Kursk is a "morale" booster for their Ukrainian population and the troops. How would history have been changed if the Wehrmacht had been bogged down after 2 years in Poland? What if the Wehrmacht had invaded Poland and not brought enough fuel or food to reach Warsaw? What if the Luftwaffe was not able have air dominance after 2 years in Poland? Why are all of the armchair generals ignoring the incompetence of the invader? This war should have been over in 3 weeks, or 3 months at most. What if Poland had invaded Germany in 1941? Would anyone still be saying Germany was going to win?
Don't worry about forecasting the war. Every soldier I've ever met says the same quote: the battle plan always goes to shit after the first shots are fired.
Also if anyone has been paying attention to the reddit feeds for the last 2 months, Ukraine has a new drone strategy to counter Russia's most useful tactic that they can use their meat waves on. Russia has been trying to avoid using infantry in the open by attacking along tree lines. Ukraine's now has been dropping Thermite payloads over these tree lines burning out entire stretches of woods to remove them. No tree's means no more assaults under cover.
The Russian army that invaded the Ukraine wasn’t infantry heavy. That was one of its notoriously fatal weaknesses - insufficient infantry to support armor advancing into urban areas. I’m not at all sure what he’s talking about when he says that Russian armor wasn’t good at rapid advances because it was burdened by infantry heavy formations.
I normally listen to this just to see how naive certain podcasters are. I always knew Ukraine would get destroyed was alway obvious, the only war Ukraine is winning is the propaganda war. I remember arguing with so many ppl when they were hopeful because I’d game changer weapons, where r they know, I just hope they grew out of sheeply mentality 😂
@@amilcarsimone5192 1. Your comment has literally nothing to do with anything that I wrote - do try your best stay on topic, Misha. 2. You must have missed the part of the war where instead of taking Kiev in the first days, and conquering the whole country in a matter of weeks, the war drags on past the the 2 1/2 year mark with hundreds of thousands of Russian casualties. 3. Go back to bed, Misha, you have been owned, b*tch. 4. *i
@@johnm7267 No, dear, it isn’t. The invasion of the Ukraine is an unmitigated strategic disaster for Russia at least on the order of the U.S. invasion of Iraq. Massive Russian losses have failed to advance even a single Russian strategic objective, and triggered a NATO expansion that doubled Russia’s border with NATO, and leaves NATO forces within a short commute of St. Petersburg. Militarily, after 300k casualties (129k dead), and the depletion of its arsenal of modern weapons, Russia has landed itself in a strategic stalemate that’s bleeding it white after modest initial advances, and finds itself dependent upon Teheran, and Pyongyang. Yeah, you don’t even have a hint of a clue as to what you’re talking about, Misha. 😂
Ukraine doesn't really have to get an 8-1 kill count. That's assuming that Russia can throw it's entire resource base JUST at Ukraine. Indefinitely. Ukraine sorta can give 100%, cause it's down to survival (although they will require western support to keep the budget going). As much as to some degree Putin sees this war as an existential threat... he has to balance that existential threat with the fact that killing all young men in Russia is also an existential threat, especially as it begins to effect conscripts. Ukraine also doesn't have any threats besides Russia (and de facto Russian state Belarus), whereas Russia can't indefinitely pull all troops from every border, including China, far east, NATO, etc. Finally, Ukraine has no grand military or territorial ambitions in the future. Whereas Russia wants to at least have the ability to theoretically counter/threaten/defend against NATO. You can't keep extending your influence AFTER Ukraine if you burn up all of your resources IN Ukraine. I agree with your general point that Russia benefits from an atttritional war, but I do believe Ukraine can and will dedicate a higher percentage of its resources in an existential war for survival. Sanctions are a wild card. If the west can continue to boost oil production, keep prices modest, shift away from natural gas, coal and Russian chemicals, and keep China from too overtly bailing Russia out, the math becomes even more difficult for Russia. They should also try to continually poach Russian and central Asian talent and scientists. A wartime economy such as Russia's does not collapse easily. But at the same time, the longer it goes on, the longer Russia bleeds other sectors of its economy, while losing the next generation of potential soldiers
There is so much evidence that Ukraine is out of troops and is struggling to conscript it own citizens including asking European countries to force them back home. It is amazing how you ignore the obvious facts, that in all those scenarios you imagine that Ukrainians are not losing troops on the front.
I disagree with the 8 to 1 ratio, that will eventually give Russia the win. All the Ukrainians have to do is keep fighting somehow. Then they will win.
What I see is most, if not all, of the revised evaluations have seemed to repeatedly OVERESTIMATE some/multiple aspects of Russian logistics, leadership, competence, capabilities and the will of Russian troops to fight and die. Also, I don't think that Putin's ability to continue is unaffected by the Ukraine blowing critical shit up in Russian territory.
It's funny, everybody says that frontline is collapsing. But they can't agree which way, whether the collapse is happening or Russian or Ukrainian side. How's that even possible?
Because nothing is collapsing for both sides. What happen in Kursk was a collapse of front, but Ukrainians had limited forces here, so Russians seems like patch up front here.
This war is an ever-changing Frontline.... Clearly the Russians and ukrainians aren't making much progress. Russia said that zelenski's comedian and he must be good because everybody's laughing at Russian military.. what I mean by that is the Russians aren't performing as advertised
It is irresponsible of RU-vid not to require date of production stamps on every video. Imagine war in a domestic scenario finding out the bombing you thought was this morning was last year ..
No - I've been 100% right about the progress of the war and what items would make the biggest impacts to decide the outcome since the beginning (quite literally within 3 hours of the initial invasion). Russia was going to win within 72 hours and turn Ukraine into a client state or it would turn into a slog until one side attains a clear air superiority and that with combined arms would decide the war. Ukraine is set to win and get Crimea back as well.
Russia did not go in with the expectation of winning in 72 hours that was the propaganda put out by the west. Russia went in with the plan to negotiate a peace treaty as soon as possible, which is what they achieved. This treaty would have left Ukraine intact, but it was scuppered by Boris Johnson. As for you being 100% correct you are not as Russia is winning, even western media is admitting it
I wouldn't say Ukraine needs a consistent 8:1 ratio, they just really need a 4:1, russia's population isn't 7 or 8 times the population of Ukraine, it is 3 times. Also as far as tanks go, Ukraine already demolished over 60% of all possible russian tanks, anything else that is coming to the war after this are probably 100 T-90s per year plus anything they can scrape from what's left of T-64s and T-55s which were definitely not made to fight a war in 2024
I’ll re-watch this video at the start of November- looking back on claims from a specific time knowing how history played out tells one a lot about the channel. I may not watch the videos about cats though- quite bizarre for a geopolitical channel. Just worked it out- after 3-4 weeks the commentary and video is replaced with cats - effectively removing the evidence of any bold claims that history will put to shame. The channel is either a sham or … just an AI project. Don’t trust a channel that won’t leave its back catalogue for review and retrospective.
Exactly to the comment below...What a weird post..who are you? and what are your qualifications for comment? Where are you? Are you on the ground reporting from the fighting areas....sorry this sounds like guesswork.
With our industrialization again, a lot of it should go back to the south where they lost all those jobs with that big giant sucking sound that came out in the 90s in which made the south so anti-union because they felt betrayed. I’m not saying we shouldn’t have a lot of manufacturing up north too, but that’s something that needs to be addressed that might go a long way into uniting this country. A lot of good pay union jobs everywhere.
Most couuntries'economies are destroyed by war. The US economy cannot thrive without war, but it overperforms whenever we are at war. World peace could destroy the US Economy. Challenge issued.
Russias frontline is not collapsing where is this channel getting its news. Russia is advancing westwards and that fact is being reported even in western media. Zelensky is panicking and it is why he wants long range weapons. The Kursk gamble has failed with the loss of thousands of troops and lots of equipment
Even if Russia wins, the conflict will not end. It will just change from conventional warfare to guerilla warfare. I won't be surprise if there are stricter sanctions to Russia and all countries that supported it.
The interesting thing is there is 2 stories, one story is Your perspective with little proof and the location reports that paint a different picture. Don’t forget that people are driven to believe the visual, I am not Sure who is True, but if your ever create deceptive perspective, there is no going back. End of Line
The truth stings, doesn’t it? The Kremlin is spending millions to try and get Trump elected. Do you suppose they did the same for Reagan? If not, why not?
Indifference to casualties will not win this war for Russia. Ukraine has spent the last two years learning the doctrine of asymmetric application of force. Now we are on the threshold of seeing that doctrine applied in campaigns filled with tactical shock. That will require that the Russians develop a concept of operations to counteract, and that will take time. Ukraine’s attack on fuel storage depots is a perfect example. The Russians have no solution. In the meantime, Ukraine continues its assault upon Russian logistics. This is the end of the line for Putin.
Can you stop playing his stuff from weeks to months ago. Im tired of thinking its his new analysis. At least put the goddam date he released this info.
