Best Picture Oscar Predictions - For Your Consideration 

Love that FYC does random episodes throughout the year to keep me up to date on what movies to look out for and seeing how the races change throughout the year!

We need an "I wish they would consider but definitely won't..." segment.

I'm getting Furiosa vibes from Gladiator 2. Like, it might be good, but people won't care.

I’m so excited for the Brutalist! I hope we get a release date soon! Sounds like the talk around that movie is it could be a major Oscar contender.

The Academy HATES horror. They need to get rid of their horror bias I agree but because of their bias no way in hell is The Substance getting nominated unfortunately.

Marvelous. Between Scott's enthusiasm, Perri's idealism, and Jeff's pragmatism, we repeat: As ever, you three are SO darned entertaining. More, please, thank you. ♥♥♥

1/2. The Brutalist/Emilia Perez 3. Conclave 4. Anora 5. Sing Sing 6. Dune Part 2 7. Saturday Night 8. Nickel Boys 9. Blitz 10. A Complete Unknown list is obviously bound to change but this is what i’m feeling now

Sing Sing is the BEST MOVIE of the year and deserves nominations in most categories. The movie was shot on 16 mm film, in 19 days, with a very small crew. The DP, Pat Scola, should be nominated for an Oscar for cinematography because the visual look, the lighting, the film choice, all created the naturalistic atmosphere to tell the story. Accompanied with Bryce Dessner's score that sells the beautiful scenes and intimate facial expressions. And kudos to the director, Greg Kwedar, who allowed dialogue to be ad-libbed at times, which created the emotional essence throughout the film that tugs at your heart. The cast deserves best ensemble because 90% of the cast are the formerly incarcerated men that participated in the RTA theater program while in Sing Sing and that authenticity shines. And what can you say about Coleman Domingo.... he deserves the Oscar this year, his performance is perfectly understated, and he allows the other men to shine because this is their story. Well Done!! Also, Clarence Maclin and Paul Raci both deserve best supporting nominations. Their performances tie the strings that pull the film to its brilliance. Best movie overall in a very long time and well worth the emotional journey.

I'm seeing The Substance tomorrow and you guys have got me so goddamn curious about it

100% agree with Jeff on Sing Sing. A24 fumbled the roll out and they need to kickstart the campaign soon because barely anyone is talking about it

That discussion didn’t feel like an hour. Wrote down my list of “ to watch films“. Can wait for nominations to see where they stand.

My current predictions on The Awards Expert app (as of 16.9): 25. We Live in Time 24. Juror No. 2 23. Maria 22. Evil Does Not Exist 21. September 5th 20. Didi 19. Gladiator II 18. Joker: Folie à Deux 17. A Complete Unknown 16. The Room Next Door 15. Queer 14. Saturday Night 13. Conclave 12. A Real Pain 11. The Brutalist --------------------------------------------------------- 10. The Life of Chuck 9. The Seed of the Sacred Fig 8. The Piano Lesson 7. The Apprentice 6. Nickel Boys 5. Emilia Pérez 4. Blitz 3. Sing Sing 2. Anora 1. Dune: Part Two

Just finished up my final (27th!) film of TIFF! This was the first time I've seen more than a few here and I was very much inspired to really go for it after hearing about your experiences every year on FYC. One of the most fun weeks I've ever had! I'm excited to be able to follow along with FYC this year with pretty good context on all the films being talked about! About the films in particular, in the end I really did end up loving PPA winner, The Life of Chuck. Great & unexpected concept, beautiful message, and all around delightful film! My 2nd favourite was Nightbitch, I've got to agree with Mantz on that one. We Live in Time was also really really good. I did miss a couple of big ones though, based on all the buzz I've been hearing I really need to see The Brutalist and Anora whenever they're available!

the top 3 frontrunners films right now I am thinking are Anora (Neon), Emilia Pérez (Netflix) & The Brutalist (A24) so far I heard/read/seen the reactions from all film critics I followed like Perri Nemiroff's For Your Consideration portion videos

I hope Gladiator 2 is good, but there's no way I would have it in the top 10 right now sight unseen. It's like we're all forgetting the mostly mediocre movies Ridley Scott has made since The Martian.

I use this show to determine what I consider watching when the Oscar season starts. Love the show.

Dìdi is my bet even though I didn't see/watch it yet..

Love that FYC gives me a list of films to look out for and watch before the oscar season really kicks off.

That Perri reaction to Saturday Night! And I thought the trailer was pretty good. 😂

Netflix, Neon & A24 this year's battling Oscars Best Picture

" Dune - Part Two " gets my vote...extremely epic in the best ways. IMO

My birthday is on November 22! Will definitely take a trip to the cinema that weekend 🎉

Fun fact: Karla Sofia Gascon was in Master Chef Mexico

Jesus christ the jump scare nobody expected 😂

PLEASE we need a spoiler discussion for the Substance

Love this show so much, you guys are the best!

Y'all are sleeping on Nickel Boys. It's going to shoot up to the top of the conversation the day it releases.

I get that Gladiator 2 could knock Dune 2 out of the Best Picture lineup - but don’t forget that Top Gun 2 and Avatar 2 were both nominated for BP the same year.

Sing Sing Traditional vs Anora New Age Academy Emilia gets international

FYC is great! keep up the good work gang!

I think Wild Robot has a clear leg-up on Inside Out 2. Yes, IO2 is a box office juggernaut but it doesn't have nearly the emotional pull and broadly relatable themes that TWR has. And as Super Mario proved, box office doesn't matter at all when it comes to Oscars. I think TWR deserves the animated feature Oscar as well as at least a best pic nom.

Just obsessed with you guys and this show 🥰🥰 excited for another great season!

Reel Consideration Top Ten Oscar Best Picture Nominees (First Tentative List) Dune Pt 2 (WB) Conclave (Focus Features) Saturday Night (Sony) Emilia Perez (Netflix) The Brutalist (A24) Blitz (Apple) Anora (NEON) A Complete Unknown (Searchlight) Wicked (Universal Pictures) Gladiator 2 (Paramount Pictures) This is our 1st pass as well guys 😂

So some quick Best Picture facts... If you just consider theatrical versions and consider "epic" as at least 2.5 hours of runtime, then there's only been 3 times when an epic won Best Picture in two consecutive years (Around the World in 80 Days/The Bridge on the River Kwai; My Fair Lady/The Sound of Music; Amadeus/Out of Africa) and only once where it happened 3 years in a row (Braveheart/The English Patient/Titanic) *note: Forrest Gump is 2 hrs, 22 mins, otherwise it would've been 5 years in a row* So what I'm saying is that coming off Oppenheimer" (3 hrs), it's highly unlikely that we'll see The Brutalist (3.5 hrs) win BP. In fact, the last 3 BP winners to go over 2.5 hrs were: Oppenheimer (23), The Departed (2 hrs, 31 mins; 2006), and The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2003)

The substance is a masterpiece. I agree with Perri

It was very enjoyable to see Jeff get tired of Scott’s rambling and just start directing the show halfway through

blitz, emilia perez, gladiator and september 5th as frontrunners? oh wow! i guess my money's on duck tales then

All I have to say is great episode! You provided some great insight on so many movies for me to consider seeing.

Always love each of your insight, I just wish it was explained what Emilia Perez was about besides just saying it was great

7 seasons? Wowzers!

I don't see Gladiator 2 being in the conversation much longer

Nosferatu sweep!

This is why I love FYC... it just makes me excited for The Oscar Season. The Substance and The Brutalist are now one of my most highly anticipated movies of the year! I don't know but I am not that high on Gladiator 2. Ridley Scott just doesn't have that pedigree anymore. And I still feel FYC is so underestimating Dune 2, along with many other experts on Gold Derby. I think The Academy will have Dune 2 very high. I know Gladiator 2 is an unknown but Dune 2 is like one of the best movies of the last decade, and that is a very popular opinion among many people. I am ready for a movie like Dune 2 to win BP, but I do understand it is unlikely. I wont be mad if any of these great movies win, but I just hope one of these years, we see a movie like Top Gun Maverick and Dune 2 pull of major wins.

My list for Best Actor Ralph Fiennes Colman Domingo Adrien Brody Timothee Chalamet Daniel Craig

September 5th is not happening in Best Picture. The campaign is just going to get too controversial, if it even gets that far. And it's probably not going to be a major player in the acting or tech categories so I do not see a world where it cracks the 10 for BP without another nomination

I wonder when Oscar predictors are going to take Wicked seriously? That movie is going to be huge. We know it’s gonna get into the Globes and will probably be huge at the BAFTAs given the cast.

Internationally Gladiator II comes out a week earlier (Nov. 15), so it won't have global competition to become a Barbenheimer 2.

Jeff. I didn't see you here in Toronto. Scott was here but were you?

I haven’t seen The Substance but the way Jeff and Mantz described it reminded me of the sci-fi film Sunshine. I thought it was a 10/10 for the first 70% of the film, and then… meh.

Just a couple of months ago Sing Sing was winning Picture and Lead Actor. Then festivals come and it’s over. Interesting. And poor Nickel Boys and The Piano Lesson.

Are you guys going to include Life of Chuck now?

i'm so excited for emilia perez. everyone seems to undermine it but it has huge oscar potential

After Vencie Joker 2...I don't think so..it's tracking to open lower than the first

I hope Mike Flanagan gets nominated.

Sing Sing is getting in. Wont win BP but its a lock for the Top 10 imo. Can't name 10 films better than this.

Scott Mantz is the king of HYPERBOLE.

my predictions: The Brutalist Anora Conclave Dune Part Two Emilia Perez Blitz Sing Sing Nickel Boys A Complete Unknown The Room Next Door I don't feel that good about last two, but Mangold with music biopic should be a contender, and Academy love Almodovar... other contenders: Joker: Folie a Deux (probably only crafts), A Real Pain (actors, screenplay... but it could be more than that), Saturday Night (this one is screaming sole screenplay nom), Gladiator 2 (Ridley Scott is extremely hit and miss), Juror #2 (so is Eastwood lately)... and then there are only two movies directed by women, but both of them (Nightbitch, The Substance) sound too weird for Oscar (and I hope I'm wrong, I would love for The Substance to get some love!)... The Piano Lesson, His Three Daughters and The Seed of the Sacred Fig just so I could list 20 movies total, but I don't really believe in those. Am I missing something? Oh, and I don't think September 5 will be 2024. release...

What about LEE with Kate Winslet

The "I'll teach you everything you need to know about Road War," line alone should nab Furiosa a best picture nom. I'll just come out and say it: Furiosa > Fury Road.

The Wild Robot!

Wickedator

I haven’t seen any of the movies but I think Anora feel the most like a Best picture winner. I just feels like the exciting “cool” pick

my Oscars 2025 Best Picture predictions (September 2024) top 10 Dìdi (Focus Features) Anora (Neon) Emilia Pérez (Netflix) The Brutalist (A24) A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures) Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros.) The Room Next Door (Sony Pictures Classics) Blitz (Apple Studios) Sing Sing (A24) Nightbitch (Searchlight Pictures) next-in-line: Conclave (Focus Features) Nickel Boys (Orion Pictures-MGM) A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures) The Piano Lesson (Netflix) Nosferatu (Focus Features) The Apprentice (Briarcliff Entertainment) Hard Truths (Bleecker Street) Queer (A24) The Substance (Mubi) Babygirl (A24) Wicked (Universal Pictures) Challengers (MGM) We Live In Time (A24) Joker: Folie Á Deux (Warner Bros.)

The Brutalist

Scott is a zionist?

so the best sci-film from this decade so far doesn't even crack the top 5 in contention? sci-fi and horror film disrespect is really idiotic..Denis Villeneuve disrespect is even more damning.

emilia perez was AMAZING

Sing Sing is dead in the water and Emilia Pérez is a foreign language musical so those aren't realistic possibilities. Here’s the logical ten for Best Picture so far are. 1. The Brutalist 2. Conclave 3. A Complete Unknown 4. Anora 5. Blitz 6. His Three Daughters 7. Dune: Part Two 8. Joker: Folie à Deux 9. The Piano Lesson 10. We Live in Time

I agree more with Jeff I don’t usually agree with Perri & Scott. Perri & Scott r usually V Hollywood bubble thinking. (which is not good for the future of the film Industry) the audience is not always sheep following what Hollywood likes

should move these from live sections, they don't show up

How do we feel about Megalopolis?

Ahhhhh, my favorite trio

Gladiator 2? LOL, surely not. After watching Napoleon I have no faith in Ridley Scott anymore. Gladiator 2 is probably entertaining but I strongly doubt it's Oscars contender.

Agree other critic reviews didn’t like Emilia Perez as much as these guys Sing- Sing is sinking from other reviews also maybe actors Maria isn’t getting in as a movie Angelina maybe. Nicole Kidman always gets nominated she can sneeze & get nominated. Waiting to hear about Queer I heard mixed reviews on so many of these reviews for just about all these movies

September 5? Very doubtful. Too obscure and too political. Also, Israel isn't a very popular country right now.

Is there any actual data that shows a movies release date could hurt it's Oscar chances??

Gladiator 2 has zero chance to be better than Dune Part 2 or upstage Dune Part 2 lmao come on guys.

Ok anyone still as pissed about the fact that the Gold Derby app still malfunctions as l am?

My 10 picks are as follows. These are films I liked, not necessarily films that could get nominated. Emilia Perez Will and Harper Any Other Way: The Jackie Shane Story Ponyboi How To Have Sex Housekeeping for Beginners Am I OK? I Saw the TV Glow National Anthem Didi

>7th season of FYC bruhhhhhhhh

Free Palestine 🇵🇸

Emilia Pérez was messy and not in a good way.

Gladiator 2? No. Stop it.

I've seen Joker: Folie à Deux and it's so great! The musical aspect didn't turn me off because it's such a heartbreaking film that plays like a Shakespearean tragedy. Everybody go see it! 🎭

Even though Gladiator 2 hasn't been released yet there is no way it should be ranked higher than Dune Part 2. I'm still a believer in Dune Part 2 winning for Picture, Director and Techs.

10. Gladiator 2 9. A Complete Unknown 8. Saturday Night 7. Blitz 6. Emilia Perez 5. Conclave 4. Dune pt.2 3. Sing Sing 2. The Brutalist 1. Anora On the bubble: Joker 2, The Seed of the Sacred Fig and The Nickel Boys

lol

U guys hate Chalamet he is so underrated & not appreciated by Hollywood he has been so good for Hollywood & young Hollywood. Scott remember Dune 1 was the 1st big movie to come out after Covid ppl weren’t ready to go to the theater Covid was still out & about. Dune 2 bumped 2x bc of the strike & still made money Dennis needs to be nominated for Director

Nosferatu has no chance. Jeff come on now. Youre normally the blunt voice of reason

I just really hope the manufactured enthusiasm for sing sing does not translate into awards this year. Been hearing about this one for well over a year and it finally comes out and its doing no business and no one is very excited by it at all.

Please tell the dude in the black tee to moisturize 👀. Especially at night. Dude face is dry, cracked and wrinkly. 👀👀👀