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Michael Shermer on Cognitive Biases & How Thinking Goes Wrong (and Right!) 

Skeptic
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Dr. Michael Shermer reviews the many ways that our attempts to understand the truth about the world are derailed by cognitive biases, including the anchoring bias, the representative bias, the availability bias, the confirmation bias, the hindsight bias, the self-serving bias, and even the bias bias.
This lecture is part of a course that Dr. Shermer teaches at Chapman University called Skepticism 101: How to Think Like a Scientist which covers a wide range of topics, from critical thinking, reasoning, rationality, cognitive biases and how thinking goes wrong, and the scientific methods, to actual claims and whether or not there is any truth to them, e.g., ESP, ETIs, UFOs, astrology, channelling, psychics, creationism, Holocaust denial, and especially conspiracy theories and how to think about them.
ORDER BOOKS MENTIONED IN THIS LECTURE
Why People Believe Weird Things
shop.skeptic.com/why-people-b...
The Believing Brain
shop.skeptic.com/believing-br...
Skeptic Magazine Vol. 24 No. 3 - Steven Pinker on Post-truth & Reason
shop.skeptic.com/skeptic-maga...
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28 мар 2020

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Комментарии : 42   
@padraigadhastair4783
@padraigadhastair4783 4 года назад
Great tool set on fighting cognitive dissonance.
@marianaldenhoevel7240
@marianaldenhoevel7240 3 года назад
On online-lectures being "not as good as being in the classroom": I get that. But that way us unwashed get a chance to listen as well. Which I love. Thank you Covid and Michael!
@milar6151
@milar6151 3 года назад
🤣🤣🤣
@vitostan3134
@vitostan3134 3 года назад
I can't believe I just found this. This will help me with my apple basket. Sooo many people need to watch these lectures.
@nomadronnie6395
@nomadronnie6395 Месяц назад
Can u recommend more valuable lecture ? not just lecture like teaching sake of telling something
@stephenjones796
@stephenjones796 4 года назад
Thank you Dr. Shermer
@derekmaggard9235
@derekmaggard9235 4 года назад
This came at a good time. I've been acutley aware recently how reading an article regarding COVID-19 that I happen to disagree with still has an influential effect on my thoughts.
@txdmsk
@txdmsk 4 года назад
Great lecture. I wasted a year of my life in university, aiming to become a teacher. I had lessons in mind similar to this one.
@Ometecuhtli
@Ometecuhtli 4 года назад
On the supposedly cursed film "the exorcist" I remember Max Von Sydow calmly explaining that it was the director's job to make it seem more plausible that a demonic presence/force could be found in his work. He dismissed the claim but others were more susceptible to Friedkin's suggestive approach, there's a social reward when agreeing with your boss after all, people who have participated in such projects have received death threats from religious zealots adding to their already stressful work which might cause someone who already has a heart condition to collapse suddenly. For many years there was a Simpsons' curse related to the deaths of some people who made guest appearances in the show, but once they started embracing pop culture and more mainstream stars who happened to be younger the curse lifted. Or maybe it had to do with the quality of the plot, as soon as it began its decline (the) Death probably lost interest and like most fans from the start redirected its attention to other shows. I think the gorilla experiment is flawed in that it's easy to lose count if one pays attention to it, so one would be failing to do the task properly while there is no real danger in a guy wearing an ape suit. There'd be a delay in the response from someone who is asked to do some work compared to one who is just watching, but if a real gorilla were to walk suddenly (a real threat to the players) everyone would notice. As a younger person one gets more easily distracted and when we did that experiment it was with playing cards, I think the task was to count how many red ones there were and they showed for a very short time a black diamond king or something like that, then asked if we noticed the invalid card. I did, actually, but then again as one gets older things are done more automatically, one needs to filter noise out so things that are uncommon but harmless to the task at hand are ignored.
@dlon8899
@dlon8899 4 года назад
I'm in the comment thread of knowledgeable people. Thanks for sharing
@davidanderson9664
@davidanderson9664 4 года назад
Thanks Prof Shermer, great video! D.A., J.D., NYC
@rpeck2832
@rpeck2832 4 года назад
Great video. Keep doing what your doing.
@aresmars2003
@aresmars2003 4 года назад
To me "certainty" is the enemy. If you're not sure, don't say you're sure!
@rebeccahudson9138
@rebeccahudson9138 4 года назад
The book Stumbling on Happiness by Daniel Gilbert talks about our natural way of making all things we have done in life a positive. Even people who have been left at the alter in marriage... it becomes the best thing that could have ever happened. Or someone who was in an accident and they have become paraplegic... it is a blessing and was the best thing that could have happened. Check it out. I found it fascinating how our brains make the worst things that have happened to us into some great and wonderful life altering event. Thank you for this message. I like that you say that it's not because we are dumb or gullible that we fall for these tricks, but that it's because we are wired for more natural events and not these falsified interactions.
@200tdi1
@200tdi1 2 года назад
Thinking with discernment for people challenged by thinking. Obviously probability decreases as criteria become more specific. If that isn't a given, one isn't thinking their way through a wet kleenex. Despite what what one thinks, biased or no, of the case around the 9/11 situation, to say that 2 seemingly independent events, planes and controlled demolition "cannot possibly be" causally related is absolutely absurd. I'm inclined to think this guy has never made a sandwich with more than bread on it. It does require a bit of planning, but with training one can attain the skills to formulate a multi layered and tasteful little meal with as many ingredients as space, time and creativity allow. It's knowing the high art, and sometimes science of orchestration. I've made many a great sandwich this way and with the skills learned I could probably push a detonate button at the same time I saw a plane impact a building! Magic, I know...I'm THAT good.
@bruceevans9472
@bruceevans9472 4 года назад
What platform was used to make this presentation?
@darren.davies3957
@darren.davies3957 4 года назад
I can make money out of backing horses(bookmakers will not accept bets of me) while people far smarter than me lose and this is insightful into their failures(among other factors), have a great day!!!!
@Intensecure
@Intensecure 4 года назад
Give me tips!
@darren.davies3957
@darren.davies3957 4 года назад
Intense Cure ,I would help anyone take money out of those nefarious bookmakers satchels my friend!!!! no racing though (I am in England) because of this covid19 nonsense!! It is sad people are dying but they do ( more than likely same mortality rate as flu, and 2/3 of the people dying would of died anyway.) Pointers to backing horses and always being profitable is time consuming but not quantum physics. Specialise in one area, IE Handicaps of a certain nature. All you have to do is back the overpriced horses,you deconstruct a race by finding out which horses cannot win the race not who is going to win the race!!!1st:- ground conditions(ignore all other form bar prevailing conditions, some cannot show their best on soft or some on good/firm) 2nd:- Distance (it seems obvious but people get suckered in by a fast finisher going up in distance, but that is nonsense because all the other horses are probably stopping as the last furlong is always the slowest sectional time). 3rd. Don't believe what you see until the form is backed up.( it could look good but be beating up trees) 4. Have they the ability to win the race?? Some are just too heavily handicapped and can not. Some races a field of 20 runners you can confidently get it down to 4 horses, and I would back all 4 if the prices were right to make a good profit. Obviously there are many random variables, track, trainer form, jockey bookings, antecedents of the same race etc, etc. But if you take time you will always make money, you just have to go through friends and family to get bets on after the bookmakers decline your wagers DOH!!!!!!
@13satyakamsharma
@13satyakamsharma 4 года назад
Like only if you watched the whole Lecture.
@VKP604
@VKP604 4 года назад
did it on 1.5x speed.
@dlon8899
@dlon8899 4 года назад
Watching it again
@davidwilkie9551
@davidwilkie9551 4 года назад
Motivated Reasoning:- (to be precise), if the Human context of alignment with a coherent cohesion objectives in pulsed resonances of e-Pi-i interference positioning.., is applied to the meaning of Temporal Superposition-point Singularity Holography, then re-cognition of the philosophical statement of fact, ..that in some degree of density and intensity of QM-TIMESPACE In-form-ation "oneness" formulae, "it's always now forever" = WYSIWYG @.dt.., and there's a competitive debate equivalent to the comparison of methodology and probability applied to Disproof. Ie cognitive bias is typical, that's what the educational system is intended to produce, and "mathematically" because the zero-infinity difference distribution Interval of something nothing has singularity-perspective, the apparent distance of holographic non-alignment in physical Spacetime, the meaning of corresponding co-existing and cognitive resonance, is dominated by observable, measurable, physical space, difference distribution. (There's the natural expectation of Exclusion Principle and then there's the similar aspect problem of Uncertainty, because Unity-Singularity is the circumstantial conditions for non-existent quantum cloning. Ie the Universe is a single branching Multiverse objective, Eternity-now of time duration timing modulation) In terms of Quantum Chemistry, "we" are all together in the context of Actuality here-now-forever, a single objective organism, of diverse, unique individual branches, ..oneness of continuous creation connection in/of Temporal Principle.., putting it in Holographic Perspective.., which is why Science and Technology are refining of techniques chosen by precedent and empirical policy, more so than direct need.(?)
@Seekthetruth3000
@Seekthetruth3000 4 года назад
If a situation is not important, why pay too much attention?
@stanvero0624
@stanvero0624 4 года назад
Great lecture! The video abruptly ends during the beginning of the 'lip balm' clip. Anyone else have this issue?
@Mithcoriel
@Mithcoriel 4 года назад
Same for me. It cuts off.
@peNdantry
@peNdantry 3 года назад
Me too. A bit odd, but the whole video was subject to technical glitches :)
@timsmith3921
@timsmith3921 4 года назад
Three Tim's in fifteen comments, what are the odds? It must be a sign, right? LOL. Thanks for taking the time to do this. Be well.
@donaldsmith3926
@donaldsmith3926 4 года назад
Same birthday in crowd of thirty (?), what're the odds.
@teodelfuego
@teodelfuego 4 года назад
Donald Smith I was aware of the birthday problem and was explaining it to a guy I met at a party. He was skeptical. Turns out, he and I had the same birthday. Of course, that was just a fun coincidence between the two of us, but it freaked him out a little.
@donaldsmith3926
@donaldsmith3926 4 года назад
@@teodelfuego I don't know the math basis of it, but I've been assured it's a real thing. Matter of fact, tomorrow I'll investigate.
@djguydan
@djguydan 3 года назад
Ah guessed 53 countries!
@solarnaut
@solarnaut 4 года назад
39:00 "Signal Detection Problem" … So, do the 50% who "do not see" the gorilla, get a more accurate count (of the number of basketball passes by the white shirts) than the 50% who do see the gorilla ?
@peNdantry
@peNdantry 3 года назад
Interesting question. My gut response would be 'yes', because it's the distraction of attempting to count the passes that makes one blind to the gorilla.
@Kuhmuhnistische_Partei
@Kuhmuhnistische_Partei 4 года назад
"There is no Nobel Prize in psychology but in economics there is" No, that's the "Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel" and not an official Nobel prize: "Peter Nobel (the great-grandnephew of Ludvig Nobel) accuses the awarding institution of misusing his family's name, and states that no member of the Nobel family has ever had the intention of establishing a prize in economics. He explained that 'Nobel despised people who cared more about profits than society's well-being', saying that 'There is nothing to indicate that he would have wanted such a prize' , and that the association with the Nobel prizes is 'a PR coup by economists to improve their reputation'."
@Ometecuhtli
@Ometecuhtli 4 года назад
Quite right, the economics prize is not in Alfred Nobel's will. To all effects and purposes, it is a spurious "Nobel" prize.
@donaldsmith3926
@donaldsmith3926 4 года назад
One of the wildest things I've ever heard was 9/11 morning watching the plane hit the second building on tape, a very young girl can be heard saying: They're doing it on purpose.
@davewalton5007
@davewalton5007 2 года назад
"No evidence that GMOs cause harm." Would you like to debate me in that?
@TheRudySchwartzProject
@TheRudySchwartzProject Год назад
Given the attention span of the human race, you'll need to condense this to around three minutes for it to have any chance of helping. Not that I don't appreciate the effort.
@patrickcompton1483
@patrickcompton1483 4 года назад
The gorilla experiment was a bad one, the gorilla was completely black, and the idea was for the eye to be focused on ignoring the players wearing black. If the gorilla had been brown, or any other color we probably would have noticed it. The distraction effect is very real though, our senses our incredibly limited.
@TERRENCEJJR
@TERRENCEJJR 3 года назад
Would be great if I could hear anything you're saying, what a shame.
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