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Historian Niall Ferguson on the roots of today's political polarization 

Long Now Foundation
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Historian Niall Ferguson argues that today’s political polarization echoes the religious polarization of the Reformation. Both were brought about by technological disruption: The printing press, in the case of the Reformation; and the personal computer and internet, in the case of today.
From Niall Ferguson's Long Now Seminar “Networks and Power”:
longnow.org/seminars/02018/nov...
Check out more Seminars on Long-Term Thinking curated and hosted by Stewart Brand: longnow.org/seminars
The Long Now Foundation's monthly Seminars were started in 02003 to build a compelling body of ideas about long-term thinking; to help nudge civilization toward our goal of making long-term thinking automatic and common instead of difficult and rare.
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17 дек 2018

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Комментарии : 622   
@skyshiv
@skyshiv 4 года назад
He was my Professor at LSE, never have I met a more educated and wise man.
@zootsoot2006
@zootsoot2006 2 года назад
How about compared with Starkey? You had him too?
@Mirandorl
@Mirandorl 5 лет назад
You know, if you spend a week without looking at the news or the internet, the world seems a much nicer, happier, safer place. I think all the dramatic people and angry depressives live in those two places. Maybe we feel the times we live in are screwed because we hang out in the places where the absolute most negative people in our populations like to publish their views. Like a huge unhappy echo chamber #weekofftheinternet
@ignaciobenjamindebortoli7819
@ignaciobenjamindebortoli7819 4 года назад
Ignorance is bliss, then?
@californigirl
@californigirl 4 года назад
Spot on! I got off the youtwittokface over a month ago, and I am more productive, I sleep better, I enjoy my days.
@arminius6506
@arminius6506 4 года назад
@@ignaciobenjamindebortoli7819 no. Internet companies like FB, Instagram and online news outlets are designed (unintentionally) to make us unhappy.
@MiguelGebremedhin
@MiguelGebremedhin 4 года назад
@@ignaciobenjamindebortoli7819 which is better ? To be ignorant of something or to be horribly misinformed about something ?
@p.bamygdala2139
@p.bamygdala2139 4 года назад
OP, so true. Too bad we're all hopelessly addicted to our internet fix.
@alexisasheep6554
@alexisasheep6554 4 года назад
"history happens 10 times faster now" No wonder it's so exhausting
@riosanto6296
@riosanto6296 4 года назад
Yep, at the speed of light.
@Megalomaniakaal
@Megalomaniakaal 4 года назад
@Xadion And soon we might be the machines. Something-something #Transhumanism
@bluecrewfan88
@bluecrewfan88 4 года назад
Almost every time Niall Ferguson takes a contrarian stance, my reaction is that he's being a troll. But then I listen to his argument and often times I find myself agreeing at the very least with the broad outline. Niall is a wonderful historian. It's why I've read most of his books and keep coming back for more.
@Matsoni85
@Matsoni85 3 года назад
🎯
@arnesaknussemm2427
@arnesaknussemm2427 4 года назад
The irony is that the very thing he talks about is happening in the comments section.
@taylorc2542
@taylorc2542 4 года назад
The printing press of the people, and the high priest of our time (journalist/Big Tech) are so scared of it that they are taking it away.
@billtomson5791
@billtomson5791 4 года назад
No it ain't, ya jerk!... Just kidding. You're right, of course.
@ralphholiman7401
@ralphholiman7401 4 года назад
@@taylorc2542 Yahoo, must took away the comments section, which almost always provided more accurate and more facts related to the story, than the original author did. Sometimes, embarrassingly so.
@1schwererziehbar1
@1schwererziehbar1 4 года назад
You're a heritic!
@clkndggr
@clkndggr 5 лет назад
That backdrop is going to give me an aneurysm.
@fairsplitdivorceseparation8015
You are so funny, Andrew Stover :)
@snowmiser4893
@snowmiser4893 5 лет назад
At least you'll be anesthetized from this talk.
@byteresistor
@byteresistor 5 лет назад
It made my mind travel into a different dimension.
@duncanbleak3819
@duncanbleak3819 5 лет назад
LMAO. Now my head hurts......Thanks.
@velequest
@velequest 5 лет назад
came down to the comments to see if I was the only one. Glad to see it was the first comment.
@immanuelt613
@immanuelt613 4 года назад
I can't believe this video is in 2019. It says a lot about what's happening in 2020
@ralphholiman7401
@ralphholiman7401 4 года назад
This guy is a crystal ball. I need to find what he's saying today.
@Gaia_Gaistar
@Gaia_Gaistar 3 года назад
*It's 2021 now* But wait, there's more!
@paulsung1409
@paulsung1409 4 года назад
Wow, these comments were quite accurate and timely. I need to read more of him.
@Natural_law_lawyer
@Natural_law_lawyer 4 года назад
It's scary how a lot of switch on people predicted this coming. Yet the wider western public was blinded.
@riosanto6296
@riosanto6296 4 года назад
Dr. Ferguson is very interesting to read and watch.. To me, he's one of the most poignant and profound thinkers of our time.
@norm3844
@norm3844 4 года назад
He’s regarded by some schools of thought to be quite pro-empire so, just like all historians (who each have their own angle), everything he says and writes should be taken with the ever-so-slightest grain of salt
@markbantz9699
@markbantz9699 4 года назад
He’s a wanker folks!
@wolfgangkern5164
@wolfgangkern5164 4 года назад
Wow, that was probably the best historical analogy for this day and age I've seen. 18mo. later it seems even MORE accurate if that's even possible.
@jdm3072
@jdm3072 4 года назад
I have to concur. The truth of this does give me great apprehension, though, that we are only just at the beginning of what will a very tumultuous time in western culture.
@KyleSmithmotusamerica
@KyleSmithmotusamerica 5 лет назад
We shape our tools and thereafter our tools shape us - Marshall McLuhan
@VernonGoddard
@VernonGoddard 4 года назад
It's a frightening prospect but I think I'm witnessing the very thing unfolding around me, in the news, in my own life. There has been a dramatic polarisation of opinion in the last decade as exampled in the Brexit campaign and result. There is little actual meaningful debate anymore. The opposite is the case, with universities of all places denying the right of individuals to argue a case and for students to listen and adjudge different sides of the issue. Even silence is being viewed as a political stance. Are we headed for the extremes as indicated in this talk? The signs are there......
@fkerpants
@fkerpants 4 года назад
"Even silence is being viewed as a political stance." - This is more terrifying than rioting. This allows those you don't even communicate with to decide for you what you think.
@scottrees9610
@scottrees9610 4 года назад
It's the false dichotomy or "false choice" logical fallacy. Since you're not for us, you're against us! Since you are silent, you condone racism! Since you didn't applaud the statue being torn down, you want slavery returned. "You're a heretic." "No, You're a heretic!" Wow. Good and timely stuff.
@ericspencer8093
@ericspencer8093 4 года назад
No, we are not "headed" there. We are there.
@williamf.buckleyjr3227
@williamf.buckleyjr3227 5 лет назад
"Anything that happened before the United States, is irrelevant to the history...." [BANG!!] Sorry, fellow Americans, but he's exactly correct!!
@Easy-Eight
@Easy-Eight 5 лет назад
It is well and good to see you posting, Mr. Buckley. Yes, it is agreed that many Americans know little about history and the 30 Years War was the product of the first information revolution. However, Mr. Buckley, I am loathe on taking your advice because you're - ahem - dead. Well, as you know, it's rather bad form to take advice from a zombie even if said zombie is quite correct in his pontifications on the current political stratums affecting the aggregate politics of the United States.
@gulfcitylibrarian5801
@gulfcitylibrarian5801 5 лет назад
"History started in 1776. Everything before that was a mistake." -Ron Swanson [[[BIGGER BANG]]]
@mebeingU2
@mebeingU2 5 лет назад
William F. Buckley Jr, I'm sorry...did you say something??
@gj8683
@gj8683 4 года назад
It's analogous to teenagers and young adults implicitly marking their birth dates as the inception point of historical relevancy. As a teacher, I can't tell you how many times I've seen that. It seems that you have to live enough history yourself in order to understand what history means.
@Eric-ye5yz
@Eric-ye5yz 4 года назад
@Zarbi Zigoto .... Hell that is just the beginning of an America Critique. By spending too much time pursuing money, which you have to because that is the way the system works, you miss out on the rest of the world and its history. By needing to be armed you have to be weary of others who may also be armed. By not having not having a national health system you are always just two short steps from bankruptcy. A the same time you are under pressure to keep spending because the GDP is a measurement of national success...... As America is the greatest country in the world and that needs to be proven.
@Coltsfan
@Coltsfan 4 года назад
Recorded in 2020 yet so incredibly prescient. Amazing snippet of this lecture.
@gaullie4449
@gaullie4449 Год назад
2018 I think, but yes, prescient as you said.
@steveurquell3031
@steveurquell3031 3 года назад
If it took 130 years to pass through the last period of unrest and upheaval, and history moves 10 times faster now, then everything will be calmed down in 13 years. *_Quick maths_*
@mensrea1251
@mensrea1251 6 месяцев назад
Maybe but the energy has to go somewhere so it will probably be 13 years of unrest and upheaval but orders of magnitude greater.
@no-bozos
@no-bozos 5 лет назад
He's so right. There was also a huge wave of misinformation being disseminated at the time of the invention of the printing press. Sound familiar?
@tzenophile
@tzenophile 5 лет назад
Yes, exceedingly so. When in the history of human culture was there not a huge wave of misinformation disseminated?
@MitchDonovan
@MitchDonovan 5 лет назад
Jet fuel can melt steel beams. That's what "they" told me.
@no-bozos
@no-bozos 5 лет назад
No. Burning jet fuel can compromise steel beams.
@robinbeckford314
@robinbeckford314 5 лет назад
What are you saying? That the media was manipulated? How could that happen? |-)
@DylanVotaire
@DylanVotaire 4 года назад
@@robinbeckford314 many white Americans have been manipulated by misinformation outlets like QAnon and the thousands of Twitter accounts, including Donald Trump's, who spread dangerous nonsensical conspiracy theories.
@RavenclawFtW3295
@RavenclawFtW3295 4 года назад
There's something quite telling about human nature when two similar things happen 500 years apart and we react very similarly to both of them.
@jdm3072
@jdm3072 4 года назад
"The more things change, the more they stay the same."
@JohnCampbell-rn8rz
@JohnCampbell-rn8rz 4 года назад
Human behaviour hasn't changed one iota in thousands of years. We've just improved the technology with which to slaughter one another.
@russellhogben6628
@russellhogben6628 5 лет назад
That is a very scary analogy but when you think about it........
@Ozgipsy
@Ozgipsy 5 лет назад
So that's an alarmingly frightening analogy...
@jackbarnhill9354
@jackbarnhill9354 4 года назад
Wow, this was 2 years ago. Deja vu!
@arlaban22
@arlaban22 5 лет назад
This is brilliant, where is the full talk ?
@anomalyofanomalies4034
@anomalyofanomalies4034 5 лет назад
The link on the bottom left at the end. longnow.org/seminars/02018/nov/19/networks-and-power/
@arlaban22
@arlaban22 5 лет назад
@Scranvan Thank you.😊
@raresmircea
@raresmircea 5 лет назад
If you think that was great you should search for his ''The six killer apps of the western civilization''. I saw this series on tv and it was comprised of 6 different episodes, each talking about a different aspect (''app'') that propelled the west to economic and political power.
@madiantin
@madiantin 4 года назад
I was looking for this. Thank you!
@marc3981
@marc3981 5 лет назад
Fantastic, brilliant analogy. I'll put that in my back pocket and pull it out when needed. Thanks for uploading.
@HYPERI0N.
@HYPERI0N. 4 года назад
“You’re a heretic, no you’re a heretic!” can easily be replaced today with “you’re a racist, no you’re a racist!” today. Scary stuff.
@DylanVotaire
@DylanVotaire 4 года назад
or "you're not a real American".
@WolfsH0ok
@WolfsH0ok 4 года назад
@@DylanVotaire or you are no Black enough I have seen that on Twitter
@Alexrider02
@Alexrider02 4 года назад
@@WolfsH0ok I've heard that from Biden himself. That's a DNC-approved take. xD
@unclebilly3501
@unclebilly3501 4 года назад
This is the subtext of his speech. It's what he's really saying. It is meant to direct concern away from clear rising authoritarianism and corporate hegemony and toward powerless people on Twitter. On one hand you have Trump caging children and kidnapping people in Portland, Modi in India, Bolsonaro in Brazil, etc. On the other you have @Foucaultfan6969 shouting on social media. Think about how much power these two sides have, if you are inclined to be worried about anti racism, which I am not. This is why I don't like this speech.
@CharlieSpencers
@CharlieSpencers 4 года назад
“Hey, lads. It’s 1510 and I’ve just invested in books. Wish me luck!”
@matthewbittenbender9191
@matthewbittenbender9191 4 года назад
Wow, the potential for 130 years of the same political unrest that we’re dealing with today? Thank you Internet!
@CJinsoo
@CJinsoo 2 года назад
gotta see the entire talk-outstanding!
@maddyg3208
@maddyg3208 5 лет назад
I had a similar thought a few months ago in relation to the "red states" and the "blue states" in the US being similar to the Catholic states and the Lutheran states in the Holy Roman Empire (Germany) prior to the Thirty Years War. This includes that people in those days moved between states because of their religion/ideology, ie from 1546 they had the choice of EITHER following the (Catholic or Lutheran only - religion of their prince OR moving to where the prince was of the other religion. It's not quite the same in the US now but, as ideologies (and the associated government policies) become more polarised in each state, and their being only two main political parties, more and more people - on the left OR the right - will, I am assuming, exercise their option to move to a state more aligned with their values, in turn creating further polarisation. Any Americans out there, what do you think?
@stephenconway2468
@stephenconway2468 5 лет назад
Interesting comment. Would the Metropolitan versus Rural also be a good split?
@maddyg3208
@maddyg3208 5 лет назад
@@stephenconway2468 Yes it would but the urban and rural divide is already largely reflected in the blue and red state divide. The reason I thought of states specifically is because of their powers to make laws binding, and collect taxes from, their residents, and because they are already, to varying degrees, polarised. But then there's also the issue of what people want (as reflected in their online comments) and what they will accept in "real life". I have significant ideological differences of the government of the state where I live, but I'm not moving anywhere either because this is my home.
@stephenconway2468
@stephenconway2468 5 лет назад
@@maddyg3208 - The reason I was interested in the increasing move to cities is changing the dynamic. However, you raise some excellent points
@markwaldron8954
@markwaldron8954 5 лет назад
Highly unlikely to happen, because your basic premise is on shaky ground, to say the least. The reality is that most of the country is heading blue. Many of the red states are on the verge of becoming blue, e.g. Georgia, where a left-leaning black woman recently came within a hair's breadth of becoming the first black female state governor in US history. Actually, if not for voter suppression, most if not all of the Deep South states would currently be blue, mainly due to their large black populations, but also due to the fact that there are more liberal- or left-leaning Caucasian voters in those states than the hackneyed old cliches about the South would suggest. The larger cities in the South are almost uniformly blue, e.g. Birmingham, Alabama and Jackson, Mississippi, both being the largest cities in their respective red states while those cities are themselves deeply blue. And liberal, blue Metropolitan Atlanta makes up nearly sixty percent of the state of Georgia. On the conservative, red side, Trump's shrieking hordes of cult followers are overwhelmingly old and will have died off within the next twenty years. Also, in reality, hardly anyone in the US relocates from one state to another simply because they don't like how that state tends to vote in Presidential elections, which is the main criterion for calling a state red or blue. For one thing, most Americans do not have the financial resources to just up and move to a different part of this vast country. Moving from one region to another within the US is not like moving from Kent to Cornwall; it's more like moving from Ireland to Georgia (the country, not the US state). So no, the US is not going to bifurcate into two or more countries, no matter how much Professor Amy Chua and her handlers in the Chinese intelligence services would like us to.
@maddyg3208
@maddyg3208 5 лет назад
@@stephenconway2468 Thanks
@haydenbarnes5110
@haydenbarnes5110 4 года назад
God, this man is a good speaker. I don’t agree with him on everything, but he is persuasive
@JohnSmith-bv3bn
@JohnSmith-bv3bn 4 года назад
"History began on July 4th, 1776. Everything before that was a mistake." - Ron Swanson
@nicholashildenbrand8632
@nicholashildenbrand8632 4 года назад
Anyone who thinks like that is refusing to learn from the wide breadth of human history available to them.
@JohnSmith-bv3bn
@JohnSmith-bv3bn 3 года назад
@@nicholashildenbrand8632 It's a joke from a popular comedy in the US.
@theweirdofengland
@theweirdofengland 5 лет назад
We need to be kinder and more respectful of each other, no matter how difficult it is to do in the face of verbal and political violence, in this age more than in any other.
@MarkGast
@MarkGast 5 лет назад
The 2020s is going to be like living on an alien planet. Buckle up kids.
@MW-vg9dn
@MW-vg9dn 4 года назад
LOL you were right
@anteeko
@anteeko 4 года назад
@@MW-vg9dn hahaa indeed...
@Renenko
@Renenko 4 года назад
You don’t even know......
@brightonduder
@brightonduder 4 года назад
You were right
@deaconfrost5935
@deaconfrost5935 4 года назад
Goddamn on the money with this comment
@carlbyronrodgers
@carlbyronrodgers 5 лет назад
Great as always.
@davidmushinski8196
@davidmushinski8196 4 года назад
I just found this guy and I will have to check more out
@rogeralsop3479
@rogeralsop3479 5 лет назад
A good mind. A great speaker.
@R00365
@R00365 5 лет назад
Very compelling!
@DrWongburger
@DrWongburger 4 года назад
His book the square and the tower goes into the significances of networks and hierarchy as well as more of this. Fantastic read if anyone is interested.
@HelionDark
@HelionDark 5 лет назад
great video
@brittneyrichmond6724
@brittneyrichmond6724 4 года назад
Dang I’ve made the witch analogy myself without realizing the printing press played a role like the internet is.
@Gaia_Gaistar
@Gaia_Gaistar 3 года назад
Same, watching this video had a light bulb go off for me.
@rubini46
@rubini46 5 лет назад
Ayaan Hirsi Ali's husband, what an amazingly important couple ❤️️
@tzenophile
@tzenophile 5 лет назад
Wonder what their exes think about that? - hey, you started it!
@AjitSinghKang
@AjitSinghKang 5 лет назад
I am more interested in how did we get out of it in the past? I mean can we apply those ideas, processes etc today?
@mveletic
@mveletic 5 лет назад
The new ideas spread by the printing press resulted in social upheavals and the wars that changed the European continent. It shifted the balance of power away from Spain and to northern Europe, establishing the world-leadership of the Northerners in the new oceanic era. Buckle up Buttercups!!!
@januaryborn8976
@januaryborn8976 5 лет назад
Everyone gets tired of fighting eventually.
@FourOf92000
@FourOf92000 4 года назад
well, the Thirty Years' War happened...
@Natural_law_lawyer
@Natural_law_lawyer 4 года назад
He did say it took 130 years. Mostly empires, colonisation and expansion was far more interesting. A certain amount of acceptance between protestants and catholics, as well but religion did help shape foreign policy.
@eliharman
@eliharman 4 года назад
We got out of it in the past by inventing the nation state and giving it a monopoly (or near monopoly) on legitimate violence. But that monopoly is one thing that is now breaking down.
@TheWorldofMomus
@TheWorldofMomus Год назад
Well said.
@gordonadams5891
@gordonadams5891 5 лет назад
I heard this comparison to the inbox 15th century back in the 90's. It is apt.
@martinavaslovik3433
@martinavaslovik3433 Год назад
He does indeed make some very good points.
@GSQuay
@GSQuay 4 года назад
Is it possible to watch the full talk anywhere? This little taste left me wanting to hear the rest!
@mindfulskills
@mindfulskills 4 года назад
Brilliant, thanks.
@jamesatipton2432
@jamesatipton2432 4 года назад
A meaty, cogent thesis. So rare these days. Please Sir, may I have some more.
@thebeatnumber
@thebeatnumber 4 года назад
Listen to him in the Reith Lectures 2012. Very interesting public lectures he delivered.
@moesypittounikos
@moesypittounikos 4 года назад
I bet the Americans thought Martin Luther was from the 1960's.
@ShuckleLord
@ShuckleLord 4 года назад
Lutheranism is very popular in the US
@Upstreamprovider
@Upstreamprovider 4 года назад
That would be Martin Luther Koenig?
@WolfsH0ok
@WolfsH0ok 4 года назад
MLK believed in conversion therapy he would be cancelled today
@SpartakMs83
@SpartakMs83 3 года назад
Not all americans have US public school educations.
@Monopolist91
@Monopolist91 5 лет назад
This is brilliant! Now where is the full lecture!
@longnow
@longnow 5 лет назад
You can watch the full seminar here: longnow.org/seminars/02018/nov/19/networks-and-power/
@stevenickerson829
@stevenickerson829 5 лет назад
Our politics are not the same. However, what i have seen in your publications, is a call for reasonable discourse. I appreciate that.,
@themsmloveswar3985
@themsmloveswar3985 5 лет назад
Actually, there are considerable similarities with the collapse of the Roman Empire. Civilization is under attack, from outside and inside.
@isakkallsmyr9854
@isakkallsmyr9854 5 лет назад
What was the revolutionary innovation of that time?
@Gottenhimfella
@Gottenhimfella 5 лет назад
@@TheJoelC17 Rome had for many centuries successfully incorporated migrants into the Empire, in fact that was the source of their military strength, and (as used to happen in the US) those migrants quickly became fully Roman. However those ideals went downhill over the centuries, and the Roman ruling class mismanaged the massive influx of Goths (who were refugees from the Huns) by exploitation, discrimination, corruption, and sanctioned profiteering from their deprivation (eg selling them dog meat at vastly inflated prices). I personally think it's a stretch to blame this on Christianity's teachings -- a "post hoc" argument -- when those teachings would have led to the opposite treatment, and the decline in governance and ideals had been steadily downwards since long before Constantine. I'm willing to be persuaded there are ways in which I'm wrong on both points, though. Or that I'm joining the dots incorrectly.
@fastsetinthewest
@fastsetinthewest 5 лет назад
@@TheJoelC17 You fail to mention the attack of political Islam from about 720 until the 787 when the Catholic Church took seriously the intrusive Muslims. The purveyors of history are clueless or are they? Especially in regard to the Muslim attacks. Eaglegards 🦅...
@hairetikos6402
@hairetikos6402 5 лет назад
When I heard 'verbal violence' I cringed.
@tzenophile
@tzenophile 5 лет назад
Ah, you're a victim of it then.
@mike9250
@mike9250 5 лет назад
@@tzenophile Can you expound on this?
@tzenophile
@tzenophile 5 лет назад
@@mike9250 Never explain a good joke, they told me. Sorry you didn't get it.
@mike9250
@mike9250 5 лет назад
@@tzenophile Just got it. Nice. I had thought maybe you were eluding to a form of sjw trope. My apologies!
@thewhat531
@thewhat531 5 лет назад
I had a similar reaction from reading your comment. How's that for irony?
@Theembodimentchannel
@Theembodimentchannel 5 лет назад
Excellent
@19MAD95
@19MAD95 4 года назад
Damn that’s an interesting perspective
@Hermit-Crab
@Hermit-Crab 4 года назад
Is the full lecture available? Does anyone have the link?
@olivercrisp2434
@olivercrisp2434 5 лет назад
is there anywhere we can find the full talk?
@s1llysushi
@s1llysushi 5 лет назад
Where can I watch the full talk?
@DougCaldwell
@DougCaldwell 4 года назад
Something to think about history happens 10X faster now than late 15th century
@tetracor
@tetracor 4 года назад
Critical thinking is adaptive to the age of mass media. For those that have it.
@jonathandewberry289
@jonathandewberry289 4 года назад
Yes indeed, he has this bang-on correct.
@presidentgateway
@presidentgateway 5 лет назад
A pox on whoever cut off this fantastic analysis prematurely! And all your family and kin and the horse you rode in on, too!!!
@peterfmodel
@peterfmodel 4 года назад
Simplistic, but very valid. I agree that we are living in a time similar to that of the creation of the printing press, which was not a pleasant time to live, especially if you resided in Germany. Even England had some major issues. Other missing links are rising population without the corresponding rise in the ability to feed people. I am uncertain at what point we are at, but we could well be close to the equivalent of 1618, which is disturbing.
@cameronbateau6510
@cameronbateau6510 8 месяцев назад
How do you agree that you are living in a time similar to that?
@willardchi2571
@willardchi2571 11 месяцев назад
Curiously, there was a communication revolution in the 1930s, too: radio.
@LabRat6619
@LabRat6619 5 лет назад
Now I didn't see that coming 🤔
@jonesalex565
@jonesalex565 5 лет назад
It's not PCs it's mobile phones. It's not cost it's accessibility/ease. The time and ease to access all info has been shrunk immeasurably.
@ireneuszpyc6684
@ireneuszpyc6684 5 лет назад
mobile phones are used by village idiots to watch cat videos & "pro wrestling"
@viktor8552
@viktor8552 3 года назад
Has he published anything on this?
@petereastwood7868
@petereastwood7868 5 лет назад
I am watching the full version on their website. What troubles me about it is that Niall Ferguson (in the full version) makes the judgement that the events of 2016 (Brexit and Trump) are bad. He calls it the 'Annus Horibulus' and states that it is when the utopian dream "went horribly wrong". He is an historian. He should know better. Perhaps a 100 years from now folks will look back and say, "Thank God they did that in 2016". Ferguson's short-term, left-wing liberal bias is clearly showing at the expense of any academic objectivity that he might attempt to claim.
@theconversation9103
@theconversation9103 5 лет назад
Well his book on Empire certainly displayed no left-wing liberal bias
@danafern6144
@danafern6144 5 лет назад
Peter Eastwood He also foretold, wrongly, that "there would be blood" ie violence following the 2008 financial crisis, such was its magnitude. Nevertheless he is an interesting mind.
@PantomimeHorse
@PantomimeHorse 5 лет назад
My god, man. Ferguson is neither left-wing nor a liberal. Far, far, from it. This is a man that proclaimed the British Raj to be beneficial to the 'development of India', despite the many massacres, because the British left some railway tracks behind. He simply prefers his racism to be a little more genteel, less vulgar than some of the worst excesses of Trump or the Brexiteers.
@petereastwood7868
@petereastwood7868 5 лет назад
Don Burgundy - The definition of right wing is something like adherence to minimal government intervention, free market economics, and acceptance of natural law inequalities. The present Tory party does not subscribe to any of those principles. So, Ferguson being a Tory does not make him a right-winger. Theresa May is a Tory, but to call her rightwing is ridiculous. Ben Tolhurst - Up to 1874 the British Raj was run by the British East India Company, which was a Crown Chartered monopoly. Free markets were the last thing they were in favor of. In fact, the whole British Empire was a rigged, paternalistic globalist endeavour for the benefit of insiders. One can't say it was left wing in the marxist sense as its genesis pre-dates Marx, but it was far from rightwing by todays standards. Empires and Imperial aspirations per se are not necessarily anti-left-wing. Look at the Soviet empire, the USSR. To imply (or assert) that Trump is rascist is to show that you have drunk too much MSM Koolaide. To say Ferguson is rascist when he is married to Ayaan Hirsi Ali is just ludicrous. I repeat, Ferguson is a left leaning, globalist, acedemic. I'll grant he is not an out and out marxist and has spoken against socialist regimes and restrictions. But he is still a big-government globalist, i.e leftist.
@ralphholiman7401
@ralphholiman7401 4 года назад
This is a very interesting perspective. I can't say he's wrong.
@salvatoremicheal2128
@salvatoremicheal2128 5 лет назад
You guys need to have a free membership for people who are unemployed or cannot simply afford a membership fee but believe in the principles of your organization
@longnow
@longnow 5 лет назад
Thanks to the financial support of members of Long Now, we are able to keep most of our content freely available! You can subscribe to our audio podcasts (longnow.org/seminars/podcast) and watch the highlights and full videos of the lectures that we produce (longnow.org/seminars). We also publish articles and long-form essays on our blog and Medium channel. Thank you for your interest in Long Now and we hope that you enjoy these resources on long-term thinking!
@TjerkMuller
@TjerkMuller 5 лет назад
Unless Ferguson can show that the development of prices & quantities of radio (and later on television sets) during the course of the 20th century wouldn't constitute the same graphs, this argument proves little. There was a lot of polarization, civil unrest, iconoclasm and wars in the thirties and fourties of the 20th century as well, and one might argue the then recently mass commodified technology of radio had a lot to do with that. But of course, this cuts against the grain of his claim no analogy with the mid-20th century is of any use to understand what's going on today.
@IntelligentMrToad
@IntelligentMrToad 6 месяцев назад
Yes Niall, but where is volume 2 of the Kissinger biography?
@pandoraish
@pandoraish 4 года назад
what is the Malleus Malificarum of our time?
@ajo1980
@ajo1980 4 года назад
Erica Worhatch White Fragility
@chrisdelzell8467
@chrisdelzell8467 4 года назад
Rape Culture
@1drummer172
@1drummer172 5 лет назад
Solid.
@useyourbrain3765
@useyourbrain3765 4 года назад
Spot on. Nothing new under the sun, you just need to look further back. Recommend Barbara Tuchmans' A Distant Mirror.
@Ardakapalasan
@Ardakapalasan 4 года назад
Brilliant and scary book indeed!
@JohnLaudun
@JohnLaudun 4 года назад
The chronology skimmed at the very end of this segment is not quite right: the Peasants’ Revolt took place 60 years before the printing press. I’m going to try to find the rest of this talk, in there hope that it’s not going to play as fast and loose with chronology as this moment. (I’m all for “bigger picture” approaches, but I don’t think “blending” things is a good way to get there.)
@mogznwaz
@mogznwaz 4 года назад
Niall is very smart.
@bingeltube
@bingeltube 5 лет назад
Why is this video so short? Grrr!
@willyreeves319
@willyreeves319 5 лет назад
well if we're replaying the events following the invention of moveable type but at 10 times the speed the near global war should only last about 13 years and kill 1.5 billion. just to give some perspective on what he's hoping we can avoid
@krisinsaigon
@krisinsaigon 5 лет назад
'when he said at the start "it's not like the 1930's, the 1970's...." i guessed he was going to say the 16th century after the printing press was invented
@krisinsaigon
@krisinsaigon 5 лет назад
@Kojii Naz i'm guessing it's because Niall and I both saw the same newspaper article a couple of decades ago saying the internet was going to make the modern world most like the era after the printing press was invented
@gulfcitylibrarian5801
@gulfcitylibrarian5801 5 лет назад
@Kojii Naz Get the stake, hay, and matches anyways. We have to play it safe
@oldishandwoke-ish1181
@oldishandwoke-ish1181 4 года назад
Yes yes technology, nevertheless the lessons from the past are there to be learned. As a dedicated "free" marketeer, one thing Ferguson will never do is blame 40 years of an economic system which has given to the rich and taken from the rest of us.
@wingkeungkong415
@wingkeungkong415 2 года назад
This is the capitalist system at work How can you blame It
@simonrice6302
@simonrice6302 2 года назад
Dear God, that backdrop
@stevenwiederholt7000
@stevenwiederholt7000 5 лет назад
This Is VERY WELL SAID!!! If I may point out one other little thing. Columbus bumping into a big chunk of land.
@cshelley5658
@cshelley5658 5 лет назад
Mildest Edinburgh accent needs subtitles?! Lol.
@trn0m961
@trn0m961 4 года назад
took me half the talk to figure out that he was scottish and not english lol
@mallardofmodernia8092
@mallardofmodernia8092 2 года назад
@@trn0m961 wait hes scottish?
@celal777
@celal777 5 лет назад
2:41 Not as terrifying as you would suggest. First, I would refer you to the two graphs that you showed at 1:20. The timescales relating to the printing press extend to the year 1635. The timescale relating to the sale of personal computers go up to 2005. By 1635 all the religious wars had been fought and done while it is now 2018 and we have not seen the kind of terrifying catastrophic wars that you seem to be implying.
@Easy-Eight
@Easy-Eight 5 лет назад
It always take a match to start the fire. This is pure speculation on my part but I speculate the match that will set the USA on the road to an information war will be the three events in 2019 that will set the nation ablaze: 1. Economic instability due to the stock market. 2. The collapse of the Federal Government executive branch. 3. Massive terrorist like attacks. You're seeing all three taking place.
@clivegoodman16
@clivegoodman16 4 года назад
The Reformation was an example of a meme war.
@Max-nc4zn
@Max-nc4zn 5 лет назад
He sounds a lot like this guy: "In those countries, it is actually capital that rules; that is, nothing more than a clique of a few hundred men who possess untold wealth and, as a consequence of the peculiar structure of their national life, are more or less independent and free. They say: 'Here we have liberty.' By this they mean, above all, an uncontrolled economy, and by an uncontrolled economy, the freedom not only to acquire capital but to make absolutely free use of it. That means freedom from national control or control by the people both in the acquisition of capital and in its employment. This is really what they mean when they speak of liberty. These capitalists create their own press and then speak of the 'freedom of the press.' In reality, every one of the newspapers has a master, and in every case this master is the capitalist, the owner. This master, not the editor, is the one who directs the policy of the paper. If the editor tries to write other than what suits the master, he is ousted the next day. This press, which is the absolutely submissive and characterless slave of the owners, molds public opinion." -Adolf Hitler.
@GerritDeSmedt
@GerritDeSmedt 5 лет назад
the stripes ! the stripes !!
@movieklump
@movieklump 5 лет назад
The biggest thing today is EROI. We are living in a falling EROI and debt is taking the place of lowering energy. The chart of oil and population are identical. Oil had an EROI of 100 to 1 at the end of the depression. Today it's 17 to 1 and falling. Solar is 3 to 1, wind is 14 to 1. Our society needs between 20 and 30 to 1 to function. Unless a new energy source is found the world will enter a depression that will never end.
@bigdog5128
@bigdog5128 5 лет назад
movieklump what is eroi?
@chrisdelzell8467
@chrisdelzell8467 4 года назад
@@bigdog5128 expected return on investment. He's saying that human society has become dependent on the ability to reliably extract energy and grow to ever increasing bounds.
@sonnyjim5268
@sonnyjim5268 4 года назад
The problem is relativism and the abandonment of truth and reason. Truth has been supplanted by feelings and altruism. All due respect to Niall, but this polarisation started in the 60s - long before the internet.
@michaelmcdonald8452
@michaelmcdonald8452 4 года назад
“Truth has been supplanted by feelings and altruism” could be applied to any point in history. You’re talking about something very generic and very different than what he is talking about and saying he’s wrong. I think you missed most of what he was saying.
@dama301
@dama301 4 года назад
“You know how people want to tear down states these days, and rename things?” Oh yes we do
@isakkallsmyr9854
@isakkallsmyr9854 5 лет назад
In that case, who is our modern day martin luther?
@doubtingthomas6146
@doubtingthomas6146 5 лет назад
Isak Källsmyr - Good question. Julian Assange?
@black__bread
@black__bread 5 лет назад
Niall does do a good turn for folks that don't know any better
@KYoss68
@KYoss68 4 года назад
I fear we have failed to learn the lessons of History.
@stu7803
@stu7803 Год назад
We would all do well to be students of history, there we have all errors of the past that we are destined to repeat in our ignorance.
@JMM333
@JMM333 4 года назад
Well, and what came after the printing press? Revolution.
@jlzpacheco
@jlzpacheco 5 лет назад
That was scary...
@Cinepobrefilmfestival
@Cinepobrefilmfestival 5 лет назад
don't you just love the English subtitles for English speakers...
@Martin-di9pp
@Martin-di9pp 5 лет назад
I hope you never lose your hearing, good sir.
@bazzatheblue
@bazzatheblue 5 лет назад
cine pobre it must be Fergusons heavy Scottish accent.lol
@LOLquendoTV
@LOLquendoTV 5 лет назад
The deaf exist
@zoso7889
@zoso7889 5 лет назад
@@bazzatheblue Its as soft a Scottish accent as its possible to have.
@vogliounacocacola
@vogliounacocacola 5 лет назад
It's necessary for deaf people and for people who don't speak english as their first language and find subs useful in case they lose a word or two.
@Nonamearisto
@Nonamearisto 5 лет назад
There's no such thing as "verbal violence."
@PantomimeHorse
@PantomimeHorse 5 лет назад
My dude, saying you disavow the concept or don't consider it important is one thing, but to refuse to accept it's existence strikes me as a strange species of ignorance.
@Nonamearisto
@Nonamearisto 5 лет назад
@@PantomimeHorse The term "verbal violence" is a contradiction. Violence is physical. "Verbal" indicates the use of words. You might as well tell me that there's round squares.
@PantomimeHorse
@PantomimeHorse 5 лет назад
@@Nonamearisto That's a fair point. And I hear you, I do. I just did a quick google hoping to add intellectual ballast to my argument, but the OED agrees with you. But words have a power of their own, and that power can damage other human beings, just a surely as a punch. I believe that all of us, as members of our shared society, have a duty to each other, to try to allow each other to live as freely as they can, and to reject the imposition, verbal or otherwise, of force onto others.
@Nonamearisto
@Nonamearisto 5 лет назад
@@PantomimeHorse You were good until the fourth sentence. Then you degenerated into a mess of ideological polemic unsupported by the facts. Stop giving us these rambling speeches filled with nice-sounding buzzwords and phrases ("shared society", "duty to each other") which are vague to the point of meaningless and start making sense. There's no such thing as forcing someone to do something with words alone. Actions impose. Words are just sound.
@quillo2747
@quillo2747 5 лет назад
@@Nonamearisto Verbal violence is just like when calling a woman ma'am is a microaggression
@adriancaeran
@adriancaeran 5 лет назад
Why the subtitles??
@algoa456
@algoa456 5 лет назад
Deaf people
@georgegraham6069
@georgegraham6069 5 лет назад
Adrian Caeran, 'cos he's from Scotland.
@ClearOutSamskaras
@ClearOutSamskaras 4 года назад
The archetype of the Lion is found in various types of men. Here, we see it in Niall Ferguson.
@DiegoAlanTorres96
@DiegoAlanTorres96 3 года назад
My eyes holy shit
@ddd-ly3rv
@ddd-ly3rv 5 лет назад
Is he implying that there are only so many things you can think and they've all been thought before, you just move in circles? Like a wheel that just goes round and round. Is this man selling an antidote?
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