Horse Racing Handicapping What Is Morning Line

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Handicapping Horse Racing. What is the morning line in horse racing, how is the morning line calculated? How to convert Odds to Probability in Horse Race Handicapping.
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Опубликовано:

28 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 15

@CarlosGarcia-fj2jh Год назад

I want to start handicapping the pedigree on each horse in the race

@ronniebravo6244 Год назад

Almost 60-70 Percent,The Winning Horse is in the Morning Line,just Pick your Poison and if You are a Horizontal Player,your looking OUTSIDE THE BOX,to have a decent Score..

@Jazzlobotomy 7 месяцев назад

Assistant morning line guy here unaware of any mob connection

@bobpeterson8240 Год назад

Good job

@nolinrogers Год назад

good info would like to see FIXED odds in horseracing eg. 2 horses @ 6-1 the one i like goes off @ 7-2 the other i don't like goes off @ 10-1.ialways check ml. to find value some lines @ some tracks are way off to posttime odds but tracks @ newyork are the best DAVID A. ml is accurate as it gets thxs again

@Cubamara Год назад

Morning-line odds is supposed to be an opinion as to what the public sentiment will be for a horse in a race betting wise at post time. For a Math Nerd like me any variation between Morning-line Odds, and the Post Time odds is explained by a term called R2 value. Morning-line odds and post-time odds are converted to their equivalent probabilities. In simple terms, and for my benefit a horse becomes a losing betting proposition if odds dip below a certain point. The Math Nerd uses datasets complied in the last two years from over 30 tracks. Simpler to just count cards playing Black Jack.

@CarlosGarcia-fj2jh Год назад

I like to see pedigree handicapping I think it's very important is a main fact I'm starting to see a lot of tappit horses win

@ianchefking5416 Год назад

Couldn’t agree with you more, contrary to the saying, it has nothing Imo to do with how the public is going to bet, like you suggest the ml odds are fix like any bookie to manipulate the betting to suit how much money the race track wants to pay us

@CarlosGarcia-fj2jh Год назад

How can we know where the horses come from what's more important the horse mother or the sire

@charlesburgess933 Год назад

The bigger tracks tend to have a dedicated handicapper and therefore a better morning line. Some of the smaller tracks have poor morning line. Small tracks do tend to get more shippers and horrible form and unknown trainers which make it hard to evaluate as well.

@derbyologist Год назад

Good point, larger tracks and circuits have more money for resources and provide a more accurate morning line.

@benderbendingrofriguez3300 2 месяца назад

how do bookmakers use morning line to set their odds?

@derbyologist 2 месяца назад

I think Bookmakers use the morning line as the initial price point for their pricing, their goal is to then adjust the morning line based on the early betting. At first they reduce big bets and adjust the betting lines as the money starts to come in, then the lines adjust to betting money.

@benderbendingrofriguez3300 2 месяца назад

@@derbyologist nice. Is there a video with an example?