Deep Dive 03/09/2024 - Summer stats… but is it over? - Met Office weekly weather forecast UK 

I’d really like to have part of the deep dive as a retrospective - go back to last week’s forecast and see how accurate it was and if/why it was different etc.

Au revoir Summer! It's was lovely seeing you for a couple of hours this year.

Alex Deakin….legend mate. You make weather so interesting. Amazing show. Best presenter on tv. Carry on making it interesting mate.

He's just so enthusiastic! Makes learning about the weather all the more engaging. Geat job by all the team 👍

I will make a motorbike trip to the west coast of Ireland over Thursday to Saturday and so these Deep Dives are brilliant for helping me plan what to wear to stay warm and dry. Thank you!

"Summer is done".....I must have blinked and missed it! 😂

Nicely explained Alex, simple and clear so everyone can understand, including those who like to blame the weather man.

Hi Alex I really enjoy the deep dives that you guys at the Met Office put on. I've been watching them since the start. Learning a bit more about the weather it's very interesting. You all do a great job, all the best, Stevie from Eaglesham Scotland

Loving the overall Summer deep dive, great breakdown of the last 3 months! 👍 Something I can't quite grasp is how it appears that how our insect population numbers appear reduced this year, on recent years, even though average temperatures were still higher than historical averages but weren't significantly higher? Thanks again for the great info! 👍👍

One of the things that I would like to see is a brief overview of the weather in neighbouring countries. In the summer, the countries across the channel and around the med so we might see what we will get if we were to go on holiday there. Similarly in winter, need to know if we can get to the good ski locations (not me - too old now anyway). But getting a bigger picture of where the weather is, where it comes from, how it will affect us...or having affected us, how it will affect neighbouring countries where we might have friends and relations

Fascinating stuff, beautifully presented. Keep ‘em coming!

This has to be the best deep dive so far just to be able to see the changes throughout the country in summer and August 🎉 The fern effect was very interesting to learn about . Great stuff thank you Alex . Yes August was incredibly hot and dry in Norfolk , sunshine too . DD has to be to most interesting viewing on RU-vid . 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

Drawing is back! And loads of stats, thanks for showing Alex. It is very interesting to see these regional contrasts. And surely general warming trend is clear, that was a very good insight to see how average temperatures go up since 1970s...

“Rambling” - I don’t think so! Alex has to be one of the best educators around - such a natural. Without doubt one of my ‘highlight’ watches of the week. Many thanks.

Currently, in the South, there are "Yellow extreme weather alerts for moderate rain". MODERATE RAIN? In England? We shouldn't be batting an eyelid, let alone getting a severe weather alert. On the weekend there were thunderstorm warnings and not a dark cloud forecast (and not a single storm in my area- something that happens more and more rarely in SW edge of London- I miss them big storms!). It's getting rather hard to take these weather warnings seriously...

Thank you, love that detail, and you're showing the weather going out into France & beyond, which we need so much, because we travel there so much. 😊👍

summer over ? did it ever really start this year, its been bloody awful.

That was the most interesting, enlightening Deep Dive I have yet watched 😊

MetOffice , This Deep Dive Weather Reporting truly makes the brain tingle … If I was a weather person this would be the way I would hope present it … I really liked the rainfall histogram too , thx , kev

I'm watching this on Sunday 8th September and fair play your forecast for the rain in the south was spot on. Keep up the good work.

This is one of the best and most informative weather forecasts Ive seen. Brilliant. Will keep watching on a regular basis from now on. Thank you!!

Good stuff👍🏻😄 really liked the summer average temp graph going back over the years.

Very many thanks Alex. So, here in the New Forest, having a few days break you’re telling us we’re going to have a Cut-off Low from tomorrow night and will be having a yellow warning! 😮 Still, at least it won’t start until tomorrow night…that’s right..isn’t it? It was really interesting to hear about the summer stats also the Fern effect, brilliant. Many thanks to Angel and Simon! ❤ Thanks again Alex and all the Me Take very great care everyone

19:03 "on social media" ... "People not grasping climate and how averages and graphs work". Savage 😂. Can you explain them to Julia Hartley Brewer?

I met a marine engineer in Buckey, Scotland who called Easterlies the lazy wind, because it can't be bothered to go around you so it just goes straight through.

Howdy Met team and Alex, great look over the Summer period, funny thing is I didn't think it was that much cooler or wetter or even windier and I'm in the West of Scotland, the ground was fairly dry for most of it, maybe it was a drier spring and that's why I didn't notice. Anyway, a thought for something to discuss in the future, as we go into the stormier months, it would be nice to hear a discussion over the different warning levels, the possible effects and precautions people should take, particularly around activities like work and travel. I noticed that a lot of weather warnings would go out and people just don't know what to do, they feel they have to go into work and get stuck there or on the roads. Same with travelling around, people just don't know what to do with the warnings even when they are given and there are no legal protections saying if there's an amber warning for wind and rain that they can stay home and safe. I think that's why so many folk ignore them because they don't know what to do with the warnings. Hopefully you get what I'm trying to say, thanks for the show and look forward to the 10 day trend tomorrow.

Absolutely brilliant - thank you so much for these deep dives! They really put flesh on the bones of the shorter, more usual weather programmes, and answer a lot of the questions I have about the statistics and how typical the season has been. I am also grateful for all the technology you use to illustrate the story, because I've always thought that presenting weather was like telling a story, only before it has happened. So much here to think about, and so well illustrated. I do find this kind of programme fascinating... 🙂

Whilst we have not had any outstanding warmth this summer I get the impression from my own observations that there is a more clear indication of warming of the atmosphere reflected in the nighttime minimum temperatures. These seem to be consistently higher than a few years ago, but such a trend would not be reflected in the average temperatures if the maximum temperature was suppressed, as appears to be the case this summer. Here in North Devon we are consistently seeing minimums in the mid to higher teens, which 20 or 30 years ago would have been almost unheard of, and whilst living in Mid Wales until a few years ago I came to the same conclusion. Perhaps this is something that could be looked at in a future deep dive.

Thanks , Alex ,Angel and crew . So far this year thunderstorms seem to have by-passed Surrey , back in July I thought I heard some distant thunder , ( Brontide ? ) , but who knows maybe Summer will depart with a bang for us in the coming days . Loving the Deep dive . Always a pleasure to watch .

Hi Alex and watching from New Zealand… What a brilliant deep dive and highlights the UK weather brilliantly with the graphics and your layman terms explanations! Hope autumn is kind in the UK as we begin spring quite warmly in parts of NZ… keep up the great work! Richard, NZ

Great forecast and deep dive as always. Would love to see a look at the weather in the Atlantic and the US at the moment to see what is happening with the tropics and how that might influence our weather into September and October this year.

Hi Alex, good deep dive again sorry about the weatherman's woe, wasn't there one last year near Canada that affected our weather, August has always been temperamental over the year's, liked your drawings enjoy your week thanks

Thank you for keeping us up to date with the weather let's hope winter and autumn is not as windy as last year

Great North Run on Sunday. Last year's gave thunder, lightning, flooding and chaos for everyone trying to get home. Good luck if you're running 🎽

As we are an 'island' (inset discussion here) I'd love to see more about the sea/ocean temperatures and how these are affected and even if they affect the weather in the UK.

Seeing the cut-off low centred on the Bay of Biscay made me wonder if that is how the Doldrums came about, where sailing ships were historically becalmed for days?

Love the Met Office YT videos. In particular, your graphics! There is always something new to learn each week. I watch them all! Climate and weather is so fascinating, and you all present them so well. If they had been available 40 years ago, I may have chosen meteorology, instead of nursing! Thank you Met Office!

I live in the North East and we have not had much rain at all! I just want some old fashioned Autumn weather,I look forward to the deep dive each Tuesday it's very interesting.Thanks❤

Alex Deakin says at the start of the deep dive video "why had we had so many thunderstorms recently"........he's got to be taking the mick......... hardly any thunder this summer let alone recently. What has happened to those great thundery plumes of old?

Autumnal here in this part of US this wk, last yr this time it was 97 deg Fahrenheit for 1st couple wks Sept. Thanks as always for this great discussion on the Deep Dive; we look forward to it!🎉

my experience in Aberdeen is that every 3-5 yrs we get almost constant cloud cover from spring to autumn, as a result i wonder if global warming and pollution produces more cloud cover generally. most excellent postings deuudes!

Fantastic info. Really well explained!

Thanks Alex. Maybe I’ll head up north this weekend if it’s going to be drier and warmer there lol.

Thank you Alex I can imagine them ox-bow lows are like the occasional migraine what you get after a busy day :D

Fabulous, But it doesn't look like I'll be going to classic car shows this weekend as I planned! But never mind at least it's going to feel warm. The history is very interesting. I enjoy telling people what really happened years ago with your facts.

Really enjoy these Deep Dives.Although I tend to watch them at the weekend rather than on Tuesday,these videos are most educational.Doesn't matter how long they are, I find they fly by.As a suggestion for the future,is it possible to do segments on other weather features similar to the way that the Foehn effect was explained in this video? I studied this when studying Physical Geography A Level but that was over 40 years ago(!).Thank you everyone in producing these videos.They are a highlight of my week! Best wishes to all.

My university professor tells me that the definition of summer is from the : summer solstice to autumnal equinox. And that Spring is from : Spring Equinox to Summer solstice.. What I would like to know is why there hasn’t been a persistent, dominant area of high pressover the UK for at least 15minths, v odd..

I'm actually, really chuffed that Scotland is getting some nice weather.

Who knew begging for a heatwave would get you obsessed with the weather and watching met office on the daily? Cheers lads!

London ❤ forever summer here 😊

Finally better weather in the north

Ooh dear, rainfall accumulations by Sunday, I live in a 50mm blue blob area that looks to be Gloustershire/Oxfordshire 😬 I'm not sure I understand, however, the Met office day to day forecast as it's currently displaying - is it still to be updated? The warnings are there, but where I live - under a 50mm blue blob area - it's only showing light rain with a 60 to 70 percent probability? Is this because we are looking at thunderstorm activity, so it's hit and miss?

Been lovely in Norwich rain just yesterday still warm been lovely for months 😊

At last some good weather for the north 😃

When you show the stats please leave the stats on for a bit longer so we or just I can them.

Great details Alex......I'm hoping for an Indian summer, hopefully to December, leading to an early spring - I can hope !

Flow dynamics, Love it.

that average Summer graph is really scary. The average line being almost a straight line over the last fifty odd years.

How was my summer?... rubbish as it was for many other people in the U.K

Always love the deep dive.

Love a good thunder storm. ⛈️ 😊

The summer here in South London was overall pretty decent. June wasn't great and early July was cool and wet but from mid July onwards it was mostly dry with a few days over 30C.

Thank you Alex Deep Dive

Another great instalment, thanks. Now we are heading towards Winter maybe you could do a segment with Dr. Judah Cohen who specialises in Winter weather and the polar vortex?

Thank you Angel & simon as well

Much enjoyed, as usual. Perhaps we can cover where the hottest weather, the stormyest weather and the wettest weather was across the world and compared to the UK weather around the same time through the year. Extremes are always interesting where weather is concerned. 👋🥵

The mean wind speed "spot" areas looked interesting. Would love to see this with a topoghraphical overlay. Enjoyed that,thank you.

Last week we had high pressure over the UK and was expecting fine and dry weather then Friday it all changed

The Deep Dive is always good. Cloud appreciation day is a great idea - As i work outside every day I find just looking at the clouds a very restful escape from the daily hurly burly. What I would like an explanation on is why is it on some days it is possible to see Jet Contrails but then on other days it is not possible to see them. On some days you can see many at the same time. I presume it is to do with the pressure situation in the atmosphere at 30,000 plus feet. If the air is rising contrails are visible or is there another explanation?

I would prefer a sun appreciation day on the 13th as we're off to the coast...🤣🤣

It's my birthday 🎂 on Wednesday.

Great to see that new 3d rainfall accumulation graphic in use again! Very interesting info on the 'cut of low' scenario......does this slowly drift east into Europe as time goes by or just slowly fill in situ or even deepen? I guess there is no certainty in this scenario? Excellent deep dive Alex....thankyou for your enthusiasm.

Another great video, thanks all!

Got stacks of tomatoes on the allotment all green, no chance of enough sun to ripen now, hopeless spring and summer.

Your work is brilliant I hope the heart doesn't stay as I hate it brilliant wheather forecast is brill

Thanks Alex, enjoyed this, I watched all the way to end. I have a question about the temperature graph you showed that indicates climate change. What is the average length of a planetary meteorological cycle, and can we be sure of climate change based on trends over 100 years, when it is possible it could be part of a much larger trend/fluctuation/cycle, for example 10,000 years?

Why is the Met. Office trying to change the dates of the seasons, Autumn does not officially start 21st.

It seems to have been a summer of two halves where I live. It was cool and wet though June and the first half of July, then it improved and the second half of July and August, apart for the last week were a warmer and drier than average. I think there was a change in wind direction from a north westerly, to a south westerly, with the Azores high ridging in more into the south and east for the second half of the summer, than at the start.

Great stuff. Informative. Thank you,

It’s about time you lot down south got to experience what we’ve had to put up with throughout the summer months up north.Enjoy!

Thanks again , enjoyed the explanations

I am quite confident storm Ashley will get named for Thursday and Friday, strong winds from a unique wind direction, torrential persistent rain, lots of rain over tonight and tomorrow will saturate the ground meaning anymore rainfall will not be able to infiltrate and so then be surface run off causing floods, schools and businesses reopening after summer, some still on holiday, time of day, trees in full leaf, unstable weather pattern, a lack of recent bad weather means dead trees haven't yet fallen, so the first big autumn storm will tear them down, there are plenty more out of my 14 tick boxes for how I personally think storms should be named and warned, some people think its just about the amount of rain and wind, its about more, like the direction of wind, whether it falls over highly populated areas, the wind direction, the time of day and year, recent rainfall totals, how poorly built an area is, and much more.

In your opening lines you commented; "why have we had so many thunderstorms lately". I'm not sure where. I live in Herts and there hasn't been a single thunderstorm all year. In my 52 year record this is the quietest year so far with only three days of thunder.

Well, I live in North East Essex. We haven’t had any thunderstorms we virtually had no rain now for weeks and weeks we are desperate for some rain but we seem to miss it every time.

Very impressive drawings Alex, you should get those used for the forecast symbols. Excellent work and great video. Thank you!

What are the Britons going to do when The AMOC shuts down within the next 25 years? I'm British by the way and I lived in Exeter, Devon in 2011. emigrated to Western Canada with my parents 45 years ago when I was 15.

We still haven't had a thunderstorm.

Certainly no summer here in Northern Ireland, nothing above 25°C and significantly above average rainfall, also west Scotland seen its wettest summer on the records.

Really interesting Alex thankyou.

22:31 Wisbech wooooooo

Summer. The best day of the year. Its near enough rained every day since last september till july this year ans been pretty meh weather with one hot day then back to soggy meh

The Summer charts highlight why all of Scotland shouldn't be referred to as "the north west". Eastern Scotland has much different weather than western Scotland.

A heatwave suggests that we have nice warm weather for at least 3 days, unfortunately we had one day in the north.

i find the deep dive good

Coolest summer since 2015 interesting 🤔 didn’t the global temperature hit a record high this year, how has the U.K. bucked the global trend ?

In North Lincolnshire we have had very little rain for three months!!!!!

Bit subjective and sorry if you have covered this before, but the weather seems to be more changeable than it was in the past. We have recently had a hot day, then a cooler day, then another warmer day, and so on (SE England). I seem to remember that we used to have a warm period of several days, then a rainy period of several days. Is there any meteorological basis to this impression of greater changeability nowadays?

Thank you, Alex

I know it maybe a little basic but I would love a deep dive on clouds ☁️ what types of clouds ,what they look like.

Great deep dive, thanks.