polls are often less than 1000 people. There are almost 13 million people in Pennsylvania. I do not know how they come up with their margin for error, but it should really be plus or minus 99 percent.
3 дня назад
@@wmvano he said, not knowing anything about scientific polling
They poll 70 Democrats, 20 Republicans, and 10 Independents, and Kalama wins every time. Isn't that something? The people taking the polls are so honest.
@@randyjordan5521 if he’s a free market capitalist, does that mean he’s for price gouging? 🤔🤔🤔 If that is so then why are you blaming President Biden for high prices? Aren’t they allowed to be free in what they charge for products and services? Aren’t they capitalizing on their freedom to price gouge? Don’t blame inflated prices on a President who is allowing free market capitalism and claim your candidate is going to do the same and yet bring down prices. 🤦♀️ President Biden doesn’t try to infringe in their free enterprise but he does try to end price gouging, something TRumpf does himself like when he charged our country for his golf trips to his own resorts, triple charged our country for his own secret service when they stayed at his resorts to protect HIM. If course he’s a free market capitalist, that’s how the 6 time bankrupt 💩 got his money.
@@cheriederden7519 bullshit. It was important originally. Now it and the senate are DEI for states with more deer than people. The electoral college has no benefit in a modern world.
@@cheriederden7519 Do your history- The electoral college is a leftover from the slave holding south. It was a way of accounting for slave population (3/5 human) and their voting owners.
it's user created maps and polls pandering to whatever side's supporters..... the top 13 national polls have Harris about 3-5 points ahead.... but youtube users are all over the place, which means, dont take them more with a grain of salt
Nobody is up. It's a slug fest and all of us slugs need to get out and vote. Harris slugs. Trump slugs. Even third party slugs. Cast your miniscule seed into the wind and let it join the storm.
I have come to the conclusion that the only reason Trump is doing this well in the polls still is immigration. Kamala needs to talk more about immigration, how it’s good for the country but needs to be controlled and how she would control it - or is controlling it. Like America Australia is a country of immigrants. But when immigration is uncontrolled people get scared and turn to the right of politics. So long as people know that the government is in control of it, they are happy. Fareed Zakaria made the point this week that the far right is making gains in Europe and it’s because of immigration. And that even if Trump loses this election the immigration issue won’t go away in America. It’s a choice between handing the country to the far right or making people comfortable with immigration and having normalcy in politics. Just calling people racist won’t cut it. Hillary learnt that lesson.
@@RaginCajun8383inflation has come down to 2.9%. They had to spend to get through Covid recovery and get the economy moving again. Now they are back on track.
At this time in 2020 Biden was leading Trump in all the battleground states by 4 to 6 points and 9 points in the National polls and barely won the 'electoral college' in the end. Which means, Trump was underestimated in the polls. For Kamala to win the election, she has to be at the minimum 6 points ahead of Trump in the National polls which she's not and leading him in the battleground states which she's not either the .5, 1 point she's leading him is in the margin of error. I believe Trump is way ahead than what the polls show. No, i'm no MAGA but a realist.😉
The underestimation of MAGA voters is a reality. It is due because the vast majority of those voters are from remote rural areas and it's hard to reach them. At least the first 25 biggest cities in America are solid blue. Even in red states. See Houston, Dallas and Miami. Polls are usually done in cities were it's easier to reach people and that's more problematic when it's time to come up with consistent values. According to the pollsters adjustments have been made to target those accuracy issues but let's keep in mind that in the latest elections Arizona and Georgia were leaning red. It's not solid science at all.
True, also the 2020 polls didn´t capture Georgia´s shifting to blue side, every poll Trump was winning and then, republicans lose the State for Senate and White House.
Enthusiasm for Trump in Michigan is way down. The fringe cult members are not going to turn out. Meanwhile the abortion issue is driving young women toward Harris.
@@mershgang7349You mean to Trump. Swift has almost 300 million followers, no? If Trumpsters can be influenced in believing in people kidnapping and eating pets, I am sure Swift can bring a few votes Harris’ way.
Betting odds are dominated by bitcoin bros who think they are betting logically but its an oversampling of men doing the betting which Trump has an advantage with but women are the majority in the electorate so i dont trust the betting
Every poll says that the people overwhelmingly feel that the economy is the most important issue. Every poll also says that the people overwhelmingly trust Trump to handle the economy over Harris. And then every poll also says that Harris and Trump are neck and neck. This defies logic. Something doesn’t add up here???
@@donnybrooks71 Every serious economist says presidents don't "handle" the economy. Fiscal policy depends on the President and Congress agreeing on something. That covers spending and taxation. Monetary policy is decided by the Fed, whose governors serve 14-year terms and are independent from the wishes of the White House. The media and the candidates perpetuate the myth that we can vote on the economy and get a President who will fix or crash the economy. Might as well vote for a politician who promises better weather.
@@donnybrooks71 Well a women’s right to choose is the #1 issue for me, not the economy. We have the best economy in the world. These prices is from Covid.
It is beyond me to understand that anybody would vote for a hate spitting monster. That is impossible with a sane emotional setup. A healthy intellect would forbid it anyway.
When Trump said he was doing away with tax on tips Kamala said she was doing away with tax on tips. Let's see if she follows Trump again and says she will do away with tax on over time. The woman has never had an original thought in her life.
Thank you everyone for being with her, because she is the best and the greatest person for our American Country. Goddess and Gods blessings everyone for being with her. Thank you, thank you.
“Madam PRESIDENT HARRIS” It is time! and the fact that she is the most qualified person ever! … YES, By the people and for the people💙🇺🇸💙 🫶🏼🗳️🫶🏼 💙🙏🏼💙 WE LOVE YOU TAYLOR AND BEYONCÉ!
Pennsylvania is so important, some analysts say that if Trump wins it, he has a 94% chance of winning. Pennsylvania IS NOT like it was in 2020. Biden barely won there and for now I would not call Pennsylvania for Harris but for Trump. We need all the voters in Pennsylvania to get out and vote.
yes but if we go by 2022 senate elections and polls, they are so close its not safe for her. Why do you think harris is campaigning in Pennsylvania currently? they know they can make much more inroads here than in GA or NV where the senate races where so close by a slim margin. Nevada's senator won by 2k votes.
I'm telling you kamala Harris is Gonna win kamala Harris for President of the United States of America ok I'm voting for kamala Harris in November 5th and I'm Puerto Rican to all Puerto Rican People vote for kamala Harris She's the one ok 💥🔥💯👍✌👏💪👋🇵🇷🇵🇷🇵🇷🇵🇷🇵🇷🇵🇷
Maine’s second congressional district has Kamala up by 5 points and that has been consistent over the last 2 months. While it is just one electoral vote, I think it should at least be considered a lean Democrat.