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Is it Time to SELL QYLD? Going to ZERO? 

MMuniz
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Time Codes:
0:00 - Intro
0:53 - Sell because it’s at its lowest ever
1:49 - are there better opportunities
3:35 - can qyld go up in price?
5:12 - does qyld belong in our portfolio?
6:20 - can qyld go to zero?
8:00 - my final thoughts
Welcome Everyone!
In today’s video we are going to discuss the popular income ETF QYLD, mostly in response to what is happening in the overall market today, along with what is happening to QYLD. These are just my opinions, and not financial advice. I do own QYLD, so my opinion may be biased based off of that.
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DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. These videos are for educational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.

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1 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 81   
@ErnieMayberry
@ErnieMayberry Год назад
I take the totally opposite position. Now is a GREAT time to buy QYLD or add to your current position, that is if you are an income investor. This will lower your cost basis which results on your investment providing a higher YOC (yield on cost). If it were to drop another 20% from here, back up the truck and dump a big load a cash in!
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
If solely searching for income, then yes I 100% agree. Excellent opportunity to get higher future dividends, also love your energy haha
@ErnieMayberry
@ErnieMayberry Год назад
@@MMuniz Today is 2/2/2023. Just checking out how my post has aged. You posted video on 9/29/22 where QYLD closed at 15.82. Today QYLD is currently 16.96, so up 7.2%, not counting distributions. With the 4 distributions since then, it is up approximately 11.3%.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
@@ErnieMayberry couldn’t agree more. The bottom of 15 per share was around 3 months ago so it’s doing fantastic! I am excited for 17 per share but I’m looking forward to 20 per share lol. Maybe end of year?
@moneymanfernando1594
@moneymanfernando1594 Год назад
Thanks for the info.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Thanks for taking the time to comment!
@XPkoolXD
@XPkoolXD Год назад
Covered Call ETFs are great if you can get in cheap, in a tax exempt account, and compound for many years getting the benefit of snowballing. What worries me is the consistent downward trend over the life of the fund. Today's cheap buy in could be a future high if this trend continues. Which makes holding long term less appealing.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Exactly. If only we could predict the future! Lol
@sunlite9759
@sunlite9759 Год назад
Been down this road before. Sold 6000 QYLD in 3/21. Smart? No, fear. Also sold everything else too. In portfolio management, we are amateurs unless we learn to sell short or use reverse ETF's.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
I’ve tried a bit of leveraged etfs but I can’t get myself into inverse etfs. Just feels wrong to bet against the market going up sooner or later. I have shorted before, but also been burned on that. I try to keep it simple now vs options and leverage lol.
@sunlite9759
@sunlite9759 Год назад
@@MMuniz Options should work if you have the time. Spreads may be a better bet but at a cost. That is where a GOOD portfolio comes in and why I don't use one....they are only human. I was afraid they might put me into NVDA or whatever and tell me to wait!!! I had some 2x and 3x ETF's . Compared to NVDA or MMM or DIS a levered ETF is a bargain.
@NCZoningStudio
@NCZoningStudio Год назад
It's cool to get dividends monthly, but I def. feel uneasy about QYLD's future and have found myself wishing I could get my initial investment out and put it into a general vanguard index fund.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
VOO VUG are my two go to picks! You can still get it out, it would just be at a loss. But rmember. If you were taking money out of something like voo right now also… you would be taking the loss also
@utopianseeker5493
@utopianseeker5493 Год назад
I was going to sell my Q a month ago and put it all in Tesla. But decided to hold on and ride it out. Great information!
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Lol all in Tesla is a bold move for sure! Thanks for the compliment and taking the time to view my content!
@utopianseeker5493
@utopianseeker5493 Год назад
@@MMuniz Please do a video on Tesla's volatility. I would like to hear your point of view. Thanks!
@roseymalino9855
@roseymalino9855 Год назад
Good analysis. I don't own any QYLD at its highs; I've been buying it as it falls. I expect the NASDAQ to go sideways at least 2 - 3 years. So not much QYLD downside and plenty option action so a good dividend; and eventually an incremental NASDAQ (and QYLD NAV) increase. Theoretically, it could go to zero but if that actually loomed, I expect they would implement some modification(s).
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Couldn’t agree more with all of your statements. I think feds will hold rates around 5% for a while which is what is expected, meaning not too much growth during that period. Thanks for sharing!
@imamyt1
@imamyt1 Год назад
Covered calls are for income only, no capital appreciation there. Young savers should be in VOO, SCHD, VYT, etc
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Couldn’t agree more with this!
@Reza16888
@Reza16888 Год назад
Another great video! I sold calls on half of my QYLD and when it hits, I will switch the proceeds to JEPI and declare some loss.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
How are the premiums with selling calls on qyld? I feel like there wouldn’t be a ton of volatility so not so high? Jepi is a great option, or JEPQ, thanks for taking the time to comment as always!!!!
@cgss2213
@cgss2213 Год назад
I just sold. Like you said there’s better quality options.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Hoping for a market turn soon! Then all these growth etfs I’ve been stocking up on can start paying me lol
@moneymanfernando1594
@moneymanfernando1594 Год назад
I own QYLD and RYLD and XYLD.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
I don’t own any XYLD but QYLD is my largest income etf. Then divo. Then RYLD. I feel like RYLD is actually a better option long term to be honest, because of higher monthly premiums due to volatility in the russel index vs large cap tech Nasdaq. But that’s just my theory.
@louis20122
@louis20122 Год назад
QYLD should change its covered calls options strategy. It is not a good strategy and the expense ratio is higher than other covered calls options ETFs.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
I think it would be cool if they started writing further out of the money covered calls to lower the price cap that happens in an upwards market… especially since we are already down so much. To me it makes sense but who knows.
@sptrader6316
@sptrader6316 Год назад
Remember QYLD is far outperforming the QQQs, QYLD is down 21% (Not including dividends). QQQs are down 31%.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Exactly, when including dividends it makes a huge difference. Thanks for taking the time to comment!
@davidjames1684
@davidjames1684 Год назад
QYLD is down a LOT more than that. You didn't qualify your statement with (in 2022).
@saustinredsox
@saustinredsox Год назад
Hey Matt, agree that in 1-2 years it will come back which is why we've adjusted position from 46% to 17% over the past few months. best regards, Steve.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Excellent Steve, thanks for popping in with your thoughts as alwaysb
@saustinredsox
@saustinredsox Год назад
@@MMuniz Holy Cow Matt!!!! turn around day already?
@texastrustedoralsurgeon6830
I'm not telling you something you don't already know, but RU-vidrs selling is a good sign for a capitulation move but the chart is not showing it. I suspect there is more downside to come. Wait for the chart to show a breathtaking gap-down move or several days of deep red candles, then buy in but slowly again. Getting a low cost basis is critical to using QYLD for income.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Yes agree with this 100%. Lot of people still holding tight for sure. I almost always use limit buys for massive red candles on my other investments. (I don’t buy QYLD, I just have around 500 shares)
@CalmerThanYouAre1
@CalmerThanYouAre1 Год назад
There is no investment case for QYLD. When QYLD is deeply down like it is now, you’d be much better off buying QQQ or even TQQQ if you feel like the bottom is in. With QYLD you’re getting the vast majority of the downside but only a small portion of the upside when the market recovers. And as an income play it’s horrible. The distribution has been cut 18%+ since the beginning of the year. Add higher STCG taxes on top of that… you’d be better off investing in Hunter Biden paintings.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
@@CalmerThanYouAre1 lmao at your Final comment 😂😂. I tend to disagree a bit, as I do think qyld or any income etf has a place in a diversified portfolio, and can outperform in certain conditions. So all depends on what you believe in.
@CalmerThanYouAre1
@CalmerThanYouAre1 Год назад
@@MMuniz 😂Crazy, right? Seriously though, do some Portfolio Visualizer back testing with QYLD. Let's say you wanted something aggressive like an 8% distribution to live on. Starting with $1M and comparing QYLD to SCHD, DIVO and SPY over the last 7 years, the results are pretty telling. SCHD comes out ahead after 8% distributions withdrawn monthly and not adjusted for inflation. QYLD ends the period negative while each other ETF produced portfolio growth even after the 8% withdrawals. The QYLD distribution is an illusion. You got an 8% distribution and finished with a -2.88% CAGR, so nearly 3% of that distribution was you just getting your own money back (burning principle). People who invest in QYLD either don't understand how to do basic analysis/comparison or are sticking their heads in the sand and purposefully ignoring what is happening to their portfolios. Even worse, it's going to lead to painful failure and wasted wealth in retirement, especially when you account for inflation. It's the definition of "income drunk" yield chasing while ignoring the vast underperformance in total return and complete absence of a viable thesis for long-term outperformance vs better quality funds. Portfolio visualizer results here if you want to play around with them: www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio?s=y&timePeriod=2&startYear=2015&firstMonth=1&endYear=2022&lastMonth=12&calendarAligned=true&includeYTD=false&initialAmount=1000000&annualOperation=2&annualAdjustment=6667&inflationAdjusted=false&annualPercentage=0.0&frequency=2&rebalanceType=0&absoluteDeviation=5.0&relativeDeviation=25.0&leverageType=0&leverageRatio=0.0&debtAmount=0&debtInterest=0.0&maintenanceMargin=25.0&leveragedBenchmark=false&reinvestDividends=true&showYield=false&showFactors=false&factorModel=3&benchmark=-1&benchmarkSymbol=SPY&portfolioNames=true&portfolioName1=QYLD&portfolioName2=SCHD&portfolioName3=DIVO&symbol1=QYLD&allocation1_1=100&symbol2=SCHD&allocation2_2=100&symbol3=DIVO&allocation3_3=100
@Seoulsearch616
@Seoulsearch616 Год назад
I've held off on this because I saw a point made that no one really knew what it would do in a bear market. I really appreciate the updates though because I learn a lot from your videos. And thank you for the shout out to Joe! I watch his channel as well and really appreciate RU-vidrs who respect that everyone has their own needs and style that might work better for their own families. Great work! 👍
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Thanks for the compliment! No problem, I love watching everyone’s opinions also because there’s so much free information (you have to find the good sources) on the internet, you can always learn something new everyday!
@Seoulsearch616
@Seoulsearch616 Год назад
@@davidjames1684 Yes, QYLD would of course go down in a bear market. The question I saw posited in another video wasn't whether it would go down, but whether it would later recover. This is partially why I went with JEPI instead, because I thought it would be more resilient. Now I'm just waiting to see.
@Seoulsearch616
@Seoulsearch616 Год назад
@@davidjames1684 I understand what you're saying. I also realize that different investors have different styles, but of course, no matter what their style is, what you are describing is never a good situation. I've always been a long-term investor, so a major part of whether I invest in something to begin with is trying to guage whether something will hold out for a long haul. It's impossible to know for sure of course, but QYLD didn't seem to be a fit for my strategy. However, I have nothing but best wishes for anyone who has decided to go with QYLD and hope it works out for them.
@Seoulsearch616
@Seoulsearch616 Год назад
@@davidjames1684 For me, recovery means that I am not consistently losing the value of my initial investment over time. I understand that investments will go up and down. But if an investment in itself has a history of its share price consistently going down over several years or even decades, and not just because of market fluctuations, it's not something I want to buy into. I retired early a few years ago, and I want to see my portfolio grow over time, not continuously depreciate in market value. I also understand that high dividends often mean little to no growth, but to me, if there isn't any growth, then I want to see the share price at least stay flat over time and not have the average continue to go down over long periods of time. I buy to hopefully hold for years, though of course I will make adjustments as necessary.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
@@davidjames1684 comments from both of you guys are great. However, to your recovery question. Anyone still holding that bought in at 19… after a year they would have made all their money back so even if it stays around 17-19 for the next 5 years you are still collecting dividends/ income. So really that question is extremely subjective and hard to answer lol.
@dmmm4897
@dmmm4897 Год назад
I’m sick of red too! QYLD is only 5% of my portfolio and I agree that it has its place. Love the monthly income while still having other growth investments for long term.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Couldn’t agree more!
@davidjames1684
@davidjames1684 Год назад
Get ready for more red and lots of it.
@krakhour2
@krakhour2 Год назад
still love qyld. Yes im am down some but my pps is dropping and I took a small tax loss and am averaging in at a lower price on my cash account all other accounts I have been averaging down too. Probably only down 10 percent as I have been in qyld almost 3 years. The dividends have been nice and it is a real psychological boost getting that 1000 to 1200 bucks every month. Seem like the only green day in the month lately. Love how Qyld holds back half the premium for a bad month. The other half stays consistent at 1 percent of the nav. I definitely feel this investment is one of the safest out there that pays you 2 dollars to 2.50 a year. People seem to panic when market goes down and doesnt realize that you will still get your money back and more from qyld overtime. The only question is how long. I was hoping 8 years and now maybe 10. But after I get my money back the price will still be somewhere bewteen 15 and 22 so not bad. That means I safely took a 8 percent return. Not a A etf but a solid b and I can always skip a month and use the grand for emergency if someone were to get sick or have a disaster
@krakhour2
@krakhour2 Год назад
What I cant stand is why a lot of u tubers likes to talk about qyld performance during a bear market and selling it or how bad it could get. They never discuss that some of the best stocks in the world are down 30 to 40 percent also. I guess that means that those are going to zero too. Qyld is a income generator. Thats like the engine in your car. You kinda have to have one to get some where.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
I couldn’t agree more with All of your posts. People are extremely negative towards QYLD when the nasdaq is also down 30% lol… I still think doubling your money on 8-10 years is going to happen with QYLD so we’ll see how our theory turns out! Thanks for taking the time to comment so in depth as always!
@krakhour2
@krakhour2 Год назад
Jeremy Grantham stated that interest rates were kept low by the last 4 fed chairman and because of this stock prices were artificially pushed higher this will correct and when it does Covered calls may be a superior investment for a 10 percent return per year as a flat market will be great for this type vehicle. Look at japan. Grantham says to expect this to last for at least 2 decades
@Frugal_J
@Frugal_J Год назад
This is a great video! A question that is often overlooked is "could I do worse?" There must be some retail options traders who are underperforming QYLD (losing more money while exerting more effort). For example, options traders who find themselves frequently rolling cash-secured puts as well as options traders who sell covered calls for suboptimal premium because they were assigned on cash-secured puts at a high price. I hope to see more videos like this one in the future. Frugal J
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Frugal J I like that haha. This is very true. I myself have fallen into the “ timing the market, reacting to news, etc…. “ And in 100% honesty I have lost way more times than won. Now I just buy and hold etfs, mostly voo and VUG, and I’ll check back in 30 years lol
@davidjames1684
@davidjames1684 Год назад
@@MMuniz That technique is highly flawed.
@citizenoftheyearCC
@citizenoftheyearCC Год назад
I see the Stock Market moving sideways for quite some time , which means QYLD should benefit investors
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
I think for the next 6 months to a year we will be volatile but mostly flat overall, which exactly as you say, would be beneficial ti us QYLD holders.
@alexkats8479
@alexkats8479 Год назад
Great review. Like always Let me put my 2 cents here. Qyld Is a great investing but in two conditions : 1. You put in 300k dollars and more. It is stupid (sorry about the word) to put 10K or 20K or even 50K because you want to "feel" the dividends 2. It is investigating for 20 years and more it is not investing for few years
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Assuming you have the 300k or more and need the income, 100% agree. And ya it is totally abkut “ feeling the dividends” for lower. I definitely agree that there are better ways to handle your money you are trying to build a portfolio on when beginning investing. Only thing is sometimes investing is psychological, and if dividend investing helps people invest, vs not at all, I would still prefer that in the end. Thanks for your thoughts Alex!
@davidgallimore9656
@davidgallimore9656 Год назад
can you do a video (or link me to another video) that gives a good long solid explanation of what an ELN is, and how it work kind of thing? I still own shares in JEPQ.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Certainly. Coty from the channel “ citizen of the year “ has the hands down best video on JEPI, and discusses ELNs more in depth than anyone else I’ve seen. I think it’s called “ the truth about JEPI ETFs 8% monthly dividend yield” JEPQ is basically the same just different holdings. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-TS2u325zahA.html
@slickwilly4613
@slickwilly4613 Год назад
I would not want to be in QYLD when this market starts going up. Even if you dont time the market correctly, Do not be in this fund during an up market.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
I don’t see it as a negative to be in an up market, since it’s not an inverse etf, but I do agree I think that there are certainly better options. Thanks for the comment!
@louis20122
@louis20122 Год назад
What will QYLD or the market do in an deflationary environment? The economy will move from inflationary to deflationary
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
This is actually a great question. People say in a deflationary environment the markets will decrease because of stagnating growth…. Which would lower volatility and premiums and just cause more nav drop in QYLD. But we don’t know for sure.
@imamyt1
@imamyt1 Год назад
Listen guys… pop has 400k in his savings.. he will need to put in his wife in nursing home. Should he put his money in Q or xyld to pay for this?
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Technically XYLD has outperformed and has less volatility, so this one may be preferred. But less volatility could mean less premiums and reduced monthly distributions long term.
@CB_4216
@CB_4216 Год назад
Sold my QYLD early this year. I was still hanging onto my RYLD but I sold the remaining 1200 shares I had last week and bought JEPQ.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
This I can honestly get behind. If I wasn’t stubborn on trying “ not to time the market” I would do this with my shares of QYLD also. But idk. I invested in it and still feel like it has a small part of my portfolio in terms of diversification so I’ll see what happens. I am building the JEPQ though as well!
@CB_4216
@CB_4216 Год назад
@@MMuniz I hate selling at a big loss but no regrets. Yes everything is still dropping but I am much more confident that the JEP's will recover much better than the YLD's
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
@@CB_4216 I am in agreement here. Hopefully your play works out!
@imamyt1
@imamyt1 Год назад
You are in my opinion too young to be in QYLD.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Everyone’s got an opinion, nothing wrong with that! Thanks for commenting
@JOHNHSMITH2
@JOHNHSMITH2 Год назад
I Sold QYLD for JEPQ a month or so ago at a loss ( obviosly) ..I think qyld will go lower imo.
@MMuniz
@MMuniz Год назад
Most people are on the JEPQ fan train, including me as well!
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