Why "scout mindset" is crucial to good judgment | Julia Galef | TEDxPSU 

Ulfric killed Torygg in fair and legal combat

A statistical impossibility is defined as “a probability that is so low as to not be worthy of mentioning. Sometimes it is quoted as 1/10^50 although the cutoff is inherently arbitrary. Although not truly impossible the probability is low enough so as to not bear mention in a Rational, Reasonable argument." (*The probability of finding one particular atom out of all of the atoms in the universe has been estimated to be 1/10^80.) The probability of a functional 150 amino acid protein chain forming by chance is 1/10^164. It has been calculated that the probability of DNA forming by chance is 1/10^119,000. The probability of random chance protein-protein linkages in a cell is 1/10^79,000,000,000. Based on just these three cellular components, it would be far more Rational and Reasonable to conclude that the cell was not formed by undirected random natural processes. Note: Abiogenesis Hypothesis posits that undirected random natural processes, i.e. random chance formation, of molecules led to living organisms. Natural selection has no effect on individual atoms and molecules on the micro scale in a prebiotic environment. (*For reference, peptides/proteins can vary in size from 3 amino acid chains to 34,000 amino acid chains. Some scientists consider 300-400 amino acid protein chains to be the average size. There are 42,000,000 protein molecules in just one (1) simple cell, each protein requiring precise assembly. There are approx. 30,000,000,000,000 cells in the human body.)

Why? : D

100% Buddhism.

One of my favourite brains, too.

@@dipankarm4125 Excited for her book to come out in two weeks?

if you read a number of books day in day out, you will get there too.. I dont see that is from her brain.

@@audioplatform6299 that's the "mensa fallacy" Loads of people read as much as she does and don't reach the same place.

And at the same time remarkably kind and humble in her dealings with everybody I've ever seen interview her.

+Brian Tomasik Yeah, that's a crucial point, which I wholeheartedly endorse, but which often gets lost in my efforts to communicate simply. I do have thoughts on how to tell the difference, albeit imperfectly.

+Julia Galef A good scout will look at things from different perspectives in order to achieve a most accurate view of a world. The accuracy comes from where the perspectives intersect.

This is oh so true. I remember years ago once watching some sort of propaganda video talking about particular conspiracy theories. I ended up feeling really angry at the targets the video was directing me towards. Within a few days, I realized that I felt really emotionally manipulated and thought it was a sign that I had to stop to think about it for just a second.

@@richardgates7479 Many times holding conflicting views and leaving things as unknown

maybe too relaxedly curious for the tension release/laughing

Taqwa Warrag I find it interesting that you brought up that film, it's always been one of. my favorites - even LONG before I became the uber-skeptic that I am today. I guess one could call that "foreshadowing"...

😅🙏

If you honestly weigh up the facts, and the facts point unambiguously one way, then your conclusion doesn't depend on your prejudices. It's only when the facts are ambiguous that this happens. For instance scientific questions, where by definition the facts are ambiguous (otherwise they wouldn't be questions) - some scientists have one opinion, others think different, and this normal and expected. Not the same as scientific facts like "the earth is round" where it takes a deliberate effort to believe the contrary.

@@gerardvila4685 The facts don’t always point unambiguously in one direction. And there can be many subjective reasons why we would still be careful while looking for facts that both prop up and dispute our viewpoints. Over-arching this talk is the goal issue. The goals were being ignored: scout for a way to win a battle; hunt for a spy to win a war; build a ship (probably to fight at sea). Scouting for a means to something is a form of confirmation bias in itself - before scouting a necessary question is: why are we fighting? And then, how can we stop fighting and work for peace?

Yessir, with my current understanding, you questioning your own statement about believing you have a scout mindset is a perfect example of you using your scout mindset to find the genuine truth

I do too. She's got it all.

When she asked "What do you yearn for?" my answer was "You!"

lmfao

Yup agree! Her passion is my passion.

In the near future (just after the singularity) you can have her in a parallel universe:) Keeo the dream alive!

important in 2020... wish more people would watch it

Yeah... and Devil's Island is NOT "a barren rock" either! Surrounded by shark infested water... YUP! Filled with venomous centipedes and other creepy crawlies... YUP!

"...develop these capabilities..." They are not skills you practice, but mindsets for framing the emotions. Such emtional development starts in the home many years before schooling begins. If you think it's a failure, then it's at the home not the school.