What Johnson's Win Means for Brexit & Britain's Future - Explaining Brexit 

Honestly the idea that no majority government has ever got more than 40-ish percent of the votes, and that coalitions are viewed as a negative thing, are both mind-boggling to me.

While I am by no means in favour of No Deal, I do think it helped raise the emotional stakes in seasons 3 and 4, in what would have otherwise been quite dry and boring instalments of the show. So for these reasons, I am glad the threat of No Deal is returning for season 5. It shows the writers have listened to us and that, even if the cast is different, it's still the same Brexit show we know and love.

CORRECTION: Jo Swinson lost her seat by 150 votes not 700- Good video though

No, no one wants to hear about hung parliaments right now.

What I will find interesting, is if Johnson continues to ignore the SNP's claims for IndyRef2. Because the SNPs argument is exactly the same as the UK's reasons to leave the EU - closer authority over their jurisdiction. Scotland doesn't want to be ruled by Westminster, and seeing as both the SNP hold a clear majority in Scotland, and voted remain, the foundations of a decent argument to have another ref is undeniable. The thing is, if Johnson ignores the SNP, that will only create anger and frustration and probably accelerate the desire to leave. Also, because of this election result, we *will* have a Sir Boris Johnson by 2040.

Would like to hear your thoughts on NI having a nationalist majority for the first time

Probably worth titling the video as ‘Election results explained’

Despite their majority, there will be a no-deal brexit and somehow they will blame Labour.

When is the UK going to update its voting system? Much like the other archaic 'Westminster style" systems that also desperately need an upgrade: Australia and the USA. I just had a look at the popular vote stats - and the Torys only increased their 'vote share' by 1.2% but got 47 more seats. Come on - that is just diabolical - and hardly democracy in today's world. Lib-dems gained 4.2% vote share, but lost a seat. NZ changed to MMP about 20 years ago now, and have never looked back. Time for a change UK!

They can't have 79 MPs rebel, which is why I dislike that way of counting majorities. If more than 40 MPs rebel, they will have less than 325 votes, and so it is theoretically possible for them to lose the vote. The majority of 80 means that, if their party votes for it and the opposition votes against, it will pass by 80 votes, which is only actually 40 MPs...

The Tories won by pretending to be New Labour (but anti-EU) and successfully rallying English nationalism. Nationalists also won Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Yeah Labour should modernise and appoint a warmonger

You should have mentioned that more nationalist MPs were elected in northern Ireland than unionist MPs. This probably isn't that important to England but it is in northern Ireland.

"Not a fluke of the voting system", and then you show that the conservatives didn't reach the majority, while they have much more than half of the seats in parliament now. A voting system where 43.6% of the people are able to hand a party a massive win and 100% of the control, I would say that is quite a fluke.

"This wasn't even just a fluke of the first past the post voting system" then proceeds to display a graphic which clearly shows Conservatives = 43.6%, Lib Dems + Labour = 43.6%. So the Conservatives didn't have anymore votes than Lib Dems + Labour, but it gets even better when you consider Labour + Lib Dems + SNP + Greens = 50.2%, so if the UK used a decent voting system like MMP they could have formed an anti-brexit coalition. Suggesting that the Conservative victory is not due to FPTP is incredibly dishonest

Conservatives won 43.6% of the vote and 56% of the seats across the UK. Boris Johnson says that’s an indisputable mandate for his policies and Brexit deal. SNP won 45% of the vote in Scotland and 81% of the Scottish seats. Boris Johnson says they have no mandate for a second independence referendum. So he can pick and choose who has democratic mandates when it suits him?

Apparently Labor didn’t call everyone “racist” enough

You keep getting the maths wrong. An 80 seat majority means that 40 Conservative MPs would need to vote against the whip - not 80.

I would like to congratulate UK people for setting their country on fire. The flames are beautiful.

Holding out for Ireland’s reunification post Brexit

The government only needs 40 MPs to rebel, not 80, in order to lose a vote. This is because if an MP switches sides, there's one less "yes" vote and one more "no" vote, so the difference goes down by two.

The "dead in a ditch" comparison isn't exactly a fair one, considering Boris refused to sign the letter asking for an extension and the only reason an extension did happen was because the govt. was legally bound to ask for one by parliament.

On the bright side, no one will be able to blame labor when the recession hits GB.

I wished your actual video title was what this video was actually about 😒

I’ve been following this channel for a while now, and enjoying all the *mostly* unbiased content, but that nonsense about “the route to number 10 lies through Scotland” really took the piss. Scotland’s votes have had almost no effect on any general election in living memory and we’ve rarely had any conservative MPs (up until recently) and always had a Tory government thrust upon us. Really disappointed with the level of research and quality control here guys.

Scot from Canada here! We recently had our general election under the Westminester system, and our current Liberal party formed a minority government. I have never heard the term "hung parliament" used before, but it's exactly the situation we're in. If you do a further view on the topic, it might be worth looking into Canada's current setup. Thanks for the work, lads!

Is it me, or are they dragging out the last seasons of Brexit? Another two years!

Or, in other words; The british voters did not punish Boris for lying about no ifs or butts and getting brexit done the first time. Looks like he can get away with anything

SOOOO MANYYY adverts on these videos nowadays lads

As a staunch Remain supporter, I have to say congratulations to the Conservative party. Clearly my views are in opposition but the public have spoken. I don't like the other policies of the Conservatives either but that's what we've got. Guess we'll see what happens she will keep my "told you so"'s for another time 😉. I do think that we should talk about hung parliaments though. And electoral reform. It is still the case that the Conservatives won but it now means that 43% of the population who voted will determine what the other 57% will get and I don't think that's right. Even if it was a labour win it still wouldn't be right. I even think the brexit party voters should have a say. FPTP is terrible and that's why it's been phased out in Australia or NZ for example. Parliament shouldn't be a place of forcing laws through, it's a place where law and governance should be discussed and cross party support of different options considered. The Westminster system is inherently broken. And yes, things still get done under these different systems - it's just more representative of the actual populations votes rather than the unrepresentative mess that is Westminster. Tl;dr We should always have hung parliaments. Because that's what the population is too - divided and with different opinions. It works in lots of other places.

2:27 Someone doesn't know how to do maths apparently....

Surprised you guys didn't mention the results in Northern Ireland at all here, considering how historic they are!

A “hung parliament, or, as it is known to most of the rest of the world, “reality”...

funny how nobody complained about FPTP when UKIP got 4millions votes yet only had one MP isn't it ?

5:43 someones exaggerating a bit... "SNP won by almost 700 votes" it was 149.

79 of their own MP’s vote against them and still pass a bill? Sorry guys , don’t think u understand what the majority is try 39

It's never been the case that you have to win seats in Scotland. Most elections Scottish seats have little to no influence on who has a majority. Scotland only aligns with the rest of the UK if it happens to be won by the same party who wins a majority in England. This is the democratic deficit that is at the core of the argument for Scottish independence as the UK was not founded as a unitary state but as a political union and developments from the 1950s onwards have seen the UK become increasingly centralised in a way that was not the case the 19th century. This is spite of the fact that Scotland now has a devolved parliament.

Do a video about possible leave of Scotland.

2:28 By my calculation it takes only 41 Tory rebels for the government to be unable to get legislation through. Agreed that UK will now leave on 31 January, but Boris would still be a pressure group of Northern MPs if the deal is not good. For example on fisheries. You might think new Tory MPs would not to be as difficult to manage as the ERG but these guys won't want to lose their seats again in five years time. When Her Majesty's loyal opposition fails, the cudgels are sometimes taken up from government benches.

I blame voters in "Remain voting conservative seats". Clearly clutching your pearls was more important than saving the country.

If you throw someone a rescue line, there is only so much you can do if they opt to cut it up.

My understanding is that the UK will leave the EU at the end of the transition period, not at the start.. It's an important difference and I hope you know can support your statement that the UK will "leave" by the end of January. The UK will LEAVE once a withdrawal agreement is made and the transition period is ended. And the transition period will end once the TRADE DEAL is completed. MUCH longer time line I'm afraid eheh

I'd love to know where your accent is from exactly. I really enjoyed listening to it! :D

An 80 seat majority means 40 MPs can rebel, not 79.

"Seem to think this is something the public didnt want" - referring to a hung parliament, yes tldr the public totally wanted another 3 years of brexit in progress it's not like the british public gave the conservatives a super majority for a reason

With all the dramas of Brexit only 67.3% of registered voters voted. So why did the other 30% didn't vote considering leaving the EU is going to have a profound effect on the UK years to come.

8:29 “around 80 conservatives would need to rebel” If 40 conservatives would swing and vote with the opposition, the Conservatives would loose their majority.

isn't hung parliament more beneficial when reaching a decision benefiting all and for the better good of the nation?

You chaps make it all interesting. "Hung Parliament" sounds lively--bring it on anytime. And thanks for all your very intelligent reports. Herb S.

I'm now 6 minutes in (with 2 ad) and all I've learnt is what happened on election night - which I know anyway. I learnt I have learnt nothing about 'What Johnson's Win Means for Brexit & Britain's Future ' which had to wait to emerge until about 8mins in on a 10 min video Is there a TLDR for TLDR?

Gz UK. Scotland will push to leave the UK, Ireland and Northern Ireland will not be happy with a hard border either (and we all know that there's going to be no choice in the matter), a no-deal Brexit is almost guaranteed, and relations with other European countries will be insufferable. Also, I hope you enjoy a capitalist healthcare system where patients are products because your NHS is hanging by a thread. We'll see exactly how long the UK stays out of the EU but the damage will be long done by then.

I know that there was a Welsh letter or statement given out about their being in the Union as a voluntary act at some point earlier this year--and have heard that there was a rising sentiment for separation--whatever became of that?

it means you're screwed

Can you guys discuss the irish and Scottish independence movements and what impact that could have on the UK?

Last time my country was run by a non hung government was 1945

Since the £39bn was originally for a trade deal, WHY don't U.K. exercise it's mandate to LEAVE on a better or no WA, and keep its negotiating advantage for the trade deal?

I honestly don't understrand the brits. Most media I have been following (even you guys) mention how incredible this win is and it kind of means that the people have chosen Brexit. Does nobody, not even on the left, mention, that 43% isn't "the people"?

Ordinarily I would be delighted at a Conservative victory like this. Now I'm deeply disappointed. But anyway, Johnson still has to try to implement a deal which is deeply flawed and won't work as promised (he's said there's to be no regulation of goods to and from Northern Ireland, but we all know he was lying again). He might get this silly deal through Parliament but that doesn't actually get the job finished at all.

Johnson's legacy will be the break-up of the UK.

UK population votes to leave the EU at the cost of austerity, corporate welfare and food banks. Scotland pushes for independence. Northern Ireland conflict re-emerges. Those who orchestrated the calamity retire overseas with their pockets lined by Russian oligarchs.

Imagine leaving the EU lmao This comment was made by Ireland gang

In my opinion this narrator has much clear pronunciation and enunciation. I would really encourage more videos from this narrator.

It literally comes down to what does he want and can we trust anything he says? If he really wants that EU deal he'll ask for the extension anyway, if he doesn't then we will be getting an American deal that honestly I think will be a backwards step for the country. We are much more aligned with European values, the US will change that with a trade deal for sure.

Great Britain a fool to remove herself from the EU, but yet to adhere to NATO. And let Scotland and North Ireland be pissed to have their own withdrawal in eventuality!!

This is what happens when a Labour Party forgets its roots and becomes a "The Metropolitan College Middle class" party

The UK electorate finally announced on 12th December, that all future episodes of the controversial drama ‘Brexit, a betrayal’ ...HAVE BEEN CANCELLED! 🇬🇧

Brexit season 5 is looking amazing

Please can someone help me - how can it be a 80 seat majority if you need 326 seats and the Conservatives got 365?

I love England no matter what, from Canada.

You should do one on the impact of 3.5 million European Citizens permanently residing in UK under Freedom of Movement since 2003👍

I await with tension the Scottish Independance War, since the Scots want a new referendum and the Tories don't want to grant one, with the then English-Welsh Army being struck by Remain Partisans.

This episode is surprisingly badly researched. Jo swinson lost her seat by 149 votes, not 700. Also, you clearly don't understand what a majority is, claiming that 79 tory MPs could rebel and have no effect. It would be 79 if those MPs abstained, but if they voted against the government, there would only need to be half that.

It goes to show that the working class will vote for poverty, if the guy making it happen is relatable.

Honestly. We need a source like this for American politics.

Well guys series 5 has just finished witha surprising tory majority, who’s ready for series 6 where Bojo will try to get a free trade deal with the EU?

While the Tories winning isn't a fluke of the first past the post system, the fact they have a majority (any majority, not just the huge one they have now) *IS* a direct consequence of having such a system.

SNP has now 80% of the seat share in Scotland. This means Scotland will probably want to become independent. However, the English already say that they must prevent Scotland of making a mistake, Scotland must remain in the UK, etc, etc. Some parallels with... perhaps...?

I appreciate that TLDR, unlike much of the media, actually asks the question of which direction Labour should go, and whether times have changed since the 80s, unlike the rest of the media, who just assumes that times haven’t changed.

In 5 years, British would sneak into EU countries to seek affordable healthcare. Congratulations 🎊 🍾 to the big winners: the American Healthcare insurance companies.

@ 10:00 ‘Dead in the ditch’ comment - he extended only because parliament forced him to. He was quite willing to leave without a deal. Remember this is the person who prorogued parliament. Some think his commitment to leave without a deal is just a tactic to appear tough to the EU - but don’t be too sure. I think he really is prepared to leave without a deal. Now that he’s got a majority will he be more liberal to negotiations? Let’s see what people he surrounds himself in his new cabinet to make a judgement. I think it will be more or the same as the last 6 months…

I used to come here for hope. That hope is now gone, so am I :-( Wish you all the best guys! Hope your channel will thrive! Greetings from Belgium, EU.

What does it mean to be “out” if you are in a “transition period” with a defined end? If you were “out” and were a fully independent and sovereign nation once again, you could negotiate as long as another party was willing, like any other sovereign nation.

Hung parliament, ...a very english way of looking at things. You know coalition governments are the norm in europe, just sayin. (:

The quality of TLDR's analysis in this video is rather lacking. Examples: 1. Looking at the total share of the vote, the LibDems gained more than a third compared to 2017 (7.4% in 2017, 11.4% in 2019). They lost a seat while over a million people more decided to vote LibDems than did in 2017. So their policy of "revoke to remain" did work for them after all. It just did not translate into a gain in number of MP seats. 2. Theresa May won 42.3% of the vote share in 2017, a gain of 5.5% compared to 2015, yet the Tories lost 13 seats. Johnson's vote share was 43.6%, a mere 1.3% gain compared to May's result. Yet he gained 48 seats. Effective appeal among voters of a certain policy can't be derived from the number of seats in a FPTP election system. Vote share is a much better indication. Johnson's victory may have been enormous in seats won, but in vote share he only did slightly better than his predecessor. 3. Jo Swinson of the LibDems stood as candidate in Scotland and tightly lost her seat to Amy Callaghan of the SNP. She fell 149 votes short. Both parties are clearly anti-Brexit and together the two parties had a vote share of 74% in that constituency, so it wasn't so much the brexit stance that made the difference. 3. The Conservatives will have 365 seats in the next Parliament. With a total of 650 seats, they'll have an absolute majority of 40 seats. So where does the claim come from that Johnson can afford up to 80 rebelling Tory MPs to pass through his legislation proposals? With just 41 rebels he'd already have lost the absolute majority. 8:32 By the way, "rebel" is miraculously misspelled.

AHHH! WE'RE ALL GUNNA DIE

I liked last year's Christmas special a lot better. S5 is going to suck now. The suspense will come not from complex and unpredictable political maneuvers, but from wondering just how bad will be the fallout of the bad decisions into which this new majority blunders.

I’m a conservative voter and so glad we won. Not long now until we leave the EU. (5 weeks) also I’m looking forward to seeing the future trade deal with America. On topic. Why would the U.K. need to have an extension beyond 2020? The trade deal with America will Be much bigger than any deal the EU will give U.K. so Boris knows the America deal is far more important going forward with the EU deal just being a bonus to smooth things over.

Pretty please can you make a video explaining the history and difference between FPTP and MMP? I feel like these are becoming increasingly important to understand. Also - more on Scottish Independence?

Tories have 43.6% of the vote Tories have an 80 seat majority "This isn't a fluke of the FPTP voting system" Are you sure about that? From my point of view, the numbers don't really add up...

The triumph of the big lie. Congratulations from America, Britain. You have shown that the Mother can be as foolish as the child. Good fortune going forward - if that, indeed is where you're going.

We know all about hung parliaments having suffered under one for the last years 🥴🥴🥴

How does trade work between UK and EU after january? Is everything taxed straight away or does that happen only after the new trade deal is agreed upon?

While I'd much rather have the UK stay in the EU, I'm at the very least glad that this mess will be over and done with soon. Even if the trade deal negotiations take some time, it looks like the UK has at long last made up its mind, and that's a good thing.

I would love to see a video about how Scotland would go about requesting permission to have a referendum on independence. With the conservatives and Boris having such a majority can they just refuse to give Scotland permission? Or is there more to it than that?

Bet labour and everyone else who voted against May's deal are kicking themselves now.

A view from the US. Your recent election was, in effect, a 2nd referendum. Your citizenry made it emphatically clear: they want out of the EU, period. Theresa May was exactly like David Cameron: neither of them wanted to leave the EU at all, so Cameron resigned and it looked like May was using her lack of a solid majority in Parliament to her advantage by not really finding a way to deliver Brexit and tagging MP's with the albatross of failure to deliver Brexit. Seems from here your citizens are fine with a No Deal Brexit. That's what Johnson and Farage stood for, and they were rewarded. So the Remainers need to sit down and shut up.

No mention of vote share? Come on guys

CORRECTION: 2:27 No this is wrong a Majority of 80 does not mean you can suffer 79 defections. It means you can suffer 39 defections or 79 abstentions. Big difference.

You guys are quitters, I stayed up (was much easier for me being in California) All the good Brexit stuff happen after you guys went to sleep :)

I'm not sure how chuffed the SNP will be, it's pretty bitter-sweet. Yeh they've got plenty of seats, but now they've got to be concerned about living under a rampant Tory party