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Why are earthquakes so hard to predict? - Jean-Baptiste P. Koehl 

TED-Ed
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Take a look at the theories behind why earthquakes occur, what makes them so hard to predict and the warning system technologies we rely on today.
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In 132 CE, Zhang Heng presented his latest invention: a large vase he claimed could tell them whenever an earthquake occurred for hundreds of miles. Today, we no longer rely on pots as warning systems, but earthquakes still offer challenges to those trying to track them. Why are earthquakes so hard to anticipate, and how could we get better at predicting them? Jean-Baptiste P. Koehl investigates.
Lesson by Jean-Baptiste P. Koehl, directed by Cabong Studios.
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7 апр 2019

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Комментарии : 571   
@FelisBX7
@FelisBX7 5 лет назад
Everybody gangsta till the ball falls out of the dragon's mouth and into the frog's
@redflame300
@redflame300 4 года назад
😂😂👌
@3rdassassin50
@3rdassassin50 4 года назад
*_run_*
@kyles.7750
@kyles.7750 5 лет назад
I like how we can look into stars millions of light years away then manage to identify their size and composition. Yet we can't even look inside our very own planet. Science is hard mannn
@aohbmaeid
@aohbmaeid 5 лет назад
Some knowledge is elusive, which means only the persistent remains to find it. ;)
@sourabhs14
@sourabhs14 5 лет назад
Because it is easy to build a powerful telescope than to dig a hole inside earth. Infact I'd say, celestial bodies are studied to understand the structure and composition of our earth.
@Raziffalyan
@Raziffalyan 5 лет назад
No, I'd say that everytime we find something, we ended up opening a whole new page of unknown things. Like cell, like atoms, etc we thought we already discovered to its very core until we don't. I don't even know how to say what I want to say in english, haha.
@ruthruthie2931
@ruthruthie2931 5 лет назад
It’s not you’ve been lied to, ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-IAiHG8WkUWU.html
@dinubasrikumariduraivan6208
@dinubasrikumariduraivan6208 5 лет назад
Kairu Sky or our deep oceans
@zuko1569
@zuko1569 5 лет назад
2:11 _The four nations lived together in harmony. But then everything changed when earthquake attacked_
@ernestbr9786
@ernestbr9786 5 лет назад
It looks like Avatar opening scene
@lemetamax
@lemetamax 5 лет назад
Zuzu That's clever.
@abhiramrajeevan
@abhiramrajeevan 5 лет назад
Avatar is love.
@guillerhonora717
@guillerhonora717 5 лет назад
_A 100 years past, my brother and I discovered a new Avatar_
@jugemujugemugokonosurikire4735
Zuzu wht did you change your profile to hataraku saibouu
@littlecardboard825
@littlecardboard825 Год назад
RIP my dear Turkey's brothers and Sisters, condolences from the US...🙏🙏🙏
@gerzo9118
@gerzo9118 Год назад
Thanks a lot ..
@btsarmyisgaeyyyy1062
@btsarmyisgaeyyyy1062 Год назад
Lmao
@mais5131
@mais5131 Год назад
+ Syrians lol
@likearmadillo
@likearmadillo Год назад
Thanks a lot...
@BlueBloxRoblox
@BlueBloxRoblox Год назад
I can feel your pain! Someday you will meet them again!
@juno9023
@juno9023 5 лет назад
that one rock liked the friction a little too much 😂
@Madhattersinjeans
@Madhattersinjeans 5 лет назад
It probably got a bit harder.
@fatphobicandproud9003
@fatphobicandproud9003 5 лет назад
😏😏😏
@robertimmanuel577
@robertimmanuel577 3 года назад
( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
@jmtejada8290
@jmtejada8290 3 года назад
Timestamp?
@ishworshrestha3559
@ishworshrestha3559 3 года назад
Ok
@ciervo42
@ciervo42 5 лет назад
The Animation and Sound Design are delightful
@ruei-jiunhung2887
@ruei-jiunhung2887 3 года назад
As a researcher, I wanna put a clarification about the difference between earthquake 'warning' and 'prediction'. In seismology, we have a rigorous definition on 'earthquake prediction', which requires accurate location, magnitude and timing for a future earthquake, and it is thought somehow impossible to achieve now. earthquake warning, which is based on the early detection of seismic wave (so earthquake has occurred), sends out messages to the public. It's not a prediction.
@electricimpulsetoprogramming
thanks
@barisgurbuzmbgy419
@barisgurbuzmbgy419 Год назад
can you tell when the istanbul earthquake will happen
@electricimpulsetoprogramming
@@barisgurbuzmbgy419 no dude, come on
@Inkyminkyzizwoz
@Inkyminkyzizwoz Год назад
@@barisgurbuzmbgy419 No - no one can, that's the point!
@NguyenMinh-qj5nj
@NguyenMinh-qj5nj 5 лет назад
Wow, what an earth-shattering lesson😃
@aliabbaswadia3974
@aliabbaswadia3974 Год назад
Thankyou.
@phoenixflamegames1
@phoenixflamegames1 5 лет назад
I recommend this channel to all my friends, so much interesting knowledge that I probably would have missed otherwise! I am very grateful Ted-ed! Thank you for educating us all!
@abhisheksuvarna
@abhisheksuvarna 5 лет назад
The animation is so freaking cool
@moudura2448
@moudura2448 2 года назад
It keeps varying
@aliabbaswadia3974
@aliabbaswadia3974 Год назад
@abhisheksuvarna: That's kind of you.
@samandarabdullaev1807
@samandarabdullaev1807 Год назад
Found this video after 7.8 earthquake in turkey 🇹🇷 pray for turkey 🙏the world needs scientist to predict coming earthquakes 💪
@varoonnone7159
@varoonnone7159 Год назад
Unfortunately, in Turkey, they are more interested in religion than in science
@lilishipper174
@lilishipper174 Год назад
Yes brother
@elizabethdalloway
@elizabethdalloway 5 лет назад
Living in an earthquake prone country, in one of the cities where it's felt the strongest, I am amazed at all this information and I hope that an alarm system is soon developed that gives us more than 3 minutes warning. Great video, thanks for sharing!
@user-yz8wn3of7o
@user-yz8wn3of7o 5 лет назад
*I learned more about Earthquakes in this video than I have in school*
@PDJJJJJ
@PDJJJJJ 5 лет назад
The sound of the occurrence of earthquake in this video is too realistic. Couldn't watch it without have chills down my spine. Reminded me of the catastrophic event I experienced back in 2015 in Nepal.
@anthonyglover3773
@anthonyglover3773 2 года назад
Thank you Ted-Ed you make the best videos and have very very great lessons I love your videos
@firdahidayatullah4208
@firdahidayatullah4208 5 лет назад
"The earth is round" "No, the earth is flat" Ted-ed : "no the earth is oval" 00:54
@aayushnambiar1870
@aayushnambiar1870 3 года назад
It's a Robinson map dumbo 😑
@Legitgaming838
@Legitgaming838 3 года назад
@@aayushnambiar1870 do you know what a joke is?
@dark-josie5069
@dark-josie5069 3 года назад
@@aayushnambiar1870 it’s a joke, have you ever heard a joke before 😑
@tjbeniga7438
@tjbeniga7438 5 лет назад
Imagine pooping and then you're notified by your phone that an earthquake will happen in 5 secs. 😂
@redflame300
@redflame300 4 года назад
That would be enough to make me fill the toilet.
@dieldestort
@dieldestort 4 года назад
That already happened to me
@bilalkontakt9330
@bilalkontakt9330 4 года назад
@@dieldestort Did you use an app or something to detect it?
@gustavocousino8183
@gustavocousino8183 4 года назад
IT HAPPENED TO ME, and it happened me again when i was taking a bath xd but everything ok
@typicalgacha1615
@typicalgacha1615 3 года назад
Early Earthquake warning
@LibaneseGurl
@LibaneseGurl Год назад
Here after Turkey's and Syrian earthquake, RIP 🤲🏻
@Knowledgeduniya1432
@Knowledgeduniya1432 4 года назад
Wow the animations are good with the great explainations I love it
@frozenyogurt6727
@frozenyogurt6727 5 лет назад
About the vase... I am Chinese and I am proud of my culture and history. But the thing is many Chinese scholars are skeptical about the existence of this vase right now. The picture of the vase you see in the video is a recreation of the original model that people put together based on ancient articles without sufficient details. They tried several recreations and just failed to predict earthquake as the antient articles claimed. It could be that the emperor at that time didn't want to expose enough details in case the technology falls into enemy's hand, or it could just be a story created to make his kingdom sound more powerful. Well, it's all history now and we cannot really know which one is true. But a lot of Chinese scholars are recognizing this fact and proposing to change the textbooks about this vase until solid evidence says otherwise.
@Snapmare_
@Snapmare_ 5 лет назад
You have me *_quaking_* in my boots
@theluckygamer10
@theluckygamer10 5 лет назад
That pun sure as heck doesn't ROCK
@supertrain1236
@supertrain1236 5 лет назад
This joke make me *shook.*
@redflame300
@redflame300 4 года назад
We all Gucci till we feel the thunda from down unda!
@chrono-glitchwaterlily8776
@chrono-glitchwaterlily8776 4 года назад
My stomach dropped and I felt molten metal in my heart
@aliabbaswadia3974
@aliabbaswadia3974 Год назад
@Snapmare_: Thankyou.
@3452te
@3452te 5 лет назад
Another awesome video. :) Also i wonder if other planets have quakes. Like does Mars have quakes.
@BenTheSkipper
@BenTheSkipper 5 лет назад
Good question
@3452te
@3452te 5 лет назад
@Heinrich Conradie that i know. But what about Venus, The moons of jupiter of even those from other galaxies?
@3452te
@3452te 5 лет назад
@Heinrich Conradie then it's best to study and investigate this by sending drones over there. And there are a few moons in jupiter for good example fit that description.
@romips9839
@romips9839 5 лет назад
Does it called marsquake???
@naltlan7651
@naltlan7651 5 лет назад
Only in planets whit a molten core and they must be solid(not gaseous)
@mitwhitgaming7722
@mitwhitgaming7722 5 лет назад
4:04 Uh... that's North Korea you're building your hypothetical network through...
@NottMacRuairi
@NottMacRuairi 5 лет назад
should have no problem detecting radioactive gases there
@moudura2448
@moudura2448 2 года назад
Definetly, no problem
@etwinsv.i.p2359
@etwinsv.i.p2359 5 лет назад
The background music is super splendid!!! 😍
@migol1119
@migol1119 5 лет назад
I love you Ted Ed thank you for inspiring me to learn new more knowledge Keep it up
@samanthamejares7838
@samanthamejares7838 2 года назад
I could see the precaution sign right on the country where I live in. Actually it did 10 minutes ago. It was like 3. Something. In Bohol the last time was when 2013, and it was 7.2. now there's been couples of earthquakes around the province. Stay safe everyone!!
@mariapaz6379
@mariapaz6379 5 лет назад
Greetings from the trembling lands of chile my friends, have a nice day!
@anuragtimilsina2834
@anuragtimilsina2834 5 лет назад
yeah, from Nepal too.
@youtuber2021
@youtuber2021 Год назад
It's interesting that there's a fault around Ireland and UK. Yet, it's very rare to have a devastating Earthquake like the one that has occured recently in Turkey and Syria. R.I.P. to the thousands of lives lost in that tragedy.
@alexilaiho1st
@alexilaiho1st 8 месяцев назад
Careful what you wish for
@evelynalipao8135
@evelynalipao8135 3 года назад
I absoloutely love Ted-ed cause they specify things
@rockydepena9999
@rockydepena9999 5 лет назад
Love the animation!
@nelsonmalunga4612
@nelsonmalunga4612 2 года назад
I love the teaching keep it up 😀
@mjstory1976
@mjstory1976 5 лет назад
Awesome and informative video
@victorjensen2030
@victorjensen2030 5 лет назад
is there an app we could get a link to for sharing seismic distrurbance?
@fatphobicandproud9003
@fatphobicandproud9003 5 лет назад
Earthquakes are often common here now in the Philippines. Seriously, a 6.1(I think) magnitude just hit the province of Pampanga in the island of Luzon not so long ago.
@redskies2195
@redskies2195 4 года назад
Para maging updated sa mga darating na lindol sa Pilipinas,.try visit Facebook page 'Forecasting Earthquakes and the Events - through patterned observations'..dito lang sa 'pinas mayroon ng ganyang forecasting..walang gamit na instruments,.mga senyales lang ang dapat bantayan,.yung ulap (earthquake clouds) at pula ng langit ang dapat i consider sa obserbasyon..katulad ng mga photos na makikita doon.
@nicolemabanag
@nicolemabanag 4 года назад
Update! There had been 6.7 magnitude quake in Davao City last Oct. 16. We've been having a LOT of aftershocks since then.. The number keeps getting higher and higher...
@InvectivePleasure
@InvectivePleasure 5 лет назад
I downloaded it bc we have very occasionally felt earthquakes in OKC, and if it helps, I'm all for it
@FMFF_
@FMFF_ 5 лет назад
I wonder what cities, countries, would adopt a new unproven warning system that would require all citizens to evacuate the danger zones? I heard about a city somewhere that got a warning about a potential earthquake. It didnt happen (or it did but was small) and cost the city millions from relocating citizens and stopping tourists from visiting. Or Would the testing be done first without alerting cities about the potential problem? I wonder what % of accuracy would be required for cities to accept the system? Especially cities like San Fran, LA, and others with high daily GP.
@aghoyeraghimi3648
@aghoyeraghimi3648 Год назад
God give strength to my brothers and sister in Turkey and Syria!
@bob-mh9rl
@bob-mh9rl 3 года назад
The animation is so funny:D I really liked watching the visuals❤️✨
@Springkid27
@Springkid27 Год назад
Greetings! Just a quick question, the video mentions that earthquakes were caused by sliding the plates with each other. But what about when the plates move apart from each other or collides with each other? Do earthquakes form that way too? I know mountains form when plates collides against each other but will earthquake form too? Thank you!
@naveenraj2008eee
@naveenraj2008eee 5 лет назад
Wow.. Ted-ed amazing video and animation.. Lots to learn from you...nice earthquake details Thanks for your video.. P.S: Can i get hi from you..
@aliabbaswadia3974
@aliabbaswadia3974 Год назад
@naveenraj2008eee: A genuine gratitude.
@albertm.19
@albertm.19 5 лет назад
Amazing visuals
@selmanuzun3797
@selmanuzun3797 Год назад
Rest in Peace for my Türkiye / Syria brothers and sisters.
@odnine
@odnine 5 лет назад
I really love the animations :D
@despise2
@despise2 4 года назад
Thank you
@35priyageography57
@35priyageography57 3 года назад
I like the way you r teaching 🤗👏
@avengerx7786
@avengerx7786 3 года назад
I always like the animations so much
@ahmermirza
@ahmermirza 5 лет назад
Thank you Ted-Ed. For the very first time I was able to understand how earthquake occurs.
@bananatorpedo275
@bananatorpedo275 5 лет назад
Your video left me *_shook_*
@eze7579
@eze7579 3 года назад
bruh imagine taking a poop minding your own damn business and you get a 5 second head-up about a catastrophic earthquake happening right underneath you
@garydunken7934
@garydunken7934 5 лет назад
Such an early Earthquake Warning System would be groundbreaking.
@tonycanswag7623
@tonycanswag7623 5 лет назад
If it happen but frankly it will never come to that.. we are not GOD..
@kirbycreep
@kirbycreep 5 лет назад
It's that supposed to be a pun?
@redflame300
@redflame300 4 года назад
@@tonycanswag7623 OK.....
@WiseSquash
@WiseSquash 4 года назад
Earthquake Early Warning Systems already exist. Mexico, California, Japan, Taiwan and Rumania, for example, already have implemented one
@opaulodetarso
@opaulodetarso 5 лет назад
Caramba, que vídeo massa!
@--Paws--
@--Paws-- 5 лет назад
I remember there was a hypothesis that some storms are triggered by seismic activity which maybe one way of indicating earthquakes nearby or even miles below the crust.
@AKHISOUFYANBEATS
@AKHISOUFYANBEATS 5 лет назад
Very interesting !
@glorysky1998
@glorysky1998 5 лет назад
We just finished this topic a week ago, thx for the review XD
@rei_cirith
@rei_cirith 5 лет назад
Wait... You have to explain how the vase worked (or whether it really worked at all)
@whcolours9995
@whcolours9995 5 лет назад
The ball would fall out of the dragon's mouth if it was shook enough.
@vdshukla2908
@vdshukla2908 5 лет назад
I wanted to know the answer from a very long time thnx ted
@kondapalliabhishek8463
@kondapalliabhishek8463 Год назад
If it is so hard to detect,then why animals detect atleast 20hrs before earthquake happens. We are lacking a tech that detects the surface air ionisation that occurs 10's of hrs before seismic events happen
@whatnow9159
@whatnow9159 3 года назад
Dutchsinse, on RU-vid, does a very good job of predicting earthquakes. He is not a scientist, but an observer of actual events. Suspicious Observers is another good source.
@Arvy565
@Arvy565 5 лет назад
nice video
@Qlegal
@Qlegal 5 лет назад
The theories behind why earthquakes occur. Adooooooooooro.
@lostpockets2227
@lostpockets2227 5 лет назад
Are we not going to talk about the ancient magical pot that could detect earthquakes?? That thing sounds really interesting!
@lostpockets2227
@lostpockets2227 5 лет назад
And it is super interesting! The design of the pot is 2000 years old, it looks really cool and the mechanism that triggers the detection of an earthquake is so simple Now that my curiosity is satisfied, I can finish watching the video
@graysongirl6403
@graysongirl6403 5 лет назад
Hey ,speaking of radon..what are radon detectors or more specifically what does radon do?
@adammajarocon5543
@adammajarocon5543 3 года назад
that was a shaking lesson
@Rafayel06
@Rafayel06 5 лет назад
Those different kinda rocks are very interesting. 😄
@tiktok_song
@tiktok_song 5 лет назад
Good options
@bigworld4089
@bigworld4089 4 года назад
תודה על התרגום בעברית !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@ruzeldale2512
@ruzeldale2512 5 лет назад
Why do we have names for typhoons and not for earthquakes? It seems unfair 😒
@ex_t
@ex_t 4 года назад
earthquake felix?
@kaminariblossom11
@kaminariblossom11 Год назад
I would like to ask if I can use some of your video for my project 🙂
@goldenluck2401
@goldenluck2401 5 лет назад
I love the animation!
@morningstar7009
@morningstar7009 Год назад
A 3 years old video now. RU-vid's algorithm.
@fullStackInKannada
@fullStackInKannada 5 лет назад
Nice and very informative video, I really liked it :)
@Techspotter
@Techspotter 5 лет назад
Awesome
@renzuanimated2574
@renzuanimated2574 5 лет назад
Its funny how i learned so much from this video rather than me on school haha gotta love this channel
@GamerFardin
@GamerFardin 5 лет назад
Could you make a video on the string theory?
@clairebarker3844
@clairebarker3844 4 года назад
this is one of best vidioe ever
@jennflprofileupdated8931
@jennflprofileupdated8931 4 года назад
LoveTeds!youareAwesome!!
@yusufutangac2783
@yusufutangac2783 Год назад
Dostlar umarım her şeyi unuttuğumuz gibi Kahramanmaraş depremini de unutmayız
@lilishipper174
@lilishipper174 Год назад
Umarım kardeşim umarım
@BarShipHide
@BarShipHide 2 года назад
What's about seismo ionospheric anomaly prior to earthquake occurrence?
@mprphy6
@mprphy6 5 лет назад
Can u do a video on counter equatorial current
@prithvirajdewan1417
@prithvirajdewan1417 10 месяцев назад
To know exactly when an earthquake will occur, analysis of some sectional parts of nature's character is required. An important part is the sudden occurrence of events that cannot be predicted at the time of the attack. Now if we can analyze the nano-durations of that ultra-short time table, it will be seen that there is enough time to know it, and in this idea we will find a special character of nature, that is the expressive measurement of the message in the pitch-based characteristics of the sound in terms of frictional response of that time. In favor of which are all the sources of preparation according to the principle of sound. A conventional pitch preserves its existence by reacting to previous pitch dimensions. Therefore, the beginning of the preparation is stored in the sound frequencies in the carrying capacity of how long after the tension will come or occur
@johnathanrichardson
@johnathanrichardson 5 лет назад
how did the vase work?
@marlamalkin6915
@marlamalkin6915 4 года назад
Is antibody resistance a good thing or bad thing?
@prithvirajdewan1417
@prithvirajdewan1417 8 месяцев назад
The circle of fifths invented by Pythagoras is characterized by the application of homophonic related harmonized chords while the melody is ascending but proceeds in the exact opposite direction. Similarly, if we want to know the prediction of earthquakes, we have to go against all the efforts made till date.
@mimikyuyu
@mimikyuyu 5 лет назад
Nice
@Jazmeen93
@Jazmeen93 4 года назад
Whos watching? We had an earthquake, after 140 years in capital of Croatia - Zagreb on 22. March 2020 at 6,24 AM. First one was 5,4 at Richter scale and second one was 5,0 R.
@rishiheda8186
@rishiheda8186 5 лет назад
1:44 That's a bit disturbing
@beniboy76
@beniboy76 3 года назад
A+ THX
@frelybalajadia4041
@frelybalajadia4041 3 года назад
My brother always say whenever someone said "why are earthquakes so hard to know it coming" he says "expect the unexpected" 😂
@bunnygetspancake6916
@bunnygetspancake6916 Год назад
The vase idea sounds pretty good tbh
@alienal8278
@alienal8278 Год назад
I follow the predictive analysis of dutchsince
@abdennassertachema3465
@abdennassertachema3465 2 года назад
(A. Tachema) *2019 Geodetic contribution to predict the seismological activity of the Italian metropolis by the ionospheric variant of GPS_TEC. ---------- *2020 Contribution of ionospheric TEC anomalies to detecting the seismic precursors related to the 2008 Oran-Algeria event.
@carlosmanueleusoya1645
@carlosmanueleusoya1645 5 лет назад
I wonder why scientists search water on Mars, while they don't solve the mysteries of the lithosphere, atmosphere, and even the biosphere. If an earthquake threatens to destroy Earth, would we find a way to prevent it or leave for another planet? I'd go with the first one. "The first way to discover everything is to start with your own." Anyways, good video, Ted Ed. Keep up the good work. :)
@chengkuoklee5734
@chengkuoklee5734 4 года назад
Apparently you don't know how science community or R&D works.
@rajkumarwadeyar6409
@rajkumarwadeyar6409 5 лет назад
Great
@thanosnugget7930
@thanosnugget7930 5 лет назад
The intro be good lol
@highrule896
@highrule896 5 лет назад
A vase !?!?!? Emperor: hold my beer
@sollertia_
@sollertia_ 5 лет назад
Underrated
@zilla2096
@zilla2096 3 года назад
i kinda want that vase it looks cool
@rutvikjoshi113
@rutvikjoshi113 2 года назад
Structural engineer are so underated
@adesojielijah3171
@adesojielijah3171 Год назад
Rip my dear Syrian brothers and sisters condolences from Nigeria...🙏🙏🙏
@GilangAndhika
@GilangAndhika Год назад
How my phone got false EWS late month ago ? GGL did it or something happened in another universe ?
@mdmantejsingh
@mdmantejsingh Месяц назад
Who's here after the NJ earthquake?
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