Crazy right! I prefer his route more over this reclassification style. After his sophomore year he got his ged and went to play at CSN against some of the best juco comp in the country. He proved himself there by hitting over .400 if i remember correctly and set the hr record for the school. Also won golden cleats award as a juco prospect, only the second player ever to do that. I think that season showed why he deserved the #1 pick. If preps start skipping their senior year for Juco, I’d support that. As they have to prove themselves against older competition. But the reclass thing could get messy with MLB teams going heavy on potential ceiling over current prospect floor.
@@baseballprospectanalysis he hit like .440 and 30 something HRs in 60something games😂😂shit was insane i think proving yourself like that sounds good in theory but he was a 17 going on 18yr old Jr. (What he did in JuCo is STILL nuts) but thats SUCH A RISK TO be 15-17 playing with 18-20yr olds if you dont perfom well
@@backyardbaseball2006 totally agree! Honestly, the prospects we are seeing now are days are extremely impressive. Especially the arms now a days. Feels like every year there is a 15 year old touching or near 90. But I don’t think we will ever see another Bryce Harper. At least for the next 50-100 years. What he did was insane!
I remember when Bryce Harper did this. Because he was Bryce Harper. I expect nothing but disappointment But hey, if we’re giving 16yr old Dominicans $M’s … Skipping College Baseball allows them to avoid an endless supply of ruinous coaching and spiteful ex players.
I like the argument you make in this video, though I really do wonder how many of kids we will see reclass. Caminiti, Griffin, and Franco all would've been on the verge of 19 had they not reclassed, plus this year's prep class is relatively weak, so the opportunity felt perfect. Now, if we see some of these insane 13/14 year olds reclass, then there's a problem and that's where I think regulation will be needed. But, with that said, you did a great job breaking this down. Kudos to you, my man.
Thanks man! Appreciate it big time. That’s very true, they would have been on the older end of the spectrum in their previous class years. Hopefully we don’t start seeing 13/14 year olds reclass. I see it a lot in prep basketball now. Mid to high level prospects are reclassing up and down to find the class they can compete best at long and short term. Not a great situation!
Well it depends who you are. In terms of the general public, it depends how active you are in the college/high school recruiting and travel ball space. Those of us that follow it closely have seen most of these guys since at least their sophomore year if not sooner. MLB college scouts generally start to learn about these prospects around their freshman year, unless they are dominating the middle school circuit nationally.
I coach a lot of these guys in the previous couple drafts and have a couple prospects in this years draft. HS and college guys. I’d love to get on a call with you about this years draft. Appreciated the video, great insight. I’ve got some info about this years draft that I’d love to get your opinion on! Lmk if you’d like to. Just subscribed as well. Thx !
Very true! I follow prep basketball a bit, and have noticed this trend the past 5 or so years become more prevalent. Hoping baseball doesn’t follow in its steps. Younger kids outside of sports have been graduating high school early for years, by getting their GED. All for different reasons. But I do remember watching the spelling bee championships growing up as a kid, and seeing kids my age going to college. Crazy to think some children are that smart!
Well, in a MLB organization’s eyes a prospect who is 17 and 10 months old generally has more physical projection than another prospect who is 18 and 8 months old. Despite them both technically turning 18 before their potential freshman year of college. The other big point I was making in this video, was the reclassifying situation. The amount of players reclassifying this year is alarming. And there are no set rules for stopping a 16 year old from jumping two years to the MLB draft. When it comes to age in the MLB draft, it’s a big factor as it also plays into the mileage a kid has on his arm. If a prospect reclassifies after his sophomore year, skipping his junior year to become a senior. They have now eliminated 1000’s of throws off their arm, making them even more valuable to an MLB org. For years, youth arm injuries have caused rec and high school leagues to try their best to implement pitch counts and safety protocols, yet we continue to have an alarming rate of torn UCL’s by prep players. When an MLB team gets to draft a guy who only played 3 years of HS ball, it’s big to them as they have 1 year less of that mileage to worry about.
@@baseballprospectanalysis Thank you for taking the time to respond.... as for pitchers, I'd like to think, more maturation and training would lead to longevity... same could be said for positional players.. so, college is actually the ideal situation..
I don’t fully disagree with you. I agree college is certainly needed for 90% of players. Others, it is not needed and may actually put them in a worse draft position. Each prospect is unique due to ability, projection, ceiling, and injury history. Thanks for your reply!
Unfortunately, if you go the NCAA route it’s 3 years or when you turn 21. For Juco it’s just 1 year. That’s why you will see some top prospects choose juco over the D1 they committed to.
“The Mets', Padres' and Yankees' first picks dropped 10 spots because they exceeded the second surcharge threshold of the competitive balance tax by more than $40 million.” - MLB
Yep! Generally, prospects out of high school will take 4+ years to get to the MLB. Obviously there are always different situations resulting in a longer or shorter development timeline. College guys generally will take 2-4 years. Of course these situations are all based on a prospect who develops properly and is talented enough to make the MLB. Most prospects drafted will never see the MLB. Only 6% of players drafted make it to their MLB debut.
