7 Disruptions You Might Not See Coming: 2023-2028 l Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo 

🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 00:00 🎤 Introduction to the Topic of Disruptions - Introduction and setting the context for discussing seven significant disruptions. - Emphasis on embracing unexpected disruptions. 02:16 🌍 Defining Disruption - Clarification of what constitutes a disruption versus mere change. - Historical examples to illustrate the concept of disruption. 04:35 🚀 Overview of Seven Disruptions - Preview of the seven disruptions to be discussed. - Mention of generative AI as a notable disruptive technology. 06:27 🧠 Generative AI's Unique Impact - Exploration of how generative AI differs from previous innovations. - Discussion on the transformative impact of generative AI. 08:03 🌞 Geomagnetic Storms and Internet Disruption - Potential impact of geomagnetic storms on internet infrastructure. - Historical instances and future risks of such disruptions. 13:07 💻 AI-Driven Legacy Modernization - Role of AI in modernizing legacy systems. - Benefits of AI in understanding and refactoring legacy code. 17:29 ⚖️ Regulated AI - The necessity of regulating AI technologies. - Impact of regulations on the pace of AI adoption and innovation. 20:53 👵 Golden Age of Silver Workers - The increasing productivity and value of older workers. - Utilizing generative AI to enhance the capabilities of older employees. 25:46 🛒 Laggard Companies and Startup Acquisitions - Opportunity for conservative companies to leapfrog through acquiring startups. - The emerging trend of established businesses buying innovative startups. 30:09 🏗️ Rapid Engineering Innovation - The acceleration of innovation in engineering and technology sectors. - Companies adopting faster failure and learning cycles for rapid advancement. 33:23 🌌 New Space Race and Geopolitical Competition - The resurgence of the space race driven by technological advancements. - Impact of space technology on global geopolitical dynamics. Made with HARPA AI

This view is very American and conservative on the timeline. ChatGPT was introduced only 11 months ago. And just look what have been accomplished in the Generative AI space in 11 months. This is a good sell speech to sell Gartner products and services so take it with a grain of salt

Politics & Democracy needs a major overdue Disruption

You are missing the loss of biodiversity, which may be hitting humanity harder than anything on the list.

Can't make sense of much of the talk. Is it based on figments of imagination or reality? How do you use generative AI to evaluate patents? Need a person more proficient in AI to give this talk.

No mention of "electrify everything" and new renewable energy and their impact on the geopolitics of oil and gas, nor of ecological devastation coming home to roost, nor of the fertility crash and its geopolitical and business implications? Generative AI may have moderate impact but it will take generations for its effects to be fully seen. Just like with fridges, tube TVs, and fax machines.

That " instead of jet packs we get Twitter" is a Peter Thiel quote.

“You have to become the evangelist for self-destruction” was a rather apt Freudian slip. I would say that there was way too much competitive thinking in this talk, far too little talk about ethics, the value of regulation, and ways to minimise Moloch thinking.

That was very insightful thank you

OMG. The problem with legacy systems is NOT THE CODE. 🥺

"Here's a scenario that could disrupt all our systems". Advice to CIOs: "Create a list of critical systems". Ah so glad we solved that one! 😀

Yes it's important to regulate AI but we need to regulate the Internet and social media first

The silver worker discrimination is a real issue. Part of the problem is that there is a real loss in some experience overtime that does need accounted for, but there is also still viable experience and the potential for new valuable skills that shouldn't be ignored. The reality is though many silver workers need to start again to a certain degree, they need to move down again in decision maker matrix, and focus on learning again.

Thank you for pointing out the benefits of the Silver Workers. I have learned so much and want to mentor and share and continue to learn. We challenge all "isms" - ageism is one as well.

16:23 so he really didn’t build pong in 69 seconds though, did he? It took time thinking about and write the correct prompt to get the correct output. It probably took time to setup the IDE and the code framework for the pong code to sit within. I’m not saying LLMs aren’t transformative. I’m saying you have to be realistic with all the time it takes to generate a useful product, not just cherry pick the optimisation. The other aspect is, there are plenty of examples of Pong code to copy from. I wonder how well the LLM does for novel solutions.

감사합니다. 통찰력있는 강연.

Just wow. The ONLY non technical disruption you could find is a Carrington Event (Geomagnetic Storms)? Really? We should all get down on our knees and pray that generative AI solves the massive energy imbalance caused by GHGs in our atmosphere in the next 5 years, or none of theses disruptions will even make the top ten.

Fun Fact with Gartner he is the same way who says GenAi is the peak of hype in another presentation and here says GenAi is the answer for future

Right, the problem with the user not getting the software they wanted is because the developer didn't listen, not because the user did not articulate what they wanted properly. I've been designing and developing software for over 25 years and I can tell you that the vast majority of the time the software that's delivered is not what the user wanted is because the user did not articulate what they wanted properly. AI is not going to fix that it's going to make it worse because developers will often say hey I don't think you meant this did you mean that and will interject a lot of corrections and they will also help users understand how to do things better and AI is just going to blindly give you what you asked for and you're going to be like holy crap what is this?!?!

Hi I'm Ariful Islam leeton im software engineer and members of the international organization and investors public and private sector and co founder open A i

I’m a silver worker yet but can’t help but be fascinated and playing in AI. I will use my mind u til the day I die!

At the rate SpaceX can launch Starlink satellites this would be a minor issue, based on the fact that there are so many in orbit, even if half of them were knocked out by this. They would simply get the remaining satellites to change orbit slightly to cover the losses until the next batch are launched in the next month or so. Today's word is "Redundancy" ;)

🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 00:35 🔄 *The importance of adapting to unexpected disruptions and the challenges they present.* 01:18 🌐 *Presentation of seven imminent disruptions that might be overlooked or underestimated in their impact.* 01:33 🔍 *Introduction of the Gartner Futures Lab, focusing on predicting and preparing for future disruptions.* 02:29 ⚖️ *Differentiation between simple changes and disruptions that fundamentally alter systems or behaviors.* 03:28 📊 *Use of a digital disruption scale to measure the intensity of various disruptions.* 04:50 🤖 *Discussion on generative AI's transformative potential and its projected revolutionary impact in the next 5 years.* 05:31 🚗 *Analogy of market enhancements to illustrate the scale of technological disruptions.* 06:12 🧠 *Exploration of generative AI's unique characteristics, including its potential to redefine human capabilities and competitiveness.* 07:10 🚀 *Emphasis on understanding the applications and risks of generative AI to maintain competitiveness.* 08:03 🌌 *Hypothetical scenario of geomagnetic storms disrupting internet access and its far-reaching impacts.* 09:25 ☀️ *Historical context of solar flares and their potential catastrophic effects on modern infrastructure.* 10:48 🛰️ *Prediction of increased solar flare activity and its implications for Earth's technology systems.* 13:07 💻 *AI-driven modernization of legacy systems, enhancing efficiency and reducing reliance on outdated technologies.* 14:28 🧑‍💻 *Generative AI's role in streamlining development processes and reducing the gap between user needs and application functionality.* 17:29 ⚙️ *The need for regulated AI in industries and government to manage ethical, legal, and operational risks.* 20:41 👵 *The 'Golden Age of Silver Workers': Valuing older workers' contributions in the workforce enhanced by generative AI.* 22:55 🛠️ *Reconceptualization of work models to better utilize the experience and knowledge of elder workers.* 25:46 🚀 *Conservative companies leveraging the acquisition of startups to innovate and leapfrog industry leaders.* 28:05 🌐 *The potential of conservative companies to transform industries by embracing startup technologies and innovations.* 30:09 🏗️ *The increased pace of engineering innovation, accepting and learning from failures to accelerate development.* 32:26 🌍 *A resurgence in the space race, driven by advancements in AI and lower costs, leading to new geopolitical and economic dynamics.* 35:43 🌟 *The future potential for space technology to revolutionize industries and establish new territories and resources.* Made with HARPA AI

i do wish the speaker was shown. Very engaging.

IBM was the first company to upgrade its legacy systems with AI.

Is the presentation available for dowload?

So did your think tank not consider the complete change of the world reserve currency and world monetary policy (long term) by shifting to a store of value with limited supply as not even rising to the level of world wide disruption? Or are you not paying attention to bitcoin? Kinda embarrassing to have such a huge miss. But not just monetary policy will change but blockchain will change many things from how we handle medical records to how we handle real estate titles. Disruptive change is coming. Not to mention the benefit bitcoin mining will have on balancing our energy grids (already providing value in texas to mitigate blackouts), lowering costs to consumers & electrifying areas of the planet not yet electrified for the first time in history. Bitcoin mining also helps by reducing global warming methane emissions by using flared gas & landfill methane outgassing as fuel. Just a lot of disruption you missed.

education is always good. education is transformational . try having a conversation with a high-schooler, with a bachelor's holder, with a master's holder... great differences. huge differences.

We need a global regulation on satelites. He was right to point out how cheap and easy it has become to put a satelite in orbit. That actually is a danger for our ability to continue to go out further. Too much space debris! If every company is allowed just to put their shit up there, as so often every will have to pay for it.

22:58 that’s a dangerous thought process. One way you could people in the workforce longer is to take away their ability to reach financial independence. That would be terrible for individual sovereignty.

A Solar storm could take out the cooling system's for nuclear power. The water powered engine could be that engineering disruption bigger than generative AI.

Superb presentation thanks

Notice... nothing about religion. There are HUGE shifts in religious observation in the US. This will change society.

Great talk.. though petered out a bit towards the end.

disruption 8: AGI autonomous superintelligence. game over

A great communicator

Thank you for the insightful presentation.

The his was good!

very nice

⚡️🧑‍💻🦺⚙️

I don't see BLOCKCHAIN technology here.

You guys gotta spend more time on research and less on presenting and trying to sell us barely analyzed stuff. And PLEASE! cut the 90s stand up style! And Coke and Captain Kirk!

The AIs will review the market and device that the best currency they can use among each other is Bitcoin

That's just hogwash.

Just a tip, if you want people to take you seriously don't tell them you got into pokimon go. Sadly the inability to identify and avoid bs hype is pretty common these days.

I have no interest or knowledge in this topic, but I like listening to this lecturer😂

So much waffle.

Very great speech, one of the best for of its time. Thank you😅