Get more out of your credit cards with Kudos → save.onelink.me/4iKP/davidlin Use code "DAVIDLIN" and earn $20.00 after your first eligible purchase! Submit to us your questions for Prof. Hanke's next appearance! My email: david@thedavidlinreport.com Prof. Hanke's email: hanke@jhu.edu As always, "like" this video and subscribe!
Will Your Assets Be Confiscated? As a former cop, and a veteran of two urban riots, please allow me to share my thoughts. If those in "supposed" power attempt to seize assets that required a lifetime of hard work, blood, sweat, toil, time, tears and sacrifice to earn and save to benefit themselves and their families, then all semblance of a social contract with that government will be shattered with no turning back! If everything is taken, then what does a person have to lose? Believe me! I have witnessed the reality of uncontrolled urban riots decades ago, and the nightmare of that truly frightens me to the core! CBDCs must be stopped at all costs as well, as I genuinely fear that could mean the end not only of personal freedom, but the Republic, and quite possibly the end of modern civilization itself. What would be the incentive to dedicate yourself, work hard and sacrifice only to allow bureaucrats to control every aspect of your God-given life?
listen to likes of judge Napalitano on internet and Greg Mannarino about finances issues. I have, certainly explained a lot more to me. The what, whenfores and how.
If a man with nothing lands on the moon, mars, or a desarted iland. The first thing he should do is form a goverment and central bank so they can print there way to take care of him! Lol governments create nothing they only take away from those who do to give to those who wont. man with nothing is just a man working hard to injoy life before a big goverment takes it away.
Go read the book , The Grapes of Wrath. Everyone was losing their farms due to rising interest rates , demand collapsed , jobs were lost and prop. taxes increased. That is how asset seizure occurs.
@@marteanderson7963 no it doesn’t, that was a lesson from history that farmers have learned, they must take care of the land or they will not survive, now it is the government and the big ngo’s that cause the financial ruin of landowners, then they can legally buy up that land and restrict the natural production of our food, they are playing the long game, where we will be eating bugs and lab grown food, and growing our own food will be and actually is starting to be outlawed, look at the Amish farmer being persecuted for not having broken the law
I’m glad you brought this book up. I have read it three times. The first two times it was a story about our history. The third time, it was a futuristic novel! History repeats itself.
Our economy struggling with uncertainties, housing issues, foreclosures, global fluctuations, and pandemic aftermath, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.
this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
I appreciate it. After searching her name online and reviewing her credentials, I'm quite impressed. I've contacted her as I could use all the help I can get. A call has been scheduled.
You don't need an Oxford degree to understand that if you mindlessly give away money for ten years, encouraging people to go into debt, and then suddenly do the exact opposite, the country will go into disarray.
Communist control over a population is impossible if they are affluent and not necessarily educated but intelligent with the ability to improvise and innovate. @@BigJohnson-g3j
This professor has the same sense of humor when I was a teenager. It’s kind of endearing to watch a genuine soul so unaware of how the world around him has become calculated and corrupt.
Prof Michael Hudson said what he learned by going to university for an economics degree was that the professors didn't understand economics, what they were good at, was teaching the 'accepted theories' that were mostly wrong. He started out as a financial analyst for a major bank, I think it was Citibank.
@@William1866 He's actually not a Trotskyite, and I seriously doubt you understand what that would mean anyway, but he's still far better than this clown. The only thing this guy has going for him is that he's telling you what you want to hear.
@@William1866 Do you even know what being a Trotskyite would mean? I guess you think mass democratization and having a united front against far-right parties would be a problem. In any event, check Hudson's history, he averaged about a decade in each position and each change was at least as good as the one he left, by comparison, Hanke's career is, well, he never really did _work,_ he was an advisor while he wrote books and supported the disastrous Reagan move to 'supply side economics', most of his positions were a couple of years at best. Between him an Laffer, they helped set up the conditions for the hollowing out of Western economic systems and the obscene income disparity we 'enjoy' today.
We still have massive inflation. Gasoline now is at $4 in my state. Highest ever. Food prices are going through the roof. My homeowner's insurance doubled. My car insurance doubled. My electric bill went up 30% +. I just got rid of my internet service because it went from 40 to 87.00.
@@Superliegebeest0 I have no TV, no TV service, no internet (only at this time), and I use my phone for comments like this. A cell phone does just about anything and everything.
David seems rather impatient today. I know sometimes it seems like Hanke's brain is processing at the speed of a dial up modem, but he is pretty smart over all and correct about most things. Worth listening to and being patient for.
@@Fearzero Actually he's not I don't think. I reckon one would be a fool to dismiss lightly, such a learned mind with so many decades of experience on the effects of fiat currencies. Just my opinion.
@@Fearzero Intelligence doesn't correlate with future quotient (understanding new technologies' role in the future). If he was very into technology he would be investing into startups and 3x'ing his money every year
talk about fertility and wealth inequality. If both potential parents need to work to make ends meet this is a disincentive to burden oneself with chidren. The share of labour of the economy has declinde since the 1970ies. A common story in industrialized countries is: My father had a simple job , provided with his income for a family of 4 , build a house and got rid of the mortgage before his retirement.
You are talking about all of us having to work longer because the life expectancy keeps rising but the opposite is the case, life expectancy in the US has been going sideways or dropping for 10 years now.
The sanctions imposed upon Japan by the US prior to the Japanese attacking Pearl Harbor worked just as the US government wanted them to work. So the statement that sanctions never work is invalid since sanctions can be effective in provoking a response which can include war.
I have heard something to the effect that the bankers told Roosevelt that he needed to find a way into the war. Key event followed. Today, I believe the plan is to get a huge war going and drive investors into the safety of the US Dollar.
He’s just saying anything negative about republicans basically which is expected from a professor. He also mentioned “what’s wrong with decreasing population?” Which is a constant talking point lately at WEF among elites. Then he contradicted himself when David pressed him on the fact more population correlates with better life’s across the board
Jobs are disappearing, Stelantis, Tyson, Quaker Oats. Pride trucking had 20k rigs going BK. 371 of the 99 cent stores are going out of business. This is just the last few weeks.
99 cents stores dependent on product closing a irregular supply vs walmart and kroger not a chance, quaker oats might as well forget it no one eats. pride trucking cant compete, tyson hires illegals, stelantis cost control less workers more automation cost cutting and deletion of companies that cannot compete under current the current enviroment
Very Good Interview David! Steve Henke is spot on ! He is the definition of common sense ….. people need to listen to him very closely ….. he says it all ….. people should listen to what is being described and hear the truth instead of hearing what they want to hear.
People need to wake up and realize the money they have is relative to the money supply, and they are losing 3-6% of its value every year. Opt out and buy bitcoin....or get in the stock market.
@@Scorch428 The powers that be want you in crypto…. That is the next step to the Fed coin. I’ll stick with Gold and Silver. Bitcoin is just another form of fiat currency.
Steve Hanke might think inflation will be within the 2% target by the end of the year, but I don't! Now we have Neel Kashkari saying no rate cuts before year end, oil moving towards $100 a barrel by Summer and potentially $150 by year end natural gas flying up and Biden failing to refil the SPR as he said he was going to. Inflationary pressures in the US are far greater than deflationary so my money is on inflation rising quite sharply and not being anywhere close to 2% by year end.
Huawei executive wasn’t in jail. She was under house arrest in Vancouver living in her very comfortable looking home. Canada has a mutual agreement with the US regarding persons under investigation. Canada paid a severe political price and monetary price to the two Michaels held hostage by China in response. The Michaels actually were in jail too.
Japan is a good example of how far and how long this can go on. So do you want to be eventually right or make money. If you want the former, listen to Hanke.
Pushing back what age you can retire is so short sighted. Just because people are living longer doesn't mean they are able to keep working longer. People after 60 usually put out lower productivity so keeping them working because we can't guarantee they are housed and fed is a failure of the system.
One opinion is that gold will not be confiscated as it was in 1933 because there simply are not enough people holding it for the government to go through the trouble of confiscating it. The rough calculation is that under 2% of the worlds gold is privately held in the US. Back when it was confiscated nearly every citizen held gold
The rise in PM is because gold is going to the east and central bank have been stockpiling for years. Why . Confidence in the Petrodollar is waning! They most know something and have a plan. Joe is spending $1 Trillion every 100 days. What happens when our government can’t even pay the interest of the debt. More tax’s , inflation, CBDC, more control.
@@Fearzero You are excited about btc fluctuations as a speculator. But to solidify your profit you have to sell it. You can buy it again when btc prices drop. This is a great speculation, but it is not fulfilling the definition of money. Real money is stable.
Good interview, with 1 exception. Older people don't pay for the debt being accrued today, younger people do. If you're 80 and retired, you've got another 10 years above ground at best. If you're 40 and still working, you will quite literally be paying for this debt until the day you die in 40+ years. Deficit spending is a tax against the young.
65 Y.O. here .... This past two weeks I spent $7500 tax on a new vehicle, $9,000 on property taxes, and $25,000 income taxes. I also gave them $120 in tolls this week, $120 in gas taxes, $30 in motel taxes for one night....(thank goodness I brown bagged my lunch and had tap water to drink. ) Then there is the inflation tax the government has stolen from any fiat I had, when they ran deficits and doubled the money supply during 2020/21. Lad, they are going to tax you until you get buried, and then tax you on that too.
Why don't people who talk about Social Security ever talk about the number of people who are dieing (leaving the system) and when the numbers of dependents start to decline. The elder population should reach a tipping point where they for some period of time should have less stress on the system.
Summary: Fed saying it is "data dependent" is just an excuse to print money as long as the ensuing inflation is confined to housing inflation and stock inflation, rather than consumer+wage inflation. This is what happened in 2008-2018. As long as China would sell us goods and Saudi Arabia would sell us oil, accepting the US dollar as payment, although USD was continuously being devalued due to money-printing, the Fed was happy, the rich got richer (increasing house+stock prices, tax breaks paid for by printing money (rather than having the spending paid by taxing the rich)), and the poor got poorer (their labor and savings lost value every year, but the poor got by via inexpensive China consumer goods. In 2018-2020, Fed was starting to unprint money because people were starting to wake up to the reality of the inflation damage being done. Then the March 2020 Covid19 panic-printing of 5T USD happened because Fed wanted to protect the wealth of the wealthy. And absolutely horrific inflation occurred in housing, stocks AND consumables (food, energy, ....). And here we are. The country is a giant disaster and we are starting wars all over the place to cover up the problem and make other countries pay the price of our sins. Similar to 1918-1929, and one major cause of World War 2.
Great stuff fellas! Keep it coming. It's cool having a producer question in the Q&A, I wouldn't mind seeing that on the reg. Side note: D-Leezy's hair game switch up's are baller af.
I understand the Professor places great weight on the money supply contraction / expansion which is supported with an enviable track record on inflation predictions. Surely the record level of debt which continues to be accrued in the US is also a very important consideration. As a regular listener, I'm almost thinking that if the Money Supply is in balance correctly the Professor is suggesting the economy will be Ok. Surely there is a limit to the amount of debt the US can bear regardless of M2. I would respectfully suggest that once the ability to service debt has been breached beyond available revenue from taxes or other forms of revenue, the economy is but a short distance from collapse regardless of M2.
This is outstanding content. The Prof is fantastic! I've never studied economics but time and again I go to Prof Hanke here on utube, to fill that void and understand what's really going on in the economy. Occasionally we get real gems on what to do in "the markets" (This episode the 10yr bond). So my questions? 1/ Is there an online course I can do? ( John Hopkins Applied school of economics would be awesome!) to broaden my knowledge of the quantity theory of money? and 2/ What primary source book on the quantity theory of money, should I read? (as a lay person to economics). Thanks
1. Yes,... the "commercial war" with china is all the US's fault, The US, who made china a world class manufacturing base, is being unfair against china. And the US is confiscating American assets,.. according to Hanke. But when an American company does business in china, it has to be owned 51% by a chinese/CCP company. That's not unfair,.. according to Hanke. And sanctions against russia for attacking Ukraine is also unfair against russia. America is just one bad country and should bow to if not be punished by china and russia who should be allowed to do whatever they want. Btw,.. that's sarcasm,... and I despise the senile ole joe admin for destroying the country,.. but America is not the unfair one here. 2. And as I explained in other videos,.. his tired ole Quantity Theory of money doesn't work to determine inflation,.. or not in developed economies anyway. And his taking the log of MV=PQ and differentiating to create an addition equation, didn't make anyone's "eyes roll back". The Hanke "golden rule" hasn't worked. And it's not due to the black magic of the "long and variable" lag. The only place where inflation is strongly proportional to money supply and NOT supply and demand in general,... is in these 3rd world sheetholes where they print money out the wazoo and Hanke gets his anecdotal data. This is fiscal dominance. They don't have a functioning bond market because interest rates would be astronomically high. Otherwise, in normal economies,... inflation is a function of supply and demand of commodities, labor, technology,,.. and on and on,. and to a major degree the supply and demand of money,.. which has 2 components,.. that effect it 1. monetary policy and 2. fiscal policy which act much like real and imaginary numbers in trigonometry or a phasor diagram in electricity and magnetism or 2 or 3 dimensional vectors in mechanics,.. where fiscal policy, deficits spending, helicoptering checks is projected on a vertical axis and monetary policy where the Fed adjusts interest rates or does QE is projected on the horizontal axis. The more projected on the vertical axis, the more it contributes directly to inflation. Because monetary policy is used to provide or restrict reserves to the banking system,.. which uses those reserves to generate money through loans that are attached to an asset and an obligation to be repaid. Not necessarily inflationary. Just see Japan. Fiscal policy, these days,... involves direct payments to consumers with no asset attached to it or an obligation to pay it back. Extremely inflationary. Japan doesn't do that. We're not quite at the 3rd world sheethole stage yet,.. but we're getting there, Hanke needs to retire.
We are living with the inevitable result of deindustrialization, finacializarion, rentierism, an astronomical debt to gdp ratio, and declining standards in education and culture with concomitant political dysfunction. That unfolding result is collapse.
Thank you for this interview david. I actually like to listen to Dr hankey. He actually breaks things down in a way that I understand believe it or not.
How can you say that inflation is on its way out when we are adding $1,000,000,000 to the national debt every 100 days? Do you think we’ll just be able to pussyfoot around the inevitable? We might be able to kick the can down the road until you die but the young people in this country have no hope of a future in this economy. Too many inflationary pressures for inflation to go away at current rates. Interest rates need to be above inflation rate to quash inflation.
They have known since 2001 that there would be a population collapse due to aging and declining populations, see United Nations document about migration eong a solution to aging and declining populations. The is a political agenda of the UN Sustainable Development Goals around migration. Migration is supposed to help make our systems solvent. These migrants are the new labor pool. There a global conversation about raising the retirement age. This is why the boarder is open and the US Congress voted in the Office of the New Americans. Americans are being gaslighted.ven more concerning is that the US State Department under Kissenger put out the Kissenger Report, which discussed using agriculture and education to reduce fertility globally. This came out in the mid 1970s. About the same time "The Limitations of Growth" from the Club of Rome.
What are the prof's views on china's alleged threats to u.s. economic & national security interests viz., e.g., theft of intellectual prop, acquisition of farmlands, charges of spying (see S.D. gov's address before congress), floating a balloon across N.America, social media influence, & non-reciprocal trade/ econ. policies?? what is prof's def. of a "commerce war"?? these concerns go beyond that.
@@alexk1843 how much deflation will we have after the bubble burst is the question? After the bubble burst in 1929, and then again in 2001 the stock market went down more than 83% both times. I suspect when it happens again, house prices will collapse more than 90%. Everything returns to the mean.
Today, you need to install 1 app from the shop, 3 more apps, just to get reasonable prices that you got 15 years ago before having any app or phone. If you travel to other area, you are just screwed by shops not knowing about these.
As a physician, I almost ALWAYS have to “water down the wine” so patients can understand doctor-speak. Over the yrs, I think I’ve done a pretty good job. This guy, and other economists like him, seem to run in circles with their laborious explanations. Now I get the money velocity concept! Well, I’m being polite. Even the interviewer was squirming but then tried to clarify money velocity. Both did a poor job, imho. Yes, mathematically, it can be complex. All the more reason to know your script so well, you can forget it. Then explain the concept.
Please ask professor how is it that we keep hearing that money printing is out of control and at the same time the money supply is shrinking this sounds contradictory please clarify
I think it’s related to the programs in US. Like IRA initiative, debt forgiveness for student loans, welfare…. Etc so these initiatives pump $$$ into the economy, rather than the money thrown out of helicopters etc during covid…. Just my theory anyway
It's impossible for the US to go "bankrupt". It has a printing press and can service any debt denominated in dollars. Of course, that's not to say that the printing press can't trigger a destructive bout of inflation.
I don't agree with Professor Hanke's analysis, because he's using published governmental data. He's assuming that current inflation is 3%. That doesn't reflect reality. Shadow stats has inflation at 10% to 12% inflation and the Federal Reserve has stated that the 2% targeted inflation may have to revised to 3%.
Ya I think in one of the previous videos hanke answers a question about total liquidity. Hanke disagrees. He says there is no evidence TGA outflows have worked that way historically. Like no example of an economy where fiscal policy was stronger than monetary policy. I think Howells point is that the modern economy is financialized. So debt just gets turned over. There is not much capital spending anymore. Therefore liquidity is all important - getting loans for your existing debt. And that’s why every financial issue in the past 20 years has been related to financing debt. Howell also disagrees the yield curve has inverted and says the inversion is artificial due to treasury t-bill funding.
I would have loved private social security. The government steals some of my social security ( windfall) because I worked a job with a pension during my last 20 years. So unfair! This needs to change.
And, money that I put in and don’t use should go to my heirs, not back to government. It was my work/money/time that went into this…..my heirs should benefit. If there would have been an opt out option- I would have done that on a heartbeat and put that money into a Roth.
How do you ignore the fiscal disaster, the outrageous borrowing and spending when you analyze inflation? That seems to be the trick here. You look at monetary policy but you ignore fiscal policy which is dramatic and outrageous. We are going to have very high inflation this year. You don't have to be a genius to know that.
I watched most of this video but missed the part where he discusses if assets will be confiscated can anyone tell me what he said regarding this? Thank You
I really appreciate all of your interviews, but you almost always ignore the impacts of increasing wealth inequality. Yes, there is high debt, and your guests, especially Mr. Hanke, talk about various types of austerity measures, but you never talk about taxing multi-billionaires - whose wealth has increased substantially while debt has increased. Yes, we will need to make sacrifices, but those who are the most able to sacrifice should do so. The rest of us are tapped out.
Singapore ask retires to move out of their big apartment and get a small apartment close to their children and pay a stipend of half the cost of the apartment but must be a close to their children 1/4 mile max. No other social security is automatically given 7:25
