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Central Banks Don't Want You Spending Money or Taking on Debt. 2022 Canadian Real Estate Market. 

Jon Flynn Real Estate Stats
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Don't fight the fed. The Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve are committed to continuing to raise interest rates until inflation is under control. Homes prices will continue to fall until well after they pivot and reverse their tightening policy, which may be a while. This weeks statistics include Greater Vancouver, Winnipeg, Greater Toronto Area, Quebec, Montreal and Halifax.

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10 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 134   
@davidkania3720
@davidkania3720 Год назад
One of the only channels that don't sugar coat it. I think this downturn is just getting started! Great video 📹
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thank you!
@noleftturnunstoned
@noleftturnunstoned Год назад
Canada still has too few homes to meet demand, and interest rates will not change this. At the same time, rents are going sky high, and sure we are off the highs of FEB 2022, but if you expect a massive correction you are kidding yourself. Picking over month to month price fluctuation is idiotic when real estate, especially for those living in their homes, is a multi year long investment. *It's just noise*
@davidkania3720
@davidkania3720 Год назад
@@noleftturnunstoned your a moron if you think this is sustainable. Goodluck
@Broadcast705
@Broadcast705 Год назад
@@noleftturnunstoned it's not picking over month to month - you need to look at the totality of the month to month. Collectively a market downturn is illustrated and it's being illustrated in markets across the country. While I think its too soon to predict how deep the decline might run, it's obvious that interest rate hikes have had an impact on the housing market, but the full force of those changes has yet to be seen. We haven't seen the impact of rising rates on renewals yet, and I think the weight of that has yet to bear down on the market.
@scotttriathlon
@scotttriathlon Год назад
Two single-family houses in my neighbourhood in Montreal (southwest) dropped by $200K in the last two months
@monsieurfortuna9952
@monsieurfortuna9952 Год назад
oopsie, that's really bad for the homeowners
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
I'd believe it
@clearcut6818
@clearcut6818 Год назад
That's just fake valuation. If one has owned their home for more than five years, one has plenty of equity and is safe and sound.
@das_it_mane
@das_it_mane Год назад
Sellers don't realize just how much they need to drop prices to sell.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
a lot agents don't know either
@fillmorehillmore8239
@fillmorehillmore8239 Год назад
How many people send out feelers? We have a person in the area that lists every couple of years. I assume they do it to see if they can time. People equate selling with desperation.
@fjskj6529
@fjskj6529 Год назад
I listed 4x 1st time we were clueless. Pulled it a week after, no point in keeping it at that 2nd time we were at market. Got 1 single offer and didnt consider because again, it was the only 1. Comps were higher at that time 3rd time - another single offer. Almost considered it BUT again, comps were higher 4th time - listed really low and someone kicked the door down. Got an offer around the range of our 2nd listing Depending on the seller's situation they can keep on HODLING like what Jon says, but the comps will never lie. Unfortunately sellers have to follow the comps train or get left out. I did encounter a ton of tire kickers and lowballs. It was an automatic No. Some people are really clueless and name themselves "RE agents" 🤮
@noleftturnunstoned
@noleftturnunstoned Год назад
Of course they don't. List it and let the negoations begin. That is how the market works.
@androidtv7775
@androidtv7775 Год назад
@@fjskj6529 awesome breakdown dude and thank you. What market was that in and did you hire an agent or go the FSBO route? There is almost nothing available within reason in my area or is still very much over priced on single detected or priced high because of the sheer land mass that comes with purchase. We were contemplating a move next year anyway and I'm thinking I may just go ahead and list. The fall market is NOT the A typical fall market but I think we could say that for the whole year. My feel is everything is pushed back by a half to full quarter and we will see what should have been expected in September happening in November/December...what are your thoughts and I appreciate any and all insight.
@cherifhajebrahim4740
@cherifhajebrahim4740 Год назад
My friend is a realtor in montreal region, he just closed his office last month, he said no one wants to buy a house since 4 months.
@fjskj6529
@fjskj6529 Год назад
I was just up in Mt Tremblant and looks like the rich are still going full gas. What beautiful homes up there 😯
@RonnieY999
@RonnieY999 Год назад
I hope 90% of them will do the same
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for sharing that info, sorry your friend had to close.
@andreadarvay6424
@andreadarvay6424 Год назад
Clear and concise commentary …there’s a very good reason why you are getting so many views and followers. I’m considering Niagara region and I definitely know I would feel comfortable working with you to look for a purchase in Niagara in late 2023
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for watching and would be happy to work with you in the future.
@raihanabbasi3535
@raihanabbasi3535 Год назад
Last Saturday I took my kiddie and her Mom to Niagara Falls for some activities and on way we saw some very cool houses in Fonthill (I guess that was the name of town). Looking at those immediately I thought about you. May be soon when the time is right will get in touch with you. You are an awesome gentleman! I feel so much at ease just listening to you…..I know I will be in the right hands. Ty 🙂
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for the compliment. I was actually showing some homes to people in Fonthill that day. Just checking out different areas for the future.
@themightyvillage
@themightyvillage Год назад
Thanks for the update. Appreciate the Winnipeg data. ✅
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
No problem 👍
@Apollobay1
@Apollobay1 Год назад
Thank you very much for your updated data. Good job👍🏻
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
My pleasure
@stevenwhelly1196
@stevenwhelly1196 Год назад
Thanks, great job showing national stats - - yes, would love Ottawa data too... Your info is very helpful..
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks
@rumblebelly
@rumblebelly Год назад
The Fed is still 500 bips behind inflation. Let that sink in for everyone. Look at the US 2 yr and the 5 yr bonds. The bond market is trying to tell us something is wrong within the financial markets.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Great point, thanks
@MangoFlamingo
@MangoFlamingo Год назад
Thanks Jon for Montreal
@vantuanma5967
@vantuanma5967 Год назад
Thank you for the great works!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
You bet!
@JoshuaJackson84
@JoshuaJackson84 Год назад
Great stuff John!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks
@qualityreno9689
@qualityreno9689 Год назад
Thank you so much. I can't wait to have your report on the Ottawa area.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Coming soon!
@jmcg5838
@jmcg5838 Год назад
Ottawa will lag but is not immune to the economics. Ottawa prices are not like Toronto or Vancouver More like Calgary if any market.
@jupitereye4322
@jupitereye4322 Год назад
"Housing is already slowing"... that's a bit of an understatement... sales are at a 20-year low! Prices have gone down 20-30% year over year!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
yep
@fillmorehillmore8239
@fillmorehillmore8239 Год назад
Sellers are not desperate.
@SimcoeAce
@SimcoeAce Год назад
@@jonflynn What do mean "Yep"? Prices have NOT gone down 20-30% year over year. As you point out prices are just now starting to be below where they were a year ago.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
@@SimcoeAce I meant yep to most of his comment, I don’t make a policy of dissecting every comment
@SimcoeAce
@SimcoeAce Год назад
@@jonflynn Jon - I think it's important to be clear about what's going on or people may be confused and misled. Although SALES are down a lot, prices are not down 20-30% from the same time last year. I think the question is, are we close to the bottom ... or will prices fall a lot more in the next year? Just as in the stock market, it's hard to know for sure.
@igor-Light111
@igor-Light111 Год назад
Excellent, thank you
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Glad it was helpful!
@Chris-P14
@Chris-P14 Год назад
Thanks for the great info! Would love to hear some stats for St. John's Newfoundland market in future videos.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Noted!
@amandaaustin7095
@amandaaustin7095 Год назад
Love your videos. We’re anxiously waiting for the market to fall so we can buy a bigger house for our family that’s very much outgrown the one we’re in now. Wondering if you’d consider talking about Invermere BC. It’s an eastern town very close to alberta, it’s a tourist town so very expensive and not sure if the tourism will have an effect on our market or not. I’d love to have your insight! Thank you for your content 😊
@jacksilver8045
@jacksilver8045 Год назад
Many agents still keep saying its gonna go up soon. Better to buy now which i believe they have no idea whats coming.
@jimmybaggs5342
@jimmybaggs5342 Год назад
I don’t think they care where the market is heading, they just want transactions they can get commissions from
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
this week even the economists with the banks and CMHC are saying to watch out, recession is coming early 2023
@noleftturnunstoned
@noleftturnunstoned Год назад
Canada still has too few homes to meet demand, and interest rates will not change this. At the same time, rents are going sky high, and sure we are off the highs of FEB 2022, but if you expect a massive correction you are kidding yourself. *Reviewing real estate prices month to month is a joke* This time frame makes no sense, especially for people LIVING in their homes, as opposed to investors in a property.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for watching
@tassimotown9667
@tassimotown9667 Год назад
Thanks for the update. I am watching the Vancouver market and will likley buy in when the time is right (maybe next summer?). Looking to pay with mostly cash so interest rates are not a concern.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Good call, keep an eye on the market so you can adjust your timing accordingly. Thanks for watching
@Albert-ss3hq
@Albert-ss3hq Год назад
Your content is great, Can you add a segment in your next video local about prices in Niagara region!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks, will add Niagara in one of the upcoming videos for sure.
@rmk514
@rmk514 Год назад
Thanks John
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for watching
@nickjohnston3882
@nickjohnston3882 Год назад
Love your updates Jon, thank you for your content. Best thing I've read lately is, don't try and predict the outcome, deal with the facts in front of you. Meaning: Don't fight the FED, you'll lose every time!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Well said!
@susieschilling4009
@susieschilling4009 Год назад
Can you post comparison’s in Niagara region comparing different area’s. Example St Catherines, Niagara Falls, NOTL, Welland, Lincoln etc etc please
@jmcg5838
@jmcg5838 Год назад
Everyone is missing a critical point. In Canada we do not lock in mortgage rate for more than 5 years. So what REALLY matters is what rates will be when you renew every 5 years (or every month if you are variable). Real estate values are far from stable or guaranteed but are clearly highly correlated to interest rates and payments. The pre-approved super low rates are petering out so buyers WILL be paying much higher payments. So will owners that are up for renewal. If you are in a low rate loan now just be thankful for yourself because the buyers now could care less about YOUR low rate. When you renew or lock in is what matters. Values will fall more the higher rates go. So roll the dice. You are only playing with possibly hundreds of thousands of dollars in value plus your monthly expenses.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Well said
@E-SPONGE555
@E-SPONGE555 Год назад
Great video you are entitled to your opinion I like you honest opinion lol.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for the view
@andrelevert4484
@andrelevert4484 Год назад
Would be nice to include the investment properties like duplex triplex multiplex.
@syedzafarhaider6424
@syedzafarhaider6424 Год назад
Hey Jon, would love to get your comments on the recent homeowners protest that happened somewhere in the GTA I believe. Its funny how people and deluded RE Agents were happy this time last year, when RE like stonks only go up, was the mantra. Exactly what they're protesting about is something I dont get. Did the Feds force these homebuyers do over leverage?? Did they not know how variable rate mortgages work??
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
I couldn't find anything about it, let me know if you can find a link or something.
@jaymar1615
@jaymar1615 Год назад
There is a scary amount of realtors home owners and banks that are currently telling homeowners that the market is fine or its hit the bottom or it will rise in mid 2023.....makes me sick to see such greed manipulation and just delusional thinking of homowners that are only surviving off of more debt...like helocs they are not in a good financial situation but they think they are that's a deadly mix.....kill the expectation and speculation
@andreadarvay6424
@andreadarvay6424 Год назад
I’d like more stats on Niagara region
@rony9747
@rony9747 Год назад
Can you include Hamilton data in upcoming videos?
@bryanmurray2723
@bryanmurray2723 Год назад
Regarding dont fight the fed and not buying say real estate when money is not cheap, I was wondering whether that advice depends on where one is getting the money to buy real estate? If one has to borrow to buy, then yes it's not a good idea if interest rates are high, but if one doesnt have to borrow, one can take advantage of lower real estate prices by buying then. Is this correct or am I totally out to lunch?
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
You're correct but either way you have to buy near the bottom or you'll be trying to catch a falling knife. In my opinion we're not near the bottom yet.
@andreaspilar8335
@andreaspilar8335 Год назад
Hi Jon! Really like your content. Myself and my husband are tryng to find a home in the Cambridge/Waterloo area. Most homes in this area are still going for multiple offers and over asking due to offer dates. We have a rate hold until December 20th, 2022. What do you suggest? We are pretty tired of living in a basement but don't want to rush into anything. Our realtor keeps telling us that if we wait to buy, we will have less buying power with higher interest rates...no idea what to do🤷‍♀
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
What rate do you have? It's a tough situation. Your realtor is right you'll have less purchasing power with increased rates but at the same time if you buy you'd be buying into a declining market. I can't interfere with your process by advising you since you're currently working with a realtor buy my general advice to buyers is, if you buy now there's a high probability that the home you purchase will be worth a good bit less in 6 or 12 months from now. I advise all my clients and friends planning to enter or re-enter the market to wait for now. Existing sellers who are buying and selling due to upsizing or downsizing can do what they need to, and sellers should be selling asap.
@andreaspilar8335
@andreaspilar8335 Год назад
The rate is 5.27% fixed for 3 years. We are saving quite a bit right now as we don’t have to pay rent or a mortgage. I think we will wait for now unless we find something we really like and the offer date process ends. Thanks for replying! ​@@jonflynn
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Год назад
Buy in either January or February 2024.
@tlr-nut7275
@tlr-nut7275 Год назад
@@andreaspilar8335 5.27% is not a good rate. I think you should be able to get close to that in a year from now when the house might be 250k less. I would wait.
@mgdubya27
@mgdubya27 Год назад
They want people who think they could retire early (the great resignation) to go back to work.
@stevenvanderheide6472
@stevenvanderheide6472 Год назад
I just learned this this year. I am so surprised how interest rates effect the whole economy.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Thanks for watching and commenting
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Год назад
They make people with no debt and a lot of cash a lot more money as interest rates rise. GIC rates have stalled for the past 6 weeks. My income has already more than doubled this year from last year.
@dhavalr775
@dhavalr775 Год назад
Halifax is still VERY unaffordable...
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
looks like it
@InvestWithRishi
@InvestWithRishi Год назад
I want prices to hit 500k for a bungalow in hamilton with a detached garage in A neighborhoods which I can buy and do a duplex conversion and rent it out, which has potential to add an ADU later in the garage
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
probably 2024
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
yes
@nielsbeck7461
@nielsbeck7461 Год назад
This is just the begginning of the pain to come.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
yes it is, thanks for watching
@jasonkillion6827
@jasonkillion6827 Год назад
Do Victoria BC!!!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
for sure!
@mitchellsmith2674
@mitchellsmith2674 Год назад
Hello Jon, I have a sample question for you, if a house is currently 625k @4.89% the payment for 5% down is approx 32-3300. If rates continue to increase to 7% a 500k home will be approx 3200 with 5% down. I'm curious whether waiting is worth it. Will that already low price of 625 1 hour from Toronto drop to 500k or less before rates hit 7%. I've been saving for 2+ years to buy my first home and I want to try to save as mu h monthly as possivbe when i do. Thank you in advance.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
In my opinion it would be better to buy a cheaper house next year but at a higher rate, a variable rate so you can take advantage of rates when they drop. Ultimately the best time to buy is when houses continue to drop and rates start to drop by a percent or two. Now is the worst time, prices are still inflated and so are rates. Buy a house when the banks are selling them. Thanks for watching
@clearcut6818
@clearcut6818 Год назад
You will likely not be able to afford said home once interest rate hits 10%. It takes 20 years for Canada to get out of the last housing slump.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
if mortgage rates hit 10% imagine what that will do to home prices
@jlm4836
@jlm4836 Год назад
New interesting topics would be “fuel costs”, is the main inflation driver!Trudeau’s carbon tax? 🤔 Lack of single family lots
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
it will be interesting to see what happens when the carbon tax triples and BoC rate is well over 4.5% at the same time.
@elizabethdang2807
@elizabethdang2807 Год назад
Do you think Calgary is a outlier in these decreasing trends?
@jayd6098
@jayd6098 Год назад
everyone and their dog is moving into Calgary
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Calgary will do ok because they didn't have the insane YoY increases like Ontario and Vancouver so their losses will be small in comparison. They will still decrease though.
@rickyou1358
@rickyou1358 Год назад
Yes Ottawa, you're worth the wait and I trust you, thanks
@Neil908
@Neil908 Год назад
I don’t want to bet against Central Bankers…. If they don’t see the demand cool then don’t be surprised to see a full percentage point in October to cool the market. Then it just ain’t real estate that will be in trouble..
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
There's some very interesting things happening in the world markets right now also
@allancole9158
@allancole9158 Год назад
Maybe because they were Sock Boys personal ATM
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
lol, yep
@moldyal
@moldyal Год назад
People behave like people, central banks can’t expect people to behave like trained sea lions. I want me some good deflation if I’m going to stop buying stuff.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
I think we will see deflation soon
@branttrainstation
@branttrainstation Год назад
Do you hear it, whistling as the housing market dropping like a bomb in some areas, there are housing markets that are still in a seller favour, but the most expensive time of the year is coming up, if all the reports are true that many Ontarians are carrying debt not just mortgage but consumer debt, credit cards, it's Oct 11/22 and on my way home I pass a fast food restaurant that had at least ten or more cars line up, so if there that many people buying fast food no worries here, in some city like Hamilton the house prices dropping hasn't started, why because who is now been priced out of Toronto market in heading to cheaper markets, oh buyer that are waiting for the bottom, that number is getting smaller as interest rates climb
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
That's why they will keep raising rates to stop the spending. FYI Hamilton has dropped around $200K since Feb.
@branttrainstation
@branttrainstation Год назад
@@jonflynn Where have they drop, which part of Hamilton, Hamilton home owner are still in denial about prices, also geedy scum sucking uncaring real estate agents are will to lie about the market, because I have been looking for the pass two years, my wife and I sold our home in 2019 just as prices were rising, and bidding wars started, we ended up having to rent because we couldn't compete with other buyer who were willing to over pay if you can show me a house that my wife and I are willing to buy that have drop ,200,000 your real estate agent, like people say show me because you can't, the area we want is Hamilton mountain, Stoney Creek mountain, an Caledonia, prices in these area were in 2019 300,00-500,00 Caledonia were in 300,00-400,00 now there in 600,00-900,000 anything less the owner will delist the house. PUT YOUR MONEY WHERE MOUTH IS
@androidtv7775
@androidtv7775 Год назад
Jon, during the hysteria of the February '22 rediculousness with Montreal wasn't it still considered an essentially balanced market? I know they saw a jump but nothing in comparison to the GTA or ON as a whole so would'nt they have had less to fall and more likely to return to a bit of normalcy fairly quickly given the new market conditions? It's like AB which has consistently been considered fairly balanced through all of this. At the moment they are seeing a bit of an upswing as people pull the trigger on making the move and the province is truly killing it on the back of the "Petro Dollar" with global oil demands but it's not outlandish and continues to ebb and flow. Its nothing crazy especially when you consider places like NS over the last year. I feel like that market has been driven more by a "FAD" as an alternative to ON and especially the GTA due to price. I think people who fell prey to the hype are going to feel the hit pretty hard in NS having paid top dollar for that region since the infastructure/jobs aren't there to support it and even more so when they try to get a doctor or need to go to the hospital...the province can't handle it. Most domestic work is very much seasonal but I do know of friend and family working remotely for Toronto based firms out there but who knows for how much longer that will fly. Primarily NS is supported by government jobs many of which are in the military sector as a major port for our Navy. I almost made the move myself but then prices when silly so I stayed put. It is too bad, its such a beautiful place filled with wonderful people. It's an absolute travesty "Energy East" never happened but so long as Trudeau is in the captains chair, we follow/rely on the US like a lost puppy and/or the WEF is calling the shots it never will. Canadians will just keep buying back and sadly selling our own natural resources from the countries who can actually refine them. Who knows maybe NFLD Hydrogen will take off but I doubt it. Also ever wonder why all the work they are doing in building/testing it is happening on an island?!?...that stuff goes BOOM real good, remember the Hindenburg!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Excellent comment and you're 100% correct Montreal and Alberta have remained fairly balanced and are in a little to gain little to lose situation. The rest of the big movers are screwed. That being said I think the country will see further declines across the board due to the global economy and what's to come.
@androidtv7775
@androidtv7775 Год назад
@@jonflynn Jon, I want to put your expertise to the test if I may especially because I know I'll get a no nonsense response and I think it would be great for viewers to see your breakdown process, so here's the challenge... MLS #W5771642 ...what are your thoughts on the market it's in, what's wrong with this property as the DOM continues to rise while being priced on the low side and what would be your strategy to get this place to move. Full disclosure this is not my property but it's in my area and while I'm a 2 storey and this is a bungalow (backsplit) I would say its comparable as bungalows are always a big draw especially for people downsizing. The property is a ~30' shorter than mine and I've got much more of a renovated home but still I would say comparable price wise given the activity I've seen in the last 6mths. I can't figure it out I though for sure it would have gone in the first week with much more expensive properties continuing to turn over but no...so what in your opinion...what is wrong with it?!? The only thing I can think of is size. Bolton has seen a huge boom in the building of multiple DC/warehouses and as a result a huge influx of unskilled workers required. My guess is the bigger, uglier homes on postage stamp lots are selling better for one reason, size and their ability to house multigenerational families while little gems like this just sit...that's it!
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
Hey, I don't have access to the Toronto real estate board but I took a quick look at it on Realtor.ca and it does't look like it's priced too far off the mark. Probably 1.1M would be more reasonable considering prices are trending down. I think the problem is it doesn't show the best, the kitchen isn't modern and has brown cupboards and a lot of bulky furniture and beige walls etc. They need to declutter and lose a bunch of furniture and then stage it properly at the minimum. Buyers have choices now and will move on to the next place if it's not up to their standards.
@androidtv7775
@androidtv7775 Год назад
@@jonflynn thank you Jon that's bang on what I was thinking it's just a hair over but the seller isn't motivated and more than happy to let it sit like the other 31 detached for sale in the Bolton market. Sales are happening and generally worst case scenario sellers are getting 98% of asking but they still don't seem happy. I myself may list in the next week or two or look into the absolutely insane rental prospect which is what virtually all the unsold homes that haven't relisted have done here as of late. Thank you again sincerely for taking the time and the content. The channel is great, all the very best, take care and keep 'em coming!
@androidtv7775
@androidtv7775 Год назад
@@jonflynn PS: one thing you can't tell from the pictures either is it's a very odd layout for a back/side split with very small rooms. I'm on the oppose side of the street not far from the listing and have no sidewalk and a much bigger 50x150 lot, well renovated including the tough stuff (electric, plumb, insul) with an 18x32 inground pool and I'm thinking of pricing it right around the $1.2M mark...fingers cross and I'll let you know.
@fillmorehillmore8239
@fillmorehillmore8239 Год назад
The only people that benefit on price declines are cash buyers. Not saying this is a bad thing, but for anyone taking out a mortgage what is the monthly payment with rising rates and lower prices vs lower rates and higher prices? Sales will fall for the economy is slowing taking out buyers due to economic hardship.
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
right now the monthly payment is higher even after $200K lower prices due to interest rates. That's another reason why there's only one way for prices to go right now.
@fillmorehillmore8239
@fillmorehillmore8239 Год назад
@@jonflynn I would agree with one caveat. Supply of homes needs to increase and being that supplies to build are still expensive it creates a floor on home prices. The cost to borrow is high and the supply costs to build are high would lead me to believe that there is no rush for builders to create more supply until he ROI improves.
@alessandroc47
@alessandroc47 Год назад
@@fillmorehillmore8239 Newly built housing isn’t only the only source of sales, in fact It’s not even the majority component of sales. Secondly, ROI will go up as the industry becomes less saturated, which it is. Not to mention commodities have taken a nosedive.
@fillmorehillmore8239
@fillmorehillmore8239 Год назад
@@alessandroc47 Agreed on all points.
@SimcoeAce
@SimcoeAce Год назад
This is absolutely true. The situation for first time buyers, or buyers without much established home equity to trade remains poor. Buyers who have sold their home and have cash on hand may not be effected much, or at all, by higher interest rates. I think that's why the market was crazy in NS until quite recently - there were buyers who had cash on hand after selling their homes in Ontario.
@xaverpest
@xaverpest Год назад
any comment in CALGARY?
@jonflynn
@jonflynn Год назад
I did the stats for Calgary in the previous video.
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