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Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2024 - Will It Be Hyper Active? 

David Schlotthauer
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This upcoming Atlantic Hurricane Season will likely be very active to perhaps hyperactive due to a developing La Nina in the eastern Pacific with a near-record warm Atlantic basin. So, in today's video, I'll show you why this hurricane season will be busy.
Video Chapters:
0:00 - Intro
0:19 - Very Warm SST's
1:55 - Record Breaking OHC
8:24 - Climate Model Guidance
13:22 - The MJO
14:37 - My Forecast
16:57 - CSU Hurricane Forecast
19:01 - What Will I Provide?
20:48 - Outro/Promotion
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Disclaimer: All of my videos and live streams are for entertainment purposes only, and to discuss raw operational model guidance and its ensembles, I'm also comparing models too. So please seek official sources like the National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center, or The Weather Channel for more detailed and accurate information.
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31 май 2024

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Комментарии : 149   
@TomSpeaks-vw1zp
@TomSpeaks-vw1zp Месяц назад
Way back in the 50’s when ask about the weather, my uncle would always say. “ Fair & warmer with a hell of a storm on the ocean.” I always think of him around hurricane season. 😂❤ Loved your humor Uncle Art.
@CrazyWeatherDude
@CrazyWeatherDude Месяц назад
I have a feeling this will be a hybrid of 2005 and 2017. Extremely damaging season possible.
@jeremiahjoseph9791
@jeremiahjoseph9791 Месяц назад
Mixed with 2004
@kennoybrown3946
@kennoybrown3946 Месяц назад
Id say a mix of 2004 and 2017
@Froblackistani
@Froblackistani Месяц назад
That’s what everyone says every year no need to overhype
@ey3z4ya
@ey3z4ya Месяц назад
@@Froblackistani better to be over prepared than under prepared
@FoulWeatherFriend385
@FoulWeatherFriend385 Месяц назад
There are so many variables that can strengthen/weaken a hurricane. Scary prediction videos are big money makers, but in reality we don’t know.
@liversuccess1420
@liversuccess1420 26 дней назад
LMAO. I've been living along the Gulf Coast for years, and I have yet to see a season where forecasters say, "nothing much to worry about this year, folks! It'll be slow!" No, every season has the potential to be catastrophic. All it takes is a single Cat 4 or 5 to hit your area, and you are done. The 1992 season was not "active" in terms of number of storms. But it included Andrew, and everyone knows how that turned out.
@baneverything5580
@baneverything5580 Месяц назад
You can get a cheap 100 watt glass solar panel and wire up a 12 volt DC car charger USB terminal to it and not worry about charging phones, flashlights, batteries and power bricks at your home for years as long as it`s daytime. These still supply about 8 watts even on very cloudy days and that`s plenty for a 5w light or fan and charging many devices.
@emilymorrison9510
@emilymorrison9510 Месяц назад
Get lots of high winds this winter in N. S.
@baneverything5580
@baneverything5580 Месяц назад
@@emilymorrison9510 We got a storm last June here in Louisiana that woke me up at just before 2am with thunder. Then I turned on my pocket sized AM/FM/NOAA radio and heard, "80 mph winds...take cover...mobile homes will be destroyed." I live in a camper. Then just after 2am I heard a roar to my southeast that sounded exactly like a tornado. Two minutes later...tornado warning...and the radio is naming my area. The high winds hit 45 minutes later but not as bad as they predicted but the power was out until after midnight the next night and the drought and heat emergency lasting until October started. Plus we were hit by two hurricanes in 2020 with almost three weeks with no power, cell phone signals, home phones or local radio.
@ChrizardsAdventures
@ChrizardsAdventures Месяц назад
I live in South Carolina love this info. I'm definitely getting house insurance asap. This is terrifying.
@user-vh2xx3mz4z
@user-vh2xx3mz4z 22 дня назад
Ok that ocean heat content is absolutely terrifying
@Proudtohaveanewlife2291
@Proudtohaveanewlife2291 Месяц назад
Thank you for your forecast was complete and so beneficial to us. You are a excellent weather man Blessing, 😊😊😊❤❤❤
@bryanmartin8855
@bryanmartin8855 Месяц назад
I like you and mark Sudduth because both of you go in depth about how each season is going to play out.
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
thanks so much, me and mark try our best that is.
@dawnperkins4061
@dawnperkins4061 4 дня назад
Extreme weather patterns all over the country,take heed and be wise for us in Florida this hurricane season,we won't always be missed folks...just be prepared and always stay prayerful for yourself and others
@strollinnolen5888
@strollinnolen5888 Месяц назад
Survived Ian in 2022. THAT WAS VERY SCARY ..We are more prepared this time.
@antresia.9723
@antresia.9723 Месяц назад
I think New York City is going to get tropical storm this year.
@williamzee7748
@williamzee7748 Месяц назад
OK…Bottomline…can you tell us if we can expect more category 3, 4,or 5s in 2024 for Florida east and/or gulf coast? Yellows, red, orange, pink poked dot….🤷‍♂️Concerning yes…but how concerning to Florida? Give us layman something we can prepared for…🤦‍♂️
@johnkenley4687
@johnkenley4687 Месяц назад
Not in anticipation of the damages, but i do hope the gulf gets a couple just for the rain alone. We really need it down here
@windelross2450
@windelross2450 Месяц назад
Thank you sir,for the accurate predictions,some of us are gifted with clairvoyance,to know exactly what the future will be.I sincerely think you.
@briankelly9619
@briankelly9619 Месяц назад
Hypothetical category 6 has sustained winds of 192mph, and only five have winds that high
@bryanmartin8855
@bryanmartin8855 Месяц назад
It’s informative and I can easily understand it.
@waynewright5628
@waynewright5628 Месяц назад
2 hours of rain today in red gal ring area Kingston 10 Jamaica, yeah man 🇯🇲🇯🇲
@robinshaul4069
@robinshaul4069 20 дней назад
Hey David good to see you again, Miami princess
@raquela8438
@raquela8438 Месяц назад
Excellent forecast TY
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
your welcome
@dianathefiberfan5116
@dianathefiberfan5116 Месяц назад
Thanks for the hurricane forecast David. What's the spring and summer forecast for the west??
@SevereWeatherCenter
@SevereWeatherCenter Месяц назад
I agree with your assessment David. Awesome video
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
Thanks
@CaerlaverockJaguar
@CaerlaverockJaguar 28 дней назад
Emergency management experts in Florida expect potentially 4 hurricane landfills in Florida.
@BusyBeeInspector
@BusyBeeInspector Месяц назад
I understand that it's much warmer than normal but I believe since it's not uniformly warm and has cooler areas that will create some wind shear that will try to destroy anything that starts or keep it well offshore.
@stevenleach9522
@stevenleach9522 Месяц назад
Wow! I live 18 miles (as the bird flies) from the Gulf of Mexico in the panhandle of Florida - I guess I'll have to take the flag down from the flagpole several times this hurricane season...! Now, that I've have seen this video - I may have to replace the flagpole...! 😢 😭 😿 😢
@wizarddragon
@wizarddragon 28 дней назад
A strong High-Pressure system is supposed to form in the Eastern Atlantic. This will prevent storms from hooking away from the States.
@user-es8pm9pw2d
@user-es8pm9pw2d 11 дней назад
Steering storms away from Southwest Florida and into the Mobile / New Orleans area. Yeah, I'm not preparing or evacuating.
@briankelly9619
@briankelly9619 Месяц назад
There is a possibility of another hurricane category which is now a hypothetical category 6
@raquela8438
@raquela8438 Месяц назад
real
@RobloxBansYT
@RobloxBansYT Месяц назад
*Patricia flashbacks have entered me*
@guessaccount7260
@guessaccount7260 Месяц назад
I live in the lower east coast & the locals that lived here their whole life says that most hurricanes 🌀 travel from Africa over here and makes landfall. Last year was dry with very little rain, this year in 2024 we had rain every week once or more since January
@martiansoon9092
@martiansoon9092 Месяц назад
Yea, I was previously wondering what high heat on hurricane alley and El Niño changing to La Niña just as the ocean is the warmest could mean... Loads of hurricanes are likely coming in this season. Brace yourself.
@oldcat87
@oldcat87 27 дней назад
No major storm today hitting Florida. Don’t worry folks.
@paulettehall4614
@paulettehall4614 28 дней назад
Why don't they drag giant icebergs to the southern area waters to cool it
@davidkelly4210
@davidkelly4210 22 дня назад
Do you want 'The Day After Tomorrow' to happen?
@mattybuchys1528
@mattybuchys1528 Месяц назад
I would call the DS control forecast the DS control Max forecast since there’s a large amount of snow name, storms
@johnnyfrancois9491
@johnnyfrancois9491 Месяц назад
I think both sides of Florida getting hit this year
@danielfox2635
@danielfox2635 Месяц назад
This is not good. With temperatures like this we could see hurricanes in areas that have never seen them before. This is very concerning.
@DizzyRL
@DizzyRL Месяц назад
Not true but alright 👌
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
Agreed
@danielfox2635
@danielfox2635 Месяц назад
@WeatherForce2024 perhaps my understanding of how hurricanes work are incorrect. I was taught they like warmer icean temperatures, and thus, i figured this would provide a new track for them.I've come here to watch the video, and listen to your opinions. But if my knowledge is incorrect. What a great opportunity for me to learn, and gather the proper information. Please, educate me
@DizzyRL
@DizzyRL Месяц назад
@@danielfox2635 I just now noticed you said “could” lol
@Robloxienii
@Robloxienii Месяц назад
I live in Romania.I have never experienced a hurricane/tornado
@brolymeng7946
@brolymeng7946 Месяц назад
The fact that the Northwestern Pacific is losing it's activity while the Atlantic is hyping in activity is just shocking and I also feel very disappointed for the Northwestern Pacific😅
@dopeynightlifetv6859
@dopeynightlifetv6859 24 дня назад
David, would you say this season will; be more like 2005, 2017 or 2020??
@fox13393
@fox13393 Месяц назад
Every year it's supposed to be very active
@HighlightsHubViral
@HighlightsHubViral Месяц назад
Yes, as of recently. The only year that didn't produce a major hurricane since 2010 was 2013. I know it doesn't feel like its active because not some of major hurricanes don't make landfall but it happens a lot!
@lendaryreviews
@lendaryreviews Месяц назад
Maybe 🤔 this happens for a reason !
@BraydenWC
@BraydenWC Месяц назад
I like this video when are making your next video and can we do a Collab and I’m your biggest fan and supporter. I’ve watched all your videos and I think that we should talk about the hurricane season and make videos together and talk about the hurricane season and future stuff.
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
if you want to get in touch with me you can contact me via discord @davidschlotthauer
@BraydenWC
@BraydenWC 22 дня назад
@@WeatherForce2024 I don’t have discord but I do have twitter
@faziadookhie
@faziadookhie 15 дней назад
Will Trinidad be at risk for storms this year?
@Brandon-305
@Brandon-305 11 дней назад
Yes. This year will be worse than 2020 because the ocean heat is wayy hotter than 2020 and 2020 was the most active season.🙏
@briankelly9619
@briankelly9619 Месяц назад
I watched some hypothetical 2024 hurricane season videos and they do not look good, some getting to V storm 'Valerie' and some getting to the I storm in the Alternative list
@VortexVisionX
@VortexVisionX Месяц назад
I know you can’t predict this, but do you think Florida will get hit by any tropical disturbance in May? Or even at all? I’m flying down in mid May for vacation
@AnnaS.Cross.Stitch
@AnnaS.Cross.Stitch Месяц назад
I live in Florida. Officially hurricane season starts June 1st. We never had major storms until very last week of May. Good luck 🍀
@jenniferwolfe5110
@jenniferwolfe5110 22 дня назад
@@AnnaS.Cross.Stitch Didn't you guys get hit a week ago? I am watching Florida, I live in Oklahoma my in laws are going to vacation in Florida tomorrow watching the weather.
@elidoesstuff5503
@elidoesstuff5503 Месяц назад
ADHD. Absolutely Destructive Hurricane Days (I couldnt think of snything good for the last d
@youallschallack
@youallschallack Месяц назад
Day late and a Dollar Short, I wonder if there will be any Eclipse Hurricanes this fall?
@NeoGrifforzer
@NeoGrifforzer Месяц назад
2023: Tropical Storm Sanvu was the last cyclone to experience a solar eclipse.
@The_Joshuan_Empire
@The_Joshuan_Empire Месяц назад
short answer: maybe, but probably not. its a el nino this year so the atlantic won't see as much activity. the pacific might be hyperactive though, but I'll need to check the long term models and nhs forecasts
@brooklynparker182
@brooklynparker182 Месяц назад
El nino but they are predicting an La nina summer basically El nino is giving hurricane season a push start for the season because by the beginning of the hurricane season, La nina will be in effect again.
@HighlightsHubViral
@HighlightsHubViral Месяц назад
No, The El Niño will flip into a La Niña causing less sheer and higher temps.
@shamelcutkelvin8807
@shamelcutkelvin8807 Месяц назад
U got it wrong it is the other way around.
@leannemccumber
@leannemccumber Месяц назад
2017 with Hurricane Harvey here in Corpus Christi-Rockport and elsewhere ( Houston) was NOT FUN. Please go somewhere else. We don’t need that much excitement.
@faziadookhie
@faziadookhie Месяц назад
What does this means for Trinidad and Tobago?
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
It mens a higher chance of tropical activity.
@fluffypink6unny
@fluffypink6unny Месяц назад
You were alarming us last year & I don’t remember there being many hurricanes.
@NeoGrifforzer
@NeoGrifforzer Месяц назад
entire Atlantic almost had 9 hurricanes. Harold and Ophelia were slightly below the category.
@jj6148
@jj6148 Месяц назад
7 hurricanes, 3 majors.
@ChrizardsAdventures
@ChrizardsAdventures Месяц назад
There was tons in the ocean. We got super lucky. Did you not see the 870mb hurricanes? We got so lucky last year. It was a wake up call to this year's.
@fluffypink6unny
@fluffypink6unny Месяц назад
@@ChrizardsAdventures ; it was a pretty calm year hurricane wise for the coasts. I have relatives on all the coasts.
@ChrizardsAdventures
@ChrizardsAdventures Месяц назад
I live 85 miles from myrtle beach. I live on the east coast. The beaches were closed down half the summer from rip currents from those hurricane 500 miles away even. My yard is sand even. I live in the Sandhills even.
@maprentice56
@maprentice56 Месяц назад
What happened to fahrenheit?
@HighlightsHubViral
@HighlightsHubViral Месяц назад
They measure in C and flip it to F
@Anthonymartin-pg8cg
@Anthonymartin-pg8cg Месяц назад
Get right with God Prayers to all From Florida
@jjjaee
@jjjaee Месяц назад
Amén 🙏🏽
@Howrider65
@Howrider65 Месяц назад
They can't even get the weather right from week to week. It's all guessing.
@l.plzsavethebeez485
@l.plzsavethebeez485 Месяц назад
Warmer waters is a sound indicator for more activity, as is our wacky jet streams! Many things going on like polar magnetic shift too!
@raquela8438
@raquela8438 Месяц назад
weather is very complicated silly gooser
@mainmanmagellan3803
@mainmanmagellan3803 19 дней назад
GODS WRATH MUHA
@briankelly9619
@briankelly9619 Месяц назад
I think it could be worse than hyperactive
@user-ju2su4eo2c
@user-ju2su4eo2c 24 дня назад
Built a house in Cape Coral 1979 - Never got hit hard (tree damage - Yes), never structural all these years, even last year with Ian. Sold the property last November not because of the fear of the weather, in a Tropical Climate _ Expect that. However the drop in property prices, the cost of or the cancellation of Insurance, rising Taxes, some of the New Folks Moving Here, Etc . . . . Paradise Lost.
@user-es8pm9pw2d
@user-es8pm9pw2d 11 дней назад
You'll be safe this season. Everything could curve more west.
@briankelly9619
@briankelly9619 Месяц назад
I think it could be worse
@AnConfused_Editor
@AnConfused_Editor Месяц назад
Godzilla
@Supernova-lc2yf
@Supernova-lc2yf Месяц назад
David I think TSR released their updated forecast about 10 days ago very hyperactive but I cant remember if UKMET released their forecast
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
i saw that and there calling for 24 named storms.
@Olivia_andmarcusharper24
@Olivia_andmarcusharper24 Месяц назад
Do you think it will hit the Lafayette Louisiana area were I stay I'm worried
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
right now let's track a storm first then I'll tell you, but based on climate models there is cernatliy a higher chance that LA get's a least 1 or 2 landfills this season.
@user-es8pm9pw2d
@user-es8pm9pw2d 11 дней назад
I don't think anything will affect or hit Southeastern or Southwestern Florida. So I'm not worried.
@The98racer
@The98racer 12 часов назад
Well as long as we get big surf and days off I’m fine
@Gamesandworks12
@Gamesandworks12 27 дней назад
No this 2024 hurricane season will be the worst of all cuz Every year is Different.
@The-ultimate-Tornado-Channel
@The-ultimate-Tornado-Channel 27 дней назад
Hypercane
@NicholeBrown-ky3gb
@NicholeBrown-ky3gb Месяц назад
E
@adamcolbenson5638
@adamcolbenson5638 Месяц назад
I'm going to say no it won't be busy at all. Saharan sand storms will keep hurricane forming regions cool.
@ramagon2761
@ramagon2761 Месяц назад
I mean I live in Houston this ain't my first hurricane rodeo. Just as long as my house doesn't get destroyed we're good 👍👍
@briankelly9619
@briankelly9619 Месяц назад
I saw hypothetical hurricane season videos for 2025, 2026,2027, and 2030 and they are worse than 2024
@raquela8438
@raquela8438 Месяц назад
no way!
@cressatronplayz9162
@cressatronplayz9162 Месяц назад
Those are not real forecasts
@iaintnosugardaddy8115
@iaintnosugardaddy8115 Месяц назад
Just because the Oceans are Warmer than expected... Doesn't mean a Major Blow out Hurricane season.... They could Start up in October, November and December... There's still dust out there and it's known to weekend Hurricane's
@WeatherForce2024
@WeatherForce2024 Месяц назад
Believe me Saheran dust will relax by late August.
@brandonbrady3
@brandonbrady3 Месяц назад
Phases 8,1,2 are really the horrible phases of the MJO that means hyperactivity. I’m praying for 4,5,6 phases
@UFGator1972
@UFGator1972 Месяц назад
“Last year we saved over, potentially, a million people’s lives…” when you said this, all your credibility went down the drain. In fact’ the 1780 Atlantic hurricane season is the deadliest on record and it killed over 28,000 deaths. Please chill down, it is bad enough what is predicted to be adding fuel to the fire.
@Druginspector12
@Druginspector12 Месяц назад
WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON IN THE YEAR 2024, PLEASE I PRAY TO GOD, STOP THIS HURRICANE INSANITY MADNESS NOW
@scottbrenham1341
@scottbrenham1341 Месяц назад
read the Bible you would know why world events are happening. we are happening to live now and not hundreds of years ago.
@raquela8438
@raquela8438 Месяц назад
no
@davidkelly4210
@davidkelly4210 22 дня назад
We stopped acid rain in the Atlantic buy switching to cleaner ship fuel. This had kept ocean temps about 10 degrees cooler (the salfaric clouds reflected sunlight back to space) but we didn't notice the effect until it stopped. Cleaner air but global warming did it's thing.
@Druginspector12
@Druginspector12 21 день назад
@@davidkelly4210 yeah that's bad...
@Druginspector12
@Druginspector12 Месяц назад
This Is Going to be an american nightmare to lose trillions of buildings in texas, louisiana, mississippi, alabama, georiga, and florida. I PRAY TO GOD FOR THIS. STOP THIS UTTER MADNESS RIGHT NOW.
@changingoftheguard7256
@changingoftheguard7256 Месяц назад
Bye EPSTIEN pedo island
@davidostrander3295
@davidostrander3295 Месяц назад
I predict that you are wrong.
@MXWeather1
@MXWeather1 Месяц назад
How would you know?
@davidostrander3295
@davidostrander3295 Месяц назад
@@MXWeather1 well... Watching the weather predictions before winter they had it extremely wrong for my area. Calling for major snowstorms and all we got all winter was a few flakes. I do snow removal and we made sure our equipment was in good shape. never had to use it once.
@MXWeather1
@MXWeather1 Месяц назад
Same for me but hurricanes are much more predictable imo
@davidostrander3295
@davidostrander3295 Месяц назад
@@MXWeather1 we will see. I hope we don't get any being I live about a 1/8 mile from the Atlantic.
@HighlightsHubViral
@HighlightsHubViral Месяц назад
You're cooked if you live that close to the water and any flooding comes
@moejaime2654
@moejaime2654 19 дней назад
THE END IS NYE WE ARE ALL IN DEEP POOP
@Zeitgeistboxee
@Zeitgeistboxee Месяц назад
Don't look up.
@raquela8438
@raquela8438 Месяц назад
ayyyyy
@zacio5972
@zacio5972 17 дней назад
Take the noseclip off your nose and wake up
@Druginspector12
@Druginspector12 Месяц назад
THIS IS CRAZY, THIS NEEDS TO STOP NOW
@zacio5972
@zacio5972 17 дней назад
Quit over hyping and scaring people your not a real meteorologist
@williamzee7748
@williamzee7748 Месяц назад
OK…Bottomline…can you tell us if we can expect more category 3, 4,or 5s in 2024 for Florida east and/or gulf coast? Yellows, red, orange, pink poked dot….🤷‍♂️Concerning yes…but how concerning to Florida? Give us layman something we can prepared for…🤦‍♂️
@Olivia_andmarcusharper24
@Olivia_andmarcusharper24 Месяц назад
Do you think it will hit the Lafayette Louisiana area were I stay I'm worried
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