Why Wagner Failed: How Intelligence Leaks Doomed the Mutiny

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On June 24, 2023, the Wagner Group initiated and terminated one of the fastest mutinies in recent memory. Why did it start and finish so abruptly? A couple of new intelligence reports generate some critical insights. Russian intelligence had uncovered the plot, forcing Wagner to accelerate its timeline. After failing to accomplish its initial step, Wagner leader Yevegeny Prigozhin may have panicked. Lacking contingency plans, a convoy set out toward Moscow. Soon thereafter, Prigozhin realized he was in a delicate position and opted to retreat.
This video goes into the details of the leadup and execution of the plot, analyzes some of the intelligence reports' implications, and speculates on a deeper counterintelligence plot.
0:00 Surprise in Coups and Mutinies
2:03 Prologue to the Wagner Plot
6:47 What the Intelligence Reports Say
11:08 Why Putin Made a Concession
11:56 Putin's Future Security
13:25 Are the Intelligence Reports Fake?
15:01 #whereseveryone
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Government of Ukraine:
www.zoda.gov.ua/news/21782/vi...
By Kremlin.ru:
tours.kremlin.ru/tour/senate/124/
tours.kremlin.ru/tour/senate/159/
archive.government.ru/eng/docs...
www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi...
kremlin.ru/news/20604
en.kremlin.ru/catalog/keywords...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
en.kremlin.ru/catalog/regions/...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi...
www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/tr...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
By Mil.ru:
structure.mil.ru/download/imag...
structure.mil.ru/management/i...

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16 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 721

@mtheory3 11 месяцев назад

"If you come for the king, you better kill the king" I still think this will end poorly for Prigozhin no matter where he is and even if the FSB has plans for him

@zulubeatz1 11 месяцев назад

You are assuming the Russian FSB will still be a working entity in a few months time.

@Edax_Royeaux 11 месяцев назад

But Prigozhin may have just came for the Minster of Defense. So what does that mean?

@mtheory3 11 месяцев назад

He probably did intent that originally, but he should have known that Putin would not accept the march to Moscow as anything else but a direct threat against him, as seen by him fleeing to St. Petersburg during the time

@Edax_Royeaux 11 месяцев назад

@@mtheory3 The MoD is also a direct threat against Putin, continuing to fumble a war that erodes Russia's military and economic strength.

@j3dwin 11 месяцев назад

Someone's been listening to LTG (ret) Ben Hodges too.

@HT-ww3zg 11 месяцев назад

"I'll take Australian Powerpoint Masters for 1000, Alex." "Who is Perun?" 😂

@huwenkai440 11 месяцев назад

You should pay a clear difference: Wagner rebelled with the aim of toppling Russia's main war generals. And while Prigozhin harboured ambitions to become the next Russian Tsar, Prigozhin is not a friend of Ukraine. Basically, I have long felt that it was about Putin vs Putin 2.0.

@theplumbum82 11 месяцев назад

I don't think so, Prigozhin's Wagner has a serious Nazi problem and outright Nazis would perhaps be the only option worse than Putin.

@cxzact9204 11 месяцев назад

Prigozhyn is not a friend to Ukraine, but he may have destabilized the situation just enough to create a drop in front line morale for russian soldiers. The mutiny ending in a resounding nothing burger will have had at least a marginal effect on soldiers' outlooks, and every marginal gain means something in a war like this.

@ejtattersall156 11 месяцев назад

He is no friend of Ukraine, BUT, unlike Putin, his personal honor is not staked on it. We did hear Prigozhin say that the war was based on a false premise which gives him an out. It is also true that both setting up a new regime and pressing the war is a heavy lift, one Prigozhin may not have been able to do. So Prigozhin in Moscow by default might be a better alternative.

@syon600 11 месяцев назад

ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-OvXguRJb_ro.html

@lethalfang 11 месяцев назад

The more infighting among Russians, the better it is for the world.

@thornshar 11 месяцев назад

There is still some key piece of the puzzle we don't know. Prigozhin, even post "March for Justice", seems to be moving freely to Moscow, St. Petersburg, and Belarus. Wagner's troops seem to be free to move to Belarus, strengthening Lukashenko's hand in a way that Putin can't be happy with. I don't think this is all happening because Putin promised something; he is quite capable of breaking his promises, with the least provocation and incentive (and Prigozhin surely knows this). Prigozhin still has some reliable, ironclad guarantee of Putin's upholding his end of whatever deal was made, and we don't know what it is.

@-Mitra- 11 месяцев назад

See Wagner/Surovikin business in Syria, CAR, South Sudan and Kongo - gold, potassium, silver, cadmium, oil, gas and other resources from there. The Russian journalists went to CAR to investigate if Wagner belongs to Prigozhin and what the hell they are doing in Africa. These three journalists were cold murdered, Putin knew it all. Also look up for Navalny's team investigation about Surovikin's personal business in Syria.

@zulubeatz1 11 месяцев назад

Read my comment above and give me a take on it please.

@Applecompuser 11 месяцев назад

I agree. They may want operate from the North.

@aaronleverton4221 11 месяцев назад

@@zulubeatz1 Okhrana,, Cheka, OGPU, NKVD, KGB, FSB. Which one of these is not like the others?

@-Mitra- 11 месяцев назад

@@aaronleverton4221 fact: long time ago in the 16th century there was also the Oprichniki service of Ivan IV Terrible. Oprichniki and oprichnina are the old predecessors of all those institutions you've listed, and especially of the Great Purge...

@thepolticalone961 11 месяцев назад

Putin heard the alert music

@u2beuser714 11 месяцев назад

Red alert?

@RightHandedFridge 11 месяцев назад

❗

@Adirbal 11 месяцев назад

*Metal_Gear_Solid_Alert_Sound_Effect.mp3*

@mikestewart4752 11 месяцев назад

Probably smelled them coming too.

@Ar1AnX1x 11 месяцев назад

@@u2beuser714 Kirov reporting

@slartybarfastb3648 11 месяцев назад

I personally believe Gerasimov was aboard the Ilyushin-22M airborne command aircraft. He hasn't been seen or heard from since the shootdown. Perhaps Surovikin was arrested because it was a SAM battery, or interceptor under his command who performed the shootdown. Possibly under direct orders from him? Until the Russians produce 'proof of life' in regards to Gerasimov, I think this theory makes the most sense. His HQ was captured, and he instead was calling the shots from an airborne command center.

@TammoKorsai 11 месяцев назад

That's a possibility. Though it could be weeks before we know for sure what actually happened.

@oafhuck6637 11 месяцев назад

sirovikin was never arrested, thats fake news

@danielhale1 11 месяцев назад

Most news outlets will pick a narrative they like and go with it. I really like that you explore the information available, what it tells us, what the likely narratives are, and how much we might want to trust that information. Bravo!

@meso8848 11 месяцев назад

But but but .. this channel is a 24/7 propaganda channel! 😂 you gotta stop sucking these bs auto video

@modernNeanderthal800 11 месяцев назад

The explicit pronunciation and vivid imagery understanding the details outlined here seem almost elementary

@TammoKorsai 11 месяцев назад

If Prigozhin was indeed pocketing ammunition for the mutiny, that was a smart way to go about it since he could drum up some popular support by framing it as persecution of his group. In turn, it gave him another reason to leave the frontlines, thus having more people for his abortive wild ride to Moscow. On the other hand, there may well have been a deliberate withholding of ammo and Prigozhin over-rationed his ammo in order to hold it in reserve for his plot. I don't think the extra casualties bothered him deep down as long as his plan could move forward.

@oohhboy-funhouse 11 месяцев назад

Prigozhin absolutely had a stockpile with no need for complicated reasons you outlined. As a warlord, you will stockpile ammo for contingencies, no harm in having options. You might not have any designs for hostile promotions, but in such an environment you always have a target on your back. Russia is a Mafia with a country, not a country with a Mafia.

@SianaGearz 11 месяцев назад

I don't think it mattered? First thing they did in Rostov is raid the ammo depots and gain control of the airfield so they could redirect more ammo and for protection. Nobody stopped them and supply problem solved. There isn't really anybody to fight them in Rostov and they knew that. If their plan leaked they should have known the Generals that they wanted to introduce to the sledgehammer wouldn't be there, so it was probably just captured for gravitas and supplies. You can extend this logic. They coldn't fight a full on army anyway but they would't need much ammo to just gain respect and show they mean business. In turn to storm Moscow or something they'd need some actual army to defect to them and they'd redirect their ammo supplies alongside, plus just capture depots, so it wouldn't matter if they have enough up front.

@JoshSweetvale 11 месяцев назад

Shoigu: "Dude, I gave you 10.000 cases of ammo!" Prigozin: "Stop lying, you gave us 5000 cases!" Shoigu: "I hand-picked the guys doing the delivery. Nobody nibbled during transit. _We gave you 10.000 cases."_ Prigozin: "Putin, I am swearing to you, Shoigu gave me 5000 cases, not one more." Putin: "M-hmmm..." Shoigu: "But-!" Putin: "Stop! Both of you, shut up. Check your supply trains - again - and get _receipts._ Right now I believe neither of you; the problem is somewhere in the middle. Now fuck off." Some time later: Prigozin: "Hehehehe... more ammo for the _party."_

@aaronbaker2186 11 месяцев назад

I remember some complaints by Russian regulars that they were suffering ammo shortages so Wagner could use a lot...

@TammoKorsai 11 месяцев назад

That's not too surprising. I imagine that it's not too hard to bribe a logistics officer to divert some goods.

@Gorboduc 11 месяцев назад

Technically a Wagner Opera should have a prelude or "Vorspiel", not a prologue. And I'm choosing to see Prighozin as Alberich from now on. 👌

@raro344 11 месяцев назад

I call this the case agaisnt wagner

@Kannot2023 11 месяцев назад

Vorspiel is prologue in German

@ronald3836 11 месяцев назад

All major actors need a Leitmotif!

@casper8464 11 месяцев назад

In Dutch it would literally translate to 'voorspel'... Which is foreplay... Isn't that similar in German? In English and Dutch the sexual meaning is dominant...

@casper8464 11 месяцев назад

I'd rather not connect such a thing to Wagner 😆 The political bits already ruined the musical part of it, that is more than enough!

@BiggDaddyBubbles 11 месяцев назад

It's just speculation but I think I may know or have a plausible explanation for why Surovikin is the mole for Wagner and attacked Wagner: Surovikin wanted to back out of the coup when it was discovered by the FSB. Now, it's not clear whether Surovikin was playing both sides against each other in some mad juggling gone wrong or whether there is another possible mole for the M.O.D in Wagner, but it seems to me that whatever that initial situation was Surovikin decided to back out of the mutiny once the FSB and M.O.D had discovered it. He probably tried to convince Prigozhin that it was over and the plan was doomed without the element of surprise, and to save his own life he should run- but Prigozhin figured (probably correctly) that if he didn't get some sort of guarantee he would (and still could) be hunted down. That would explain why Surovikin's troops are the ones that went on the warpath to stop Wagner- the lady doth looked to protest too much against Wagner to shout loudly and proudly his loyalty to Putin and the M.O.D (his video in that bunker with the rifle) to try as hard as possible to steer attention away from himself as the possible mole for Wagner. He knew that when it was discovered by the M.O.D that Prigozhin knew they discovered the mutiny that his treason could be exposed, so its likely he was privately begging and then threatening Prigozhin to turn around and go home, possibly even believing that if he killed Prigozhin and took control of the situation he could steer suspicion away from him permanently or perhaps be the first on the scene to destroy any evidence on the convoy that could prove his link to Wagner.

@oohhboy-funhouse 11 месяцев назад

Surovikin statement had the vide of a hostage video. He appeared to be in a bunker and was armed. A General has no business being armed unless things are dire and someone with hostile intent is eminent. No matter which side he was, he knew he was screwed.

@javiermontiero4982 11 месяцев назад

That Jeopardy list is amazing. Shame it's associated with tragedy and war crimes.

@Goulmy86 11 месяцев назад

Perun for the win😂

@blogsfred3187 11 месяцев назад

Yep!

@mnorth1351 11 месяцев назад

He puts an impressive amount of time into details like that!

@BattlefieldRoBin 11 месяцев назад

@@Goulmy86 it’s crazy someone could get so popular with PowerPoint. He is a legend!

@Neophobic 11 месяцев назад

I used your channel a bit while i struggled with a Game Theory course in college and now since graduation, I have the time to really focus on my interest in the subject. I came back to see that your channel has changed in leaps and bounds! The subject matter you've covered since is impressive! Thank you!

@u2beuser714 11 месяцев назад

This might sound outright evil but the only good thing that came out of this war is your channel. It really makes me like political science even more

@evolvedape3341 11 месяцев назад

Just don’t pursue a degree in it unless you plan to go on to law school. Believe me - I know from experience.

@frederickhoffman853 11 месяцев назад

He is actually an economist, I believe. He taught game theory to the guy who taught me.

@psielemental 11 месяцев назад

There is another: It made my country - Germany - switch to green energy faster.

@Phlosioneer 11 месяцев назад

The channel has been going for a long time before the war. The war wasn’t even a pivot in topics, he was doing current events and such, though it’s definitely gotten less technical and more streamlined. I can’t remember the last time we saw a table of actions and utility scores, or a decision tree. I’m not sure about popularity increase and can’t comment on that. If you like the channel right now, there’s 30+ videos before the Ukraine war but after the lecture style content. Of them, most are puzzles, but about 6 or so analyzing current events or real situations. My memory is a bit fuzzy so I’m not sure on exact numbers, but I remember e.g. the Zillow, email scam, and soccer tournament videos being analysis, not puzzles.

@JonathonBarton 11 месяцев назад

Several countries joining NATO, some chaos in Russia, Highlighting the importance of the annexation of Crimea (in much the same way that 9/11 highlighted the 1993 Trade Center bombing), the EU moving toward green energy MUCH faster than before... I'll go with the pivot on the channel being the _4th best thing_ to come out of the war...

@TJ-vh2ps 11 месяцев назад

I’ll take “Australian PowerPoint Masters” for $400. 🤓 Thanks for the cheeky Perun reference! Your channel and his are two of the best out there covering stuff.

@dawyd_cz1465 11 месяцев назад

This might be a coincidence, but I just sat down to take a dump when I got notification. Bless you

@paulsto6516 11 месяцев назад

Don't forget to pinch.

@templar23 11 месяцев назад

William Spaniel: Brother, I really both enjoy and appreciate your takes in your videos. Clearly we are both of the 'Ally' faction, but even still I very much enjoy integrity when it comes to being objective - It's just as, if not more, important. Keep it up, respect from Sweden.

@suicidalbanananana 11 месяцев назад

Thanks for the video & analysis! 👍 Prigozhin is on the stylized picture of the kremlin building, a little below center at 11:58 didn't notice the others appearing anywhere

@stephengibb1020 11 месяцев назад

6:53

@luckystriker7489 11 месяцев назад

That's actually St Basil's Cathedral. The Kremlin is across Red Square

@RangerB66 11 месяцев назад

I think there is a part missing here. Last summer when Surovikin took over in Ukraine, he immediately became 'chummy' with both Pregozhin and Kadyrov. Don't forget, these three took to twitter and Telegram to lambast the MoD and pat each others backs about making advances compared to regular Army units. I distinctly recall one of the two outsiders (Pregozhin or Kadyrov) exclaiming they could run the war effort better and along with the 'Butcher of Aleppo' (Surovikin), knew how to brutalize their way to an RFA victory. I remember thinking at the time that these three were pushing the limits insinuating they could run things better; unheard of talk in a military hierarchy. It seemed pretty obvious to me what they were alluding to. Shortly thereafter in quick succession, Surovikin was demoted, Wagner took a break (before volunteering for Bahkmut), while Kadyrov took his unit home. I'm not clear on why Kadyrov came back and why he was on the road to Rostov; I know what he's claimed publicly, but his unit is still not on the front line so why did he come back in the first place. He was rather quick to move on Rostov, without being told. Lots of open ends still.

@hungrymusicwolf 11 месяцев назад

11:40 "But we do not live in ordinary times" - indeed, we have been granted the dubious blessing of living in interesting times.

@nicolasbraschilehmann6043 11 месяцев назад

Thanks for the video, please keep them coming!

@virginiatyree6705 11 месяцев назад

Another terrific post William! Thanks for posting; appreciate.

@marcosgarcia6056 11 месяцев назад

Finally! Was waiting for you take on the reasons.

@TommyBahamy 11 месяцев назад

Always excellent analysis, thank you!

@JHJH-se3pe 11 месяцев назад

I love how much youve been uploading lately thanks

@geoffgoldsmith7607 11 месяцев назад

William I can’t wait for your updates. Your insightful updates are so informative.

@MDCDiGiPiCs 11 месяцев назад

I'm loving the higher tempo of releases here, Thanks William

@mullenio4200 11 месяцев назад

The funny thing is that, on this situation, the more moderate faction won. We would all like to see Putin go, but it's scary to think who might replace him in this boiling kettle that is Russia in 2023.

@JR-zv7ws 11 месяцев назад

You really outdid yourselves this time William. Excellent analysis.

@meso8848 11 месяцев назад

there is no analysis .. this is a propaganda channel.. nothing interesting

@arkboy3 11 месяцев назад

@@meso8848 jail...jail...jail...

@honestkyn718 11 месяцев назад

@@meso8848 as we know the only trustworthy source comes from whoever you believe

@TammoKorsai 11 месяцев назад

@@meso8848 Go make a better channel, then.

@enpakeksi765 11 месяцев назад

@@meso8848 Assertions without evidence are best disregarded.

@Alexandragon1 11 месяцев назад

Thx for the video!

@galatheumbreon6862 11 месяцев назад

your videos are always a treat, it breaks down the going ons of the war really well. you also have a great narrator voice

@REVOLVER_NOIR 11 месяцев назад

Another great video. Thank you kind sir 😊

@bentimmer295 11 месяцев назад

All the time you prolly put into thinking up those Jeopardy titles wasn't in vain. Those were hilarious my guy And that Perun shoutout 🤙

@gerhardphann 11 месяцев назад

Thank you for your excellent analysis. 👍

@mnorth1351 11 месяцев назад

5:29 Those are some epic Jeopardy categories! I love the "Australian PowerPoint Masters" category. Someone's been watching Perun. 😉

@Lucas-df4ht 11 месяцев назад

Love how your content has moved away from lines on maps metaphors. It’s a huge improvement! I’ve gone from reluctantly following your content because it’s so good to eagerly awaiting new uploads. Keep up the amazing work up!

@DarknessDShadow 11 месяцев назад

Honestly, I love your cheeky segways into the book plug

@Subjectivity13 11 месяцев назад

I will truly miss the memes of "Where is the ammunition, Shoigu?!" Those were fun. I didn't know Shoigu was supposed to be in Rostov, though. That would have been wild, but it's not like things could have gone back to normal after taking out the head of the MoD. I doubt the end result would have been much different.

@jordanpanas3832 11 месяцев назад

Amazing as always!

@Survivor_Man_o_Fury_2012 11 месяцев назад

After having just watched one of channel Business Basics synopsies on this topic (superb coverage on China from them btw), I must say it is so very refreshing to hear a content creator who actually knows enough of the topic on hand to correctly pronounce the pertinent names and places. Kudos to you Mr. Spaniel 👍

@bikenavbm1229 11 месяцев назад

Interesting angles thanks

@evanpeckham391 11 месяцев назад

Thank you William

@Ununpentium 11 месяцев назад

I really like your analyses!

@azmodanpc 11 месяцев назад

Cool, more lines and more maps, mostly together and sometimes moving!

@Rascofresco11 11 месяцев назад

Lol I really love your hidden Easter eggs. Very nice touch with Prigozhin in the Cathedral.

@phil9322 11 месяцев назад

Very interesting and detailed as always. Thank you for some great analysis.

@Richardiii2 11 месяцев назад

Perun is indeed the Australian PowerPoint master

@chronus4421 11 месяцев назад

Thanks!

@Fishboi420 11 месяцев назад

THANK YOU for calling it the Wagner Opera. I think this is the best name to remember this event by.

@Khal_Rheg0 11 месяцев назад

Thank you!

@cOtToNpIkIn420 11 месяцев назад

Beautiful Willford...gotta do a remix...Peace Brother...

@Room78774 11 месяцев назад

Love the Perun reference at 5:30. Game recognize game

@theconqueringram5295 11 месяцев назад

There are a lot of news reports that only scratch the surface here, so I appreciate this deep analysis.

@stevenjohnston7809 11 месяцев назад

Good video.

@TheKobiDror 11 месяцев назад

5:30 The Jeopardy categories are just hilarious. I had to pause for them and had a great laugh 😂Nice reference to Perun #wheresprigozhin ... well he's at the (fake) Kremlin right now 😉- don't want to spoil too much

@upperechelon9776 11 месяцев назад

Always the best!

@rikvermeer1325 11 месяцев назад

May your humor prevail! I certainly had some good laughs :D

@BriansRCStuff 11 месяцев назад

Slava Ukraini!🌻🇺🇦🌻🇺🇦🌻🇺🇦

@nickorme8112 11 месяцев назад

Was the "Australian PowerPoint master" in the jeopardy panel a reference to Perun?

@peterhaendly8652 11 месяцев назад

could we please celebrate the hilarious Jeopary Chart Headlines at 5:28? Absolutely overlooked 😆

@nvelsen1975 11 месяцев назад

5:32 "Australian Powerpoint Masters" I love the nod to Perun there. 😆

@sirclifforddrakemalcolmjac5870 11 месяцев назад

I always love the jeopardy categories!!😁😁😁😁 P.S. is that cristpoh waltz of gerasimov on top of the withe house?? And prigozhin on the kremlin??

@brucemckean2848 11 месяцев назад

Thanks

@pokefan2009 11 месяцев назад

Always excited to see a new video.

@neolexiousneolexian6079 11 месяцев назад

5:28 "Australian Powerpoint Masters" Love the Perun reference!

@Menstral 11 месяцев назад

Fantastic

@TrassseB 11 месяцев назад

Video every 3 days…. Nice 👌 keep it up

@GrouchierBear 11 месяцев назад

There was a story on CNN about a CIA guy saying the war in Ukraine has been a goldmine for recruiting intelligenc assets in Russia. I feel like the only reason the CIA would have said that in a public forum was just to make Putin extra nervous.

@thecrazycapmaster 11 месяцев назад

“By the way, we’ve been planting SO many moles in your operations. Who, you ask? Well, on that note, I’ll be seeing myself out. Good luck!” 🤣

@doublejacketjimmy391 11 месяцев назад

I feel like initially Prigozhin's goals was to do something about Shoigu and Gerasimov but he didn't expect that it would go so easy without any resistance and it turned out to be a mutiny. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

@ronald3836 11 месяцев назад

It does not make sense that Prigozhin would think that Putin would let himself be ordered by Prigozhin to sack the people around him. In my reading, Prigozhin avoided mentioning "Putin" only for tactical reasons.

@Edax_Royeaux 11 месяцев назад

@@ronald3836 It would make sense if Prigozhin thought Putin realized the war in Ukraine was doomed. This mutiny gives Putin an out, but it appears Putin is going to double down with an even weaker Russian Army.

@ronald3836 11 месяцев назад

@@Edax_Royeaux there is no indication whatsoever that this was meant to give Putin a way out (and that theory is very different from "Prigozhin only wanted to remove Shoigu and Gerasimov").

@Edax_Royeaux 11 месяцев назад

@@ronald3836 There is no indication that this wasn't meant to give Putin a way out either. Presumably Prigozhin would have benefited if Putin took his side during the mutiny.

@ronald3836 11 месяцев назад

@@Edax_Royeaux there is Occam's Razer.

@tilted_axis9819 11 месяцев назад

It’s a weird feeling to know that events that made me look at my phone and say “wait who is doing what right now?” Will be taught to kids in school like events I was taught about as changing the course of society.

@gwyonbach5973 11 месяцев назад

Watching history occur in real time.

@AnthonyRHudson22 11 месяцев назад

This video is absolutely excellent. Thank you. (And I can't believe no one chose "Steven Seagal's Greatest Hits" because that is what I would have led with but I guess they were saving the best for last... @ 5:30 ) 😂😅

@Phlosioneer 11 месяцев назад

Replying to someone else, I realized that you don’t put stuff like decision trees or utility tables anymore, even though you sometimes describe them with words. Is that just a production limitation due to increased upload pace? Or did you find that was affecting your viewership, and intentionally remove it?

@richardparadox163 11 месяцев назад

Not sure that I believe that Moscow was the backup plan. According to what I saw on Twitter as things were unfolding there were two Wagner columns from the beginning, one head to Rostov-on-Don and one headed to Moscow, even while the first column was securing Rostov. Furthermore, the Moscow column had tanks loaded on trucks with fuel canisters. While the Rostov column was mostly tanks on the ground bulldozing past border checkpoints. They had the logistics to march to Moscow prepared in advance. I do believe the coup occurred earlier than planned after the MoD fired on Wagner, possibly because they found out what was happening or predicted it based on Prigohzin’s rhetoric which maybe meant they weren’t ready to take Moscow and didn’t get to capture Shoigu and the other guy. Prighozin himself said June 30th was the plan date. I saw speculation that the march to Moscow was supposed to take place on Scarlet Sails Day when Putin and Medvedev were going to be in St. Petersburg, either so they would be out of the capital, or there was a plan to capture them in St. Petersburg that never occurred.

@SianaGearz 11 месяцев назад

I like that you represent Prigozhin in the uniform of his culinary company. 4:35 Prigozhin: Salt yours? SALT MINE. 5:30 OMG WHAT WHY IS THIS SO PERFECT! 4:45 Stop. Sledgehammertime! (keywords: Wagner, Nuzhin, sledgehammer, EU, violin-case) May i relay a little bit of an observation made by i think colonel Hamish de Bretton-Gordon at The Telegraph. Shortly after mutiny announcement videos by Prigozhin, there was a public video message by Surovikin, urging Prigozhin to stand down, published barely within hours. So this journalist notes that some things are highly unusual about it, for one Surovikin doesn't appear to behave quite right, also he's unshaven which never happens, and most damningly he's not wearing his shoulder rank insignia, while being in uniform. He concludes that by that point early on in the coup, Surovikin was likely already arrested and stripped of rank, and the video message may have not been entirely voluntary. In a voice message to the world after the mutiny, Prigozhin said they actually split up right up front. He headed a group that captured Rostov on Don; while Utkin headed the Moscow storm path. There has been a video message today as well. I think he would be wise not to let us know his location, but he isn't what one would call missing.

@Deltarious 11 месяцев назад

Prigozhin was easy to spot in this one as you showed him twice and him being quite close to middle of the screen was triggering my peripheral vision sense from the contrast of his outfit against the background- I was able to spot him even though I was mostly only half looking at that screen for most of the video

@dylandarnell3657 11 месяцев назад

3 times, actually.

@chewypwn 11 месяцев назад

Jeopardy categories. *Chefs Kiss*

@General12th 11 месяцев назад

Hi William! In the absence of a sudden and complete surrender on Russia's part for the sake of saving lives, I'm looking forward to seeing how this drama unfolds. The orchestra's piece has only grown more complicated.

@WasLostButNowAmFound 11 месяцев назад

5:29 Australian Perunpoint Masters 😂😂😂😂

@lydiazafra3476 11 месяцев назад

Ty William as usual love your analysis always praying for Ukraines victory ❤and prayers from USA take care see u next time

@nothingvenured.nothinggain4589 11 месяцев назад

@11:09. I spotted a sneaky #wheresprigozhin too.

@jorgecaballerocastillo2435 11 месяцев назад

This video had almost the right mix of lines, maps, and lines on maps. I was truly waiting for the lines on map running joke till the point that I was thinking in the comment to write happens that they did not appear,

@wesleyallen1173 11 месяцев назад

For fortuin strums a mournful tune for those whose campaigns peek to soon.

@JohnPeter1940 11 месяцев назад

13:34 Tiny Progozhin i found him !

@BlessedAreTheCheesemakers 11 месяцев назад

"One Flew Over The Coup-Coup's Nest" is a high quality pun.

@user-cd4bx6uq1y 11 месяцев назад

Showing off some impressive video editing toys

@seanm241 11 месяцев назад

5:30 brilliant jeopardy categories

@monsterfurby 11 месяцев назад

The way you took that Jeopardy pun and ran with it is just *_chef's kiss_*

@richardtabor8686 11 месяцев назад

love the jeopardy board

@richbattaglia5350 11 месяцев назад

Prigozhin attempting to steal power by taking out his associates is the most Russian action of the mutiny.

@mxjame546 11 месяцев назад

That really dump to begin with. Prigizhin was gonna come after Putin but he was found out than try to diverse his original goal by stating he aiming for those general

@advancetotabletop5328 11 месяцев назад

IIRC, Before the ammo social media thing, the RMD had Wagner pull out of some battle Wagner was winning, and rotated in RMD troops, so RMD could take the credit. Thanks for the video!

@jochenkirn9468 11 месяцев назад

Jeopardy is gold!! Who is Perun?

@srouwo7669 11 месяцев назад

5:29 "Australian Powerpoint Masters": Hm, who could he mean by that? 🤔😂😂😂

@luckystriker7489 11 месяцев назад

06:53 #wheresgerasimov is on the Whitehouse roof 10:11 #wheresprigozhin is at Saint Basil’s Cathedral Couldn’t find Surovikin

@ED-es2qv 11 месяцев назад

Well, I was surprised.

@Kurzula5150 11 месяцев назад

I like how you've only used images of Prigozhin in his catering uniform.

@ronald3836 11 месяцев назад

Once a c(r)ook...

@TammoKorsai 11 месяцев назад

SHOIGU! GERASIMOV! WHERE'S THE LAMB SAUCE?

@danielAgorander 11 месяцев назад

Secret Prigozhin at 11:58? :D

@nabbar 11 месяцев назад

I love your Jeopardy board at about 5:30.

@frogturtle 11 месяцев назад

Between Mr. Spaniel and Perun’s content I feel informed enough to replace my college history professor with seven degrees

@Phlosioneer 11 месяцев назад

If only teachers were paid enough and trained enough to make nice animations for their lectures. Animation really makes a lot more things bearable or even interesting.

@advancetotabletop5328 11 месяцев назад

RU-vid: Better than your high school education, and much cheaper, too.