How the Russia-Ukraine War Emboldened Iran

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Over the last three months, the broad proxy war involving Iran has made it to the forefront of the headlines. Although it is easy to see the Gaza War as the catalyst, the deeper origins of Iran's resurgence go back to February 2022. This is the story of how Russia's invasion of Ukraine created an economic and political opportunity for Iran, which is now playing out in real time.
0:00 Iran's Proxy War
1:20 The Deeper Origins in Russia and Ukraine
2:45 The Origins of Modern Sanctions against Iran
4:00 Sanctions under the Bush Administration
4:56 Iran's Import Substitution Process
6:37 Russia Goes Shopping in Iran
8:41 Iranian Attacks Prior to Gaza
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
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24 май 2024

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Комментарии : 430

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

1:21 February 2022, not February 2023. I knew the changing of the calendar was going to be the death of me, and I am sure it is only going to get worse now that we are in 2024. I also don't like how the average video has increased by ten seconds now that I have to specify which year everything is.

@shtehfaw 3 месяца назад

You can just cross out 2023 and write in 2022 - initial the change and you're good to go

@NicholasMati 3 месяца назад

You posted about this 13 minutes before me. Grrr.

@noyopacific 3 месяца назад

Lecturers will sometimes intentionally drop the occasional mistake. It is a good way to keep the audience listening closely for any errors. We all enjoy correcting the professor. Thanks for the video William Spaniel !!!

@davidford3115 3 месяца назад

"Iran is the protagonist". This is a villain-protagonist story? Nice change of pace. PS, there WERE chemical weapons in Iraq. US Troops going into Baghdad were hit by sarin gas shells. This was well documented, but the media refused to ever report on it.

@PunmasterSTP 3 месяца назад

@@noyopacificThat's a good take 👍

@reeshaug8522 3 месяца назад

I’ve got a revolutionary idea William. Squares on maps.

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

DUDE

@take2762 3 месяца назад

We getting out of the first dimension with this one🔥🔥🔥💀

@svennordberg3668 3 месяца назад

Be careful, that's Historia Civilis' thing, and he is not afraid of sending little red squares to enforce his monopoly.

@BWEEOOP 3 месяца назад

All these squares make a circle

@kofts4806 3 месяца назад

@@svennordberg3668 We're past red squares, we've reached the purple one now.

@robertginsburg8113 3 месяца назад

Glad you're making this point William. The link has been obvious to me and to those who exercise critical thinking but mainstream media skips right over this to whatever is the most sensational click bait news leaving the public ignorant. Thank you.

@user-je3sk8cj6g 3 месяца назад

Does anybody still follow the Far Extreme Media (or as you call it, "mainstream")? Why would anybody watch that extremist propaganda trash?

@EZLogikal 3 месяца назад

The photo @1:36 makes me feel better about how many beverages I need on my desk in order to do the work. Thank you, leaders of the free world.

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

Geez, I never noticed that.

@ereynolds72 3 месяца назад

@@Gametheory101needy Video idea- “How an overabundance of beverages impact the Russian trade embargoes” or something

@JR-gp2zk 3 месяца назад

Is it me or does the Bald guy on the right of the picture have a bottle of beer in front of him? A million dollar deal or a peace treaty can go smoother with beer. Let's make this a thing!

@Muenni 3 месяца назад

@@JR-gp2zk Charles Michel? Looks to me like he has the same FritzCola bottles in front of him as all the others. I guess Olaf Scholz brought something along from his time as mayor of Hamburg. ;)

@GDh0608 3 месяца назад

Brilliant as always…..I started watching 59 seconds after upload and only 5 views. Half way through and views have already crossed 1.1k. Couldn’t resist any longer before putting in a comment.

@Tirinir 3 месяца назад

I think it's important to stress that Caspian sea basin (mainly Volga) is an important trade route used since ancient times. Russia and Iran have a cheap and direct trade route safe from "Western" or Ukrainian interference. The term for Middle East in Russian is "Ближний Восток", literally "Near East". Iran is a natural trade partner for Russia.

@jeffbenton6183 3 месяца назад

Excellent points. It's worth mentioning that American academics (especially those working in archeology) refer to it as the Near East as well. So does the CIA. I don't know which idiot got everyone to call it the Middle. As far as I'm concerned, "Middle East" means India (halfway between Near East and Far East, roughly). On an unimportant note, as a guy who was playing as a Persian faction in a certain grand strategy game, the total lack of trad routes in and port on the Caspian Sea really infuriated me while playing.

@Moses_VII 3 месяца назад

Why are they making a railway if they have the sea?

@Tirinir 3 месяца назад

@@Moses_VII I honestly don't know their reasons. It could be that they want to increase their total transport throughput by adding railway connections. Maybe they want to benefit from already existing rail infrastructure. Maybe they want to save money on transferring stuff from railway to ships to railway. Never studied their economics tbh

@Clapperofcheeks5000 3 месяца назад

@@jeffbenton6183I thought Middle East was Arabia and Near East was Iran Iraq area

@Clapperofcheeks5000 3 месяца назад

Well it is next door so duh

@Selas81 3 месяца назад

Funny mistake at 1:20, William says that 2 years ago was February 2023. :)

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

I always knew the turn of calendar from 2022 to to 2023 was going to be the death of me, and it is only getting worse.

@PunmasterSTP 3 месяца назад

Man, it feels like it's been two years already...

@legbert123 3 месяца назад

MATERIEL!

@PunmasterSTP 3 месяца назад

@@legbert123 I loved that pronunciation!

@0xCAFEF00D 3 месяца назад

Two videos in two days. Well done! I appreciate it.

@kaboonali5466 3 месяца назад

The state department pays top dollar for this content so boy better get working

@svenskaz3428 3 месяца назад

@@kaboonali5466 cope harder

@JosephKano 3 месяца назад

When you mentioned logistics I was like is the long awaited Perun/Spaniel crossover episode!

@LR-jk2jk 3 месяца назад

great insight as always, thank you for your videos!

@michaelgideon8944 3 месяца назад

I wish reporters in the media would watch this instead of focusing on 10 square miles of land under dispute. But 24 hr cable news channels aren't really big on perspective

@CorePathway 3 месяца назад

The US has zero strategic interests in Israel, Jordan, Syria, etc. Lots of political interference in our national politics, but this is why we get sucked into silly proxy wars. More Americans have died in the defense of a certain flyspeck country than their entire armed services in the last 50 years. So sad for the secular Americans.

@libertas5005 3 месяца назад

Media is focusing on Gaza because of an ongoing genocide. If it had been empty desert no one would even report on it. Case in point, Golan heights or for example, random clashes over Western Sahara.

@jakeaurod 3 месяца назад

inorite! I keep thinking it's a different year. Some days I wake up and forget it's not 2019 when I woke up from a coma, but then I remember it's 2001 because the events of that year were as unreal as a bad dream.

@robusmc1713 3 месяца назад

You Always make great videos, Thank you ❤

@denillefleming2942 3 месяца назад

Thank you for these great videos!!

@luvr381 3 месяца назад

I've gotten a couple of your books, fascinating reads.

@cursedhickoryactual 3 месяца назад

Great reporting

@Ar1AnX1x 3 месяца назад

the iran deal felt so good if you were iranian(which I am), it felt like something impossible had happened and at the time I wasn't political savvy enough to understand Republicans would immediately get rid of such diplomatic masterpiece, we really do live in a world where Diplomacy is only a thing between countries that are already friends

@tybirous3417 3 месяца назад

Yeah, I'm sorry my country is hell bent on making life in yours as miserable as possible. Here's hoping things get better

@JosephKano 3 месяца назад

My thinking on that whole thing was that a country will when pushed to the wall find a way to do it, either sanctions busting, eg importing coffee machines and ripping the chips out, or will bite the bullet and build their own factory and take the economic hit if they have no other choice. This is the point of what happened at the time of the Iran Deal. The Obama Admin realised that Iran had hit the point where sanctions weren't going to stop Iran anymore, it was time for a new strategy, let's loosen em up, let's give em a taste of the good life, show them they want the moolah. In return they slow their roll on the big booms. Then we move to stage 2 they roll back the progress so far for example and we give them even more candy. It seemed to me here in Australia it was working. The Iran of 2015 was just about to seriously crack open the reforms. There was positive noises coming from Iran. Then some idiot who probably has tertiary syphillitic symptoms got elected by a bunch of other idiots who wanted to own the libs and here we are. The Biden Admin won't now go back to the deal as that well is thoroughly poisoned in the US voting public's mind. What's the way forward? Fudged if I know.

@jakehansen3418 3 месяца назад

Iran enriched enough uranium in 2 months after the deal was broken off than they did in the previous 8 years meaning they never stopped and never obeyed the deal in the first place.

@Baebon6259 3 месяца назад

@@tybirous3417 you mean his country shouldn't be hell bent on making lives of their citizens as miserable as possible. Here is hoping things get better for the Iranian people.

@Xremote 3 месяца назад

@@jakehansen3418I think the issue was purity of the uranium and quantity they were aloud to manufacturer. By all accounts they were in compliance with the deal until the Republicans killed it.

@rickfilmmaker3934 3 месяца назад

Excellent, accurate information. Thanks William!

@C-Farsene_5 3 месяца назад

not sure whether to be proud or not of the the fact that I am terminally online enough to get a William Spaniel notif in just a minute after uploading XD

@PunmasterSTP 3 месяца назад

Eh, you should choose to be proud 👍

@carlosandleon 3 месяца назад

Nothing to be proud of - you have an addiction

@luiul1 3 месяца назад

i couldn't resemble your comment more.

@C-Farsene_5 3 месяца назад

@@carlosandleon I def do XD

@carlosandleon 3 месяца назад

@@C-Farsene_5 me too buddy

@General12th 3 месяца назад

Hi William! I'm gonna buy like thirty of your books and line them up on a map.

@ArtisZ 3 месяца назад

Picture, or no proof.

@jarnMod 3 месяца назад

Without the US eff up Saddam, Iran and Iraq would still be fighting. Now, once more, US have to deal with their own action. The worst thing is they leave Iraq weaker than when Saddam was there. Had Iraq be as strong and Sunni, Iran will still have another Hussein to deal with before they have time to back other armed groups.

@injest1928 3 месяца назад

Name me a better love story than war and unintended consequences.

@injest1928 3 месяца назад

Forrest Gump going to Vietnam led to some wild consequences.

@skezer04 3 месяца назад

Nailed it

@AdeptAnalytic 3 месяца назад

Thx William

@Curmudgeon2 3 месяца назад

WWII the USA got its optics for tanks to Battleships from Germany. Suddenly we had to make our own. That is how a local company came into being...grandfather's hobby was grinding lenses and suddenly the government put him and many others into business. For years they made the nose cone for Sidewinder Missiles...not sure what they make now.

@Em76394 3 месяца назад

You are fantastic!

@smokedbeefandcheese4144 3 месяца назад

I think fundamentally the problem here is everyone understands that the people in Gaza are in pain. It’s just only one side sees that pain as political. The Arab world when they look at Gaza they see themselves. When the United States looks at Gaza they see the other. I think the problem is that the individual level this has become a moral issue. Some thing that cannot be hand waved away by the other side. Before Israel was making good strides in diplomacy but after this I’m not sure how things are going to work out. These countries are not the same nations they were in the 1970s. A war today could go very different.

@agush22 3 месяца назад

That's the problem with this analysis videos from Spaniel, he sees it all in purely economic terms (e.g. Palestinians and Yemenites motivations are "advertising" solely to increase their numbers). This is an abstraction that might help but it is missing the key insight that for them it's a fight of life and death

@youssefsammouh501 3 месяца назад

This is a pile of horse shit. The lie of arab unity was spread around and believed 60 years ago and cost thousands of palestinians their lives. But if youre still believing it today you are just stupid. Stop spreading this bs dream of a united arab state

@architech02 3 месяца назад

Politics has removed the human side of the tragedy people are too focused on saying the other side is a monster for committing the atrocities while barely anyone says that people are dying it never mattered who they are or what they believed in they are suffering, dying, sleeping in the rubble of their own home the situation must be solved as fast as possible

@MrMentalpuppy 3 месяца назад

Can you do a historical account of the balance of power, game theory, and the power imbalance? I heard that there is chaotic quality of wars, something like a snowball effect due to events, which cause a strain on the world powers and make war beneficial.

@franklincarroll6772 3 месяца назад

You should do audio versions of your books.

@jeffbenton6183 3 месяца назад

He said he would have to make fewer videos if he did that due to time commitments.

@CORVAIRWILD 3 месяца назад

Almost 1st Florida vacation, but 2nd darn darn darn view

@grnarsch5287 3 месяца назад

Its also an important point that import substitutes are always market inefficient even if your country is able to poduce a component the cheapest

@Padtedesco 3 месяца назад

An also that market inefficiencies need to be checked by regulations from government in order to promote long term growth

@clashkingking6193 3 месяца назад

“Axis” of resistance

@compromisedssh 3 месяца назад

Whoa-- the owner of this RU-vid channel bases his videos on books by the author Justin Conrad? That's awesome. No wonder these videos are so good.

@jeffbenton6183 3 месяца назад

Every academic in the field of studying foreign relations probably knows each other

@compromisedssh 3 месяца назад

@@jeffbenton6183 (the [bad] joke is that the channel creator's name is on the book too lol)

@jeffbenton6183 3 месяца назад

@@compromisedssh OH shoot! I didn't notice that. Sorry for being dense! r/whoooooooosh!

@willeyeam1241 3 месяца назад

Obligatory comment to fuel the algorithm. Love the content. Excellent sense of humor in your videos. Well written, informative and well reasoned opinions. Thanks for providing substantive content, it balances out all the other stupid garbage I watch.

@tra757200 3 месяца назад

finally, some with a voicing what I’ve been yelling from the tree tops.

@DrJones20 3 месяца назад

You forgot to show those lines that you usually do

@CupGuyDude12 3 месяца назад

WOOOO NEW VIDEO first

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

And first comment!

@PunmasterSTP 3 месяца назад

Congrats!

@hjalmarfreidenvall1655 3 месяца назад

Neat

@Readinganddifference 9 дней назад

Excellent critical thinking

@user-vl1fq9xi9t 3 месяца назад

Iranians has the rights to defending against the terrorism

@747GhostDogg 3 месяца назад

Lines in maps!!!👏🧠👁🦾

@mike4480 3 месяца назад

..Thanks for the update and the way you present it…

@PeanutsDadForever 3 месяца назад

Thanks for another great video!🇦🇺👴🏻

@theconqueringram5295 3 месяца назад

There always seems to be some chain reaction to these sort of things.

@jacintochua6885 3 месяца назад

Whose proxies arr Isrsel and England?

@bodhihearts1011 3 месяца назад

We at the present moment, are blinded by fiery angry, our conscience consumed by hatred, trudging towards hell led by ignorance. All human lives are equal in value. True love transcends religion, race, and politics. Wisdom and benevolence manifested by one’s true nature brings peace and hope to the world. War, discrimination, and opposition bring destruction to the world. 🐇

@psylentrage 3 месяца назад

Thanks for the video. Been watching since about the Ukraine War. Ezekiel 38 & 39. Go and check where the modern equivalents are and overlay that with what's been happening for nearly 40 years now. Interesting at the very least. Edit. Actually, since around 1917 with the liberation of Jerusalem by Allenby.

@trueriver1950 3 месяца назад

Not so sure those who lived there felt that the Brit Mandate counted as liberation s compared to the Ottomans. Describing Allenby as a liberator is a very partisan perspective. He captured Jerusalem, yes; but saying more than that is taking sides

@psylentrage 3 месяца назад

@@trueriver1950 I take it then you didn't read Ezekiel 38 & 39 and went to check where the modern equivalents are and overlay that with what's been happening since 1917? Instead answering with some deflection about a partisan view and what or not a liberator he was?

@funnyhats1839 3 месяца назад

Does Russian equipment in Ukraine count as an export? They leave so many tanks behind when they retreat.

@LuisLopez-zh9kh 3 месяца назад

Not really. A lot of those tanks were made in Ukraine in the time of the USSR.

@aleccap5946 3 месяца назад

The TNRC was equipped with a 5-megawatt nuclear research reactor supplied by US company American Machine and Foundry, which was fueled by highly enriched uranium

@krazyolie 3 месяца назад

On a point at the end, I believe at the time it was reported that hamas had some north Korean weapons.

@michaelthompson9548 3 месяца назад

❤ the channel 🫡

@jcdisci 3 месяца назад

Anyone think how economic sanction taken against China would affect Tesla and thru that impact Europe and the rest of the world? I'm speaking financially; I'm not pushing Tesla. But they currently make the best selling car in America and Europe. Not best selling EV; best selling car....period. That can't help but impact the world economy.

@bobdfs5230 3 месяца назад

More like unintended incontinence

@NightridingDoom 3 месяца назад

the real question is, what is the next domino to fall?

@libertas5005 3 месяца назад

Taiwan

@dukeofgibbon4043 3 месяца назад

The axis of pariah states.

@user-je5do6jn2f 3 месяца назад

Groan, we're living the Resource Wars from Fallout, but without that future-fabulous-50s charm or power armor... 🤯

@baneofbanes 3 месяца назад

Irl power armor would be particularly resource intensive.

@razimahj456 3 месяца назад

❤😊

@henrikrinne3639 3 месяца назад

2022

@antoniolewis1016 3 месяца назад

All these "proxies" of Iran are more like client states. They reserve the right to act independently and often do. Iran's relationship with them is more akin to the relationship between the US and the Kurds or the Taiwanese or Israelis, which we can equally call "US proxies".

@baneofbanes 3 месяца назад

That’s what a proxy is. Proxies are rarely just puppets. And people call those states American proxies all the time.

@antoniolewis1016 3 месяца назад

@@baneofbanes neither American mainstream media, nor American alternative media, nor William Spaniel refer to Israel as an "American Proxy" with the same frequency they do when referring to the Houthi in Yemen or Hezbollah in Lebanon. This is very misleading and can lead to a lot of misunderstandings. At least you can appreciate that Israel and Taiwan and the Kurds really are American proxies, but most Americans don't make that connection.

@ChucksSEADnDEAD 3 месяца назад

Well, they're not acting that independently when they're coordinating attacks.

@chipslovack7635 3 месяца назад

Bill’s bill must’ve felt so good to say in a intellectual context

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

Yep!

@gavinjoynt707 3 месяца назад

And a rocket system. In 80's South Africa had nukes and rockets

@emagoutard2576 3 месяца назад

les conséquences et l’inconséquence de l’Allemagne

@sabarsherzad 3 месяца назад

I'm curious about the upside down clock that shows up in many videos including this one Is it on purpose or something else

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

It's just a stock image that I have saved in a file. Nothing super meaningful, but time comes up so often in the scripts that it helps to have a default to go to.

@VanderlayLux 3 месяца назад

William or if I may, Wilhelm, one other consideration to inform your calculus: Iranian oil exports. They have surged over the last 12-24 months. Oil sanctions are still in place but the U.S. has chosen not to enforce them properly these last 2 years. This to lower gas prices for economic / electoral reasons. This has given Iran even more cash. Once the election is over expect the sanctions regime to tighten up. Should have happened last year.

@The_Crazy_Monkey75 3 месяца назад

Frankly, I'm surprised Putin never even considered the fact that Russia will not be sanctioned after the invasion. Never did expect the worse to happen.

@747GhostDogg 3 месяца назад

Number 5

@josephfox9221 3 месяца назад

what I learned from this is no worse ally than China and no worse neighbor than Russia

@armchairwarrior963 3 месяца назад

US Germany's ally makes their expensive pipeline gone! US sure makes good allies.

@jeffbenton6183 3 месяца назад

@@armchairwarrior963Germany is getting cheap LNG from the US now, and they want to be free from Russian gas since they actually like Ukraine. Your point is invalid.

@armchairwarrior963 3 месяца назад

@@jeffbenton6183 LOL Cheap LNG meth must be good. They are paying double.

@jeffbenton6183 3 месяца назад

@@armchairwarrior963 I can see why you phrased it that way, since you must be on meth if you still believe that! Gas prices in Europe have decreased to a point close to where they were just before the war. In any case, their supplies from Australia and Qatar are increasing as well. On another note... You claim that the US did it, but there's no proof of that. For all we know, Putin could have done it. After all, he did temporarily cut off all gas exports to Europe less than a month before the incident so as to threaten Europe for helping Ukraine. Like most of his plans in 2022, that one backfired.

@zero_zero107 3 месяца назад

@@jeffbenton6183that cheap LNG is 2~4 times more expensive than Russian…

@neonpowar3766 3 месяца назад

Previously William Spaniel indicated that one the the LA lakers that is not lebron features in this video. However from watching the youtube channel Gametheory101 i know that such statements cannot be taken at face value. this is due to the fact that William Spaniel could be making such statements to signal a false intent or resolve, in an effort to enhance his bargaining position. Therefor the question remains: lebron??????? ( I'm terribly sorry for late response, youtube bugged out and therefor i had to rewrite my comments several times and was unable to comment earlier. but maybe im just saying that to enhance my own bargaining position.)

@Gametheory101 3 месяца назад

Haha, well done. I recorded this one this morning, *after* I recorded the one in question. I felt that I needed to rush this one to publish because there is a lot more uncertainty with the situation in the Middle East. Should still have the Lakers one on tap for next week.

@ArtisZ 3 месяца назад

@@Gametheory101But that's just a game theory.

@Jesusextraction 3 месяца назад

Better than escaping a blackhole n Spawn galaxies

@bill_and_amanda 3 месяца назад

It's 2024, shouldn't we have 3 dimensional slices on 4 dimensional hypermaps by now?

@mihaivale7170 3 месяца назад

Rushittia...

@thekestube 3 месяца назад

You meant February 2022.

@user-bk7wp4bx5n 3 месяца назад

Hama is no one's proxy, unless you think Ukraine is Proxy if the U.S

@captaincrunch1707 3 месяца назад

They are though , who is funding then & providing weapons . Most Muslims hating the Jews isn’t specific enough to handwave who’s financially backing hamas .

@OzzyBloke 3 месяца назад

Yes Ukraine is a proxy of the US.

@constantinvaldor3742 3 месяца назад

I thought the other side were the bad guys committing crimes

@MrZZooh 3 месяца назад

You inadvertently gave Iran more credit than they would have wished for. Their reverse engineering of Western weapons is pretty serious but they still import a lot of those electronics as non-military industrial grade parts from the US.

@paperandmedals8316 3 месяца назад

Russia is a huge benefactor whether it be Israel and Gaza or Iran and proxies vs boats. Russia and Iran are applying their own sanctions upon the entire west. The question is, why can’t Russia and Iran just be nice and look inward to see how they can be of benefit to their citizens.

@SamtheIrishexan 3 месяца назад

They saw that cheap drones were a massive force multiplier. And they are ahead of the curve on that. Insurgency can now easily contend with even the US. If the Houthis really tried we know they could saturate a cruiser or destroyer and take a US navy ship out. Iran can do the same, it can also unleash massive waves of these drones at Israel and the Saudis. America doesnt have enough forces to stop this in the middle east

@anthonymicha7079 3 месяца назад

So, are we doomed ?

@steve92biko 3 месяца назад

Correction; the Houthis are not trying. They have actually done it

@emagoutard2576 3 месяца назад

enfin, de compte, c’est encore l’Allemagne qui déclaré les guerres Faudrait l’isoler celle-là

@chem29090 3 месяца назад

Bill's bill 😂

@timbokousky 3 месяца назад

This is the same ol song and dance

@jonathanleviton5787 3 месяца назад

Ma teer e el

@miramardesign 3 месяца назад

New drinking game: everytime d. Spaniel says "lines on maps" take a drink

@charlesdyer5348 3 месяца назад

Why do we have bases in Iraq and Syria?

@nocturnalcb 3 месяца назад

Look it up

@hackman669 3 месяца назад

Policing agent.😊 Unstable region

@OzzyBloke 3 месяца назад

Oil

@ChucksSEADnDEAD 3 месяца назад

@@OzzyBloke The US specifically passed laws to make Iraqi oil unprofitable. The Russians, Chinese and Frwnch did take Iraqi oil though.

@OzzyBloke 3 месяца назад

@@ChucksSEADnDEAD and... what a f@cking stupid comment. The question was why does the US have bases in Syria and Iraq....one of them is oil that they are stealing. Muppet.

@QuixEnd 3 месяца назад

Feels like if you just blame the USSR for everything you'd be at least partly correct 90% of the time. I guess that goes both ways huh

@ArtisZ 3 месяца назад

What is the other way?

@agush22 3 месяца назад

@@ArtisZthe other way would be blaming "the west" also known in the middle east as "Great Satan"

@ArtisZ 3 месяца назад

@@agush22 But where is the third way?

@Ultra1036speed 3 месяца назад

@@agush22 And all of the shit going on in the world right now has been caused by the east ! The west never attacked anyone. Russia, Iran, Iraq, Yemen,etc all s..t trouble makers!

@TerryEzekiel-Okoh-jw8jc 3 месяца назад

Great analysis, however,you failed to mention the impact of massive military supply by US and NATO to Ukraine! I think this also emboldened Iran to also support Russia. The entire world and humanity needs to work and support peace rather than war.

@Sacramento-mv8nr 3 месяца назад

So how many "proxies" does the US have.

@FalconfromRF 3 месяца назад

I hope Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Israel can be able to negotiate and will balance each other. May be a resettlement of Christians to Syria could also contribute to creating a sustainable balance, but, currently not a feasible option

@Zoro-hn1jv 3 месяца назад

It's almost impossible because Iran is a regional hegemony but Turkey, Saudi and Israel are US regional proxies. As you see Iran is fighting global zionism but Turkey, UAE and Saudi export oil and gas to Israel even during genocide in Gaza.

@allo-other 3 месяца назад

2:09 Some appropriately dour expressions when your factory is visited by P00ti.

@gavinjoynt707 3 месяца назад

In 1945 nuclear weapons was developed, any scientists all over the world can develop nukes.Just need a government support

@ramrod9556 3 месяца назад

Sanctions do not work on a country that it's own resources. They merely make a country more independent. The vast majority of items are imported because it is cheaper to do so, not because a country is incapable of manufacturing it.

@NmaeUnavailablesigh 3 месяца назад

Making things more expensive is half the point. The other half is the many things they cannot produce domestically in the quantities they need.

@gimmethegepgun 3 месяца назад

Having resources doesn't mean that the country is able to utilize them to the extent that they need to. If they've invested heavily in extraction but not in refinement or manufacturing, instead shipping the resources somewhere else that does have that capability, then they're in trouble if that line gets cut. Eventually they will develop the necessary means to use those resources themselves, but in the meantime they're crippled, and even after it's still much more expensive because places that have specialized can operate much more efficiently.

@JosephKano 3 месяца назад

@gimmethegepgun however the point is they will when pushed to the wall find a way to do it, either sanctions busting, eg importing coffee machines and ripping the chips out, or will bite the bullet and build their own factory and take the economic hit if they have no other choice. This is the point of what happened at the time of the Iran Deal. The Obama Admin realised that Iran had hit the point where sanctions weren't going to stop Iran anymore, it was time for a new strategy, let's loosen em up, let's give em a taste of the good life, show them they want the moolah. In return they slow their roll on the big booms. Then we move to stage 2 they roll back the progress so far for example and we give them even more candy. It was working. The Iran of 2015 was just about to seriously crack open the reforms. Then some idiot who probably has tertiary syphillitic symptoms got elected by a bunch of other idiots who wanted to own the libs and here we are.

@lindsaycole8409 3 месяца назад

The thing is Russia farmed so much out to much more efficient imports and the local industries atrophied. It can be bought back but a huge cost and with a lot of time. That is the pressing issue that Russia can't completely overcome especially if you are talking high end sophisticated gear. Notice that what Russia is getting from Iran and North Korea is fairly simply things like prop-propelled drones and artillery shells. A lot of import substitution by these regimes is actually concentrating on weapons systems that they can make themselves with their technology but lack significant capabilities. There is also the manpower issue. To ramp up semiconductor production for instance, you need not just the facility, equipment and designs but also the people with the skills to operate all that. And that is a big problem that is decades worth of effort to train the skilled workers requires. The issue is if the West maintains support of Ukraine, they can simply out-produce Russia without a sweet. The West can essentially make everything required to win and in volume. So ramping up weapons production is actually straightforward, what is lacking is the will to invest in that increased output and maintain support. Another way to put it, the West ability to support Ukraine to victory is politically constrained, while for Russia it is manpower and technology access constrained.

@gimmethegepgun 3 месяца назад

@@lindsaycole8409 On the topic of skilled workers, not only do they need to be trained, but they need to be retained instead of going somewhere else in the world where they'll get paid far better.

@marygem 3 месяца назад

Please correct historical fact: Russia attacked Ukraine in 2022, NOT 2023, as you state at the begining of the video. 😮

@zico739 3 месяца назад

Iran has been in its Romulun villain arc.

@autismpresents2168 3 месяца назад

🥴

@PunmasterSTP 3 месяца назад

I'm not sure if you'd be allowed to comment on this more directly, but would you consider making a video on how Biden's overall posture and policies may be contributing to the amount of conflict we are now engaged in? Either way, thanks for another wonderful video and bringing us timely analysis!

@baronvonlimbourgh1716 3 месяца назад

Most of it is still a leftover from trumps administration though. He showed a lot of weakness and spent his time cosying up to all the dictators in the world. He turned his back on alies in the middle east, forced a chaotic pullback out of afghanistan, let putin parade around as peacebringer in syria, let poohbear be the savior during the pandemic, caused unrest and showed the usa to be an u reliable partner in nato during his administration. And is making the usa a unreliable partner yet again now with ukraine by blocking that aid. Is a major cause of the political mess cripling usa foreign policy at the moment. And is even talking about the usa retreating from the global stage even more. Apeasement from chamberlain and friends is what gave us ww2. All of that allowed opponents of the usa to gain strength and more brave and willing to test how far they can push it. Actions in global politics rarely have immediate impact, they take years for the concequences of these things to become apperent and play out. And forcing drastic shifts always cause many unexpected side effects. This is simply what a bull in a chinashop appraoch causes when you are such a key player in the global world order that exists. And the usa has enough enemies that will exploit every show of weakness to the max every chance they are given.. Biden has mostly been playing fire brigade, trying to mend damaged international relations and managing the mess created and create a balance once again. It is much easier to break things and cause chaos then it is to clean up after it and regain trust.

@munbruk 3 месяца назад

Sanctions helped Iran become a regional power. So thanks.

@stevekontis8992 3 месяца назад

Once upon a time, US diplomacy kept all these countries apart. Since then, US diplomacy, or rather lack thereof, motivated and allowed these countries to gravitate into an alliance.