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Dittos are not  

turndownforULT
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It’s a warm and sunny Saturday morning over in San Antonio, Texas, and Lost Tech City and its 400 players from all over the United States are about to bear witness to one of the rarest phenomena in Smash.
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11 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 346   
@yan_dj
@yan_dj Месяц назад
As a Puff main the Puff matchup is 60-40 in the opponent's favor
@turndownforULT
@turndownforULT Месяц назад
Thank you for supporting our claims with facts and science
@St0rmaL
@St0rmaL Месяц назад
This is fact
@joy_124
@joy_124 Месяц назад
That means that for the opponent you are winning.
@germangonzalez4347
@germangonzalez4347 Месяц назад
Same with melee peach! The opponent's dsmash is so broken 😖
@samuelbrown1283
@samuelbrown1283 Месяц назад
Why?
@vision4860
@vision4860 Месяц назад
In short I think a large part of it is this: Humans have a tendency to assume that other humans think like them. So when playing a ditto that tendency backfires for the more experienced player. They may subconsciously expect the opponent to have the same habits as them, so the differences in playstyle catch them more off-guard. Meanwhile, the less experienced player's mindset is less solidified, so they aren't as restricted mentally as to what they expect.
@qurturt8872
@qurturt8872 20 дней назад
Experienced players have a battle tendency
@dereklouther9372
@dereklouther9372 10 дней назад
You gotta think tho that restriction forces experienced players to go deep in their bag
@HeavyHebi
@HeavyHebi 7 дней назад
@@qurturt8872 Shijima no soko kara
@jayvionburke4929
@jayvionburke4929 3 дня назад
When I play an worst cloud everytime he hits me with a worst option I be stuck in my head like where did he hit me with this option
@blueice7906
@blueice7906 Месяц назад
Don't forget in a cloud ditto, for cloud facing to the left side b hits farther away at the bottom and closer and the top while cloud facing right is inverse meaning a cloud on the right is the opposite meaning you could argue the cloud cloud matchup is in favour to the cloud that is facing right since it anti airs better.
@Banana_D
@Banana_D Месяц назад
LEFT CLOUD BEATS RIGHT CLOUD
@akap
@akap Месяц назад
We know this is irrelevant, right? Like haha funny meme but if we're being serious...
@skyeschlueter9877
@skyeschlueter9877 29 дней назад
​@@akapEh, I dunno... Any advantage is relevant if the matches are close enough.
@cooperm4185
@cooperm4185 27 дней назад
​@@skyeschlueter9877The thing is that it's not actually relevant because it's not a constant. Which Cloud is on the left changes throughout the course of a game, and that advantage changes with it. Sonic beats Ganon because Sonic's ability to get a lead and then run away forever is a constant, it doesn't change throughout a set. Left Cloud vs Right Cloud is more like the PT mirror example; Squirtle vs Squirtle is the same but both players have the ability to switch to Ivysaur and Charizard
@salemmetal6433
@salemmetal6433 27 дней назад
@blueice7906 still an even match up since I doubt the match up ratio would change due to that. Not to mention that who is facing left or right would change throughout the match, it would only matter for round start
@reghretti
@reghretti Месяц назад
If you're the best character rep in town, it's much less likely that you've studied the gameplay of the 2-8 next best reps for your same character than that each of those seven players has studied your gameplan extensively, thus lending them a player knowledge advantage. Surely over the course of a few sets your results would normalize and the better player would start winning outright
@elicenyne
@elicenyne Месяц назад
"The simple part is that they can do everything you can do. The complicated part is that they can do everything you can do."
@RisterMice
@RisterMice Месяц назад
I beat Ploopy in the Game & Watch ditto once. That told me all I needed to know about dittos.
@electricssb
@electricssb Месяц назад
What is a ploopy?
@RiftyLuca
@RiftyLuca Месяц назад
@@electricssbone of the best gnw players in the us
@FlygonFactory
@FlygonFactory Месяц назад
Aren’t you the guy that pops off for DQ wins in brackets
@RiftyLuca
@RiftyLuca Месяц назад
@@FlygonFactory win is a win fr
@nathanmedsker5864
@nathanmedsker5864 Месяц назад
AYO ROGUE RISTERMICE IN THE WILD!!! BIG FAN DUDE!!!!!!
@jerry3115
@jerry3115 Месяц назад
Falcon ditto is 70-30 for whoever is feeling themselves the most at any given moment
@bleachigo990
@bleachigo990 26 дней назад
So 50-50
@jerry3115
@jerry3115 26 дней назад
@@bleachigo990 well yes but actually no
@bleachigo990
@bleachigo990 26 дней назад
@@jerry3115 so actually yes.
@jerry3115
@jerry3115 26 дней назад
@@bleachigo990 no
@bleachigo990
@bleachigo990 26 дней назад
@@jerry3115 that’s what I said…… yes.
@clayton_games
@clayton_games 27 дней назад
As for lack of experience on the "better player's" part, the underdog is probably also studying the better player as they are learning their character to become better.
@emctwoo
@emctwoo Месяц назад
It's funny, coming from an RTS background the idea of mirrors being a stable consistent test of player skill would never have occurred to me. Starcraft 2 mirrors generally have a reputation for being very gamble-y and chaotic, though at the same time some of the best players in the world have set themselves apart by dominating the mirror with insurmountable skill.
@NaturesFlame
@NaturesFlame Месяц назад
I feel that last part is only really true with maybe Terran. The Zerg mirror is so volatile that Raynor picked up off-racing Protoss (a pro playing more than one race is nearly unheard of these days), because he felt like his odds were better playing a weaker race into Zerg, than playing the mirror and leaving too much up to the gamble. Serrel's (top ranked atm) worst matchup by far is other Zerg.
@StateOfTheMind11225
@StateOfTheMind11225 Месяц назад
P
@EinDose
@EinDose Месяц назад
This is something I noticed when playing Guilty Gear Strive. Axl Low is the zoner supreme, he wants to hold people at great range because they typically can't fight as well at it as he does, and he's relatively weaker in close range. But if it's two Axls against each other the victor is usually the one who's playing, by their typical gameplan, the WORSE Axl; the one that's more willing and able to completely forego his zoning tools and just charge in with his close-ranged attacks.
@IAmGun.
@IAmGun. Месяц назад
And then there's Faust.
@vivelespatat2670
@vivelespatat2670 Месяц назад
We fight like men.
@leophyte9663
@leophyte9663 Месяц назад
@@IAmGun. item spam go brrrrrr
@unnamedminus
@unnamedminus Месяц назад
As a millia main, I hate the millia mu
@giant9211
@giant9211 Месяц назад
As an axl main, that’s the most true thing I’ve heard. Axl one of my lowest wr matchups.
@artstrange3230
@artstrange3230 Месяц назад
"We play more than Fox" "... Yet the only Ditto we see is Fox." Is absolutely hilarious to me
@wildmonkeycar
@wildmonkeycar Месяц назад
My second tournament, I ended up in a ditto with one of the best players in my state- Despite my complete lack of experience, I won game 1. I genuinely think it has to do with risk-taking. The more-experienced player will use as few risks as possible, while the player with less experience is far less careful, and thus takes more chances for openings that the better player wouldn't take
@AntiZubat
@AntiZubat Месяц назад
They also know every little thing about their character which isn’t an advantage but a disadvantage because they’ll predict things the other wouldn’t think of
@memenazi7078
@memenazi7078 Месяц назад
The opponent’s skill becomes evident real quick tho, you have to remember how to beat shitters.
@liampbjray5562
@liampbjray5562 Месяц назад
eh. this will affect mid to high level players (for example, as an upper mid level greninja main, i am ASS at the greninja ditto because, for example, i dont expect the worse player to dash attack so much, so i try to play like they AREN'T going to randomly dash attack for no reason in a way thats super punishable), but no top 100 player is ever going to make a hard callout on something without having seen the opponent do it. and, back to my example, tarik might get hit by 1 or 2 surprise dash attacks by a bad greninja, but he's a top player. he's going to actually be able to adapt and change his gameplan to compensate.
@ekSil0
@ekSil0 Месяц назад
​@@memenazi7078I don't think major tournament contenders count as shitters anymore
@thelastnamesake9
@thelastnamesake9 Месяц назад
The hero ditto is ??-?? and favors the faster reader
@greatbrandini3967
@greatbrandini3967 Месяц назад
I think another underlooked aspect of the Hungrybox upset is that Hbox probably has much more experience in the ditto since he primarily plays Melee. Hbox being stronger against characters from the Melee roster makes a lot of sense
@ILiekFishes
@ILiekFishes Месяц назад
I'm upset you brought up the statistics of how matches go in dittos and then didn't compare with the trend in ultimate overall. "The worse player wins 1/3rd of the time on average" is not an outrageous statement unless you can show that it's meaningfully more than it is in non dittos.
@jarineando
@jarineando Месяц назад
"Now that we've stablished the volatility of dittos in ultimate from a statistical perspective." 💀
@cisummusic22
@cisummusic22 Месяц назад
That is literally impossible to quantify. You could compare it to all matches and see how often the underdog wins, but that would be entirely misleading, because the gap between a top character rep and the next best player of that character is wayyy wider than the gap between the better and worse of 2 players meeting in a random top 64
@sirgarde2293
@sirgarde2293 Месяц назад
@@cisummusic22 it also doesn't account for non-perfectly even matchups. The worse player will absolutely win a 60-40 mu in their favor a solid % of the time.
@sephikong8323
@sephikong8323 Месяц назад
Probably because it's a much more volatile metric to compare, since you know, if the better ranked player faces off against a character that has a dominant match-up against his own then it will massively impact the results, I don't think that going "wow, This Min Min player is ranked pretty low but he beat the best DK in the world" is really the surprising The Ditto is more reliable to study for the question of the Match-up alone
@ByrneBaby
@ByrneBaby Месяц назад
I disagree, the point was to highlight whether "worse player wins the ditto" was accurate or not. You only need to look at dittos to determine that.
@SmoothButtr
@SmoothButtr Месяц назад
I think it could be because top players don’t train to play AGAINST their own character.
@jackhumphries1087
@jackhumphries1087 Месяц назад
Yea, since it’s so rare they don’t know the matchup
@mandalorianhunter1
@mandalorianhunter1 Месяц назад
This is definitely it
@memenazi7078
@memenazi7078 Месяц назад
They avoid dittos like the plague, it’s cowardice
@ShermTank7272
@ShermTank7272 Месяц назад
@@memenazi7078"Cowardice"? How? It's an oversight at worst, not "cowardice".
@cosmiccook69
@cosmiccook69 Месяц назад
Probably. It's mostly because since the roster is so vast you never actually account for what you should do if your fighting your own character.
@toast9734
@toast9734 Месяц назад
as a joker player the ditto is unwinnable. -4
@CapnWarpBeard
@CapnWarpBeard 21 день назад
fr
@andrewbank4696
@andrewbank4696 Месяц назад
Walt learning Google Earth editing is something I've been waiting forever for.
@BarderBetterFasterStronger
@BarderBetterFasterStronger Месяц назад
It's just Prezi. There isn't much to learn. You can learn it too in a out 5 minutes if you go to their website. Students have been using it as a PowerPoint alternative for years. But most people stop as almost every Prezi looks exactly the same. It's why you don't see many RU-vidrs use it much. It's incredibly easy to pump out but if everyone just makes Prezi content then everyone's content looks exactly the same.
@the_wake_
@the_wake_ Месяц назад
Wouldn't we want to compare the % of mirror upsets to the % of non-mirror upsets to establish whether this is actually a thing? Or maybe look at other games as comparisons? I know it's more work, but just concluding "The higher seed only wins 2/3 of the time, this must be a phenomenon" seems kind of like statistical smoke and mirrors.
@jarineando
@jarineando Месяц назад
Yea sadly this 100% counts as misinformation. I think the angle of this video should have been "opinion" instead of this 😅
@the_wake_
@the_wake_ Месяц назад
@@jarineando Yeah... I wouldn't go quite as far as "misinformation" but it's certainly misleading and intellectually lazy. Which is par for RU-vid, sure, but I'd hoped for better.
@jarineando
@jarineando Месяц назад
I guess it depends on the definition you accept, misinformation can be "misleading information". But like 4:47 "Now that we've stablished the volatility of dittos in ultimate from a statistical perspective." oof haha
@the_wake_
@the_wake_ Месяц назад
Fair, that's pretty bad.
@legomyeggo_7244
@legomyeggo_7244 Месяц назад
@@the_wake_If top players lost 33% of any set they played, they would not be top players. That’s why it’s so significant that top players lose so much in the ditto. It’s not that hard to comprehend.
@JagGentlemann
@JagGentlemann 21 день назад
Can confirm, in a tournament I could barely touch an opposing Banjo, so I switched to Banjo, a character I didn't even touch before, and I won.
@mrtable2861
@mrtable2861 Месяц назад
9:15 Small correction, he didn't start the bracket in losers. Ultimate Summit 2 didn't do the whole "2 lowest RR places start in losers" thing, which only started with Ultimate Summit 3. Tweek's low RR placement just meant that he was seeded as the 2nd lowest from his pool and thus had to fight Leo (who was the 2nd highest player in his pool due to an Esam loss) in R1 of winners in the final bracket. He lost and then had to fight Leffen.
@Max_G4
@Max_G4 8 дней назад
So, I have no knowledge of Smash tournaments. Why would you put someone in losers bracket right at the start? That seems really unfair.
@violetstormcloud
@violetstormcloud Месяц назад
Holy shit my art is in a Turndownforwalt video (I made the PR Bassmage was on)
@SelfDestructGambit
@SelfDestructGambit Месяц назад
Ty for the lovely art!
@jaredkline2351
@jaredkline2351 Месяц назад
Duuuuude I screenshotted it because it was so awesome. Where can I follow you or support?
@ItsMeChair1
@ItsMeChair1 Месяц назад
15:52 bro turned on BobbyBrocolli mode for the last 3 minutes of the vid and refused to elaborate.
@nutradewar
@nutradewar Месяц назад
you should see the other videos that selfdestructgambit has made!
@zanderwhyte9104
@zanderwhyte9104 Месяц назад
Hello fellow Bobbybrocolli enjoyer
@duffman18
@duffman18 Месяц назад
It's actually the Jon Bois style. Jon Bois has made documentaries for a long long time now, on his own channel a bit but mostly for the channel Secret Base, and once you've watched his documentaries you realise just how many thousands of youtubers he's directly inspired. When the artform of online video making becomes an art form that's studied academically in universities, Jon Bois will be considered the most influential single creator out there, because his style is absolutely _EVERYWHERE_ with everyone copying it. The Beatles are to the artform of music as Jon Bois is to the artform of online videos/documentaries. I'm not being hyperbolic. Seriously you probably already are subscribed to at least dozens of channels who each took their main inspiration from Jon Bois and make videos in his style. He's just had such an absolutely enormous influence. BobbyBrocolli doesn't make videos in his own style, he makes them in the Jon Bois style. He freely admits this too, he even has 2 separate videos where he shows you _HOW_ to make a Jon Bois style documentary yourself. Another huge youtuber who openly admits that he just copies the Jon Bois style is Emplemon, who made the Hungrybox documentary that got tons of people into Smash. That was a Jon Bois style documentary. But yeah go and watch the documentaries by Jon Bois on Secret Base. Start right now, today. They have a playlist with his documentaries on there (because Secret Base are a big company and they make a lot of non Jon Bois videos too). For example, watch the 2-part feature length documentary about the history of athletes in sports with the first name "Bob". It may sound ridiculous, but I'm not exaggerating whatsoever, it's one of the most beautiful, most breathtaking, most heartbreaking, most touching, most poignant, most tear-inducing documentaries you will ever watch. It's genuinely incredibly moving. It all began as a kind of joke but the more he researched into it the more he realised how incredible a topic it is. You'll probably cry a bit when you watch it. Again, I'm not joking, not even slightly. It's seriously pretty nuts how genuinely amazing it is and how moving and touching and heart-rending it is. Here's the link to Part 1: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lvh6NLqKRfs.htmlsi=fprlJKidNHhjNCH2 Please watch it, get started with it today. Please. Even if you think you have absolutely zero interest in sports. Just watch them anyway. Because Jon Bois' documentaries are really just incredible stories about extraordinary people, about amazing human beings, and sports just happens to be the flavour of that, while for Bobby Brocolli his videos are the same thing, stories about incredible people or events but the flavour of his videos is science. You don't need to have any knowledge of sports whatsoever to watch and fall in love with Jon's documentaries.
@duffman18
@duffman18 Месяц назад
It's actually the Jon Bois style. Jon Bois has made documentaries for a long long time now, on his own channel a bit but mostly for the channel Secret Base, and once you've watched his documentaries you realise just how many thousands of youtubers he's directly inspired. When the artform of online video making becomes an art form that's studied academically in universities, Jon Bois will be considered the most influential single creator out there, because his style is absolutely _EVERYWHERE_ with everyone copying it. The Beatles are to the artform of music as Jon Bois is to the artform of online videos/documentaries. I'm not being hyperbolic. Seriously you probably already are subscribed to at least dozens of channels who each took their main inspiration from Jon Bois and make videos in his style. He's just had such an absolutely enormous influence. BobbyBrocolli doesn't make videos in his own style, he makes them in the Jon Bois style. He freely admits this too, he even has 2 separate videos where he shows you _HOW_ to make a Jon Bois style documentary yourself. Another huge youtuber who openly admits that he just copies the Jon Bois style is Emplemon, who made the Hungrybox documentary that got tons of people into Smash. That was a Jon Bois style documentary. But yeah go and watch the documentaries by Jon Bois on Secret Base. Start right now, today. They have a playlist with his documentaries on there (because Secret Base are a big company and they make a lot of non Jon Bois videos too). For example, watch the 2-part feature length documentary about the history of athletes in sports with the first name "Bob". It may sound ridiculous, but I'm not exaggerating whatsoever, it's one of the most beautiful, most breathtaking, most heartbreaking, most touching, most poignant, most tear-inducing documentaries you will ever watch. It's genuinely incredibly moving. It all began as a kind of joke but the more he researched into it the more he realised how incredible a topic it is. You'll probably cry a bit when you watch it. Again, I'm not joking, not even slightly. It's seriously pretty nuts how genuinely amazing it is and how moving and touching and heart-rending it is. Here's the link to Part 1: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lvh6NLqKRfs.htmlsi=fprlJKidNHhjNCH2 Please watch it, get started with it today. Please. Even if you think you have absolutely zero interest in sports. Just watch them anyway. Because Jon Bois' documentaries are really just incredible stories about extraordinary people, about amazing human beings, and sports just happens to be the flavour of that, while for Bobby Brocolli his videos are the same thing, stories about incredible people or events but the flavour of his videos is science. You don't need to have any knowledge of sports whatsoever to watch and fall in love with Jon's documentaries.
@duffman18
@duffman18 Месяц назад
It's actually the Jon Bois style. Jon Bois has made documentaries for a long long time now, on his own channel a bit but mostly for the channel Secret Base, and once you've watched his documentaries you realise just how many thousands of youtubers he's directly inspired. When the artform of online video making becomes an art form that's studied academically in universities, Jon Bois will be considered the most influential single creator out there, because his style is absolutely _EVERYWHERE_ with everyone copying it. The Beatles are to the artform of music as Jon Bois is to the artform of online videos/documentaries. I'm not being hyperbolic. Seriously you probably already are subscribed to at least dozens of channels who each took their main inspiration from Jon Bois and make videos in his style. He's just had such an absolutely enormous influence. BobbyBrocolli doesn't make videos in his own style, he makes them in the Jon Bois style. He freely admits this too, he even has 2 separate videos where he shows you _HOW_ to make a Jon Bois style documentary yourself. Another huge youtuber who openly admits that he just copies the Jon Bois style is Emplemon, who made the Hungrybox documentary that got tons of people into Smash. That was a Jon Bois style documentary. But yeah go and watch the documentaries by Jon Bois on Secret Base. Start right now, today. They have a playlist with his documentaries on there (because Secret Base are a big company and they make a lot of non Jon Bois videos too). For example, watch the 2-part feature length documentary about the history of athletes in sports with the first name "Bob". It may sound ridiculous, but I'm not exaggerating whatsoever, it's one of the most beautiful, most breathtaking, most heartbreaking, most touching, most poignant, most tear-inducing documentaries you will ever watch. It's genuinely incredibly moving. It all began as a kind of joke but the more he researched into it the more he realised how incredible a topic it is. You'll probably cry a bit when you watch it. Again, I'm not joking, not even slightly. It's seriously pretty nuts how genuinely amazing it is and how moving and touching and heart-rending it is. Here's the link to Part 1: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lvh6NLqKRfs.htmlsi=fprlJKidNHhjNCH2 Please watch it, get started with it today. Please. Even if you think you have absolutely zero interest in sports. Just watch them anyway. Because Jon Bois' documentaries are really just incredible stories about extraordinary people, about amazing human beings, and sports just happens to be the flavour of that, while for Bobby Brocolli his videos are the same thing, stories about incredible people or events but the flavour of his videos is science. You don't need to have any knowledge of sports whatsoever to watch and fall in love with Jon's documentaries.
@KLightning18
@KLightning18 9 дней назад
3:01 one more member, one more member, one more member, ONE MORE-
@rtg_onefourtwoeightfiveseven
@rtg_onefourtwoeightfiveseven Месяц назад
I'm not fully convinced that dittos really ARE volatile. Sure, the lower-seeded/worse player wins 1/3 of the time, but what are we comparing that to? The better player certainly doesn't always win in non-dittos either, and an overall upset rate of 1/3 doesn't seem that astounding. I feel like there should be some sort of comparison with non-ditto matches to give that statistic meaning.
@HeyoImKaGo
@HeyoImKaGo Месяц назад
The Prezi presentation was not what i was expecting
@fops
@fops Месяц назад
@@MakeVarahHappen it probably made it significantly easier to produce though
@cichlisuite666
@cichlisuite666 Месяц назад
I was about to say, big Jon Bois vibes. It's a dated style but I do still love it
@BarderBetterFasterStronger
@BarderBetterFasterStronger Месяц назад
​​​@@MakeVarahHappen Are they copying it from that guy or does every single Prezi look about the same since the late 2000s My Prezis looked like this in middle school like 15 years ago... Including like the very first one I ever made. They're very samey.
@cyprienramis1304
@cyprienramis1304 Месяц назад
Maybe a factor might be that the better player has too high expectations for the worse player (they might expect the other of being capable of what they themselves are, and therefore play it too safe in some interractions or not even try to match up check their oponent).
@jacobkwan9039
@jacobkwan9039 5 дней назад
The Donkey Kong Ditto screenshot at 2:42 is perfect 🤣
@astorakino829
@astorakino829 3 дня назад
Another factor that I don't think was talked (enough) is that the underdog have, most likely, watched a TON of set of that player, maybe the player they watched the MOST - meaning it's also the one they know weakness the best, they know where the player struggle and when he excel, meaning it's way easier to play around their playstyle. Every G&W are watching Miya ; every Sonic are watching Sonix ; and the list goes on This isn't just matchup inexperience, it's also a knowledge gap of the *player*
@nathanwaterser8218
@nathanwaterser8218 23 дня назад
For a lot of characters there's basically 2 or more playstyles that are nowhere near the same and thus you basically have to learn the matchup twice, and in mirror matches that makes it even more volatile Take Pikachu. Pikachu can play passively with t-jolt spam, aggressive by running behind the t-jolt, or bait and punish by abusing how small and hard to hit Pikachu is If you play one way and encounter someone who plays a different way you can't know for certain how your opponent will play
@derekmann8239
@derekmann8239 6 часов назад
(clicks on Smash video) (hears my home town in the first second) (rewinds to make sure I heard that right)
@clayton_games
@clayton_games 27 дней назад
What if someone held a random ditto tournament? Each match would be given a random character for both players to use (not picking random in the game). Would that be interesting?
@lumensmith9787
@lumensmith9787 27 дней назад
Honestly, this video hits close to home because I abuse people not knowing their matchups by counter-picking Little Mac in situations I used to pick Luigi since many players don't know the Mac matchup; they incorrectly assume their general understanding of his weaknesses are enough to beat him, and so they pass him off as another low-tier with no options. The thing about Mac is his matchup requires you to know how to play against him speciffically since the things that make him so bad aren't trivial to exploit due to the volatility of his kill potential being so high. Making one or two mistakes in neutral can easily ghost you a stock. Speaking of neuteral, the Mac matchup is notably difficult to wing because it's based almost entirely around forcing Mac - a fast character with a myriad of powerful approaches - to stay in neutral for as much of the game as possible. Mac can be consistently countered with almost any character, given the correct knowledge since he has no consistent methods to force errors in neuteral-game. This would be a huge issue for Mac seeing success if it wasn't for him being a magnet for unforced errors rewarded with a full stock. This is compounds even further because of the Star-Punch - Mac's "comeback" mechanic. The Star-Punch is rather unique because it acts as both a way to close a stock disadvantage, but also as a reward for tight play that can extend you lead even further. The move itself charges with damage dealt and do made taken; it has a shockingly low kill percent and fantastic frame data (and I swear it has a huge disjoint) for a comeback move. The caviot is it can be easily revoked by being dealt miniscule damage, but this usually ends up being an upside because it usually finishes charging around the end of the first stock, meaning that you can potentially be rewarded with a 0 to death stock two. Needless to say, that scares players into taking unnecessary risks in neutral which are the most common way Mac connects a 0 to death. Mac is a fun character who's full of surprises; I highly recommend everybody try learning him. He has some of the most satisfying wins ever.
@jeanb.3967
@jeanb.3967 19 дней назад
I think this is how you can tell it is a 50:50 match. When even the one who mains it can lose to someone who doesn't.
@mkunited7439
@mkunited7439 Месяц назад
I feel like another reason you may have missed comes down to preparation. If you pick a character and want to improve with it the first thing you do is watch every match of the best player at that character. This inadvertently makes you really good against them since you know all their habits and their playstyle inside and out
@Aflay1
@Aflay1 Месяц назад
Two biggest lessons: 1. The better player isn't better. They get better (on an even playing field) 2. Some characters are easier to win with than others. Higher tier or not. If you get an advantage, there are many, top level players included, who just can't cope. Therefore, play as characters that can gain that advantage, depreciate that mental stamina. The majority of times, Dittos only influence one thing, and that's the unprecedented first impression. The exceptions, while few, shouldn't be ignored. Refer to lesson 2, you either have to be the better player at taking stocks, or...get ready for a baby slapfight. Also, picking multiple mains is a great idea. If some characters are easier to pick up than others, and happen to complement the playstyle or cover the weaknesses of your main, why not? Who knows? You might have an edge in the ditto that your opponent just ain't.
@ErroneousNickname
@ErroneousNickname Месяц назад
Something else to note thats kinda covered by point 2, but I don't think is emphasized enough is how much data someone learning a character has, and how much that data is effected by the highest represented player playing them. If I want to learn Corrin I watch Shadic, and that is also true for the people under them with that same character. They get so much data from learning their mains from watching the best, that they kinda already have the reads on the player.
@merozero2818
@merozero2818 Месяц назад
First thing i thought when you asked what would be the reasons was the lack of practice on Ditto's, it just made sense to me that, people who main a character rarely plays against them as practice, and in turn end up not performing the best. Very good video! subscribed.
@waxy_7806
@waxy_7806 Месяц назад
Great video! I think one hypothesis worth exploring is that by reviewing VODs of the best player of their character while trying to get better at the game, the underdog gets to know the playstyle and the habits of their top rep. They already have an experience of their opponent before specifically preparing for their bracket.
@Dareianrc36
@Dareianrc36 Месяц назад
A friend of mine used to play the ditto against one of the PRd players in my region on purpose because that dude always had such a bad mental block in that MU. This was in Brawl.
@skapenguin
@skapenguin Месяц назад
I think like you said, usually the top play who set the stand on how a character should be played, is a disadvantage. They usually have more vods on them and the lesser player, probably studies them, where the top player probably hasn't matched as much to understand their habits.
@mitchlel5516
@mitchlel5516 Месяц назад
i love the secret base style this video has
@brendanmohareful
@brendanmohareful Месяц назад
We need to compare unexpected defeats and game 5's of dittos to upsets and unexpected game 5's in general and by secondary characters for this to be considered notable at all.
@127marq
@127marq Месяц назад
Ultimate may have the hardest neutral to learn from any other smash game as the game is dependent on you winning every neutral encounter and knowing when to pick your spots due to lack of hitstun. From Smash 64 - Brawl higher skilled player were almost always going to win. Smash 4 and Ultimate had transitioned into higher IQ players will mostly likely win. Your ability expose a flaw in your opponents game plan is much better than you just being technically better than your opponent in Ultimate, hence why there's so many upsets in Ultimate compared to other smash titles. EX: in Melee a player could know how to beat a match up but it wouldn't matter if you aren't skilled enough in your tech skill to do anything about it.
@plasjan8592
@plasjan8592 10 дней назад
You explain that the data shows that the underdog wins the ditto ~1/3 of the time, but how often does the underdog win in non-ditto matchups? Without knowing that number, we can't actually say whether dittos differ from non-dittos in this regard at all.
@moth_farmer
@moth_farmer Месяц назад
As a pirahna plant main, I've only gotten 4 mirror matches online.
@kacecrimson8297
@kacecrimson8297 18 часов назад
2:20 we are sad to inform that the chair did not survive the Hbox popoff
@baddubs2826
@baddubs2826 Месяц назад
that steve transition was so stupid I had to sub, that is just way too good
@nutradewar
@nutradewar Месяц назад
sdg MENTIONED
@nutradewar
@nutradewar Месяц назад
ME MENTION JUMPSCARE?????
@SomeoneNooneTomatoes
@SomeoneNooneTomatoes 10 дней назад
I play Mii gunner so I’m safe from the ditto curse.
@silaspq
@silaspq Месяц назад
the puff ditto is actually really fun in ult if you know how to combo floaties, and the puffs advantage against puff is actually insane lol
@ascaredmilipede7971
@ascaredmilipede7971 8 дней назад
Ah yes, character ditto volatility, i somehow always remembered this as "the only metric where pikachu is bottom tier" (which is false but yknow). Where characters like ROB have volatile matchups against themselves due to doubling the amount of gyros and touch of deaths, pikachu can sidestep his own edgeguards better than most and just stay alive :v
@broogul7335
@broogul7335 День назад
4th factor you've missed: that player is the underdog because of their positioning in this game, but are rising because they play real fighting games a blazblue player by example on some matchups is going to get to 50/50 in days or even hours, the high known player has experience on 90 chars, and that makes them strong, until a mirror with better moves
@brzt4256
@brzt4256 Месяц назад
Calling it a "ditto" isn't a Pokemon reference, or at least it shouldn't be. Ditto is how English pronounce the Latin word 'dito', which means the same, usually in the context of 'idem dito', which has the same meaning.
@colinrussell2857
@colinrussell2857 27 дней назад
Man i wonder if thats how a pokemon that copies another pokemon got its name, thats crazy
@givecamichips
@givecamichips 24 дня назад
I was perfectly willing to accept that the Jigglypuff ditto was the rarest match in Smash Ultimate
@theironighters226
@theironighters226 9 часов назад
6:26 lol
@Sporca_
@Sporca_ 28 дней назад
14:05 I love the touch of adding the Shulk clip here
@peachdevils3893
@peachdevils3893 2 дня назад
Sorry. Is this a reference to something
@SHCVoodoo
@SHCVoodoo 17 дней назад
"The worse player wins about 33% of the time." So the thing that we'd expect to be an exception.... is, in fact, an exception. Great. Click away.
@ByrneBaby
@ByrneBaby Месяц назад
I think dittos are also harder because of the mental/ego perspective and how advantage and disadvantage works. I think all of us at some point, have faced a worse player of our mains and thought "they're not as good as me, I shouldn't lose this," or something to that effect, and then proceeded to play somewhat differently, either with less aggression or just in a generally more lax way, trying to "prove" you're the better user of the character, and I sorely doubt top players are exempt from this. On the flip side, offense and defense are two halves of every character. They all exist on the spectrum of how well they can push advantage and how easily they can survive disadvantage... And this duality applies to the dittos. Roy, for example, excels at pushing his offense via momentum and keeping his opponent in disadvantage and forcing mistakes to capitalize off of with GIGA damage... But then if he can't get his foot in the door, he struggles in disadvantage and eventually loses after sharking about trying to find an opening and getting hit too much. Now apply the mental aspect to that example, and think about the "better" Roy slowing down or being more methodical in the ditto, consciously trying to apply more "skill" to their play instead of just playing, and thus making more mistakes and allowing more openings while they try to prove themselves, and you get a "better" Roy in disadvantage more often and making more mistakes and eventually losing to the "worse" Roy... And if this trend is common enough, you get a notable amount of "worse" players winning the ditto... Maybe even a third of them. I can't say for sure that this applies to EVERY ditto, but it makes sense on paper. In fact, it makes sense for an "optimal" specialist to barely feel a need to adapt exponentially on the fly, especially against a "lesser" player. But then they lose and start winning the ditto again because their mental awareness expands.
@worldscoolestperson7672
@worldscoolestperson7672 26 дней назад
“Exceptionally shorter lifespan” …An exception to what?
@Paralellex
@Paralellex Месяц назад
Only kinda related, but mirror matches in card games are always delightfully degenerate. It's such a weird combination of high skill required but also a lot of luck to win those, because once you're put on the backburner you need to know exactly what's required to claw your way back to a winning position and also get lucky enough to do so.
@swordsmancs
@swordsmancs День назад
Shit, I’ve noticed this phenomenon in my own goddamn games. I usually main Toon Link and use Pythra, Chrom, Young Link, and Byleth as my secondaries, and I can usually beat my buddy Jake with them, but when he picks them for a ditto the fights get _way_ harder, to the point where I can almost always beat him with Pythra _unless he_ picked Pythra, then I get curbstomped I’m only a couple minutes in but I think it has to do with the difference between playing _as_ a character and playing _against_ a character, which are two different skills, and you’re not as likely to fight your main and thus not as likely to build the skill needed to fight your main, because you’re too busy fighting _as_ your main
@VengefulCaptain
@VengefulCaptain 25 дней назад
Another one that flew under the radar this year was JeJaJeJa vs WesNile, a battle between a top optimal kirby and a raw parry demon.
@Its_1cy
@Its_1cy Месяц назад
UNLESS WERE TALKING ABOUT BRAWL SNAKE WHICH HAS A 60-40 MATCHUP AGAINST HIMSELF
@NetullaGD
@NetullaGD Месяц назад
As a kirby main, the ditto matchup is 80-20 (opponents favour) because you can't get a free ability
@djdrizzy9139
@djdrizzy9139 Месяц назад
Kirby's hardest mu is Kirby. Not even because of a lack of copy, but Kirby can space out himself lol.
@NetullaGD
@NetullaGD Месяц назад
@@djdrizzy9139 real
@dovesr0478
@dovesr0478 14 дней назад
Waaaay back in the day we used to joke that Marth dittos in Melee were 0-100 for both players
@DoritoTime
@DoritoTime Месяц назад
The Sonic ditto is extremely frustrating for me. I’m the “A button Sonic” so the other Sonic just spins back and forth while I’m at center stage playing it like any other character would
@electricssb
@electricssb Месяц назад
Left cloud is better than right cloud according to whydo so yeah!
@JediBusouSonic
@JediBusouSonic Месяц назад
As someone who prominently played Ike in Smash 4, and a bit in Ultimate. He is his own worst enemy at times, but thats also because Ike's recovery is easily gimped by counter. (among other things unless Ike recovers basically frame perfect). So it was just always kind of a funny MU.
@kofatheballer5539
@kofatheballer5539 Месяц назад
The fact that you watched Steve AND Rob dittos for this video shows major dedication💯
@yourmissingfather778
@yourmissingfather778 21 день назад
THIS IS SO FACTS IT HURTS
@Solr05
@Solr05 Месяц назад
I sure hope I don’t run into a mirror match, I play ice climbers
@thatmspaintgirl
@thatmspaintgirl Месяц назад
The Hungrybox "upset" is actual the reasonable conclusion to come to. He has been playing against other Jigglypuffs in Melee for decades, a game with 25 characters of which maybe 9 are playable, one of which happens to be Jigglypuff. Anyone with a brain could have seen this coming.
@vgrants1717
@vgrants1717 Месяц назад
Me, a Plant main: I don’t have such weaknesses.
@wendewang673
@wendewang673 29 дней назад
i really like the jon bois-style of presentation here!
@nighfinite
@nighfinite 28 дней назад
It’s the best way to measure the skill of the player either raw skill, experience in the matchup, raw experience, or skill with the character specifically. It’s fun and perfect.
@BarderBetterFasterStronger
@BarderBetterFasterStronger Месяц назад
Man, I can't believe Prezi has stayed relevant since like 2010.
@SKsuprakirby
@SKsuprakirby Месяц назад
At least the Kirby ditto is a true 50/50 because like a true 50/50 MU, it doesn't exist.
@jaxon3186
@jaxon3186 17 дней назад
Me facing MKLeo and picking his own main: I am... inevitable
@souledgekirby
@souledgekirby 12 дней назад
Ah yes, the world's worst swordsman wins again.
@momoatsuko727
@momoatsuko727 Месяц назад
as always, incredible scoring on these videos
@srdjan455
@srdjan455 29 дней назад
Keep tracking of which character is yours could also be a element in ditto matches that influence the match up.
@joeymusselman8643
@joeymusselman8643 Месяц назад
I propose a fourth reason, underdog learned the game watching film of top player so they know their habits better.
@thedangerroom7747
@thedangerroom7747 Месяц назад
I'd say "Worse player wins the ditto" points more to Smash players obsession with player stats and how they can't wrap their heads around players beating players they "shouldn't".
@gedster
@gedster Месяц назад
walt thank you for reminding me to rewatch light vs kaninabe
@scottrandolph9629
@scottrandolph9629 20 дней назад
Really cool video, I loved it! This is how all matchups should be viewed imo tho. Not every matchup is a set thing, thats why so many players disagree on character matchups. Its all playstyle, experience with the matchup, and skill. (With a bit of character diff as well)
@smashmonkey6304
@smashmonkey6304 15 дней назад
I think what people also neglect is mirrors are weird. Starcraft 2 is a great example where all the mirrors are radically different. Terran has a lot more mech and even BCs while Zerg is a mess and you are always worried about a six pool. And Protoss always bitch about PvP. I think what makes it hard is that it’s so different. All of you advantages are your opponents as are your weaknesses.
@securatyyy
@securatyyy Месяц назад
...and then, charizard. I laughed
@memenazi7078
@memenazi7078 Месяц назад
Charizard is good
@NolenJacobson
@NolenJacobson Месяц назад
If you've ever participated in character discords or Smashboards back in the day you'd know that top players often don't know shit about their own character. And it's to be expected. Tournaments and practice take up a lot of time and there isn't much time left over for in depth labbing. Top players aren't the ones who play the most optimally but the most practically. They're the ones who know that, sure, it may be a little better to do some other option but the option they're doing is good enough and has easy execution they can pull off even when they're tired at the end of a tournament. They prioritize having strong b and C games for pools, conserving energy for later on in the bracket, and having a broad understanding of the game rather than a deep understanding of one character. Lots of these mirror match upsets aren't as surprising to people in the know about the character's playerbase. They know who the specialists and labbers are and who has the sauce. And a lot of the time its not just that the top player isn't a master at the mirror match it's that the lower ranked player has a much better understanding of the mirror than they do a random matchup. Top players have a lot of experience and have been cheesed by everything under the sun while the lower ranked player is the one more susceptible to matchup checks. As much as the top player is stripped of some of their advantage the less experienced player is also stripped of a lot of their weaknesses.
@CrateSauce
@CrateSauce 10 дней назад
No way bro copyin brocily 💀
@666blaziken
@666blaziken Месяц назад
As a melee Pikachu player, I get a lot of groans when I want to ditto someone just because most pikachus like to combo and the ditto has little to no combos in it.
@YourAverageLink
@YourAverageLink Месяц назад
When I played Rivals, one of my least favorite matchups was the Forsburn ditto. Feels like a winning matchup for the opponent lol
@mago474
@mago474 12 дней назад
Now I'm extremely curious about pyra and mythra
@vaxildagger
@vaxildagger Месяц назад
bottom corner of minute 4's graph just showing how marss dominates the ditto lol
@Lord_Marquaad
@Lord_Marquaad 14 дней назад
I think it's like the lefty fencer dilemma. Where even lefty fencers struggle against a lefty
@CrimsoniteSP
@CrimsoniteSP Месяц назад
There's a reason I don't like mirrors, lol. My main reason has always been more because both players know each other's character specific bs, so the mirror ends up being really boring. Obviously there's a few mirrors that are always hype but in those cases the character in question doesn't really have bs. Characters like Falcon, Ganon, Marth and Roy are all straight forward so seeing two of these clash is exciting, even for both players. However characters like Link, Samus or Snake's gameplan is more dependent on the opponent approaching you and figuring out how to get around the obstacle course you set for them. But in a mirror, no one's going to approach or they know how to get past everything anyway, so there's not a huge point to doing most of what the character has to offer.
@RuneTacticss
@RuneTacticss 17 дней назад
Kola the man to always win the dittos in big tourneys
@mrhalfsaid1389
@mrhalfsaid1389 25 дней назад
Honestly it's insane that a game where your own character is one of your worst matchups is just an accepted thing. It's so dumb, but that's why it's smash, isn't it
@Zift_Ylrhavic_Resfear
@Zift_Ylrhavic_Resfear 12 дней назад
Dittos can't decide who is the overall better player because it can't test every situation. For example, a Marth ditto is unable to show who is the best of the two at dealing with zoners. Maybe one of the Marths is slightly better in close range but significantly worse at closing the gap and so will have a much harder time in tournament.
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