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Jonathan Blow talks about taxation 

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Jonathan Blow reacts to president Biden's proposed 44.6% capital gains tax. Biden also proposed a tax on unrealized gains for high-net-worth individuals, which Blow opposes. Later in the video, Blow shows how tax revenues have remained at about the same percentage (19.5%) of GDP regardless of the tax rates in postwar America. This observation is known as Hauser's law.

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1 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 129   
@BlowFan
@BlowFan 5 месяцев назад
The observation that tax revenues since WW2 have always been about 19,5% of GDP regardless of tax rates is called Hauser's law.
@monad_tcp
@monad_tcp 5 месяцев назад
it makes me so mad, raising taxes that way is basically how you become a banana republic. People that have money just pull out of the country entirely and move their riches elsewhere, then your GDP starts falling because production capital is gone. socialists are so stupid.
@CHURCHISAWESUM
@CHURCHISAWESUM 3 месяца назад
You could also call it the “I don’t care who the IRS sends, I am not paying taxes” effect
@colinclean
@colinclean 3 месяца назад
@@CHURCHISAWESUM The other cause could possibly be that higher taxes simply lower the GDP or push people into lower margin industries that get taxed less anyway.
@Ed-eg5jz
@Ed-eg5jz 5 месяцев назад
AFUERA!
@pulsarglider
@pulsarglider 5 месяцев назад
"Team afuera" lol
@6IGNITION9
@6IGNITION9 2 месяца назад
"Maybe they can tax me on the game design I _should_ have made"... LOL
@ThePurpleSnork
@ThePurpleSnork 5 месяцев назад
Prior to the tax changes in the 80s (and the elimination of those super high rate brackets) there were TONS of ways to avoid tax. You could write off credit card interest. You could write off passive losses in real estate against active income. You could stuff a lot more money into qualified plans and life insurance policies. There were tons of loopholes, and the elimination of those high brackets coincided with the elimination of the "best" ones. Not agreeing or disagreeing with anyone, just making sure people are aware.
@TorMatthews
@TorMatthews 3 месяца назад
Capital gains tax is good if coupled with low income tax. It's never been easier to be a billionaire and harder to be a millionaire. Shift existing taxes into the capital gains tax. Problem is that the super rich pay far less tax than the poor.
@wisnoskij
@wisnoskij 5 месяцев назад
Blow is talking like Tax income has anything to do with the federal budget. The budget is paid by printing money and debt.
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
Technically it's paid by loaning currency into existence. The US is a unique case, being the holder of the global reserve currency though. Most countries inflate themselves into economic basketcases in a matter of years by doing this, while the reserve currency holder is essentially at the head of a global confidence game and everyone's in on it, so they can get away with debasing their currency for generations, sometimes centuries. So long as enough demand for the currency is structured into the financial system. The debt isn't "real" either, the lack of any hard commodity link means it can be created by any bank issuing a loan. All that matters is whether other banks & central banks recognize the validity of the loan and consider the bank sufficiently capitalized for the amount of debt it has issued. It's just numbers in a ledger, there's no transfers of anything tangible or scarce.
@hifumibestgirl
@hifumibestgirl 5 месяцев назад
Which is why I think taxation is punitive in many cases
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
@@hifumibestgirl They aren't shy to admit much of it is just behavioral control and "soft banning". Often a way to circumvent explicit protections in the Constitution or prior case law which hinder outright bans.
@poru208
@poru208 5 месяцев назад
The recession in 1982 was due to the Fed Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker having to raise the Fed Funds Rate to a peak of 20% in June 1981 in order to break the back of inflation that raged since the 1970's. Financing became very difficult for businesses and slowed the economy which led to the quick but nasty recession of 1982, but the end of high inflation and it kicked off a 40+ year bull market in bonds and the stock market.
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
At 100% tax there is no economy. Everyone evades, emigrates, or stops working. At 0% tax there is no government, except for donation-based or natural resource sale-based government. The Laffer curve is the name given to this economic relationship.
@swaggitypigfig8413
@swaggitypigfig8413 5 месяцев назад
TIL. Thanks
@tannerted
@tannerted 5 месяцев назад
Depends on what you mean by "0% tax." The United States lasted nearly 100 years with no income tax. During the Civil War, the first income tax was imposed temporarily to help pay for the war. It was done away with until 20-30 years later when it was reinstitute sometime in the 1890s. Of course, no income tax didn't mean that the people weren't taxed at all.
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
@@tannerted Yes, there were many other types of taxes then. Mostly import/export tariffs.
@youtubeenjoyer1743
@youtubeenjoyer1743 5 месяцев назад
Governments can have their own businesses. Taxation is not a hard requirement.
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
@@youtubeenjoyer1743 Sort of. Government can have businesses that compete in global markets, but they're virtually always de facto monopolies in their local market due to granting itself extralegal privileges. They tend to stagnate & require awkward, highly artificial incentivization schemes to promote innovation... which tends to either fail due to too few bonuses or braindrain their country into the govt zaibatsus, making them economically brittle and far more vulnerable to political whims due to lack of separation between private & public. Govt businesses tend to stunt the growth of their nation's economy. It's like having a cheater in the market, competing to snatch up valuable labor resources. Saudi is a quintessential example of this stagnation effect, which is why they're desperately trying to jump start other industries through artificial injections of cash from oil sales.
@KCFOSF
@KCFOSF 5 месяцев назад
isn't gdp a fantasy stat? Sell myself a dollar a million times raise gdp a million dollars?
@1schwererziehbar1
@1schwererziehbar1 5 месяцев назад
Yes, though you are unlikely to do that if you have to pay taxes on each sale. But GDP is an easily manipulatable measurement, and it was originally meant to exclude government and military spending, but that's included now. The Soviets measured their economy in tons of steel produced, appartments built, oil refined, and such metrics. This was more exact, but also more complex to analyse.
@Feral_Pug_Codes
@Feral_Pug_Codes 4 месяца назад
Also GDP includes money made in the stock market, which it didn't used to, which isn't production at all, just pure speculation
@adammontgomery7980
@adammontgomery7980 3 месяца назад
​@@Feral_Pug_Codesit's capital gains
@lukasschmidt2478
@lukasschmidt2478 3 месяца назад
No, it's a measure of how dependent the subject citizens are on central state fiat currency to maintain trade and their livelihood, if you live in an amish community for example and partake in trade not through fiat currency but arbitrated by your bishop you are making the GDP lesser by being less dependent on fiat, increasing your ability to survive in the absence of the central state, which makes you more likely to succeed in a scenario of insurrection, which the state wants to deter.
@GeekProdigyGuy
@GeekProdigyGuy 2 месяца назад
​@@Feral_Pug_Codes that's literally false lol
@supernewuser
@supernewuser 24 дня назад
that's the average federal receipts but it doesn't show the makeup of who paid what % of taxes during those periods
@Kknewkles
@Kknewkles 5 месяцев назад
Ring? 👀
@MrMurica
@MrMurica 4 месяца назад
>Tax increase that only applies to people who make over half a million dollars in taxable income >tax on unrealized gains only applies to people with a net worth over 100 million Cry me a river
@klnmn3722
@klnmn3722 5 месяцев назад
Anyone know the what the lamp he has in the back is? random but always loved it.
@xbmv4n1t4s
@xbmv4n1t4s 5 месяцев назад
It's a turkish lamp.
@jacobmarcschafer1720
@jacobmarcschafer1720 5 месяцев назад
Haha, me too! I've tried a bunch of times to find it! I'm pretty sure he even said one time where he got it, but I can't remember what stream it was, so I'm out of luck.
@More_Row
@More_Row 5 месяцев назад
He told me once but I immediately forgot the name
@Almonolis
@Almonolis 5 месяцев назад
Ottoman/Turkish mosaic desk lamp, I reckon.
@klnmn3722
@klnmn3722 4 месяца назад
Thanks all!
@ArthurSchoppenweghauer
@ArthurSchoppenweghauer 5 месяцев назад
Recessions coincide with govt Budget surpluses, which go up when the govt Takes in more than it spends though taxes. If you want to avoid a recession, run a Budget deficit, which the US basically Always does
@h0gheadS
@h0gheadS 5 месяцев назад
Economic downturns happen every 5-10 years without fail. It doesn't matter what the policy is.
@JoaoBatista-yq4ml
@JoaoBatista-yq4ml 4 месяца назад
Budget deficit also coincides with inflation, so doing it to prevent recession just substitutes it for another problem. This is what happened to Argentina.
@maxclark5496
@maxclark5496 5 месяцев назад
Abolishing income tax and implementing a land value tax would increase gdp by disincentivizing the land speculation and waste of good land and denying people their just wages!
@MetroAndroid
@MetroAndroid 5 месяцев назад
Or maybe it would make your rent a few hundred dollars higher and make it even more impossible for young people to own a house. Part of why rent is so high is because of how expensive it is just to own a home.
@maxclark5496
@maxclark5496 5 месяцев назад
@@MetroAndroid most economists agree a land value tax cannot be passed onto renters, bc the supply of land is ineleastic.
@maxclark5496
@maxclark5496 5 месяцев назад
@@MetroAndroid an LVT, along with upzoning, would result in massively more housing being provided. renters and new buyers would also massively benefit. the LVT would prevent the new developers/landlords from becoming slumlords and siphoning away the wealth of renters.
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
​@@MetroAndroid Maybe, but most of the working poor and middle class would be way ahead when they're not losing 20-30% of their base income off the rip. Rent generally accounts for 25-35% of costs for the avg person. LVT would also decrease the value of land across the board by making it a tax disadvantaged investment/speculation medium. Initial price of most real estate would fall, likely significantly. Likely it would work out to a similar monthly cost for anyone with a mortgage, but anyone who owns property outright would face higher ongoing maintenance costs. Trading income tax for LVT would likely present as a wealth transfer from landowners to working class, from older generations to younger generations, and from corporations to individuals. There are a mix of pros and cons to LVT. Income tax is basically all negative, discourages people from working while LVT discourages using real estate as an investment and should mildly increase demand for housing due to increased working class income. LVT is also weird because the "value" of something can only be determined in a market and land is not fungible & is not sold very often, so LVT, like property tax, is largely arbitrary and arguable... though it can be very roughly estimated by sales of nearby land with similar attributes.
@ChipChapChop
@ChipChapChop 5 месяцев назад
🔰👀 this one sees the cat!
@adammontgomery7980
@adammontgomery7980 3 месяца назад
Capital gains taxes stifle investment. Taxes on the unrealized gains will stop investment in its tracks. Owning a home would be a liability at that point.
@CaptTerrific
@CaptTerrific 2 месяца назад
That isn't reflected in reality, at least in such a simple and direct way. When capital gains tax was lowered to 15% investment did not increase, because those with the excess capital to invest were already investing it anyway. People don't keep their excess cash under a mattress with zero appreciation just because they'd otherwise have to pay out a portion of their appreciation - so until the tax is high enough to make risk adjusted returns lower than a bank deposit, they tend to keep investing (and if banks had that much more spare cash under management, borrowing costs would decrease, lowering the cost of borrowed capital in turn). While the lower tax appears to lower the cost of capital, given a world where excess capital is finite, the overall supply of cash for investment remains the same. Thus the only real effect is that more investment funds go to the government upon sale instead of becoming available for reinvestment - this is the only area where investment is "stifled," but tuning the balance between further capital investment vs. redistributed liquid cash supply for spending is a different matter of economic policy. As far as home ownership, tax law is extremely generous for primary residences, and defers capital gains recognition almost indefinitely - if you don't sell it, there are no realized gains, and if you do sell it, you can generally defer the gains (simply keeping the same cost basis as the first home) so long as you use the proceeds to buy another primary residence. The proposed unrealized capital gains tax would only apply to those with net assets over $100M - in other words, a wealth tax for the upper echelon. While I haven't actually seen the data, I'd bet BIG money that all such people already own their home ;) There are myriad arguments for and against such a wealth tax, but stifling investment and home ownership are not really among them... unless you know people who have decided not to start a world-changing business because they'd only make $1B instead of $10B :D.
@alphaclam
@alphaclam 2 месяца назад
​@@CaptTerrificthe flaw in your argument is that wealthy people don't have to pay taxes on unrealized capital gains when they can just move to another country that will not tax them on unrealized capital gains. Your final premise is therefore a false one. There is plenty of historical evidence to suggest that people often choose to flee to tax havens instead of losing 90% of their wealth, as you suggested. Yes, I do think people will do that for $10 billion.
@CaptTerrific
@CaptTerrific 2 месяца назад
@@alphaclam this falls under the "myriad arguments against" that I referred to - it doesn't refute my argument, because I was only speaking to investment effects
@alphaclam
@alphaclam 2 месяца назад
@@CaptTerrific This does "stifle investment." That's why your argument doesn't make sense.
@CaptTerrific
@CaptTerrific 2 месяца назад
@@alphaclam I'd imagine they can invest just as easily while living abroad with their money in grand cayman... but I've been known to miss things :) What issue did you see?
@AshnSilvercorp
@AshnSilvercorp 5 месяцев назад
"tax" is in the title so of course I'm suddenly getting a ton of news organizations to watch instead of actual related videos... Thanks RU-vid, I feel safe...
@trias418
@trias418 5 месяцев назад
And from the point of view of a resident of the country, it's not gdp that matters, its gdp/capita. So 'raising' the gdp isn't even a great measure - if it raised in proportion to a population increase, yes the govt is getting bigger, but nothing is getting better, (and in reality, things are actually getting worse, because the bigger the gov't is, the worse it generally is)
@kecksohn
@kecksohn 4 месяца назад
and likewise - the smaller the gov't is the better. That's why I moved to Somalia!
@defos8692c
@defos8692c 4 месяца назад
@@kecksohnsmall govt better? , wasn't half of Somalia's population at risk of starvation last year? no one argues that biggest govt is good everyone agrees its bad but it's next level stupid to believe smallest govt is best when we live in a modern world with modern infrastructure and modern threats to our continued thriving or surviving.
@kecksohn
@kecksohn 4 месяца назад
@@defos8692c I was mocking the op
@edvink8766
@edvink8766 Месяц назад
gdp/capita does fuck all to an individual resident on its own. It's practically useless in that sense unless accounting for several other factors such as inflation, wealth distribution curve, social services provided by the government, etc.
@PhyloGenesis
@PhyloGenesis 5 месяцев назад
Team afuera!
@albertoarmando6711
@albertoarmando6711 4 месяца назад
I'm from argentina, it is not that easy. It involves a lot of sacrifice.
@SimGunther
@SimGunther 4 месяца назад
0:10 It wouldn't affect companies, who would get almost all their revenue from selling goods and services. But this theoretical tax would affect the highest of earners getting gains through stocks and long term investments. Remember folks, market is NOT the economy, so they both don't know what they're talking about.
@argylemanni280
@argylemanni280 5 месяцев назад
They. Them.
@hyperTorless
@hyperTorless 5 месяцев назад
The afuerist in me is growing by the day...
@TomNook.
@TomNook. 2 месяца назад
0:35 HOW DID HE KNOW
@edgepixel8467
@edgepixel8467 Месяц назад
Smart people can see patterns
@georged8644
@georged8644 5 месяцев назад
He has proposed no such tax. He proposed making the capital gains tax equal to the income tax to prevent situations such as Warren Buffett paying less tax than his secretary.
@More_Row
@More_Row 5 месяцев назад
He hates you stop coping
@SolarPlayer
@SolarPlayer 5 месяцев назад
You are probably getting duped by political misinformation. Buffet pays many orders of magnitude more taxes than his secretary. You are talking specifically about 1 flavor of the many many tax flavors, the tax on your salary. Since Buffett pays his secretary a much higher salary than himself (with the company he built from nothing over his entire life), she has to pay a higher "salary tax", that is the kernel of truth that sustains the meme
@georged8644
@georged8644 5 месяцев назад
@@SolarPlayer The anecdote comes from Warren Buffett himself, so apparently he believes it.
@yunggolem4687
@yunggolem4687 5 месяцев назад
@@georged8644 Buffett was talking specifically about income tax, not all taxes across all of his holdings. Even if all of his investments were long term capital gains, taxed at 15% of gain, he would still pay orders of magnitude more tax than a salaried secretary who makes perhaps 100-200k/year if she's very well paid. His point is that income tax is regressive, discourages people from working and punishes the working class, not that capital gains should be increased. Investment is a type of work though, allocating capital to the most valuable locations is the biggest multiplier on the productivity of a basically healthy economy. Getting capital to intelligent entrepreneurs with businesses that build value by improving quality of life is fundamentally an incredible good and the means by which advancement occurs, but there are many failures of human nature that introduce friction and misguidance to this process... manifesting as myopic government interference and predatory behavior by some groups.
@SolarPlayer
@SolarPlayer 5 месяцев назад
​@@georged8644 Yes, he believes what I just explained, I'm aware. And then a trillion political propaganda outlets quote him and present it as if he pays less total taxes than his secretary which is blatantly false and that is almost certainly where you heard it. You would probably agree with me instantly if I was pointing out blatant misinformation on the other side of the political aisle btw, just try to be critical of your own tribe as well
@aslkdjfzxcv9779
@aslkdjfzxcv9779 5 месяцев назад
quit being in a "country" or "society" with people who oppose you.
@lucy-pero
@lucy-pero 5 месяцев назад
what..what are u gonna do, move to mars?
@aslkdjfzxcv9779
@aslkdjfzxcv9779 5 месяцев назад
@@lucy-pero yup, that's the only alternative. derp.
@lucy-pero
@lucy-pero 5 месяцев назад
@@aslkdjfzxcv9779 yeah.. it kinda is.
@ivanbraidi
@ivanbraidi 5 месяцев назад
In a sane world, correctly managed, there would be a single tax of 10% on what you make automatically taken on every transaction, no property taxes, no other legalized theft, no need to file tax declaration and other useless beureaucracy like that.
@PetWanties
@PetWanties 2 месяца назад
Do you need taxation if your government can just print money it needs?
@aunabbas8582
@aunabbas8582 Месяц назад
Printing more money will decrease the value of your currency and it may lead situation to hyper inflation 😂
@PetWanties
@PetWanties Месяц назад
@@aunabbas8582 you realize they are doing both at the same time right now, right?
@kecksohn
@kecksohn 5 месяцев назад
"we should improve society somewhat" - "look at this graph that's all you need to know"
@La0bouchere
@La0bouchere 4 месяца назад
If you judge tax policy on whether it's intended to improve society instead of on how it actually affects reality, you shouldn't be qualified to vote.
@slynt_
@slynt_ Месяц назад
You are not very intelligent if that's all you gleaned from this
@whatever6223
@whatever6223 5 месяцев назад
The guy doesn't know what he's talking about
@curtis6919
@curtis6919 5 месяцев назад
bot
@ramireini
@ramireini 5 месяцев назад
That's not an argument, bring something to the table.
@More_Row
@More_Row 5 месяцев назад
The question is, do you know anything about it.
@Thejamespeace
@Thejamespeace 5 месяцев назад
Clearly
@ivanbraidi
@ivanbraidi 5 месяцев назад
Here it is the Dunning-Kruger.
@geoffnaylor3734
@geoffnaylor3734 5 месяцев назад
Replacing all taxes with Land value tax would fix this
@josevargas686
@josevargas686 5 месяцев назад
What you smoking brah? This is the dumbest take I have ever seen. You are saying people who are living a self-sufficient life shouldn't be allowed land, while corporations levying a profit should be able to hoard all the land. Wicked.
@ChipChapChop
@ChipChapChop 5 месяцев назад
Single Tax (Land Value Tax) solves this. But, it would destroy the capitalist's stranglehold on the productivity of the "working class" and no politician actually wants that. Well, except for Mayor Mike Duggan from Detroit.
@David_Box
@David_Box 5 месяцев назад
That'll only make the problem worse, huge corporations can afford basically any land tax you throw at them, it's the independent homeowners and small businesses owners that this will really hurt, eventually just making them sell their land (or not be able to afford it, if owning land is no longer a thing under a new system) to larger and larger conglomerates.
@josevargas686
@josevargas686 5 месяцев назад
this is like saying that indigenous self sufficient tribes shouldn't exist. Your mindset is insane.
@josevargas686
@josevargas686 5 месяцев назад
nice try WEF
@MrFram
@MrFram 5 месяцев назад
@@David_Box just make the tax progressive, problem solved
@David_Box
@David_Box 5 месяцев назад
@@MrFram like with basically any progressive tax rate, that changes very little. Regardless of what the tax rate is, within reasonable bounds the same amount usually ends up being paid, as per the graph shown. The cost is passed down to anyone else interacting with those taxed more in an economy and eventually homogenised.
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