What the Death of Iran's President Means for the Middle East and the World

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On May 19, 2024, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi's helicopter crashed during a return flight from Azerbaijan. Although it seems that all of the political power in Iran is concentrated in the Ayatollah, that is not quite right. The president has a fair bit of leeway, and the fact that an election will have to be held soon matters for regime security regardless. This video explores the deeper consequences of the accident and what might happen next in Iran.
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
Thanks to the Romanian National History Museum for the image of the Romanian Revolution.
Media licensed under CC BY 2.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Hamed Saber
www.flickr.com/photos/4412442...
0:00 The Death of Iran's President Does Matter
0:23 Background: Why Ebrahim Raisi Went to Azerbaijan
1:41 Details of the Helicopter Crash
2:31 Concerns about Foul Play
3:56 A Manufactured Rally 'Round the Flag?
4:38 Sanctions and the West's Complicated Role
5:42 Why the Iranian President Is Not Powerless
6:10 Raisi as a Future Ayatollah
7:13 The Upcoming Special Election
7:59 Protest Concerns in Iran
8:39 The New Election as a Trial Balloon
10:22 Possible Changes to Iranian Policies
11:24 A Window of Opportunity for the West
12:31 Closing Thoughts
Media licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 DE (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Bundesarchiv:
www.bild.bundesarchiv.de/dba/...
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By President.az:
president.az/en/articles/view...
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By Mehr News Agency:
media.mehrnews.com/d/2023/10/...
By Tasnim News Agency:
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By Khamenei.ir:
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By Kremlin.ru:
tours.kremlin.ru/tour/senate
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2 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 2,8 тыс.

@ValensBellator 13 дней назад

Sanctions didn’t make that helicopter take off into near-zero visibility to fly through mountain ranges, the president did. That’s a weak attempt to blame the US 😂

@RUTHLESSambition5 13 дней назад

This was a old helicopter in bad weather or a hit from 🇮🇱🇮🇱and Azerbaijan. If Iran connects AZ to this that country is finished

@callmevbuck4054 13 дней назад

@@RUTHLESSambition5 I doubt Armenia would have been involved; but I think Iran meeting with Azerbaijan (albeit not to normalize relations) would’ve tipped them off.

@JohnW118 13 дней назад

@@RUTHLESSambition5 "that country" being Iran itself.

@RUTHLESSambition5 13 дней назад

@@JohnW118 Iran will steam roll Azerbaijan 😂😂 Persians are not the Armenians. Irans proxies will put a serious hurting on Azerbaijan. America can't even stop the houtis. They are so effective they are about to set up a toll in order for them to pass

@alex_zetsu 13 дней назад

Sanctions may not make helicopters crash in zero visibility conditions, but if anything crashes due to spare parts, you can squarely put the blame on USA. Then again, given that the victims likely voted for the anti-American leader or were part of a revolution that toppled a pro=American leader, maybe we shouldn't shed any tears when that inevitably happens.

@iodian 13 дней назад

The Iranian media said Raisi was "Martyred". I didn't know fog was capable of such a feat.

@conservativedemocracyenjoyer 13 дней назад

Israel is clearly weaponizing the weather.

@DonaldPrizwan 13 дней назад

al jazeera dropped that line too. gave me... "any excuse to kill infidels" vibes.

@alichahin 13 дней назад

Martyred doesn't necessarily mean killed. It could mean someone dying in the process of doing something good for their country.

@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket 13 дней назад

@@alichahin I can't speak for Arabic but in English? No. "A martyr (Greek: μάρτυς, mártys, 'witness' stem μαρτυρ-, martyr-) is someone who suffers persecution and death for advocating, renouncing, or refusing to renounce or advocate, a religious belief or other cause as demanded by an external party. In colloquial usage, the term can also refer to any person who suffers a significant consequence in protest or support of a cause. " Edit: The dude died because of bad weather, it was a "welp stuff happens" death. Maybe one could say and "Act of God" if you're an insurance company weather tends to qualify.

@G-Cole-01 13 дней назад

well iran is a petrostate of course they'd go to war against the climate, they're already doing it

@videopostrrr 11 дней назад

i was talking with a Lloyds of London insurance underwriter once who described the game of insuring helicopters like this- 'there are those helicopters that have crashed, and those helicopters that are going to crash.'

@mohammadbahrampour3417 12 дней назад

I live in Iran, our national currancy loses value by any small inconvenience, but after this incident it didn't lose any value which tells me this dose not matter at all.

@peterhamburg7560 10 дней назад

تو دیگه چقدر احمقی که به دشمن خودت و ملت خودت اطلاعات میدی حتی اگر آنها این را از قبل بدونند.

@gregsmith141 8 дней назад

Are the people there saying it was an accident?

@randygunther4616 8 дней назад

You people should be fighting for freedom not fighting for terrorism

@randygunther4616 8 дней назад

Why are people mourning a terrorist

@randygunther4616 8 дней назад

We have our own scumbag President Joe Biden you people should be happy yours is gone fight for freedom

@Welgeldiguniekalias 13 дней назад

Our local Iranian community is literally dancing in the streets in celebration of Raisi's death, so I had already figured it must have some significance.

@IVWOR 13 дней назад

👍

@DK-ev9dg 13 дней назад

You're lying through your teeth

@roseruby9513 13 дней назад

Iraqi also celebrated after Sadam Died Now look where they are now.

@philly1559 13 дней назад

@@DK-ev9dg no he's not

@dashikashi4734 13 дней назад

@DK-ev9dg cry about it, basiji. He’s far from the last to burn, too.

@skipperson4077 13 дней назад

The Iranian government was quick to say it was not sabotage, even before the crash was located.

@annnee6818 13 дней назад

Lol

@Special_K_42069 13 дней назад

“Yeah no our pilots are just poorly trained and under equipped” 😂

@user-mj4zk3bo8v 13 дней назад

Not now they are spinning propaganda

@j.dunlop8295 13 дней назад

The Aytola Assholya's son apparently moves up in line for the presidency, because in Iranian democracy, that's how they roll!😅

@the0ne809 13 дней назад

the weird part is that some are blaming the US for not sending parts to fix their helicopters. I thought they were self sufficient. Maybe they should have bought helicopters from China or Russia.

@ericklamani4470 13 дней назад

Thankyou for updates

@user-rf8cq4bw2w 11 дней назад

You make very informational videos. Keep it up.

@The_Greedy_Orphan 13 дней назад

Suppose you could say the president was blinded by "the fog of war".

@sechran 13 дней назад

In this instance, it was just the fog of... fog. But it ultimately was a whole lot more than just "blinded" too...

@RUTHLESSambition5 13 дней назад

He wasn't the true leader. He didn't have a say so in the real running of the country. It's a ceremonial role in Iran. He can't make any decisions on his own

@j.dunlop8295 13 дней назад

The Aytola Assholya's son apparently moves up in line for the presidency, because in Iranian democracy, that's how they roll! 🚽💩🙉🙈🙊

@j.dunlop8295 13 дней назад

The Aytola Assholya's son apparently moves up in line for the presidency, because in Iranian democracy, that's how they roll! 👹👿👺 Demons gone!?

@campsitez2355 13 дней назад

every dictator knows their demise is soon to be, the only task for them is to steal as much money from the regime as possible and move to another country (dude is probably faking his own death, no way he could live this long and still believe that Islam is a legit religion). For a similar dictator example the president of Sri Lanka left with tons of money and lives a free man while Sri Lanka is completely broken and being bailed out by communists, which is the whole point of "green policy".

@Edax_Royeaux 13 дней назад

They say it's America fault they couldn't get spare parts for their American Helicopter carrying the President. Is there any reason they couldn't have gotten a Russian or Chinese helicopter for their dear leader?

@edwinhuang9244 13 дней назад

Most likely because Russia is now under sanctions, and China doesn't see supplying Iran with helicopter parts as worth the trouble that the West could bring if they find out.

@draggy6544 13 дней назад

Or u know wait the damn fog out.

@MinnesotaBeekeeper 13 дней назад

Not to many goats can fly chinese aircraft.

@mrdumbfellow927 13 дней назад

Yeah that was a pathetic statement from them. Like dude, you buy all kinds of Russian aircraft for your military!😂 Apparently they only had money for nuclear centrifuges, ballistic missiles, etc...... but not a simple civilian aircraft. Also, to my knowledge no helicopter is not going to be "mountain resistant".......

@Edax_Royeaux 13 дней назад

@@mrdumbfellow927 "Also, to my knowledge no helicopter is not going to be "mountain resistant"......." A functioning Helicopter Terrain Awareness and Warning Systems (HTAWS) or (EGPWS) Enhanced Ground Proximity Warning System has been known to help with that.

@zscout370 11 дней назад

The very well thought out video and I enjoy your points on this.

@rogerwilco2 13 дней назад

i would not call this "bad piloting". In many cases these accidents happen because of power dynamics, where the pilots are forced to fly in unsafe conditions by leaders, celebrities or billionaires. Remember the plane with Polish leaders, or the one with Russian generals and admirals, or Cobe Briant, and many more such examples where the pilots were forced to fly in unsafe weather just because those in change don't accept no for an answer.

@jpt3640 13 дней назад

Yeah, powerful people often believe they got the power to redefine physics.

@Wild_Danimal 13 дней назад

Very good point

@theinacircleoftheancientpu492 13 дней назад

I would make a pretty good bet that get-home-itis was the cause, as you say. Iran isn't exactly known for being tolerant of insubordination, shall we say.

@laughingotter1125 13 дней назад

@@jpt3640 The Titan sub implosion was another variety of this same hubris.

@user-bh7cz7jo5s 13 дней назад

For me its critical mind dicesion why thier so many factors derive for insact answer...may in the partof the facturer ...inthe weather condition is very foggy Or we sight the conplict both iran israel conplict thru gaza Many things insert in every political annaliatcomes But they only Things that the minded people around him wasso poor or neglicting they capacity in outcomes for that situation Can cause big problems which Can damage the important person of them Before or after must be in planned decision to what happen create b4 and after In this kind of proccesdure inpact the outcome result So that after the result they are not blamng they whole Areas to bepartin these tragidy

@j4yp3r 13 дней назад

A well-tuned and perfectly operating piece of machinery will never overcome human incompetence.

@ms.donaldson2533 10 дней назад

Yaah... they want to believe that the Key Bridge collapse was "Just an accident" too. I live in CHARM City = Accidentally on purpose is known to carry out plans for hidden agendas. The agenda is now longer hidden - they are creating a new UNI-verse from their New World and things must be eliminated for progress to happen. Accidents are usually investigated before they are determined to be accidental.

@hamidrezaee979 12 дней назад

tnx for your great analyses

@PSKYNETBeats 12 дней назад

Really great and detailed video. answered most of my questions.

@michaelogden5958 13 дней назад

So according to some dude, the US is responsible for the crash of a 25 year-old helicopter in foggy, mountainous terrain because replacement parts aren't readily available. Right.

@dgurevich1 13 дней назад

It was a 50 year old helicopter

@HONDAVFRV4 13 дней назад

I blame China and the pollution it pushes out causing Climate Change. The fog might not have been there if China wasn't pumping out so much green house gasses.

@shwanmirza9306 13 дней назад

There were 3 helicopters, so smth is odd

@darylgraham4313 13 дней назад

TBH, I think policy makers would gladly take credit, "fear our powerful sanctions!"

@wedgeantilles8575 13 дней назад

@@shwanmirza9306 Why is that odd? You often have several helicopters flying, so that nobody knows in which the VIP is in, making it harder to assasinate him. AFAIK the US do the same in case of crises and when the President is flown to Camp David e.g.

@Illusion517 13 дней назад

Blaming the United States for not selling replacement parts is the stupidest thinking I've ever heard. There were many ways he could've traveled, he and Iran chose the antiquated helicopter without replacement parts

@Arc_Viper 12 дней назад

That helicopter is old but it's very solid and reliable. The problem is that the pilot was being literally forced to fly through a mountainous area in deep fog because the president couldn't be bothered to wait

@technokicksyourass 12 дней назад

@@Arc_Viper Old reliable helicopters? Cumon man.. what do you think I am.. a dog faced pony soldier?

@AtamMardes 12 дней назад

Roast in peace. Reports say in 1988, Iran's then supreme leader, Ayatollah Khomeini, ordered the execution of up to 32.000 political prisoners; and the executions were carried out by Ebrahim Raisi and Hamid Nouri, who is in prison in Sweden after being convicted of the crime.

@augustzentner4861 12 дней назад

Furthermore the Iranians have been making copies replacements parts and secretly buying parts for the f14 for years. It’s hard to believe they couldn’t have gotten enough spare parts for one helicopter by sanction busting.

@AtamMardes 11 дней назад

He was a murderer. Reports say in 1988, Iran's then supreme leader, Ayatollah Khomeini, ordered the execution of up to 32.000 political prisoners; and the executions were carried out by Ebrahim Raisi and Hamid Nouri, who is in prison in Sweden after being convicted of the crime.

@viktorluvbikskog9389 9 дней назад

Last I checked, Iran boasted about not needing western support, coming to find they still used our equipment even with how old it is. Weak attempt to blame the US.

@SS369 11 дней назад

Amazing breakdown, thanks!

@hazardousmaterial5492 13 дней назад

Nobody is willing to dig enough to uncover the real truth - the crash was caused by a certain youtuber who wanted to create more content for the channel

@DaghfalTheFool 13 дней назад

Screw you take my like

@Mankorra_Gomorrah 13 дней назад

RU-vidrs went from crashing their own airplanes to crashing other people’s helicopters, truly evolving.

@Afton_Robotics_1987 12 дней назад

Fun Fact: 9/11 was done by a group of RU-vidrs

@JohnGunn- 12 дней назад

"You know what doesnt need to fly over dangerous mountains with heavy fog? My book"

@AA-jg7xm 11 дней назад

😂

@user-mi7hk2ns9c 13 дней назад

president visiting a hydroelectric dam and dies from helicopter crash? that's some fallout newvegas plot right there

@Mortarion-xt9wp 12 дней назад

Great catch

@colamola 11 дней назад

THATS WHAT IM SAYING

@mechwarrior13 11 дней назад

2077 is coming

@DARLINGTON-dn6ex 11 дней назад

@@mechwarrior13and nothing will happen

@gejyspa 12 дней назад

Amazingly quick turnaround for this informative video! Thanks, William!

@unkledanbot 12 дней назад

Thank you for making the video I wanted to see. Also, I like your lines on your map

@kinderjooy697 11 дней назад

This channel is a gem

@joshuawilson8804 13 дней назад

It also undercuts the religious authority of Iran. There's the awkward and uncomfortable question of why such an important figure died from an act of god.

@jpt3640 13 дней назад

Because actually God does play dice 😂

@Nickname-ef9tv 13 дней назад

For a theocratic regime there is hardly anything easier to spin than the message sent by a higher power.

@dogsbecute 13 дней назад

any religious zealouts will just accept the fact that he was probably corrupt and clearly did something wrong in their gods eyes, otherwise he wouldnt have met such a fate.

@wastedapples1 13 дней назад

Watched the Iranian authorities and SAR yesterday running around like headless chickens claiming they're near the crash site when they have absolutely no idea where to go in the thick fog. They were so desperate to delay the inevitable that old photos and videos of Raisi were circulated by their bot farms claiming he's not dead. Kinda wished Turkey delayed sending out the drone for at least a day so that everyone gets to see more theocratic incompetence on display.

@cenazivota5840 13 дней назад

Because that important figure was just a liar, imposter and a mass murderer, who never achieved the ranking of ayatollah and yet pretended to be one to be capable of being elected next supreme leader. And who murdered tens of thousands people in defiance of the Islamic law and was called for this crime by the great ayatollah Montazeri. I am from the west and I cannot say I would want to live in an Islamic country lead by someone like mentioned Montazeri. But I respect different cultures and social norms/preferences of people. Leadership of someone like Raise is nothing cultural/social, it is just a pure evil rightfully denounced by real religious figures. And if Allah, paradise and hell really exist, Raisi must have reserved the worst place available in hell.

@Elongated_Muskrat 13 дней назад

The “Fog of Peace” can be pretty dangerous too I suppose.

@larsrons7937 12 дней назад

So can opening a new dam. He ended up "damned".

@aaronleverton4221 12 дней назад

Last time I was in a white out it was incredibly peaceful and when the sky cleared I was on the opposite side of the mountain to where I thought I was.

@AirPods-eu8xm 11 дней назад

😂😂

@just_hexxy 11 дней назад

great informative vid!

@mrj6 11 дней назад

This guy always makes a middle of the road analysis. Fair, but puts no stake in the ground.

@atitk 13 дней назад

Was waiting for your analysis on this. You are one of the most sane geopolitics analysts on RU-vid.

@patrickquigley5422 13 дней назад

Can’t stand his nerdy voice though can’t lie .. almost didn’t click

@jakealcock5905 13 дней назад

@@patrickquigley5422 no need 😂

@adamelghalmi9771 13 дней назад

@@jakealcock5905 it really is nerdy though, i love his content but his voice...

@MarciadaSilva-tg1sv 13 дней назад

For sure you are more in the ignorant side of the road after learning deliberate ignorant biased opinion

@goldylocker 13 дней назад

@@patrickquigley5422 I like his voice! It's clear pleasant and do not rush. I actually prefer people speaking with their own voice, in the videos, rather than switching to a machine.

@DjDolHaus86 13 дней назад

When I heard the news earlier my immediate thought was "Oh... this is going to complicate things at a time when things were already complicated enough"

@Nickname-ef9tv 13 дней назад

It's the Middle East, things are always complicated enough there.

@miadbagherzadegan7990 13 дней назад

I don’t care really I hope the election come soon last time was the lowest number of ppl for election in our history and this Time well...let’s say we lost over many in protests and we are the most depressed country I guess and our far capital states don’t have clean water...yeah this time everything is over and I’m just tired at this point

@Gubble-oq6dn 12 дней назад

@@Nickname-ef9tvif it gets too complicated we’re all going to get drawn in.

@brey6394 10 дней назад

Great information. Thank you!

@exp-eri-mental 11 дней назад

You just gained a subscriber sir. Very well explained and summarised in a clear and understandable way.

@jimwyatt9894 13 дней назад

“Thank you for flying Iranian Airlines!”

@smoketinytom 13 дней назад

Man's pilot "Eli Kopter" flew into the side of a mountain. TBF, I wouldn't drive at 70 on a motorway in that weather.

@olenickel6013 12 дней назад

A Hamas channel reblogged that joke, thinking it was a serious admission of guilt by Israel. This is the world we live in now.

@TheDigitalApple 11 дней назад

@@olenickel6013Hamas isn’t the sharpest knife in the crayon box, you surprised they fell for an obvious joke?

@marlenfras5490 10 дней назад

Good reporting. Thank you. Strong democracy.

@toantran1 12 дней назад

Excellent video... The RU-vidr gives RU-vides a panorama 4D view of Iran Helo crash!!!

@maddantt7757 13 дней назад

Just silly that we have to entertain every single internet conspiracy theory. Helicopter + Fog = Risk. It's that simple.

@Hasheminia304 13 дней назад

Also add terrain. Helicopter + Fog + Terrain= Risk

@JZTechEngineering 13 дней назад

@@Hasheminia304or just helicopter+terrain=risk

@Hasheminia304 13 дней назад

@@JZTechEngineering yeah, but it’s easier to see and anticipate terrain in visual flight rules rather than instrument flight rules or even low instrument flight rules. LIFR is worse than IFR

@CrazyGaming-ig6qq 13 дней назад

@@JZTechEngineering or helicopter, fog, weather, terrain, some old men with beards=risk

@ZiggyNakamichi 13 дней назад

Maybe, the fog lamps malfunctioned, or the bulbs went out!

@dontcomply3976 13 дней назад

Oh no, I hope the mountain was okay

@dgurevich1 13 дней назад

As the old Arab saying goes "the mountain came to mohammed"

@user-xi9qj1in5m 13 дней назад

@@dgurevich1😂 most issues are because of Muhammad 😂

@user-ci7vu7eo9w 13 дней назад

😂

@larsrons7937 12 дней назад

@@dgurevich1 It appears that the mountain didn't wanna come to Raisi, he had to come to the mountain.

@lovernatz 11 дней назад

LOL

@philosophyofiron9686 10 дней назад

Such a breath of fresh air to see a vid that addresses and complicates an opinion that a somewhat informed, thinking person might have! So much content is some kind of deep dive exhaustively explaining why some completely asinine idea with faulty logic and factual inaccuracies just might not be true, it turns out lol

@nobodyexceptme7794 12 дней назад

Nice perspective

@ShaneMcGrath. 13 дней назад

I can barely drive my car at 40km/h in heavy fog, Imagine flying at 190km/h helicopter cruising speed in heavy fog.

@latetotheparty184 9 дней назад

By the report I saw, the fog was localized along the ground ( as it typically does) and the clouds were few.The conditions that make fog do not also create lots of clouds, so relatively clear skies often take place with fog also present. The 3 helicopters traveling together (the government entourage) flew around the clouds and over the fog as was common behavior for that. It is still not clear why they crashed, they say. The other pilots report that they did not see the final moments of the crash and after landing safely went back to look for it. Who to believe, right? IMO , we will never really know why it crashed.

@ZhovtoBlakytniy 13 дней назад

What if it went down like this (pun intended) Pilot- "The weather is bad, can't fly!" The former president-"do it or I will have you executed!" Pilot "I guess I have no choice!" Former president"God will protect us!"

@mateuszzimon8216 12 дней назад

Wait I heard this before.... Land oh he gonna be mad ...

@lastbruh62 11 дней назад

The number of people that "committed suicide " after talking about what the US have done is waaayyyyyy more than the number of Iranians that got executed , that's an American stereotype , Iran's stereotype is working with the US and cursing them and thinking that we actually believe that they have beef 😂

@misfortuneteller24 10 дней назад

Yea i can see some dumbass religious zealot saying that.

@henrimichelpierreplana4332 12 дней назад

Thanks for the video. Do you think you ll make a video about the arrest mandate from the icj for BB?

@johnkisakye3433 11 дней назад

i like your analysis

@sofakingjewish 13 дней назад

There once was a man named Raisi, Whose actions were often quite dicey. He boarded a copter, In weather improper, And soon he was gone, quite precisely. #iran #byebye #EbrahimRaisi #Gone #HappyTime

@Akirashiro407 12 дней назад

😂

@Petooize 12 дней назад

Just another brain washed westerner lol.

@mazscsu 11 дней назад

Says a man who never even gave this person thought but is now all of a sudden so invested in his death. People in the west need a life. They have no entertainment so they convince themselves they’re now experts in politics.

@sebastianthomsen2225 11 дней назад

👏👏👏👍

@god563616 11 дней назад

wow lol not sure if it is satire or not.

@droman608 13 дней назад

“We trade one villain for another.” -The Arbiter

@randycool81 12 дней назад

Dropped a like before the video loaded

@AffectionateGreyElephant-yo3hj 12 дней назад

Thank you for taking the time to speak on this matter

@husssssssssss 13 дней назад

interestingly enough the FM was also on the helicopter, perhaps they didn’t learn from the whole Wagner fiasco

@johnzarr6590 13 дней назад

I’ve lived in Teheran from 1972 to 1978. I know that if you helicopter crash in the mountains North of Teheran you would not survive overnight as there are lions and tigers in the mountains as well as typical 30 degree nighttime mountain temperatures. Additionally, the mountains are an exceptionally difficult terrain to survive in. Many people have driven cars right off the road & have plummeted 1,000 to 2,000 feet to their death. Their death is no less than the hand of God.

@LittleDoggies-wu1tf 12 дней назад

Change the other one bites the dust

@johnzarr6590 12 дней назад

@@LittleDoggies-wu1tf You must be referring to the “Queen” song written by John Deacon! I agree. The song is very relevant! Good call.

@BestPrezz 11 дней назад

Lions and tigers?

@johnzarr6590 11 дней назад

@@BestPrezz Foxes too.

@BestPrezz 11 дней назад

@@johnzarr6590 dragons too?

@PeanutsDadForever 12 дней назад

Thank you for another excellent video!

@foreveryoung999 11 дней назад

He thought God was on his side. Invincible.

@scottworley-kf2hf 9 дней назад

This man didn't know God

@rickhicks2445 13 дней назад

I find it strange that countries that can attempt to build an atomic bomb still fly 50 year old Western made helicopters?

@TheOwlGilga 12 дней назад

Atom bombs are almost a century old technology now, helicopters are not. Even more of a case if you consider atomic bombs came so late because relativity came so late, helicopters are classical physics so their complexity is even beyond that. The hardest thing about the atomic bomb is the centrifuges needed to enrich the payload, and the explosive purity in the detenator

@rickhicks2445 12 дней назад

@@TheOwlGilga So spending the money on newer helicopters (and all other infrastructure) would surely be more important than trying to create bigger bombs!

@TheRealEtaoinShrdlu 12 дней назад

You clearly don't understand economics...

@KyleTremblayTitularKtrey 12 дней назад

@@rickhicks2445 sigh. And then a new helicopter will crash 🤷‍♂️ ya'll are muppets if you think Iran is dropping helicopters because of nukes or that those are even slightly related to each other

@rickhicks2445 12 дней назад

@@KyleTremblayTitularKtrey Ah you goober, my point is although I doubt you have the intelligence to understand this, why spend money on new nukes and have your top politicians flying around in 50 year old choppers! Sheesh!

@actionhirvimoose4294 13 дней назад

You made this quicker than a political scientist can draw a line on a map.

@alpersukrugencer1725 13 дней назад

Spaniel is a political scientist at Pitts, lol

@hazb8026 12 дней назад

@@alpersukrugencer1725that was the joke.

@bxdda 11 дней назад

Great video. Thank you for making this stuff.

@saber0089 12 дней назад

“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. And what I mean by that is an opportunity to do things that you think you could not do before.” -Rahm Emanuel

@daniegrove5658 13 дней назад

Let the Iranian people get 🙏a government for the people of Iran 🇮🇷 ...please God ..no dictators ..

@rockingredpoppy9119 13 дней назад

Too late the Supreme Leader the Ayatollah appointed the new acting President. Iran isn't really lead by the President, its lead by the Ayatollah.

@alinurmiah6038 13 дней назад

Definitely not a western puppet

@jbertucci 13 дней назад

You could be luckier wishing (and demanding) real democracy at home. Just sayin'

@kompatybilijny9348 13 дней назад

@@alinurmiah6038 I just absolutely adore your logic. If someone is not a dicator, then he MUST be a western puppet, no matter how stupid that claim might be.

@icin4d 13 дней назад

"please God ..no dictators" Their leader, the ayatollah, is already a man of God. Cheers.

@JohnGunn- 13 дней назад

You're legendary my guy. I was hoping you were going to cover this. I didn't have to wait long at all. Impeccable

@zimti7390 11 дней назад

It was really mean from the CIA and Mossad to sneak into Iran's mountains and place the fog there without saying hello first

@samuela-aegisdottir 11 дней назад

It was even meaner to sneak in the Iran's territory and place a mountain there.

@europaeuropa3673 12 дней назад

Flew in a helicopter through fog around mountains and glaciers in Skagway, Alaska. We landed on a glacier that was not level with respect to the direction of gravity. It was an awesome experience and quit an experience. The pilot did an amazing job.

@SuperMagnum2011 13 дней назад

William You get my devoted attention every post. Very interesting. thank you. How was this post produced so quickly.

@MedicalMyke 13 дней назад

It must have been a safe aircraft, it was certified by the same mechanic who used to work for Yevgeny Prigozhin.

@breakdown3317 12 дней назад

Im still astonished at just how quickly you managed to release a video this long about this

@perarduaadastra873 12 дней назад

Prayers. Such caring people. Their kindness and empathy. 🙏

@dewiz9596 13 дней назад

Ummmm. . . There is NO EMBARGO on bad pilot decision making. . . especially when the “GUY IN THE BACK” has a severe case of “get there itis”. Not the first time, nor will it be the last time. ..

@nicolaasstempels8207 13 дней назад

A helicopter flying in dense mist through a remote mountain range....what could possibly go wrong?

@samuela-aegisdottir 11 дней назад

Hint: it was Mosad :-)

@Revolver1701 12 дней назад

In an old helicopter flying in heavy fog and clouds and mountainous terrain, fly really fast.

@UncleJoeLITE 12 дней назад

Thank-you, sometimes random [seeming] things can have strange outcomes.

@tommyhuffman7499 13 дней назад

Ooh. Excited to hear your thoughts.

@palindrome. 13 дней назад

While "died in an aviation accident" has historically been code for "covert assassination", my hunch is that it's unlikely in this case, *because* of the weather. The logic/assumptions are as follows: 1. If it was an assassination carried out by anyone *other* than someone within the Iranian government, the fact that the weather *just happened* to be perfect for an accident is extraordinarily lucky. 2. The only way for "the right weather for an assassination" to happen by anything other than chance is A) if he was sent to a place with bad weather on purpose (this is impossible because the visit was scheduled long in advance), or B) if whatever device caused the "accident" was on every helicopter the President got on. Since the odds of such a plot being found by security during routine checks are extremely high and the consequences for getting caught would be dire, this would only be realistically possible if carried out by someone within the Iranian government. 3. If you're the Ayatollah, given how many political challenges Iran is dealing with these days, if you're gonna assassinate your President, you'd be an idiot to choose something that looks accidental. You would pick a gunman, bomber, or drone, so that you could capitalize on the subsequent rally-round-the-flag effect. So, yeah, if it can't be anyone *other* than the Iranian government, and since it would be very weird for the Iranian government to choose this method, the balance of probabilities lies on "genuine accident", as weird as that seems.

@Shinzon23 13 дней назад

I don't know but I have a feeling a lot of people are cheering his death

@DreadWaaaghGaming 13 дней назад

Much better coverage than mainstream media

@erf3176 13 дней назад

When the flight recorder shows up, we'll find out that the pilot knew they were in deep trouble when lines started showing up on his map

@Nitroat-xo4tj 13 дней назад

sanctions stole it.. USA and Israel is to blame, of course. of course.. he is a true martyr.. Israelis sent the fog. And crappy old helis are safe, without sanctions. They can build rockets and thousands of shahed +other drones. but hey,.. lets blame the enemy, of course..

@Hasheminia304 13 дней назад

If it ever does. I'd imagine the Iranian government wants to cover that up

@ritchcarcass8624 9 дней назад

This is a very moderate and well informed video with great commentary. I am very impressed with your neutral perspective on the issue.

@ColdNavigator 13 дней назад

You know, in some convoluted sense, sanctions against Iran were indeed effective, if the helicopter crashed due to an inability to repair an old Western model. EDIT: I just got to the part of the video which makes this exact point.

@nicklibby3784 13 дней назад

Couldn't they have just bought some Chinese 🇨🇳 🚁 helicopters or Russian 🇷🇺🚁 helicopters. I thought itan had strong ties to China and Russia. And that Russia & China could handle their own econmies without the western tech.

@ColdNavigator 13 дней назад

@@nicklibby3784 I don't know what their logic is. Perhaps it's as simple as some government officials were too lazy to replace it because it's "just" a helicopter. Sometimes in history, stupid things happen for stupid reasons. It's not always great people with carefully crafted plans.

@mateuszzimon8216 12 дней назад

@@ColdNavigator If they make decisions like my government (Poland) that make sense we started talking about buying new planes for officials in 1990. procurement and political will they charter commercial liner or Boeing 737-800... We still use sometimes helicopters from Mi

@foreveryoung999 11 дней назад

Interesting and positive perspective

@GSXK4 13 дней назад

I feel sad. For such a beautiful American helicopter.

@ahouranouri516 13 дней назад

What about the poor trees? They were innocent 😔

@-.Springtrap.- 8 дней назад

What about the Grass though? I love touching Grass and now it’s gone.

@eli-la-ceti4318 9 дней назад

you have a great doco voice

@COZMICTOM 11 дней назад

FROM THE RIVER TO THE SEA MAKE IT QURAN FREE.......من النهر إلى البحر اجعله مجانيا للقرآن

@Tommy9834 13 дней назад

My condolences to the mountain the helicopter crashed into. I wish for a speedy recovery.

@TSEEMOD_618 13 дней назад

The whole weird point I would like to add is that I did pass that border between Iran and Armenia at 2:16 by bus from Tabriz 2 years ago. The border is so weird, in the middle of the night you basically have these led showing both countries flags. Not to mention how many checkpoints are visible - during the night - on the other side of river Aras from Nakhchivan part before arriving in Norduz/Nordooz. When I heard where the accident happened I remembered that Tabriz-Norduz-Yerevan bus trip immediately LOL

@draggy6544 13 дней назад

They also happen to be some serious mountains. I am willing to bet the pilot was wanting to wait out the fog

@dorkusmaximus3033 12 дней назад

Thanks!

@Gametheory101 12 дней назад

Thank you so much! Very generous.

@larsrons7937 12 дней назад

Beautiful recognition. Respect.

@vinijr_best5925 12 дней назад

This individual is accused of grave crimes, reportedly responsible for the tragic loss of over 10,000 young lives in Iran. Some may interpret these events as divine retribution for the harm inflicted upon these children.

@richardtabor8686 13 дней назад

as always, ty for the analysis. Be well.

@asan1050 13 дней назад

William Spaniel Thanks for posting this video

@niquil7800 11 дней назад

Thanks for this

@johndoh5182 12 дней назад

Silly people everyone knows there's a kill switch in helicopters.

@keegandecker4080 13 дней назад

Saw a post on twitter that was like “this is great because the bears are just coming out of hibernation. They’ll be hungry *and* horny.”

@TiocfaidhArLa34 13 дней назад

Well they found the body so he clearly wasn't eaten.

@gregkelly2145 13 дней назад

It is an interesting choice to fly that Bell helicopter. Surely Iran would have access to Russian and Chinese models? Maybe those options are just so bad that an old US model was preferrable?

@Nickname-ef9tv 13 дней назад

It would be a very obvious breach of sanctions which even China and until recently Russia would be wary to make.

@moodmeditation4458 13 дней назад

Someone from inside was doing work for Israel.

@RakibHasan-ee2cd 13 дней назад

Not really. US jammers might work agaisnt china and russia,but not its own technology. WHat do you mean? Russia produces the msot advanced helis in the world,including the only ejection seat capable heli Khamov-50,which rpoved its usefullness in ukraine. The reasons are logical. Old heli-> jamming wont work, also old analogues equipments are preferable compared to modern systems which can be hacked. Their army uses better helicopters,it was a strategic decision making. Also it wasnt the heli that had the problem,it was the thick mountain fog. Remember kobe bryant death?

@MegrelMamba 12 дней назад

@@moodmeditation4458 Yes, a mossad agent named Eli Kopter 😂😂

@scipion34 12 дней назад

@@MegrelMamba Eli Kopter's companion is known as Farah Kopter as well.

@AlanTheBeast100 12 дней назад

The Bell-212 was also produced in Italy by Agusta (name at the time) under licence.

@teresitaekim2565 12 дней назад

At least the Iranians will enjoy a little peace for a few days without the guy that's giving them nightmares.

@lmstacticalbackup2703 13 дней назад

It was that huge CIA fog machine

@samuela-aegisdottir 11 дней назад

And Israel placed the mountaint right in the way of the helicopter.

@matthewporter3117 13 дней назад

Great analysis

@phil20_20 13 дней назад

The Ayatolah is pretty old. Raisi was handling the administration duties. Foul Weather was definitely involved.

@zaviddemon8975 10 дней назад

foul? no, helpful, BY ALL MEANS. it's BERSHArFT! PREDICTABLE/GOD SENT

@ThatOpalGuy 12 дней назад

great synopsis

@fraumahler5934 13 дней назад

A speedy, topical excellent analysis. No one is discussing this perspective.

@jamiefurnell85 13 дней назад

Great video!

@ElTIBURON826 12 дней назад

the president dying is actually a more precarious situation for iran then the ajatollah dying, because he is already old and will die soon and the president was optioned as sucsessor

@rezahassani1800 10 дней назад

he knew that it was a heavy fog but he said he has to go on this trip for his people.

@rustyshell2 13 дней назад

Quick as always!

@Grand-Rose 13 дней назад

Oh wow so fast, how did you make the video so quickly?

@robertsaget6918 13 дней назад

indonesian animators. You can pay them $3 each for a whole production.

@jmcw9632 13 дней назад

This is William Spaniel

@danielschwegler5220 13 дней назад

@@robertsaget6918no

@gandeldalf 13 дней назад

I remember William Spaniel answering that somewhere, I think it was inside a comment or a community post He said that he writes and animates it at the same time if I remember correctly