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Biden and Trump are in a toss-up race for president 

FiveThirtyEight
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Ahead of the first presidential debate on Thursday, 538 looks at the latest 538 forecast numbers and the chances of each candidate winning the election this fall.
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26 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 38   
@IlCaroSassone
@IlCaroSassone 2 дня назад
Not close as you’re stating. Nate Silver nailed it. If popular vote is close, that’s bad news for Biden. It means Trump’s doing well in the 6-7 swing states, which he has been all year.
@marcusjones9084
@marcusjones9084 2 дня назад
It's a dead heat. This could go either way.
@IlCaroSassone
@IlCaroSassone 2 дня назад
@@marcusjones9084not according to Nate Silver.
@marcusjones9084
@marcusjones9084 2 дня назад
@IlCaroSassone What Nate Silver says is of no consequence.
@amaanahmed5744
@amaanahmed5744 2 дня назад
@@IlCaroSassonesame guy who said Hillary clinton would win 2016 and Biden would win a 350+ landslide in 2020
@holdenennis
@holdenennis 2 дня назад
Where did he say this?
@ducminhnguyen98
@ducminhnguyen98 2 дня назад
economic data is cooked af lol
@alexdasliebe5391
@alexdasliebe5391 2 дня назад
How many scenarios have a Popular Vote victory resulting in losing The Electoral College, and therefore the Presidency? Weeks back, wasn’t it 1 in 5?
@bmeht
@bmeht 2 дня назад
Fuck this bullshit.
@jackkazinsky290
@jackkazinsky290 2 дня назад
yay video
@penguinswithwifi
@penguinswithwifi 2 дня назад
After Biden’s pitiful performance tonight, you’re going to have to admit Trump is surging ahead of old Joe.
@thestuff9815
@thestuff9815 День назад
Aren’t they like 2 years apart?
@thestuff9815
@thestuff9815 День назад
I don’t think anyone reasonable sees either of them as a fountain of youth
@OSUforlife
@OSUforlife 3 дня назад
Easy to say, economic data has been strong when you’re probably making a lot of money not so easy when you’re blue-collar person.
@krombopulos_michael
@krombopulos_michael 3 дня назад
It doesn't make a difference who you are, the data is data, no matter who reads it. It's for the whole economy, not about one person.
@coltafanan
@coltafanan 2 дня назад
Fun fact, the economy is more than one person or more than a groups of persons
@edwardtse8631
@edwardtse8631 2 дня назад
@@krombopulos_michael but the data is so lame that because biden is an Incumbent, therefore he will win. On the other hand, Trump in a way is an incumbent that is 4 years ago.
@OSUforlife
@OSUforlife 2 дня назад
@@coltafanan yet they didn’t say that when Trump was president they would always bring up sub groups and say they are not doing well. Just want some consistency because when it’s Biden it’s just always a blanket statement
@OSUforlife
@OSUforlife 2 дня назад
@@krombopulos_michael yet they didn’t say that when Trump was president they would always bring up sub groups and say they are not doing well. Just want some consistency because when it’s Biden it’s just always a blanket statement
@sassynana5201
@sassynana5201 2 дня назад
Nope. I do not believe it’s a “toss up.” Americans-as a whole-are smarter than that.
@marcusjones9084
@marcusjones9084 2 дня назад
It's a toss-up. That's what happens when you have two people whom the American people dislike running for president.
@floydmaseda
@floydmaseda 2 дня назад
No they're not. We found that out in 2016.
@danbob521
@danbob521 3 дня назад
Ah so you guys caught wind of his model lmao
@RKO1988
@RKO1988 2 дня назад
No way is it close…fire your data analysts
@ckq
@ckq 2 дня назад
It is close, neither candidate has more than a 75% chance of winning
@parttimephilosopher7097
@parttimephilosopher7097 2 дня назад
Are you blind? Did you not see the polling immediately after the State of the Union speech? What about the Fox News poll that had Biden ahead by 2% THIS WEEK? What about the "Keys" to the White House that have correctly predicted the results of the last 11 elections, which favour Biden? What about the incumbency advantage, the booming labour market, growing economy and the stock market at all time highs? Far more importantly...what about the truly independent voters that are very hard to poll so far before an election, but who seem likely to heavily favour Biden? Enjoy your fantasy...I don't expect it to last long.
@MrRandomPrankster
@MrRandomPrankster 2 дня назад
Admit trumps the favorite you frauds
@marcusjones9084
@marcusjones9084 2 дня назад
We've seen no evidence that Trump is the favorite. It's literally a dead heat.
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