@@MvniBuiltx I give mine away for zero dollars because it’s obviously in beta still, and they only offtrade i ask is that you join our small community of degenerates so we can compare our bet prompts and earn/loss ratio
I turned $43 to $114 in a few hours and winning 4/5 bets using this ai got so far. I would’ve won more but I was skeptical since it was picking towards the underdogs more frequently. So I waited until halftime to see whether it was a smart choice. I did this with 3 of the bets and still made a decent amount. Just wanted to say thanks and if I make over 500 dollars profit durning my free trail, I’ll probably be paying the 200 dollars.
Hi, I'm trying the trial version, and it has a lot of bugs when you try to open the reasons for the bet, for example if you look at a basketball bet it opens up a detailed football bet, I hope you will solve the problem. Thanks
Hey Siraj, I signed up for a trial, do you place bets based on the ones that have the highest probability? Trying to understand your bet selection process.
Also, I would recommend charging only a one-time fee for lifetime use of your product as opposed to a monthly fee, OR at least make your monthly fee much smaller.
Sorry, but I see several RED FLAGS here: - We are missing any kind of long term validation over more than 2 bets. Why didnt you just split the money into 20+ bets to get a more sound sample to evaluate its performance? - Apparently you have 0 knowledge about the NBA, as you mention "Penalties" when talking about pre-game stats - in you social-crawling a text withe the Houston Texans was displayed, which is a NFL and not a NBA team, even though you typed in that you would search for the Lakers. Generally all the social contents seem to be from the NFL. looking at your snippets. => The code snippets that you show right after these NFL posts are then including "celtics" again, which is a team name from the NBA. - charging 200$ for this without proper long-term evaluation and the other mentioned red flags is a big no no for me, I am sure you are great with chatgpt, but charging 200$ after a video like this.
1. The profit and loss statement is available as of today, i'm planning on more data and better performance every week wagergpt.co/reports. 2. You're right, i am going to educate myself a lot more about each sport, and i'm now incentivized too. i never claimed to be a sports fan. 3. $200 will make sense once more people comment on their success, everything depends on the performance of the model
Hey Siraj, tried signing up for the wagergpt but seems like it's not available anymore, can we please know when will you roll out the beta again and if there is any way I can subscribe now?
Salute bro I respect the vision. This is a game-changer. I remember the first video u made about it 10 months ago. I knew u was on to something special. I will stay updated on this
Siraj proved himself to silence his critics. I offered him free advices to improve his bot accurancy. Since the bot is totally out of reality with claiming 99.9% confidence to one team wins in its predictions multiple times. When I messaged to his group, Siraj kicked me out in a second. So thanks man, I was your fan. I did not believe videos about you scamming people. Now I see that it has some realistic basement. Guys safe yourself money. 200 usd per month is making someone rich for no proven statistical record. Maybe he will block me again here:)
i'm not silencing anyone and i haven't "blocked" you. See the many comments that have both positive and negative things to say. if someone cancels their subscription, they will be removed from our private group chat, its unfair to paying customers. Lastly, the bot is constantly improving and no longer makes predictions over 97%.
Aside from increasing the amount of social media sentiment analysis in your WagerGPT's prediction model, is there anything you can do or you are doing to increase the consistency of a 70+% win rate? Because at this time it seems that some people are experiencing 70% or more win rate and some are getting only 50-60% win rate. With a 50% win rate, you might as well take a random uneducated guess when making the bet and it will be just as effective in terms of probability of winning/losing.
Why I am getting different code block with same questions as u, on step when I ask: "Ok, please create a logistic regression model to predict the winning team using this dataset".. Should I use gpt 4?
Your results spreadsheets seem to have some errors e.g. 24/12 you recommended Houston Texans over Cleveland Browns. The bet lost but is recorded as a win. There are lots of other losing bets recorded as wins. Cleveland Browns were predicted to win with 88.2% probability but Houston Texans were recommended which looks strange Also, you seem to be quoting ml odds when recommending spread bets. Hopefully these are not used to calculate p/l for spread bets It would be helpful if you could add a column that shows the p/l for each bet
Thanks for the feedback! Yeah the prediction likelihood was just one data point wagergpt uses to make the prediction. The bet recommendation is the final output. Sometimes the bet recommendation is the opposite of the prediction likelihood, additional real-time data effects the final bet recommendation. I can add that to the FAQ
i have a question, does this offer consistent predictions? i mean lets say it told me to bet on the celtics to beat GSW then i ask it an hour later it says bet on gsw, because it leverages GPT which is prone to hallucinations/inconsistency at times. Also what would be nice to see an expected value calculation, not only telling us which team will win but if the current odds make it valuable to bet on (based on a positive expected return) given the probability wagergpt calculates
Yes it does offer consistent predictions. Those predictions can and do change as a game nears due to new injuries and lineup data, but it stays consistent. I'm adding +EV this week
This sounds amazing but where is the long-term P/L of the bot? have you even backtested it? Why would people sign up to an unproven BOT to burn their own money?
I’ve been using it myself since February and it has had at least a 70 percent win rate for me. The idea is that with the right bets you win much more than the subscription, like what I did in the video. I agree that I should map out the P/L even further but I think user testimonials will speak for itself. I’m confident that people will love this bot as I do. Plus it’s a 7 day free trial so just cancel it on day 6 if you don’t like it.
@@SirajRaval The win rate is irrelevant. You could be winning 90% of bets at 1.000001 odds. This would be very dangerous to post to a huge following with no real proof of it being profitable. Please post P/L since February showing stake, profit loss, ROI etc
Interesting, but unless you post the profit and loss. Its kinda hard to a partake with our $$$. I understand the cost involved in making this. You dont learn this skills overnight. But for us to believe you that this is not just another service that other people are already providing. You need to provide evidence that this works in the long term. In any case, keep up the good work. Watching with keen interest on the side line.
Siraj- you seem sincere, I really want to try this but I literally don’t have $199 to give you right this moment. Wish there was a promo code for 30 days
@@SirajRavaldude thank you so much for this. It’s about time someone created something to level the playing field with the sportbooks. They’ve taken thousands from me! Thanks again for letting me try this!
Siraj i am sorry but you shouldn't really promote gambling mate, you know and I know it's always a losing bet for the customer and it is impossible to predict because of all the unforeseen events, let's think about...first, if you keep wining you won't tell anyone because you will be busy becoming a billionaire in couple of years, and second the gambling industry are not stupid so they will go bankrupt! it's a zero sum game mate! I love the algorithm though!
Hi I just sing up for the wage chat gpt There is something wrong. With the home/away team. It’s giving wrong information. When you take explanation. Gives wrong info the away team presented as home team. Please doble check this.
The thing is terrible. It has me reading that the sharks are at home tonight 12/05. Not sure what that’s all about. Also one of data points was like “team has better record so they are better team” the thing is not good, putting it nicely.
I'm growing more and more untrusting of chatgpt everyday, not because its terrible, its extremely good for this type of work; however, I feel more comfortable trying to localize. Have you thought about this? What would be your approach to localize all the chatgpt parts, if possible? Thanks
Good point. the models are all custom, ChatGPT is used to summarize it, and for now its the best. if that changes i'll have the whole thing be DIY. it's all about profitability for the end user at the end of the day
So I tried it, and here is the truth: It was a 7-day trial, which means I bet every day, and it was awful. Out of about 10 bets, only 3-4 were correct. The bot suggests bets that are a joke, and you think something went wrong with it, but no, the bot just gambles away all your money. The $200 per month fee has to be a joke.
this has happened 3-4 times. i'll get you fixed asap. first, check your spam folder. if its not there, email me at hello@sirajraval.com and i'll get you the access code same day
There are still a ton of bugs in the bot and it doesn't appear to be using GPT 4. Also, is your betting strategy to bet a unit or to win a unit? I'm testing this out with straight bets during the trial window and will post overall results - both for betting a unit and betting to win a unit. Just using $2 units for the test and will report back.
i just pushed a major fix this morning, that should fix a lot. it's using GPT-4-Turbo. I bet a unit, please do share your results! also i just added a link to our private telegram community inside the information button of the app
@@SirajRaval Sounds good, I'll check out the fixes. I was still having issues at the time of my post this morning. I'm betting one unit and taking all picks for NBA, NFL, NHL, and EPL. Will report back with results and of betting a unit or betting to win a unit generates better results. Record was 5-5 last night and up 0.875 units with one unit bets. Would have been up 1.25 units betting to win a unit.
In some games it gives explanations for different games. for example: Wolverhampton Wanderers / Burnley Dec 05, 2023, 19:30 UTC Prediction: Burnley are going to win: 95.0% likelihood Explanations: 1. The Penguins will have a higher win probability due to their strong performance this season. 2. Statistical analysis favors the Penguins based on their recent head-to-head matchups with the Flyers. 3. The Penguins' odds reflect their status as the slightly more favored team, despite the Flyers having home advantage.
Sorry, but I see several RED FLAGS here: - We are missing any kind of long term validation over more than 2 bets. Why didnt you just split the money into 20+ bets to get a more sound sample to evaluate its performance? - Apparently you have 0 knowledge about the NBA, as you mention "Penalties" when talking about pre-game stats - in you social-crawling a text withe the Houston Texans was displayed, which is a NFL and not a NBA team, even though you typed in that you would search for the Lakers. Generally all the social contents seem to be from the NFL. looking at your snippets. => The code snippets that you show right after these NFL posts are then including "celtics" again, which is a team name from the NBA. - charging 200$ for this without proper long-term evaluation and the other mentioned red flags is a big no no for me, I am sure you are great with chatgpt, but charging 200$ after a video like this.
I'm trying to do something similar to a game called crash na stake, I've already created an api that returns the data in json but predicting it in a basic way is still difficult, any tips?
Interesting, I just created one today although I didn’t go this deep and broad. Just selected NBA and loaded historical data for 2 teams that face off late. Fingers crossed!
You can ask chatgpt questions and percentages and place the bets urself its not hard I just hit ...ask percise questions and question it if it's not using the recent trends
Hey some information you should include to make your bot more accurate is , whether overall for that day and also how teams react to certain whether conditions, teams who are fighting for playoffs spots , head to head overall win/lose ratio , opposing skill player match ups (example: how a good wide receiver has matched up against better vs average cornerback defenders, and also players statistical information, like if a player averages a certain amount of points a game , that would determine a lot for the bot to estimate a amount of points scored that game instead of looking at a teams overall performance.
There are 15 NBA games from 5 Dec to 7 Dec. You have picked the away team for all of them. 9 of them at >90%. There might be something wrong with your model.
@SirajRaval Hi, how to cancel the trial before being charged ? No information about this on your website and no ability to do that! Why ? Just row (with no link): >> After your trial ends, you will be charged $199.00 per month starting December 13, 2023. You can always cancel before then. How to cancel ?
Hey Ivan! just type /delete_account into the bot and click the stripe link to cancel instantly. (this is also on the FAQs page, but i'll make it more clear)
0:42 Bot is a hella scam. When you look at the explanation for its predictions, you know theyre trash. 1. Damian Lillard doesnt play for the Blazers this season. 2. CJ McCollum doesnt play for the Blazers. 3. Jusuf Nurkic doesnt play for the Blazers. 4. Colin Sexton doesnt play for the Cavaliers 5. The Cavaliers went 9-6 during the month of Novemver, which is pretty good for the time. 6. The Cavaliers during the month of November had the 4th highest defensive rating in the NBA, so why would the bot say their defense has been porous.
I really like, and I definitely see the value in this video, but it’s a little hard to follow you step-by-step when the screen is heavily cropped. I feel as if showing the whole screen and maybe a smaller WebCam would definitely fix this issue
Great video! Looks like you might have a problem with overfitting, though. Some of those 95%+ predictions don’t pass the smell test - specially the EPL 95% draw predictions.
I want to like this I really do, but the bot makes very little sense most of the time. It changes its mind on predictions, will say one team is likely to win for prediction at 80%, and then when you press Ai bet suggestion it’ll say to pick the opposite team. Or you click it and it starts giving you a pick on a completely different game. When I can actually get it to make sense, it makes good picks
@@SirajRaval completely understandable. At the moment I am just trying to tread lightly, work out what the bot likes as some of the Ai picks like Top 5 will contradict the manual prediction, so just seeing slowly what works currently. I do think a discord server would be great for this kind of thing also for feedback, chatting etc. And to probably lower the price until common bugs get fixed and it starts working more reliably, just some thoughts. Other than that I’m a huge fan of this kind of thing
to cancel you have to call your bank remove all your cards each single acount also you need to remove all the tokens merchant linked to you'r acount so he won't be able to charge you make sure they remove all the tokens merchan linked to you'r acount
When I look at the PL, then there were 11 wins, 9 losses so far, and that seems to be the most important fact to me. Now one needed so many bets over a longer timeframe, that it is statistically relevant. Its a superinteresting experiment! And then there might be additional factors to classify a teams strength, which you might add over time. Also, you might announce your bets pre-game, until the bot is proven to be successful.
I'm interested in using this for mines and geology active and non active blm land claim management? With past assays of mineral for states. All low sulfide epithermal zones and hypogene deposits.
Hi Siraj, I noticed that you have done similar videos in the past. Have you thought of maybe doing a video series whereby you incrementally improve on the software rather than every time it seems you’re building a new one?
@@Djr2699 I see, I’m testing the trial currently and testing it rn with the games on, I’ve avoided the AI top 5 picks etc and just selecting individual games on their win % and betting off that
@@Jaycookie-fq4eq mixed tbh, it’s design is very good, straight forward and nice, but lacks consistency within its own model. I know sports very well anyway and do my own research and use this to back up my own claims mostly, with it I’ve made 10U so far this week, which is nice, but with just selected picks, biggest problem is it changing it’s mind, I’ll click a game like today, for NCAAB, and it will tell me the home team will win 87% chance, then later I check again and it’s changed to the away team at 66%, which makes it hard to follow, when it works it does very well though, just needs improvement which ik he is doing, idk how much time he’s putting into it though
Yea I don’t want to public post but would like to chat more if you can. A handful of explanations are not relevant I don’t know if that is affecting the bot
I don't get the significance of the reddit ish component. Also, planning to soon make 100K a month from participants in your project takes the fun vibe out of it. Maybe a back end reward for co-development? Not being sarcastic, just thoughts from a pleased subscriber.
Been using this bot a fair amount past week on trial. Liking it a lot, some flaws but on the most part good. If improving this is something you plan on doing I’d love to get in contact to give you daily detailed feedback on bugs and other stuff and happily be a beta tester, definitely has great potential
hey PartialGang, thanks for your feedback. Let's definitely chat, you should join our private member only telegram group. the link is in your email, DM me there!
