You probably won't see this but....I agree with alot of your topics other than this one. Russia is thriving and acting like us in the 1950s. Due to similar booms in various industries and in house manufacturing plants, they too will also experience a birthing boom and in 70 years I could really the population going up. Also this country is doomed by the left to promote soft, flaccid men. You also discussed this before and could not agree more. Russia doesn't have woke problems, and the world is unifying under bricks and doing something about it.
And that Peter guy you reference here and there has been wrong about China and Russia for like 10 years now. If you want proof of this I can send you other youtubers who follow global politics and lay out how bad nato countries are doing in comparison.
It seems falling when big mouth politicans say it to win their election. Overall The USA is in better place and situation than rest of the world. Jesus you guys have the largrst economy and cultural influences in the world. You gotta stop being bunch of idiots
I personally can’t wait for France to expel the refugees via large sea dumps or the guillotine, really draw a hard line in the sand for the rest of the world. The Anglos and us Americans give them a hard time, but they really know how to get a revolution poppin. They could really set the tempo for a western world right-wing backlash.
@@dflynn6138 sure buddy the resistance was big at first but had the germans had a few mire years in france perhaps they would've eradicated it completely as hundreds of thousands that were in the resistance were killed as the war went on and especially towards the end the germans really started cracking down on them...
For the decent birth rate u can thank the religious people of America, it s a good point with the chinese and russian comparison where so many people are atheist.
India and Brazil have enormous pretty high birth rates though- they’re the ‘second generation’ of competitor countries that will come through in about 20 years.
Religion doesn't play a role, american are atheist and only the immigrants are keeping up the population young, russians are religious and still not having many kids, and the chinese are kind in between on the religious prospect but they are not having children anyway
As a iranian, i agree. Times have been tough, which is why most iranians have the ultimate goal to immigrate to western countries. Edit: Didn't expect to get a death threat by a radical.
Bruh why you lying Iran isn't that bad. All the sanctions and we're still richer and more stable than almost the whole middle East and stronger. Imagine an Iran without sanctions.
What about Bricks that your people are spamming on tiktok. End of American era shit. Brazil has less influence outside its region. I am from Asia and I learnt English in my college years it is compulsory here. I have never seen any Brazilians in Asia are you guys rare unicorns here.
Some Roman Senater saying that everything is all right and Rome will still be the future superpower, while hordes of Germanic tribesmen immigrate into the Roman Empire.
And yet Rome lasted more than 200 years, so don't count on it yet. Plus he's not some populist, he has evidence to suggest that the US won't be disappearing anytime soon.
The difference being that we have a much more accurate of the big big picture in weeks than Romans could have in years, by dint of technology alone. Plus a sizable portion of Romes problems came from civil wars every ither decade and those germans being hired out as roman soldiers. So not there quite yet
No civilisation has lasted forever. If and when America goes down, it remains debatable. But you gotta admit, it is HARD to find a replacement for America. Economically, militarily, technologically, culturally, and geographically, this country has the absolute dominant position on Earth.
Of course, this reasoning depends almost entirely on whether or not the US survives it’s upcoming demographic crisis. AKA you can’t radically shift the ethnic makeup of your country and expect no fundamental changes in how it operates, or if it even still functions 😅
The U.S doesn’t have one… Immigration is incredibly common and the birth rates are near replacement level, the U.S is the one of a kind country that doesn’t suffer this problem due to its notorious nature as a melting pot.
Well the US’s cultural makeup is stable, as the Hispanic immigrants (the majority of the immigrants) integrate into US society very rapidly, as a result it shouldn’t cause any long term negative effects, though some short term issues may arise they should be mild, as the other main bloc is Asians, they also integrate quite rapidly, so they are likely not a source of long term issues either, thus making it unlikely for the US to suffer more than it can handle from new immigrants, it will simply take immigrants until it hits about 20% foreign born population, and then lock down for a couple decades, like every other time we get hit with a big wave of immigrants, as the US has to assimilate and process the new cultures and population, though that is simply grand scale routine affair.
@@andrewrogers3067 Not referring to birth rates, referring exclusively to the ethnic makeup of the US and how it’s gone from being majority vvhite to being majority non-vvhite in the span of less than 100 years (1960-2050)
@@centurion7993 That’s all well and good, but much like in Europe, these immigrants are integrating into a society which is firmly anti-vvhite. The integration of many different cultures from around the globe has only led to a disembodied idea of what the US is. It used to be not long ago, the the population of the US could be tied to a specific people, now that is not the case
@@andrewrogers3067 the problem is that "melting pot" as always unified under the identity of being a white man of European origin. That doesn't exist anymore. Honesty, i think USA will just end up like Brazil in the future. They won't be able to get a grasp on their crime levels and they will constantly be bitterly divided by politics.
You forgot to mention the U.S is fracturing from within culturally, ethically, politically, socially, spiritually and values. A nation divided cannot stand.
@@closetglobe.IRGUN.NW0ey are only human. And the growing swarms of homeless say hello. The Elite in just about every Empire tried to keep their people together. But it didn’t change the result.
@@closetglobe.IRGUN.NW0 “Can” and if “they will do something” are separate things. The politicians are, with exceptions, narcissistic and keep problems to keep getting elected. Never underestimate delusion.
At least you don't have wars happening next door. You guys are being real weirdoes instead of loving your country you spamming end of America shit on social media. Number 1 economy in the world, 3 rd largest country, 3 rd population in the world. I can not imagine complaining about the USA.
True, but that also leaves the fact that the US will also be the first country that will face the fallout from AI use in society the soonest, especially if it is misused by the wealthy and cooperations out of greed, like how in one of your videos, like with how the roman aristorcacy missused slaves to their advantage at the expense of free poorer romans. Except in this situation with social media and everything else, the effects may be far larger. But I do agree for now and the near future the US is the preeminent super power and the rest of the countries only regional ones at best, for good or for bad
The quality of our population doesn’t beat out having a young one. Our population still can go to work and manufacturing, and still has a huge amount of smart immigrants migrating into it.
If the EU manages to survive the demographic crisis(assuming it actually happpens and we don't discover a way to cure aging), it would probably remain powerful, although as somewhat of an extension of the united states.
@@t.n.h.ptheneohumanpatterna8334 I love how not wanting to live under communist tyranny just because the communist tyrants involved are Chinese.(they are actually racist though and are literally imprisoning ethnic minorities in camps and sterilizing them)
I dont understand the point on how Christian america is and how athiest russia is. Russian orthodox are very religouse whilst the american christians allow Justin Bieber to become a priest.
Do you associate religiousness with IQ? Sorry to break it to you difference is quite small which can be compensated with education. There is many religious theologians who were pioneers of modern world. Like Anders Chydenius who was Lutheran priest which greatly inspired Adam Smith.
I think you’re making the fundamental error of treating each one of America’s rivals as distinct entities. If they formed together as a coalition as they are beginning to do, they could plausibly achieve economic independence and have access to far more resources than the US. On the other hand, I think you are correct that the US has a strong technological advantage that puts it squarely ahead. On the religious thing I think it’s a bit of non factor when it comes to a country with a propaganda machine as strong as China. Atheist nationalists and commies seem just as willing to fight and die as religious fanatics. The US also has a significant obesity and health problem that puts a large portion of its population out of combat already, whereas most of the US’s rivals do not have similar issues. To be honest, I think the US’s future depends on its ability to maintain the loyalty of the emerging third world powers (India and Brazil) to its world system. If those countries build closer economic ties with China and Russia it could severely threaten the US’s global hegemony. Sure Russia or China alone stand little chance, but such a massive bloc would be very dangerous. Maintaining an Atlanticist EU is also vital to the US’s global hegemony.
The possibility of a true alliance between Russia and China is pretty slim. Those two haven't trusted each other since the 60s and there is a pretty big pro Siberia annexation faction in the CCP. Their alliance is only possible if they are pushed to their breaking point simultaneously. India allying itself with China is pretty much impossible at this point when China is damming the sources of the Gange and other rivers from the Himalayas. The tensions between the two is rising day by day. Brazil hasn't been stable in decades. Cartels literally took control of important cities and you expect them to be a threat to the US? Russia's alcoholism problem is as bad if not worse that US obesity problems, and given that Russia has a significantly older population than the u.s., they are in a worse position.
Brazil? An emerging power? You're kidding me, Brazil can't make their own industry work properly. Qualified and capable young people leave Brazil to work on other better nations as soon as they have the opportunity, even less than having actual politicians that are qualified enough for their jobs and not make us look like a f*ckin joke globally.
The coalition needed in order to take down the American led world order would need to pry away countries within in the direct orbit of the US. Even if we had all the BRICS nations plus Iran together it would not be enough to overcome it. No nation outside of NATO really has any means to project power outside their regional borders.
@@labadaba5088 **has* Scientism was a term coined a long time ago to refer to people who have supplanted all of their religious idols with scientific ones. A lot of the social problems we face today stem from that. In the past, there were certain unquestionable truths that people were forced to accept by the collective society at large, punishing those who deviated harshly. Gods were infallible and immutable, so you just toed the line. In an atheistic society, every person is their own god and limited only by their own imagination, every opinion or action is valid in the right reference frame, further validated by the “scientific” laws of relativity, whereby nothing is truly real or meaningful. Gods existed to keep the soulless drones that lack the agency to derive meaning from life on their own, those blessed with drive and purpose can derive their own meaning.
as an American, we all want to believe we are the only empire that will never fall, like all other empires have. There are so many monkey wrenches unaccounted for that you can’t predict the outcome. Like immigration, or limitless printing and debt, or crypto companies moving overseas
And yet there is still enough evidence to suggest that The US won't be falling anytime soon, and all those Kmoneky wrenches aren't enough reason to believe we'll be falling anytime soon. Sure, empires don't tend to last forever, but they don't always collapse within 300 years.
Isn't immigration good though? China and Russis are about experience insane defining birth rates whilst the US will mostly become Hispanic. They are still somewhat Europeans whilst conforming to Christian standards.
@@aaronaaron2405 all of the developed world is experiencing a declining birth rate. It’s a part of modernization. The outcome of immigration cannot be predicted. A bunch of unskilled labor is not about to save America. We have had massive layoffs this year and last year, and EVERY company is automating as much and as fast as it can in the race get rid of employees and depend on AI. At this current moment, all immigrants are doing is consuming resources, that’s not sustainable. However like I stated in my original comment, its outcome can’t be predicted. All you can do is wait and see.
Only an American could say something like that. Immigration ruins Europe and every true European and every proper nation state would fight against it. Poland, Hungary and Russia have more loyal, faithful patriots than this modern US mess has.
I dont even understand what he was trying to say? What was the rule of law part? And was the last point about with the "USA is the how are best for technological expansion and space exploration".???
The thing about the usa is that there isnt another country whos more geopgraphically blessed. America has everything you could ever want. We have hot climates cold climates wet dry tropical etc. Pretty nuch anything can be grown ir raised across it. Theres natural resourced including oil, metals and minerals. There is access the the pacific, atlantic and gulf. Aswell as a vast natural river system withing the united states. The reason america is so successful to begin with is the same reason it will never trully fall. Even if it falls from the inside i doubt it would really fall to the outside. America is protected on all fronts. Along with it being so vast and its very different climates make it near impossible to invade. Sure russia could come through canada but what happens when they start moving west..... Even if a full on civil war outbreaks and half of the united states where to die (like a worst of the worst case) it still makes no difference. Actrually prolly be better as the ones that survive are surely willing to protect what rheyve fought for and even start bettering it again. The biggest threat of america isnt to itself but what it could do to orher countries. The united states has lots of allies but thats for political and exonomical control instead of military control. The usa benefits others militaryily not vise versa. But the usa also doesnt need that so.
Brother I'm from India And we really don't want to become superpower Currently we are on 4th place in military ranking and that's enough for us We just want a better future for our upcoming generations
Correction: a country in the geographical location of North America will remain the world superpower. Whether it will have the same culture (or at least the continuation of it) and whether the majority of the population would be the descendants of the current inhabitants, remains to be seen.
@@otherostrich What? So if one points out that the U.S.' population growth is solely due to Hispanics whom, as an eventual majority population, might poorly preserve American traditions, they have nazi sympathies?
@@otherostrich I don’t think the real Hitler would suggest a multi-ethnic (but not really European descended) successor empire to the presumably fallen United States in this scenario would ever be a superpower?
I don't think America would collapse anytime soon, because during Roman days their reigned over many different cultures, but today we have TV and media that reaches everyone and has the potential to americanize anyone in an instant. Secondly America is democratic and has a monopoly over elections and corporations, and since everyone is too dependant on these corporations, these corporations must be replaced from scratch. The only way America would collapse is due to inflation, which is inevitable. Fiat currency is bound to collapse, hence America will collapse due to the money becoming worthless.
I don't really understand analyst 4 and 5 I just googled the religious demographics of Russia, China and the US. China and Russia aren't mostly atheist. They have around the same number of agnostic and atheist as the US. I'm not entirely sure what you meant by this. Not entirely sure where the correlation of "rule of law" factor in with economic growth. I understand that it would protect average citizens and enforce order, but China is strict already, I thinks that's their authoritarian imagine coming from.
Really none of the reasons are legit that are given. We rely on outside manufacturing and shipping of many goods, Russia has a booming young population, Russia and China doing pretty well on their technology, the space race is hilarious, More and more Americans worship themselves every day. There is nothing on the list provided that proves that those countries United against us could not cripple us. IF we allow our government to succeed in taking our guns we should worry. Other countries have known that its not just the military they face if they invade us but they face the most well armed citizens in the world and they won't go down without a fight.
Yeah im not sure what he meant with the "Rule of law" part because his grammar was broken. If I had to guess I think he meant less corruption. Because corruption is the death of capitalism as corruption amongst buisness and the economy is much less successful or profitable. Corruption kills the growth of a capitalist economy. And yes, china is way more authoritarian than the USA and yes you could argue the "rule of law" is greater in china as their laws are very strict.....but the rule of law is not equally enforced which leads to corruption, which leads to a less successful economy with less growth. Basically, it does not matter how strict the rule of law is in a country if the rule of law is not enforced equally or good enough, it will create corruption which kills the growth and potential of an economy. So maybe he was trying to say that the rule of law in america being much better at stopping corruption means it helps with economic growth(which is true, we know corrupt kills economic growth). Ans because China and Russia are notoriously corrupt with big businesses which also are big parts of their economy - the corruption will slow the growth of their economies and lower their potential.
Your definitely right that America's general longevity is pretty much a guarantee for at least the rest of the 21st century, however the internal problems could mean that America going forward does not necessarily mean the USA will continue, a new American state could emerge from the internal issues (obviously not remarkably different, it would still be American)
If the US had strictly aimed to be a crediter nation and corporate leaders had greater forsight rather than choosing to milk consumers for shorter term gains, the US would be the world power for many centuries.
I noticed another reason, The controversial two party system prevents any party of having national one party system, whenever a party does something, it forces all of it's opposition do join the other party,
I believe USA is strong, because of 2 things First, empowering the people Second, natural development (not much manipulated by governments) Both which are endorsed by the Islamic law and its scholars, but which of the current dictators would love to implement such laws?
It's not about someone replacing someone, that's too simplistic. "We have never destroyed a society without a destined term. No nation can advance their doom, nor can they delay it." - Quran 15:4-5 It's a term of 300 years, 250 years under the sun, 50 years the way out; you are not the first and you will not be the last.
@@andrewrogers3067 Ideally nothing and we have a multipolar world. Regardless, getting rid of the American Empire is the first and most important step.
@@PunishedlLongshanksI agree that a Multi-polar world would be better but if one country had to be hegemon I would much rather America over China or some future radical Muslim Power
What’s funny is that it was internal economic issues along with denial by elderly oligarch politicians which ruined the USSR, and for being a nation that called itself the opposite of the USSR, the USA sure starts acting similar to the Communist state
It's not like being latin american immigrant is a contagious plague that immediatly makes a country undeveloped/third world, it's up to you and your politics to decide if you keep your country in line or destroy it which has happened to the country of those people.
what's the connection? And why wouldn't it stay a superpower if every other "potential" superpower is gonna have the worst demographic crisis possible, and relatively soon
As if a latin speaking country can not be a super power.......you do realize the invetor of colonialism and imperialism was PORTUGAL!!!! And spain also was a huge major power. And Canada is also a latin speaking country too and canada has done somewhat decent until recently.
Look at ww2 death count. That is why. This soviet union dissolving really did not help either. Lots of russians leave russia too. And not many people immigrate to russia. Americans domt usually leave America, and immigrants strive to move to the USA. The USA is the #1 most immigrated to country in the world. More people immigrate to the USA every year than any other country in the world. More Immigrants move to America every year than anywhere else. It will be hard for russia to keep up and compare with that.
He didn't, we don't have a major problem with the 2nd largest agricultural belt & (potential) internal waterways in the world next to the US as well as the youngest population of any major country in the world & can manage without the others as we've always done hence he didn't mention us.
@@kaushikvsmaniyan In my humble opinion, India could became an economic power. With a rapidly growing young educated population, low costs of investment, a massive market and equally massive labor force, looks like a promising candidate. High English knowledge is also really good for foreign investors. The main complain from foreign companies trying to settle in India is the slow bureaucracy, they should work to fix that. Indian native companies seem to be consistently growing as well. Definitely looks good, but rapidly declining birth rates, external and internal tensions, inequality and authoritarianism are probably some of the issues India would have to deal with in the future.
if you negate immigration in America... we are in the same boat with population decline... We will see the results if this whole migration thing will work in the long run. You can see the beginnings of cracks, from quality of work in construction to quality of streets....
Glad to see you posting these shorts for your full videos. I saw one before this and it made me aware you posted a new episode.... Even though I'm subscribed with notifications 😢
Rule of law allowing a countries economy to grow faster? Is this some joke? Companies prefer stability which is why they prefer to invest in autocracies. Not to mention that they usually have much faster bureaucracies.
Every empire has it's end, Roman empire fell, Russian, Ottoman, British, Spanish, you name it, if history tells us something it's that the empires rise and fall, US would be no exception, transformation is inevitable, someone else will take on the reins, for better or for worse, until they themselves fall from grace and so on...
Lol I don’t think any other countries have Pride events like here in the US where naked adults prance and dance around young kids and don’t get arrested because of gayness
I don’t know man I’m reading your text walls and though they seem legit on surface, I think their foundations are on shaky ground. Like rule of law have you seen Detroit? Social and political factors are the most turbulent they can go really bad very fast and economy will follow. Tech is a game where catching up is faster than innovation. Some nations that were backwaters are more integrated today than most of the western nations. The hubris is a slow and insidious killer.
Philadelphia, Los Angeles, Atlanta, San Francisco, Oakland. Not only that, but people are being fired and sued for doing what is right in reporting theft. I have to take whatever Russia says about its own law and order with a huge handful of salt, but yeah, pride comes before the fall, and the greater the pride, the harder the fall.
Modern Russia is pretty religious, you're wrong about that part of your analysis. Only a quarter of Russians can be said to non-religion, that's a massive minority compared to western nations.
I suspect that some of it maybe stemmed by a program that's being offered in Russia for their offering massive tax and financial incentives for families having large numbers of children. If people will partake in the incentives. But most people when an incentive is offered them they seem all too willing to partake in it. It may be a slow turnaround for them and they may still have a relative population drop with the older Generations dying off but I'd be willing to bet that if this sort of policy is allowed to continue give it a century and Russia will be on population parity with the United States. Remember it is not the Communist Soviet Union that was encouraging Mass abortion but a Orthodox Russia that has returned to her Orthodox roots and Orthodoxy has an even dimmer view of abortion then does the Catholic Church.
Jesus Christ i wanted to check what you said and i found that there were years in the SU were of all the pregnancies, 70%+ were aborted, Russia still has a high rate but it’s getting lower and lower, good for them i guess
Eh. Russia can treat the issue but not cure the issue. They can only delay and reduce the amount of depopulation they will experience. Demographics are pretty set in stone and are very accurate. Even predictions from the 1800s were accurate about the 1900s adjusted for ww1 and ww2. It is quite easy to accurately predict population in the future. Russia could legally force everyone to have children or else they face fines and forced labor or something. And it still would not stop the depopulation that is coming. There is simply not enough young people to almost triple the Russian population. In the foreseeable future. The *_ONLY_* way to really truly "fix" a problem like this specific situation and fully recover from the lack of young people who reproduce is to incentivize *_IMMIGRATION_* and we all know Russia is NOT very pro immigration. Especially compared to the USA. The USA is the #1 most immigrated country in the world. Even in modern times still, more people immigrate to the USA than any other country in the world. This why we have seen europe desperately try to flood in immigrants at really high rates. Because Europes population is falling. Falling fast. Incentivizing having more kids helps, but only works when you have a very very large population of young people. Because old people do not want to have kids, and usually can not even produce kids, you lose the ability to reproduce as you age. And it will take a long long time to get back to where your population was and the start growing again.
Russia doesn't have enough young people to fully recover from the depopulation even if everyone had 5-10 kids. They lost so manh during WW2 and lost many more in 1991 when the soviet union dissolved. *_Immigration_* is the only way Russia can get enough young people to start rapidly growing their population again. But I just can not see Russia being willing to let tons of asian, African, middle eastern people immigrate to Russia. It would be even harder for russia to compete with the American population because America is the #1 most immigrated to country in the world. More people immigrate to the USA every year than any other country in the world.
Sometimes I legit think this guy is pulling these claims out of nowhere. Also "the US is the how are best position" like come on at least proof read your own claims
@@AW-zk5qb With three tiers of justice from the rich, famous and connected, to normal people, to suspected heretic- I mean "hate criminals" at the bottom? Yeah sure.
Highly debatable. America has never been the most forward thinking in terms of solving issues. If a solution for issues like population decline isn't found, America is utter unable to adapt first. America historically always lags behind the first adoption of a policy by at least 20 years.
@@kwtr1609 the population growth in 2021 was .1% and has been on decline since 2000 even if the whole nations growth isn't negative in 2022 some regions already are like California and New York. A population decline anywhere is bad
@@kwtr1609 Yes it does. The only reason it looks like it doesn’t is because America takes in endless immigrants. The native population has the same problems as other countries.
@NEIL 333 Give it a couple of decades. Where do you think we will get our immigrants from in future? Our fertility rate has been below replacement level since the 1970s, with a bump in the 90s and 2000s thanks to Hispanics, and now it's back down again for nearly 15 years. How did you think we were going to stave off a population crisis of our own?
Muslim? Maybe atheist chinese or korean immigrants. Also nigerians (which are 50% christian), south americans etc. I don't see any big immigration waves from muslim countries to the US
@@MeMe-zz9dy The original comment was slightly factitious, however there are grains of truth. Most immigrants will come from places with higher birthrates, all of which are in Africa and the middle east, and most are predominantly Muslim countries. The other places you've mentioned are all in decline and their economies are sustainable enough to prevent mass immigrations to other countries. Furthermore, Muslims will also be the future global consumer base, which means companies are going to be licking some Sharia asses. 🤣 Let's comeback in 50 years and see who was right.
Russia & China transparently authoritarian regimes that are not attractive long term trade let alone military partners for most countries that are vulnerable developing economies that value democratic values. Never mind their systemic internal problems. Brazil a horribly corrupt banana republic with a history of ubiquitous government and military incompetence. Never mind it’s deep economic over-dependence on consistently volatile resource and physical commodities markets. India a consistently lingering backwater nation with way too many diverse constituencies that it can’t coherently manage without resulting in internal strife. Ironically the only one with a slim chance of surpassing America if it plays its cards right in a few centuries at the earliest. Europe a consistently disappointing and declining continent of dysfunctional countries whom are inherently over-reliant on U.S. military protection. Finally South Africa, barely even worth mentioning and is already a prime candidate for becoming the latest Zimbabwean style failed state on the continent. Meanwhile America, a resilient of flawed liberal democracy that has severe internal divisions but no meaningful external threats to exacerbate said issues. Therefore has the luxury of being able to deal with its own internal crises without sabotaging from foreign interference. Personally speaking I find it more likely the entire world will experience a “Second Bronze Age Collapse & Real Dark Ages” event akin to the Fall of Rome or Mycenaean Greece than a “Chinese Century.”
