None of them are implementable at this scale. Expect mass starvation, death by freezing with no heat and no way to travel. Expect none of these things to affect global elites in the slightest.
@kevinjamesparr552
@kevinjamesparr552 6 месяцев назад
When it was 50 million in UK near all belonged to Britain today not so English not spoken in Blackpool its Polish only . So many Asians and blacks .Today Latvians 160000 of them live in Britain .Climate change is natures plan for protection. Man has nothing to do with it. Look at history when 1660 the Thames river froze over 20 feet deep . Bonfires and roast chestnuts sold on ice as people ice skated . 1700 it was so hot in summer people died of heat .It never ends .Britain is headed into an ice age again with lack of gulf stream and natures way .We cannot destroy earth we have tried with atom bombs wars and such .Nature is the changer of all things
@noahkristoffersen6710
@noahkristoffersen6710 6 месяцев назад
Can you please invite Dr. Richard D. Wolff on the show.
@Wraithing
@Wraithing 6 месяцев назад
Brilliant! I really enjoy Aaron's choices of guests and books. I'm extremely pessimistic when it comes to the potential for positive change (because the author of the future is currently the will and self-interest of the few, not mutual respect and the best outcome for all), but I really love to hear the well reasoned 'best thoughts' of the enthusiastic and clever, wherever their ideas fall on the political spectrum. (When you're bailing out your sinking boat, debating the colour of the bucket will sink you as surely as giving up.) And I do like bathing in the reflected glow of someone else's practical optimism more than wallowing in my own woe.
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186
@hascleavrahmbenyoseph7186 11 дней назад
I hope this comment is enthusiastic and clever. Our behavior towards the environment is guided by this behavior model: profit = income - expense. This behavior model says that profit equals money. In truth money is only a permission slip to get our actual profit. It also says that everything else is nothing more than expenses. This is why it is too expensive to repair our environment; additionally, companies must fire as many people as possible in order to keep labor costs as low as possible in order to maximize profit. No wonder there is so much homelessness and the planet is on fire. I recommend this new behavior model: profit = protecting and enriching the environment, and sharing the sustenance that it provides for all of us. This new profit model says that profit equals the environment, and it also says that our only major expense is ignoring our obligation to care for and enrich the environment. The new profit model requires us to create millions of new jobs that will come under the heading "Caretakers of the Environment". Caretakers will have many specialized categories: 1. Collecting pollution that is already in the environment 2. Collecting pollution before it gets into the environment 3. Dealing with all of the waste in such ways that are good for the environment, and or good for the production of products. 4. Economically incentivizing families with two or fewer children 5. Designing new ways of producing products so that those products last for a long time and don't have to be replaced every two years. There will be many more types of Caretaker jobs. Every company and government will have Caretaker jobs, and everybody will be schooled, from elementary school through university about how to be caretakers of the environment. If we choose to continue living by our present erroneous profit model, then we are doomed. It may already be too late to save our environment, but it is never too late to try.
@Rich_H_1972
@Rich_H_1972 6 месяцев назад
Humanity always, always adapts better than it mitigates.
@dombrandon3018
@dombrandon3018 6 месяцев назад
Like we did in the 1918 flu pandemics? The plagues that wiped out swathes of Europe in recent centuries? We’ve never experienced fed anything like the global warming issue and you only have to look at the existing hate and spite towards immigrants to see that your comment is pretty superficial when compared to reality, given the mass movement of people that’s likely moving forward.
@Rich_H_1972
@Rich_H_1972 6 месяцев назад
@@dombrandon3018 Evolution is all about adapting rather than mitigating. And adapting doesn't have to be 'nice' it just 'is' so it isn't superficial to say we adapt better than we mitigate - it's part of our DNA. Like all living things - adaption is fundamental to survival, not mitigation. Those people migrating? That's them adapting, so my comment is actually acknowledging that reality - we adapt better than we mitigate. We've had our chance to do the latter and we've failed so... now we adapt.
@Fluffyfeathrrr
@Fluffyfeathrrr 6 месяцев назад
@@Rich_H_1972I don't agree nor disagree with your arguments, I just want to point out that evolution happens over really long periods of time. The pace at which global warming is moving there will be nowhere to hide.
@Rich_H_1972
@Rich_H_1972 6 месяцев назад
@@Fluffyfeathrrr Totally agree with you; nowhere to hide, it will be messy and lots of people will likely die. There will be wars, etc caused by it too. We will adapt though, we always do - whether that ends civilisation as we know it, remains to be seen, but we will adapt to new (and worse or better) ways of life.
@selfish-perverse-n-turbulent
@selfish-perverse-n-turbulent 6 месяцев назад
... until it doesn't.
@MrMartyOh
@MrMartyOh 6 месяцев назад
At last. A thoroughly informed, pragmatic analysis of immigration! Much appreciated Novara!
@scottandcoke1342
@scottandcoke1342 6 месяцев назад
Knockers
@mynameisjoejeans
@mynameisjoejeans 6 месяцев назад
What a great discussion exploring the rarely-discussed finer details of issues which are usually in the public conscience for the wrong reasons. What a refreshing perspective
@olivergrumitt2601
@olivergrumitt2601 6 месяцев назад
So you are saying it is too late to save civilization, whstever we do, and it may have already been too late for a long time.
@NF-ru8on
@NF-ru8on 6 месяцев назад
That's not what they said. Kinda the opposite. The world's gonna change, and the entirety of human civilization is gonna move north ward. Gaia is emphasizing - that this large scale human migration is inevitable - it actually provides a great economic opportunity (if only humanity doesn't succumb to ethno nationalism)
@Snuffkin
@Snuffkin 6 месяцев назад
Just a thought on "having more children". As a librarian in a public library (seeing change over 2 decades) I'm very worried about the young today. So many seem to have mental difficulties from low level autism, ADHD, anxiety, and tactile difficulties. These are not the grown-ups I would like to rely on in a decade or two. Truly, I actually think we are pretty much in deep doo-doo from far more than just weather. From toxins to microplastics' impact, children of today are not the kids of the 70s or 80s. Far more will need constant care and will not be able to work.
@xGeorgeMee
@xGeorgeMee 6 месяцев назад
Vaccines
@aprescoup
@aprescoup 6 месяцев назад
@@xGeorgeMee That; foods and predatory capitalism which Aaron Bastardi endorses cuz having sold out to the same institutions of greed as the WEF's Agenda contributor, Gaia Vince, he wants to convince leftists to embrace its brutality by dressing up this stakeholder capitalist nirvana in Marxist/"communist" terms: a stateless, moneyless and classless society bathed in leisure and luxury. Fake af "leftists" are just fake.
@disobey81
@disobey81 6 месяцев назад
They will likely eat us.
@Diouzier
@Diouzier 6 месяцев назад
@sudenims5235if a system denies you access to the basic things such as housing/option to raise a family,sense of community/shared identity, honesty/transparency of it political/ruling class then what is point in working for that acting as if it’s 100% moral failing on the part of the young makes you part of the problem..
@Olliey2k
@Olliey2k 6 месяцев назад
What a completely ignorant thing to say. You have no idea what the next generation is capable of. Sure it’s easy to see how so many of today’s kids are troubled, is that any surprise given the state of the world they have had to inherit? But to holistically write off the entire generation and to label them as “entitled” is a horrible generalisation. They won’t live the same lives as their parents and grandparents because their parents and grandparents have left a shell of a world for them to inherit but I believe that humanity will eventually prevail, and sure there will be hard times they will have to live through, far more than previous generations post-ww2 but they will adapt. You think the greatest generation were born that way?
@petersmith2522
@petersmith2522 6 месяцев назад
Isn't it strange how climate change does not apply when it comes to there robots
@krugerfuchs
@krugerfuchs 6 месяцев назад
That's because there is no climate change its global warming and that's natural
@WhoisTheOtherVindAzz
@WhoisTheOtherVindAzz 6 месяцев назад
But it does. I've seen or read about that multiple places over the years. Literally, go to your favorite search engine and search for something like energy consumption and deep learning and you'll likely find articles about its problems and attempts at mitigating those problems. (I know you wrote "robots", but I ventured to guess you didn't use this word in a narrow sense).
@petersmith2522
@petersmith2522 6 месяцев назад
@WhoisTheOtherVindAzz but they are pushing ahead building robotsdespite on the over hand telling us we desperately need to not use energy or even eat most foods its so desperate cows have to no longer exist its that desperate
@dereknewbury163
@dereknewbury163 5 месяцев назад
Great conversation and I agree that we should be preparing now for the changes that are undoubtedly coming and coming very quickly. The weakest link and our greatest threat is that there is no indication, in the UK and many other countries that our political leaders have begun to address these matters.
@hormunculus
@hormunculus 6 месяцев назад
Please don’t let your daughter watch this she won’t forgive you mate. Sorry.
@HipsterChipster
@HipsterChipster 6 месяцев назад
A bit too much liberal idealism for my liking. A place isn't merely defined by the number of people and the strata of their ages. There is much hidden wisdom in culture, perceived history and tradition. With limited migration, already parts of Europe are hell-scapes. People are more tribalistic, much more primitive beneath the veneer of civility and differ from each other far more than the liberal mind cares to contemplate. One thing worse than a climate catastrophe would be forcing the entire world into a small multicultural war zone, where agreement on a political system at the very least would be a pipe dream.
@harryhindsight9845
@harryhindsight9845 6 месяцев назад
question for Gaia Vince: what is the optimum population size for the UK? 100 million? 100 trillion? Higher? Higher.
@gulanhem9495
@gulanhem9495 6 месяцев назад
120 million by the year 2100.
@RandallSlick
@RandallSlick 6 месяцев назад
Wonderful. The nominative determinism was a bonus. Please do more of these interviews.
@lesleyrobertson5465
@lesleyrobertson5465 6 месяцев назад
Historian Britain. Elderly population. Super rich and poor . Owning nothing. Immigration is good but we need intergration with sufficient support in society. If out government is not spending money on these things it won’t work.
@adrianthompson7033
@adrianthompson7033 6 месяцев назад
In the previous two hundred years, since the beginning of the industrial revolution, human activity has released an equivalent volume of carbon into the atmosphere that took nature millions of years to sequest. I don't think that people understand that increases in carbon concentration in the atmosphere has an inertia when affecting average atmospheric temperature. Political rhetoric concerning mitigation is mostly a distraction from the truth that they are corporate captives and prioritize the profits of the fosil fuel industry. In Australia, we voted in a federal Labor government that promised to tackle the causes of climate change, yet since being in charge they have continued to approve new fossil fuel projects while our country still lacks emission standards for motor vehicles. I seriously suspect that we have already reached a tipping point, we just don't realize it yet because of carbon warming inertia. By the time we take this existential threat seriously, it will already be too late.
@aries6776
@aries6776 6 месяцев назад
It's a global issue. Currently, fossil fuel subsidies are $7 trillion. Astonishingly UP $2 trillion from 2020! Our politicians are not working for us, they are working for big corporations.
@simonclare100
@simonclare100 6 месяцев назад
If it's too late in your lifetime, it's already too late, man is helpless in this situation
@davidwestwater2219
@davidwestwater2219 6 месяцев назад
The human species has experience much greater climate change. Then could ever happen now.. It's ironic that she is not more familiar. With that
@aries6776
@aries6776 6 месяцев назад
@@davidwestwater2219 Yes but why shoot yourself? This is human-caused climate change and is completely avoidable....
@marilynwarbis7224
@marilynwarbis7224 6 месяцев назад
So very well explained, thank you Gaia.
@88nollaig
@88nollaig 6 месяцев назад
Excellent discussion you two. Keep up the good work.
@carlrosenstock8413
@carlrosenstock8413 Месяц назад
Thank you for all you do and are! You are wonderful!!! We do not have any time to waste, NOINE!
@MarkAsh-tv2ox
@MarkAsh-tv2ox 6 месяцев назад
She says sea-level rise is causing seawater intrusion and damaging agriculture. I am a hydrogeologist with 35 years international experience. She is talking nonsense on this. I think just making it up .Seawater intrusion occurs only along coastal aquifers and those that have been over-pumped for their freshwater. We don't typically have agriculture along the coast, and even when we do, the 30cm sea level rise over the past century or so is nothing compared to the 10s of metres fall in water table levels due to over-pumping. What stops seawater intrusion? Zero carbon? Or just managing our coastal aquifers so we don't over pump them.
@AnoniManc
@AnoniManc 6 месяцев назад
Blimey that was fascinating! The absolute interconnectedness of everything. Thank you both.
@atomsizeelephant
@atomsizeelephant 4 месяца назад
I live by the shore in the scottish northeast for 10 years now after moving from Portugal (yes i am an economic migrant) and I can see the effects of the rise of temperature in both countries... Portugal burns down every year mostly cause of the greedy eucaliptus merchants (celulose can even be made from burnt eucaliptus and bought cheaper) and the sea is gaining terrain where i live now... a few years ago you could walk on the beach during a high tide, now it's nearly impossible. Birth rate is low but is the planet able to cope with a higher birthrate when food production is now a great cause of climate change? Does the planet have enough resources for us all and more? We have to lower production levels, stop food waste, stop useless production... this can only happen with mind shift and start consuming less.
@subcitizen2012
@subcitizen2012 6 месяцев назад
I sat down and tried to calculate an estimate for the economic cost of sea level rise alone after a US republican congressman said that sustainable energy initiatives would cost trillions. I wanted to blow that out of the water and I was horrified by what I found. Citing a fairly recent study, using the upper limit of its worst case scenario, roughly in line with completely blasting through emissions targets and not even trying, our descendents in the year 2300 could be facing up to 15 meters of rise. currently, 1/3rd of global gdp happens on our coast in 17 mega city regions. So at some point that level of productivity is going to go into relocating people and infrastructure, peacefully and organized or not. If thats the end result and these cities and their productivity are effectively lost, it's like we are presently in a -33% gdp per year until then. So we're literally working backwards. In almost 300 years, we will lose 1000 years of economic productivity, on the order of $8 quadrillion dollars in today's dollars. In a 15m rise, we lose 6% of global land area, including some of the most populated and productive airable land regions in the world. She was comparing the 1920s and post WW1 and then not realizing they were 15 years away from WW2. Climate change in the worst case scenarios are civilization and history altering at least an order of magnitude beyond the world wars. It's like the 13th century of Mongol invasions and the 14th century of black plague and having foreknowledge of that and being able to prevent the worst of it.
@everythingmatters6308
@everythingmatters6308 6 месяцев назад
We are currently on track for a 4.8 degree Celsius temperature rise by 2100. 3 degrees Celsius is enough to cause mass extinction including humans.
@mattgilbert7347
@mattgilbert7347 6 месяцев назад
I think billions will die
@ISureDont
@ISureDont 6 месяцев назад
Billions already have died. Humans aren’t the only ones that matter. We don’t really contribute all that much to the planet. We take and destroy.
@wantanamera
@wantanamera 6 месяцев назад
2300!? 😂 like i told a student of mine, tell me what the world is going to look like in 2035..not 2050. I think it’s silly to try and project beyond a decade or so with how fast things are moving. I honestly don’t even think we’re going to make it beyond this century. People have this idea that we aren’t gonna start to really feel the effects of climate change until like 2100 or whatever. I’ve got news for you, this is coming waaay faster than that.
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob
@HDSPKSRecords-gi1ob 5 месяцев назад
You are panicking over unreliable data produced by unreliable computer modelling and making ridiculous predictions. Calm down!
@Paakli
@Paakli 6 месяцев назад
My fear is that there will be immigration but none of the progressive policy to facilitate it.
@dhj1182
@dhj1182 6 месяцев назад
My fear is that there will be immigration, accompanied by progressive policy facilitating our replacement.
@sha29i
@sha29i 6 месяцев назад
​@@dhj1182I mean maybe get on with times then? Don't regress and you'd be irreplaceable! ;)
@mike-lo4rt
@mike-lo4rt 6 месяцев назад
A load of left wing rubbish.
@Lala-kc2fw
@Lala-kc2fw 6 месяцев назад
​@sha29i they're calling for jihad in London. But sure... I guess they're all chill....
@gaeig
@gaeig 6 месяцев назад
@@dhj1182 This is a very stupid conclusion. Britain won't bear the brunt of it even because of it's small landmass. We're seeing heavy population in barely populated Scandinavia, Greenland, Northern Canada, Alaska, Siberia etc etc If there is a country which'll bear the brunt of it it'll probably be Russia/China given so many vast swathes of lands are unpopulated
@targpatience
@targpatience 6 месяцев назад
@45:50 - I was recently in the Caribbean Leeward Islands, and was horrified at how all of the reefs are just graveyards now. Just 8 years ago, those in the BVIs were thriving. It's happening very fast.
@karlwheatley1244
@karlwheatley1244 6 месяцев назад
Ouch! Thanks for the eyewitness account. 50% of coral gone since the 1950s.
@chrismcgourty1756
@chrismcgourty1756 Месяц назад
I want to watch all of that again for the similar or even longer duration using different words. Brilliant!
@mike_lowndes
@mike_lowndes 6 месяцев назад
Gaia - interesting name in this context.
@neomateo944
@neomateo944 6 месяцев назад
Nothing will change unless we completely overturn our current set of living arrangements including moving swiftly away from capitalism. The chance of this happening without some massive catastrophe is zero to none. Once we experience a blue ocean event over the arctic the current system will disintegrate. Humans may be able to move to migrate to avoid inhospitable climates but plants will not cope. Food production will plummet. Climate chaos is already triggering critical feedback loops which will take thousands of years to reset. If we're very lucky a few pockets may survive but I'm not optimistic.
@michaelrch
@michaelrch 6 месяцев назад
Yeah it's hard to see the way of avoiding that. All this adaptation stuff which presumes you can move 3 billion people in 4 decades while also dealing with a collapsing food system is completely and utterly delusional.
@macflod
@macflod 6 месяцев назад
I agree nothing will happen. Established powers need to get onboard with it , ie they need to find a way to invest or make money from green initiatives and switch to that over fossil fuels! It wont happen until we have that shift but it needs to happen now and it won’t. Also i mean real green initiatives and not the ones marketed to us- electric cars, biomass fuel, certain solar energies- all not green at all. The amount electric cars is pushed alarms me. Also get away from endless consumerism. Move economy back to where we get white good and TVs repaired. Not replacing everything over and over
@WhoisTheOtherVindAzz
@WhoisTheOtherVindAzz 6 месяцев назад
Nothing will change with our current systems. We need a truly representative system of governance. Everyone should look into liquid democracy and figure out how we can implement versions of it. (I would write more, but I tend to get censored when I do: but my shorter, silly and even rude comments get to stay).
@grimes8849
@grimes8849 6 месяцев назад
Agreed. If we could convince people that accumulating obscene wealth that you cannot possibly use is disgusting, we might stand a chance. Eat the rich.
@juliejeavons6949
@juliejeavons6949 6 месяцев назад
@@michaelrchwe still need to do adaptation because the change has already started. We also need to get mitigation in place to stop it getting worse via the path we’re on. We need both and we have to move people away from suggested it is can be solely one or the other.
@matty506
@matty506 6 месяцев назад
windrush generation were about 500k across 15 years. now we have 1miilion a year arriving. You cannot compare it.
@sillyape741
@sillyape741 6 месяцев назад
I really needed to listen to this. Thank you for having this discussion.
@00wil77
@00wil77 6 месяцев назад
Really enjoyed this conversation, thank you.
@AH--173
@AH--173 6 месяцев назад
I've never heard anyone point to the sea and say "that was my school".
@markcross8649
@markcross8649 6 месяцев назад
Little mermaid?
@quartermaster1976
@quartermaster1976 6 месяцев назад
Aquaman?
@jillybe1873
@jillybe1873 6 месяцев назад
I have. There are vids about The East Coast
@sew_gal7340
@sew_gal7340 6 месяцев назад
According to Google: In 2022, the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) reported the highest levels of coral cover across two-thirds of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in over 36 years. The great barrier reef is growing back, so i dont understand?
@karlwheatley1244
@karlwheatley1244 6 месяцев назад
"The great barrier reef is growing back, so i dont understand?" Globally, 50% of the world's coral has been lost since the 1950s. The GBR "rebound" is one of those examples of people being misled by misleading statistics and terminology. Vast swaths of very large, decades-olds, more biodiverse, more resilient-to-storms, and more-resilient to Crown-of-Thorns coral were killed off due to repeated mass bleaching events made more likely/inevitable and more intense due to man-made global warming. Then, like crabgrass quickly filling in your lawn after you fail to take care of it in late summer, very small, young, less biodiverse, less resilient-to-storms, and less-resilient to Crown-of-Thorns species of coral filled in those areas. This less biodiverse GBR also has fewer "ecosystem benefits" for marine life and even less benefits for tourism (I don't know about you, but I'd rather look at tall biodiverse forests of corals while snorkeling/scuba diving rather than a shallow mat of the same species). So unfortunately, even that supposed success story is a big step backwards for the Great Barrier Reef and marine life.
@stevangelical7052
@stevangelical7052 5 месяцев назад
Heat tolerant species grew back proilfically as less heat tolerant species died off. All species have a limit. It's only time that will reveal the true state of the reefs globally.
@karlwheatley1244
@karlwheatley1244 5 месяцев назад
Half the global coral had been lost since the 1950s, and that was before massive coral bleaching in the Caribbean this past summer. Next, as the other poster noted, "coral cover" can be incredibly misleading. What the recent mass bleaching events on the GBR have done is killed off massive, decades-old and more biodiverse corals and replaced them with a blanket of tiny corals of a species that is less resistant to storms, to future bleaching events, and to Crown of Thorns--and has significantly reduced the "ecosystem services" the reef can offer to other species. So, don't be misled by misleadingly narrow statistics: The GBR has taken multiple massive steps backwards through these mass bleaching events. Interestingly, the term "sea ice cover" can also be very misleading because a square mile of ocean is counted as having "sea ice cover" if it is 100% covered with a solid slab of ice 6 feet thick but it is also counted as having "sea ice cover" if it is 84% open water and only has 16% of it covered with foot-thick slushy ice.
@MJ-zv2sd
@MJ-zv2sd 6 месяцев назад
Love this podcast, Thanks a million for all info & updates. Praing for change & our planet ❤️🙏🏼🌍
@viktorr1301
@viktorr1301 6 месяцев назад
*ERROR* at 46:00 Great Barrier Reef is in perfect condition - see last year inspection results published by Australian scientists!!!
@stevangelical7052
@stevangelical7052 5 месяцев назад
Heat tolerant Acropora corals filled the gaps of less tolerant species. All species have a limit. Short term gains do not project a positive future.
@kelvinwatson4142
@kelvinwatson4142 6 месяцев назад
Thank s Windrush, for solving Britain's chronic and disastrous bus conductor future.
@jsey20
@jsey20 6 месяцев назад
We need a economic system not reliant on growth?
@thomaswikstrand8397
@thomaswikstrand8397 6 месяцев назад
Yep.
@MaxSafeheaD
@MaxSafeheaD 18 дней назад
She's lovely! What a fantastic guest. I did enjoy that - very uplifting =)
@evolutionrhythm4416
@evolutionrhythm4416 6 месяцев назад
Gaia Vince "Parents do a very important job for society". A job that's not recognised as a Job by the Duopoly UK political parties. E.g., in single parent households, the carer is expected to work 38 hours or any social welfare is "sanctioned". This includes if the parent is homeschooling. So, 38 hours per week paid employment that does not include any of the time to look after the children, clean the house, cook meals, etc. +1 for a basic universal income Aaron Bastani "I can foresee a world in the 23rd century when they look back [religious fundamentalists] and think, "wow", what were they thinking". Pay attention Aaron. Do you think these religious fundamentalist social ingroups will have the knowledge to mitigate an ecological crisis that will limit population numbers? Gaia Vince "Obviously I'm no Mystic Meg" He-he (good reply). Seriously, Aaron should pay more attention to the experts.
@arghjayem
@arghjayem 6 месяцев назад
33:25 course you need to mine things….where do you think all the aluminium, zinc, nickel, cobalt extra required for electric cars comes from? They’re strip mined and shipped around the world several times before you drive off in your new Tesla. Same goes with solar panels. Yes they don’t produce any emissions in their use, but again the aluminium, silicone etc that they’re made of needs to be mined and shipped round the world. Yes 35.9% of U.K. power comes from “renewable” energy sources but whilst that does mean wind and solar, it also includes hydroelectric, nuclear (relatively one of the best and cleanest forms of energy production that can actually meet our demands) and biomass- which is just basically burning stuff other than fossil fuels which is considered slightly better than fossil fuels even though you have to burn more of it than coal or oil to get the equivalent energy output. 🤔🤷😂
@relight6931
@relight6931 6 месяцев назад
Exactly, electric cars are such a scam. Just like our common misconception that we have been recycling most of our plastic last 20 years. We need to destroy capitalism, that has led the world for the last 4-5 centuries, while at the same time dealing with more people then ever before, while industrial food production goes down.. And emergency wheather events happen every other day.. Billions dead, capitalism dead, but maybe one, two billion to survive in still technologically advanced society would be best we could hope.. But most important is talking time scales.. They still talk like this might happen in 100-200 years while talking about a book called post climate change. Now I understand the levity, they are both parents, ofcourse they need to think in positive ways.. This is one of two reasons why I will probably not reproduce. It would be too cruel.
@SamieCarvalho
@SamieCarvalho 6 месяцев назад
I live in Japan and us true, is easier to be naturalized in Japan than before. Most of westerns don't do it because of the language/cultural barriers.
@pasodoble5070
@pasodoble5070 6 месяцев назад
Also because Japan does not allow dual citizenship, and they would be required to renounce their Western nationality.
@MarkAsh-tv2ox
@MarkAsh-tv2ox 6 месяцев назад
Aaron claims EVs are a no-brainer, in part because electricity prices are coming down with the price of installing wind and solar. Well, the installation costs are going down because we have farmed their production out to China where (1) their energy is cheaper, and (2) they rely mostly on coal-powered energy. And the countries with now the highest electricity prices are those with the highest proportions of renewable energy (eg. Germany).
@cecilycronin6243
@cecilycronin6243 3 месяца назад
i am a single parent aged 81. Would have loved a larger family if our society had approved and supported such a choice.
@jamesmitchell233
@jamesmitchell233 6 месяцев назад
Britain is building and opening new coal power stations right?
@leftgrrl
@leftgrrl 6 месяцев назад
No but theres one new coal mine.
@enneagramma9
@enneagramma9 6 месяцев назад
"We need immigrants, desperately " just to run our bars and pick our crops (!) seems a pretty imperialistic attitude to me. Oh the dear old brits- a part from that- a very necessary conversation.
@andjelatatarovic8309
@andjelatatarovic8309 5 месяцев назад
Thank you for being optimistic and realistic it's very refreshing.
@jonathanwest6564
@jonathanwest6564 2 месяца назад
I live in the USA East of Tampa FL. Normally starting in May we get the wet season. We're people have rubber boots to get to their car. June, July, August we get 9" (23 cm) of rain per month! The rains have not started this year. When the heat index gets to 109F (43c) and the plants are covered in water they are happy. Without that Florida turns back into a sand bar. Everything green is dieing.
@svenskpolitik4458
@svenskpolitik4458 Месяц назад
Sounds absolutely horrifying. Thankfully you will soon be blessed with 30 million climate refugees.
@michelledavies2197
@michelledavies2197 6 месяцев назад
No, no, no back to any religion, dont make us go backwards.
@NF-ru8on
@NF-ru8on 6 месяцев назад
The outdate Nation model is gonna be a major pain the ass as global migration north word accellerates
@electron8262
@electron8262 6 месяцев назад
I actually think that Britain, having already to a certain degree a national identity that is culture-based and not heritage based, will have it a bit easier than nation-states like Hungary, where the national identity is still quite strongly linked to a person's ethnicity.
@user-qq3ym6qn2q
@user-qq3ym6qn2q 6 месяцев назад
I don't understand Gaia Vince's point on population. What I thought I knew contradicts what she says, policy in political history has affected population and also do we need more people on this planet? Surely we want to change the current economic system that relies on the young caring for the old model etc I understand what she is saying on the surface, but in reality human population has been far too demanding on the environment. Could we not use older people's skills in an alternative economic model????
@mattgilbert7347
@mattgilbert7347 6 месяцев назад
Yes. We will teach the young how not to do socialism.
@TheGkmasta
@TheGkmasta 6 месяцев назад
Old people lose muscle mass, energy, and cognitive function from about age 40 onward. That’s why you need young people to care for them at a certain age. Her point is not that the population needs to grow, but that the demographics need to be properly balanced to have a functioning society.
@user-qq3ym6qn2q
@user-qq3ym6qn2q 6 месяцев назад
​​@@TheGkmastanot against migration in any way, but can we have continuous migration to balance demographics? Also I need to read more about this idea because I can think of more than one problem with it. It is not making sense to me... (Separately, you need to raise the age of loss of cognition loss in strength etc, 40 is not that age!)
@mattgilbert7347
@mattgilbert7347 6 месяцев назад
@@TheGkmasta I'm 51 and need a young female to help me bathe. Also need assistance with getting into my bed. I mean, getting me into bed... Any applicant under 30 will be directed to my assistant. He's also a 51 yrold male with the same needs as me. By sheer coincidence, he also shares my name....
@TheGkmasta
@TheGkmasta 6 месяцев назад
@@user-qq3ym6qn2q Not sure if migration would work in perpetuity, but probably until civilization collapses anyway due to climate change. All of those things START around age 40 and continue to decline at varying rates depending on one's physical and mental activity.
@jamesmitchell233
@jamesmitchell233 6 месяцев назад
regarding trauma, yes. perhaps we are now in the similar place to people after ww1.
@explorer0213
@explorer0213 6 месяцев назад
The 80s economy was not good recession after recession.
@andreaslind6338
@andreaslind6338 6 месяцев назад
Like now!
@omarjaved9748
@omarjaved9748 6 месяцев назад
Those recessions were not debt loaded. People just couldn’t afford new things. Now people can’t afford money they have already used, this is the problem.
@willowbell3756
@willowbell3756 6 месяцев назад
The planet is fine it is one of many in our solar system. What people worry about is themselves. To slow it down, if you think it will affect you, stop wars and stop being greedy.
@timcoombe
@timcoombe 6 месяцев назад
@aaron bastani In the wider context of planetary boundaries, as defined by the Potsdam Institute, surely it's quite valid to question unbridled 'extractivism'. Climate Change is only one of six boundaries being crossed currently and there are tipping points associated with the others. The planet's systems only have the capacity to regenerate up to certain limits regardless of techno-optimism.
@bruceclark4754
@bruceclark4754 6 месяцев назад
Paul Beckwith calculates that we're already at 1.5 degrees folks. As I said : Time to panic
@pvmagnus
@pvmagnus 6 месяцев назад
1C+ guarantees global collapse. We can see this clearly now. At 3C it's an extinction game for sure.
@kyyyni
@kyyyni 6 месяцев назад
Panic is the worst you can possibly do when solving problems.
@emceegreen8864
@emceegreen8864 6 месяцев назад
If you liked The Ministry for the Future if would be a good idea to pay attention to the resolution of the climate crisis presented in the novel. It’s Carbon Quantitative Easing that funds the new world of climate mitigation. Introduced as the “Chen plan” in Chapter 42 there is a real world character -Dr Delton Chen -that has been publishing a new economic theory that is complete enough to manage the current crisis. His recent presentation to The Bank of England is a must listen to!
@willsetchell4222
@willsetchell4222 6 месяцев назад
The massive flaw in the book, which I otherwise enjoyed, was the ridiculous floating of cryptocurrency as a vehicle for the carbon credits. He completely ignored the fact that power consumption of crypto gets progressively worse as more people try to use it, rendering it worse for the planet than regular money. The whole device just threw me out of the narrative.
@emceegreen8864
@emceegreen8864 3 месяца назад
In the book it was clear that carbon coin shouldn’t be confused with a crypto. Especially to Bitcoin. The main point was to get the backing of central banks to maintain the price. The result would be a derisked investment.
@OneHumaneBeing
@OneHumaneBeing 6 месяцев назад
Relative to the birthrate population increase and religiosity, not matter what, as you have pointed out, these people will have to be fed! Between heat rise, soil depletion, and decline in fresh water, food production will decline!
@jasondashney
@jasondashney 6 месяцев назад
People in the 60's we're absolutely convinced that a world population far below what it is now would have mass starvation, and people would be in dire straits, yeah, it's better than it ever has been. Don't listen to the doomsayers.
@sharenwhitlock7737
@sharenwhitlock7737 6 месяцев назад
Great! Thank you NM.
@gidders81
@gidders81 6 месяцев назад
What happens to demands on nature/natural resources as the tropical areas become uninhabitable and we have mass migration to northern areas? Aren't we already living unsustainably in ecological overshoot and a biodiversity crisis?
@sogghartha
@sogghartha 6 месяцев назад
it's gonna be nasty. expect rising prices of food, rations, if we're lucky, bread lines.
@RevGary
@RevGary 6 месяцев назад
​@@soggharthadoom and gloom 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤡
@RevGary
@RevGary 6 месяцев назад
There is no crisis ffs
@cryoraptora303tm2
@cryoraptora303tm2 6 месяцев назад
@@RevGary "There is no asteroid coming!", the dinosaur said.
@RevGary
@RevGary 6 месяцев назад
@@cryoraptora303tm2 did you dream that up son? Another human theory that wasn't observed or tested hence isn't scientific merely a belief system 🤣
@brianwheeldon4643
@brianwheeldon4643 6 месяцев назад
Thanks Novara, very good. Re the title: Mmmm some problems aren't there!?? What will 3º C increase look like by 2060 or so onwards? Why Fixate on sea-level rise? The IPCC isn't even middle of the road on this from my reading, it errs as always on the conservative. Middle of the road would be 2 metres by 2100, whereas prudent would be 2.5 to 3 metres. There's a need to talk in terms of energy. Currently humanity produces 19 terawatts globally, it needs to be 5 to 10 terawatts maximum. Talk in terms of the EEI- Earth Energy Imbalance. Too much loose talk doesn't help. And we must wipe all debt, it a human control mechanism and a killer. Can we adapt in the UK? Not in the UK with the present administration or mindset of much of the public. What happened to recycle, re-use, repurpose?. I suggest and recommend Novara host a discussion with Gaia Vince, Roger Hallam, Andreas Malm, Kevin Anderson, Hilda Flavia Nakabuye , Luisa Neubauer, Bill Ripple or a mixture of same or similar. Novara could play an important role in bringing key voices both young and middle aged to the public in a positive way. Thanks
@shelleyepelech5211
@shelleyepelech5211 6 месяцев назад
Illuminating conversation, thank you. Would have liked to have heard more on the global south and population, and on waste disposal - particularly military waste
@ratttttyyy
@ratttttyyy 3 месяца назад
She is very creative and inventive. I'm sure she will sell lots of books.
@DecodeHealthSolutions-pk4qn
@DecodeHealthSolutions-pk4qn 5 месяцев назад
This conversation is 30 years too late. We are or will be at 2 Degrees C. by 2028. We are in an irreversible Global Warming . Can't stop the Tipping points because an additional 2 Degrees C is already Baked into the system regardless of what you do. We are at or close to 2 Degrees C and be at 3 Degrees C by 2030-2040.
@villhelm
@villhelm 6 месяцев назад
Every single climate prediction has been wrong. But people still suck down the propaganda. We don’t have the capacity to model a non linear chaotic system. These sophists are So tiresome.
@ansonstiles
@ansonstiles 6 месяцев назад
I love this take. Just grabbed Nomad Century on Audible!
@azzaaz5458
@azzaaz5458 6 месяцев назад
I'm sure I need to read book and maybe listen to the interview again but this is left me feeling slightly sick to the stomach. It felt to me like there was a suggestion that all these horrors that we're seeing across the world caused by western consumerist led earth system breakdown should be seen as an opportunity rather than massive suffering and trauma.
@hmq9052
@hmq9052 6 месяцев назад
Aaron likes Tik Tok and thinks in terms of Netflix episodes. A sad victim of the internet age.
@terrific804
@terrific804 6 месяцев назад
Living outside the habitability niche🎉 1:08:55 and the only places that are habitable are Western countries😂😂😂
@MisyeDiVre
@MisyeDiVre 6 месяцев назад
I hate to break it to you but the climates have always changed, will always change, are always changing. 20 000 ya the land that I currently live on ( the entire country) was under a huge ice sheet.
@karlwheatley1244
@karlwheatley1244 6 месяцев назад
Yes, the climate has often changed in Earth's past, but natural climate change is 10 times slower to 1000 times slower than this. We are currently warming the planet ~18 times faster than it usually warms when coming out of an ice age. Such rapid changes in global CO2 levels and temps, if sustained, will cause mass extinctions of life. That's just how nature works.
@BrianMarcus-nz7cs
@BrianMarcus-nz7cs 4 месяца назад
Oh so it's all good then, Thanks 👍
@maddogwillie1019
@maddogwillie1019 6 месяцев назад
If any one is confused by why the US is not doing more to move from a using fossil fuels to renewables…are entire economy is base on the consumption of fossil fuels…my guess is the fossil fuel industries spend more money on keeping it that way then renewable produce in electrical value.
@Lita1
@Lita1 6 месяцев назад
The world is not the 80s the politicians are 😂🤣 I liked this video Novara Media yes!!!!👍😅
@terrific804
@terrific804 6 месяцев назад
What we know is that if the trend had continued meaning a greater reduction in CO2 as prior to human activity plant life on Earth would be reduced even causing die offs. What we are experiencing now is vegetation around the world flourishing. If sea level rises and land is flooded people can move away to where they can now grow crops when before they couldn't.
@kenny3485
@kenny3485 2 месяца назад
Very good discussion. Thank you. KT from USA NJ.
@kimojolly5101
@kimojolly5101 6 месяцев назад
We need a massive push for FREE ADULT EDUCATION worldwide. An intelligent public can handle this.
@jasondashney
@jasondashney 6 месяцев назад
The vast majority of the world literally has all information in their pocket at all times. The widespread availability of the Internet most certainly has not made people smarter on average.
@Justsomeonepraying
@Justsomeonepraying 6 месяцев назад
Wish you would have asked her what she thinks of Just Stop Oil.
@redflag4781
@redflag4781 6 месяцев назад
How about you just state your position?
@MichL_71
@MichL_71 6 месяцев назад
They're Bought and paid for.
@RevGary
@RevGary 6 месяцев назад
​@@MichL_71well said
@MichL_71
@MichL_71 6 месяцев назад
@AaronBrown-rr6yu yes I do, I looked them up a few years ago, all such organizations stipulated where their funding was coming from (I'm not sure if the info is still so easy to find, now that so much is suppressed and altered). It's probably still easily found if you look.
@OpenEggs
@OpenEggs 6 месяцев назад
Don't worry, I am in many policy groups of the green left and an extraction tax is being figured out but many of us are skeptical
@doreensoutar5130
@doreensoutar5130 6 месяцев назад
I was going to watch this until I listened to the introduction. The notion that outlandish futures such as Inverness being a hub of activity belies a casual racism and historical ignorance I am not going to be able to get over.
@CandlepinBowlingNetwork
@CandlepinBowlingNetwork 6 месяцев назад
She tries hard, (for about 2 minutes) but can’t avoid the Malthusian trap. The discussion about cereal production falling and habitat loss, and tropical coral reefs defies the actual data. Coral reefs are burgeoning in the subtropics. It is tempting to resort to moral panic that undermines the message. Cereal production again set records worldwide last year, in particular in India. Bangladesh’s death rate due to climate disasters has never been lower. Try to hold two ideas in your head at the same time and you will see that no country is behaving as if this is the 1980s.
@buzinaocara
@buzinaocara 6 месяцев назад
The way she correlates every single phenomena to climate change actually makes her seem like she has no guard against confirmation bias and disolves my ability to trust the solidity her beliefs.
@fdonald7580
@fdonald7580 6 месяцев назад
She's working with the basis that climate change is a new thing .Mankind is adaptable She's making it sound so fragile but we've been higher carbon before .The internet has accelerated the drama of weather .Predictions have so far since the 19th century been wrong .
@bradhicks4057
@bradhicks4057 6 месяцев назад
​@@fdonald7580 No, most of what predicted is happening. And didn't you get the part that CO² is highest ever since modern humans came about, much less since the development of civilizations.
@bradhicks4057
@bradhicks4057 6 месяцев назад
Well, she is analyzing CC effects specifically, so yes, every thing she mentions will of course be re. CC.
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