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Why It's Game Set Match for Tesla Autonomy 

FrontSeatGamer
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Elon Musk believes that Tesla Autonomous Driving is far ahead of the competition. Using cameras, radar, ultrasonic sensors, GPS, and more, Tesla may be further ahead in the self driving race that most people think.
#TeslaAutonomy #TeslaAutopilot #TeslaSummon

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2 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 621   
@sallerc
@sallerc 5 лет назад
Nice to see a video about Tesla autopilot by someone who actually understands machine learning :) Keep up the good work.
@durlov5
@durlov5 5 лет назад
I would think all the user videos on RU-vid protect against the misplaced trust people had for Theranos. But you are correct that this is unproven technology and that's risky business.
@jamesbarker6373
@jamesbarker6373 5 лет назад
He just said a bunch of words like processes matrices, doing matrix operations taking input data as output or whatever, lol. The explanation was terrible
@justinyoun22
@justinyoun22 4 года назад
Daniel Roig po
@markb8416
@markb8416 5 лет назад
For a video that was published a couple of days prior the big #TeslaAutonomousDay liverstream, you were spot on everything. Well done :)
@Jadinandrews
@Jadinandrews 5 лет назад
Tesla: FSD in 2019 Others: If you wave your foot under your trunk, the door opens automatically
@willinton06
@willinton06 5 лет назад
Still pretty cool tho
@Mark-zg4ky
@Mark-zg4ky 5 лет назад
willinton06 😂
@grendelum
@grendelum 5 лет назад
Now if those pesky assembly issues could be solved...
@marshmallow_fellow
@marshmallow_fellow 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig You mean the full self driving when you wave you foot under the boot?
@samrichards8251
@samrichards8251 5 лет назад
Lol 😂 good one
@codemonkey2k5
@codemonkey2k5 5 лет назад
Elon stated in a blog a few days back that the reason they do not do active learning is to prevent the neural net from picking up bad habits from bad driving decisions. Instead any time a user intervenes while autopilot is turned on, that info is put in to a queue where it is analyzed to make sure that a change is actually needed. Then the updates are put in to the next software update. So you are teaching your car, but you wont see it until the next update.
@codemonkey2k5
@codemonkey2k5 5 лет назад
which you pretty much said right after I wrote this. :|
@BosonCollider
@BosonCollider 5 лет назад
@@codemonkey2k5 Yep. Basically they still need to label the data. But they still get a major advantage.
@PhilippeLarcher
@PhilippeLarcher 5 лет назад
you train the software for the whole fleet, you dont teach your specific car
@SherrifOfNottingham
@SherrifOfNottingham 5 лет назад
You want the neural net to be upgraded from drivers making good calls. Problem very much is most people are terrible drivers so I'm sure a majority of interventions are actually not something we want to teach it.
@RegularExpression1
@RegularExpression1 5 лет назад
That’s not what was explained in the four hour presentation. New situations are automatically learned based on how the driver handles the situation where possible. That is how they are preventing the need to have humans train for every situation. Only extreme situations would require human resolution. That was my understanding. Which also seems to make sense.
@samuelbgrier
@samuelbgrier 5 лет назад
Tesla is 5-10 years ahead of everyone else, or at least I hope they are since I paid for FSD. I guess we will find out tomorrow.
@kenbob1071
@kenbob1071 5 лет назад
I'm getting FSD too. As I understand it, it has some nice features that standard AP doesn't have, and it'll only get better. In the grand scheme of things, even if FSD doesn't live up to its full expectations, I don't mind throwing a few extra bucks to a company that is changing the world for the better.
@BosonCollider
@BosonCollider 5 лет назад
Competitors are ahead for now on L4 autonomy, but that's using LIDAR, not for mass market cars, and they are pretty far behind on machine vision using cameras. Scaling their geofenced strategy is likely to run into long-term difficulties. Tesla is simply by far the furthest along on self-driving cars that a middle-class customer can actually buy, as demonstrated by its number of miles driven.
@justinmallaiz4549
@justinmallaiz4549 5 лет назад
Being involved with machine learning, neural nets and such, ... You’ll get your fsd soon enough. Guaranteed. Computers driving better than the average dumb ass, is not a difficult task imo given ‘today’s’ know how, the cars and Teslas data collection... (They set them selves up perfectly and are way ahead.) I’m hoping to buy my own fsd Tesla before it’s out of the bag... I think the value of your investment is going to get interesting.. :)
@robotec0007
@robotec0007 5 лет назад
@@justinmallaiz4549 so i guess we already have fsd as far as i understand form the presentation
@technoholic5189
@technoholic5189 5 лет назад
I think the future is going to be waymo vs Tesla
@naturalmadness6623
@naturalmadness6623 5 лет назад
This video has answered most of the questions that I had or didn't have. Nicely done. Thanks a lot!
@tribalypredisposed
@tribalypredisposed 5 лет назад
It is super surprising that a Silicon Valley company ranked as one of the three most desired jobs for software engineers in the world might be ahead of companies like Ford and the German companies at a task that is basically entirely a software programming challenge. Oh wait, actually it is incredibly predictable, and yet nearly every "expert" has failed to see the obvious here and kept predicting Tesla would lose this race. Waymo was the only company with a chance of beating Tesla on the tech side, but they have no capacity to manufacture EVs and this race is one that will be won by whoever can mass produce autonomous EVs, not by whoever can achieve autonomous first.
@AshleyM120
@AshleyM120 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig Waymo is researching for long term. Not for short term. They absolutely require the LIDAR to function properly. Only compliance defines level 4 or level 5. I know that i will have to drive for the next ten years due to compliance issues. The question is when my tesla will actually support red lights. Which is currently my biggest factor to take back control. If tesla has that part + left or right turn done for most drivers the car will do 98% of the job which is the critical part. It won't solve compliance for complete self driving but actually doing most of the driving is what is required.
@arnoldadams5817
@arnoldadams5817 5 лет назад
Remember that only 2 feather poor gimbal-mounted cameras (1 in a pinch) have been required for level 5 "autonomous" car driving for past 100+ years. LIDAR is rapidly coming down in price and LIDARs with sensor arrays instead of single element sensors with rotating mirrors will be better because of fewer artifacts. But LIDAR may never be cost competitive with multiple visible cameras (but could be nice in combination with multiple visible sensors, and maybe also low cost thermal sensors).
@tonyduncan9852
@tonyduncan9852 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig "I don't believe a single word that Musk says" - You amaze me. You obviously don't believe a single word you write, as well. Good luck. . . .
@DecepticonLeader
@DecepticonLeader 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig More like the last 1%. Elon have said that's the million egde cases. Which means once those are addressed FSD will be incredibly safe. It won't be in 10 years, tops 2 years for level 4 autonomy. Level 5 autonomy is up to the legislators, so that's harder to predict when that happens.
@mikesunderland9145
@mikesunderland9145 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig The dead person was sleeping when he knew full well he shouldn't be. Not Tesla's fault!
@michaelrussell7854
@michaelrussell7854 5 лет назад
An Outstanding Overview of Tesla's Auto Pilot and its Autonomous Driving Strategy! Thanks for sharing. Looking forward to more great Tesla Content, in the Future.
@jonfklein
@jonfklein 5 лет назад
The key difference between Tesla and the legacy car companies is that it's CEO, Elon Musk, is an engineer. In other words he is interested in engineering and technology, as opposed to law or accounting. His focus is the technical aspects of the things that his companies are building, everything else is secondary. This is the most important trait of his that makes Tesla successful. But other important traits that he has are that he is on a mission to push mankind forward, not just to enrich himself, and he is a brilliant promoter of his companies.
@barnibizer
@barnibizer 5 лет назад
So true....and one hell of an engineer at that!
@jonfklein
@jonfklein 5 лет назад
@barnibizer Actually, I don't know if I would say his brilliance is in the area of engineer. I think his brilliance is more in the area of management. But he appreciates the value of brilliant engineering, knows what brilliant engineering is and knows how to assemble a team of brilliant engineers. So it is this combination of brilliant management skills and making engineering of paramount importance that is making Tesla successful.
@dancolestock
@dancolestock 4 года назад
Elon Musk earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics and a Bachelor of Arts degree in Physics from UPenn in 1995, then he enrolled at Stanford to pursue a PhD in energy physics, but dropped out after just two days to become part of the Internet boom, launching successful web software company Zip2 with his brother Kimbal. Elon is very smart and highly motivated and he considers himself a "self-taught" engineer, but he has no formal engineering credentials (his 74-year-old father - whom he despises - is a retired electromechanical engineer, pilot, and sailor). He is known to study subjects of interest in great detail and depth, but Elon simply lacks the combined breadth and depth of formal engineering education and work experience. I would tend to agree with jonfklein that EM's brilliance is his combination of skills, his dogged, unique vision and his willingness to risk his own personal wealth to realize it - a "Renaissance Man" for our era. I would not want to work for him as an engineer or developer, but I sincerely respect the many extraordinary accomplishments of all those who have at SpaceX and Tesla over the past 17+ years. I delight in driving my Tesla Model 3 AWD.
@toptobottom247
@toptobottom247 5 лет назад
I would rather GEO-FENCE the entire country whichever country that may be. So, pretty much I'm siding with Elon. Not really caring if other companies fail. Sick of their excuses.
@ChadDidNothingWrong
@ChadDidNothingWrong 5 лет назад
When did keeping quiet on projects become "making excuses"? We know Musk often makes over optimistic projections....and who knows what on Earth everyone else is doing... Not that Tesla isn't contributing alot. They really are, but for all we know they may only be a year ahead, if that... Its just rash to judge everyone for not being as public with it. To highlight this, data is supposed to be Tesla's edge, but consider that this video is ignoring the fact that at some point, data gives quickly diminishing returns, and we don't know what that point is...ie if a well optimized system only needs 250,000 total miles of data drive as well as the best of us, then 50 cars could gather that in a month....and a billion more miles will hardly make a difference. We'll see how it goes though.
@peterprivacy5034
@peterprivacy5034 5 лет назад
Hey FSG! Amazing video, once again! I really enjoy your insight and your analysis! You really deserve ALOT more subs! Do you have a patreon or anything of that nature?
@frontseatgamer
@frontseatgamer 5 лет назад
Thanks! I added a Patreon page to the About section. However I'm still on the fence about Patreon, because it seems to require some scale which we don't really have yet. I had someone give us $1 a month at one point, which was very kind. However patreon takes like 5% and $0.20 to transfer or something, so it quickly ate it all up. Currently, we do have links to products on Amazon in most of our (non-tesla) videos, but if you buy anything through our link, we get a small commission. I think that might be more useful to our viewers since at least they get a real product in the end. I'm also thinking of making some T-Shirts for the channel, which I think could be pretty cool.
@peterprivacy5034
@peterprivacy5034 5 лет назад
@@frontseatgamerSounds fine to me!
@KevinBrookhouser
@KevinBrookhouser 5 лет назад
The best explanation of a gan network at 18:00. Thank you for helping me understand it.
@JanOssenbrink
@JanOssenbrink 5 лет назад
Pretty fascinating to see how close your video was to Tesla's pitch yesterday! The line of argumentation was spot on (maybe they even used your video as a blueprint ;) Keep up the good work
@v44n7
@v44n7 5 лет назад
I can't believe he made this video before Tesla's pitch! I saw all of It and I though nice resume he made! but no! he uploaded the video before!. amazing work new sub
@OSRS_KQs
@OSRS_KQs 4 года назад
@@v44n7 That's insane! I honestly thought he was using slides from the autonomy presentation. Just wow.
@yuhufeng5370
@yuhufeng5370 5 лет назад
17:34 Tencent works on hacking Tesla: Tencent is a major shareholder of Tesla. They work together on streaming,mapping and security. Basically consider their hacking team working from inside Tesla to help Tesla improve the robustness of their product.
@waynerussell6401
@waynerussell6401 5 лет назад
Tencent are also autonomy competitors with their own silicon valley company.
@charmander777
@charmander777 5 лет назад
thats awesome . yeah i heard about the tencent team. great to have them giving tesla feedback
@DublinV1
@DublinV1 5 лет назад
Thank you for this fantastic explanation and breakdown of Tesla's full auto pilot!
@DiahRhiaJones
@DiahRhiaJones Год назад
Which doesn't exist. Its basically 2023 now, btw. Still doesn't exist.
@thetagmarket1058
@thetagmarket1058 5 лет назад
The major - and most significant - difference between the CEO's of all the others, and the CEO of Tesla, is that all the others barely know how to turn on an electric kettle, let alone how autonomous systems function. Musk understands all of the complex and sophisticated technologies underpinning the systems, and is perhaps the only person on the planet qualified to discuss the merits and demerits of these systems.
@dhui777
@dhui777 5 лет назад
The Tag Market, Elon is great, but I wouldn’t go so far as saying he is the only person on the planet capable of doing the job. There are many brilliant people out there.
@thetagmarket1058
@thetagmarket1058 5 лет назад
@@dhui777 Let's see them then... Where are they? Last one with the foresight and guts of Musk was probably Steve Jobs, and before that, Bill Gates. These genius "action-takers" are very rare. Being brilliant is only half the equation. You need to be able to foresee a future, and then agressivly make it happen. Look at someone like Nikola Tesla as an example... a brilliant, super-intelligent man, who foresaw many future possibilities for electricity - but he died penniless in a New York hotel, largely forgotten, and much of his technology ingored and sidelined for almost 50 years. Yet today. many of the principles of electricity that he discovered and advocated are ubiquitous in our technology, from the induction motor to induction power transfer - and much else besides. For nearly 50 years, rocket engineers maintained it was practically impossible to land an orbital-class booster for re-use. They laughed at Musk when he persisted in trying this... and now, he lands these things as if it were child's play. Same with EV's. Not a single manufacturer of cars believed it was possible to make a profitable, compelling and desirable EV at scale. And for the better part of a decade not only laughed at Musk, but predicted his total collapse. Today, the boardrooms of all legacy car makers are filled with nervous discussions about how they will address the onslaught of Tesla, and they are frightened by the rate at which people who have never built a car, are investing in new EV startups (Jeff Bezos, Google, Apple, Dyson, Rivian... and hundreds of other tech companies). Mark my words... Musk will sew up the ride-share industry.
@dhui777
@dhui777 5 лет назад
The Tag Market, look, you don’t know everyone on the planet, not even 0.01%. You not seeing them does not mean they don’t exist. Elon certainly has a rare combination of technical and business background, but if you think he is the smartest person on this planet now, you just don’t know enough people. BTW, fully autonomous, safe driving with no human intervention for all situations will not happen by next year as Elon hyped.
@thetagmarket1058
@thetagmarket1058 5 лет назад
@@dhui777 I know most people - Everyone loves me. You think Elon is a genius - wait till you meet me. One of the highest IQ's on the planet.
@waynerussell6401
@waynerussell6401 5 лет назад
@@thetagmarket1058 Go back to Twitter Donald.
@quadq6598
@quadq6598 5 лет назад
Clear well presented information, thank you. I wish I could afford a Tesla
@Aerospace_Education
@Aerospace_Education 5 лет назад
Anyone watching this should look for the 4 hour long conference held today (4/233/2019). They go into great detail and unless they are flat out lying. They are way further ahead than most probably expected. He's calling for Level 5 full autonomy, take the steering wheel out in less than 18 months.
@TomHarrisonJr
@TomHarrisonJr 5 лет назад
You mentioned GPS is not that useful? It is certainly not instantaneous data like from sensors, but it is essential for context in a way similar to our own human context when driving. I think this knowledge is what makes Tesla's AP far more aware and confident.
@MrGollum1996
@MrGollum1996 5 лет назад
Tom Harrison as long as you know which country you are in (that is, know the traffic laws you have to use), you should as a human be able to drive a road. Same goes for the car in the end. So in other words, its not really important for the autopilot where you are exactly, as long as it knows the street rules. The only reason to use gps data ist technically just because the autopilot must know which roads to take, like when to drive off a highway etc. But the algorythm for pathfinding on a map with the help of GPS is already years old. Yes it can use some improvement, but that has nothing to do with the autopilot.
@tedbaxter5234
@tedbaxter5234 4 года назад
Just ordered an M3 with FSD. Struggled about whether to purchase FSD but decided it was something I wanted to experience and contribute to. I think it is awesome but still in its infancy too. I hope the bureaucratic barriers will be overcome and it will be sanctioned for full use. Thank you for the video!
@PyroVesten
@PyroVesten 5 лет назад
3:18 - Pause for a moment to take in the scale of what is being shown here.
@andreas.9175
@andreas.9175 5 лет назад
Teslas are also selfselling.
@bigredog100
@bigredog100 4 года назад
Exactly. How ironic that the company that does the least talking somehow gets the most flack. Not to mention it's a home grown brand.
@AustinGarrett777
@AustinGarrett777 5 лет назад
Having worked directly on deep learning for self-driving cars (in particular perception), nothing here stated about Tesla is particularly convincing that their approach is unique, or more likely to lead to a quick solution to this very hard problem. It's nice that you try to get a bit into the weeds with the actual software, but in reality there are many many more moving parts than just slapping a "neural network" onto the problem. Perception, localization, planning, multi-agent navigation, are all separate problems that require individual attention and focus; a full end-to-end model is really not feasible at this point in time, and won't be until we are able to develop more robust models that can handle generalization appropriately. This brings me to my next point; there isn't really a convincing reason to believe that Tesla has some magic novel approach over industry standard. The problems they're facing are the same as everywhere else, and I wouldn't be so quick to just say the rest of this multi-billion dollar industry is just doing "if-else" statements. Many very intelligent people are applying state-of-the-art ML solutions to these problems, and still the challenge is much harder than first imagined. The reason self-driving cars are more difficult than originally thought is because even though driving relies heavily on first-level perception (things like object detection, basic collision avoidance, things ML has been able to do very well at recently), it also has a very non-trivial cognitive component requiring robust world-modeling, something that the entire ML world is currently struggling with. More data is great to help with generalization, to an extent, but the 99% of the unique scenarios that a car will have to deal with. It becomes exponentially harder to deal with edge cases; 10 billion miles full of highway driving will make a car very good at driving on highways. 10 billion miles full of edge cases will NOT mean that the car is prepared to deal with edge cases, because the number of possible edge cases is orders of magnitude more complex and rich than the standard highway driving case. Even if we could collect orders of magnitude more data, the problem then becomes that current models lack the capacity to represent the richness of all the data, and so will fail to learn from it. Full autonomy is certainly further out than first expected, quite possibly by 5-10 years. It will require a complete re-conceptualization of ML, and the development of several breakthroughs in questions that have plagued us since the 60's (inductive learning, symbolic abstraction, world-modeling). Assisted driving will likely come much sooner, but there will always have to be a human to ensure that edge cases are appropriately dealt with.
@pneumonoultramicroscopicsi4065
I don't think that elon would announce full autonomy is coming this year if he has absolutely no basis to do it, I honestly think that tesla is at least really close, and if they found a solution I don't think they will explain it in a conference.
@caddyguy5369
@caddyguy5369 5 лет назад
@@pneumonoultramicroscopicsi4065 You don't think precious Elon would say something that doesn't come to fruition?
@pneumonoultramicroscopicsi4065
@@caddyguy5369 he even announced that robotaxi coming next year, it's very clear that he made some very brave announcements and it will affect his credibility if he doesn't deliver, we all know elon, he delivered on his previous promises (sometimes with small delays, but that's fine) , that's why I trust him with this one too, but you don't have to do the same if you don't like him, we can all wait and see.
@rmirabelle
@rmirabelle 5 лет назад
Very informative. I'm curious - if edge cases are so difficult to capture, why not employ fleets of cars that do ONLY edge case driving, day in and day out, in order to accelerate learning?
@edadan
@edadan 4 года назад
"but there will always have to be a human to ensure that edge cases are appropriately dealt with." This is why you continue to fail...you lack vision.
@MWS1960
@MWS1960 4 года назад
One...if not the only video I’ve seen that puts all of the technologies within Tesla into a very informative video. I would imagine that cloud storage is also a big part of their IT infrastructure, which captures the the big data, which is then used to make Tesla’s more autonomous and intelligent while in the road, which leads to safety for all. Nice job !
@quasicesium
@quasicesium 5 лет назад
I wonder if level 4 or 5 autonomous cars are able to detect a body of water like a lake or river (or even just a puddle), you know, just in case I decide to park next to one for camping or fishing.
@L1GHT119
@L1GHT119 5 лет назад
Good Q?
@genekite6631
@genekite6631 5 лет назад
Why not create a set of linked vehicles to maximize space and just step out at your destination oh I guess that would be a train.
@cjschmitt4882
@cjschmitt4882 5 лет назад
That idea has been on the table for decades
@jpmorgan187
@jpmorgan187 5 лет назад
Good things trains cover so much area, are so fast, and don't have smelly bums sleeping on them.
@joshhandline1366
@joshhandline1366 5 лет назад
look up Boring Company, Hes already been working on that
@Jayr8367
@Jayr8367 5 лет назад
Well after self-driving cars reach a certain level of complexity, highway travel will have cars that virtually link together.
@bigdream_dreambig
@bigdream_dreambig 5 лет назад
Aside from the "close, extended proximity to strangers" problem, trains and busses also have the issue that you're forced to stop and wait for everyone to get on and off before you get to your stop. The longer your trip, the worse it gets. This can be alleviated somewhat by having express routes for the most in-demand places and times, and by taking vehicles that have larger distances between stops and then switching to a line that covers more local routes, but it's still not ideal. And you also have the problem of how to get to and from the closest station at the beginning and end of your journey. And then you also have the question of transporting cargo, or being able to carry things "in the trunk" for emergencies. There's a reason private vehicles have been the dominant choice for so long.
@christopherkincey-kamau4404
@christopherkincey-kamau4404 5 лет назад
Great visual walkthru to understand a very complex subject. Complex because not all sides are being forthright. You help us look overall and see doen the road, putting current data in context rather than picking something and tossing it at us linearly but doing so in a way that forces us to deal with the "issue," knowlng few are well equipped to do so. I feel insulated now from the random fud on this subject. Than k s to you fir sorting all this stuff out.
@Rick9482
@Rick9482 5 лет назад
My concern is not autopilot which, no doubt, is a race that's already over but repairability from other sources other than Tesla. They need better and faster repair service on their vehicles. Waiting weeks for a repair doesn't cut it in my book. I still enjoyed your video quite a bit!
@sinecosine7493
@sinecosine7493 5 лет назад
Rick9482 That should be the next goal. With Model 3 stabilized and 30% of robotaxi profits I think that’ll allow them to get enough resources to overhaul the repair service. It’s still stuck as if the Model S just came out.
@ChadDidNothingWrong
@ChadDidNothingWrong 5 лет назад
@@sinecosine7493 I hope it works out that way. Almost all the management in the various companies (and in various industries) I've worked for has been just so inept. Nobody solves problems-they just do "What you're supposed to do" whatever that happens to be in their mind, be it count pennies and **aimlessly** micromanage, or endlessly scold employees for an ongoing quality problem (when it's actually the off-spec materials you're being sold and providing said employees, but aren't bothering to ever check your own orders), etc.... ...and they were all gen-X types, my generation is even more arrogant and drone-like....So I wonder if Tesla will be up to the task of scrounging up decent management among our generation of wash-ups lol...
@mvuyisogqwaru2409
@mvuyisogqwaru2409 5 лет назад
Brilliant video, had to subscribe before the end! So sad that we're so many years from this incredible work here in Africa :(
@gxsoft
@gxsoft 5 лет назад
Thanks,this is a great video and your information is.well updated.Congrats, now I am subscribing to your channel
@runetech
@runetech 5 лет назад
I'll take the first system that works well in northern Scandinavia Winter roads seriously. Until then I will stay away completely.
@ryandempsey4830
@ryandempsey4830 5 лет назад
Tesla is more popular in Scandanavia than literally any other global region and the system works extremely well in winter conditions as reported by owners and reviewers.
@asharak84
@asharak84 5 лет назад
@@ryandempsey4830 autopilot isn't yet anywhere near handling packed snow as a road surface though. It's heavily dependent on seeing the paint and the road surface. I too live somewhere with snowy roads, and while we have 'road edge' snow markers they are sometimes twisted round so they indicate they are the wrong edge. It's pretty obvious as a driver, but I'd be a bit worried if Tesla even supported driving on a white-out road that it'd then take the markers too seriously and try to go round them the wrong way. I think when most people talk about 'full self driving' they mean in moderate to good conditions on broad roads with clear markings, which is not the reality for many of us hence scepticism is common even amongst fans of the vehicles. I'm curious how long it will be until autopilot can handle roads that are too narrow so either passing places must be used or verge-crawling (including picking the right bit of verge so you don't sink or get stuck). As a result of these kind of scenarios I could see FSD causing a divide between generally urban and/or wealthy areas with good roads that can be handled by the computer and rural or poorer areas which have bad roads that are worse supported. FSD could drive down the cost of transport in the 'good' areas with taxi equivalents particularly affected while with less revenue available from the 'bad' areas there is less incentive to develop software to handle the edge cases and those people could possibly get stuck with the 'old' way of doing things and higher transport pricing as economies of scale begin to work against non-self driving vehicles. Anyway this comment has grown a bit out of hand. I've kinda lost track of if I had a point so I'll stop typing...
@runetech
@runetech 5 лет назад
Nope, it doesn't. It has no idea where lanes is or even the road when they are oversnowed and covered in ice.
@johanhalvarsson2148
@johanhalvarsson2148 5 лет назад
I'd buy the full self driving if I could summon the car from the neighbpuring city where my girlfriend works. Then we could get rid of the second car. She could go to work and if I need to get some groceries or use the car for other things she could send the car home, I couöd run my errands before work and the send it back to her. That would be lovely, the car is sitting unused for 22+ hours a day.
@bigdream_dreambig
@bigdream_dreambig 5 лет назад
This is exactly the kind of thing a self-diving car is perfect for. It can also pick up your kids from school and drive them to the babysitter while you're still at work, or drive you home safely after you've had a bit too much to drink.
@anton3320
@anton3320 5 лет назад
I recommend everyone buys a Tesla Model 3 this year, and also invests at least $2000 in Tesla stock
@Merko2
@Merko2 5 лет назад
Wait till next year with Model 3 as you will get much better battery, that will be better for Tesla Taxiapp :)
@LomanLawson
@LomanLawson 5 лет назад
invest, yes, definitely. buy, no, not just yet. not every area is well equipped for electric vehicles yet. if you're in a bigger city, sure, you got the advantage ;)
@index7787
@index7787 5 лет назад
@@LomanLawson They are going to up the price when they drive themselves completely. Early adopters get a complementary update. It essentially doubles the price of car in your garage and you could either make cash by selling it, or just enjoy having the same thing for half the price. Edit: it appears the value is more like 12 times more. What a fucking deal, holy shit, I should buy some model 3s and sit on that shit.
@LomanLawson
@LomanLawson 5 лет назад
@@index7787 ahh gotcha. makes sense.
@caddyguy5369
@caddyguy5369 5 лет назад
No thanks.
@331SVTCobra
@331SVTCobra 4 года назад
I don't get why anyone would pay more money to not drive their car. Jeeze, take the bus. I DO see a value in MAKING people purchase self-driving if they are convicted of reckless driving or drunk driving. The FSD should be programmed to stay out of the passing lane.
@markb8416
@markb8416 5 лет назад
Here is a question about the valuation of Tesla FSD. After that presentation, the stocked moved up 79 cents (yes probably bad Q to be reported weighing it down short term.) However, what if Ford or GM stated that they can "wake up" by end of next year a fleet of 400,000 vehicles currently on the road with a OTA software update and enable their version of FSD for robotaxi with uber/lyft or whoever they contracted with? What wold the stock do? What would their competitors stock do? Something like this? 1) Either there is a conspiracy by ICE Makers to pull Tesla down 2) No one understood what they were presented at the showcase and they will be blindsided at some point 3) No one believes Tesla is capable of doing these things 4) Tesla is really behind and the ICE Makers are farther ahead4 5) Valuation based on numbers given at the presentation: $300K over 10 years * 2,000,000 future vehicles = $600B (upper end)
@janthekillah
@janthekillah 5 лет назад
GOAT comment
@MrSUSHI
@MrSUSHI 5 лет назад
Worst researched video I've seen in a while. Sorry but when it comes to autonomous driving even Volvo has more advanced systems. Mixing computer vision and control decisions sounds like someone read Tesla's marketing material and made a video from it. Using more data to train your neural net won't give you any guarantees for getting a better net. But then Mr Musk needs to calm his investors after failing to meet his own promises so often that event the slowest of the "old" manufacturers start catching up - and some of them produce and sell more cars in a few months than Tesla has produced ever.
@whowhy9023
@whowhy9023 5 лет назад
Lidar is just a bunch of dots with very little definition so does not work in a environment made for human sight. A paper bag and a rock is all the same to lidar... Tesla’s system works by recognising everything in a similar way to humans, with the enormous detail of a camera, colour, shade, light texture etc.
@jcrockoo7
@jcrockoo7 5 лет назад
Most people think that driving is so incredible. I guess it can be fun sometimes, but a lot of the times it's tiring. Traffic jams are a serious bitch! They make you want to pull every hair out of your scalp sometimes! I hope Tesla pulls this off and the regulators push it through. The world needs this technology! I want to be driven!
@IdeaBoxful
@IdeaBoxful 4 года назад
Deep learning is all about data. Tesla's have a large number of vehicles running on the road collecting this information including edge conditions as it is happening to the ai system during this use. Imagine a few thousand cars against 100 thousand vehicles that actually is accumulating this data. Tesla has a big data advantage. This why Elon say that the game is already won by them.
@lst1nwndrlnd
@lst1nwndrlnd 5 лет назад
Hardware neural net sensor processing. Some impossible things are soon to be possible.
@TheDailyMemesShow
@TheDailyMemesShow 4 года назад
Why do I think Tesla has the upper leg in the EV market? Tesla has advantages over other EV manufacturers because Elon Musk has engineers from the spaceship industry working on technologies that are not accessible to common car makers! Tesla will ALWAYS be ahead of the curve in anything EV-related, hands down! It will take light years for other EV car makers to catch up with Tesla. If I ever buy an EV, it will DEFINITELY be a Tesla, no doubt about it!
@kenindenver1
@kenindenver1 5 лет назад
Very informative and well presented. Thanks!
@neop9015
@neop9015 4 года назад
There's reason we don't see any of the major car manufacturers using Tesla's technology patents that where open source. Good faith is defined as " you can have access to our patents if we can have access to your". That's not exact wording.
@WHYNOTDOTTV
@WHYNOTDOTTV 4 года назад
Currently, the neural net is learning from how people drive. Later, people will need their own neural net to learn from computer ( I am referring to beyond driving. Maybe one day we couldl learn to be civil to each other.
@635574
@635574 5 лет назад
What I saw of existing tesla drivers it likes to fail a lot in cases where lines disappear, cars parked on the side of road or there is any temporary divergence and it doesnt understand speed bumps or traffic lights and intersections are problematic. Surrounding car sensisng is also buggy in some cases.
@sevencolours5014
@sevencolours5014 5 лет назад
The chip can't be trained! The same way a brick can't trained! Software, the algorithms are trained, or more correctly are developed with the data the cars collect.
@jholid6y
@jholid6y 5 лет назад
I need some Tesla camera for their stock bc it keeps crashing 🤦‍♂️
@lahmyaj
@lahmyaj 4 года назад
Great video mate. Really exciting stuff. Subscribed 👍🏻
@Litheon11
@Litheon11 5 лет назад
Basically what you have been saying is that no other car company has taken self-driving seriously.
@DavidSaintloth
@DavidSaintloth 5 лет назад
As an Engineer I've analyzed this space very closely, from a technical level and at each stage over the last 12 years or so (since I first heard that Google had a "secret" driving program) the possible competitors in the space (including Google) have performed one or more major mistakes along the way to autonomy EXCEPT for Tesla. A major mistake is one that has provided a great slow down in advances or has been a knock out blow for the company, such as: 1) Going lidar only early on, big mistake...as Elon correctly states vision is enough and fusion with radar and ultrasonics makes the car vastly super human in sensory ability, zero need for Lidar. 2) Not using multi sensor fusion early on. (Related to above but fundamentally different) 3) Not committing enough resources (money and Engineers) to algorithms and testing early on. 4) *Underestimating* the speed at which the regulatory environment (world wide) would change. (What happens in the US matters less and less for big profits as China rises). 5) Making stupid software and hardware redundancy mistakes (allowing SPF's ..single points of failure in their designs). 6) Relying on one form of simulation (or having no simulation) for fleet learning. 7) Not having a plan to immediately monetize autonomy. 8) Starting too late with their own SDV car programs...this is most of the car companies and Uber and Lyft. :It's been quite amazing watching Tesla make all the right bets and take the right risks to be where they are today...once the robotaxi service goes online they will immediately start earning a hell of a lot of money. In fact , Tesla is poised to have a revenue explosion of the likes that Amazon gained when AWS was released. Autonomy basically takes a car and turns it into a cow not just for the owner but for the company long after the car is sold, they get this without needing to keep ownership of the car which they don not share with the owners in the purchased state and take on a bit more ownership in the leased state but still pay vastly less for the return on investment than any other car owner without a full fleet of autonomous cars they can farm out for the owners or themselves. It's never been done before and it will open a whole new landscape of revenue. I am very LONG Tesla.
@RJrules64
@RJrules64 5 лет назад
Man you were unlucky to release this right before Tesla dropped a whole bunch of new info at their Autonomy Day
@index7787
@index7787 5 лет назад
How? He's still spot on. If anything it validates the video. On top of that. His video shows up right under the Tesla one now, plenty of people will click it thinking it goes deeper (and it does) it's actually a very good thing. Videos don't really compete with each other like you think they do.
@index7787
@index7787 5 лет назад
Yup, look at his channel, this video is crushing his stats, this is the video that is going to get him started with subs, I know I subbed.
@RJrules64
@RJrules64 5 лет назад
@@index7787 man there's a lot of assumptions in your comments haha, but it's all g. I wasn't referring to any kind of competition or anything like that. Its just that I'm sure it took a lot of research to make this video and it would have been a lot easier for him if he made it after Autonomy Day.
@saviyou
@saviyou 5 лет назад
Game Set Match Answered at 20:05 you're welcome
@mrarmymanful
@mrarmymanful 5 лет назад
FYI about GPS use. You can use GPS for precise positioning (Carrier phase positioning can provide decimeter - cm accuracy); just because Tesla doesn't use it right now, it doesn't mean it cannot be used or isn't being used. Of course there is limitations to using GPS . It won't work as well in urban Canyons and around large tall obstructions. But in most scenarios and coupled with INS it can be great additional sensor for navigation.
@AugurIliKur
@AugurIliKur 5 лет назад
Good video. I'm not sure auto makers actually believe Tesla is behind. I doubt they would mention Tesla if they didn't think they were ahead. I do believe old school auto makers want us to believe Tesla is behind. It's kinda been a theme for the last 80+ years with these companies.
@cpanic1153
@cpanic1153 5 лет назад
Just because Elon says or believes something does not make it true. Sure, the car will drive itself unless the road stripes change in an intersection or there’s snow on the road or there’s a red light or stop sign or any of a million other normal things happen. To deal with all of those things you need machine learning and 3D maps and cameras and radar and lidar. What Tesla currently has is really good driver assist (level 2). Thinking that they can go from that to L3 or 4 just by crunching data is completely delusional.
@jdudleyh
@jdudleyh 5 лет назад
As a human in a conventional vehicle I didn't have lidar, yet I consider myself pretty capable for the many miles I've driven. Lidar gives better detail and distances, but it is too expensive for the slightly better data it provides versus a pair of human eyes (or a bunch of offset cameras). Those fancy 3D point maps are cool, but we don't need them to train a self-driving system how to be safer than most drivers. Do you not think that the NN in Tesla isn't being trained on how to drive on snow-covered roads using the visual camera, steering, and acceleration inputs received from the thousands of Tesla winter drivers? Do you think a lidar is going to see the snow-covered lane markings better than the visual cameras? Do you think lidar is going to help a self-driving vehicle learn how to deal with a power outage at a traffic light controlled intersection? No, but every Tesla driver that takes control during those situations will be training a future version of the NN -- eliminating each edge case one by one ... mile by mile. It is unwise to judge the future of the system on what the current state of the NN that has been released. Tesla engineers are working on ranking the feedback (or more likely training another AI on how to rank the feedback) from drivers who deviate from the state and actions planned by the NN. I suspect the version of the NN that has been released is many months behind what is state-of-the-art in the Tesla labs. When they unleash the new HW3 (FSD computer) with the newer NN parameters, we'll witness a solid level 3 autonomy. With each release it will get better until it is actually statistically more dangerous for any human to take control.
@TraditionalAnglican
@TraditionalAnglican 5 лет назад
LIDAR has problems “seeing” in many of the same situations (fog, smoke, heavy rain, dust & blizzards) our eyes have problems with, while RADAR has very few problems in these same conditions. That makes RADAR a much better supplement to visual inputs (eyes, cameras) than LIDAR.
@tanvirhaque9696
@tanvirhaque9696 5 лет назад
But, adding a LiDAR (alongside Radar) makes SDC more safe... Don't you know it?
@markb8416
@markb8416 5 лет назад
All the automakers piled on the LIDAR and went down the wrong rabbit hole. Same goes for GeoFencing (Ford LOL) and HQ-maps (Waymo). They used a lot of crutches to get to even this level of autonomy. Elon is right, Game Set Match for Tesla
@tanvirhaque9696
@tanvirhaque9696 5 лет назад
@@markb8416 Tesla autopilot already occurred accidents where people died... And it is the weakness of Tesla Autopilot..... Stop being a fanboy of Tesla!!!!
@markb8416
@markb8416 5 лет назад
@@tanvirhaque9696 People get killed on cruise control all the time. The driver has to pay attention. Yes, a death is very tragic but driving a car is very dangerous in general, as compared to air flight, etc. This is just another data point for Tesla. Their improvement/feedback loop is at light speed. Unlike anyone else developing level 4 autonomy. Tesla is the closest one to get there (I wouldn't trust anyone else as they don't use real driving data) so I am rooting for them. I want level 4 not Level 3.5 that everyone else is aiming for.
@TraditionalAnglican
@TraditionalAnglican 5 лет назад
Ayon Haque - Automakers aren’t doing that - They’re using LIDAR by itself. As I said, LIDAR has problems in many of the same conditions visual sensors (eyes, cameras) do. Tesla has found they can accomplish the same, or better, results using cameras coupled with RADAR.
@flipperbear9
@flipperbear9 5 лет назад
Model 3 radar is easily obscured by ice and snow. While driving in snow this past winter, the radar would go out frequently so autonomy is not possible in inclement weather, moderate rain, snow, ice conditions. During heavy rain this past week, navigate on autopilot would not work during heavy rain. Regular autopilot would work, 99% of the time, but I had to take over control many times due to poor visibility by the cameras. I applied RainX today, hopefully this will fix the issue. I also had to have my autopilot computer replaced a couple of days ago, they gave me the same old Version 3 hardware that came with my car last year, even though new cars come with the version 4 computer, doesn't make sense.
@datsunpolo
@datsunpolo 5 лет назад
thanks thats exactly what i thought , teslas are designed in california , the weather is not an issue , but elsewhere good luck ...
@neilking01
@neilking01 5 лет назад
Exceptional video. Thanks!!
@Stidfolle
@Stidfolle 5 лет назад
They have a little over 1 billion miles not 10 billion. Still an incredible amount compared to all the others.
@index7787
@index7787 5 лет назад
Depends on which data set you are talking about. All their cars have sensors, all of that data watching the owners drive them is the 10 billion number and of that 1 billion is auto-pilot with owner input (or lack of input) on top of the normal sensor data. Both sets are very important.
@jirace
@jirace 4 года назад
I think the future will include Lidar. If not leading autonomous driving then it will at least be an assistant. Moreover, Lidar is in use on cars like the Audi S8 to offer active suspension management, which is like Bose's active suspension system, which can go over bumps without upsetting the car.
@FBA-Renaissance
@FBA-Renaissance 4 года назад
Driving played out in my 20s. I like being chauffeured now 😎
@dontknowdontcare44
@dontknowdontcare44 5 лет назад
Self driving car technologies before manuals gearboxes? Bad priorities.
@rk_driftz2348
@rk_driftz2348 5 лет назад
Dontknowdontcare yes
@hardcoreclassicenjoyer
@hardcoreclassicenjoyer 4 года назад
i've been listening to tesla videos on self driving for weeks but i just realised when you said that "Uber doesn't own the cars..." that Tesla's AI is going to get INSANE amount of data once it has a fleet of fully self-driving cars. it's going to be some truly sci-fi level of AI data.
@williehrmann
@williehrmann 5 лет назад
elon musk tells a lot rly obv bs rly often. There is no way radar + cameras will ever be equally good in mapping the environment as lidar is. The other car producers focus on the long term level 4 and 5 selfdriving which can only be achieved through lidar. And i don't think there will ever be a car that will support level 4 or higher selfdriving capabilities with only cameras and radar. So while Tesla knows that it will take up to 5-10 more years at least till we see consumergrade middleclass lidar selfdriving cars they simply benefit from it and fleece all those vegan fitness silicon valley hipsters off their money as long as there is no better alternative. Question is will Tesla miss the future of selfdriving with lidar because they focus too much on the present or will they put enough effort and resources in the background to develop their own effective lidar system.
@andreaskraut6960
@andreaskraut6960 5 лет назад
Good information. However, I still doubt that we will see "good" driving behaviour in the next 3 years. I drive with my model 3 since 1 month and nearly every time I use autopilot, I have to interrupt and end auto mode. Most of the time, because it suddenly decelerates or even does heavy breaking without any reason. A human would not do that. Although I can always handle the situation, I fear that at some time, the car behind me does not. So I will now not use autopilot anymore. Perhaps it would be good to find a signalling worldwide, that shows other people that this is a self driving car, like put constantly on all 4 blinker lights.
@caddyguy5369
@caddyguy5369 5 лет назад
You mean hazards? They already have a purpose. How will you tell other drivers which way your car is going to go?
@andreaskraut6960
@andreaskraut6960 5 лет назад
@@caddyguy5369 well, as normal, with a blinking light on the side the car wants to go. The state "steady on" of all 4 lights is unused so far.
@caddyguy5369
@caddyguy5369 5 лет назад
Andreas Kraut Touche, I missed the constantly on part. Isn't that wasteful of resources burning all those bulbs though? I thought it was supposed to be eco friendly. :-P Yes I know LEDs. They do go bad though.
@Bra-a-ains
@Bra-a-ains 5 лет назад
I agree with the Ford guy, "Autonomous vehicles will be geo-fenced." We will get there. But, it will be 2-4 decades. The problem with computers is that they do exactly what you tell them to do, just like the MCAS system on Boeing planes. If a little kid runs out behind a car and is killed by an autonomous car, it was not an accident. The car executed a line of code to kill the little kid. The programmer could have avoided the death by having the car travel at 1 mph every time it passes a parked car. However, he chose not to and is guilty of criminal negligence. Likewise, if a car slips off an icy road and kills the rider, the car was, by definition, illegally traveling at an unsafe speed due to the programmer. The programmer is guilty of criminal negligence and manslaughter since he could have programmed the car to go at the legally safe speed of 1 mph. Since it won't be the programmer who pays, but the rich car company that wrote the code, you can bet every collision will be heavily litigated for big, big dollars. Lawyers can't wait for autonomous cars. They will ask for and get the complete code of the car and search through it line by line. In the meantime, "autopilot" will greatly increase safety by assisting the driver. So, the technology is useful and beneficial, and should be explored and expanded. But, until large areas are geo-fenced, drivers will be needed.
@DecepticonLeader
@DecepticonLeader 5 лет назад
What kind of lawyer have time to go through millions of lines of code to find an error? Seems like you're not experienced with coding. It's not as simple as you make it sound. A laywer would have to be proficient in the coding language as well to understand what they are looking for. So unless you have laywers which are also coders, good luck with that. They could hire professional help from coders, but that would cut into their profits. In the meanwhile, the code keeps changing due to the self-learning algorithms. In the end, it's impossible to point out a specific person for writing a line of code that triggers an accident. Because no one knows if that alone caused it or a combination of things.
@Bra-a-ains
@Bra-a-ains 5 лет назад
@@DecepticonLeader - When your client becomes a quadriplegic at $200,000 per year in care for the next 30-40 years and the court will award attorney fees, they will hire their own computer programmer. With attorney's fees and costs, we are looking at a minimum $10 million judgement. With $2 million in attorney fees on the line, hiring programmers for $100,000 is a bargain.
@DecepticonLeader
@DecepticonLeader 5 лет назад
​@@Bra-a-ains And who's going to pay all that money if it doesn't pan out? The quadriplegic client? I'm not familiar with laws in the states, so that's why I'm asking. Even a very experienced programmer would have to make a lot of guessing on what exactly caused an accident. Not sure how that will hold in a court. But then again, in the USA the legal system seems pretty weird so I'm not going to say it's impossible. But Tesla is sure to have their own legal countermeasures.
@abcdxx1059
@abcdxx1059 5 лет назад
@@DecepticonLeader if there is a accident you can determine how it happend neural networks are black boxes they can't deal with what they have never experience before
@DecepticonLeader
@DecepticonLeader 5 лет назад
@@abcdxx1059 Learning algorithms use our actions as model for their own actions. That's how they change to improve upon themselves. With a black box you can't see the inner workings, you can only see the output from your input. Something as complicated as an accident will put a lot of question marks on whether your input is identical to the circumstances of the accident. Otherwise you will get a slightly different output, and you don't need to be far off your mark before behaviour can be very different.
@g8trdone
@g8trdone 5 лет назад
If a pelican takes a mullet sized dump on your front cameras, I bet its up to the driver pretty quick!
@kenbob1071
@kenbob1071 5 лет назад
Ford over-estimated the arrival of autonomous vehicles. I wonder if the SEC will sue Ford. lol
@samguapo4573
@samguapo4573 5 лет назад
SEC overestimated Ford.
@samguapo4573
@samguapo4573 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig Ford will be more right in ten years. Let's see where they're at.
@samguapo4573
@samguapo4573 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig Sounds like my DIY EV as far as I'm concerned. Saved a lot of money making my own. But Teslas are still superior products as compared to my DIY and I used to say the same thing about not needing stuff like AP but as time progresses you'll realize, you'd want it as well..
@samguapo4573
@samguapo4573 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig Agree on some points and disagree on others. I'm not a frills person actually but I do recognize that certain things are more essential than others. It's like when I've always touted about not needing a smartphone and insisting that if you need to take photos use a real camera with a large sensor, good lens, large aperture etc... the real essentials. Later on I developed the need to take pragmatic decent quality shots/videos and using a regular android didn't cut it. Even my partners old Iphone took sharper photos at lower resolution than my current high res android. Likewise, safety and AP were never in my equation, but i can see the true essentiality of those in the long term. Just yesterday I was stuck in "soul crushing" traffic in my EV. Yeah no idling. But I could sure have used AP then. Tesla is a superior product overall hands down as compared to the cars you mentioned. Pricey maintenance? Yes. But so are many of the other manufacturers. Ford, BMW, VW, etc... Which is why I get OLD super manual vehicles for my DIY.
@kenbob1071
@kenbob1071 5 лет назад
@Daniel Roig How do you currently get a pizza delivered to your house?
@vuelee4809
@vuelee4809 5 лет назад
This means Tesla cars will see missiles fired from drones and use evasive maneuvers to save driver. Awesome!!!!
@durlov5
@durlov5 5 лет назад
That would be a really cool movie scene!
@DEREKCHOWIE
@DEREKCHOWIE 4 года назад
Just being part of the Team ,Wonderful Tesla Team , We shower U all with Blessings , To your Heart & Health B True D.C.H. out
@sholmesbrown
@sholmesbrown 5 лет назад
maybe Tesla can use it's neural nets to improve they're crappy customer service? so many videos on RU-vid about it once they have your money they really don't care anymore
@arman757
@arman757 5 лет назад
Their cars are a nightmare outside of warranty, I know 2 that were real gungho about their used tesla purchase and then their warranty was up and they were on the trade in lot
@arincrumley
@arincrumley 4 года назад
Thanks for this video. Some good info about what they are doing. However I think there is a big disclaimer needed in this video which is to say that if Teslas approach is the right approach then Tesla is best positioned to win with this approach. However if there is another approach that doesn't require mass data input and also doesn't require expensive Lidar then that approach could also come out of left field and surprise everyone. Consider that Teslas challenge is to try to leverage their primary asset which is the install base of their cars. So that might be clouding their judgement in what the best approach should be. Waymo has amazing computer scientists and engineers and that asset might also be clouding their judgement. The actual best approach might not have been invented yet and also might not require either of these immense assets.
@thealbatross402
@thealbatross402 5 лет назад
Thank you for the informative video, great review!
@silberlinie
@silberlinie 5 лет назад
You know frontseatgamer, you've reported well on the sensors suite. Sooner or later, in a relatively short time, Elon will change the sensor package. Today you have the radar and the sonar which support the cameras. This will no longer be necessary in the long run. Tesla will work completely only with the optical (camera) sensors. These are the eyes of almost every other creature on earth, adapted by nature. Lidar is completely absurd. Radar is very bad. Sonics is also bad. We want our autonomous cars to be able to cope in all natural environments. And as we can see, this system of seeing by eyes has won the race in biological evolution. Elon knows about these deep insights. Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator
@famnaff5136
@famnaff5136 5 лет назад
That is about as good as it gets. Great work leading up to the next big reveal.
@zecnobot
@zecnobot 5 лет назад
A singular tracked node (STN) w/3D angularity, real-time updated (fluid) via Simulant (1:1 scale, exact real-world 3d) map. Essentially your car plays a video game within the world space as it's own simulation. Other vehicles within your proximity would ping you their STNs. Even better, add real world, fixed nodes for exact calculations.
@travis938
@travis938 5 лет назад
how come no one is doing mapping for main highways for self driving they could make billions taxiing people just highway exit to highway exit .. maybe in few year?
@adamanderson3042
@adamanderson3042 5 лет назад
Geo-fenced autonomy is so easy I bet you could make it in the 1970s. I bet somebody did.
@frontseatgamer
@frontseatgamer 5 лет назад
Hahaha. Like this: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_train_operation#Notable_examples
@kille6525
@kille6525 5 лет назад
I believe tesla will be geo-fenced but only because of regulators not because of the actual software.
@ophello
@ophello 5 лет назад
kille6525 no they won’t.
@kille6525
@kille6525 5 лет назад
@@ophello if one state says yes and another state says no then they will be geo-fenced to that state.
@ophello
@ophello 5 лет назад
kille6525 regulators won’t be that stupid.
@noiseshapes
@noiseshapes 5 лет назад
Great video. I hope Tesla will one day detect and decide on what to do when encountering potholes. My city's road is like swiss cheese, so with all the good stuff that Tesla comes equipped with, we need the pothole detection/avoidance here.
@simian_essence
@simian_essence 5 лет назад
"Pretty deep analysis...." Yes, but it would have been so much better if you'd done more to address the question of why organizations like Navigant Research or Consumer Reports for example have Tesla either last or near the last in developing autonomous driving. Why is that?? Seems like an obvious elephant in the room that needs addressing in a video such as this.
@DecepticonLeader
@DecepticonLeader 5 лет назад
Because of legal reasons drivers in a Tesla are required to pay attention to the driving and possibly take over the car if there's an error. For that reason Tesla autonomy is not rated any higher than level 2. Which means they are barely on the list of autonomous driving. Which is rather unfortunate, but that's how it is.
@randomhobbies5796
@randomhobbies5796 5 лет назад
It's cool until your car tells you it doesn't feel like driving one day
@zippy3711
@zippy3711 4 года назад
Quite a lot of slop comes out of Elon's mouth.
@johng9562
@johng9562 4 года назад
To date Tesla has never delivered either on time or on budget ~ so will it be with this one. Further, the vehicle they revealed will not pass the NHTSA (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration). It needs: 1) proper headlights, 2) proper tail lights, 3) rear view side mirrors, 4) windshield wipers, 5) crash tests; which it will not pass as their are no crumple zones with the exoskeleton. That means the cybermobile will KILL anything it hits; cars and pedestrians alike, and it will also KILL anyone inside, as they (not the vehicle) will absorb the enormous impact. Yes it has a cool factor, but at what cost? Mark my words: the base price will increase along with the proposed production timeline ~ and in the end it will not look the same as it does now. And this is IF it is ever produced.
@stivstivsti
@stivstivsti 5 лет назад
Really no info about how far Tesla is with its autopilot in this presentation. My feeling is that the progress is very small, so they had to push this new hardware to distract investors from missing promised autonomy. Having huge datasets doesn't help with training neural networks, at least because data is not a bottleneck. Models are bottleneck, take state of art detectors like RCNN or YOLO, they still have too many errors to push this into production, pedestrian detection problem is also considered unsolved, if you look through overview papers on scholar.google.com. Lastest reports about disengagement rates show that all autopilots perform 10x time worse then human: www.theverge.com/2019/2/13/18223356/california-dmv-self-driving-car-disengagement-report-2018
@tatradak
@tatradak 5 лет назад
It's def learning.....if not Tesla would not be able to understand what its learning ..., but your right it's not adjusting live but waits for Tesla to allow it to adjust to it's learn.
@xDarrell
@xDarrell 5 лет назад
Tip: When you are making these videos, people don't watch them for a few months after you release them, and then never again. They will be watching this video 1 & 5 & 10 years from now. Do you know how ridiculous and antiquated it will sound when you say "now" or "soon" or "currently" "in the next 12 months" even 1 year from now. Date your stuff. Say "As of Spring 2019...." or "in 2020" etc.
@SPAMwd
@SPAMwd 5 лет назад
You're right, but that's why there's an upload date right below the video. This is news now, and affects us now. If people watch it later and can't figure out the timing... well, allow me to doubt their comprehension skills.
@webgpu
@webgpu 5 лет назад
WHY AREN'T THEY DESIGNING AN OPEN STANDARD FOR ELECTRONIC VEHICLE INFORMATION EXCHANGE? THEN TESLAS WOULD EXCHANGE INFORMATION WHEN ONE OF THEM WANTS TO DO SOME KIND OF ACTION, IE. OVERTAKE THE OTHER AND COORDINATE THIS ACTION AMONG ALL CARS AROUND (EVEN FROM OTHER BRANDS)
@shepherdsknoll8
@shepherdsknoll8 5 лет назад
When you consider the expense, how fragile and ungainly the lidar system is, you can see Tesla’s system has gone down the right street. The lidar systems have gone down the wrong streets.
@samguapo4573
@samguapo4573 5 лет назад
Same street the auto industry did with internal combustion engines.
@waynerussell6401
@waynerussell6401 5 лет назад
www.electrooptics.com/news/bill-gates-funded-startup-unveils-new-lidar-technology
@asharak84
@asharak84 5 лет назад
@@waynerussell6401 Thanks for the link! I'm generally critical of lidar in FSD discussions but that tech sounds very interesting. Doesn't solve all the reasons I am sceptical about lidar being mission-critical to FSD, but if it brings the price down it could much more easily become part of a broad sensor suite helping give a clearer overall picture of the surroundings. edit: So for example during snowfall the lidar could take a backseat to other mechanisms that are less difficult to de-clutter, such as visual combined with radar. During other situations such as driving into sun it could come to the fore while visual telemetry gets lower prominence.
@markplott4820
@markplott4820 5 лет назад
LIDAR is useless in Dust , Sand or FOG, RADAR can see through all of those and more.
@thinkpiece4334
@thinkpiece4334 5 лет назад
great video, this is exactly what i was looking for! thanks!
@jamesmartin5029
@jamesmartin5029 4 года назад
lidar is NOT "extremely expensive". Price going down exponentially. I think the last price I saw was just $200. Just a solid state chip now I think. Driving is a visual task, so cameras would seem to be the way to go to me. Musk says that lidar is a "crutch". I tend to agree, but cheap lidar could just be added for almost nothing if it is useful at all or has any application whatever. I don't see a place for it though.
@ArizVern
@ArizVern 4 года назад
Competitors have to sell their electric cars before catching Tesla. Version 2 chip was in development for 3 years, Version 3 chip already in second year of development. All Tesla cars do not have Version 2 chip. EDIT: Adding V2 chip to all Tesla cars that pay $7k for FSD.
@yabonjin
@yabonjin 4 года назад
Misses the mark and 80% is of article is speculation. I am rooting for Elon and Tesla and own a model 3. But the self driving features it has rolled out so far have many, many problems. And they are much simpler tasks than full self driving. Tesla and other companies needs a better path to full self driving. How about self driving closed track races? Duh??! It would be wildly popular to watch and safer way of starting to prove it can work. May the best car win. I mean throw in fake pedestrians, dogs, accidents, competitive drivers whatever and see how the competitors deal with it. My tesla utterly fails at lane changes. It can't do them automatically and when I agree to them it is clumsy. It apparently is not doing risk assessments and predictive behavior based on the driver next to me nudging ever so little towards a lane change (but an experienced driver knows from the situation and the slight movements that the SOB next to me is planning to try to get into my lane). Also machine learning has in NO WAY been proven to work effectively. This type of learning in humans is supplemented with other types of learning - instructions, rules, etc. I don't hear that even discussed with machine learning. Please be realistic.
@777Outrigger
@777Outrigger 4 года назад
Volvo will now use Lidar at a cost of $1,000 per car, in cooperation with Luminar. So the cost is now insignificant. And no, it won't have all that junk on the roof, but rather it will be seamlessly integrated in the roof. Yeah, things are changing fast. What you "knew" from last year isn't true anymore.
@rtonce
@rtonce 5 лет назад
I like electric cars. I hate the thought of robot cars, because it defeats the freedom of a car. We can use options of chauffeured limo or taxi or bus services. This feeling is why I just sold my Tesla stock as well as related ETFs in withdrawing my support in hopes that Tesla's direction and focus will understand that improving quality of life is good. Monopoly is bad. I do hope others will join me in helping to make this clear. Driving is a recreation, a skill and a freedom. To try to make the world safe means stupid people overrun our planet without natural pitfalls. Oh look, its happened already.
@waynes9163
@waynes9163 4 года назад
I didn't buy the FSD for Australia not even legal right now so saved money for later when I hope all the bugs are fixed and the price drops as it is only a software update. I have used autopilot quite a bit in my model 3 since getting her Oct 1 2019 only done 4k but it has made myself and the wife jump a few times? I'll be going along a clear road 70-100kph and approaching a junction with no other traffic apart from in rear view and the car will lurch quite violently in auto braking as though to avoid an obstacle, I put this down to shadows or line markings or something else its systems are detecting and have to put in acceleration to overcome so the car coming up my rear doesn't hit me since he too can see the road is clear and would not be expecting me to brake so abruptly, I guess this is what the analysis is for so I hope they get a lot better before I pay for FSD, I do love the 3 more than any car I have owned.
@denniss1211
@denniss1211 5 лет назад
OK ... I live in Montana. How is this going to do when confronted by a Deer, Elk or Bison. Will It stop or just give a warning? I just missed a Deer last night by a couple feet. It was 2400hr with a very light mist.
@marvinegreen
@marvinegreen 5 лет назад
A year or so ago I watched a Model 3 owner repeatedly drive on autopilot his Tesla around/through a improperly banked curve. He did it 3 times. The first and second time autopilot approached the same curve at an excessive speed and he had to take control and slow his car. The third time autopilot slowed to a safe speed on its own. Did the car "learn" independently? Or was the car blessed with a good AT&T cell tower nearby that allowed a quick upload to the Tesla net servers where the "learning" took place and then the new "learning" was downloaded to the car? You tell me. My guess is that 2 GPS locations are noted with a tag for appropriate speed, which is subsequently uploaded to the servers to communicate to any subsequent Tesla car that passes through those same GPS locations. Tesla cars "learn" independently then "teach" the network.
@lvtbus3167
@lvtbus3167 5 лет назад
Got my M3 end July. 3rd day drive Vegas to San Fran. mainly FSD and did great. On way down to SoCal my maps started to act up. Maps were literally spinning, and instead of coastal Highway I was driving in Ocean, instead of straight Highway it suddenly placed me in a 30 mile side street ready for left turn and abruptly reduced my speed down. Point is, GPS plays a role, but cameras come first. Just because it thinks I'm on a side street nav me for an upcoming left turn, it did not turn me suddenly into a divider on the highway. It was super annoying, and I badly wanted to use FSD on way home, it reduced speed which was rather dangerous but it did not drive me into a wall just because GPS thought it should. Neighbor asked what if it glitches... so it did and was still safe. Tesla store and mechanics did not know what to do and never seen that issue. Without an update it resolved itself over next few days. Less spinning to 45 degree map turns to back to normal. No clue what caused it. My thought was GPS module was bad, but guess not.
@foobarrel9046
@foobarrel9046 5 лет назад
When discussing the flaws of Tesla's AP, why don't you mention its fatal proclivity to pile into stationary objects at high speed? It certainly leaves a torpedo-sized hole in the Game-Set-Match theory.
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