Why China Will Not Last This Decade - Peter Zeihan 

i'm so tired of clickbait youtube. Just a waste of time. Try to find someone whose analyses are trustworthy and stick to them. The rest is just clickbait for money.

China will exist next month and 1000 years from now. The CCP may not make it through the decade .

First it was china won't last in the next 30 days now we are at 10 years...lol

Not without the others I'm their own groove.

He brings up all good points !

Watch indian astrologers predictions . China will break up in to 7 nations by the end of world War 3 i.e by 2032

Those was 11 min of pure stand up comedy. I was LMAO from start to the end

They endured through massive famine and decades of poverty, so…

What a joke, when Sunzi was writing the Art of War, Europeans were eating raw meat. A 245 years old nation is trying to play tactics with a 5,000 years old civilization.

China is a police state, with extremely firm grip on its population. Of course it won't collapse. It will just get hollowed out... more and more.

Well, it is - their housing crisis is the most severe across the planet and your demographic collapse is inescapable. You can harp on as much as you want about how our predictions have been off, but a demographic collapse isn't something that will go away, it's a ticking time bomb, and it will go off sooner than later.

I want you to make a list of people you think weren't worth locking down for in Australia and then send them letters explaining why you believe they were expendable.

@@speedmastermarkiii Oh. Is that what you want?

@@Gregoryno6 Yep. I think it would be good for you.

I believe people are watching China with an eye that saw the fall of the Soviet Union that on the outside looked like a quick fall even though the Soviet Union was rotting for decades. I don't believe China will go away, but its glory days are more behind it than in front of it much like what happened with Japan.

Perhaps you haven't heard of the New American Century - 100 year plan...

@@_truthful_q_ never been sure if that was / is preceint or total neo-con madness.

Sometimes they think in terms of centuries. For example, they have yet to open the first emperor's tomb which if the legends are true would be the greatest achaelogical find ever.

This idea that China thinks long term is a myth. Their handling of covid is ample evidence 😊

These idiots predicted China would collapse but I predicted the total opposite. And I predict China will keep rising for at least two hundreds years. I am tired of these idiots.

If I get a penny every time major publishers announce "China is crashing", I'll have maybe 20 bucks by now, which isn't much but it made me question the intentions behind these articles

It's all fun and games until one of those things happens.

@@Roonasaur Yeah, but Peter Zeihan is the one running with scissors in his outstretched hand, not China.

Talk to people who are there or been there recently who know the country. Things are going downhill fast as hell.

Real economic growth mostly ended in 1996. The real estate Ponzi scheme and mostly useless mega-projects has given the appearance of growth for the last 25 years.

Agreed, he hasn’t even touched on the severe drought issues facing China, which are potentially the most important thing that they have to deal with. The entire world is facing similar challenges, but when your population is 1 billion + it becomes much more acute much more quickly. I don’t think his analysis is deep enough to support his conclusions with certainty, but without question it’s facing challenges like never before as so many people now live in cities as opposed to being a massively rural and agrarian economy. It’s unbelievably hard to do the transition China is attempting in such a short timeframe without also encountering huge obstacles.

@@sjsomething4936 spot-on…couldn’t agree more Sir…

@@sjsomething4936 In another video he mentions much of the Chinese grain storage methods do not preserve the grain. These videos tend to be a broad overview geared towards the specific audience.

@@jamesp3902 ah, this is the first video of his that I’ve watched, I’m rather fascinated by the status of China as it doesn’t get any real coverage in most news channels unless it involves mass casualties like an earthquake or flood. I was actually quite surprised by the non-payment of mortgage issues occurring with unfinished high rises so just had this video suggested to me. Thanks for the tip, I’ll watch a few more of his videos.

What you folks over look ad nauseam is cultural influence. How many Russian movies, music or other cultural influences do you see?

Most Chinese will not die. But there's a lot of them. Millions will die and that is trouble.

@@seanbear69 My point Sen is; Their vaccinations work, millions wont die but is their way to keep foreigners out and the fear in their minds.

We were also supposed to 'drive' flying cars. Alas, only in cartoons.

China is such a vile police state with hundreds of millions of cameras the population can be controlled

China is Unstoppable and will be the dominant power and displace the American Century A good move forward

You were told no such thing. The main story about China in the last 30 years was its rise. It's only now people are starting to predominantly talk about its collapse. It's not as recent as you think it is.

@@shawna3394 Let's talk about the deterioration of US's social and economic downfall which is more imminent.

It's like a dying star.

5000 years? PRC is barely 70 years old. By your logic Modern Iraq is Mesopotamia, modern India is IVC.

@@dheera8889 it's China that keep insisting on "ancient" Chinese documents and routes and influence and whatnots.

@@alexanderthegreatoz5945 that's called stupidity..

@@dheera8889 india is just a 70 years old country and also present day india would not be like be big before British came to south asia.

Interesting take. Its the China & Asia that is rising. unless they are brought to their knees by perpetrated wars. The west can't bear to see the change in super power status.

He just means it won't exist as it is today in like 10 years. He also said that the lack of people will really hurt them in 2050, IF nothing else goes wrong. I think he says in 10 years because there are too many things going wrong all at the same time. War, COVID 19 virus, less people to make things, corruption in government, producing too much money, Americans losing interest in keeping the waterways and oceans safe for trade, etc. Just Peter is saying this, not America, but a few people agree with him in some things and the US military asks him questions and consult with him. Whether they take his answers seriously, that I don't know.

Indeed

Well the bank runs aren't a good sign...

Zhina's economic growth rate has decelerated to such a point not even Xilter the Poor is confident Zhina will escape the middle income trap. Look no further from the disastrous demographic problem Zhina is facing, neither immigration nor pro-birth policies will save the ageing Zhina

@@chunkailau2448 What's with the Z's? But yeah they are heading into a massive real estate pop which makes up around 30% of their GDP and by the time that they have a chance to pull themselves out of it they hit their demographic wall.

You were not listening to the lecture, it was showing the problems China is facing because of many different things. It wasn't talking about China in the last 20 years. The problems he brought up are very real and honest, not that China can't over come them. But at it's current trajectory unless they change certain things their in trouble.

I guess this is what I like about Peter zeihan. He looks at the political realities of each state and then makes arguments about the future, rather than being theoretical.

It might happen for a couple of years and then is free fall. China has like 20M single men that won't get married. They have a bleak future ahead of them

@Circuitous 2 for that you need severe R&D and for that, you need talented people. That people dont stay in china

@Circuitous 2 True. Fortunately, they aren't going to develop such a thing. They've reverse engineered practically all of their technology from stolen US and Soviet IPs (most of which were US knockoffs to begin with), and barely have anyone who truly understands how any of it works or why as a result. Anyone who did has probably been purged by Xi the Pooh at this point. So even when their tech does work, it's subpar. Plus practically nobody in China innovates because slaves don't innovate. There's no incentive to besides not being shot, and that's not a substitute for true passion and drive.

@@sinenomine7115 by the way. Where is jack Ma???

Hi George, it was from the Iowa swine day 2022, from the Iowa pork industry centre.

@@allthingshumanities5328 June 29th, cool! Many thanks!

@@allthingshumanities5328 Recently, China has had major problems with diseased hogs. Xi, of course, is the CPC's fattest and most problematic hog.

he is not a professor or an educator, don't kid yourself that this is a lecture lol

@@Trenacetate43 his talk is very factually based and just makes predications given current events. Granted in a nihilistic twist

It has plenty of gutter oil 😩

That's actually the only anti-China comment in here that makes any sense at all.

@@justanotheroldguy738 With the russian oil... problem solve!

@@ottorucavado2242 Maybe. But in time of war, it's a foolish country that trusts another for its survival. Tho, I do bet that the Chinese have a HUGE stockpile of oil. Their government plans ahead and I bet they buy when prices are low and store it all over the country.

@@justanotheroldguy738 Twitter was Streamed at me for making that my highlighted tweet onto, considering someone in the Saudi Royal Family and dozens of other Blue Check Marks from around the World, so I didn't last long on Twitter. And to that twit going problem solved Russian Oil.. well that takes time, and given all the fundamentals against China now is their Peek of Power, and by the time they sort out their Oil Issue, they'll be past their peek power and alliances against them firmly rooted. Right now, the Vast Majority of their Oil is Imported, and even excluding India, the US, Japan, UK, Australia and others can 100% cut their maritime Oil Supply off which is most of their Oil. With India Involved, it would be far to easy. So the Fact is, China doesn't have the Oil for War at the Peek of their Power. Look into China's Population Demographics, Rising Costs, Global Hatred, and all the Debt, Cooked Books, and Bubbles. And by the time they start feeling it, and have to draw down spending on the Military, will be with the lag time of Republics when we really start building, and a Future China will be Dwarfed Militarily, and may have to Pay the Piper again, and here comes another 100 years of shame, started by the same piss poor Behavior by them as the 1st time. A Silk Road Existed, so China must be Number Wone and every Bow for all Time, accept Rome was Number Wone, places like Eygpt before and all of Christidom which took over the world. So I'm just not sure how a Silk Road, means China was Number Wone and it's So Unfair if we don't bow down and let it happen again in a nasty zero sum gain game...

Nobody wants to deal with Chynnnna any longer, you guys suck at ruling your own people and yall are fake af. 😒 Communisn sucks and your people does not deserve it!

next 3 decades until the USA collapses, then this crap will end 😂

Hope it falls soon...

@@mikewheeler3994 Even if you are biologically 3 years old, you still won't live to see the collapse of China, nevermind you only have the mental capacity of one.

No, no you have not. When China was legit growing at 6%+ no one was saying they were doomed in the short term. No one. The Population Pyramid (with fake data hiding female infanticide) is an overhang that is inescapable. In 20 years, who is going to occupy all of the real estate they are currently building? It’s simple math.

Abraham Lincoln wasn't even alive in the 18th century.

America was not Great until the end of the 19th century at the earliest. Greatness before that rested entirely on the British ...

@@speedmastermarkiii Yeah, I was about to say.

Common sense is what it takes to raise a child,a household and a safe and furnishing neighborhood. Greed and goverment criminal greed is the downfall of any country. Flood and fire seems to be the least of the world ending predictions. Greed and stupid men..... THAT IS THE END that's coming.

@@speedmastermarkiii He meant to say during the 1800's and THAT makes sense !

Yup. He mentioned india🇮🇳 is a contributor.

@Asahi Ogawa Hello bot

he's a grifter, selling cope to Western civilization

People need to rub it in how wrong he got his 2020 predictions were. He literally said that covid was going to see the CCP overthrown that year.

Well said! Very Difficult to take him seriously even from a Hongkonger living in the U.K. The Mid-West have their own "Sub-Culture"' and Narrow View on the Rest of the World; similar to some "Counties" in the U.K. Most have never ventured further East than Western Turkey and they Profess. to know the Whole Of Asian and E. Asia. Some still believe that Alexander the Great really did conquer the WHOLE of Asia and China/ Korea/ Japan. What can U do but smile!😄

Nice joke kiddo ! This clown is just a bigot which he has ignored how many gringos has died

justice will prevail

@@alanpatterson4217 yes for all the atrocities committed by the Gringos In Middle East and all over the world

True. As much as I want the CCP to fall, I'm taking this with truckloads of salt

Peter sells copium to Western civilization.

The difference is that he predicted the Russian invasion of Ukraine down to the year a decade in advance and he relies on data not prognostication. He also predicted the current inflation years ago, so you might want to just check his data before you go all Chang on him. Just a thought

@@0s0n3gr0 many people made that prediction, even the dead clock is right twice a day.

Look what he sayed before ,then ....

He is more clumsy than Chang. This Peter has no brain at all - no !

​@@0s0n3gr0 Every Russian predicted the invasion of Ukraine. Thats not an accomplishment. even the Ukrainians themsleves saw this coming. Currently inflation is also predictable if you been paying attention to how america prints money

Up until the mid 1980s the talk was about Japanese power, then China took the baton from Japan. 💰

are you living under a rock or did you not know the communist completely destroyed any thing that was left of "chinese culture"

LOL, don't discuss winter with bugs, they don't even know winter exists. That's literally what happens when Americans talks about China

When you have benevolent leaders , who respects diversity, religious and economic freedom the country will flourish! But when you have totalitarian regime that controls everything what their citizens do, this regime will crumble sooner or later…

Sure that culture invested by 19th century ideologues who've never worked a day in their lives and never picked up anything heavier than a book sure while traditional culture has been in decline since Mao. The sooner the CCP kicks the bucket the better as what is there now is little more than a cancer on the backs of the Chinese people.

culture.. not the nation.. 2 very different things.. can you count how many times china became whole again and then it broke again? Failing to see this first step is already a failure on your part.

We are not perfect so we shouldn't try to predict future risks from other countries. 🤔

As a young man without sin, I threw the first rock, now that's rotflmao

America is on it's way to a collapse as well. If China collapses we will just get there sooner

I live in a wooden and metal house. Idk what ur talking about bub. Go back to ur Libral thought bubble, nerd.

China isn’t a super power. If they were they’d be openly supporting Russia. China is the C in BRIC.

They are open, but do they have orders?

@@darshanchung Look, China has the biggest consumer markets, OFC have orders. In fact Many small countries depending on selling china. the thing is a huge inner consumer market plus international orders making china grow like +10 per year. when west orders fall, growth rate slow down a bit but still Far better than western countries, when you look closely china's problems compare to western is literally nothing. in a word, west is fucked. but still they think china in trouble. Like early 1800. china is already fucked. but at the time they still think thet are mighty compare to western barbs.Hve no idea whats going on in the west. History

Yeah like russians and chinese are saying the west is falling for double the amount of time and still today rely completely on western technology.

The only thing USA politicians believe is the gas they produce when they speak, nobody else can stand the smell though.

I totally support your proposal 😁. Unless the US politicians discovers that Peter is a agent of the communists 😂.

It's even WORSE than we thought... ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-rkppO4o-QIk.html

The people of China have the same aspirations as most people in the world but the CCP is no better than hitler or stalin or putin. We are waiting for these tyrants to fall and biden to go.

How is China to remain competitive as a net fuel and food importer when they no longer have a low cost labor advantage? With food and fuel shortages?

@@billyjoeallen I think there is a misunderstanding here. My comment was much less about criticizing what is being said and more about sharing my guess as to why what is being said is being said.

@@redsock4843 that's fair.

China wants to rule the world. China has very publicly stated this. China is growing economically and is on a path to surpass the West. China Xi can't wait for the 2050 plan to unfold. He sees a shortcut to surpassing the West, economically, Destroy their economies. The Globalists don't want to hear this, that they will be beat. So, yes you are correct, Zeihan is a Snake Oil Salesman, offering the weakest idea on how China can't win. But, if we acknowledge an evil plan, we should not just dismiss a failed defense against it, but think of a functioning one.

@@BigWoofers so much wrong. China is not even a regional power. China wants to BECOME a regional power, not to rule the world but they are failing at even this. They are hemmed in by mountains and island chains, cursed by lack of energy resources and arable land. Their one advantage was people but they destroyed that with population control.

I agree, he seems overconfident to me. These are very difficult things to predict and he seems to underestimate adaptation by individuals..

He's right. China won't be the leading superpower of the next decades.

Enthusiasm is a good thing. He's done his research, he has his numbers, and he's confident in his conclusion. It helps no one if he's a boring speaker that inhibits the communication of his own ideas.

Typical neo-con projection and deflection propaganda, and done in a gloating manner. The problem is how he glosses over domestic issues that affect Americans to a far greater extent

Ok you don’t like his delivery. But can you refute his main points and conclusion?

It’s US’s nightmare and doing everything to stop it. Sadly Europe, especially Germany, let US took over and lead them into disaster

30 of those bridges have already collapsed because of corruption

What has the 3 (and now possibly an additional northern) silk roads modern China proposes got to do with China's oil problems? As of today, China's oil and gas infrastructure is nearly non-existent. China largely depends on coal for its energy needs and imports what it can't produce. China is building as much Green source energy as it can, but as large as those efforts are, are hardly making a dent in China's overall needs. Hardly any pipelines connect Russia's oil fields to China, I think there might be one slow capacity line and AFAIK doesn't lead to any manufacturing center in China so has to be transported further once in China. China hardly has any oil tanker ships and is buying as many decommissioned and near decommissioned ships as it can. Oil and gas is not transported efficiently or economically by road or railroad, and China has little or no port capacity to support oil and gas.

Thats another reason bcz till now no study of economical value is done on that and china is taking huge debts for that and for last India is still in b/w that's why US is betting on india.

Inflation is already here . . . and not going away anytime soon. China real estate market collapse, draught and food shortages. Maybe in twenty yrs the silk could be completely, but china will run out of money long before then.

Good point. We all know how the Japanese tried to solve that problem. Hope history does not repeat itself yet again, even if we are talking about other countries.

@@pp2021 Most modern wars are fought over scarce natural resources.

@@blaisepascal5197 ALL wars are fought over resources, or, what you have got and how Im going to take it away from you. Has been since the first caveman lobbed a rock at his neighbor

@@pp2021 I considered that response, and discarded it , but upon reflection I agree with your conclusion. Thou shall not covet your neighbor's ass.

This is why Chinese hate Japanese as well, because Japanese also invaded China to rob their land and resources. Yet today America is sided with Japanese, the devil.

Not until you get rid of the current leadership. Useless fools.

I totally agree with you that China will stand. But the regime will change, it happens in Chinese history all the time.

The "Mandate of Heaven" is coming for Xi and the CCP.

You are correct about the PLA Navy. Numbers and sheer firepower is one thing against a small and weak objective, but facing a peer adversary is when the SHTF. The ability to fight a ship successfully is down to training, disclipline and experience and the PLA Navy has never been tested in actual combat. You only have to look at the conflict in Ukraine to see how a larger and better equipped force can be defeated by a smaller but better trained and motivated adversary employing superior tactics.

@@iankuah8606 No. It's the doctrine of any military that matters the most, then comes the tactics. And tactics entirely dependent on the level of technology that the military is employing. The technology of each nation is not equal. Some are obviously superior to others and some are obviously inferior. If any superior military is being beaten in a war then it is not the failure of the technology but the military doctrine, tactics and ultimately the geographical strategy. What we are seeing in Ukraine is the failure of Russian military doctrine, it is not the failure of Russian firepower at all. Don't be so deluded at all, know this - that Russia could squash Ukraine anytime it wants, if they are enduring such losses then there is definitely something they want or else they could have blown all of Ukraine by now. By general observation, it is clear that Russia is sparing the powerplants and industrial units of Ukraine so that they can use those for themselves later when they capture the entire Ukraine.

@@ajaykumarsingh702 This comment aged like milk. Haven't laughed so hard for a long time. So anyway, how's Russia's control over Izyum and the adjacent cities?

@@iankuah8606 if theres a war between the US and china its already game over. Nukes will fly, Guaranteed.

That would be a slaughter. Peter could be folding laundry and win that debate. lol.

There are many CPC supporter that info, that China is already the Richest and Most Wealthiest Country in the World, as well the MOST POWERFUL Country in the World, all countries will kow-tow to China.

@@Fr.VeniceLAI Really? Nancy Pelosi took a dump in Taiwan and China wiped her butt without any ramifications? They don't seem that powerful to us mere mortals...just saying

@@Fr.VeniceLAI China imports 70% of food and energy. They have no Navy that can ensure delivery. A naval blockade in Indian Ocean will destroy China. What do you propose China can do in response?

@@Fr.VeniceLAI *There are many CPC supporter that info* That is CCP, not CPC. And that is false. *that China is already the Richest and Most Wealthiest Country in the World* That is false. *as well the MOST POWERFUL Country in the World* That is false. *all countries will kow-tow to China.* That is false. Well, thanks for playing!

The USA has them on the navy, but China is circumventing all of that. The Belt and Road Initiative is providing them all forms of trade transport via land. They have a base in Djibouti, Sri Lanka, and many others in places people are totally unaware of......yet. Pakistan is in their hip pocket because India is against China and Pakistan is against India. When TSHTF, China is prepared. They can get all the energy they'll ever need from Russia.

Dig a little deeper. Only 20% of its energy mix is oil & gas. It's mostly coal. US allies in East Asia are actually far more dependent on imported energy. Is the US just gonna "block Malacca"? Western brains are not very developed. Too much nationalism, not enough thinking. This is why West is crushed by Russia on energy.

My oh my, you are so easily led.. As an ex military man, all I can say is "Never underestimate your enemy"

Hold on a minute... The US can have the best army in the world but couldn't win the Gulf War, Vietnam wars or even be successful in Afghanistand and you guys want to fight with a army which is bigger than yours?

Nonsense. The Belt and Road project is being built for a reason: Facilitating trade. And the Russians will sell them all the energy they need. The US may not be able to shut down their trade via the sea because of guided missiles. Battleships and carriers are sitting ducks to guided missiles, so the Navy itself is not nearly as important as it once was. They can hit a destroyer from hundreds of miles away spot on with a guided missile. Subs are still very important though and the US has the edge there as of now.

Charlatans, swindlers, scalawags and mountebanks abound.

Where are their products coming from ?😁😁😁😁

Chinese Aerospace? This is joke, right? I don't recall seeing a lot of Chinese airliners being purchased by foreign countries like I see with Boeing in America or Air Bus in Europe, or Falcon, or Cessna, or Beechcraft or Bell or Bombardier or Gulfstream or Embraer. There is no "Aerospace" industry in America? China may employ a lot of people in oil and gas but that is for domestic consumption, not export.

The largest employers in China is the central government, the internal security organisatioon and the military.

I am afraid you are the one who didn't. Where are the numbers telling about economy? The largest employment doesn't translate into prospering and sustainable economy.

Where is the math in your statement?

@@wesdonovan821 Guess no one listened, until COVID.

@@kanahildjaminami2542 Wrong, nobody listened EVEN during COVID to both real & fake experts, from Fauci to this charlatan political strategist.

gordon chang since 01.

It's still just a theory, so no one has been slapped yet. Relax.

He's a Yank, He's got yank VALUES, money PROFIT, SO HE IS HERE TRYING TO SELL HIS. B O O K. That is why he wrote it, JUST saying what he knows suckers want to believe , oil bet he's never had a real job in his life AND he has no intention of getting one

Sure, they will survive, but in what condition in comparison to the other economic/political powers?

@@kamcobbe ,,,,what, Like the US, pretty much broke, crumbling from the inside out, yet they carry on like so many other countries in similar positions.

China will survive, but not at the level it has enjoyed over the last few decades due to western investment. That last is leaving and won't return. China will decline as a result. They cannot exist without the West pumping cash into them.

@@kamcobbe Like which one? Japan, Korea, EU which are all aging faster? USA useful population is also aging. The young don't earn back their cost of capital.

China will always exist. With any luck they will throw off the corrupt CCP and have some real reform.

the best is to get more viewers if talking anything about China LOL

Thanks Arthur! I’m looking to cover a range of humanities and social sciences on this channel :) do you enjoy politics?

@@allthingshumanities5328 I've noticed! I love the fresh perspectives you're bringing. I must say I've never really bothered with politics because I thought I wouldn't be interested. But I looked into Peter Zeihan a bit after the video and geopolitics seems like something I'd enjoy diving into.

So you can sleep better? It's BS!! See his video's debunked by Nathan Rich.

He is the problem. Agreeing with him, then you have problem too.

What is wrong with what he says?

First step in getting to know your adversary is pronouncing his name. Chairman Xi is not Gee or She. It's Xi as in Si or See. There's a reason Mao romanized (Hanyu Pinyin) the Mandarin language, but some pretenders don't take the time to look it up, before making themselves sound foolish, and uneducated.

@@GS250Premiun no American will ever care

@@raymondmoore2707 Then leave China alone if you know nothing about China. Focus on your own not others. The question for you to think is whether America care about you.

Not so easy, oil from Siberia will collapse because the only people who can maintain the system have pulled out.

Russia has already found new customers. China, India and others. The Russian economy is doing great - even with the sanctions. Europe; however, has put itself in a deadly spot. They have no where else to get their oil/gas other than the US (and Middle East) and we charge them a ton.

There are pipelines already in place and its operating normally. Its not their habit to announce their plans or action. Only US does that irrational thing.

Building pipelines takes years, and there are mountain ranges and deserts actoss which they would have to run. And if Russia were to collapse it does not take a stretch of the imagination to see China invading its eastern territories. Due to US hostility to both at this point in time the Sino-Russian alliance is one of convenience, but you have to remember that China and Russia are also historical adversaries. Political winds blow both ways!

@@silentwatcher1455 That's right, there are two or three pipelines from Russia towards China. But they are not enough to transport the required amounts of gas and oil to China, so that Russia can compensate for the loss of the European market and China becomes independent of the supply routes across the sea. This means that new supply lines have to be built, and that will definitely take several years.

I may be all wet here, but doesn't (or couldn't) China get plenty of fuel overland or by truck, train, or pipeline, from Russia?

by the 2050s overland pipelines and chinese efforts to build renewables will make that more or less a non-issue. the US has less than 30 years to start WW3 or it will just lose.

@@waterfcalllane Russia may think twice about fueling the biggest military threat it faces as a neighbor. when China rolls in with a million or more well armed soldiers and confiscates the ol wells with Russian fuel driving the Chinese military vehicles that thought could keep a Russian leader here and there up at night. Pray for the USA we are now our worst enemy because the dem party is our communist neighbor, the enemy within.

China will 'implode' (and was destined to FAIL) because of "communism," alone. You cannot maintain a REAL (sound) economy for long the way these narcs and psychos operate... Their GOAL (the CCP) was "global dominance..." (and theft, by deception, under a very 'corrupt' regime...) so they too, will soon FAIL quite, miserably. Socialism and Communism simply DO NOT WORK. And BTW, that "analysis" was known by the (much more "devious") Frankist School, when they invented it back in the 1830s, to take- down 'sovereign' countries and governments. The CCP clearly aren't very "street wise" smart, in the "Western" sense. The IH$/ BANK$TERS make and break these "puppet dictator" nation states of all sizes and "isms" under their UN, central banks/ WB/ IMF/BI$ and now 'fused' with the WEF's "new rules" of globalized, totalitarianism." Had China built a viable (sound) alternative... then they wouldn't BE in their current predicament. Nor would Russia, Europe, the UK, Canada, the US, Australia, or anyone else. When 'tyrants' are allowed (by the people...) to "run the show" off a fiscal, to "physical cliff..." the OUTCOME, is then inevitable. ;-)

The general consensus of China in the early 2000s were the exact opposite though, china would be an unstoppable giant that would eventually replace the US as the world leader

He is an entertainer of heavy topics,...

people listening will need a good sense of humour because there is no way China will be over in a decade, this is a classic example of a Westerner not understanding China

@Circuitous 2 I'll bet you any money you want

Well, you have to learn how to make with the hahas or eose you'd either cry or be paralyzed with fear or worry.

@@stephenglover8828 so how do you think they are going to diffuse their demographic timebomb and secure their energy source in the event of a conflict with the west? These are very real problems they need to solve if they are to continue to exist as a major power.

His point about demographics is the real killer….he thinks china (not being overrun by “refugees” or being demographically replaced by foreigners) won’t outlast America (first empire I can think of whose goal became genocide of its founding stock was made policy)….on that I believe he’s completely and painfully wrong

zeihan is a neo con, people like him have been responsible for the managed decline of the states based on the false notion that an america led world order is morally superior. Hence america has Gotten itself entangled in forever wars wasting lives and resources, accelerating the decline of an otherwise healthy country. Listen to him at your own peril

I'll trust his theories over anything you have to say.

Come on, stopping stealing shiitt, you thieves, china has collapsed long ago and many times.

What theory of money? That RMB is a total fraud and a political token?

Great! I'll organise more content like this!

@@allthingshumanities5328 u must be too young to catch gordon chang, lol.

there is channel with a lot of his content called GEONOW

Come on, stopping stealing shiitt, you thieves, china has collapsed long ago and many times.

His books are excellent.

In india we think we are sole super power 🤣🤣🤣 but reality is we are still struggling china economy 17 trillion at the moment but our economy just 3.3 trillion but we still thinks we will surpass usa and become a largest economy..

I fear for India relative to AGW - in the near future, much of your country will be subjected to deadly wet bulb temperatures making it lethal to be out side (for over 24 hours - not for a few hours.) This will happen in a few decades at best. Frankly, this is THE issue that truly scares me and should be talked about NOW. I don't want this to occur to such a great country and culture.

@@dennisbrown5313 what if the next glaciation begins early due to any number of factors not predicted by climate modeling?

@@Metatropian What if the sun doesn't rise tomorrow morning? It's so terribly hard to predict the future, you never know what's going to happen. There may be any number of factors not predicted by sun-rise modeling.

@@LinasVepstas I think we can all agree that the climate models have proven to be much more accurate than the sun-rise models. Great comparison!

To a complete moron, everything seems to be brilliant...

And that includes the economic turndown (collapse?). Now, if we could only get this insane correct politics AND economic and gender insanity, we might survive.

#INSECURE...

@@buravan1512 Yup

Why don't you just post the link so we don't have to search for it?

@@thund3rstruck ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-Wi_nFz1CJSI.html&ab_channel=IowaPorkIndustryCenter

@@thund3rstruck I dunno. Some people don't like it. Not much else if you're looking for just China-related bits of the speech

Unlikely. China's rapidly-declining demographics preclude it from ever becoming an internal consumer-based economy. They aren't going to have much of an export market either, to Africa or anywhere else, due to lockdowns crushing their manufacturing capacity. Throw in their housing crisis and banking liquidity crisis, and by 2050, China will likely be back to farming rice paddies with a few hundred million people. And that's, as Peter Zeihan likes to say, "if nothing else goes wrong" (such as a major regional war or somebody preventing oil getting to China through the Strait of Malacca). China cannot exist as an industrialised nation without US shipping guarantees.

The US is far away from the world market, The Euro-Asian continent. Without WW1 and WW2, It could not be world factory. So losing industrial producer position to China is a normal thing as it is not competitive regarding the price. China is close to the world market and has complete supply chain, thus making everything the cheapest in the world.

@@andyw_uk74 Those are transitory issues and while they may cause bad years, they aren’t fundamentals.

@@andyw_uk74 “rapidly declining”, care to quantify that? OMG China will only have 1.3 billion by 2040!!!! How will they stay powerful?!?! Western brain is not very big. It enjoys simple conclusions.

Good luck transitioning to services and consuming when your population make 300$ on average, and your economy is based on being cheap labor hands for the rest of the world .it's like saying france could go from a service economy to an industry economy. I lived in china for the biggest part of my life and I cant tell you you dont understand how economy works here and the mindset . The train is already derailing hard.

He is wrong a lot, but entertaining.

Why is it anti-China though? Is every opinion that's not signed off by the CCP anti-China?

If it hit these 5 years ago why did we still see such explosive growth? And Japan is a very strong economic power still. China still has lots of growth potential GDP per capita wise where as Japan hit the upper limit of it and had no room to grow. China's GDP PPP is already bigger than ours (US) and up until Q2 of this year was actually catching up at an accelerated rate. Yes China is going to have issues but to not call them an economic super power is kinda stupid.

@@Gongolongo The problem with China's PPP based GDP numbers is two fold. Number one, a good chunk of it is probably exaggerated/fake. No one can audit China's economic numbers, world organizations just cite China's official government statistics and take them at their word, when they should be adding an asterisk and saying these are unverified numbers. You don't believe China had only 5 covid cases in late 2020...so why would you believe their GDP numbers. Number two, PPP is essentially pricing things in the local currency, while nominal GDP is priced in USD. When China conducts international trade, nominal GDP is more relevant, because most international trade is done in USD. As far as the worlds economy is concerned, Chinas GDP is not 30 trillion USD but actually 19 trillion USD, the nominal figure. (And see above why its probably much lower than even that.) Given all the factors above, I'd say its likely China's economy priced in USD is probably around 12-15 trillion USD. Does this make them an economic superpower? I would say no...being an economic superpower is about more than just having a big economy, its about being able to have a degree of control over the worlds economy. China exports cheap things people want, but nothing anyone actually needs. You can get by without cheap toys and appliances, just buy them elsewhere even if a bit pricier. The US exports things countries need, like food (the US is the worlds leading exporter of food, China is the worlds leading importer of food), and Aircraft, the US is the worlds leading producer of aircraft. Not to mention unlike China, the US has a large degree of control over the worlds financial sector. The US is a economic superpower, China is just a large economy built on shaky foundations.

@@Gongolongo lolol imagine beliving chinas gdp numbers are real when they lie about literally everything

@Meme Memeson This is why Japan allied with the US. Together they will strangle China. Also Japans 4.9 trillion dollar economy is much, much closer to China's size than Lichtenstein is to Germany.

@Meme Memeson LOL LOL LOL. Is that how you're coping?