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You are correct but the other thing to keep in mind is that the jags led the league in 3 WR sets so even if that’s true which is no guarantee, the difference in snaps will be negligible
1st time playing and my team is: QB: Josh Allen, Jared Goff RB: Bijan Robinson, Dameon Pierce, Alexander Mattison WR: Calvin Ridley, DJ Moore, Drake London, Quintin Johnston TE: Kyle Pitts (looking for Musgrave on waivers)
Watching this after drafting to grade myself. I got Diggs at 9 and reached for Allen on the turnaround at 12. I realize it was a reach. But I was able to snag Andrews and Calvin Ridley on the next time around. Then couldn’t avoid the RB dead zone with a lot of my homers taking RBs fast but I got Pierce and Dobbins. I was able to steal Godwin and Aiyuk in the 8th and 9th rounds.
I agree with most of your takes and feel it was very well thought out which many do not seen to do ... my only real disagreement is Aaron Jones , who has been consistent near and around top 10 his entire career, still a top YPR leader, and doesnt need alot of volume to make big plays .. Jones has been underused and has a handcuff but still ends the season near top 10.. he is safe and consistent at his ADP.. the opposite is in Green Bay, the last few years , Rodgers was more of a problem and not beneficial to Jones .. Jones now is the veteran with a young QB and will be heavily relied on with such a young team and from what i hear may be utilized more this season.. he has had injuries, but still has atleast 1 more solid year in the tank .. he is still explosive and still has big play upside .. to get him in the 4th as your second RB is a steal , and a good # 1 if someone addresses other positions first
im a big fan of that mock you did from the 1.02. I have 2nd pick in one of my home leagues and I think that is a very solid draft. Love the Hurts + Smitty stack. I think im just a bit worried about being really dry at RB without a RB from the first 3 rounds.
I say this as someone that has 0 shares of Joe Mixon: When you rated as high risk with bust potential is that based off where he is actually going? If he were to go in the 6th he definitely still has the injury risk of an oldish RB but 6th round absolute bust would imply he can't reliably get 11+ PPG when healthy. Where he is actually going I agree his risk is much higher in part because I think his competition risk is under-rated in the same way Najee's is in that he won't lose his job but if he is not getting it done he might end up in more of a time share with more explosive options (and/or the Bengals bring in a FA 3rd down back).
Hook Hooooo!!!! You do and did an excellent job!!! Love your content , knowledge , you do your homework (obviously super organized AND you said "Peace Out" that's my go to , as well .!!! Love your work!! Love , Peace , and bacon grease!!! I'm out!! Peace , Pot and MicroDot.... (grew up in the 70's and 80's)
Bro, you’ve grown extremely fast from when you started!!!! Congrats my man!! I wanted to ask you, do you like Brandon Aiyuk over Deebo Samuel this year in a full PPR format?
@@FantasyStockExchange I was feeling the same!!! Thanks!! You also helped me finalize picking JJ first pick this year because I got first pick next week and was considering CMC just from the lack of RBs in the draft. But I’m rolling with JJ
Just found your channel and I love the content keep it up!! Quick question, got #4 pick in 10 team superflex, gotta go QB right? who you going - Lamar or Burrow?? Thanks!!
nice work and content, but predicting injuries most of the time is just hindsight. Nobody would have predicted some of the safest RBs last year JT, Javonte, Najee Harris, Breece Hall to all get injured.
What do you think of my team? 12 man PPR, pick 7. Justin Herbert Tony Pollard Jahmyr Gibbs Tyreek Hill Christian Watson Pat Freiermuth Brandon Aiyuk Dallas D Gano Bench: James Cook Elijah Moore Quentin Johnston Romeo Doubs Raheem Mostert Saints D
Keeper league budget $170, need to keep 1 for 14 team ppr, wr/te flex to pair with Jalen Hurts ($9): breece hall $23, Drake london $12 or Skyy Moore $4. Thoughts??
n't use Underdog in my state. I sign up for Flock Fantasy but I can't find your material on that site. This risk analysis is going to be very useful for my first Vampire league!
@@butchbutch7513you have a very strong team .. don't buy the anti RB garbage..Bijan and Barkley will be your work horses and highly upside top backs.. Gibbs has a handcuff, but he should also have massive upside..
Joe Mixon in the third round all day. absolute zero competition, one of the best offenses in the NFL extremely talented pass, catcher and runner. Your inefficient stats come from the first half of the season when that oline was absolute trash, Joe Mixon will make you eat your words.
What was wrong with em? You could’ve taken micro differences, those are just simply the players I liked at those spots - the risk balance was more the point
In a .5PPR league. Who would you keep out of these 3: Saquon Barkley, Tony Pollard, or Derrick Henry? Plan on pairing one of them up with Bijan Robinson since I have first overall pick.
How you did the draft at the 1.02 spot is how im doing mine with my 1.01 spot Jefferson, Hurts, Smith if Jacobs isnt there or any of the RBs arent there at the turn cause i want Mahomes, Hurts or Allen at the tirm and try to get the stack later witb sone of the WR or TEs on that team with a 0 RB team and hope Pierce falls to me at the 5/6 turn. But will see. Im at the mercy of my league mates at this this spot
I’m in a 12 team 1/2 PPR. I’m keeping pollard in the 5th round. Should I also keep kupp in the 2nd or waddle in the 7th? I like kupp but have my second round locked in limits my ability to have a fluid early round strategy
I traded my 4 overall and my 5th rounder pick to get the 2 overall to pair with my 1 overall pick so I can get Jefferson and chase. It’s a shallow 1 Qb 2 Rb 2 wr 1 flex leauge. Did I over pay or no? Feel like have jj and chase is massive and can figure out the rest. Thanks!
I like this approach but you lost me when you stated that Kittle is a "medium" injury risk. He's been injured and missed time in every single season so far... I'd say it's almost a guarantee that he will miss a some games at some point this season.
Right but none of those injuries are predictable/chronic, like Hall for example has "high injury risk" because he's coming off of an ACL tear - "Injury prone" is not real according to Dr. Edwin Porras of Fantasy Points, players may be able to play through more and that's why Kittle has a score of medium and not high
He's definitely going to eat his words about Mixon. Especially when you consider his reasoning for Javonta. Isn't the Bengals offense better than the Broncos? High volume + high value touches are good even with low efficiency. He had 50 RedZone touches last year. If he gets that again, no way he doesn't beat 6th round value lol.
Unfortunately I don't play in auctions but I will say using our tiered rankings in our draft guide is a good way to gauge what players should be valued amongst each other and then ideally you secure the cheapest options within each tier
Ok. But these categories are very subjective and do not have an equation associated to them. I might say a guy is safe, you might say he’s a bust. Its just opinion… id like to see some stats that show these kinds of things
I’m in a 12 team full PPR league, I have pick 8. 1QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 2 FLX the running backs get .2 pts for every rush yard, should I target 3 elite RBs in the first 3 rounds depending on who drops to me and then start targeting WRs?
My first 7 picks in the mock draft I did was Bijan, Jacobs, D.Smith, Ridley, Waller, Pickens, Addison. With Purdy as my starter and Pickett as my backup QB
He’s pretty safe minus the fact he has target competition risk with Tyreek, tight range of outcomes but limited to a top 6-10 ceiling without a Tyreek injury
Fwiw i still wouldn’t draft him in round 6 but it’s risk, relative to his cost - it mostly lined up in the other rounds but I thought I specified it was risk based on his 3-4th round cost
That Jerry jeudy take will age terribly. Jerry jeudy will finish top 12. Also your DJ Moore ranking is laughable at best, dudes gonna finish top 10, 100%. Screenshot this.