Hi ~ I'm Tony from Betting-analyst, a high-end betting professional with over 30 years of success.
I make tutorials explaining how;
Beginners can easily profit from using systems & simple strategies.
Intermediates can build a strong Network, and scale into the next stage of professional betting.
Advanced bettors can maximise returns, invest in resources, and optimise set-up.
Unlike many Sports betting channels on RU-vid, Betting-Analyst isn't out to sell you anything! My motive is simple, a dislike for Greedy sportsbooks, and a belief in paying it forward!
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This channel is for educational purposes only.
It all comes from the xG (expected goals), and most Poisson calculators will pump out the chance for correct scores. One I used in this example (sinceawin) had goalscorer grids!
This guy is a professional. He understands their moods and behaviors. But no matter how well one know these animals… There’s always that (((ONE))) time! But I’m sure he’s well aware of that. He obviously loves these animals, and is willing to take that risk.
Pretty good commonsense tips, disagree with dont cash out... I have made money i would of lost if I hadn't of cashed out early..So that statement you made is rubbish.....!!
@BettingAnalyst Hi I need help answering a question I have! I’m from the UK and have signed up with AsianConnect to access pinnacle but I’m using cryptocurrency as my deposit/withdrawl method. Dose this mean I will have to pay TAX because it is withdrawn to my bank through crypto and not an online UK bookmaker??
Hey mate great advice. What options do i have after all my valuable accounts in Australia have been restricted apart from betfair? Can i use brokers or any other options? I am a very knowledgeable sports bettor and built my bankroll over a few years now turning great profits i just want to plan out how to move forward after i eventually get restricted everywhere online. Thanks
If you are an originator of bets, then Brokers are an alternative! However, you need to know that most Asian bookies are Football first, while Tennis, NFL, NBA and MLB are 2nd tier (with the exception of Pinnacle). Also, limited opportunities with parlays, and side bets because it doesn't fit into the dynamic odds module! On a positive note, Betfair will be available at a lower commission rate than you pay in Aus, and you can use other exchanges! And, in-play betting (difficult in Aus) is another positive aspect. Other alternatives nearer home are 3rd party betting accounts ( finding accounts - every dog for themselves). That would come at a cost (paying/profit share), and you would need to smarten up with technology (no a standard VPN isn't enough).
Since you stopped short on making a statement, I will try and explain! 1. You are not the Sportsbooks client (The broker is). 2. The likes of Pinnacle use what is known as Dynamic odds = They work like the forex, in that when one side is punted the odds fall and the opposite happens at the other end. They are called 1% books, in that lines are consistently adjusted to reflect market demand. 3. One misconception is that the limits are massive for everything - That is only true for high liquidity leagues. For Mickey Mouse stuff, limits are low and the margin is increased. These are not Parlay Bookmakers (soft books) - they work in a very different way to what the average Jo is used to. First get educated on the system - then feel free to report back.
@@BettingAnalyst I only bet money lines on major US sports, mostly underdogs. So you're telling me if I hit 90% winners in a season and make 500 units they'll still allow me to get?
@@_Chris_D_3004 Pinnacle also has a Winners Welcome policy, meaning that no matter how much or how often a bettor wins, they are always welcome to bet again. Additionally, we offer the highest limits online - our volume based model means we are happy to take bets of up to $1,000,000 www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/educational/what-can-bettors-learn-from-pinnacles-biggest-ever-payout/3392l676l3h4t2he (From the Pinnacle site - same for exchanges such as Betfair - Most other books within the agent system are focused on Football (soccer to you). The only thing is residents of the US/UK can't open accounts (officially) - so that's when you need someone from an accepted country & IP change to help.
It’s quite clear, Tony. Here in Mexico, most bookmakers offer the 2-0 “in advance payment” for the 1X2 market. You know, if a team wins by 2 goals difference at some point, you get the bet as won (in case you backed said team). Sometimes that might be the explanation for the 1X2 and the -0,5 AH odds difference. All the best.
Hey Sergio - Good observation, but the 12-cent dip is way over the top! In Mexico are you getting Bet365.com, or a local address? Also, such incentives are only available to losing accounts. It doesn't explain why the EH (3-way) is the same odds (no incentive), or many other bets within the system. Even sharps have different odds within the system - check out Pinnacle, and you will often see different odds between the -0.5 and the win, and not always in favour of the AH!! What can we do - other than look for every advantage possible?
@@BettingAnalyst Here we have Bet365 with a .MX domain. The betting market is fairly new and is at a growing stage, so many bookmakers offer a lot of promos. Also, from what I’ve seen I would say that 95% are losing accounts. Definitely one can only take advantage of such conditions where possible.
@@stentasch if bookmakers accept correlated parlays it's going to be with adjusted odds. From then on it's going to be a question if the maths are favourable. While I'm sure some oddsmakers will make mistakes, I would suggest you stick with doing parlays on different games with favourable odds. Yes I like the idea of middles if you can get favourable numbers, like 3 & 7 in NFL. Take every advantage possible.
I think that nowadays bookmakers don’t even have to try very hard to attract and retain customers. I mean, some people will believe almost anything. I’ve seen many “tipsters” that don’t even hide the fact that they work for a bookmaker, and they have thousands of followers. Always happy to watch your high value content, Tony. All the best!
Hey Sergio - I agree! I would break the average punter into the following categories: 1. Loyal losers - One bookmaker (usually a top name) account & expect to lose the same sum each month. 2. The superstitious: They lose everything in one account, and believe the platform is jinxed for them! 3. The easy sell: Give a dog a bone and he's your new friend. Give the punter a regular bonus or a big FTD and they will be onboarded! The mentally weak consider a rebate on losses (offshore tactic) to be a win! They join sportsbooks that give out free tips and have ongoing brainwashing in place (live pictures with pundits talking a load of crap! This Paul Merson (google him with same terms and you will understand) kills me! A big-time loser who admitted to being addicted - and he's giving out tips!
For those who want to check out Rebelbetting ( shorturl.at/dwLNQ ) and Oddsjam ( fas.st/t/7Zkb9FAB ) - Alternatively, use Google to see what you are offered locally!
Yes - you are on the right track! Loads of betting shops in the UK - usually close to each other. If you ever visit a town in the UK you will see plenty.
@BettingAnalyst these may sound crazy but are the racing forms in the UK printed with the exact same info like in the states? I would think that the DRF, daily racing form list some tracks/races in the UK too?
@@TheBucktowncrazy This is the go-to for racing form: www.racingpost.com/ In the UK/Europe tracks are different to the States, in that most of our racing is on turf, and courses have great variety - You can watch replays of races on racingtv and attheraces (great for form study).
Never bet what you can't afford ,don`t change you mind , don't be afraid to bet odds on , never chase losses and if you win early get the F out of the bookies before you give it back
I have question do you play challenger tournaments with less known players or only major to medium tournaments with the bigger and higher ranked players?
We feel that liquidity is too low for Challenger/ITF tournaments. If you are well informed, betting at lower stakes, and able to get on without damaging accounts - Challengers would be fine!
Australia tax free to punter.....bank cards used regularly.......New Zealand poor relation to Australia bookies ....Australia far superior to NZ....your reseachis poor on pacific.....USA ARE VERY POOR backward and not sophisticated because most punters are very naive with punting......and you get personally taxed on any win over $700.......
USA - Massive bonus incentives (advantage of being young)! Plenty of PPH betting with slow lines - You clearly have no idea! Australia - 5% Betfair accounts - No in-play betting over computer - Bloody brilliant!
Thanks @NaCreagachaDubha : The point of the exercise is to make it clear how the extra points add to your bottom line. How about the Bet365 example which moved the same bet (within the platform) from 1.91 to 2.03? Learning to get more out of the Sportsbook is a good starting point, and its the same when using Asian accounts (such as Pinnacle) - different odds about the 1x2 and -0.5 (same bet) because they are not aligned - good luck
Hi! Great video. In Finland there is one major con as everything you win from outside the EU/EEA area are taxed. They are at the moment taxing single wins and you can't offset your losses so you can effectively only make money on EU/EEA books. Luckily Pinnace is one nowadays.
This video is a bit more complex, we have loads of different levels to cater for! Once you learn everything is about the odds - it all becomes easier. My advice - keep an open mind and work on the understanding - once you have that, you will progress!
@@duanemitchell1275 I think most other Sports betting channels are to promote, entertain, and tell people what they want to hear - This channel is for education purposes, and for that I'm telling people what they need to learn if they are going to make the next stage. Some will understand, others will be clueless. Its just the way things are! Good luck
Some gaming companies are rogue in that they are difficult payers. However, most just limit/ban winners, but they do pay! Professionals tend to use Asian brokers and exchanges, whereas advantage players open 3rd party accounts (gnomes). As a winner you always have to be ready for the challenges, but you know the saying: ''the bigger the problem you solve - the more money you make''